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8/14/2019 bi 5-S&I-h thng ti chnh
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NGUYN L KINH T HCPHN V M
Tham kho: N.G. Mankiw, Nhng nguyn l ca Kinh t hc,
chng 25
12/2005Hoan Yen
Bi 5 Tit kim / u tv H thng ti chnh
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Nhng ni dung chnhI. Tit kim v u t
II. H thng ti chnh
III. Th trng vn vayIV. Cc chnh sch khuyn khch tit kim
v u t
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nh ngha: Tit kim l vic cc c nhn trong nn
kinh t dng phn thu nhp khng tiu
dng ht ca mnh cho vay trn th trngti chnh
u t l vic cc hng kinh doanh dng
tin (vay c trn th trng) m rngsn xut bng vic mua my mc thit bv nh xng
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Quan h gia tit kim v u t
H thng ti chnhTit kim u t
Mua dy chuyn SXMy mc thit bNh, xng
Thu nhptr i
Tiu dng
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Quan h gia tit kim v u t ng nht thc thu nhp v chi tiu trong
nn kinh t ng Tng thu nhp bng tng chi tiu Tng thu nhp = Y Tng chi tiu = C + I + G Suy ra: Y = C + I + G Hay: Y C G = I
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Quan h gia tit kim v u t Tit kim
Sn = thu nhp chi tiu
Sn = (Y T C) + (T G)Sn = SP + SG
u t
I = Y C G Suy ra:
Sn = I
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Quan h gia tit kim v u t Tit kim quc dn
Sn = SP + SG Tit kim t nhn SP: l phn thu nhp m h gia
nh khng tiu dng ht v cho vay trn th trngvn vay
Tit kim ca chnh ph SG = T G l s d ngnsch chnh ph SG > 0: ngn sch thng d
SG
< 0: ngn sch thm ht
S = 0: n n sch cn bn
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Quan h gia tit kim v u t Sn = SP + SG = I
Nu ngn sch chnh ph thm ht SG < 0 th
SP>0 : chnh ph vay tin ca HG chi tiu
hoc I < 0: gim bt u t ca khu vc t nhn
Nu ngn sch chnh ph thng d SG
>0 th
SP 0: tng u t cho khu vc t nhn
Ngoi ra: cc mi quan h khc da trn du ca ccthnh hn tron hn trnh
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II. H thng ti chnh1. Tit kim v u t trong h thng ti
chnh
2. Th trng tri phiu v c phiu3. Trung gian ti chnh: ngn hng thng
mi v qu h tng (qu u t)
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1. Tit kim v u t
trong h thng ti chnh
Trc tip
Trung gian
Tit kim u t
Mua dy chuyn SXMy mc thit bNh, xng
Thu nhptr i
Tiu dng
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Tit kim u tH thng ti chnh
Mua dy chuyn SXMy mc thit bNh, xng
Thu nhptr i
Tiu dng
1. Tit kim v u t
trong h thng ti chnh
Trung gian
tin
C phiu
Triphiu
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2. Th trng c phiu v tri phiu Tri phiu:
l mt loi chng nhn n ca ngi i vay (nh u t) ivi ngi cho vay (ngi tit kim)
c im ch th pht hnh tri phiu c th l chnh ph, thnh ph,
ngn hng, cng ty C mnh gi C li sut c xc nh theo
Thi hn Ri ro tn dng
C ghi danh hoc khng ghi danh
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Tri phiu chnh ph: cng tri gio dc
n v vay/pht hnh
Li sut
Mnh gi
Thi hn
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2. Th trng c phiu v tri phiu C phiu:
l mt loi chng nhn quyn s hu i vi hng kinh
doanh, c gi tr thay i tu theo kt qu hot ng kinhdoanh
c im Doanh nghip pht hnh c phiu gi l cng ty c phn Ngi s hu c phiu c gi l c ng Khng c li sut c nh Khng c thi hn
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2. Th trng c phiu v tri phiu So vi tri phiu, c phiu c li cao hn
do: Thi hn di hn Ri ro tn dng ln hn kh nng sinh li ln hn
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2. Th trng c phiu v tri phiu Cc thng tin v c phiu:
Gi (ca c phiu) Lng (s lng c phiu c bn) C tc (li tr cho cc c ng)
t l gi trn thu nhp t c phiu Phn tch ti chnh v hot ng kinh doanh
ca ch th pht hnh c phiu
Ngun: 14h00 ng 14/10/2004 U b n chng khon Nh nc www bsc com vn
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Ngun: 14h00 ngy 14/10/2004, U ban chng khon Nh nc, www.bsc.com.vn
AGF CTCP Xut nhp khu Thy sn An Giang 36 310 111,600,000BBC CTCP bnh ko Bin Ha 16.6 3,806 1,291,314,000BBT CTCP Bng Bch Tuyt 11.3 1,868 211,084,000
BPC CTCP Bao b Bm Sn 17 135 22,950,000BT6 CTCP B tng 620 Chu Thi 31.8 86 27,348,000BTC CTCP c kh v xy dng Bnh Triu 15.5 17 2,635,000CAN CTCP hp H Long 14.2 115 16,330,000DHA CTCP Ho An 29.6 296 87,616,000DPC CTCP nha Nng 9.6 152 14,592,000GIL CTCP sn xut kinh doanh XNK Bnh Thnh 30.1 50 15,050,000
GMD CTCP i l lin hip vn chuyn 52.5 1,180 2,719,500,000HAP CTCP giy Hi Phng 36.1 189 68,229,000HAS CTCP xy lp bu in H Ni 28.8 249 71,712,000KHA CTCP Xut nhp khu Khnh Hi 21.7 1,349 292,733,000LAF CTCP ch bin hng xut khu Long An 21.5 176 37,840,000PMS CTCP c kh xng du 14.2 26 3,692,000
REE CTCP c in lnh 23.2 4,283 993,656,000SAM CTCP cp v vt liu vin thng 36.6 2,088 764,208,000SAV CTCP Hp tc kinh t v Xut nhp khu Savimex 29.8 135 40,230,000SFC CTCP Nhin liu Si Gn 17.5 70 12,250,000SGH CTCP khch sn Si gn 14 111 15,540,000TMS CTCP Transimex - Saigon 31.8 170 54,060,000TRI CTCP nuc gii kht Si gn 21 37 7,770,000
TS4 CTCP Thy sn s 4 16 60 9,600,000VTC CTCP Vin thng VTC 32.2 20 6,440,000
C phiugi c phiu(000 ng)
lng CPgiao dch
tng gi tr(VN)
Tn cng ty
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Tit kim v u t
trong h thng ti chnh
Ngn hng thng mi
Qu h tng
Tit kim u t
th trngc phiu v
tri phiu
Mua dy chuyn SXMy mc thit bNh, xng
Thu nhptr i
Tiu dng
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3. Cc trung gian ti chnh
Ngn hng thng mi
Qu h tng/Qu u t
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3. Cc trung gian ti chnh
BANK
Tit kim u tChovay
ivay
Mua dy chuyn SXMy mc thit bNh, xng
Thu nhptr i
Tiu dng
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3. Cc trung gian ti chnh
Ngn hng thng mi Nhn tin gi ca ngi dn To iu kin cho ngi dn k sc thanh
ton t ti khon ca h Cho vay/ lm trung gian chuyn vn t ngi
tit kim sang nh u t
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3. Cc trung gian ti chnh
Qu h tng / Qu u t Pht hnh c phiu cho ngi tit kim
Dng tin thu ht c mua cc c phiu v triphiu trn th trng
Vai tr To iu kin cho ngi tit kim a dng ho danh
mc u t (porfolio) t lng tin t i
Cung cp kin thc phn tch v kinh doanh v thtrng chng khon
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III. Th trng vn vay
Tit kim u tNgn hng thng mi
Qu h tng
Tri phiu
C phiu
CUNG CU
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III. Th trng vn vay
Cung: Sn = S
P+ S
G Li sut thc t r
Cu I Li sut thc t r
Cn bng cung cuSn = I
Li sutthc t
Lngvn vay
CUNGSn = S
P
+ SG
CUI
r0
Q0
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S thay i ca cung cu vn vay
Cung thay i ng cung dch
chuyn Li sut thay i Lng vn cho
vay thay i
Li sutthc t
Lngvn vay
CUNGSn = SP + SG
CUI
r0
Q0
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S thay i ca cung cu vn vay
Cu thay i ng cu dch
chuyn Li sut thay i Lng vn cho
vay thay i
Li sutthc t
Lngvn vay
CUNGSn= SP + SG
CUI
r0
Q0
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S thay i ca cung cu vn vay
s thay i ngthi ca cung vcu vn vay
Li sutthc t
Lngvn vay
CUNGSn = SP + SG
CUI
r0
Q0
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IV. Chnh sch
khuyn khch tit kim v u t1. Gim thu i vi li sut v c tc
2. Gim thu cho cc d n u t3. Gim n v thm ht ngn sch chnh
ph
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Chnh sch 1
Gim thu i vi lisut v c tc lm tng
tit kim t nhn SP
Li sutthc t
Lngvn vay
CUNGS = S
P
+ SG
CUI
r0
Q0
r1
Q1
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Chnh sch 1
Gim thu i vi li sut v c tc lm tng tit kimt nhn SP
D cung vn vay lm gim li sut Li sut gim lm:
Tit kim t nhn gim bt mt phn
u t tng Kt qu:
Tit kim = u t v u tng Li sut gim
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Chnh sch 2
Li sutthc t
Lngvn vay
CUNGS = SP + SG
CUI
r0
Q0
Gim thu i
vi cc d nu t r1
Q1
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Chnh sch 2
Gim thu i vi cc d n u t s khuynkhch u t nhiu hn
Cu vn vay tng Dn n d cu lm tng li sut Li sut tng:
u t gim bt Tit kim tng
Kt qu: u t = Tit kim v u tng Li sut tng
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Chnh sch 3
Li sutthc t
Lngvn vay
CUNGS = SP + SG
CUI
r0
Q0
r1
Q1
Gim n chnh phv thm ht ngn
sch chnh ph
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