bài 5-S&I-hệ thống tài chính

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    NGUYN L KINH T HCPHN V M

    Tham kho: N.G. Mankiw, Nhng nguyn l ca Kinh t hc,

    chng 25

    12/2005Hoan Yen

    Bi 5 Tit kim / u tv H thng ti chnh

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    Nhng ni dung chnhI. Tit kim v u t

    II. H thng ti chnh

    III. Th trng vn vayIV. Cc chnh sch khuyn khch tit kim

    v u t

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    nh ngha: Tit kim l vic cc c nhn trong nn

    kinh t dng phn thu nhp khng tiu

    dng ht ca mnh cho vay trn th trngti chnh

    u t l vic cc hng kinh doanh dng

    tin (vay c trn th trng) m rngsn xut bng vic mua my mc thit bv nh xng

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    Quan h gia tit kim v u t

    H thng ti chnhTit kim u t

    Mua dy chuyn SXMy mc thit bNh, xng

    Thu nhptr i

    Tiu dng

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    Quan h gia tit kim v u t ng nht thc thu nhp v chi tiu trong

    nn kinh t ng Tng thu nhp bng tng chi tiu Tng thu nhp = Y Tng chi tiu = C + I + G Suy ra: Y = C + I + G Hay: Y C G = I

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    Quan h gia tit kim v u t Tit kim

    Sn = thu nhp chi tiu

    Sn = (Y T C) + (T G)Sn = SP + SG

    u t

    I = Y C G Suy ra:

    Sn = I

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    Quan h gia tit kim v u t Tit kim quc dn

    Sn = SP + SG Tit kim t nhn SP: l phn thu nhp m h gia

    nh khng tiu dng ht v cho vay trn th trngvn vay

    Tit kim ca chnh ph SG = T G l s d ngnsch chnh ph SG > 0: ngn sch thng d

    SG

    < 0: ngn sch thm ht

    S = 0: n n sch cn bn

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    Quan h gia tit kim v u t Sn = SP + SG = I

    Nu ngn sch chnh ph thm ht SG < 0 th

    SP>0 : chnh ph vay tin ca HG chi tiu

    hoc I < 0: gim bt u t ca khu vc t nhn

    Nu ngn sch chnh ph thng d SG

    >0 th

    SP 0: tng u t cho khu vc t nhn

    Ngoi ra: cc mi quan h khc da trn du ca ccthnh hn tron hn trnh

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    II. H thng ti chnh1. Tit kim v u t trong h thng ti

    chnh

    2. Th trng tri phiu v c phiu3. Trung gian ti chnh: ngn hng thng

    mi v qu h tng (qu u t)

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    1. Tit kim v u t

    trong h thng ti chnh

    Trc tip

    Trung gian

    Tit kim u t

    Mua dy chuyn SXMy mc thit bNh, xng

    Thu nhptr i

    Tiu dng

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    Tit kim u tH thng ti chnh

    Mua dy chuyn SXMy mc thit bNh, xng

    Thu nhptr i

    Tiu dng

    1. Tit kim v u t

    trong h thng ti chnh

    Trung gian

    tin

    C phiu

    Triphiu

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    2. Th trng c phiu v tri phiu Tri phiu:

    l mt loi chng nhn n ca ngi i vay (nh u t) ivi ngi cho vay (ngi tit kim)

    c im ch th pht hnh tri phiu c th l chnh ph, thnh ph,

    ngn hng, cng ty C mnh gi C li sut c xc nh theo

    Thi hn Ri ro tn dng

    C ghi danh hoc khng ghi danh

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    Tri phiu chnh ph: cng tri gio dc

    n v vay/pht hnh

    Li sut

    Mnh gi

    Thi hn

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    2. Th trng c phiu v tri phiu C phiu:

    l mt loi chng nhn quyn s hu i vi hng kinh

    doanh, c gi tr thay i tu theo kt qu hot ng kinhdoanh

    c im Doanh nghip pht hnh c phiu gi l cng ty c phn Ngi s hu c phiu c gi l c ng Khng c li sut c nh Khng c thi hn

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    2. Th trng c phiu v tri phiu So vi tri phiu, c phiu c li cao hn

    do: Thi hn di hn Ri ro tn dng ln hn kh nng sinh li ln hn

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    2. Th trng c phiu v tri phiu Cc thng tin v c phiu:

    Gi (ca c phiu) Lng (s lng c phiu c bn) C tc (li tr cho cc c ng)

    t l gi trn thu nhp t c phiu Phn tch ti chnh v hot ng kinh doanh

    ca ch th pht hnh c phiu

    Ngun: 14h00 ng 14/10/2004 U b n chng khon Nh nc www bsc com vn

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    Ngun: 14h00 ngy 14/10/2004, U ban chng khon Nh nc, www.bsc.com.vn

    AGF CTCP Xut nhp khu Thy sn An Giang 36 310 111,600,000BBC CTCP bnh ko Bin Ha 16.6 3,806 1,291,314,000BBT CTCP Bng Bch Tuyt 11.3 1,868 211,084,000

    BPC CTCP Bao b Bm Sn 17 135 22,950,000BT6 CTCP B tng 620 Chu Thi 31.8 86 27,348,000BTC CTCP c kh v xy dng Bnh Triu 15.5 17 2,635,000CAN CTCP hp H Long 14.2 115 16,330,000DHA CTCP Ho An 29.6 296 87,616,000DPC CTCP nha Nng 9.6 152 14,592,000GIL CTCP sn xut kinh doanh XNK Bnh Thnh 30.1 50 15,050,000

    GMD CTCP i l lin hip vn chuyn 52.5 1,180 2,719,500,000HAP CTCP giy Hi Phng 36.1 189 68,229,000HAS CTCP xy lp bu in H Ni 28.8 249 71,712,000KHA CTCP Xut nhp khu Khnh Hi 21.7 1,349 292,733,000LAF CTCP ch bin hng xut khu Long An 21.5 176 37,840,000PMS CTCP c kh xng du 14.2 26 3,692,000

    REE CTCP c in lnh 23.2 4,283 993,656,000SAM CTCP cp v vt liu vin thng 36.6 2,088 764,208,000SAV CTCP Hp tc kinh t v Xut nhp khu Savimex 29.8 135 40,230,000SFC CTCP Nhin liu Si Gn 17.5 70 12,250,000SGH CTCP khch sn Si gn 14 111 15,540,000TMS CTCP Transimex - Saigon 31.8 170 54,060,000TRI CTCP nuc gii kht Si gn 21 37 7,770,000

    TS4 CTCP Thy sn s 4 16 60 9,600,000VTC CTCP Vin thng VTC 32.2 20 6,440,000

    C phiugi c phiu(000 ng)

    lng CPgiao dch

    tng gi tr(VN)

    Tn cng ty

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    Tit kim v u t

    trong h thng ti chnh

    Ngn hng thng mi

    Qu h tng

    Tit kim u t

    th trngc phiu v

    tri phiu

    Mua dy chuyn SXMy mc thit bNh, xng

    Thu nhptr i

    Tiu dng

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    3. Cc trung gian ti chnh

    Ngn hng thng mi

    Qu h tng/Qu u t

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    3. Cc trung gian ti chnh

    BANK

    Tit kim u tChovay

    ivay

    Mua dy chuyn SXMy mc thit bNh, xng

    Thu nhptr i

    Tiu dng

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    3. Cc trung gian ti chnh

    Ngn hng thng mi Nhn tin gi ca ngi dn To iu kin cho ngi dn k sc thanh

    ton t ti khon ca h Cho vay/ lm trung gian chuyn vn t ngi

    tit kim sang nh u t

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    3. Cc trung gian ti chnh

    Qu h tng / Qu u t Pht hnh c phiu cho ngi tit kim

    Dng tin thu ht c mua cc c phiu v triphiu trn th trng

    Vai tr To iu kin cho ngi tit kim a dng ho danh

    mc u t (porfolio) t lng tin t i

    Cung cp kin thc phn tch v kinh doanh v thtrng chng khon

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    III. Th trng vn vay

    Tit kim u tNgn hng thng mi

    Qu h tng

    Tri phiu

    C phiu

    CUNG CU

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    III. Th trng vn vay

    Cung: Sn = S

    P+ S

    G Li sut thc t r

    Cu I Li sut thc t r

    Cn bng cung cuSn = I

    Li sutthc t

    Lngvn vay

    CUNGSn = S

    P

    + SG

    CUI

    r0

    Q0

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    S thay i ca cung cu vn vay

    Cung thay i ng cung dch

    chuyn Li sut thay i Lng vn cho

    vay thay i

    Li sutthc t

    Lngvn vay

    CUNGSn = SP + SG

    CUI

    r0

    Q0

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    S thay i ca cung cu vn vay

    Cu thay i ng cu dch

    chuyn Li sut thay i Lng vn cho

    vay thay i

    Li sutthc t

    Lngvn vay

    CUNGSn= SP + SG

    CUI

    r0

    Q0

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    S thay i ca cung cu vn vay

    s thay i ngthi ca cung vcu vn vay

    Li sutthc t

    Lngvn vay

    CUNGSn = SP + SG

    CUI

    r0

    Q0

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    IV. Chnh sch

    khuyn khch tit kim v u t1. Gim thu i vi li sut v c tc

    2. Gim thu cho cc d n u t3. Gim n v thm ht ngn sch chnh

    ph

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    Chnh sch 1

    Gim thu i vi lisut v c tc lm tng

    tit kim t nhn SP

    Li sutthc t

    Lngvn vay

    CUNGS = S

    P

    + SG

    CUI

    r0

    Q0

    r1

    Q1

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    Chnh sch 1

    Gim thu i vi li sut v c tc lm tng tit kimt nhn SP

    D cung vn vay lm gim li sut Li sut gim lm:

    Tit kim t nhn gim bt mt phn

    u t tng Kt qu:

    Tit kim = u t v u tng Li sut gim

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    Chnh sch 2

    Li sutthc t

    Lngvn vay

    CUNGS = SP + SG

    CUI

    r0

    Q0

    Gim thu i

    vi cc d nu t r1

    Q1

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    Chnh sch 2

    Gim thu i vi cc d n u t s khuynkhch u t nhiu hn

    Cu vn vay tng Dn n d cu lm tng li sut Li sut tng:

    u t gim bt Tit kim tng

    Kt qu: u t = Tit kim v u tng Li sut tng

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    Chnh sch 3

    Li sutthc t

    Lngvn vay

    CUNGS = SP + SG

    CUI

    r0

    Q0

    r1

    Q1

    Gim n chnh phv thm ht ngn

    sch chnh ph

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