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5/19/2018 7SteveKirbySasok-slidepdf.com http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/7-steve-kirby-sasok 1/21  Estimation Steve Kirby Sasok Ltd DEA(e) Q210 Meeting, 3rd & 4th June 2010, Hamburg

7 Steve Kirby Sasok

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decommissioning cost estimation

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  • Well Decommissioning CostWell Decommissioning Cost Estimation

    Steve KirbySasok Ltd

    DEA(e) Q210 Meeting, 3rd & 4th June 2010, Hamburg

  • ObjectivesObjectives

    Oil & G k d l i ll Oil & Gas UK Workgroup 5 are developing a well decommissioning cost estimation tool.

    Why? To provide a simple, auditable and common p p

    approach. To assist withTo assist with

    accounting liability asset transferasset transfer securitisations

  • CaveatsCaveats

    Not a tool for AFE level estimates it can be made more detailed as COP approachespp

    It is aimed at field level assessmentsl f i l ll i not a tool for single well review

    It only concerns well decommissioning costsy g it does not consider additional post COP costs

    it does not consider well decommissioning it does not consider well decommissioning phasing

  • UK LegislationUK Legislation

    P t l A t 1998 ( d d b th E Bill Petroleum Act 1998 (amended by the Energy Bill2002)

    the obligation for decommissioning offshore the obligation for decommissioning offshore infrastructure is on the owners.

    includes protection against default on p gdecommissioning.

    Companies have to formally assess their d l b l (decommissioning liabilities (asset retirement obligations) as part of normal accounting processA d t i d i i i Accuracy needs to increase as decommissioning date approaches.

  • Accounting StandardsAccounting Standards

    Th t FAS 143 (US) FRS 12 (UK) The most common are FAS 143 (US), FRS 12 (UK) and IAS 37.

    Likely costs should be based on Likely costs should be based on: current costs of performing the proposed

    abandonment ORabandonment , OR justifiable future costs of performing the proposed

    abandonment. The cost estimate may include development of a

    completely new technology. if it is supported by sufficient objective evidence.

    Cost estimates are projected to the date of COP

  • Cost of Well AbandonmentCost of Well Abandonment

    The cost of well abandonment depends on a number of factors: Abandonment Complexity of the well

    Location of well (platform subsea land) Location of well (platform, subsea, land) Duration of operations Rig rate / Spread rate

  • GuidelinesGuidelines

    hi id li ll i f ll This guideline proposes allocation of wells according to two factors: Abandonment complexity

    Abandonment ComplexityTYPE 0 TYPE 1 TYPE 2 TYPE 3 TYPE 4TYPE 0 TYPE 1 TYPE 2 TYPE 3 TYPE 4

    No work required Simple well:

    Rigless Complex well:

    Rigless Simple well:

    Rig-based Complex well:

    Rig-based

    P&A Phases

    well P&A operations occur in several phases

    P&A PhasesPhase Description

    1 Reservoi r abandonment 2 Intermediate hole section2 Intermediate hole section3 Surface casing/conductor/wellhead

  • Abandonment ComplexityMatrix

    TYPE 0 TYPE 1 TYPE 2 TYPE 3 TYPE 4No work requ ired

    Simple well; Rigless

    Comp lex well Rig less

    Simple well Rig-b ased

    Complex well Rig-based

    Well Complexity

    Platform Well(e g. wireline

    and pumping) (eg. tubing

    integrity issues, CT, HW U)

    (eg. pu ll tubing required)

    (eg. poor access, poor cement,

    pullin g casings, cement repairs)

    1 R i b d t

    Platform Well

    1 Reservoir abandonme nt

    2 Int ermediate hole section

    3 Surface casing/conductor/wellheadPh

    a

    s

    e

    W ll C l iTYPE 0 TYPE 1 TYPE 2 TYPE 3 TYPE 4

    No work requ ired

    Simple well; Rigless

    Comp lex well Rig less

    Simple well Rig-b ased

    Complex well Rig-based

    Subsea Well

    Well Complexity

    (eg. LWIV, wire line and

    pumping, riserless)

    (eg. HD-W IV, WL/pu mping /CT,

    riser)

    (eg. pu ll tubing required)

    (eg. poor access, poor cement,

    pullin g casings, cement repairs)

    1 Reservoir abandonme nt1 Reservoir abandonme nt2 Int ermediate hole section3 Surface casing/conductor/wellhead

    P

    h

    a

    s

    e

  • Example WellsExample Wells

    A l tf ll t b b d d th i ith A platform well, to be abandoned across the reservoir with CT , then intermediate P&A using a rig & no conductor to be removed, would be categorised as TYPE PL 2/3/0

    TYPE 0 TYPE 1 TYPE 2 TYPE 3 TYPE 4No work r equ ired

    Sim ple well ; R ig les s

    Com plex wel l R ig less

    S im ple wel l R ig-bas ed

    Com plex wel l R ig-bas ed

    1 Res ervoi r abandonm ent

    Well Complexity

    Platfo rm Well

    1 Res ervoi r abandonm ent x2 Interm edia te hole s ection x3 S ur face cas ing/conduc tor/wellhead xP

    h

    a

    s

    e

    A platform well already abandoned across the reservoir to A platform well, already abandoned across the reservoir, to have intermediate and surface P&A using rigless W/L & pumping services would be assigned as TYPE PL 0/1/1

    TYPE 0 TYPE 1 TYPE 2 TYPE 3 TYPE 4No work r equi red

    Sim ple well ; R ig les s

    Com plex wel l R ig less

    S im ple wel l R ig-bas ed

    Com plex wel l R ig-bas ed

    Well Complexity

    Platfo rm Well

    1 Res ervoi r abandonm ent x2 Interm ediate hole s ection x3 S ur face cas ing/conduc tor/wellhead xP

    h

    a

    s

    e

  • Well Abandonment Complexity Categorisation

    Si l P Simple Process Does the well contain downhole gauges?

    Does the well contain have ESP completion? Does the well contain have ESP completion? Is the well a multi-lateral? Any anomalies in construction? Any anomalies in construction? Any anomalies in operation?

    High level reviewHigh level review more detailed as COP approaches

    Make broad & documented assumptionsMake broad & documented assumptions more detailed as COP approaches

  • Duration of OperationsDuration of Operations

    Benchmarking internal and external data sources RushmoreReviews well abandonment database

    NPT / WOW NPT / WOW benchmarking estimates of NPT and WOW. establish degree of skew and determine P10, P50,

    P90 and Mean.

    inclusion / exclusion and assumptions to be stated

  • Phase Durations (example)Phase Durations (example)

    Platform Well (Days)Type 1 Simple

    Type 2 Complex

    Type 3 Simple

    Type 4 ComplexPlatform Well (Days) Simple

    RiglessComplex Rigless

    Simple Rig

    Complex Rig

    e

    1 Reservoir Abandonment 3 5 3 7

    P

    h

    a

    s

    e

    2 Intermediate Hole Section 3 6 5 9

    3 Surface casing/conductor/ wellhead 2 2 4 8

    Time build up and assumptions to be stated

    Time build up and assumptions to be stated

  • Skew DistributionSkew DistributionOverall Time Distribution

    0100.00 300.00 500.00 700.00 900.00 1100.00 1300.00

    Hours

    0.1

    0.2

    0.3Time

    P10

    0.4

    0.5

    0.6

    P

    e

    r

    c

    e

    n

    t

    i

    l

    e P50

    P90

    Mean

    0.7

    0.8

    0.9

    1

    The P50 value will be ~ 80% of the Mean or single duration. The P10 value will be ~60% of the Mean or single duration.

    1

    The P90 value will be ~150% of the Mean or single duration.

  • Equipment SpreadEquipment Spread

    Site/Installation t

    Type 1 Simple Rigless

    Type 2 Complex Type 3 Simple Rig

    Type 4 Complex Rigtype Simple Rigless

    pRigless Simple Rig Complex Rig

    Platform fixed rig Wireline, Pump spreadCT or HWU

    spread Modular Rig

    spreadModular Rig

    spread

    Site/Installation type (nominal currency per day)

    Type 1 Simple Rigless

    Type 2 Complex Rigless

    Type 3 Simple Rig

    Type 4 Complex Rig

    Platform fixed rig 25 000 35 000 55 000 55 000

    Platform fixed rig 25,000 35,000 55,000 55,000

    Equipment Spread can be used to directly determine Rig Rate / Spread Rate

    Cost build up and assumptions to be stated

  • Equipment SpreadEquipment Spread

    Site/Installation type

    Type 1 Simple Rigless

    Type 2 Complex Rigless

    Type 3 Simple Rig

    Type 4 Complex Rig

    O h l ti Wireline Pump CT or HWU Ri /h i t Ri /h i tOnshore location Wireline, Pump spreadCT or HWU

    spread Rig/hoist Rig/hoist

    Platform modular rig

    Wireline, Pump spread

    CT or HWU spread

    Modular Rig spread

    Modular Rig spread

    Pl tf fi d i Wireline, Pump CT or HWU Platform Rig Platform RigPlatform fixed rig Wireline, Pump spreadCT or HWU

    spreadPlatform Rig

    spreadPlatform Rig

    spread

    Platform jack-up Wireline, Pump spreadCT or HWU

    spread Jack-up spread Jack-up spread

    Subsea LWIV Spread HD LWIV Semi spread Semi spreadp p p

    Subsea - deep water Semi/drillship spreadSemi/drillship

    spreadSemi/drillship

    spreadSemi/dril lship

    spread

    Equipment Spread can be used to directly determine Rig Rate / Spread Rate

  • Spread Rate (example)Spread Rate (example) Equipment Spread can be used to directly determine Equipment Spread can be used to directly determine

    Rig Rate / Spread Rate

    Site/Installation type (nominal currency per day)

    Type 1 Simple Rigless

    Type 2 Complex Rigless

    Type 3 Simple Rig

    Type 4 Complex Rig

    Onshore location 5,000 10,000 35,000 35,000 Platform modular rig 25,000 35,000 55,000 55,000Platform fixed rig 25,000 35,000 55,000 55,000 Platform jack-up 70,000 90,000 110,000 110,000 Subsea 140,000 170,000 220,000 220,000

    Cost build up and assumptions to be stated

    Subsea - Deep water 300,000 300,000 300,000 300,000

    Cost build up and assumptions to be stated

  • Well CostWell Cost

    A l tf ll t b b d d th i ith CT A platform well, to be abandoned across the reservoir with CT then intermediate P&A using a rig & no conductor to be removed, would be categorised as TYPE PL 2/3/0

    Platform Well (Days) Type 1 Simple Rigless

    Type 2 Complex Rigless

    Type 3 Simple

    Rig

    Type 4 Complex

    Rig

    1 Reservoir Abandonment 3 5 3 7

    P

    h

    a

    s

    e

    2 Intermediate Hole Section 3 6 5 9

    3 Surface casing/conductor/ wellhead 2 2 4 8

    Site/Installation type

    (nominal currency per day) Type 1

    Simple Rigless Type 2

    Complex Rigless Type 3

    Simple Rig Type 4

    Complex Rig

    Platform fixed rig 25,000 35,000 55,000 55,000

    Abandonment cost =

    g

    5 days x 35,000 + 5 days x 55,000 = 450,000

  • Additional Project CostsAdditional Project Costs

    Need to recognise project costs / overheads

    mobilisation / demobilisationproject engineering project engineering

    rig refurbishment

    Cost build up and assumptions to be stated Cost build up and assumptions to be stated

  • Discount EffectDiscount Effect

    ll Well cost = 450,000 Discount @ 4% pa for 10 years = 299,174

    Well cost = 550,000 Discount @ 4% pa for 10 years = 365,657Discount @ 4% pa for 10 years 365,657

    Delta is 66,483F 22 ll j h d l i 1 5 illi For a 22 well project the delta is ~1.5 million

    Overall project cost 300 million (Miller project) Project delta 0.5%

  • SummarySummary

    Cl if ll b d t l it Classify wells on abandonment complexity criteria and assumptions to be stated

    D t i ti i Determine timings inclusions / exclusions assumptions to be stated

    d Determine spread rate equipment spread can be used to directly determine

    d tspread rate cost build up and assumptions to be stated

    Determine project cost Determine project cost recognise mobilisation / refurbishment costs

  • QuestionsQuestions

    Is it workable? What are the holes in the proposal?What are the holes in the proposal? What could we do better?