2014 NRA Annual Convention Rancho Mirage Oct 24, 2014 · Export(of(Rendered(Proteins(to(China-----China-Rendered-Animal-Protein-Imports-2007—2013--(Unit:T)Years Australian Uruguay$

2014 NRA Annual Convention Rancho Mirage Oct 24, 2014

China

The situa,on of Chinese feed industry in 2013 �  The total production of meat, egg and dairy products was estimated to be 85.4 million MT, 28.8 million MT and 35.3 million MT, respectively.

�  The total production of feed in 2013 is 193 million MT including complete feeds, concentrate feeds and premix.

�  The total feed production for hogs, layers, broilers, aquaculture species and ruminant were 84.1 million, 30.4 million, 49.5 million, 18.6 million, and 7.9 million, respectively.

�  Ferret, 20 million; fox, 12 million; raccoon dogs 800,000 heads-‐Fur bearing animal feeds ~1 million

�  Pet food production was 650,000 MT. �  Fish meal import was 903,655 MT, 25.8% increase over 2012.

22.5

20.7

12.9

10.9

11.5

10.8

10.3

10.2

Top Feed Producers (million MT)

Forecast of Chinese Livestock, Aquaculture and Feed Industries

Chinese Nutrition and Dietetics Guideline (gram per capta per day)

l  Fats & Oils: 25 g l  Milk, yogurt et al.: 100 g l  Soy products: 50 g l  Chicken, pork, beet: 50-100 g l  Seafood: 50 g l  Eggs: 25-50 g l  Vegetable: 400-500 g l  Fruits: 100-200 g l  Wheat, rice, grains: 200-500 g l  Water: 1200 ml

Foodstuff Demand Per capta

(kg)

Nation demand (mmt)

Consumption per

capta (kg)

Production in 2013

(mmt)

Grains 73-‐182.5 99.3-‐248.3 152 Rice 203.3

Vegetable 146-‐182.5 198.7-‐248.3 Wheat 121.7

Fruits 36.5-‐73 4966.63-‐9933.26 Corn 217.8

Meat 18.25-‐36.5 2483.31-‐4966.63 54↑ Meat 85.4

Seafood 18.25 2483.31 26↑ Fishes 45.5

Eggs 9.13-‐18.25 1241.66-‐2483.31 17↑ Eggs 28.8

Dairy 36.5 4966.63 30 Dairy 35.3

Soy 18.25 2483.31 Soy 12.8 (2012)

Fats Oils 9.13 1241.66 3059

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

China India Brazil Russia USA Japan

Meat Consumption per capta (Kg)

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20


Egg Consumption per capta (Kg)

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70


Seafood Consumption per capta (Kg)

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14


Freshwater Consumption per capta (Kg)

0

50

100

150

200

250

300


Dairy Consumption per capta (Kg)

� Will Chinese livestock, aquaculture and feed industries grow continuously or stay steady?

� How about US animal by-‐product export to China?

Market Access of Poultry Proteins to China

Registration with MOA �  25 licenses of poultry meal and feather meal

Registration with AQSIQ �  Questionnaire issues update: one passed, inspection was required for the

other �  Suspension of registration of one NRA member �  Ban over VA lifted, ban casted over CA �  Progresses with negotiations on low-‐path AI states

Adulteration and Risk �  Coordination with APHIS on certified applicants of health certificates

Market Access of Porcine Proteins to China

Registration with MOA �  10 licenses of porcine proteins

AQSIQ’s Actions for PEDv �  Update epidemiology of PEDs in AQSIQ website �  Banned live pigs import from the US �  Porcine protein export to China resumed!!!

Registration with AQSIQ �  New export facilities and facilities with new names are pending

Export of Rendered Proteins to China China Rendered Animal Protein Imports 2007—2013 (Unit:T)

Years Australian Uruguay U.S. New

Zealand

Totals

2007 5471 6478 12363 392 24704

2008 35226 27527 1441 1056 65250

2009 27932 49452 -‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐

2010 71888 49353 8751 -‐-‐-‐ 129992

2011 38392 38733 11117 4375 92617

2012 10877 34641 23421 7958 76896

2013 12723 33916 54300 13940 114879

Data Source: China Feed Online

Poultry & Porcine Protein Export China � Export of Non-‐Ruminant Protein to China will grow in 2015

� Chinese market will sustain price of US non-‐ruminant protein meals and even increase after aquaculture season starts

� Two NRA members produce non-‐ruminant organic fertilizer products

� AQSIQ Registration Procedure Established � Plant-‐by-‐plant inspection required � Registration with Provinces is required before distribution in certain provinces of China

Market Access of Organic Fer,lizer Originated from Non-‐Ruminant Sources to China

Market Access of Ruminant Proteins to China

Bovine Serum for Industrial uses �  Fetal serum, calf serum from the US is allowed

Bovine Plasma for feed uses �  Ban over US ruminant blood protein was lifted. �  AQSIQ will send a delegation for observation and bilateral negotiation in

Dec.

Ruminant MBM �  AQSIQ will send a delegation for observation

Tallow Market Access � Ban over US and Canadian tallow lifted in 2010 � AQSIQ Delegation observed and negotiated in 2013 � Bilateral agreement reached in 2014 � Questionnaire and plant registration required � Designated facilities required

Market Access of Beef Tallow to China

Tallow Export to China China Tallow Imports 2008—2014 (Unit:T)

Years Australia

New Zealand Uruguay Taiwan Sweden

United Kingdo

m Japan Canada Totals

2008 262,149 109,516 350 0 0 0 0 0 372,015

2009 218,607 105,199 217 0 0 0 0 0 324,023

2010 222,625 97,269 7,070 22 0 0 0 0 326,986

2011 194,854 77,551 200 0 0 18 18 0 272,641

2012 111,073 92,368 1,402 0 29 0 0 0 204,872

2013 73,151 45,938 12,029 0 0 0 0 0 131,118

2014(1-‐9) 47,628 55,022 5,896 18 0 0 427 108,991

Data Source: Global Trade Atlas

Edible Tallow & Non-‐Ruminant Fats – New Projects for China!

Indonesia � Total feed production 15.1 million MT in 2013, a 7.8% increase over 2012

� Total aquafeed 1.3 million MT in 2013 � Broiler and layer increases about 6-‐8 % from the previous year.

� The largest overseas market for US animal protein meals

Livestock Feed Consumption 2013

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014* 2015**

9.8 9.9 11.3 12.9

13.8 15.2

16.7

000.000 MT

2014* : Target 2015** : Target

Aqua Feed Consumption 2013

000 MT

0

400

800

1,200

1,600

2,000

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014* 2015*

995 1,026 1,145 1,235

1,381 1,519

1,671

2014* : Target 2015** : Target

Feedmills Distribution

Feed Mill Capacity and DistributionProvince

Number of Plant Capacity2011 2012 2011 2012

North Sumatera 8 8 2000 2250Lampung 4 4 1000 1500West Sumatera 1 1 250 250Banten 11 11 3250 3500DKI Jakarta 4 4 750 750West Java 8 8 1500 2000Central Java 6 6 1000 1500East Java 18 20 5000 5250South Sulawesi 4 5 1000 1250South Kalimantan 1 1 250 250

TOTAL 65 68 16000 18500

*x000 MT per Year

Indonesian President Yoko Widodo

New Policies on Livestock and US Animal Protein Trade

�  Joko Widodo sworn in as president on Oct 20, 2014 � Ministry of Food Sovereignty-‐ merger of Ministry of Agriculture and Ministry of Fisheries

� Minister to be assigned, DG of LHS remains unknown � Minimization of food import and establish food sovereignty

�  Implementation of feed control � Continuous and increased import of rendered protein meals from the US is expected

� Emergence and development of swine sector in Indonesia?

Vietnam � Total feed production 12 million MT

� Total aquafeed production 3. 3 million MT

� Market Open for Ruminant Blood meal

� Market access of US MBM is under discussion

Thailand •  Activities •  Plans

Thailand Feed Industry (tmt)

�  Feed production was almost 16.3 million tons in 2013, an increase of

5.2% compared to 2012.

Swine Feed

Layer Feed

Broiler Feed

Aquatic Feed

Other Feeds Total

4,960 2,480 5,735 775 1,550 15500

Market Access Update � DLD established bilateral agreement with APHIS on import requirements on non-‐ruminant protein meal export

� DLD approved 4 poultry rendering plants, 4 porcine rendering plant and 2 porcine plasma plants for NRA members

� DLD “approved” one beef packer renderer to be export to Thailand.

Malaysia

• 5 million MT feed production per year

• 55 million broiler • 40 million layer in stock • 200-300 thousand swine

Malaysia-‐New Des8ny of MBM

Cambodia � New destinies for MBM

Documents

2014 NRA Annual Convention Rancho Mirage Oct 24, 2014 · Export(of(Rendered(Proteins(to(China-----China-Rendered-Animal-Protein-Imports-2007—2013--(Unit:T)Years Australian Uruguay$