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Source: PIDA, 2007
2008116
Source: PIDA, 2007
Optics:
(Optics)(Photonics)
()
Photonics :
Source: PIDA, 2007
()
Source: PIDA, 2007
? ? ?
? ?
Business Model?
Source: PIDA, 2007
IntroductoryStage
GrowthStage
MaturityStage Decline Stage
TotalMarketSales
Product Life Cycle
Source: PIDA, 2007
TN/STN/TFT-LCD, PDP, OLED, , , FED
TN/STN/TFT-LCD, PDP, OLED, , , FED
LED, LD, CCD, CMOS, PD, Solar Cell
LED, LD, CCD, CMOS, PD, Solar Cell
Source: PIDA, 2007
Optical Amplifier, Switch, OADM, Transceiver
Connector, Coupler, WDM
CD (Audio), DVD (Video)
CD-R Disc, CD-RW Disc, MD Disc, DVD-R Disc, DVD-Rewritable Disc
DVD Player, DVD Recorder
CD-ROM Drive, CD-RW Drive, DVD-ROM Drive, DVD-Rewritable Drive, Combo Drive
TN/STN/TFT-LCD(LED Display)(VFD)(PDP)(OLED)(FED)(Projectors)
PD(CCD)(CIS)(Solar Cell)CMOSCIS
(LD)
Source: PIDA, 2007
IntroductoryStage
GrowthStage
MaturityStage Decline Stage
TotalMarketSales
CD-R/RW Discs
DVD Recorder
HD-DVD
Portable DVD Player DVD Recordable
Discs
IntroductoryStage
GrowthStage
MaturityStage
DeclineStage
CD Audio Player
Video CD Player
CD-ROM
CD-RW
DVD-ROM
DVD Rewritable
DVD Audio Player
Combo
Product Life Cycle
DVD Video Player
Pre-recorded Discs
:
Source: PIDA, 2007
Business Road Map
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
OLEDLEDBlue LDVCSELCMOS sensorBio chipPDPFED
: PIDA 2007
Source: PIDA, 2007
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
400,000
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
2005 2006 2007
2,196 10% 2,755 25% 10% 4,332 57% 14%
22,705 32% 25,220 13% 34% 29,952 19% 35%
2,579 3% 2,728 7% 3% 3,203 17% 4%
7,222 17% 7,276 2% 16% 7,550 4% 16%
284 1% 334 19% 1% 400 20% 1%
827 6% 838 3% 5% 926 11% 5%
35,814 13% 39,150 9% 13% 46,363 18% 15%
15%
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
2005
1.5
: PIDA 2007
Source: PIDA, 2007
1 TFT-LCD 762,835 191% PDP -100%
2 105 ,764 49% TN/STN-LCD -35%
3 96,571 23% -13%
4 DSC 70,137 22% OLED -11%
5 TN/STN-LCD 51,953 TFT-LCD 19% -10%
6 (LED) 42,863 19% -6%
7 24,799 CMOS 15% -2%
8 24,275 (LED) 14% VFD -1%
9 17,103 13%
10 17,008 11%
2006
1.295% : PIDA 2007
Source: PIDA, 2007
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008
LEDLED
19901990
FPD FPD 2121
19961996
20052005
1984~2008
: PIDA 2007
Source: PIDA, 2007
---10
3%
1%
9%
24%
21%
42%2006
$1,278,063
2000
$334,387
30%
FPD
1995~2006
26%
39%
1%
1%
33%
1995
$99,865
64%
7%
19%
7%
2%
1%
: PIDA 2007
Source: PIDA, 2007
hats the next?
FTTH / Access
LEDLCDCD/DVDCCD/CMOS Sensor
Energy
LightingLED
Bio-Photonics
HDTVDVD
: PIDA 2007
Source: PIDA, 2007
200745014%
CAGR- 48%FPDLED
5
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
50,000
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007(f)
: PIDA 2007
Source: PIDA, 2007
LED
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
Japan 2,987 3,337 3,637 3,964 4,281
U.S 845 709 851 1,022 1,226
Europe 666 1,106 1,181 1,350 1,546
Korea 613 750 931 1,111 1,282
Taiwan 1,164 1,313 1,445 1,589 1,732
China 425 534 695 853 1,089
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
LED
LED
LED
LED / LD
LED
2007LED10%17%LED
: PIDA 2007
Source: PIDA, 2007
LED
Source: PIDA, 2007
LED
: PIDA 2007
Source: PIDA, 2007
LED
(20mA)
LED
LED
LEDLED
LEDLED
: PIDA 2007
Source: PIDA, 2007
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
020,00040,00060,00080,000100,000120,000140,000160,000180,000200,000
43 76 175 565 1,095 1,783 2,716 5,839 17,008 60,817 117,859 178,378
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
MW
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2006 2007 2008
Wafer Cell Module
MW
4CAGR- 135%200760020062.616%2008
8 15 19
: PIDA 2007
Source: PIDA, 2007
FPD
0
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
1,200,000
1,400,000
OLED 2,448 3,781 3,206 3,856 4,253 5,126
VFD 6,060 5,199 5,148 5,166 5,158 5,168
PDP 2,813 1,134 0 0 0 0
LCDTFT 485,560 640,264 787,305 925,804 1,081,267 1,223,557
LCDTNSTN 55,019 79,986 50,984 42,081 34,928 29689
2004 2005 2006 2007(E) 2008(F) 2009(F)
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
LCDTNSTN 32.0% 63.2% 60.3% 67.6% 64.7% 75.3%
LCDTFT 31.3% 34.8% 41.1% 41.5% 42.6% 43.6%
PDP 1.9% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
VFD 30.0% 27.3% 27.0% 26.5% 25.4% 24.6%
OLED 21.2% 27.0% 28.3% 24.5% 17.1% 13.7%
Microdisplay 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FPD 28.2% 32.5% 35.0% 35.4% 36.6% 37.9%
2004 2005 2006 2007(E) 2008(F) 2009(F)
FPD
TFTTFT LCD41%
TFT LCD
iPhonePhoto Frame
: PIDA 2007
Source: PIDA, 2007
::
Atomic Force MicroscopyRaman SpectromicroscopyTime-resolved Fluorescence SpectromicroscopyPhotonic Force MicroscopyPhase DifferenctialPolarization Laser MicroscopyLive cell imaging systemGene / Chromosome imagingOptical tweezersConfocal MicroscopyIntraval Microscopyu-PET / U-CTX-ray MicroscopyMRIFluorescence imagingFunctional NIR imagingOptical coherence tomographyUltrafast imagingDiffuse optical Tomography SystemBioluminescent imagingCT Laser Mammography
LLLT
: PIDA 2007
Source: PIDA, 2007
LED
LED
LED
LED/LD
Roll-to-Roll
CNT-FED CNT
Roll-to-Roll
Source: PIDA, 2007
Source: PIDA, 2007
Trend of Demand and Gain
year
year1960 1999 2005
Dem
andG
ain
1980
Source: PIDA, 2007
The Road Not Taken
I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference.
Robert Frost (18741963). Mountain Interval. 1920.
Source: PIDA, 2007
Source: PIDA, 2007
Thank you for your attention