202
대한민국 로봇산업 기술로드맵 (초안-배포용) 초안(배포용)

ÃʾÈ(¹èÆ÷¿ë) - icros.orgicros.org/UploadData/Editor/EmBody/201706/01E8D3299A4047998792F... · 4. 개인 서비스 로봇 117 1. 개요 119 2. 국내외 시장 동향 120

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    (

    )

  • (

    )

  • 1. 1

    1. 3

    2. 3

    3. 4

    4. 6

    2. 7

    1. 9

    2. 11

    3. 17

    4. 29

    5. (5)(10/15) 36

    3. 39

    3.1. 41

    1. 43

    2. 44

    3. 49

    4. 57

    5. (5)(10/15) 63

    3.2. 67

    1. 69

    2. 72

    3. 76

    4. 81

    5. (5)(10/15) 89

    3.3. 95

    1. 97

    2. 98

    3. 100

    4. 106

    5. (5)(10/15) 113

    (

    )

  • 4. 117

    1. 119

    2. 120

    3. 123

    4. 129

    5. (5)(10/15) 132

    5. 135

    1. 137

    2. 139

    3. 141

    4. 147

    5. (5)(10/15) 149

    6. 151

    1. 153

    2. 155

    3. 158

    4. 163

    5. (5)(10/15) 176

    7. 183

    1. 185

    2. 185

    3. 189

    4. 192

    5. (5)(10/15) 196

    (

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  • - 1 -

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    Industrial $11.1B 254k 9%

    Professional Service $4.6B 41k 14%

    Personal Service $2.2B 5.4M 4%

    Total $17.9B

    : World Robot Market, IFR Report 2016

    , , , ,

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    - 6 -

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    14,867 18,684 2,041 1,659 1,034 38,285

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    11,310 11,659 1,285 5,019 676 4,922 34,871

    10,059 897 2,031 2,415 521 3,989 19,912

    4,624 32 397 165 47 201 5,466

    2,162 103 248 75 140 746 3,474

    2,094 46 232 451 361 528 3,712

    1,639 215 713 1,719 752 1,537 6,575

    14,339 9,756 5,556 5,422 1,819 9,006 45,898

    97,533 64,555 20,335 29,450 6,853 35,022 253,748

    : World Robotics 2016. IFR

    - 10 -

    (

    )

  • 2.

    ( ) 15 179

    (10~15 13% ). 14%

    < () >

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    10 11 12 13 14 1515/14

    5,678 8,278 8,496 9,507 10,193 11,133 9.2% 14%

    : World Robotics 2016(IFR : International Federation of Robotics)

    2015 : (254) : 2014 15%

    2010~2015 : CAGR 14%

    27% ( )

    5(, , , , ) 75%

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    10 2015

    (254) .

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    - 11 -

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    24,721 38,285 40,000 42,000 44,000 46,000

    29,297 35,023 38,000 39,000 41,000 43,000

    57,096 68,556 90,000 110,000 130,000 160,000

    6,912 7,200 9,000 9,500 12,000 13,000

    31,029 36,444 38,000 40,000 43,000 46,000

    20,051 20,105 21,000 21,500 23,500 25,000

    6,215 6,657 7,200 7,500 8,000 9,000

    2,312 3,766 4,100 4,500 4,600 5,100

    2,944 3,045 3,300 3,500 3,800 4,500

    39,994 34,667 39,400 44,800 52,600 62,400

    220,571 253,748 290,000 322,300 362,500 414,000

    2015 68,656 (253,748)

    1/4 . 1 36%

    , 19 40%

    , 2

    2015 256,463 (286,554)

    2. 69

    49

    ,

    ()

    253,748(15% )

    68,556(20% )

    27%( 1)

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    16% 36%

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    1,631,650(11% )

    256,463(35% )

    15.7%

    ( 2)

    (2010-2015)

    9% 37%

    ( 1 )

    69 49 392

    24

    : World Robotics 2016. IFR

    - 12 -

    (

    )

  • (59%) (24%)

    (12%)

    ( ) (94%)

    (71%) (42%)

    ( : )

    10 11 12 13 14 1515/14

    (%)CAGR10-15

    11,775 18,197 18,229 25,375 35,899 40,414 13 28%

    1,528 2,256 1,848 6,027 11,695 16,323 40 61%

    35 259 251 493 605 934 54 93%

    1,184 1,708 2,545 4,263 7,277 8,467 16 48%

    456 157 114 421 1,620 2,418 49 40%

    : World Robotics 2016. IFR

    2013

    , 2013

    ,

    27%

    53%

    , 1

    - 13 -

    (

    )

  • ( )

    10 11 12 13 14 1515/14

    (%)CAGR10-15

    7,431 11,204 11,429 14,207 21,106 24,166 14 27%

    / 2,027 3,206 3,289 6,725 16,726 17,125 2 53%

    1,578 2,509 2,198 3,712 6,878 10,321 50 46%

    /

    1,452 1,236 1,347 2,736 3,511 5,900 68 32%

    /

    158 321 482 965 1,371 1,443 5 56%

    : World Robotics 2016. IFR

    () , FANUC,

    ( ), (), ABB() 4

    50% 75% . ( BTMU

    114 ( , 2015.7), Mizuho Industry Focus(2015.

    3, Vol 169) 51.6%, 32.1%, 13.0%

    96.7% , 3.3%

    )

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    - 14 -

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    14,207 39% 96% 4%

    , 6,725 18% 55% 45%

    , 3,712 10% 76% 24%

    , 2,736 8% 58% 42%

    , 965 3% 65% 35%

    8,215 22% 59% 41%

    36,560 100% 74% 26%

    : BRMU 114 (, 2015.7), IFR, CRIA

    FANUC, ( ), (), ABB()

    4 1 ,

    , Nachi, R&D

    2 . SIASUN, EFORT

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    (Mizuho Industry

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    1 15 2.5

    - 15 -

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  • < () > (: )

    11 12 13 14 1515/14

    21,667 19,908 20,910 24,671 25,831 4.7% 4.5%

    : 2015 (16.9)

    2013 1, 3 9,540 ,

    56.7% , 2013 3,464

    , , 4 , 1/10

    : e-KIET 600, (2014, 10), DB (H.S 847950 )

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    - 24 -

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    - 38 -

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  • - 39 -

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    : (2015.12)

    - 43 -

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    ()

    - 2016 ~ 2019

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    < >

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    () 12.7 19.0175

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    ()/

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    ()

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    : IFR 2016 ( , IFR )

    : IFR 2016 ( )

    - 44 -

    (

    )

  • < >

    : IFR 2016 (2016~2019 )

    < >

    - 2015 7.8(1.9) 2016 ~ 2019 53.3

    (17.5) 22.6%(36.3%) , 2019

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    * : , : ,

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    41,000 70%

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    (81.1%), (10.7%),

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    - IFR ,

    - 45 -

    (

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    ()

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    ()

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    - 46 -

    (

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    - , 2023

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    (: The

    - 47 -

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  • Freedom Group. Inc. World Agricultural Equipment, 2014.07)

    -

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    2008 2013 2018 2023

    / 46.4 37.1 32.6 29.7

    / 31.7 42.4 46.0 48.5

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    / 44.4 39.2 34.6 32.1

    / 29.9 39.3 44.0 46.8

    25.7 21.5 21.3 21.1

    /

    / 36.0 30.4 26.3 23.4

    / 41.5 49.5 52.4 54.9

    22.4 20.1 21.3 21.7

    < >

    : The Freedom Group. Inc. World Agricultural Equipment, 2014.07

    ()

    - 2013 1

    - 1990 ,

    2013

    (:

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    - ( ) 2013 14, 2014 5

    (: , , 2015)

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    // ,

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    - 48 -

    (

    )

  • ///

    3.

    / ()

    - ()

    - () //, ///,

    - () * , HikVision

    *

    . (Picker)

    *

    ( 80%

    )

    - () , () , , WMS(Warehouse

    Management System)

    Pick & Place ()

    - () Pick & Place

    - ()

    - () , , , 24

    24

    AS/RS(Automated Storage and Retrieval System) ,

    DPS(Digital Picking System),

    (Scalability) (Flexibility):

    ()

    - () (/), (/)

    , .

    Savioke Relay

    - 49 -

    (

    )

  • - () , ,

    Public

    < / >

    () () :

    4.5 80% 90 15 340kg , 6.4km/h (1.78m/s)

    ADEPT () : (// ), ,

    , 3 2015 (Omron)

    6RS(6 River Systems) () Chuck , ( , , ID,

    )

    () Quiet Logistics , LocusBot $35,000 : Quiet Logistics, ,

    , DHL Quiet Logistics

    22.53km 8.04km ,

    Clearpath Robotics () OTTO OTTO-1500(2015, 1,500kg) OTTO-100(2016, 100kg)

    CIMCORP () AS/RS(Automated Storage and Retrieval System)

    : , , : ,

    Mobile Industrial Robots () MiR100: 100kg, 10, 1.5m/s, //

    - : , , , , P&G, , 30

    MiR200: 200kg, (ESD)

    GreyOrange Robotics () 90% (Butler): 400-500/ (Sorter) : 300/

    Hikvision () HIKRobot: 5kg, 3m/s, 8/1.5 (STO Express, 1)

    , 20

    - 50 -

    (

    )

  • < Pick & Place >

    ()

    Fetch Robotics () Fetch, Freight( 68kg) - Freight500, Freight1500 (: ) Fetch Freight

    SW: Fetchcore

    InVia Robotics () GrabIt, TransIt GrabIt: Suction , 14kg RaaS(Robot as a Service) : 10/ : LD Products Inc.

    Right Hand Robotics ()

    Havard, Yale, MIT 500~600

    RightPick ,

    () AETHON () , , ,

    TUG 450kg, 10 // 150

    500 (2013) ,

    Swisslog ()

    TransCar( , AGV), RoboCourier( , )

    Savioke ()

    , Relay

    30

    ()

    HOSPI-R

    170kg, 9, 20kg , 1.0m/s

    - 51 -

    (

    )

  • ()

    - ()

    - ()

    < >

    ()

    Starship Technologies ()

    9kg, 5-30

    Dispatch ()

    Carry, 45kg , ,

    Marathon Targets() DRU(Domonos

    Robotic Unit) Marathon

    Targets

    ()

    - () ,

    - () , Magazino

    < >

    ()

    Lowes () Magazino () ()

    /, LoweBot(OSHBot)

    (TORU)

    , ,

    (MATEY)

    - ,

    - 52 -

    (

    )

  • ()

    - () SW

    . ,

    < >

    ()

    Seegrid () CMU (3D Vision Navigation SW)

    Seegrid + (VGV: Vision Guided Autonomous Vehicle)

    : : , , BMW, JAGUAR, VOLVO, Walgreens, United

    STates Postal Services

    Brain Cooperation()

    Training (Brain OS) , :

    Brain EMMA(Enabling Mobile Machine Automation) + EMMA

    / ()

    - () / ,

    , () ,

    , WMS

    - ()

    , 24

    - (), , , /

    - CJ ( 500kg, 1m/s)

    (/KAIST/ )

    -

    ( 250kg/500kg)

    - QR MR.Logi,

    - 53 -

    (

    )

  • < / >

    /

    ()

    CJ ()

    ()

    - () (/), ()

    ,

    - () , (1m/s)

    - , ,

    GoCart : GoCart 1.0(60kg ), GoCart 2.0( 300kg),

    - NT (Sbot, 80kg, 1m/s )

    < / >

    NT

    R&D

    - Pick & Place ,

    -

    -

    - 54 -

    (

    )

  • /

    - ,

    ,

    - , , , ,

    ,

    < >

    ()

    ()

    1, 2013 257 SESAM: 4, 55km

    CNH Industrial () 2, 2013 159 //

    KUBOTA () 4, 2013 60 (), /

    ( ) (2017.01)

    2020

    < / >

    ()

    Cemagref () , ,

    Abundant Robotics ()

    Cal State Fresno ()

    ()

    () , ,

    Silsoe ()

    Silsoe ()

    ()

    ISO Group () . ,

    , 1,000

    CMU () ,

    - 55 -

    (

    )

  • /

    -

    , ,

    - , LS

    - LS, , , ,

    , , 80%

    - , , , ///

    ///

    < / >

    1(2015 4,622)

    LS 2(2015 4,061) , ,

    ( ) 2016

    ,

    ( ): 800, 95%

    . 50 (2015 ) ,

    ()

    , Off Road

    - 56 -

    (

    )

  • 4.

    - HW, , , , , /

    HW( ) , , , ,

    /

    ,

    , , ( )

    /

    / . /

    < >

    - /

    . ,

    () , *, WMS

    * CJ 300

    -

    (, )

    ,

    - 24

    ,

    .

    R&D ,

    R&D

    - ~ /

    Pick & Place

    - 57 -

    (

    )

  • () / ,

    - 4 5

    ,

    - 24

    .

    (Amazon Robotics

    Challenge, ARC)

    - 1 DHL () ,

    , , /

    *

    * ICRA 2017 Robotics in Logistics(DHL, 2016, URL: https://goo.gl/fKsCN6)

    -

    , 24

    - 6

    24

    ()

    , /

    , /

    , /

    ( )

    /( )

    /, /

    < >

    - 58 -

    (

    )

  • -

    ICRA 2015 1 Amazon Picking Challenge(APC)

    .

    , T.U.Berlin

    - 2 RoboCup 2016 T.U.Delft

    , T.U.Delft . 3

    Amazon Robotics Challege(ARC) (2017.07)

    * Preferred-Networks TU Delft APC

    < >

    CMU GooglePreferred-Networks

    TU Delft1)

    (# Layers)

    CNN-AlexNet (8 Layers)

    CNN (18 Layers)

    CNN ()

    Faster R-CNN(101 Layers)

    Baxter - FANUC YASKAWA

    RGB RGB RGB + ToF

    ( )

    RGB-D(

    )

    DB

    50K, 700 Hour800K(2016.06)

    (14 )

    (150)

    (Soft + Hard )

    (39)

    (39)

    2 2

    ( )

    95%/79.5%

    (Seen/Unseen)

    75%( )

    75%( )

    1) 2016

    - 59 -

    (

    )

  • (: KEIT PD , 2016.03)

    < >

    ,

    ,

    ,

    , , ,

    /

    , ,

    (: KEIT PD , 2016.03)

    -

    *

    /

    -

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    - , ,

    ,

    ,

    - ,

    IoT ,

    - 60 -

    (

    )

  • - HW, , , , , /

    < >

    HW (//// ), ,

    , / .

    , ,

    , , ,

    ,

    /

    - ,

    , /////

    ,

    - IoT

    -

    ,

    , //

    *

    * R&D R&D

    -

    *

    * : ,

    - 61 -

    (

    )

  • () ,

    ///

    -

    < >

    HW

    + (, , ,

    , )

    (: )

    ( ),

    ,

    , , (,

    )

    //

    < >

    - 62 -

    (

    )

  • 5. (5)(10/15)

    5 10 15

    Goods-to-Picker /

    ()

    , /

    , /

    , /

    Pick & Place

    Pick & Place

    Pick & Place

    ,

    ,

    ( /

    )

    / ( )

    /

    , /

    , /

    , /

    Pick & Place

    Pick & Place

    /

    - 63 -

    (

    )

  • 5 10 15

    , ,

    ( )

    ( )

    /

    ()

    IoT ( )

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    /,

    /, (/)

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    ( )

    ( )

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    // , IoT )

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    ,

    + (,

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    /, (/)

    ( )

    ( )

    - 64 -

    (

    )

  • < >

    /

    1 (ETRI)

    2 (ETRI)

    3 (ETRI)

    4 (KETI)

    5 (KETI)

    6 (KIRO)

    7 (KIRO)

    8

    9

    10 CJ

    11 FSK L&S

    - 65 -

    (

    )

  • (

    )

  • -2.

    - 67 -

    (

    )

  • (

    )

  • 1.

    () ,

    (, , )

    .

    ,

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    ( , 2011).

    ,

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    /(Surgery/Surgical intervention)

    , , , , (Catheter)

    , ,

    ,

    - /

    2)

    (10-3~10-6m ) , ,

    (hyperthermia),

    , - ,

    - 69 -

    (

    )

  • , ,

    ,

    , ,

    ,

    3)

    ,

    / /

    , ( /, , )

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    .

    - : /,

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    . ,

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    - 70 -

    (

    )

  • (Progressive

    Assessment)

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    / / ( , , , )

    , , , , MEMS in-vitro

    ,

    / , / , (ADL/IADL) / / , (, , , ,

    )

    /

    /( , / , ) (Progressive Assessment) , / , 3 (: mobile ) Markerless/Connected Motion Analysis (: )

    , , / ,

    / one-stop service Hand-held Scanning wearable device

    IoT

    ,

    - 71 -

    (

    )

  • 2.

    15% 2020 114

    , 60%

    ( 2017 2)

    < U.S. medical robotic system market, 2015, Grand view research >

    2022 70 ,

    2024 208 (Grand View

    Research ). da Vinci (Intuitive Surgical )

    ,

    42% ,

    ,

    .

    ,

    20%

    ,

    , , 62%

    , MRI, CT 95%

    . 2010 10 20

    ( 9 ), ,

    , ,

    - 72 -

    (

    )

  • (stent), (catheter),

    : / / /

    : 23 , 2021

    66 (Mordor Intelligence)

    :

    , 2024 9,500 (Global Market Insights,

    2017). //

    * Aethon TUG: // 150 500

    .

    : 2014 ARK Invest Cyberdyne

    HAL 13 1 5,000

    ,

    :

    //

    , 14 5 1,126

    52% 15 7 7,869 (World

    Robotics, 2016)

    < , 2015-2020, : >

    , ,

    (WinterGreen Research, 2014)

    - 73 -

    (

    )

  • - 2015 577 ( 22.72% ) 2020 1,730

    ( 26.07% ). , 2015 160

    2020 482 (Global Rehabilitation Robots

    Market 2016-2020, TechNavio, 2016)

    - (Americas): 2015 282.4 2020 928.4

    26.88% .

    ,

    (2013 GDP 17%),

    - (Europe, Middle east, Africa; EMEA): 2015

    219.4 2020 649.6 24.25% .

    , 2030 65 30~32%

    , 1.1 .

    - (Asia-Pacific; APAC):

    , ,

    . 2020

    33% 65 ,

    45.1% ,

    2018 566 ,

    da Vinci . da Vinci

    (fast follower)

    da Vinci

    (first mover)

    da Vinci

    ,

    ,

    ,

    .

    - 74 -

    (

    )

  • ,

    da Vinci

    ,

    , , ,

    , //

    ,

    , ICT

    ,

    .

    ,

    ,

    1980

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    2 ,

    8~9% .

    - ,

    .

    - , EU, R&D

    ,

    * : (NIH) NIBIB, NICHD

    , NIDRR,

    (NSF)

    * EU : 2014~15 12

    - 75 -

    (

    )

  • 14 20 . 12

    * : 13 5

    3.

    (, )

    da Vinci Revo-i

    (,

    )

    ,

    3D

    da Vinci

    (Intuitive Surgical,

    )

    da Vinci

    (Verb Surgical,

    )

    (Verify) (Ethicon)

    ,

    ALF-X

    (TransEnterix,

    )

    da Vinci

    ,

    FLEX

    (Medrobotics,

    )

    /

    - ,

    - CT MRI ,

    -

    - /

    - 76 -

    (

    )

  • ( , (End-effector), , , )

    - RCM(Remote center of motion)

    , (rigid) , multi port

    da Vinci

    - , single port NOTES( )

    (flexible) , shape

    locking

    - ,

    ,

    DGIST, 3 , ,

    , ,

    , ,

    Acoustically oscillating bubble

    ETH,

    INSA Centre Val de Loire,

    Univ. of Toronto,

    Ecole Polytechnique of Montreal,

    Brain Blood Barrier

    - 77 -

    (

    )

  • - 3

    ,

    : / / /

    RP-VITA (irobot, )

    ,

    HOSPI(panasonic,

    )

    (, )

    , , ,

    Telepresence,

    SMARTsurg

    (UWE, EU)

    ,

    ,

    KIRO-M5(

    , )

    , , ,

    TUG(Aetheon, )

    ,

    ,

    / ,

    , ,

    -

    ,

    - 78 -

    (

    )

  • - (Watson)

    ,

    - //

    - , , /

    ,

    - ,

    - Chairless Chair

    - ,

    -

    / (,

    , , , - )

    - , , , ,

    , /

    - 79 -

    (

    )

  • ReWalk Personal (ReWalk, )

    23.3 kg : 2.5 km/h

    ,

    Hocoma(Hocoma, )

    Armeo Power

    Armin

    HAL(Cyberdyne, )

    : 145 ~ 185cm, 80kg : 12kg EMG

    Ekso(Ekso Bionics,

    )

    : 158 ~ 195cm, 100kg 20kg : 3.2km/h

    Rex(Rex Bionics,

    )

    10 DC

    WAD (Honda, )

    2.6 kg ASIMO

    HEXAR (,

    )

    ,

    : 5.5 kg /

    KULEX(KIST, )

    /

    --- , ADL

    FDA

    . ReWalk 2014

    , 2016 Ekso Bionics

    - 80 -

    (

    )

  • Ekso GT

    , ,

    , //

    .

    .

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    ,

    ,

    4.

    1)

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    (,

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    )

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    - 81 -

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    )

  • - ,

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    .

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    .

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    .

    - 82 -

    (

    )

  • 3)

    - (Watson)

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    .

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    -

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    -

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    * 2014

    2

    .(2015 )

    - ,

    ,

    -

    ,

    - 84 -

    (

    )

  • .

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    /

    -

    -

    - CT/MRI

    -

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    /

    - /

    ( , , , , )

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    , (dexterity) , follow the leader

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  • -

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    ( )

    - (EMG/EEG), ( ), -

    (-/-

    )

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    -

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    4)

    :

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    -

    -

    - Co-Rehabilitation

    - 1) (), 2) (), 3) ,

    Soft & Wearable device

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    ADL/IADL

    - , (ADL/IADL)

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    - 87 -

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    )

  • - / ,

    - (, , , , )

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    5) // (Rehabilitation Assessment)

    .

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    - Progressive Assessment( )

    - , / ,

    - 3 (: mobile )

    - (Markerless) / Connected Motion Analysis

    -

    6)

    :

    ,

    . ,

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    , / one-stop

    service

    - Hand-held Scanning wearable device

    -

    ,

    4.0 (, data-driven, evidence-driven, cell)

    - 4 ,

    - 88 -

    (

    )

  • IoT

    - (Reconfigurable)

    . ,

    .

    - Gym : /

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    -

    Progressive /

    5. (5), (10/15)

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    /

    , .

    ,

    / /,

    , MRI, CT ,

    , ,

    ,

    ,

    3mm ,

    Follow the leader (, )

    - 89 -

    (

    )

  • (5) (10) (15)

    MEMS

    /

    ( )

    ( )

    ,

    (In-vitro)

    (in vitro)

    (in vitro)

    /

    ex vivo/in vivo

    ex vivo/in vivo

    Time delay estimation

    (, )

    ,

    X-Ray, MRI

    - 90 -

    (

    )

  • (5) (10/15)

    ,

    ,

    .

    /

    /

    (, , )

    , x-ray ,

    ,

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    )

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    /

    / Smart Orthosis

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    BMI (Neural Prosthesis) bypass ( ) BMI ( ,

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    ,

    (, , , )

    - 92 -

    (

    )

  • (5) (10/15)

    Progressive Assessment ( )

    , / ,

    ( ) (connected motion analysis system, / )

    3 (: mobile )

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    ( )

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    (, ) (, , ,

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    (10) (15)

    , / one-stop service

    ,

    : Hand-held Scanning wearable device

    4.0: IoT

    (Reconfigurable)

    / Gym

    - 93 -

    (

    )

  • < >

    /

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    8 DGIST

    9 UNIST

    10

    11 KAIST

    12 KAIST

    13

    14

    - 94 -

    (

    )

  • -3.

    - 95 -

    (

    )

  • (

    )

  • 1.

    ()

    ,

    , /

    ( ) , ,

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    ,

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    - - - , - ,

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    - - -

    - / -

    - -

    -

    : World Robotics(IFR, 2016), ( , 2016)

    - 97 -

    (

    )

  • 2.

    11.2(15) 90%.

    8%

    ,

    ( : )

    (10~15)

    2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 CAGR 2016~2019

    31.4 34.3 27.5 48.6 44.8 49.0 9% 414

    723.2 747.6 818.3 901.5 1,023.1 1,038.1 7% 3,309

    27.9 32.5 33.9 42.7 36.1 36.4 6% 144

    782.5 814.4 879.7 992.8 1,104 1,123.5 8% 3,867

    : World Robotics 2012~2016(IFR), (

    , ( ), ( )

    () ,

    - , 2010 10.1

    2015 25.2 20% (World

    Robotics, IFR)

    * 40% : ()

    4,160 56.56%(Public

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    `13 3.6 `23 4.3~5.1

    ( 2014)

    *

    - ,

    *

    : (70) 47, 1,517 (90) 91, 7,288(IMF)

    () ,

    * ,

    - 98 -

    (

    )

  • * UAV(), UGV(), UUV()

    2025 165 (Boston

    Consulting Group, 2014)

    () ,

    , 2019 11

    (Wintergreen Research, 2013)

    82(08) 300(14)

    24% ,

    ( : )

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 CAGR

    45 52 120 120 119 105 110 16%

    37 56 770 429 70 142.1 190 31%

    82 108 890 550 189 248 300 24%

    : 2012~2015(, ), ( ,

    , ), ()

    ()

    * 10(0110) 78, 1 7,718,

    / 375,725, 4,889(2013

    R&D, 2012.07)

    * 30 : 14 9.6% 24 21.5% ()

    () ,

    ,

    (17.03)

    * : 2020 4,000

    (, 2015)

    () 2020

    * 2025 21 6(, )

    - 99 -

    (

    )

  • 3.

    (/ ())

    - AGV(), UAV() ,

    ,

    - , ,

    ,

    /

    ROVER-S5()

    Kinghtscope K5()

    GroundBot()

    EOS()

    Cobalt()

    eBee()

    - - ,

    - , , , RFID,

    -

    -

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    - /

    - ,

    - 100 -

    (

    )

  • /

    ,

    (, , )

    RABIT()

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    (

    ()

    -

    - GPS

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    - 3 GPS 3D , ,

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    - , ,

    - , , FEM*, 3D

    *FEM : Finite Element Model

    () ()

    ()

    -

    - - UUV() :

    - : +

    - , ,

    - 101 -

    (

    )

  • Snake-arm robot()

    Genbu()

    Rainbow5()

    LUF 60()

    Genbu()

    Brokk()

    -

    -

    -

    -

    - ,

    -

    - , ,

    ,

    / ,

    ()

    Scout

    Robot()

    (,

    )

    ()

    (LIG)

    ()

    -

    - ,

    - ,

    - /

    - 102 -

    (

    )

  • - ,

    ,

    , ,

    * iRobot, Boston dynamics, Sarcos , ,

    (Warrior), , (

    )

    / /

    TALON() PackBot()

    Guardian S() tEOD()

    MK2 Arm()

    BEAR()

    Hulc()

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    ()

    - , , , ,

    - , , ,

    - , ,

    , , 120Kg , ,

    - ,

    ,

    / /

    (ADD)

    ()

    () II()

    ()

    ()

    (ADD)

    - UGV() , (EOD) (CBRN) , UGV()

    - , ,

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    - 103 -

    (

    )

  • ,

    ,

    ,

    - ( ) ,

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    ,

    - ( ) , , ,

    * (Energid), (Mitsubishi), (Northrop

    Grumman), (Romotec), (General Dynamics)

    EOLE() EROS() VERI II B() ()

    - (EDF) AREVA, (CEA) /

    - ( ) . .

    ()

    ()

    / ()

    - , ,

    , /

    - 104 -

    (

    )

  • -

    - /

    KPS,

    KAEROT_M1/M2( )

    -

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    -

    -

    , , ,

    Application: / () - AGV(), UAV(), , ,

    , , , , Application: - , , , (,

    ), , , , ,

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    , , , , , ,

    Application: , , - , - , , , -

    - 105 -

    (

    )

  • .

    - (), ( ), , , (

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    ,

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    ,

    4.

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    () , ,

    -

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    , ,

    -

    , (,

    ) ,

    -

    ,

    ,

    -

    , R&D

    - 106 -

    (

    )

  • - ,

    () * 6 ,

    6 7

    * , ,

    Level

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6 ( 60%) (, ) 60%

    7 ( 70%) 70%

    8 ( 80%) 80%

    9 ( 90%) 90%

    10 100%

    :

    -

    -

    ,

    -

    ,

    -

    -

    ,

    - 107 -

    (

    )

  • ,

    ( ) , , ,

    ,

    - ,

    ,

    - , ,

    , ,

    -

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    - , ,

    ,

    ,

    ,

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    / ()

    - , , , ,

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    - /

    -

    - 108 -

    (

    )

  • , /, ,

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    /

    //

    ,

    /, / *

    * / :

    ,

    -

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    ,

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    - 109 -

    (

    )

  • , ,

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    , , ,

    * :

    , /

    / ( )

    , ,

    /

    //

    ,

    //

    ( )

    - 110 -

    (

    )

  • ()

    ,

    1

    - 111 -

    (

    )

  • ( ) , ,

    ,

    , ,

    * :

    - 112 -

    (

    )

  • 5. (5)(10/15)

    (5 ) (10/15)

    /

    /

    ()

    ,

    /

    /

    ( )

    / /

    -

    ///

    GPS+

    4G

    +(2D) ( 5)

    /

    3

    5 /

    (+)

    GPS++ SLAM

    (+IMU) SLAM

    5G

    +(2.5D)+ ( 10)

    5G

    +(3D)+ ( )

    /

    /

    ( )

    - 113 -

    (

    )

  • (5 ) (10 ) (15 )

    /

    /

    3

    //

    2.5

    /

    /

    // //

    3

    / //

    / /

    // //

    3

    / //

    6

    60%

    3D

    7,8 (, )

    ()

    9 ( )

    3D

    3D

    ()*

    * () : - - x, y ,

    ,

    (UGV) /

    (UGV/UAV) /

    - 114 -

    (

    )

  • (5 ) (10/15)

    ,

    (, )

    ( )

    ()

    (, )

    ,

    , ,

    * :

    () , ,

    ()

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    ()

    () ,

    ()

    ()

    ()

    ()

    ()

    () /

    ()

    - 115 -

    (

    )

  • < >

    /

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    8

    9 LIG

    10

    11 KNR

    12

    13

    14 FRT

    15

    - 116 -

    (

    )

  • - 117 -

    (

    )

  • (

    )

  • - - - - () - -

    2)

    - - - -

    1.

    1),

    , ,

    . ,

    ()

    / - (Cognitive/Physical HRI)

    * 1) KS B ISO 8373:2012 : 2.11

    , , , ,

    IFR (Robots for domestic tasks),

    (Entertainment robots), (Elderly and handcap

    assistance), (Personal transportation),

    (Home security & surveillance), (Other personal

    domestic robots)

    - 119 -

    (

    )

  • , , - - - - - -

    - - - - -

    * 2)

    , ,

    ,

    (, ,

    )

    2.

    `15 (`14 164) 9.7% 179

    6 13%

    - 12.3%

    - (14 21) 3.8% 22 6 33%

    < () >

    (: )

    2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

    636 1,224 1,704 2,134 2,216 33%

    : World Robotics 2016(IFR, )

    - 120 -

    (

    )

  • - () , 0.9% 12

    - () / 7% 10

    - ( & ) 34.4% 0.17

    < >

    unit $1,000

    14 15 15/'14 14 15 15/'14

    4,672,034 5,433,248 16.3% 2,134,224 2,216,177 3.8% 3,349,827 3,729,137 11.3% 1,162,055 1,172,589 0.9% 1,317,791 1,699,398 29.0% 959,660 1,026,772 7.0% & 4,416 4,713 6.7% 12,509 16,816 34.4%

    : World Robotics 2016(IFR, )

    IFR 2016 2019 4,200

    - ( )

    8,100 , 2016 2019

    IT ,

    - (Softbank) 2012 (Aldebaran) ,

    2014 (Pepper) , 2016.12

    1

    - (Google) 2013 10

    - 2015 11

    TRI(Toyota Research Institute) (

    2016 )

    - (Apple) , , ,

    - (Amazon) 14 , 16 2 ,

    (Alexa) (15.6), CES

    2017 , , ,

    CES

    , AIBO AIST

    - 121 -

    (

    )

  • PARO AI

    ,

    3~4

    - 2014 (Pepper) (Jibo)

    , Buddy, Zenbo, Alpa ,

    (), i(), (LG)

    2017 1 CES(The International Consumer

    Electronics Show) 2017

    - 262 346 ( ) (2016 102 117)

    (23%), (12%),

    (9%), (3%) 52%

    : CES 2017 , , 2017.2.

    ,

    - CES 2017 (SK), (), (

    ) (), ()

    27

    - : (16 CES) 6 (17 CES) 27

    - SK

    , , , ,

    - ,

    ,

    2014 7 (Gartner)

    , 5~10

    - (Connected Home),

    (Smart Advisor), UII(Wearable User Interface),

    (Gesture Control), (Speech Recognition) 2~10

    : Hyper Cycle for Emerging Technologies Maps, Gartner, 2014.7.

    - 122 -

    (

    )

  • 15 3.9 (14 33) 17%

    - 3,256 8.2%

    - 0.3% , 6

    2.5%

    < ( ) >

    (: )

    2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

    2,946 3,202 2,973 3,247 3,256 2.5%

    : 2015 ()

    - 1,754 54.7% , ,

    < >

    (: )

    175,448 54.7%

    8,595 2.7%

    33,594 10.5%

    95,557 29.8%

    7,446 2.3%

    : 2015 ()

    3.

    - .

    -

    .

    - 123 -

    (

    )

  • ()

    POWERbot

    (, )

    , ,

    ,

    (, )

    eX500

    (, ), ,

    (LG, ), ,

    (, ) ,

    (, ),

    (, )

    :

    ()

    - ,

    . , ,

    - 124 -

    (

    )

  • ()

    PEPPER(, )

    , , ,

    , 2 ,

    , ,

    Care-o-bot 4(Fraunhofer, )

    , , ,

    ,

    JIBO(JIBO, )

    , ,

    , 2

    ZENBO(ASUS, )

    , , , IoT

    , ,

    BUDDY(Blue Frog

    Robotics, )

    , , ,

    ,

    TAPIA(MJI Robotics,

    )

    , 1 , ,

    ,

    KURI(Mayfield

    Robotics, )

    , ,

    , IoT

    MykieBosch ()

    ,

    ,

    Hub BotLG ()

    IoT ,

    , 2

    IJINIIPL ()

    ,

    ()

    , , ,

    :

    - 125 -

    (

    )

  • -

    ,

    ()

    Sota

    (Vstone/NTT, )

    ,

    PARO

    (, )

    , ,

    , ,

    The Autom Robot

    (Intuitive Automata,

    )

    ,

    Pillo

    (Pillo Health, )

    , ,

    , IoT

    Mabu

    (Catalia Health, )

    ,

    ,

    (, )

    (, )

    ,

    ,

    3

    (, )

    ,

    :

    - 126 -

    (

    )

  • ()

    (Hanson Robotics,

    )

    ,

    , ,

    Dash/Dot

    Wonder (Workshop,

    )

    .

    Cell Robot

    (CellRobot, )

    .

    Leka

    (Leka, )

    Ozobot

    (Evollve, )

    ,

    KUBO

    (KUBO Robots,

    )

    Marvik

    (DJI, )

    , , ,

    ,

    (, )

    , , LED

    , 2

    ,

    (SK, )

    (, )

    ()/ ,

    -

    - 127 -

    (

    )

  • ( (KEIT PD Issue Report, 2016.9.) )

    -

    , ,

    -

    ,

    -

    , , ,

    ,

    - (Cortana)

    AI

    -

    , .

    MS

    - ,

    -

    - (Andew Ng)

    1 74.8%

    2012 6

    - ,

    2014 3

    . 97.25% .

    -

    HRI

    - Hanson Robotics() HRI

    - 128 -

    (

    )

  • - HRP

    , ,

    - MIT () ,

    (Kismet, Leonardo, Tofu)

    - USC()

    Sparky

    Bandit

    - () ,

    ,

    - IBM 1997

    ,

    Watson

    - Watson 20112

    , 1

    - Watson

    , 1 80 1 100

    . 2011 10

    2015 4

    - Watson , ,

    - Pepper IBM Watson

    4.

    () 70~80% ,

    ,

    - 129 -

    (

    )

  • - ,

    - ,

    - Pepper, Jibo

    ,

    - ,

    - (Scratch)

    -

    ,

    - 130 -

    (

    )

  • ( )

    ()

    /

    (, , ,

    )

    IoT ( , )

    ( )

    /

    ,

    IoT (, )

    IoT

    (/ )

    AR/VR

    (/, /

    )

    AR/VR

    - 131 -

    (

    )

  • 5 10/15

    (,

    )

    -

    , ,

    -

    - (,)

    - , , ,

    -

    ,

    -

    -

    ,

    -

    (

    )

    - IoT

    ( )

    - DB

    -

    -

    ,

    -

    -

    - VR/AR

    //

    -

    -

    , /

    /

    - , ,

    ,

    5. (5)(10/15)

    - 132 -

    (

    )

  • /

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    8

    9

    10 DIGIST

    11

    12 SK

    13 /

    14

    15

    < >

    - 133 -

    (

    )

  • (

    )

  • - 135 -

    (

    )

  • (

    )

  • 1.

    , ,

    () , ,

    /

    , (HRI)

    - ( ) , ,

    , , localization, , , ,

    - ( )

    - 137 -

    (

    )

  • , ,

    , , , HRI

    - ()

    ,

    ,

    ,

    ,

    , , FPGA,

    - 138 -

    (

    )

  • 2.

    () , ,

    () 7

    -

    * 30% Maxon(tm)

    5

    * 103 (Markets and Markets, 2015)

    () , 27 161 (IDTechEx, 2016.12)

    - 16 0.9 27 57, 16 1.8 27 69

    * 16 1,235 12%

    (BCC, 2017). (24%)

    (18%)

    () 20 7% (Research and Markets, 2016.10)

    * ABB, FANUC, KUKA, Yaskawa Electric ,

    18 130

    15 9,347 53.2%

    - 15 (4,414), (617

    ), (1,039), (946)

    * 15 4,836 14(3,196) 51.3% ,

    1,558 (1,780) 12.5%

    - 139 -

    (

    )

  • < 2016 >

    ( : )

    103,897 98,380 98,380 -

    441,445 474,920 463,588 11,332

    94,646 95,231 89,573 5,658

    61,731 66,084 65,191 893

    70,717 70,717 65,217 5,500

    162,278 155,372 142,589 12,782

    934,713 960,704 924,538 36,165

    : 2015 , , 2017

    ,

    - ,

    (75%) 1

    (MIZUHO BANK, `15.3)

    < >

    ( : )

    2011 2012 2013 2014 `13

    1,909 1,829 2,223 3,409 53.3%

    79 120 207 265 28.3%

    1,877 1,627 2,354 1,978 16.0%

    = -+ 3,707 3,336 4,370 5,122 17.2%

    -/) 49.4% 51.2% 46.1% 61.4% -

    : 2014 , KIRIA, `15.10 ()

    - 140 -

    (

    )

  • 3.

    () 2D 3D (feature)

    (, ,

    )

    - (Kinect) 3D

    ,

    * , Picking RGB , ToF

    *

    * ,

    Stereo, ToF, /

    - /

    ()

    * Opto-Force, Robotous

    * - Laser

    Depth,

    - KIVA

    SLAM

    * SLAM , SLAM

    SLAM , ,

    - ,

    , 3D , SLAM

    * / , SLAM

    ()

    - 141 -

    (

    )

  • -

    ,

    * Maxon

    * Kollmorgen Hygienic stainless steel washdown motor(IP69K,

    EHEDG, 3A sanitary standard )

    - ,

    Smart Actuator"

    * , , Vision

    IT

    - Inovance, Estun

    Automation, HNC

    Inovance10 15

    Estun Automation

    AC ,

    HNC'12 AC , 15

    -

    * HDS

    /

    - ,

    , ,

    ,

    *

    () ,

    IoT ,

    - , Nexcom, Keba, Beckoff

    Soft

    - 142 -

    (

    )

  • Motion

    * Keba

    * Beckhoff, Nexcom IoT

    / S/W . ,Beckhoff

    Twincat

    *

    - ,

    ,

    *

    o , , 5

    (2016-2020) (16 3)

    - , *

    ,

    * : , , , , 5

    * Leader Harmornic Drive

    - 143 -

    (

    )

  • (~) (~)

    3D

    3D

    ( )

    /

    /

    - 144 -

    (

    )

  • Vellodyne()/SIck() Pulse Laser TOF 2D, 3D

    LIDAR

    FLIR/GOODRICH() SWIR

    Intel() 3D ,

    Schunk() DLR FT

    OptoForce()

    Tekscan() FSR(Force Sensing Resistor) , PPS(Pressure Profile

    Systems) capacitive sensing

    RoboDrive()

    BLDC

    Maxon()/MINIMOTOR()

    DC, BLDC , , Network One B/D

    Controller

    () Wave Generator, Flexspline, Circular Splin

    DUNKER MOTOR() Package

    SynqNet(), Mechatro- link(),

    Beckhoff()

    ,

    Elmo() /

    KEBA() , ,

    NEXCOM()

    - 145 -

    (

    )

  • () 2D 3D . / 3D

    , Intel 3D OEM

    ()

    ToF 3D

    SW

    ()

    ()

    , /

    () DC , , Network

    Package

    ()

    BLDC, FA

    SPG

    IGB

    RST

    , ,

    ,

    ,

    RS PLC, ,

    , ,

    - 146 -

    (

    )

  • 4.

    ,

    -

    -

    ( )

    ,

    - ,

    /

    * / ( ,

    , 16bit ),

    *

    *

    * Industry 4.0 , IoT(Internet of Things)

    ,

    * , SW

    -

    ,

    * ,

    ( ) ,

    ,

    * ,

    * 3

    - 147 -

    (

    )

  • ( ) , ,

    *

    *

    ( ) , , /

    - ,

    * ,

    *

    , ,

    Non-programming

    ( ) ,

    ,

    * , /

    * , /

    * ,

    *

    ( )

    * , ,

    * , SW

    * IoT,

    - 148 -

    (

    )

  • 5. (5)(10/15) (5) (10) (15)

    /

    /

    3rd Hand

    Side by Side

    //

    & /

    /

    /

    /

    ,

    /

    (, )

    /

    /

    (., , )

    /

    (, , )

    /

    //

    - 149 -

    (

    )

  • /

    1 KETI

    2 KETI

    3

    4 TM

    5

    6

    7 THK

    8 IGB

    9 SBB

    10 RSA

    11

    12

    < >

    - 150 -

    (

    )

  • S/W

    - 151 -

    (

    )

  • (

    )

  • 1.

    ,

    , , , IoT

    IT

    1)

    ( ) ( )

    (: , , PLC, OLP )

    , , , IoT , , HRI, , (: , )

    = +

    1) . ,

    - 153 -

    (

    )

  • ,

    , ,

    -

    -

    ,

    (OLP)

    2)

    -

    - IoT

    - ,

    - , ,

    //

    - /

    , Cycle Time ,

    2) HRI, ,

    - 154 -

    (

    )

  • , / ,

    -

    , /

    - -

    , -, -

    -

    ,

    2.

    - ,

    ,

    -

    ,

    PLC CoDeSys TwinCAT

    OpenRTM ,

    , ROS OPRoS

    ROS

    - 155 -

    (

    )

  • - ,

    ISO TC299 WG6

    -

    ,

    -

    (Siemens()

    PD/PS Dassault() V6 Robotics)

    4M3)

    // ,

    , ,

    2000

    ,

    -

    .

    20 61

    * () 15 12 20 61 38.43%

    * () 15 7% 840 20, 10%, 6 5

    : ETRI , 2016-02, R&D

    , ]

    - 15

    1 1 (1,250 ) 22 33 (3 7500 )

    60% , 1

    : MarketsandMarkets, Collaborative Robots Market by Payload (Up to 5 Kg, Up to 10 Kg, &

    Above 10 Kg), Application, Industry and Geography Global Forecast to 2022, 2016

    3) 4M : Man, Machine, Material, Method

    - 156 -

    (

    )

  • - 17 120,136 10.5%

    : Global Insight, Global Industry analysis, ABI Research, IMS

    - ()

    ,

    ,

    - ILSVRC4)

    ,

    R&D

    - , ,

    ,

    - , ,

    , Hard-coded controller

    , ,

    ,

    4) ILSVRC : ImageNet Large Scale Visual Recognition Challenge

    - 157 -

    (

    )

  • -

    , ,

    /

    -

    , ,

    -

    ,

    .

    -

    3D CAD

    ,

    3.

    OMG 16 Hardware Abstraction

    Layer for Robotic Technology HW

    , HW

    - 158 -

    (

    )

  • ISO 13849, ISO 12100, ISO/TS 15066, IEC 61508, IEC62601

    ,

    - ISO 13849 IEC 61508, IEC62601

    (security)

    ROS 2.0

    OMG OPRoS life cycle

    - ROS-industry ROS 1.0

    - AB RobotStudio

    .

    -

    ,

    ,

    - 8~12

    , ,

    -

    , Cycle

    Time , ,

    ,

    - 159 -

    (

    )

  • ,

    ,

    3D , VR(Virtual Reality)

    -

    , ,

    ()

    CMU 700 5

    UC Berkeley

    CNN

    ,

    GPS(Guided Policy Search)

    -

    ()

    -

    - 160 -

    (

    )

  • ,

    - ROS

    ,

    ROS Plan, Semantic Robot

    Description Language

    ROS

    ,

    - ,

    - ,

    .

    Aerospace Lab AMPLE,

    MOMDPs, MIT Grasping POMDPs

    ,

    , ,

    - ,

    , , ,

    -

    ,

    - EU FP7 2009 4 RoboEarth

    , ,

    - 161 -

    (

    )

  • , RoboEarth

    - Bremen , ,

    KnowRob

    ,

    .

    - DARPA KSE, Telecom JADE, ETRI CAMUS

    (KQML)

    (, )

    - 2003

    - DARPA5) DASADA6)

    2000 2002 USC7) ISI8) TBASSCO9)

    DASADA

    DASADA

    Phase II

    -

    /

    - ETRI

    , /,

    5) DARPA (Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency)6) DASADA (Dynamic Assembly for System Adaptability, Dependability, and Assurance)7) USC (University of Southern California)8) ISI (Information Sciences Institute)9) TBASSCO (Template-based Assurance of Semantic Interoperability in Software)

    - 162 -

    (

    )

  • 4.

    OLP

    -

    , ,

    PC DOS HW ,

    AUTOSAR

    , , ,

    - , , ,

    ,

    30 18 ,

    40/ 65/

    , / ,

    - ISO 13849

    ,

    - 163 -

    (

    )

  • -

    ,

    ,

    -

    ,

    , ,

    -

    - -- IT

    - 164 -

    (

    )

  • (1)

    - ISO

    () , ,

    . CoDeSys

    , ,

    ()

    , (, VR )

    . (manipulation)

    , (mobility) ,

    .

    -

    () OPRoS, OpenRTM

    , ROS

    , OPRoS

    ()

    ,

    .

    ,

    .

    ISO 13849

    10)

    - ISO13849

    () OPRoS, OpenRTM

    10) : Average probability of dangerous failure per hour

    - 165 -

    (

    )

  • ,

    .

    . ROS ISO 13849

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    : ISO 13482(robots and robotic devices - Safety requirements for service

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    - ISO TC299 WG3 (Industrial safety)

    : ISO 10218 ISO TS 15066(Robots and robotic devices - Collaborative robots) (2016) ISO/NP TR 20218-1( - Part 1: Industrial robot system

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    : ISO 18646-1(Robotics - Performance criteria and related test methods for

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    Part 2: Navigation Part 3: Manipulation - ISO TC299 WG6 (Modularity for service robots)

    - 186 -

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    : IEC/CD 80601-2-78(Medical electrical equipment - Part 2-78: Particular requirements

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    IEC

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    IEC TC59(Performance of household and similar electrical appliances)

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    - IEEE P1873(Standard for Robot Map Data Representation for Navigation)

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