Upload
buithuan
View
212
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
Sector: Auto Component
Sector view: Positive
Sensex: 25,056
52 Week h/l (Rs): 1363 / 773
Market cap (Rscr) : 18,643
6m Avg vol (‘000Nos): 958
Bloomberg code: BHFC IS
BSE code: 500493
NSE code: BHARATFORG
FV (Rs): 2
Price as on December 09, 2015
Company rating grid
Low High
1 2 3 4 5
Earnings Growth
Cash Flow
B/S Strength
Valuation appeal
Risk
Share price trend
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
Dec‐14 Apr‐15 Aug‐15 Nov‐15
BHARATFORG Sensex
Share holding pattern % Mar‐15 Jun‐15 Sep‐15
Promoters 46.8 46.8 46.8
Insti 31.7 32.0 31.9
Others 21.6 21.2 21.4
Rating: Accumulate Target: Rs850
CMP: Rs793
Upside: 7.2%
Company Report
Research Analyst: Prayesh Jain
Bharat Forge
This report is published by IIFL ‘India Private Clients’ research desk. IIFL has other business units with independent research teams separated by 'Chinese walls' catering to different sets of customers having varying objectives, risk profiles, investment horizon, etc. The views and opinions expressed in this document may at times be contrary in terms of rating, target prices, estimates and views on sectors and markets.
December 10, 2015
Change in Estimates Rating Target
Near term pressures
We attended the analyst meet of Bharat Forge wherein the management outlined its strategy to achieve the goals set for FY18. The goals set include 1) attaining standalone revenues of Rs7,000cr by FY18, 2) Maintain EBIDTA margins at the current levels and 3) continue to improve return ratios. In the near term, however, the company sees pressure coming in from the US truck market where it sees a fall in 2016. These will be offset by incremental business from existing players and ramp up in business from new OEMs. The company sees strong business flow from the passenger car segment which currently contributes only 5% of the revenues. The company sees this increasing to 15% over the next few quarters. This will be driven by efforts to enter the transmission segment along with incremental product developments of its traditional products. The management is bullish on the ‘Make in India’ campaign and sees strong traction arising from it from next year onwards for segments such as Mining, Power, Railways, Marine and Defense. The company has developed expertise in the aerospace components business and sees substantial opportunity in replacing imports of components by HAL. Even in terms of Defense it sees large opportunities to replace the import of components. To factor in the near term slowdown we are cutting our estimates for revenues by ~8% for FY16, FY17 and FY18 each. Also our EBIDTA estimates have been cut by ~5% for each year and PAT estimates by ~7%. We cut our 1‐year target to Rs850 from Rs910 earlier and maintain our Accumulate rating on the stock. Financial summary Y/e 31 Mar (Rs m) FY15 FY16E FY17E FY18E
Revenues 7,625 8,007 9,268 10,792
yoy growth (%) 13.5 5.0 15.8 16.4
Operating profit 1,441 1,646 1,914 2,245
OPM (%) 18.9 20.6 20.7 20.8
Pre‐exceptional PAT 724 808 990 1,215
Reported PAT 767 808 990 1,215
yoy growth (%) 47.0 5.4 22.6 22.7
EPS (Rs) 31.1 34.7 42.5 52.2
P/E (x) 25.5 22.9 18.7 15.2
Price/Book (x) 5.4 4.3 3.5 2.9
EV/EBITDA (x) 13.9 11.3 9.1 7.1
Debt/Equity (x) 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.2
RoE (%) 23.6 21.0 20.9 20.8
RoCE (%) 22.5 22.2 24.6 25.9 Source: Company, India Infoline Research
Bharat Forge
2
Key takeaways from the analyst meet The company expects to maintain FY15 revenues run rate in FY16. Huge
drop in the oil and gas business will be offset by increase in passenger car, railways and aerospace verticals.
On the US CV front, the company expects 6% yoy decline in volumes in the next year but sees this getting offset by increasing market share of its key customers and business ramp up in its newly acquired OEM customer.
So far the traditional business of Bharat Forge was focussed on axles, connecting rods and crankshafts. Transmission related products were not addressed as these products require high quality heat treatment and other capabilities. These are being acquired now and also the company is adding machining capabilities for the same. The company believes that the transmission business potential is much larger than its traditional business.
In terms of Aerospace business, the company has started supplies to large OEMs and sees this business ramping up at a steady pace. The management apprised that HAL imports parts worth Rs1,000cr per annum which it aims to replace through the ‘Make in India’ campaign. The company is close to acquiring a major contract in the near future.
Even in the defense and mining segments lot of components are imported which Bharat Forge aims to replace via the ‘Make in India’ campaign.
With renewable energy demand increasing at a rapid pace in India and global markets, the company sees large potential for business from the segment.
In the defense segment, revenue items traction has started with volume increasing for existing products and new components getting approvals. Artillery products being tested right now and five programs are in the process of evaluation. Each of the program is worth US$1bn but the duration for getting approvals is quite long. Bharat Forge is on four of these programs and has capacities and capabilities to serve this demand.
In the railways segment, lot of forging components of locomotives are imported. With GE being the key supplier of locomotives and Bharat Forge being a leading vendor for GE for such products globally, the India business also provides a large business opportunity.
The company sees marked increase in its passenger car business contribution from 5% currently to about 15% in about 18 months. This will be driven by shift in the transmission for passenger cars from 5 gears to 9 gears wherein an incremental demand for four gears and two shafts the capacity for which is limited currently. Here, the company plans to entrench with the domestic OEMs first, then build scale from global orders and then if need be set up a manufacturing facility abroad. It is not only focussing on diesel and gasoline transmission components but also hybrid transmission components where it sees large opportunities particularly so in the western world. The company sees large potential in the passenger car business as the number of cars sold globally every year are nearly 100x of commercial vehicles sold every year. Also the complexity of component is higher for passenger cars which require higher value addition.
Bharat Forge
3
In the oil & gas business, while the company is facing pressure because of capex cuts by its customers, the company is hopeful of increasing market share by supplying cost effective offerings. The pressure is from the shale gas business while the deep water and ultra deep water is seeing increasing investments towards the safety requirements.
Acquisition of Bodycote by Kalyani group was a part of the strategy to scale up technological capabilities in manufacturing components for aerospace and manufacturing components from exotic materials. Bodycote is one of best heat treatment companies in the world and has capabilities for components for aerospace, hospital equipments etc.
With regards to the inorganic activities, the company with a healthy balance sheet has started looking at opportunities. The philosophy will be 1) they don’t need any incremental capacity and 2) will not acquire any company which is low on technology capabilities.
Over the past five years the increase in margins has been on the back of the non‐auto segment wherein the company developed its own technology rather than purchasing it. Similar efforts are being made for defense segment now. Also the company apprised that most of the product development expenses are written off as revenue expenditure which leads to front loading of expenses. Overall, the company believes that it can sustain the current level of margins in the medium term.
Overseas subsidiaries have improved their performance in the recent past by changing the product mix through increasing contribution of aluminium components and entering into hybrid technology. Further improvement in performance can be expected in the next year as full benefits of these measures are reaped. The company has target to reach 10 to 12% EBIDTA margins for the subsidiaries.
The company sees higher growth in domestic market due to products which were never manufactured earlier driven by ‘Make in India’ campaign.
BFL engagement across various sectors
Sector 2001 2004 2012 2015 2017
Truck
Passenger car
Construction
Mining
Agriculture
Oil & Gas
Aerospace Source: Company, India Infoline Research
Bharat Forge
4
R Revenue enhancement strategy
Segment Revenue enhancement strategy
TRUCKS
Quick response for NPD and execution in serial production
Increase market share with existing customers– India & Global (known products)
Broaden product offering.
CARS
Add new customers in India and Global
Develop new products.
Value Addition : Forging ‐> Machining
CONSTRUCT / MINING Pursue closely with customers for any immediate opportunity within known basket of parts.
LOCO
Complete approvals for engine components with OEM’s.
Other forgings under development
Trial order for new product/ assembly expected
Grow export business on existing products. Road‐map in place and Actions initiated.
Targeting components services business. Actions initiated.
OIL & GAS
Preparing for the next upturn
Strong customer alignment being developed.
Penetrate sub‐sea‐ no current share. Customer activity initiated
Identified new areas of business where exotic material is used, will provide good value addition potential.
Add value to current products by providing more processing activities. Will enhance stickiness quotient and potentially add volume and revenue. First‐time ever for an OEM to outsource!
RENEWABLE Renewed focus on renewable sector
Focus on new product development & value added products Source: Company, India Infoline Research
Change in outlook for various segments from November 2015 to December 2015
India North America Europe
Nov‐15 Dec‐15 Nov‐15 Dec‐15 Nov‐15 Dec‐15
Commercial Vehicles Passenger Vehicles – High End ‐‐‐ ‐‐‐ Passenger Vehicles – Mass Market Oil & Gas ‐‐‐ ‐‐‐ Construction Mining Aerospace ‐‐‐ ‐‐‐ Renewables ‐‐‐ ‐‐‐ ‐‐‐ ‐‐‐
Source: Company, India Infoline Research
Bharat Forge
5
US Class 8 truck orders indicate a decline in future truck sales US Class 8 truck sales bear a strong correlation with Class 8 truck orders, albeit with a lag of 6 months. The correlation is as high as 60%. Class 8 truck orders have been declining in the past eight months and declined by 45.2% yoy in October 2015. Class 8 truck sales reported a decline for the first time in 26 months in October 2015. This we believe will result in a steep decline in class 8 trucks which account for substantial portion of Bharat Forge’s overall revenues. However, the company believes that increasing market share of existing customers and ramp up of business from a new customer will act as cushion in the current weakness.
Correlation between US Class 8 sales and US Class 8 orders
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
Jan‐09
May‐09
Sep‐09
Jan‐10
May‐10
Sep‐10
Jan‐11
May‐11
Sep‐11
Jan‐12
May‐12
Sep‐12
Jan‐13
May‐13
Sep‐13
Jan‐14
May‐14
Sep‐14
Jan‐15
May‐15
Sep‐15
US Class 8 sales US Class 8 orders
Source: Bloomberg, India Infoline Research
US Class 8 trucks seeing sharp fall in volumes Order flows for Class 8 trucks fall even steeper
‐60
‐40
‐20
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
Jan‐09
Jul‐09
Jan‐10
Jul‐10
Jan‐11
Jul‐11
Jan‐12
Jul‐12
Jan‐13
Jul‐13
Jan‐14
Jul‐14
Jan‐15
Jul‐15
US Class 8 sales % yoy
‐100
0
100
200
300
400
500
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
Jan‐09
Jul‐09
Jan‐10
Jul‐10
Jan‐11
Jul‐11
Jan‐12
Jul‐12
Jan‐13
Jul‐13
Jan‐14
Jul‐14
Jan‐15
Jul‐15
US Class 8 orders % yoy
Source: Bloomberg, India Infoline Research
Bharat Forge
6
Europe on the other hand showing reasonable growth In contrast to the US, European Union is showing good growth in its automotive sales. The passenger car sales have shown a yoy decline only twice in the past couple of years. Heavy commercial vehicles have seen an average growth of 19% yoy in CY15 so far, while LCVs have not seen a single yoy decline in the past two years. Going ahead too, the company is optimistic about commercial vehicles and high end passenger car sales in Europe. The company is also looking to get into the transmission products, which currently are not material contributors to the revenue.
Passenger car seeing a steady growth in demand
‐30
‐20
‐10
0
10
20
30
40
0
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
1,200,000
1,400,000
Jan‐09
May‐09
Sep‐09
Jan‐10
May‐10
Sep‐10
Jan‐11
May‐11
Sep‐11
Jan‐12
May‐12
Sep‐12
Jan‐13
May‐13
Sep‐13
Jan‐14
May‐14
Sep‐14
Jan‐15
May‐15
Sep‐15
EU Passenger Car % yoy
Source: Bloomberg, India Infoline Research
Heavy commercial vehicles in EU seeing decent growth
… so are the LCVs
‐100
‐50
0
50
100
150
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
Jan‐09
Jul‐09
Jan‐10
Jul‐10
Jan‐11
Jul‐11
Jan‐12
Jul‐12
Jan‐13
Jul‐13
Jan‐14
Jul‐14
Jan‐15
Jul‐15
Heavy Commercial Vehicle EU % yoy
‐50
‐40
‐30
‐20
‐10
0
10
20
30
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
160,000
180,000
200,000
Jan‐09
Jul‐09
Jan‐10
Jul‐10
Jan‐11
Jul‐11
Jan‐12
Jul‐12
Jan‐13
Jul‐13
Jan‐14
Jul‐14
Jan‐15
Jul‐15
Light Commercial Vehicle EU % yoy
Source: Bloomberg, India Infoline Research
Bharat Forge
7
Indian passenger car and M&HCV demand on strong footing Demand for passenger car in India has been growing at a robust pace in the past one year mainly driven by improving consumer sentiment, cut in interest rates, falling fuel prices, attractive discounts and new model launches by the OEMs. The trend is expected to continue in the medium term. On the M&HCV side, the demand growth has been very strong which has been due to revival in industrial activity, increase in infrastructure spends, part lifting of mining bans, cut in interest rates and falling fuel prices. These trends are likely to sustain over the medium term creating strong demand for heavy commercial vehicles. LCVs however have been on a weak footing. Nevertheless, we expect demand for LCVs to revive as rapid urbanization and increasing organized retail penetration will cause higher demand for last mile connectivity. All these segments will create strong demand prospects for Bharat Forge’s products.
Passenger car demand growing at steady rate
‐30
‐20
‐10
0
10
20
30
40
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
Apr‐11
Jul‐11
Oct‐11
Jan‐12
Apr‐12
Jul‐12
Oct‐12
Jan‐13
Apr‐13
Jul‐13
Oct‐13
Jan‐14
Apr‐14
Jul‐14
Oct‐14
Jan‐15
Apr‐15
Jul‐15
Oct‐15
Pass cars % yoy
Source: SIAM, India Infoline Research
M&HCVs seeing sharp jump in volumes LCVs on a weak footing but recovering
‐100
‐50
0
50
100
150
200
250
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
Jan‐10
Jun‐10
Nov‐10
Apr‐11
Sep‐11
Feb‐12
Jul‐12
Dec‐12
May‐13
Oct‐13
Mar‐14
Aug‐14
Jan‐15
Jun‐15
M&HCVs % yoy
‐40
‐20
0
20
40
60
80
100
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
Jan‐10
Jun‐10
Nov‐10
Apr‐11
Sep‐11
Feb‐12
Jul‐12
Dec‐12
May‐13
Oct‐13
Mar‐14
Aug‐14
Jan‐15
Jun‐15
LCVs % yoy
Source: SIAM, India Infoline Research
Bharat Forge
8
Cutting estimates but retain Accumulate rating The stock has seen a steep correction of 40% since September 2015 driven by a slowdown in the US Class 8 truck orders and steep valuations. We are cutting our estimates to factor in the near term slowdown. Estimates for revenues have been cut by ~8% for FY16, FY17 and FY18 each. Also our EBIDTA estimates have been cut by ~5% for each year and PAT estimates by ~7%. We cut our 1‐year target to Rs850 from Rs910 earlier and maintain our Accumulate rating on the stock.
Revision to estimates Revised Previous
FY16E FY17E FY18E FY16E FY17E FY18E
Revenues 8,007 9,268 10,792 8,727 10,113 11,785
yoy growth (%) 5.0 15.8 16.4 14.5 15.9 16.5
Operating profit 1,646 1,914 2,245 1,730 2,015 2,368
OPM (%) 20.6 20.7 20.8 19.8 19.9 20.1
Reported PAT 808 990 1,215 866 1,060 1,299
yoy growth (%) 5.4 22.6 22.7 12.9 22.4 22.6
EPS (Rs) 34.7 42.5 52.2 37.2 45.5 55.8
Debt/Equity (x) 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2
RoE (%) 21.0 20.9 20.8 22.3 21.9 21.6
RoCE (%) 22.2 24.6 25.9 23.5 25.8 27.0 Source: Company, India Infoline Research
Post correction valuations at reasonable levels Trading close to average P/E multiple
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
Mar‐10
Mar‐11
Mar‐12
Mar‐13
Mar‐14
Mar‐15
Mar‐16
CMP 10x 15x 20x 25x 30x
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Apr‐10
Apr‐11
Apr‐12
Apr‐13
Apr‐14
Apr‐15
P/E 2 sd ‐ 1 sd ‐ Avg 1 sd + 2 sd +
Source: Bloomberg, India Infoline Research
Bharat Forge
9
Peer comparison CMP Target Mkt Cap EPS (Rs) P/E (x) RoE D/E
(Rs) (Rs) Upside (Rs Cr) FY15E FY16E FY17E FY15E FY16E FY17E FY15 FY15
Amara Raja 839 860 3.0% 14,330 24.5 28.6 35.7 34.3 29.3 23.5 27.3 0.0
Apollo Tyres 151 200 32.6% 7,676 20.8 23.7 27.0 7.2 6.4 5.6 22.1 0.2
Ashok Leyland 87 104 20.2% 24,539 0.8 4.3 6.0 105.3 20.0 14.3 4.9 0.5
Bajaj Auto 2,390 2,550 6.7% 69,172 109.0 123.6 141.8 21.9 19.3 16.9 31.1 0.0
Bharat Forge 793 850 7.2% 18,462 34.7 42.5 52.2 22.9 18.7 15.2 25.6 0.4
Bosch 18,340 20,000 9.1% 57,584 378.0 509.5 618.6 48.5 36.0 29.6 17.4 0.0
Eicher 15,724 19,000 20.8% 42,678 227.1 399.0 566.2 69.2 39.4 27.8 26.9 0.0
Exide 137 156 13.6% 11,671 7.0 8.7 9.8 19.6 15.7 14.0 15.0 0.0
Greaves Cotton 144 175 21.4% 3,521 7.8 9.4 11.8 18.5 15.4 12.2 17.7 0.0
Hero Motocorp 2,547 3,000 17.8% 50,856 127.2 148.9 175.9 20.0 17.1 14.5 41.9 0.0
Kirloskar Oil 256 300 17.2% 3,701 10.3 13.8 16.6 24.9 18.5 15.5 14.8 0.0
M&M 1,313 1,500 14.3% 81,537 49.6 59.4 76.6 26.5 22.1 17.1 16.6 0.2
Maruti 4,477 5,200 16.1% 135,252 122.9 169.3 221.5 36.4 26.4 20.2 16.6 0.0
MM Forgings 525 650 23.8% 634 41.8 41.9 51.6 12.6 12.5 10.2 23.3 0.7
Motherson Sumi
277 360 29.9% 24,431 7.9 9.8 13.1 35.3 28.4 21.1 33.1 1.5
MRF 39,041 45,000 15.3% 16,558 2,117.7 3,800.4 4,257.0 18.4 10.3 9.2 22.0 0.7
Tata Motors 394 460 16.8% 113,243 44.0 22.5 45.6 8.9 17.5 8.6 23.3 1.4
TVS Motors 270 255 ‐5.7% 12,846 9.6 12.9 17.3 28.3 20.9 15.6 28.5 0.4
TVS Srichakra 2,720 3,500 28.7% 2,083 144.8 278.5 323.4 18.8 9.8 8.4 39.0 1.2 Source: Company, India Infoline Research
Bharat Forge
10
Financials Income statement Y/e 31 Mar (Rs m) FY15 FY16E FY17E FY18E
Revenue 7,625 8,007 9,268 10,792
Operating profit 1,441 1,646 1,914 2,245
Depreciation (362) (409) (422) (434)
Interest expense (136) (149) (131) (113)
Other income 137 100 100 100
Profit before tax 1,080 1,189 1,462 1,798
Taxes (359) (399) (490) (601)
Minorities and other 3 18 18 18
Adj. profit 724 808 990 1,215
Exceptional items 43 0 0 0
Net profit 767 808 990 1,215
Balance sheet Y/e 31 Mar (Rs m) FY15 FY16E FY17E FY18E
Equity capital 47 47 47 47
Reserves 3,398 4,205 5,195 6,410
Net worth 3,444 4,252 5,242 6,456
Minority interest (2) 0 0 0
Debt 2,365 1,652 1,452 1,252
Deferred tax liab (net) 164 164 164 164
Total liabilities 5,971 6,068 6,858 7,873
Fixed assets 3,434 2,778 2,556 2,322
Investments 496 496 496 496
Net working capital 1,306 1,327 1,339 1,348
Inventories 1,034 1,086 1,257 1,463
Sundry debtors 853 896 1,037 1,208
Other current assets 1,682 1,752 1,822 1,892
Sundry creditors (1,965) (2,063) (2,388) (2,781)
Other current liabilities (299) (344) (389) (434)
Cash 736 1,468 2,467 3,707
Total assets 5,971 6,068 6,858 7,873
Cash flow statement Y/e 31 Mar (Rs m) FY15 FY16E FY17E FY18E
Profit before tax 1,080 1,189 1,462 1,798
Depreciation 362 409 422 434
Tax paid (359) (399) (490) (601)
Working capital ∆ (774) (21) (12) (10)
Other operating items
Operating cashflow 309 1,178 1,382 1,622
Capital expenditure (685) 247 (200) (200)
Free cash flow (376) 1,425 1,182 1,422
Equity raised 1,220 1,226 1,226 1,226
Investments 306 ‐ ‐ ‐
Debt financing/disposal 357 (712) (200) (200)
Dividends paid (1,226) (1,226) (1,226) (1,226)
Other items 57 19 18 18
Net ∆ in cash 338 732 999 1,240
Key ratios Y/e 31 Mar FY15 FY16E FY17E FY18E
Growth matrix (%)
Revenue growth 13.5 5.0 15.8 16.4
Op profit growth 40.3 14.3 16.3 17.3
EBIT growth 53.0 10.1 19.1 20.0
Net profit growth 73.2 11.6 22.6 22.7
Profitability ratios (%)
OPM 18.9 20.6 20.7 20.8
EBIT margin 15.9 16.7 17.2 17.7
Net profit margin 9.5 10.1 10.7 11.3
RoCE 22.5 22.2 24.6 25.9
RoNW 23.6 21.0 20.9 20.8
RoA 9.2 9.7 10.9 11.7
Per share ratios
EPS 31.1 34.7 42.5 52.2
Dividend per share 52.7 52.7 52.7 52.7
Cash EPS 46.6 52.2 60.6 70.8
Book value per share 147.9 182.6 225.1 277.3
Valuation ratios
P/E 25.5 22.9 18.7 15.2
P/CEPS 17.0 15.2 13.1 11.2
P/BV 5.4 4.3 3.5 2.9
EV/EBIDTA 13.9 11.3 9.1 7.1
Payout (%)
Dividend payout 169.4 151.8 123.9 100.9
Tax payout 33.2 33.5 33.5 33.4
Liquidity ratios
Debtor days 41 41 41 41
Inventory days 49 49 49 49
Creditor days 94 94 94 94
Leverage ratios
Interest coverage 9.0 9.0 12.2 17.0
Net debt / equity 0.5 0.0 (0.2) (0.4)
Net debt / op. profit 1.1 0.1 (0.5) (1.1)
Du‐Pont Analysis Y/e 31 Mar (Rs m) FY15 FY16E FY17E FY18E
Tax burden (x) 0.67 0.68 0.68 0.68
Interest burden (x) 0.89 0.89 0.92 0.94
EBIT margin (x) 0.16 0.17 0.17 0.18
Asset turnover (x) 0.97 0.96 1.02 1.04
Financial leverage (x) 2.57 2.17 1.91 1.77
RoE (%) 23.6 21.0 20.9 20.8
11
‘Best Broker of the Year’ – by Zee Business for contribution to brokingNirmal Jain, Chairman, IIFL, received the award for The Best Broker of the Year (for contribution to broking in India) at India's Best Market Analyst Awards 2014 organised by the Zee Business in Mumbai. The award was presented by the guest of Honour Amit Shah, president of the Bharatiya Janata Party and Piyush Goel, Minister of state with independent charge for power, coal new and renewable energy.
'Best Equity Broker of the Year' – Bloomberg UTV, 2011IIFL was awarded the 'Best Equity Broker of the Year' at the recently held Bloomberg UTV Financial Leadership Award, 2011. The award presented by the Hon'ble Finance Minister of India, Shri Pranab Mukherjee. The Bloomberg UTV Financial Leadership Awards acknowledge the extraordinary contribution of India's financial leaders and visionaries from January 2010 to January 2011.
'Best Broker in India' – Finance Asia, 2011IIFL has been awarded the 'Best Broker in India' by Finance Asia. The award is the result of Finance Asia's annual quest for the best financial services firms across Asia, which culminated in the Country Awards 2011
Other awards
2012BEST BROKING HOUSE WITH
GLOBAL PRESENCE
2009, 2012 & 2013BEST MARKET
ANALYSTBEST BROKERAGE,
INDIAMOST IMPROVED,
INDIABEST BROKER,
INDIA
2009FASTEST GROWING
LARGE BROKING HOUSE
Recommendation parameters for fundamental reports:
Buy – Absolute return of over +15%
Accumulate – Absolute return between 0% to +15%
Reduce – Absolute return between 0% to ‐10%
Sell – Absolute return below ‐10%
Call Failure ‐ In case of a Buy report, if the stock falls 20% below the recommended price on a closing basis, unless otherwise specified by the analyst; or, in case of a Sell report, if the stock rises 20% above the recommended price on a closing basis, unless otherwise specified by the analyst
India Infoline Group (hereinafter referred as IIFL) is engaged in diversified financial services business including equity broking, DP services, merchant banking, portfolio management services, distribution of Mutual Fund, insurance products and other investment products and also loans and finance business. India Infoline Ltd (“hereinafter referred as IIL”) is a part of the IIFL and is a member of the National Stock Exchange of India Limited (“NSE”) and the BSE Limited (“BSE”). IIL is also a Depository Participant registered with NSDL & CDSL, a SEBI registered merchant banker and a SEBI registered portfolio manager. IIL is a large broking house catering to retail, HNI and institutional clients. It operates through its branches and authorised persons and sub‐brokers spread across the country and the clients are provided online trading through internet and offline trading through branches and Customer Care. Terms & Conditions and Other Disclosures:‐ a) This research report (“Report”) is for the personal information of the authorised recipient(s) and is not for public distribution and should not be
reproduced or redistributed to any other person or in any form without IIL’s prior permission. The information provided in the Report is from publicly available data, which we believe, are reliable. While reasonable endeavors have been made to present reliable data in the Report so far as it relates to current and historical information, but IIL does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the data in the Report. Accordingly, IIL or any of its connected persons including its directors or subsidiaries or associates or employees shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained, views and opinions expressed in this publication.
b) Past performance should not be taken as an indication or guarantee of future performance, and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is
made regarding future performance. Information, opinions and estimates contained in this report reflect a judgment of its original date of publication by IIFL and are subject to change without notice. The price, value of and income from any of the securities or financial instruments mentioned in this report can fall as well as rise. The value of securities and financial instruments is subject to exchange rate fluctuation that may have a positive or adverse effect on the price or income of such securities or financial instruments.
c) The Report also includes analysis and views of our research team. The Report is purely for information purposes and does not construe to be
investment recommendation/advice or an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy/sell any securities. The opinions expressed in the Report are our current opinions as of the date of the Report and may be subject to change from time to time without notice. IIL or any persons connected with it do not accept any liability arising from the use of this document.
d) Investors should not solely rely on the information contained in this Report and must make investment decisions based on their own investment
objectives, judgment, risk profile and financial position. The recipients of this Report may take professional advice before acting on this information.
12
e) IIL has other business segments / divisions with independent research teams separated by 'chinese walls' catering to different sets of customers having varying objectives, risk profiles, investment horizon, etc and therefore, may at times have, different and contrary views on stocks, sectors and markets.
f) This report is not directed or intended for distribution to, or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state,
country or other jurisdiction, where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to local law, regulation or which would subject IIL and its affiliates to any registration or licensing requirement within such jurisdiction. The securities described herein may or may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain category of investors. Persons in whose possession this Report may come are required to inform themselves of and to observe such restrictions.
g) As IIL along with its associates, are engaged in various financial services business and so might have financial, business or other interests in other
entities including the subject company/ies mentioned in this Report. However, IIL encourages independence in preparation of research report and strives to minimize conflict in preparation of research report. IIL and its associates did not receive any compensation or other benefits from the subject company/ies mentioned in the Report or from a third party in connection with preparation of the Report. Accordingly, IIL and its associates do not have any material conflict of interest at the time of publication of this Report.
h) As IIL and its associates are engaged in various financial services business, it might have:‐
(a) received any compensation (except in connection with the preparation of this Report) from the subject company in the past twelve months; (b) managed or co‐managed public offering of securities for the subject company in the past twelve months; (c) received any compensation for investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the subject company in the past twelve months; (d) received any compensation for products or services other than investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the subject company in the past twelve months; (e) engaged in market making activity for the subject company.
i) IIL and its associates collectively do not own (in their proprietary position) 1% or more of the equity securities of the subject company/ies mentioned in the report as of the last day of the month preceding the publication of the research report.
j) The Research Analyst/s engaged in preparation of this Report or his/her relative
(a) does not have any financial interests in the subject company/ies mentioned in this report; (b) does not own 1% or more of the equity securities of the subject company mentioned in the report as of the last day of the month preceding the publication of the research report; (c) does not have any other material conflict of interest at the time of publication of the research report.
k) The Research Analyst/s engaged in preparation of this Report:‐ (a) has not received any compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months; (b) has not managed or co‐managed public offering of securities for the subject company in the past twelve months; (c) has not received any compensation for investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the subject company in the past twelve months; (d) has not received any compensation for products or services other than investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the subject company in the past twelve months; (e) has not received any compensation or other benefits from the subject company or third party in connection with the research report; (f) has not served as an officer, director or employee of the subject company; (g) is not engaged in market making activity for the subject company.
We submit that no material disciplinary action has been taken on IIL by any regulatory authority impacting Equity Research Analysis. A graph of daily closing prices of securities is available at http://www.nseindia.com/ChartApp/install/charts/mainpage.jsp, www.bseindia.com and http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/markets/stocks/stock‐quotes. (Choose a company from the list on the browser and select the “three years” period in the price chart).
Published in 2015. © India Infoline Ltd 2015 India Infoline Limited (Formerly “India Infoline Distribution Company Limited”), CIN No.: U99999MH1996PLC132983, Corporate Office – IIFL Centre, Kamala City, Senapati Bapat Marg, Lower Parel, Mumbai – 400013 Tel: (91‐22) 4249 9000 .Fax: (91‐22) 40609049, Regd. Office – IIFL House, Sun Infotech Park, Road No. 16V, Plot No. B‐23, MIDC, Thane Industrial Area, Wagle Estate, Thane – 400604 Tel: (91‐22) 25806650. Fax: (91‐22) 25806654 E‐mail: [email protected] Website: www.indiainfoline.com, Refer www.indiainfoline.com for detail of Associates. National Stock Exchange of India Ltd. SEBI Regn. No. : INB231097537/ INF231097537/ INE231097537, Bombay Stock Exchange Ltd. SEBI Regn. No.:INB011097533/ INF011097533/ BSE‐Currency, MCX Stock Exchange Ltd. SEBI Regn. No.: INB261097530/ INF261097530/ INE261097537, United Stock Exchange Ltd. SEBI Regn. No.: INE271097532, PMS SEBI Regn. No. INP000002213, IA SEBI Regn. No. INA000000623, SEBI RA Regn.:‐ INH000000248.
For Research related queries, write to: Amar Ambani, Head of Research at [email protected] For Sales and Account related information, write to customer care: [email protected] or call on 91‐22 4007 1000