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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 POP EXPRESS Combined Volume #2 香港大學社會科學研究中心 民意研究計劃 PUBLIC OPINION PROGRAMME SOCIAL SCIENCES RESEARCH CENTRE THE UNIVERSITY OF HONG KONG

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Page 1: 《民意快訊合訂本第一冊特刊》編輯委員會 · Web viewA more detailed analysis on interviewees with stock investment has reviewed that 28% of the respondents invested

民意快訊合訂本第二冊POP EXPRESS

Combined Volume #2

香港大學社會科學研究中心民意研究計劃

PUBLIC OPINION PROGRAMMESOCIAL SCIENCES RESEARCH CENTRE

THE UNIVERSITY OF HONG KONG

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目錄Table of Contents

序 ii-iiiForeword

編輯委員會 iv Editorial Committee

民意研究計劃小組成員 ivMembers of the Public Opinion Programme (POP) Research Team 第十一期九七年七月號 1-32No. 11 July 1997

第十二期九七年八月號 33-44No. 12 August 1997

第十三期九七年九月號 45-56No. 13 September 1997

第十四期九七年十月號 57-72No. 14 October 1997

第十五期九七年十一月號 73-88No. 15 November 1997

第十六期九七年十二月號 89-111No. 16 December 1997

索引 112-116Index

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《民意快訊》自九六年九月發刊,目的是按月記錄敝中心民意研究組鍥而不捨的民意調查工作,並以最快速度把研究成果與各界人仕分享。

民意研究組自九一年六月展開工作,七年來己累積了數以百計的調查項目,當中蘊藏著無限辛酸,和不能盡道的苦困。在資源奇缺的情況下,還要承受很多莫須有的政治指控。幸好,公道自在人心,多年來的努力始終沒有白廢,專業化的民意調查己被廣泛視為開放社會的一條命脈。公營機構、學術組織,以至不同政治背景的團體,已廣泛開展民意調查的工作。

主權回歸後,民意研究組把回歸前的各期《民意快訊》結集成書,成為第一冊合訂本。當中記載了本港在後過渡期的輿論發展,作為另類歷史見證。

今天,我們又把回歸後半年的《民意快訊》結集成第二冊合訂本,作為「一國兩制」前期發展的見證。「一國兩制」能否成功,也許言之尚早。不過,觀乎六個月來的民情發展,也教不少人得到傾刻安心。要不是東南亞金融風暴吹至,及天降禽流病毒,則本地形勢還會更好。

究竟民情會否逆轉?還是更上一層樓?可能無人能料。但民意研究組定當緊守崗位,死而後矣!

香港大學社會科學研究中心民意研究計劃負責人兼《民意快訊》主編

鍾庭耀 九八年三月三十一日

ii

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FOREWORD

POP EXPRESS was first published in September 1996, as part of our persistent effort to collect opinion data for public consumption. Such effort began in June 1991 when our POP Team was established.

Amidst tremendous hardship and suffering beyond the expression of words, as well as under serious constraint of resources and sometimes unwarranted political allegations, we have nonetheless managed to produce hundreds of surveys in the past seven years. We are glad to see that, whether or not it was due to our effort, opinion studies have become accepted as one major life-line of our open society. Public bodies, academic institutions, and political groups alike, have become more and more active in such studies.

Immediately after the handover, in 1997, we published the POP EXPRESS Combined Volume # 1 Special Issue, in order to bear witness to our society’s historic development.

Now, six months later, we have compiled the Combined Volume # 2, which records our new development under the principle of “one country, two systems”. Only time can tell whether this new constitutional arrangement would be successful or not. Initial development seems fairly positive, if not for the sudden occurrence of the bird flu, and the economic turmoil in South East Asia.

To us, of course, what matters is that we continue to operate as we did, as professionally as possible, until our doom.

CHUNG Ting-yiu RobertChief Editor of POP EXPRESS and

Head of the Public Opinion Programme31 March 1998

iii

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《民意快訊合訂本第二冊》編輯委員會Editorial Committee of POP EXPRESS

Combined Volume #2

主編 : 鍾庭耀Chief Editor : Chung Ting-yiu Robert

執行編輯 : 李至君 陳夢施Editors : Lee Chi-kwan Anita Chan Mung-sze Natalie

編委會成員 : 彭嘉麗 李博儀Committee Members : Pang Ka-lai Karie Lee Pok-yee Betty李德成 周佩蘭

Lee Tak-shing Patrick Chau Pui-lan Erika

民意研究小組成員Members of the

Public Opinion Programme (POP) Research Team

民意研究計劃負責人 : 鍾庭耀Programme Head : Chung Ting-yiu Robert

統籌員 : 李至君 陳夢施Programme Managers : Lee Chi-kwan Anita Chan Mung-sze Natalie

研究助理 : 馬嘉莉 李博儀Research Executives : Ma Ka-lee Carrie Lee Pok-yee Betty彭嘉麗 劉珮欣

Pang Ka-lai Karie Lau Pui-yan Flora

技術員 : 李德成Technician : Lee Tak-shing Patrick

秘書 : 周佩蘭Secretary : Chau Pui-lan Erika

文書助理 : 余秀霞Clerical Assistant : Yu Sau-ha Rita

5

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July 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2

民意研究計劃 民意快訊Public Opinion Programme POP EXPRESS

香港大學社會科學研究中心Social Sciences Research Centre (SSRC), The University of Hong Kong 第 11期 No.11

目錄 Content

彭定康評分總結 3-4 Round-up of Chris Patten’s Ratings

總結市民對彭定康施政報告滿意程度 4-5 Round-up of People’s Satisfaction with Chris Patten’s Policy Addresses總結市民自九三年來對中、英、港、台

政府的信任程度6-7 Round-up of People’s Trust in the Chinese, British,

Hong Kong, and Taiwan Governments since 1993

特首董建華評分 7 Ratings of the Chief Executive Tung Chee-hwa

十大大陸及台灣政治人物評分 8 Rating of the Top Ten Political Figures in Mainland China and Taiwan市民對「一國兩制」及香港前途

的信心8 Confidence in “One Country, Two Systems”, and

Hong Kong’s Future

市民最關注的範圍 9 Areas of People’s Concern

五大政治團體評分 10 Ratings of the Top Five Political Groups

台灣問題民意調查 10 Surveys on the Taiwan Issues

九七回歸前市民的心情 11 Feelings about the 1997 Transition

六月二十六至七月九日號外 12-32 POP EXPRESS EXTRAS from 20 June to 9 July

號外系列索引 Index to EXTRA Series 出版日期 Date of release 頁數 Page

港人面對回歸的心情 Public Mood during the Transition 30/6/97,1/7/97,2/7/97,3/7/97 25-31

對英國統治的評價 Evaluation of the British Rule 28/6/97, 2/7/97 20,28-30

指標性調查 Benchmark surveys

政府表現指標 Indicators of the Performance of the Government 26/6/97 14

生活滿意指標 Indicators of People’s Living Conditions 26/6/97 15

社會現狀指標 Indicators of Social Condition 28/6/97 21

11-1 1

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July 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2

比較港台兩地市民意見Comparative Studies in Hong Kong and Taiwan People’s Opinion

26/6/97 12-15

九一至九七年立法局議員的評價總結Ratings of the Legislative Council Members 1991-1997

27/6/97 16-19

不同組織的公信力 Credibility of Various Organizations

29/6/97 22-23

對「小人蛇」條例草案的即時反應Instant Reaction to the Draft Bill Relating to Child Illegal Immigrants

9/7/97 32

11-1 1

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年七月號

編者的話From the Editor

回歸伊始,萬象更新。過渡時期的營營役役、風風雨雨,已隨著殖民地歷史的結束而漸漸遠去。在「一國兩制」、「港人治港」的序幕下,香港進入了歷史的新紀元。

「馬照跑、舞照跳」曾幾何時是中國領導人贈與香港人的名句。在「一國兩制」下,香港將維持資本主義社會不變、港人生活方式不變、港人治港五十年不變…

但不變還是要變。立法機關已變,行政會議已變、選舉制度已變,民心也在變…變中有變,也有不變。紀律部隊不變、文官組織不變、基本法也沒有變。

是不變還是未變?是不應變還是不可變?是少變不算變?還是大變不能變?變與不變?怎樣才算變?怎樣才算不變?相信就是香港在未來數年需要在思維及實際上解決的最重要課題。

平情而論,這也不是甚麼大不了的課題。縱使在歌舞昇平、舉世觸目的慶祝回歸日子裡,香港人都是本著平常心輕輕面對。雖然天公不造美,但史無前例的五天回歸假期也總算悠然渡過。

社會科學研究中心民意研究計劃的成員可沒有這麼僥倖。自六月二十六日起一連八天,至七月三日止,研究小組每日都要整理民意數據,並以《民意快訊號外》形式向各界人士發表最新數據,目的不外是為了提供一項迅速而可靠的資訊服務,好讓各界人士了解市民在主權交接前後的情緒和意見,包括對英國殖民統治的意見,及對末代港督的評價。

出版《民意快訊號外》,可算是民意研究計劃在主權過渡時前後的一變。其他變動包括把「五大中國領導人評分」擴充為「十大大陸及台灣政治人物評分」,增加多元化的社會指標性調查,及改動定期測試的內容及頻率等。當然,彭定康評分、市民對英國政府信任程度、十大立法局議員評分等項目,已經不再存在。取而代之者,當然就是董建華評分,臨時立法會議員評分等項目。

本刊今期把過去五年來市民對彭定康及各地政府的評價詳細整理及發表,供學者及各界人士參考。唯請各屆人士在引用該等數據時列明出處為荷。

民意研究計劃以本身的小變迎接社會上的大變,不外希望以一顆平常的心緊守自己的崗位,以不變的

精神見證歷史的改變。 鍾庭耀

2 11-2

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年七月號The first day of July 1997 marks a new era. All the

“hustle and puzzles” surrounding the transferral of sovereignty are finally over, as Hong Kong embarks on its new course under “one country, two systems”.

Needless to say, a new era means new changes and new concern. However, under the “one country two systems” formulation, Hong Kong’s way of life is supposed to remain unchanged. So change or no change? Already the entire legislature has changed, so has the top executive body, but many things have remained unchanged. This dilemma between change and stability, continuity and discontinuity, will characterize the development of Hong Kong as we move into the Twenty-first Century.

To the general public, this may not be a major issue. Even when the handover was marked by extravagant celebrations and fireworks, the people of Hong Kong were just enjoying it like an ordinary holiday, under very bad weather though.

For the POP Team, however, it means extra work for every member. Throughout the handover period, we monitored the public mood and published our results on a day-to-day basis. Between 26 June and 3 July 1997, we have altogether released eight POP EXPRESS EXTRAS,

which are all reproduced in this issue.

The purpose of publishing these POP EXPRESS EXTRAS is to disseminate public opinion data for public consumption as soon as they are available. This is one of our changes straddling 1997. Our other changes include re-structuring our regular tracking polls both in terms of content and frequency, expanding our rating exercise of familiar Chinese leaders to cover those in Taiwan, and compiling multi-dimensional indicators for the Hong Kong society. Needless to say, Chris Patten and the British government no longer appear in our regular polls, and our rating of the Legislative Council members has been replaced by that of the Provisional Legislative Council members.

In this issue, we have summarised our previous data on Chris Patten and various governments, in a user-friendly format, for public consumption. Users should, of course, quote them with proper citations.

Whatever changes are happening around us, we will be trying our best to render a useful service. And this commitment would remain unchanged.

Chung Ting-yiu Robert

2 11-2

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彭定康評分總結Round-up of Chris Patten’s Ratings

´ ©̂ w± dµ û¤ À Patten's Rating

59.759.8

58.5

57.657.9

59.6

64.1

50.0

52.0

54.0

56.0

58.0

60.0

62.0

64.0

66.0

4/92 8/92 12/92 4/93 8/93 12/93 4/94 8/94 12/94 4/95 8/95 12/95 4/96 8/96 12/96 4/97

調查年份 Year of survey 4/92-12/92 1/93-12/93 1/94-12/94 1/95-12/95 1/96-12/96 1/97-6/97

調查次數 Number of surveys 16 50 21 20 29 17

平均回應率 Average response rate 70.1% 56.8% 59.8% 56.2% 51.6% 45.9%

全年總評分人數 Total raters 10975 28573 11278 9779 14239 8169

全年平均評分 Average rating 59.6 58.0 55.8 54.3 56.7 59.4

在九二年彭定康獲委任為港督開始,本中心研究組已就市民對彭定康的評價進行研究,從市民給予彭定康的分數以了解大眾對其支持度。總結近五年的調查數據,彭定康在九二年十月獲得到任以來的最高分數,有六十四點一分,此反映彭定康初抵本港提出的政策(尤其九二年發表施政報告期間)甚獲市民所認同。至於市民給予彭定康最低分數的,是九五年十月,顯示政制爭拗已削弱了市民對他的支持。不過,整體而言,彭定康所得的分數一直能夠維持在五十分的合格分數以上,反映彭定康在市民心目中的形象尚算不俗。

Since Patten’s appointment as the Governor of Hong Kong in 1992, the POP Team has been conducting surveys on people’s evaluation of our last Governor. Summarizing the results of the past five years, Patten received the highest rating, 64.1, in October of 1992. This reflected people’s initial support for his political reform. That support was eradicated by the prolonged political row between Britain and China, and he received the lowest rating in October of 1995. However, as a whole, his rating has always stood above 50 (passing mark) throughout the years, which means Chris Patten has indeed left a fairly good image in the hearts of the Hong Kong people.

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July 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2

彭定康評分原始數據 Raw Data of Chris Patten’s Rating調查月份 Month of survey 4/92 5/92 6/92 7/92 8/92 9/92 10/92 11/92 12/92

評分人數 No. of raters 622 1002 574 - 662 - 4282 1908 3552

評分 Rating 53.3 56.1 58.2 60.7 63.1 63.6 64.1 61.6 55.7

調查月份 Month of survey 1/93 2/93 3/93 4/93 5/93 6/93 7/93 8/93 9/93 10/93 11/93 12/93

評分人數 No. of raters 2328 2639 3093 2135 2286 2443 1823 1945 2267 3983 2152 1533

評分 Rating 58.0 57.3 58.0 56.2 58.2 58.6 58.6 58.8 57.6 59.5 57.6 57.2

調查月份 Month of survey 1/94 2/94 3/94 4/94 5/94 6/94 7/94 8/94 9/94 10/94 11/94 12/94

評分人數 No. of raters 473 1003 419 877 936 993 433 1472 446 2805 483 938

評分 Rating 55.6 55.3 54.9 55.2 55.0 55.6 57.9 57.9 57.0 55.5 55.1 54.8

調查月份 Month of survey 1/95 2/95 3/95 4/95 5/95 6/95 7/95 8/95 9/95 10/95 11/95 12/95

評分人數 No. of raters 479 904 497 1008 534 999 988 657 444 1456 888 925

評分 Rating 53.2 56.5 57.6 56.0 56.2 53.5 53.5 55.4 53.1 51.2 52.1 53.2

調查月份 Month of survey 1/96 2/96 3/96 4/96 5/96 6/96 7/96 8/96 9/96 10/96 11/96 12/96

評分人數 No. of raters 1001 1328 999 927 1414 952 865 878 956 2345 911 1904

評分 Rating 53.2 54.3 55.9 56.5 57.7 56.4 56.5 58.5 56.5 57.7 58.4 58.5

調查月份 Month of survey 1/97 2/97 3/97 4/97 5/97 6/97

評分人數 No. of raters 1042 1458 1403 1387 1393 1486

評分 Rating 59.4 59.2 59.8 59.0 59.0 59.7

彭定康施政報告滿意程度原始數據Raw Data of People’s Satisfaction with Chris Patten’s Policy Addresses調查月份 Month of survey 10/92 11/92 12/92 1/93 2/93 3/93 4/93 5/93 6/93 7/93 8/93 9/93

成功樣本 Successful cases 4832 3964 4179 2850 2989 3610 2435 2497 2759 2109 2169 2568

滿意 Satisfied 36.2% 38.6% 32.1% 32.4% 28.1% 28.5% 28.5% 28.0% 27.4% 25.3% 21.9% 20.2%

中立 Neutral 9.5% 11.0% 13.4% 12.3% 10.0% 8.2% 11.0% 10.5% 7.0% 6.3% 7.3% 9.6%

不滿 Dissatisfied 7.0% 10.2% 18.0% 14.3% 12.9% 12.3% 12.7% 9.0% 9.9% 8.7% 7.2% 9.1%

唔知 Don’t know 47.2% 40.4% 36.4% 41.1% 49.1% 51.0% 47.9% 52.5% 55.8% 59.7% 63.6% 61.1%

調查月份 Month of survey 10/93 11/93 12/93 1/94 2/94 3/94 4/94 5/94 6/94 7/94 8/94 9/94

成功樣本 Successful cases 4907 2748 1661 513 1034 500 1026 504 1140 521 1596 534

滿意 Satisfied 35.9% 22.7% 21.0% 19.3% 16.6% 18.6% 13.5% 16.8% 16.6% 13.0% 12.3% 13.4%

中立 Neutral 11.7% 9.6% 7.5% 10.4% 7.1% 8.4% 8.3% 8.1% 10.4% 7.3% 8.3% 8.2%

不滿 Dissatisfied 10.9% 8.8% 9.7% 8.9% 8.8% 7.7% 7.7% 8.7% 8.5% 6.4% 7.5% 8.6%

唔知 Don’t know 41.5% 58.9% 61.7% 61.3% 67.6% 65.3% 70.7% 66.6% 64.5% 73.3% 71.9% 69.7%

調查月份 Month of survey 10/94 11/94 12/94 1/95 2/95 3/95 4/95 5/95 6/95 7/95 8/95 9/95

成功樣本 Successful cases 1866 526 1081 554 1125 587 1190 649 1147 559 1436 516

滿意 Satisfied 21.7% 16.2% 12.8% 14.7% 14.8% 17.5% 14.9% 11.1% 11.2% 10.7% 11.2% 15.2%

中立 Neutral 9.5% 8.2% 6.8% 7.8% 11.0% 7.6% 8.8% 7.5% 9.0% 10.4% 9.4% 5.4%

不滿 Dissatisfied 12.2% 10.0% 8.4% 12.5% 9.1% 7.1% 8.6% 5.9% 9.7% 8.3% 11.3% 9.4%

唔知 Don’t know 56.6% 65.7% 71.2% 65.1% 65.2% 67.7% 67.8% 75.6% 70.2% 70.6% 68.2% 69.9%

調查月份 Month of survey 10/95 11/95 12/95 1/96 2/96 3/96 4/96 5/96 6/96 7/96 8/96 9/96

成功樣本 Successful cases 2589 1054 1029 1108 1559 1144 1063 1638 1110 1042 1015 1081

滿意 Satisfied 10.8% 12.9% 12.1% 11.0% 11.4% 21.7% 18.2% 17.8% 11.3% 10.2% 11.6% 11.7%

中立 Neutral 9.2% 6.9% 11.3% 10.1% 7.2% 9.0% 10.5% 10.0% 8.7% 6.7% 9.5% 6.3%

不滿 Dissatisfied 14.0% 14.5% 9.8% 9.4% 7.7% 7.1% 5.8% 6.0% 4.0% 5.3% 4.8% 6.1%

唔知 Don’t know 66.0% 65.8% 67.0% 69.6% 73.8% 62.4% 65.6% 66.1% 76.2% 77.9% 74.2% 76.0%

調查月份 Month of survey 10/96 11/96 12/96 1/97 2/97 3/97 4/97` 5/97 6/97

成功樣本 Successful cases 2420 1053 1702 1131 1070 1038 1044 1054 1082

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July 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2 滿意 Satisfied 14.7% 15.3% 14.4% 19.7% 19.1% 19.4% 16.0% 13.5% 14.1% 英國統治結束中立 Neutral 12.2% 8.4% 8.5% 8.3% 8.4% 10.1% 8.1% 8.8% 8.9% British rule ended

不滿 Dissatisfied 11.7% 9.3% 8.0% 9.2% 10.8% 7.6% 6.7% 6.6% 6.6%

唔知 Don’t know 61.4% 67.1% 69.1% 62.9% 61.8% 63.0% 69.2% 71.1% 70.6%

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July 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2

總結市民對彭定康施政報告滿意程度Round-up of People’s Satisfaction with Chris Patten’s Policy Addresses

對彭定康施政報告的滿意程度方面,其起跌的趨勢與彭定康的得分趨勢相當接近。在九二年的十一月,市民對彭定康的施政報告評價最高,有三成九的被訪者對其施政報告表示滿意,至於對施政報告滿意程度最低的則是九五年十月,當時只有十一個百分比的市民表示對其施政報告滿意。總體而言,市民一般對彭定康在九二至九四年施政報告的滿意程度較其後為高。

As regards people’s satisfaction with Patten’s policy addresses, he received the highest rating in October 1992, with 39% of the respondents expressing satisfaction. He received the lowest rating in October 1995, with only 11% expressing satisfaction. Generally speaking, people were more satisfied with Patten’s policy addresses from 1992 to 1994 than those announced afterwards.

請問你整體黎講對港督係該年發表既施政報告滿唔滿意呢? How satisfied are you with the Governor's policy address?

全年平均數(由十月至次年九月) Year Average (from October to following September) 調查年份 Year of survey 92/93 93/94 94/95 95/96 96/97調查次數 Number of surveys 52 25 18 28 20成功樣本 Successful cases 36,961 16,684 11,236 15,432 11,594回應率 Response rate 61.6% 58.8% 58.5% 53.1% 44.9%

滿意 Satisfied 28.9% 18.3% 14.3% 13.4% 16.2%

中立 Neutral 9.7% 8.8% 8.4% 8.8% 9.1%

不滿 Dissatisfied 10.9% 8.5% 9.4% 7.8% 8.5%

唔知/難講/唔瞭解 Don't know 50.5% 64.4% 67.8% 70.0% 66.2%

¥ «¥ Á¹ ï¬ I¬ F³ ø§ iº ¡· Nµ {« × Satisfaction with the Policy Addresses

35.9%

21.7%

36.2%

20.2%

38.6%

13.4%15.2%

11.7%

21.7%

10.8%

14.1%

19.7%

14.7%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

35.0%

40.0%

1/93 5/93 9/93 1/94 5/94 9/94 1/95 5/95 9/95 1/96 5/96 9/96 1/97 5/97

1992/93 1993/94 1994/95 1995/96 1996/97

請你用 0 - 100 分評價 XXX對香港既功過,0分代表絕大過失,100分代表絕大功勞,50分代表功過參半,你會比幾多分英國既統治?Please use 0-100 to evaluate the merits/faults of XXX. 0 indicates absolute fault, 100 indicates absolute merit, 50 indicates half-half.調查日期 Date of survey : 16-17/6/97回應率 Response rate : 50.6%

平均分數Average score

標準誤差Standard error

總人數Total sample

評分人數Raters

評分比率Recognition rate

Chris Patten 彭定康 52.2 0.6 1090 1012 92.8%The British rule 英國統治 67.3 0.4 1090 1025 94.0%

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年七月號

總結市民自九三年來對中、英、港、台政府的信任程度Round-up of People’s Trust in the Chinese, British, Hong Kong,

and Taiwan Governments since 1993

在一九九三年開始,本中心研究組就市民對中、英、港、台政府的信任程度進行測試。在四個政府當中,歷年的數據均顯示市民對香港政府較為信任,而且信任程度有逐年上升的趨勢,由九三年的四成七(表示信任港府的全年平均數)上升至九七年的六成三。此上升走勢只在九五年度有例外,當年表示對港府信任的只有四成八,不足被訪者的一半,此結果與較早前提及的彭定康得分及對其施政報告的滿意程度相當吻合。

至於對中國政府及英國政府的信任程度方面,市民對兩國政府的不信任程度均有下降趨勢。就信任中國政府而言,九三年平均有五成一被訪者表示對其不信任;到九七年,表示不信任的比率已跌至四成二。雖然不信任中國政府的被訪者仍佔大多數,但相對而言,對其表示信任的比率已由九三年的一成九升至九七年的二成九,在數字上仍反映市民心目中的中國政府較九三年值得信任。市民對信任英國政府的變化程度與對信任中國政府相若,對英國政府表示不信任的比率,由九三年平均的四成六跌至九七年的四成,相對信任程度則由九三年的二成二升至九七年的三成一。不過,將信任中國政府及英國政府在五年的比率相比,不難發現市民對信任中國政府的比率的增加幅度較對信任英國大。

對台灣政府方面,似乎市民對其信任程度沒有一定的趨勢。表示信任台灣政府的比率,以九三年為最高,平均有四成被訪者表示對其信任,最新九七年的平均數字卻顯示,不信任的比率成為九三年來的最高

峰,有四成七被訪者表示對台灣政府不信任。Starting from 1993, the POP Team has been

conducting surveys on people’s trust in the Chinese, British, Hong Kong and Taiwan governments. Over the years, people have shown the greatest trust in the Hong Kong government. Moreover, their degree of trust increased year after year; and the average rose from 47% in 1993 to 63% in 1997, with the year 1995 as the only exception to the upward trend. (This result was consistent with the ratings of Patten and his policy addresses.)

On the other hand, people’s distrust in the Chinese and British governments has declined over the same period. Our surveys in 1993 revealed that on average 51% distrusted the Chinese government, but the figure dropped to 42% in 1997. Meanwhile, the year average of ‘trust’ has increased from 19% to 29%. (This reflects that people now trust the Chinese government more than that in 1993.) Considering people’s trust in the British government, the degree of change is more or less the same. In 1993, an average of 46% expressed ‘distrust’, but the figure dropped to 40% in 1997. Meanwhile the average of ‘trust’ has increased from 22% to 31%. Yet, when comparing the figures for both governments, it can be seen that the increase in people’s trust in the Chinese government is greater than that in the British government.

Regarding the Taiwan government, the highest figure showing trust is 40% in 1993. Nevertheless, our surveys in 1997 also reveal an average of 47% of the respondents distrusted the Taiwan government, reaching the highest since 1993.

一九九三年平均數 1993 average 一九九四年平均數 1994 average中國政府 Chinese

government

英國政府 British

government

香港政府Hong Kong government

台灣政府Taiwan

government

中國政府 Chinese

government

英國政府 British

government

香港政府Hong Kong government

台灣政府Taiwan

government

成功樣本 Successful cases 6325 6325 6325 2159 7572 7572 7572 3146

回應率 Response rate 59.5% 59.5% 59.5% 57.5% 56.7% 56.7% 56.7% 55.3%

信任 Trust 19.2% 22.4% 47.1% 39.6% 23.9% 27.6% 54.7% 30.3%

中立 Neutral 21.5% 23.4% 23.3% 13.8% 17.3% 19.4% 16.9% 14.7%

不信任 Distrust 50.8% 45.8% 22.8% 24.7% 49.2% 43.5% 21.4% 27.4%

不知道 Don’t know 8.4% 8.3% 6.8% 21.9% 9.6% 9.5% 7.1% 27.6%

撇除“不知道”者 Omitting “Don’t know”信任 Trust 21.0% 24.4% 66.1% 50.7% 26.4% 30.5% 58.8% 41.2%

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年七月號中立 Neutral 23.5% 25.6% 19.7% 17.5% 19.1% 21.4% 18.2% 20.2%

不信任 Distrust 55.5% 50.0% 14.1% 31.8% 54.4% 48.1% 23.0% 38.6%

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July 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2

一九九五年平均數 1995 average 一九九六年平均數 1996 average

中國政府 Chinese

government

英國政府 British

government

香港政府Hong Kong government

台灣政府Taiwan

government

中國政府 Chinese

government

英國政府 British

government

香港政府Hong Kong government

台灣政府Taiwan

government

成功樣本 Successful cases 6900 6900 6900 3278 6557 6557 6557 3853

回應率 Response rate 57.0% 57.0% 57.0% 53.6% 50.9% 50.9% 50.9% 51.1%

信任 Trust 21.7% 25.2% 48.4% 17.0% 24.7% 27.3% 57.6% 24.8%

中立 Neutral 19.4% 21.3% 22.2% 15.0% 23.8% 23.4% 23.2% 13.5%

不信任 Distrust 49.1% 43.6% 22.7% 37.5% 43.2% 40.9% 14.3% 36.1%

不知道 Don’t know 9.9% 9.9% 6.8% 30.5% 8.4% 8.3% 5.0% 25.7%

撇除“不知道”者 Omitting “Don’t know”信任 Trust 24.1% 28.0% 51.9% 24.5% 26.9% 29.8% 60.6% 33.1%

中立 Neutral 21.5% 23.6% 23.8% 21.4% 25.9% 25.5% 24.4% 18.1%

不信任 Distrust 54.5% 48.4% 24.3% 54.1% 47.2% 44.7% 15.1% 48.8%

一九九七年數字 1997 Figures中國政府

Chinese government英國政府

British government香港政府

Hong Kong government台灣政府

Taiwan government

九七上半年平均數

1997 Half-year average

九七年六月

June 1997

九七上半年平均數

1997 Half-year average

九七年六月

June 1997

九七上半年平均數

1997 Half-year average

九七年六月

June 1997

九七上半年平均數

1997 Half-year average

九七年六月

June 1997

成功樣本 Successful cases 3276 544 3276 544 3276 544 1591 538

回應率 Response rate 43.5% 40.4% 43.5% 40.4% 43.5% 40.4% 41.0% 39.4%

信任 Trust 29.0% 28.5% 31.0% 29.5% 63.2% 62.9% 16.4% 15.7%

中立 Neutral 21.0% 23.8% 21.2% 23.8% 18.8% 18.9% 11.8% 10.7%

不信任 Distrust 41.7% 36.2% 40.1% 34.7% 13.5% 12.9% 46.6% 46.9%

不知道 Don’t know 8.3% 11.4% 7.8% 11.9% 4.5% 5.3% 25.3% 26.7%

撇除“不知道”者 Omitting “Don’t know”信任 Trust 31.6% 32.2% 33.6% 33.5% 66.1% 66.4% 21.9% 21.4%

中立 Neutral 22.9% 26.9% 23.0% 27.0% 19.7% 20.0% 15.8% 14.6%

不信任 Distrust 45.5% 40.9% 43.4% 39.4% 14.1% 13.6% 62.3% 64.0%

特首董建華評分Ratings of the Chief Executive Tung Chee-hwa

調查日期 Date of Survey 支持度 Support Rating 按月平均分 Monthly Average五月份第一次調查 1st survey in May 2,5/5/97 57.4 58.6

五月份第二次調查 2nd survey in May 19-20/5/97 58.8 (五月 May)五月份第三次調查 3rd survey in May 27/5/97 59.7

六月份第一次調查 1st survey in June 5-6/6/97 58.1 57.9

六月份第二次調查 2nd survey in June 23-24/6/97 59.7 (六月 June)六月份第三次調查 3rd survey in June 25/6/97 56.0

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July 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年七月號

十大大陸及台灣政治人物評分Ratings of the Top Ten Political Figures in Mainland China and Taiwan

為呼應「一國兩制」的新時代,民意研究組決定在七月開始把「五大中國領導人」評分更改為「十大大陸及台灣政治人物評分」,以反映市民對大陸及台灣人物的認識及支持度。讀者需要注意的是,於今次評分榜中上榜次數只有一次的人物,並不代表其過往未獲市民所認識,因為有些人物可能在過往的評分榜中排行第六或以後的位置,故沒有被顯示在過往的評分榜中;然而,當今次由五位增加為十位的時候,某些人物便可能會因為名單增加而入榜。

As Hong Kong enters the new era of “one country, two systems”, our POP Team has decided to expand the scope of the ‘Ratings of the Top Five Chinese Figures’ to ‘Ratings of the Top Ten Political Figures in Mainland China and Taiwan’. For those who appears on the list only once, it does not imply that they were not recognized by the public in the past. Instead, those figures might have ranked the sixth or lower, so that their names were not shown on the list before. After the rating scope has been expanded, they became enlisted.

調查日期 Date of survey第一階段訪問日期(提名):

First stage (naming)23-24/6/97

九七年七月份調查結果Result from survey in July 1997

累積過去十二個月(六次)調查結果 Accumulated results in the past 12 months

(6 surveys)

第二階段訪問日期(評分):Second stage (rating)

8/7/97

支持度Supportrating

標準誤差Standard

error

總人數Total

sample

評分人數No. of raters

認知度Recognition

rate

上榜次數No. of time on the list

平均支持度Average

support rating

平均認知度Average rate

of recognition

Qian Qichen 錢其琛 61.6 1.1 538 315 58.6% 6 59.7 67.3%Jiang Zemin 江澤民 60.1 1.2 538 319 59.3% 6 56.5 72.3%Zhu Rongji 朱鎔基 59.4 1.2 538 239 44.4% 3 58.9 52.3%Lu Ping 魯平 53.7 1.1 538 322 59.9% 6 52.4 73.0%Lee Teng-hui 李登輝 52.2 1.2 538 267 49.6% 1 52.2 49.6%Zhou Nan 周南 52.1 1.1 538 288 53.5% 1 52.1 53.5%Qiao Shi 喬石 50.4 1.5 538 159 29.6% 1 50.4 29.6%Lien Chan 連戰 49.9 1.4 538 177 32.9% 1 49.9 32.9%Li Peng 李鵬 48.8 1.3 538 323 60.0% 6 44.1 72.7%Yang Shangkun 楊尚昆 46.3 1.6 538 206 38.3% 1 46.3 38.3%

首五名平均分 Top 5 average 57.4 54.3%

首十名平均分 Top 10 average 53.5 48.6%

市民對「一國兩制」及香港前途的信心Confidence in “One Country, Two Systems”, and Hong Kong’s Future

調查日期 Date of survey: 2,5/5/97; 15-16,19/5/97; 27/5/97, 5-6/6/97, 25/6/97整體黎講, 你對一國兩制/香港前途有冇信心 On the whole, do you have confidence in ‘one country, two systems’ / HK’s future?

一國兩制 One country, two systems 香港前途 Hong Kong’s future五月份第一次調查 1st survey in May 59.0% 68.9%

五月份第二次調查 2nd survey in May 49.6% 71.4%

五月份第三次調查 3rd survey in May - 71.8%

六月份第一次調查 1st survey in June 56.8% 67.9%

六月份第二次調查 2nd survey in June - 75.2%

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July 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2

市民最關注的範圍Areas of People’s Concern

調查日期 Date of survey: 22-27/4,1/5/97, 23-24/6/97問題: 香港而家面對好多問題,你個人最關心邊種問題?Question: Hong Kong is facing a lot of problems. What kind of problems are you most concerned with?

政治問題Political problems

經濟問題Economic problems

社會問題Social problems

沒有意見No opinion

四月份調查 Survey in April 11.2% 33.8% 42.4% 12.6%

六月份調查 Survey in June 10.4% 31.2% 43.0% 13.4%

問題: 整體黎講,你滿唔滿意香港而家既政治/經濟/社會環境?Question: Are you satisfied with Hong Kong’s political/economic/social condition?

滿意Satisfied

中立Neutral

不滿Dissatisfied

唔知/難講Don’t know

政治環境 Political condition四月份調查 Survey in April 42.2% 14.0% 29.2% 14.4%

六月份調查 Survey in June 47.1% 14.2% 24.4% 14.3%

經濟環境 Economic condition四月份調查 Survey in April 51.2% 14.2% 31.7% 2.8%

六月份調查 Survey in June 59.4% 12.4% 26.9% 1.3%

社會環境 Social condition四月份調查 Survey in April 57.8% 13.9% 25.4% 2.9%

六月份調查 Survey in June 58.8% 14.1% 25.6% 1.5%

問題: 同三年前比較,你覺得香港而家既 XXX 環境好左定差左?Question: Do you think Hong Kong’s XXX condition has become better or worse in the last three years?

(比三年前)好Better

差不多Same

(比三年前)差Worse

唔知/難講Don’t know

政治 Political四月份調查 Survey in April 22.7% 20.2% 43.0% 14.1%

六月份調查 Survey in June 29.5% 21.1% 38.4% 11.0%

經濟 Economic四月份調查 Survey in April 26.9% 17.9% 51.1% 4.0%

六月份調查 Survey in June 38.1% 12.2% 45.5% 4.2%

社會 Social四月份調查 Survey in April 31.7% 24.3% 39.7% 4.3%

六月份調查 Survey in June 36.4% 22.1% 37.0% 4.5%

問題: 以你估計,三年後香港既 XXX 環境會比而家好定差?Question: Do you think Hong Kong’s XXX condition will become better or worse in three years’ time?

(比目前)好Better

差不多Same

(比目前)差Worse

唔知/難講Don’t know

政治 Political四月份調查 Survey in April 19.3% 8.6% 38.6% 33.4%

六月份調查 Survey in June 23.6% 10.6% 33.4% 32.5%

經濟 Economic四月份調查 Survey in April 31.5% 14.2% 25.7% 28.6%

六月份調查 Survey in June 35.7% 14.8% 21.1% 28.4%

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July 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2 社會 Social四月份調查 Survey in April 28.9% 16.3% 29.9% 24.9%

六月份調查 Survey in June 32.2% 14.6% 25.6% 27.6%

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年七月號五大政治團體評分

Ratings of the Top Five Political Groups

調查日期 Date of survey第一階段訪問日期(提

名):First stage (naming)

5-6/6/97

九七年六月份調查結果 Result from survey in June 1997

累積過去十二個月( 六次)調查結果 Accumulated results in the past 12 months

(6 surveys)

第二階段訪問日期(評分):

Second stage (rating)23-24/6/97

支持度Supportrating

標準誤差Standard

error

總人數Total

sample

評分人數No. of raters

認知度Recognition

rate

上榜次數No. of time on the list

平均支持度Average support

rating

平均認知度Average rate of

recognition

FTU 工聯會 60.0 0.9 538 332 61.7% 5 58.9 61.4%DP 民主黨 57.6 1.0 538 406 75.5% 6 57.9 76.0%ADPL 民協 53.5 1.0 538 289 53.7% 6 53.0 54.3%DAB 民建聯 52.7 1.0 538 317 58.9% 6 53.0 60.3%LP 自由黨 52.7 1.0 538 359 66.7% 6 52.0 65.3%

首五名平均分 Top 5 average 55.3 63.3%

ADPL = Hong Kong Association for Democracy & People's Livelihood 香港民主民生協進會DAB = Democratic Alliance for the Betterment of Hong Kong 民主建港聯盟DP = Democratic Party 民主黨FTU = Hong Kong Federation of Trade Unions 工聯會LP = Liberal Party 自由黨

台灣問題民意調查Surveys on the Taiwan Issues

對台灣獨立的意見 Independence of Taiwan 你贊唔贊成台灣獨立?Do you agree to Taiwan becoming independent?

22-24,26-27/4,1/5/97 23-24/6/97贊成 Yes 25.0% 19.4%唔贊成 No 61.7% 64.2%唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 13.4% 16.4%

對大陸與台灣統一的意見 Reunification of Taiwan and Mainland China 你有無信心大陸同台灣終於能夠統一? Are you confident in the ultimate reunification of Taiwan and Mainland China?

有信心 Yes 42.2% 41.0%無信心 No 42.5% 44.8%唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 15.3% 14.2%

對台灣重新加入聯合國的意見 Whether Taiwan Should Rejoin the United Nations 你贊唔贊成台灣重新加入聯合國?Do you agree to Taiwan rejoining the United Nations?

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年七月號贊成 Yes 38.4% 37.6%唔贊成 No 42.0% 40.1%唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 19.7% 22.3%

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July 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2

九七回歸前市民的心情Feelings about the 1997 Transition

調查日期 Date of survey 25/6/97 29/6/97 30/6/97 1/7/97 2/7/97 8/7/97

成功樣本 Successful cases 548 570 555 560 566 538

回應率 Response rate 47.6% 73.1% 77.4% 75.6% 72.9% 49.8%

問題:你會用乜野形容詞黎形容你對香港九七主權回歸既心情?Question: Please describe your feelings about the 1997 transition in a single word.

正面形容詞 Positive words 24.2% 29.1% 35.1% 31.3% 28.9% 11.5%

負面形容詞 Negative words 12.4% 4.7% 8.5% 4.5% 4.9% 5.8%

混合形容詞 Ambivalent words 6.4% 4.6% 5.9% 3.2% 4.4% 4.1%

中性形容詞 Neutral words 53.6% 59.1% 47.7% 58.3% 59.4% 76.1%

不知道 Don’t know 3.3% 2.5% 2.7% 2.7% 2.5% 2.4%

九七年六月份社研定期調查之樣本數據 Contact information for POP tracking polls conducted in June 1997第一次調查 First poll 第二次調查 First poll

日期 Date of surveys 5-6/6/97 23-24/6/97

訪問對象 Target population 十八歲或以上之香港市民 Hong Kong population aged 18 or above調查方法 Survey method 電話訪問 Telephone survey抽樣方法 Sampling method 從住宅電話簿中隨機抽出號碼,再用電腦配套另一部份。當成功接觸目標住戶後,

再用出生日期抽取其中一名被訪者接受訪問。Telephone numbers were selected randomly from telephone directories; and additional numbers were generated by the computer. If more than one subject had been available, the one who had his/her birthday next would be selected.

成功樣本 Successful cases 544 538

回應率 Response rate 40.4% 39.4%

抽樣誤差 Standard error 2.1% 2.2%

《民意快訊》編輯委員會 EDITORIAL COMMITTEE OF POP EXPRESS 主編 Chief Editor : 鍾庭耀 Chung Ting-yiu Robert副編 Editors : 陳夢施 Chan Mung-sze Natalie,楊釬岩 Yeung Chin-arm Patrick編務助理 Editorial Assistant : 李德成 Lee Tak-shing Patrick電話 Telephone : 2859 2988, 2859 2989傳真 Fax : 2517 6951地址 Address : 香港薄扶林道, 香港大學黃子明樓 8樓, 社會科學研究中心

Social Sciences Research Centre, 8/F, Wong Chue Meng Building, The University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam Road, Hong Kong.

鳴謝 ACKNOWLEDGMENT 亞洲電視有限公司 Asia Television Limited

(贊助九七回歸系列的各項民意調查11-11 11

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July 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2 for sponsoring opinion survey on 1997 transition)

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年七月號一九九七年六月二十六日特別號

號外 民意快訊 EXTRA POP EXPRESS 民意研究計劃 香港大學社會科學研究中心 Public Opinion Programme Social Sciences Research Centre (SSRC), The University of Hong Kong

有關此號外之查詢請致電 2859 2989 或傳呼 78982488 a/c 1204與施潔瑜小姐聯絡。Enquiries concerning this special release should be addressed to Miss Veronica Sze at 2859 2989, or 78982488 a/c 1204.

香港及台灣生活滿意程度比較調查Comparative Studies in Hong Kong and Taiwan People’s Satisfaction with Life

九七回歸在即,究竟市民對現時的生活狀況及未來發展有甚麼看法?尤其值得關注的是主權回歸中國後,香港及台灣的關係又會否改變?民意研究小組受台灣華芳文教基金委託,與台灣私立世界新聞傳播學院合作,進行一項有關香港及台灣市民對香港九七過渡及生活滿意程度的比較調查。香港方面的調查由研究組負責,於五月廿九至三十日進行,而台灣方面則由台灣私立世界新聞傳播學院民意調查研究中心於五月三十至六月一日進行。調查結果已於六月廿一日在台灣發

表。As the handover draws near, our POP Team was

commissioned by the Hua Fang Foundation of Taiwan to conduct a comparative study on Hong Kong and Taiwan people’s view on Hong Kong and local issues. The Hong Kong survey was conducted by our POP Team while the Taiwan survey was conducted by the World College of Journalism and Communications in Taiwan. The result of the study was released in Taiwan on 21 June 1997.

香港調查 Survey in Hong Kong 台灣調查 Survey in Taiwan 調查日期 Date of survey: 29-30/5/1997 30/5 - 1/6/1997

成功樣本 Successful cases: 1021 1084

調查方法 Survey method: 電話調查 Telephone survey 電話調查 Telephone survey訪問對象 Target population:

十八歲或以上香港居民Hong Kong population aged 18 or above

二十歲或以上台灣民眾 Taiwan population aged 20 or above回應率 Response rate: 43.5% 65.1%

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July 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2 Special Release of 26 June 1997

港台兩地民眾對香港九七回歸的看法Hong Kong and Taiwan People’s View on the 1997 Transition

問題: 請問你認為大陸響一九九七年接管香港後,香港既整體情況會變得愈黎愈好、愈黎愈差、定係會同而家差唔多?Question: Do you think Hong Kong’s situation will become better, worse, or remain the same after the 1997 transition?

香港調查 Hong Kong Survey 台灣調查 Taiwan Survey 愈黎愈好 Better 16.5% 5.9%

愈黎愈差 Worse 12.0% 17.9%

同而家一樣/同而家差唔多 No change 58.3% 43.0%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 13.2% 32.2%

問題: 北京政府表示,響一九九七年之後,將會係香港實行「一國兩制」及「港人治港」政策,並且維持五十年不變,請問你相唔相信呢個講法?

Question: Beijing has promised to rule Hong Kong according to the principles of “one country, two systems” and “Hong Kong people rule Hong Kong” for the next 50 years. Do you believe it would honour its promise?

非常相信 Very much 6.1% 1.5%

幾相信 Just so 43.1% 6.1%

唔係幾相信 Not quite 30.1% 44.0%

絕對唔相信 Absolutely not 7.3% 23.5%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 13.4% 24.3%

問題: 你認為大陸係一九九七年收番香港之後,台灣同香港既經貿關係會變得更好、更差、定係同而家差唔多?Question: Do you think the Hong Kong-Taiwan trading relation will become better, worse, or remain the same after the transition?

更好 Better 19.4% 7.3%

更差 Worse 17.9% 28.4%

同而家一樣/同而家差唔多 No change 49.7% 37.5%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 13.0% 25.9%

香港人對台灣及大陸印象比較Hong Kong People’s Impression of Taiwan and Mainland China

問題: 請問你對XXX既整體印象好唔好? Question: What is your general impression of XXX?

台灣 Taiwan 大陸 Mainland China

非常好 Very good 0.9% ) 1.0% )

幾好 Quite good 43.9% ) 44.8% 36.0% ) 37.0%

唔係幾好 Quite bad 36.4% ) 50.8% )

非常唔好 Very bad 2.3% ) 38.7% 6.9% ) 57.7%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 16.6% 5.3%

台灣人對香港及大陸印象比較Taiwan People’s Impression of Hong Kong and Mainland China

問題: 請問你對XXX既整體印象好唔好? Question: What is your general impression of XXX?

香港 Hong Kong 大陸 Mainland China

非常好 Very good 3.1% ) 0.6% )

幾好 Quite good 48.5% ) 51.6% 14.9% ) 15.5%

唔係幾好 Quite bad 17.2% ) 44.6% )

非常唔好 Very bad 2.6% ) 19.8% 15.3% ) 59.9%

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唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 28.4% 24.4%

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年七月號一九九七年六月二十六日特別號

國際地位評價Appraisal of International Status

問題: 你認為XXX係國際上既地位受唔受到重視? Question: How would you rate the international status of XXX?

香港調查 Hong Kong Survey 香港 Hong Kong

台灣調查 Taiwan Survey 台灣 Taiwan

非常受重視 Very respectable 14.4% ) 2.2% )

幾受重視 Quite respectable 72.5% ) 86.9% 19.8% ) 22.0%

唔係幾受重視 Not quite respectable 6.6% ) 46.9% )

非常唔受重視 Not respectable at all 0.9% ) 7.5% 17.9% ) 64.8%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 5.6% 13.0%

對政府的期望Expectations on the Government

問題: 你認為政府係未來十年應該優先進行邊一方面既發展?Question: What do you think should be the government’s priority in the next ten years?

香港調查 Hong Kong Survey 台灣調查 Taiwan Survey 房屋問題 Housing problems 27.7% 無此選項 No such item 經濟發展 Economic development 22.8% 14.2%

教育質素 Quality of education 9.2% 6.9%

政治民主 Politics and democracy 7.6% 4.9%

治安秩序 Law and order 2.7% 38.8%

公民教育 Civic education 0.9% 1.8%

環境保護 Environmental protection 0.3% 3.4%

藝術文化 Arts and culture 0.3% 0.5%

倫理道德 Moral ethics 0.2% 2.5%

其他方面 Other areas 11.7% 10.1%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 16.7% 12.0%

政府表現指標Indicators of the Performance of the Government

正面答案 Positive Answers 負面答案 Negative Answers

香港調查 Hong Kong Survey

台灣調查 Taiwan Survey

香港調查 Hong Kong

Survey

台灣調查 Taiwan Survey

政府官員貪污情況不嚴重 Corruption among government officials not serious

72.0% 15.9% 11.2 % 67.6%

行政效率高 Efficient administration 62.2% 13.6% 25.6% 66.4%

重視人權 Respect human rights 61.9% 40.5% 26.2% 38.2%

重視民意 Respect public opinion 45.6% 33.8% 43.2% 49.4%

政府官員處理事務立場公正 Fair management by government officials

44.8% 7.4% 35.2% 51.1%

政府整體表現滿意程度Satisfaction with overall performance

75.1% 24.6% 19.1% 57.6%

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年七月號一九九七年六月二十六日特別號

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July 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2 Special Release of 26 June 1997

生活狀況指標Indicators of People’s Living Conditions

正面答案 Positive Answers 負面答案 Negative Answers

香港調查 Hong Kong Survey

台灣調查 Taiwan Survey

香港調查 Hong Kong Survey

台灣調查 Taiwan Survey

市民守法 Citizens obey the laws 80.2% 22.6% 12.8% 64.2%

宗教信仰自由受保障 Religious freedom protected 77.0% 76.4% 7.8% 7.6%

言論自由受保障 Freedom of speech protected 75.2% 65.8% 17.2% 14.9%

良好經濟狀況 Healthy economy 68.8% 18.6% 28.9% 70.3%

司法制度公平 Fair judicial system 65.1% 17.9% 17.0% 52.0%

社會治安良好 Good law and order 60.3% 5.5% 37.0% 91.1%

交通問題不嚴重 Traffic problems not serious 52.8% 21.1% 42.4% 75.0%

文化水平高 High cultural standards 51.8% 34.6% 37.1% 36.8%

個人收入理想 Satisfactory personal income 49.6% 30.7% 33.6% 42.7%

傳媒報導公正 Fair reporting in the media 47.1% 29.3% 40.1% 53.7%

社會福利良好 Good social welfare 46.8% 24.7% 47.3% 58.6%

社會公平 Fair society 45.9% 14.6% 39.5% 60.6%

物價水平滿意 Satisfactory prices 36.4% 20.7% 60.8% 63.9%

環境污染不嚴重 Pollution problems not serious 22.5% 15.9% 74.5% 79.8%

貧富懸殊不嚴重 Discrepancy between rich and poor not serious

21.4% 23.3% 75.0% 69.2%

整體生活滿意程度Satisfaction with overall living conditions

77.1% 50.4% 20.9% 32.7%

選擇居留原地 Chose to stay behind 81.5% 73.8% 14.0% 21.9%

索閱表格(歡迎加印)Request Form (Please make your own copies)

本人欲定期訂閱《民意快訊》: 由 __________年_________月 至 ___________年__________月I would like to subscribe to POP Express from ________________to _________________

□ 郵寄本港 by post, local ($15@) □ 郵寄海外 by post, overseas ($19@)

姓名 Name: 電話 Tel. no: 傳真 Fax no.:_______________________

機構 Organization: 職位 Position:______________________

《民意快訊》乃香港大學社會科學研究中心民意研究計劃自一九九六年九月開始按月出版之刊物,目的是為社會人士提供研究計劃的最新成果。研究計劃的成立日期為一九九一年六月。任何查詢可致電 2859 2988 或傳真 2517- 6951《民意快訊》編輯鍾庭耀(主編)、陳夢施及楊釬岩。此乃號外,並非定期《民意快訊》。POP EXPRESS is a monthly newsletter published by the Public Opinion Programme (POP) of the Social Sciences Research Centre in The University of Hong Kong since September 1996. POP EXPRESS aims at disseminating the latest opinion data collected by the POP Team for public consumption. The POP programme was set up in June 1991. Enquiries can be addressed to any of the following editors: Chung Ting-yiu Robert (Chief Editor), Chan Mung-sze Natalie, or Yeung Chin-arm Patrick at telephone 2859 2988 or fax 2517 6951. This Special Issue is an extra to our regular monthly release.

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年七月號一九九七年六月二十七日特別號

號外 民意快訊 EXTRA POP EXPRESS 民意研究計劃 香港大學社會科學研究中心 Public Opinion Programme Social Sciences Research Centre (SSRC), The University of Hong Kong

有關此號外之查詢請致電 2859 2989 或傳呼 7898 2488 a/c 1204與施潔瑜小姐聯絡。Enquiries concerning this special release should be addressed to Miss Veronica Sze at 2859 2989, or 7898 2488 a/c 1204.

九一/九五及九五/九七年兩屆立法局議員評分總結Ratings of the Legco Members for 1991/95 and 1995/97

民意研究小組多年來不斷以十大議員評分的方式測試市民對立法局議員的評價,是次號外總結了九二年至九七年間研究組對兩屆立法局議員的評分調查、認識程度及滿意程度。

應屆立法局議員中,以劉千石、劉慧卿、陸恭蕙、李柱銘、司徒華及李鵬飛六位最受歡迎,由九五年當選至今共十一個十大議員評分調查中,每次都榜上有名,劉千石更以平均支持度 63.7分佔榜首,而劉慧卿則以 63.6分排第二位。

上屆立法局議員則以劉慧卿得分最高,九二至九五年共十七個調查中,每次上榜,平均分 64.2。除劉氏外,李柱銘、司徒華、周梁淑怡及李鵬飛均每次上榜,平均認知度都在七成半以上。

以議員的政黨景背劃分,現屆立法局議員中則以民主黨議員上榜次數最多,佔三成七,其次是自由黨,一成九。對比上屆議員,亦以民主黨的前身港同盟的議員上榜次數最多,佔三成三,獨立議員次之,佔三成一。

把各上榜議員按其不同議席分類,明顯看出分區直選議員上榜次數最多,九五至九七年的十一次調查中(每次十名,共一百一十個次),七成八是分區直選議員,平均支持度是 59.8分;功能組別的議員只有二成二,平均支持度 58.3分。至於九二至九五年的十七次調查共一百七十個次,佔五成八是分區直選議員,二成半委任及一成七功能組別,平均支持度亦以分區直選議員得 59.7分佔優。直選議員在市民心目中的評價較高,亦可從最近一次調查印證。四成市民滿意現

屆直選立法局議員的表現,滿意功能組別的只有二成八,滿意選舉委員會間選議員的只有二成一。

(下接第四頁)

Over the years, the POP Team has been studying people’s evaluation of the Legislative councillors. Among current legislators, Lau Chin-shek, Emily Lau, Christine Loh, Martin Lee, Szeto Wah and Allen Lee are the most popular. Since 1995, all of them have been on the list of top-ten. Lau Chin-shek topped the list with an average support rating of 63.7, followed closely by Emily Lau’s 63.6. During the session of 1991/95, Emily Lau received the highest rating, with an average of 64.2, and was among the top-ten for all 17 surveys. Martin Lee, Szeto Wah, Selina Chow and Allen Lee were also on the list always, and their average degree of recognition stood above 75%.

Grouping the most popular councillors by their constituencies, it is quite obvious that direct elected councillors appeared on the list most frequently. In the 11 surveys conducted between 1995 and 1997, 78% of those listed were from geographical constituencies whereas functional constituency members accounted for only 22%. From 1992 to 1995, in our 17 surveys, 58% went to direct elected members, 25% to the appointed, and 17% to those belonging to functional constituencies.

Classified by their political background, members of the Democratic Party were the most popular among all existing Legislative councillors and accounted for 37% of the listed ones. The Liberal Party came second with 19%.

The superiority of direct elected Legco members was also demonstrated by our recent survey, which found that 40% of respondents were satisfied with their performance, whereas only 28% and 21% were satisfied with members returned by functional constituencies and the Election Committee respectively.

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年七月號一九九七年六月二十七日特別號

(cont. on p.4)

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July 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2 Special Release of 27 June 1997

Accumulated results between 1992 and 1995 (17 surveys)累積九二至九五年(十七次)調查結果Legco members of 1991/95九一至九五立法局議員 Party affiliation*

政黨背景*

Type of constituency

選舉組別No. of time on list /

percentage上榜次數 / 百分率Average support

rating平均支持度Average rate

of recognition平均認知度Emily Lau 劉慧卿 Independent 獨立 Geographical分區直選 17 / 100.0% 64.2 76.9%Martin Lee 李柱銘 DP 民主黨 Geographical分區直選 17 / 100.0% 60.8 82.8%Szeto Wah 司徒華 DP 民主黨 Geographical分區直選 17 / 100.0% 58.4 82.1%Selina Chow 周梁淑怡 LP 自由黨 Appointed 委任 17 / 100.0% 56.4 77.4%Allen Lee 李鵬飛 LP 自由黨 Appointed 委任 17 / 100.0% 52.7 77.0%

Andrew Wong 黃宏發 Independent 獨立 Geographical分區直選 14 / 82.4% 55.0 68.8%Lau Chin-shek 劉千石 DP 民主黨 Geographical分區直選 13 / 76.5% 61.9 76.7%Elsie Tu 杜葉鍚恩 Independent 獨立 Functional 功能組別 12 / 70.6% 65.5 72.2%Christine Loh 陸恭蕙 Independent 獨立 Appointed 委任 9 / 52.9% 61.3 71.4%Frederick Fung 馮檢基 ADPL 民協 Geographical分區直選 9 / 52.9% 57.6 63.6%

Tam Yiu-chung 譚耀宗 FTU 工聯會 Functional 功能組別 8 / 47.1% 54.7 64.3%Lau Wong-fat 劉皇發 FSHK 穩定香港 Functional 功能組別 7 / 41.2% 50.6 65.7%Yeung Sum 楊森 DP 民主黨 Geographical分區直選 5 / 29.4% 59.6 65.1%Lee Wing-tat 李永達 DP 民主黨 Geographical分區直選 4 / 23.5% 55.6 62.0%Lee Cheuk-yan 李卓人 CTU 職工盟 Geographical分區直選 3 / 17.6% 60.0 62.8%Stephen Cheong 張鑑泉 Independent 獨立 Functional 功能組別 1 / 5.9% 51.5 67.4%

Independent 獨立 = Independent 獨立議員DP 民主黨 = Democratic Party 民主黨LP 自由黨 = Liberal Party 自由黨ADPL 民協 = Hong Kong Association for Democracy and People’s Livelihood 香港民主民生協進會FTU 工聯會 = Hong Kong Federation of Trade Unions 香港工會聯合會FSHK 穩定香港 = The Federation for the Stability of Hong Kong 穩定香港協會CTU 聯工盟 = Hong Kong Confederation of Trade Unions 香港職工會聯盟*以九五年六月為準 as of June 1995

九一 / 九五年不同議席類別議員評分比較 Ratings of the Legco members (1991/95) by type of constituency Breakdown by constituency比較議席類別評分 No. of times on list / percentage上榜次數 / 百分率 Average support rating平均支持度 Average rate of recognition平均認知度分區直選 Geographical constituency 99 / 58.2% 59.7 74.8%

委任議席 Appointed seats 43 / 25.3% 55.9 76.0%

功能組別 Functional constituency 28 / 16.5% 58.2 68.1%

九一 / 九五年不同政黨景背議員評分比較 Ratings of the Legco members (1991/95) by party background Party background of Legco members議員政黨景背 No. of times on list / percentage上榜次數 / 百分率 Average support rating平均支持度 Average rate of recognition平均認知度民主黨 DP 56 / 32.9% 59.8 78.1%

獨立 Independent 52 / 30.6% 61.5 72.7%

自由黨 LP 34 / 20.0% 54.5 77.2%

民協 ADPL 9 / 5.3% 57.6 63.6%

工聯會 FTU 8 / 4.7% 54.7 64.3%

穩定香港協會 FSHK 7 / 4.1% 50.6 65.7%

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July 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2 Special Release of 27 June 1997職工盟 CTU 3 / 1.8% 60.0 62.8%

工商專聯 BPF 1 / 0.6% 51.5 67.4%

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年七月號一九九七年六月二十七日特別號

Accumulated results between 1995 and 1997 (11 surveys)累積九五至九七年(十一次)調查結果Legco members of 1995/97九五/九七立法局議員 Party affiliation*

政黨背景*

Type of constituency

選舉組別No. of time on list /

percentage上榜次數 / 百分率Average

support rating平均支持度Average rate

of recognition平均認知度Lau Chin-shek 劉千石 DP 民主黨 Geographical分區直選 11 / 100.0% 63.7 78.7%Emily Lau 劉慧卿 Frontier 前線 Geographical分區直選 11 / 100.0% 63.6 77.7%Christine Loh 陸恭蕙 CP 民權黨 Geographical分區直選 11 / 100.0% 62.7 75.7%Martin Lee 李柱銘 DP 民主黨 Geographical分區直選 11 / 100.0% 60.5 80.8%Szeto Wah 司徒華 DP 民主黨 Geographical分區直選 11 / 100.0% 59.0 80.4%Allen Lee 李鵬飛 LP 自由黨 Geographical分區直選 11 / 100.0% 53.9 75.8%

Andrew Wong 黃宏發 Independent 獨立

Geographical分區直選 10 / 90.9% 55.4 70.6%

Selina Chow 周梁淑怡 LP 自由黨 Functional 功能組別 9 / 81.8% 56.5 72.8%Lee Cheuk-yan 李卓人 CTU 職工盟 Functional 功能組別 8 / 72.7% 61.8 73.6%

Yeung Sum 楊森 DP 民主黨 Geographical分區直選 4 / 36.4% 60.3 63.9%Frederick Fung 馮檢基 ADPL 民協 Geographical分區直選 3 / 27.3% 59.4 69.3%Elizabeth Wong 黃錢其濂 Frontier前線 Functional 功能組別 3 / 27.3% 57.7 70.7%Tsang Kin-shing 曾健成 DP 民主黨 Functional 功能組別 2 / 18.2% 60.2 70.1%Lee Wing-tat 李永達 DP 民主黨 Geographical分區直選 2 / 18.2% 59.7 66.5%Chan Yuen-han 陳婉嫻 DAB 民建聯 Geographical分區直選 1 / 9.1% 58.1 53.1%Chan Yiu-tong 鄭耀棠 FTU 工聯會 Functional 功能組別 1 / 9.1% 54.3 50.2%Lau Wong-fat 劉皇發 LP 自由黨 Functional 功能組別 1 / 9.1% 47.2 72.6%

Independent 獨立 = Independent 獨立議員DP 民主黨 = Democratic Party 民主黨LP 自由黨 = Liberal Party 自由黨ADPL 民協 = Hong Kong Association for Democracy and People’s Livelihood 香港民主民生協進會DAB 民建聯 = Democratic Alliance for the Betterment of Hong Kong香港民主建港聯盟Frontier 前線 = The Frontier前線CP 民權黨 = Citizens Party 民權黨FTU 工聯會 = Hong Kong Federation of Trade Unions 香港工會聯合會CTU 聯工盟 = Hong Kong Confederation of Trade Unions 香港職工會聯盟*以九七年六月為準 as of June 1997

九五 / 九七年不同議席類別議員評分比較 Ratings of the Legco members (1995/97) by type of constituency Breakdown by constituency比較議席類別評分 No. of times on list / percentage上榜次數 / 百分率 Average support rating平均支持度 Average rate of recognition平均認知度分區直選 Geographical constituency 86 / 78.2% 59.8 75.8%

功能組別 Functional constituency 24 / 21.8% 58.3 71.6%

九五 / 九七年不同政黨景背議員評分比較 Ratings of the Legco members (1995/97) by party background Party background of Legco members議員政黨景背 No. of times on list / percentage上榜次數 / 百分率 Average support rating平均支持度 Average rate of recognition平均認知度民主黨 DP 41 / 37.3% 60.9 77.3%

自由黨 LP 21 / 19.1% 54.7 74.3%

前線 Frontier 14 / 12.7% 62.3 76.2%

民權黨 CP 11 / 10.0% 62.7 75.7%

獨立 Independent 10 / 9.1% 55.4 70.6%

職工盟 CTU 8 / 7.3% 61.8 73.6%

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年七月號一九九七年六月二十七日特別號

民協 ADPL 3 / 2.7% 59.4 69.3%

民建聯 DAB 1 / 0.9% 58.1 53.1%

工聯會 FTU 1 / 0.9% 54.3 50.2%

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July 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2 Special Release of 27 June 1997

對現屆立法局議員表現的滿意程度 Satisfaction with current Legco members 調查日期Date of survey: 23-24/6/97 成功樣本 Successful cases: 538 回應率 Response rate:39.4%

滿意Satisfied

一半半Half-half

不滿意Dissatisfied

唔知 / 難講 Hard to say

整體立法局議員 Legco members in general 38.0% 27.0% 13.5% 21.5%

分區直選議員 Returned by geographical constituencies 40.4% 16.0% 13.8% 29.8%

功能組別議員 Returned by functional constituencies 28.8% 14.5% 15.2% 41.5%

間選議員 Returned by Election Committee 20.7% 13.8% 14.2% 51.3%

市民對當區立法局議員的認識程度 People’s knowledge of Legco members from their geographical constituency 調查日期Date of survey: 25/6/97 成功樣本 Successful cases: 538 回應率 Response rate:39.4%

請問你知唔知道你個區既立法局議員係邊個? Do you know who the Legislative Councillor of your geographical constituency is?

知道-答對 Yes - right answer 24.8% 不知道 No 58.0%

知道-答錯 Yes - wrong answer 17.2%

(上接第一頁)不過,雖然如此,市民對直選議員的認識程度依

然偏低。只有四分一市民能正確說出自己選區的立法局議員,顯示該等議員的地區知名度亦相當有限。

(cont. from p.1)

However, people’s recognition of the direct elected Legco members were still low. Only one-fourth of them could identify the Legco member of their own district.

索閱表格(歡迎加印)Request Form (Please make your own copies)

本人欲定期訂閱《民意快訊》: 由 __________年_________月 至 ___________年__________月I would like to subscribe to POP Express from ________________to _________________

□ 郵寄本港 by post, local ($15@) □ 郵寄海外 by post, overseas ($19@)

姓名 Name: 電話 Tel. no: 傳真 Fax no.:_______________________

機構 Organization: 職位 Position:______________________

《民意快訊》乃香港大學社會科學研究中心民意研究計劃自一九九六年九月開始按月出版之刊物,目的是為社會人士提供研究計劃的最新成果。研究計劃的成立日期為一九九一年六月。任何查詢可致電 2859 2988 或傳真 2517- 6951《民意快訊》編輯鍾庭耀(主編)、陳夢施及楊釬岩。此乃號外,並非定期《民意快訊》。POP EXPRESS is a monthly newsletter published by the Public Opinion Programme (POP) of the Social Sciences Research Centre in The University of Hong Kong since September 1996. POP EXPRESS aims at disseminating the latest opinion data collected by the POP Team for public consumption. The POP programme was set up in June 1991. Enquiries can be addressed to any of the following editors: Chung Ting-yiu Robert (Chief Editor), Chan Mung-sze Natalie, or Yeung Chin-arm Patrick at telephone 2859 2988 or fax 2517 6951. This Special Issue is an extra to our regular monthly release.

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July 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2 Special Release of 27 June 1997

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July 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2 Special Release of 27 June 1997

對現屆立法局議員表現的滿意程度 Satisfaction with current Legco members 調查日期Date of survey: 23-24/6/97 成功樣本 Successful cases: 538 回應率 Response rate:39.4%

滿意Satisfied

一半半Half-half

不滿意Dissatisfied

唔知 / 難講 Hard to say

整體立法局議員 Legco members in general 38.0% 27.0% 13.5% 21.5%

分區直選議員 Returned by geographical constituencies 40.4% 16.0% 13.8% 29.8%

功能組別議員 Returned by functional constituencies 28.8% 14.5% 15.2% 41.5%

間選議員 Returned by Election Committee 20.7% 13.8% 14.2% 51.3%

市民對當區立法局議員的認識程度 People’s knowledge of Legco members from their geographical constituency 調查日期Date of survey: 25/6/97 成功樣本 Successful cases: 538 回應率 Response rate:39.4%

請問你知唔知道你個區既立法局議員係邊個? Do you know who the Legislative Councillor of your geographical constituency is?

知道-答對 Yes - right answer 24.8% 不知道 No 58.0%

知道-答錯 Yes - wrong answer 17.2%

(上接第一頁)不過,雖然如此,市民對直選議員的認識程度依

然偏低。只有四分一市民能正確說出自己選區的立法局議員,顯示該等議員的地區知名度亦相當有限。

(cont. from p.1)

However, people’s recognition of the direct elected Legco members were still low. Only one-fourth of them could identify the Legco member of their own district.

索閱表格(歡迎加印)Request Form (Please make your own copies)

本人欲定期訂閱《民意快訊》: 由 __________年_________月 至 ___________年__________月I would like to subscribe to POP Express from ________________to _________________

□ 郵寄本港 by post, local ($15@) □ 郵寄海外 by post, overseas ($19@)

姓名 Name: 電話 Tel. no: 傳真 Fax no.:_______________________

機構 Organization: 職位 Position:______________________

《民意快訊》乃香港大學社會科學研究中心民意研究計劃自一九九六年九月開始按月出版之刊物,目的是為社會人士提供研究計劃的最新成果。研究計劃的成立日期為一九九一年六月。任何查詢可致電 2859 2988 或傳真 2517- 6951《民意快訊》編輯鍾庭耀(主編)、陳夢施及楊釬岩。此乃號外,並非定期《民意快訊》。POP EXPRESS is a monthly newsletter published by the Public Opinion Programme (POP) of the Social Sciences Research Centre in The University of Hong Kong since September 1996. POP EXPRESS aims at disseminating the latest opinion data collected by the POP Team for public consumption. The POP programme was set up in June 1991. Enquiries can be addressed to any of the following editors: Chung Ting-yiu Robert (Chief Editor), Chan Mung-sze Natalie, or Yeung Chin-arm Patrick at telephone 2859 2988 or fax 2517 6951. This Special Issue is an extra to our regular monthly release.

11-19 19

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July 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2 Special Release of 27 June 1997

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年七月號一九九七年六月二十八日特別號

號外 民意快訊 EXTRA POP EXPRESS 民意研究計劃 香港大學社會科學研究中心 Public Opinion Programme Social Sciences Research Centre (SSRC), The University of Hong Kong

有關此號外之查詢請致電 2859 2989 或傳呼 7898 2488 a/c 1204與施潔瑜小姐聯絡,回歸假期照常工作。Enquiries concerning this special release should be addressed to Miss Veronica Sze at 2859 2989, or 7898 2488 a/c 1204.We continue to operate throughout the handover holidays.

香港人對英國統治的整體評價People’s Overall Evaluation of the British Rule

在香港即將回歸中國之際,本中心民意研究組特意於回歸前五天進行民意調查,了解市民對英國及彭定康管治的評價。結果發現有六成九的被訪者均滿意英國人對香港的統治,認為英國對香港發展的功勞較過失多的有六成半。至於對港督彭定康的評價則較為參差,兩成一認為他對香港發展功績較過失多,認為他過失較多的有一成九,三成九的被訪者則傾向認為彭定康對香港發展屬功過參半。整體而言,市民對英國的統治一般給予正面的評價。

Shortly before the handover, our POP Team conducted a survey to study people’s evaluation of the British rule and Governor Chris Patten. The survey discovered that 69% rated the British rule positively, while only 21% said that Governor Chris Patten has accrued more merits than faults in the development of Hong Kong. Nineteen percent said he has more faults and 39% said half-half. Generally speaking, people viewed the British rule fairly positively.

調查日期 Date of survey: 25/6/97 成功樣本 Successful cases: 548 回應率 Response rate: 46.7%

英國即將結束對香港既統治,整體黎講你滿唔滿意英國人既統治?The British colonial rule in Hong Kong is going to end very soon. Generally speaking, are you satisfied with the British rule?

非常滿意 Very satisfied 4.9% 幾唔滿意 Quite dissatisfied 6.7%

幾滿意 Quite satisfied 63.7% 非常唔滿意 Very dissatisfied 0.5%

一半半 Half-half 13.5% 唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 10.6%

你認為英國對香港既發展功勞多D定過失多D?Would you say the British Government has accrued more merits or faults in the development of Hong Kong?

功(勞)多 More merits 64.5% 過(失)多 More faults 2.9%

一半半 Half-half 22.6% 唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 10.1%

你認為彭定康對香港既整體發展功績多定過失多?Would you say Chris Patten has accrued more merits or faults in the development of Hong Kong?

功(績)多 More merits 21.3% 過(失)多 More faults 18.9%

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年七月號一九九七年六月二十八日特別號

一半半 Half-half 39.4% 唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 20.4%

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July 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2 Special Release of 28 June 1997

社會現狀指標 Indicators of the Social Condition

為了解市民對香港在九七前後的社會狀況的滿意程度,本研究組設計了一系列的社會指標,要求市民對社會現況作出評價。調查結果顯示,香港社會在「繁榮」、「自由」及「效率」方面獲得頗高的分數,分別為八分、七點七分及七點六分。然而,香港社會在「公平」、「平等」及「民主」方面,則略為遜色,被訪者對此三項給予的分數均不足七分。

In order to obtain benchmarks for the Hong Kong society before the transition, our POP Team has recently conducted a survey to gauge people’s feeling of the Hong Kong society. The survey found that people rated Hong Kong highly in terms of prosperity, liberty, and efficiency, but relatively poorly in terms of fairness, equality and democratic development.

調查日期 Date of survey: 25/6/97 成功樣本 Successful cases: 548 回應率 Response rate: 46.7%問題: 我地想請你評價一下香港既社會現狀。如果你要用 0-10分評價香港是否一個 XX 既社會,10分代表絕對XX, 0分代表絕對唔 XX, 5分代表一半半, 你會比幾多分香港社會?Question: We would like to ask you to comment on some aspects of Hong Kong society using a 0-10 scale, with 10 representing absolutely good, 0 absolutely bad, and 5 being half-half. How would you rate Hong Kong in the following aspect?社會狀況 Social conditions 平均分數 Average marks繁榮的社會 A prosperous society 8.0自由的社會 A free society 7.7高效率的社會 An efficient society 7.6文明的社會 A civilized society 7.5安定的社會 A stable society 7.3法治的社會 A society governed by the rule of law 7.2廉潔的社會 A corruption-free society 7.0民主的社會 A democratic society 6.7平等的社會 An egalitarian society 6.5公平的社會 A fair society 6.4

索閱表格(歡迎加印)Request Form (Please make your own copies)

本人欲定期訂閱《民意快訊》: 由 __________年_________月 至 ___________年__________月I would like to subscribe to POP Express from ________________to _________________

□ 郵寄本港 by post, local ($15@) □ 郵寄海外 by post, overseas ($19@)

姓名 Name: 電話 Tel. no: 傳真 Fax no.:_______________________

機構 Organization: 職位 Position:______________________

《民意快訊》乃香港大學社會科學研究中心民意研究計劃自一九九六年九月開始按月出版之刊物,目的是為社會人士提供研究計劃的最新成果。研究計劃的成立日期為一九九一年六月。任何查詢可致電 2859 2988 或傳真 2517- 6951《民意快訊》編輯鍾庭耀(主編)、陳夢施及楊釬岩。此乃號外,並非定期《民意快訊》。POP EXPRESS is a monthly newsletter published by the Public Opinion Programme (POP) of the Social Sciences Research Centre in The University of Hong Kong since September 1996. POP EXPRESS aims at disseminating the latest opinion data collected by the POP Team for public consumption. The POP programme was set up in June 1991. Enquiries can be addressed to any of the following editors: Chung Ting-yiu Robert (Chief Editor), Chan Mung-sze

11-21 21

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July 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2 Special Release of 28 June 1997Natalie, or Yeung Chin-arm Patrick at telephone 2859 2988 or fax 2517 6951. This Special Issue is an extra to our regular monthly release.

11-21 21

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年七月號一九九七年六月二十九日特別號

號外 民意快訊 EXTRA POP EXPRESS 民意研究計劃 香港大學社會科學研究中心 Public Opinion Programme Social Sciences Research Centre (SSRC), The University of Hong Kong

有關此號外之查詢請致電 2859 2989 或傳呼 78982488 a/c 1204與施潔瑜小姐聯絡,回歸假期照常工作。Enquiries concerning this special release should be addressed to Miss Veronica Sze at 2859 2989, or 7898 2488 a/c 1204. We continue to operate throughout the handover holidays.

有關不同組織公信力的民意調查Survey on the Credibility of Various Organizations

調查日期 Date of survey: 19-26/1/1994 成功樣本 Successful cases: 1034 回應率 Response rate : 51.7%調查日期 Date of survey: 7-8/1/1997 成功樣本 Successful cases: 599 回應率 Response rate : 44.7%調查日期 Date of survey: 26/6/1997 成功樣本 Successful cases: 546 回應率 Response rate : 43.1%

問題:整體黎講,你覺得XXX有冇公信力?Question: Generally speaking, do you think XXX is/are credible?

港督彭定康 Governor Chris Patten 董建華 Tung Chee-hwa調查日期 Date of survey 19-26/1/1994 7-8/1/1997 26/6/1997 7-8/1/1997 26/6/1997

有 Yes 40.8% 46.7% 54.2% 63.3% 47.0%

冇 No 24.7% 35.5% 23.1% 10.2% 21.8%

唔知/難講 Don't know/Hard to say 34.5% 17.8% 22.8% 26.5% 31.3%

香港行政局Executive Council

特區行政會議HKSAR Executive Assembly

調查日期 Date of survey 19-26/1/94 7-8/1/97 26/6/1997 26/6/1997有 Yes 41.5% 65.1% 64.3% 25.4%冇 No 16.9% 16.2% 10.9% 31.1%唔知/難講 Don't know/Hard to say 41.6% 18.7% 24.8% 43.4%

廉政公署Independent Commission

Against Corruption

司法部門Judiciary

調查日期 Date of survey 26/6/1997 19-26/1/94 7-8/1/97 26/6/1997有 Yes 87.7% 52.8% 75.3% 73.7%冇 No 4.0% 9.2% 6.9% 7.9%唔知/難講 Don't know/Hard to say 8.4% 38.0% 17.8% 18.4%

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年七月號一九九七年六月二十九日特別號

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July 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2 Special Release of 29 June 1997

問題:整體黎講,你覺得XXX有冇公信力?Question: Generally speaking, do you think XXX is/are credible?

香港立法局 Legislative Council

臨時立法會 Provisional legislative Council

調查日期 Date of survey 19-26/1/1994 7-8/1/1997 26/6/1997 7-8/1/1997 26/6/1997

有 Yes 48.3% 66.3% 62.5% 22.1% 19.8%

冇 No 15.0% 18.4% 16.8% 41.4% 43.9%

唔知/難講 Don't know/Hard to say

36.7% 15.3% 20.7% 36.5% 36.3%

直選立法局議員Direct elected Legco members

功能組別選出的立法局議員Legco members returned by

functional constituencies調查日期 Date of survey 26/6/1997 26/6/1997有 Yes 58.7% 50.1%冇 No 14.2% 16.4%唔知/難講 Don't know/Hard to say

27.1% 33.5%

選舉委員會間接產生立法局議員Legco members returned by the

Election Committee

臨時立法會議員Members of the Provisional

Legislative Council

港府司級官員Government policy

secretaries調查日期 Date of survey 26/6/1997 26/6/1997 26/6/1997有 Yes 32.7% 22.2% 67.3%冇 No 26.4% 44.8% 11.1%唔知/難講 Don't know/Hard to say

40.9% 33.0% 21.6%

香港新華社Xinhua News Agency in HK

特區籌委會Preparatory Committee members

調查日期 Date of survey 26/6/1997 7-8/1/1997 26/6/1997有 Yes 36.5% 23.5% 27.7%冇 No 36.3% 35.9% 36.8%唔知/難講 Don't know/Hard to say

27.2% 40.6% 35.5%

香港新聞傳媒News media in HK

外國新聞傳媒Foreign news media

國內新聞傳媒News media in China

調查日期 Date of survey 26/6/1997 26/6/1997 26/6/1997有 Yes 71.9% 59.8% 17.7%冇 No 10.2% 9.1% 52.4%唔知/難講 Don't know/Hard to say

17.9% 31.1% 29.9%

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年七月號一九九七年六月二十九日特別號

市民對紀律部隊的印象People’s Impression of Disciplinary Forces

調查日期 Date of survey: 26/6/97 成功樣本 Successful cases: 546 回應率 Response rate : 43.1%

問題:整體黎講,你對XXX 既印象好唔好? Question: Generally speaking, what is your impression of XXX?

香港警察Hong Kong Police Force

大陸公安Policemen in China

駐港英軍British Force in HK

好好 Very good 9.3% 4.1% 1.9%

幾好 Quite good 60.1% 7.1% 39.0%

一半半 Half-half 21.5% 14.5% 20.0%

唔係幾好Not quite good 6.4% 40.5% 5.4%

好差 Very bad 1.2% 16.5% 0.4%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 1.4% 21.0% 33.4%

駐港解放軍 People’s Liberation Army in HK

中國解放軍People’s Liberation Army in general

好好 Very good 1.4% 1.3%

幾好 Quite good 15.2% 13.4%

一半半 Half-half 11.8% 14.9%

唔係幾好Not quite good 13.9% 32.1%

好差 Very bad 2.6% 8.2%

唔知/難講 Don’t know /Hard to say 55.1% 30.1%

索閱表格(歡迎加印)Request Form (Please make your own copies)

本人欲定期訂閱《民意快訊》: 由 __________年_________月 至 ___________年__________月I would like to subscribe to POP Express from ________________to _________________

□ 郵寄本港 by post, local ($15@) □ 郵寄海外 by post, overseas ($19@)

姓名 Name: 電話 Tel. no: 傳真 Fax no.:_______________________

機構 Organization: 職位 Position:______________________

《民意快訊》乃香港大學社會科學研究中心民意研究計劃自一九九六年九月開始按月出版之刊物,目的是為社會人士提供研究計劃的最新成果。研究計劃的成立日期為一九九一年六月。任何查詢可致電 2859 2988 或傳真 2517- 6951《民意快訊》編輯鍾庭耀(主編)、陳夢施及楊釬岩。此乃號外,並非定期《民意快訊》。POP EXPRESS is a monthly newsletter published by the Public Opinion Programme (POP) of the Social Sciences Research Centre in The University of Hong Kong since September 1996. POP EXPRESS aims at disseminating the latest opinion data collected by the POP Team for public consumption. The POP programme was set up in June 1991. Enquiries can be addressed to any of the following editors: Chung Ting-yiu Robert (Chief Editor), Chan Mung-sze

24 11-24

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年七月號一九九七年六月二十九日特別號

Natalie, or Yeung Chin-arm Patrick at telephone 2859 2988 or fax 2517 6951. This Special Issue is an extra to our regular monthly release.

24 11-24

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July 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2 Special Release of 30 June 1997  

號外 民意快訊 EXTRA POP EXPRESS 民意研究計劃 香港大學社會科學研究中心 Public Opinion Programme Social Sciences Research Centre (SSRC), The University of Hong Kong

有關此號外之查詢請致電 2859 2989 或傳呼 7898 2488 a/c 1204與施潔瑜小姐聯絡,回歸假期照常工作。Enquiries concerning this special release should be addressed to Miss Veronica Sze at 2859 2989, or 7898 2488 a/c 1204. We continue to operate throughout the handover holidays.

回歸前夕市民心態Public Mood before the Transition

調查日期 Date of survey: 29/6/97 成功樣本 Successful cases: 570 回應率 Response rate : 73.1%

問題:香港係明晚就要回歸中國,你心情如何?Question: The sovereignty of Hong Kong will be reverted to China tomorrow night. How do you feel right now?

正面形容詞(如:開心、興奮、期待、樂觀等) Positive words (e.g. happy, excited...) 29.1%

負面形容詞(如:憂慮、害怕、無奈、悲觀等) Negative words (e.g. worried, afraid...) 4.7%

混合形容詞(如:矛盾、複雜等) Ambivalent words (e.g. mixed feelings...) 4.6%

中性形容詞(如:平常、平淡、冇乜感覺等) Neutral words (e.g. no special feeling...) 59.1%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 2.5%

問題:你認為董建華係政權交接典禮上應該用普通話定係廣東話?Question: Should Tung Chee-hwa speak Putonghua or Cantonese during the handover ceremony?

普通話 Putonghua 19.8% 無所謂 Doesn’t matter 12.8%

廣東話 Cantonese 51.1% 唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 5.3%

兩樣/混合 Both/mixed 11.1%

問題:你贊唔贊成係政權交接前後舉行示威?Question: Do you agree to holding demonstrations immediately before or after the handover?

贊成 Yes 22.2% 唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 21.1%

唔贊成 No 56.6%

《民意快訊》乃香港大學社會科學研究中心民意研究計劃自一九九六年九月開始按月出版之刊物,目的是為社會人士提供研究計劃的最新成果。此號外乃記錄昨天民意調查結果,並非定期《民意快訊》。POP EXPRESS is a monthly newsletter published by the Public Opinion Programme (POP) of the Social Sciences Research Centre in The University of Hong Kong since September 1996. This Special Issue records the result of our survey yesterday and is an extra to our regular monthly release.

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July 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2 Special Release of 30 June 1997  

11-25 25

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年七月號一九九七年七月一日特別號

號外 民意快訊 EXTRA POP EXPRESS 民意研究計劃 香港大學社會科學研究中心 Public Opinion Programme Social Sciences Research Centre (SSRC), The University of Hong Kong

有關此號外之查詢請致電 2859 2989 或傳呼 7898 2488 a/c 1204與施潔瑜小姐聯絡,回歸假期照常工作。Enquiries concerning this special release should be addressed to Miss Veronica Sze at 2859 2989, or 7898 2488 a/c 1204. We continue to operate throughout the handover holidays.

有關主權回歸的民意調查Survey on the Transition of Sovereignty

調查日期 Date of survey: 30/6/97 成功樣本 Successful cases: 555 回應率 Response rate : 77.4%

問題:香港今晚就要回歸中國,你心情如何?Question: Hong Kong will return to China tonight. How do you feel right now?

正面形容詞(如: 開心、興奮、期待、樂觀等) Positive words (e.g. happy, excited...) 35.1%

負面形容詞(如: 憂慮、害怕、無奈、悲觀等) Negative words (e.g. worried, afraid...) 8.5%

混合形容詞(如: 矛盾、複雜等) Ambivalent words (e.g. mixed feelings...) 5.9%

中性形容詞(如: 平常、平淡、冇乜感覺等) Neutral words (e.g. no special feeling...) 47.7%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 2.7%

問題:你估計香港社會係回歸後會唔會有重大改變?Question: Do you think there will be significant changes in Hong Kong after the transition?

會 Yes 17.8% 唔會 No 60.9% 唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 21.3%

問題:你估計回歸後香港既國際地位會變得更重要定無咁重要?Question: Do you think Hong Kong’s international status will become more, or less, important after the transition?

更加重要 More important 40.3% 無咁重要 Less important 12.8%

不變 No change 25.6% 唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 21.3%

《民意快訊》乃香港大學社會科學研究中心民意研究計劃自一九九六年九月開始按月出版之刊物,目的是為社會人士提供研究計劃的最新成果。此號外乃記錄昨天民意調查結果,並非定期《民意快訊》。POP EXPRESS is a monthly newsletter published by the Public Opinion Programme (POP) of the Social Sciences Research Centre in The University of Hong Kong since September 1996.  This Special Issue records the result of our survey yesterday and is an extra to our regular monthly release.

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年七月號一九九七年七月一日特別號

26 11-26

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July 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2 Special Release of 2 July 1997

號外 民意快訊 EXTRA POP EXPRESS 民意研究計劃 香港大學社會科學研究中心 Public Opinion Programme Social Sciences Research Centre (SSRC), The University of Hong Kong

有關此號外之查詢請致電 2859 2989 或傳呼 7898 2488 a/c 1204與施潔瑜小姐聯絡。回歸假期照常工作。Enquiries concerning this special release should be addressed to Miss Veronica Sze at 2859 2989, or 7898 2488 a/c 1204. We continue to operate throughout the handover holidays.

主權回歸後市民心態Public Mood after the Transition

調查日期 Date of survey: 1/7/97 成功樣本 Successful cases: 560 回應率 Response rate : 75.6%

問題:香港已經回歸中國,你宜家既心情如何?Question: Hong Kong has already reunified with China. How do you feel right now?

正面形容詞(如:開心、興奮、期待、樂觀等) Positive words (e.g. happy, excited...) 31.3%負面形容詞(如:憂慮、害怕、無奈、悲觀等) Negative words (e.g. worried, afraid...) 4.5%混合形容詞(如:矛盾、複雜等) Ambivalent words (e.g. mixed feelings...) 3.2%中性形容詞(如:平常、平淡、冇乜感覺等) Neutral words (e.g. no special feeling...) 58.3%唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 2.7%

問題:你有冇因為變成中國國民而感到自豪?Question: Are you proud of becoming a national citizen of China?

有 Yes 46.6%冇(包括冇感覺)No (including no special feeling) 45.7%唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 7.7%

問題:整體黎講,你滿唔滿意政權交接既各項安排?Question: Generally speaking, are you satisfied with the overall arrangement of the handover?

滿意 Yes 72.2% 唔滿意 No 4.7% 唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 23.2%

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年七月號一九九七年七月二日特別號

市民對英國統治功過的評價People’s Evaluation of the British Rule

政治方面的過失Political faults

10

經濟、社會及民生方面的過失

Faults related to the economyand people’s livelihood

21

其他過失Other faults

2政制方面的功勞Constitutional development

9

法制方面的功勞Legal system/Judicial development

8

經濟方面的功勞Economic development

39

其他功勞Other contributions

11

功勞比重Score of Merit67

過失比重Score of Demerit33

市民對英國統治功過評價示意圖Schematic Presentation of People’s Evaluation of the British Rule

調查日期 Date of survey: 16-17/6/97 成功樣本 Successful cases: 1090 回應率 Response rate: 50.6%問題: 你認為英國對香港既統治,主要既功勞係邊方面?Question: What do you think is Britain’s major contibution to the development of Hong Kong?

政制方面 Constitutional development 10.6% 行政制度 Administrative system 0.8%

法制方面 Legal system/Judicial development 9.2% 其他方面 Other aspects 0.5%

經濟方面 Economic development 45.2% 無功勞 No contribution at all 3.8%

社會民生方面 People’s livelihood 11.7% 唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 18.2%

問題: 你認為英國對香港既統治,主要既過失係邊方面?Question: What do you think is Britain’s major fault in her rule over HK?

經濟社會民生過失 Economic and social faults 政治過失 Political faults經濟問題 Economic problems 3.4%

貧富懸殊 Unequal distribution of wealth 2.7% 不夠民主 Not enough democracy 5.9%

社會不平等 Social inequality 6.6% 人權未獲充份保障 Human rights not fully protected

0.9%

福利貧乏 Poor welfare system 5.6% 其他政治過失 Other political faults 5.6%

教育問題 Educational problems 3.4% 小計 Sub-total 12.4%

房屋問題 Housing problems 0.3%

船民/難民問題

Boat people/refugee problems 0.9% 其他過失 Other faults 2.9%

樓價問題 Soaring property price 0.4% 冇過失 No fault at all 25.7%

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年七月號一九九七年七月二日特別號

其他經濟社會 民生過失

Other faults related to the economy and people’s livelihood

3.6% 唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 32.2%

小計 Sub-total 26.9%

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July 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2 Special Release of 2 July 1997

市民對彭定康功過的評價People’s Evaluation of Chris Patten

破壞中港 /中英關係Damage to Sino-Hong Kong

/Sino-British relationship17

政治方面的過失Political faults

13其他過失Other faults

14

政治功績Political contributions

43

經濟、社會及民生功績Contributions related to the

economy and sociallivelihood

11

其他功績Other contributions

2

功績比重Score of Merit56

過失比重Score of Demerit44

市民對彭定康功過評價示意圖Schematic Presentation of People’s Evaluation of Chris Patten

調查日期 Date of survey: 16-17/6/97 成功樣本 Successful cases: 1090 回應率 Response rate: 50.6%

問題: 你認為彭定康管治香港,主要既功績係咩?Question: What do you think is Chris Patten’s major contribution in governing Hong Kong?政治功績 Political contributions

加快民主步伐/政制改革 Democratic development/political reform 11.7%推動政府開放、增加透明度,問責性 Increased transparency and accountability of the government 3.9%加強與市民溝通、親民 Improved communication with the public 3.1%其他政治功績 Other political contributions 1.7%小計 Sub-total 20.4%經濟社會民生功績 Contributions to the economy and people’s livelihood促進經濟發展 Economic development 2.0%改善民生 Livelihood improvement 2.2%其他經濟社會民生功績 Other economic and social contributions 1.1%小計 Sub-total 5.3%其他功績 Other contributions 0.7%冇功績 No contributions 40.2%唔知/難講 Don’t know/hard to say 33.3%

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年七月號一九九七年七月二日特別號

調查日期 Date of survey: 16-17/6/97 成功樣本 Successful cases: 1090 回應率 Response rate: 50.6%

問題: 你認為彭定康管治香港,主要既過失係咩?Question: What do you think is Chris Patten’s major fault in governing Hong Kong?政治過失 Political faults政制爭拗/分化港人 Political row/Polarization of HK people 7.4% 社會民生過失 Social faults 10.3%破壞中港/中英關係 Damage to Sino-HK/Sino-British relationship 18.1% 個人作風 Personal style 3.0%民主步伐太快 Democratic development too hasty 2.5% 其他過失 Other faults 1.7%破壞平穩過渡 Damage to smooth transition 2.4%其他政治過失 Other political faults 2.0% 冇過失 No fault 23.6%小計 Sub-total 32.4% 唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 29.0%

市民對香港歷史發展的評估People’s Appraisal of Hong Kong’s Historical Development

調查日期 Date of survey: 16-17/6/97 成功樣本 Successful cases: 1090 回應率 Response rate: 50.6%

如果香港從來無割讓比英國,你估計香港既發展會比而家好些定差些? If Hong Kong had never been ceded to Britain, do you think her development would have been better or worse?

好些 Better 5.2% 差些 Worse 74.9%

沒有分別 No difference 3.4% 唔知/難講 Don‘t know/Hard to say 16.5%

如果中國政府係1949年收番香港,你估計香港既發展會比而家好些定差些? If China had taken over Hong Kong in 1949, do you think the development of Hong Kong would have been better or worse?

好些 Better 5.5% 差些 Worse 74.0%

沒有分別 No difference 4.6% 唔知/難講 Don‘t know/Hard to say 15.9%

如果九七年後香港繼續由英國統治,你估計香港既發展會比係一國兩制下既發展好些定差些?If Hong Kong were to remain under British rule after 1997, do you think her future development would be better or worse when compared to the development under the principle of ‘one country, two systems’?

好些 Better 39.9% 差些 Worse 14.8%

沒有分別 No difference 14.0% 唔知/難講 Don‘t know/Hard to say 31.3%

《民意快訊》乃香港大學社會科學研究中心民意研究計劃自一九九六年九月開始按月出版之刊物,目的是為社會人士提供研究計劃的最新成果。此乃號外,並非定期《民意快訊》。POP EXPRESS is a monthly newsletter published by the Public Opinion Programme (POP) of the Social Sciences Research Centre in The University of Hong Kong since September 1996. This Special Issue is an extra to our regular

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年七月號一九九七年七月二日特別號

monthly release.

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July 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2 Special Release of 3 July 1997

號外 民意快訊 EXTRA POP EXPRESS 民意研究計劃 香港大學社會科學研究中心 Public Opinion Programme Social Sciences Research Centre (SSRC), The University of Hong Kong

有關主權回歸的民意調查Survey on the Transition of Sovereignty

調查日期 Date of survey: 2/7/97 成功樣本 Successful cases: 566 回應率 Response rate : 72.9%

問題:香港已經回歸中國,你宜家既心情如何?Question: Hong Kong has already reunified with China. How do you feel right now?

正面形容詞(如:開心、興奮、期待、樂觀等) Positive words (e.g. happy, excited...) 28.9%

負面形容詞(如:憂慮、害怕、無奈、悲觀等) Negative words (e.g. worried, afraid...) 4.9%

混合形容詞(如:矛盾、複雜等) Ambivalent words (e.g. mixed feelings...) 4.4%

中性形容詞(如:平常、平淡、冇乜感覺等) Neutral words (e.g. no special feeling...) 59.4%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 2.5%

問題:整體黎講,你對各項慶祝回歸活動既安排滿唔滿意?Question: Generally speaking, are you satisfied with the arrangement of the various celebration activities during the handover?

滿意 Satisfied 68.5% 唔滿意 Not satisfied 13.5%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 18.0%

問題:整體黎講,你對董建華昨日就職演說中提出既各項政策滿唔滿意?Question: Generally speaking, how satisfied are you with Tung Chee-hwa’s policies spelled out in his inauguration speech?

原始百分比 Raw percentage

撇除「唔清楚」者Excluding “Don’t know what they are”滿意 Satisfied 46.5% 63.5%

唔滿意 Not satisfied 12.0% 16.4%

好難講 Hard to say 14.7% 20.1%

唔清楚佢既政策 Don’t know what they are 26.9% -100.0% 100.0%

《民意快訊》乃香港大學社會科學研究中心民意研究計劃自一九九六年九月開始按月出版之刊物,目的是為社會人士提供研究計劃的最新成果。此號外乃記錄昨天民意調查結果,並非定期《民意快訊》。有關此號外之查詢請致電 2859 2989 或傳呼 7898 2488 a/c 1204與施潔瑜小姐聯絡。POP EXPRESS is a monthly newsletter published by the Public Opinion Programme (POP) of the Social Sciences Research Centre in The University of Hong Kong since September 1996. This Special Issue records the result of our

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July 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2 Special Release of 3 July 1997

survey yesterday and is an extra to our regular monthly release. Enquiries concerning this special release should be addressed to Miss Veronica Sze at 2859 2989, or 7898 2488 a/c 1204.

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 九九七年七月號一九九七年七月九日特別號

號外 民意快訊 EXTRA POP EXPRESS 民意研究計劃 香港大學社會科學研究中心 Public Opinion Programme Social Sciences Research Centre (SSRC), The University of Hong Kong

市民對解決「小人蛇」條例草案的即時反應People’s Instant Reaction to the Draft Bill relating to the Child IIs

調查日期 Date of survey: 8/7/97 成功樣本 Successful cases: 538 回應率 Response rate : 49.8%

調查方法 Research method :

隨機抽樣後以訪問員進行電話訪問 Random telephone interviews with supervised interviewers目標對象

Target population:十八歲或以上操粵語香港居民Cantonese-speaking Hong Kong residents aged 18 or above

問題: 特區政府今日提出有關解決「小人蛇」既條例草案,建議香港人在內地所生子女要先經內地公安核實身份,取得居留權證明書,然後再經本港入境處雙重核實,才可以成為香港永久居民。你贊唔贊成呢個做法?Qn: The Special Administrative Region (SAR) Government today proposes a draft bill that requires mainland children born to Hong Kong residents to obtain a “certificate of entitlement” issued by the SAR Immigration Department so as to claim residency. The certificate must be obtained in the mainland after verification of their status by mainland authorities. Do you agree with this measure?贊成 Yes 78.4% 唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 12.1%

唔贊成 No 9.5%

問題: 條例又建議先將現時滯港既「小人蛇」遣返內地,然後再用上述辦法雙重核實身份後,先至批准來港。你贊唔贊成呢個做法?Qn: The draft bill also suggests that all those Child Illegal Immigrants should first be repatriated. They will only be allowed to migrate to Hong Kong after their status have been verified by the above procedure. Do you agree with this measure?

贊成 Yes 80.7% 唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 10.5%

唔贊成 No 8.8%

問題: 你對特區政府解決「小人蛇」既問題有冇信心?Qn: Do you have confidence in the SAR Government in solving the problem of Child Illegal Immigrants?有信心 Yes 50.0% 一半半 Half-half 16.9%

冇信心 No 17.3% 唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 15.8%

《民意快訊》乃香港大學社會科學研究中心民意研究計劃自一九九六年九月開始按月出版之刊物,目的是為社會人士提供研究計劃的最新成果。此號外乃記錄昨天民意調查結果,並非定期《民意快訊》。有關此號外之查詢請致電 2859 2989與發言人陳夢施小姐聯絡。POP EXPRESS is a monthly newsletter published by the Public Opinion Programme (POP) of the Social Sciences Research Centre

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 九九七年七月號一九九七年七月九日特別號

in The University of Hong Kong since September 1996. This Special Issue records the result of our survey yesterday and is an extra to our regular monthly release. Enquiries concerning this Extra should be addressed to our spokesperson, Miss Natalie Chan, at 2859 2989.

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August 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2

民意研究計劃 民意快訊Public Opinion Programme POP EXPRESS

香港大學社會科學研究中心Social Sciences Research Centre (SSRC), The University of Hong Kong 第 12期 No.12

目錄 Content編者的話 2 From the Editor

市民對北京中央、特區及台灣政府的信任程度

2 Trust in the Beijing Central, HKSAR &Taiwan Governments

社會指標 3 Social Indicators

自由指標 3 Freedom Indicators

有關各項社會問題的民意調查 4 Opinion Survey on Different Social Issues

有關股票市場的調查 5-6 Survey on the Stock Market

有關選舉制度的意見調查 6 Opinion Survey on the Electoral System

華人身份國籍認同的民意調查 7-9 Opinion Survey on the Ethnic Identity of Hong Kong Chinese特首董建華評分 9 Ratings of the Chief Executive Tung Chee-hwa

十大臨時立法會議員評分 10 Ratings of the Top Ten Provisional Legislative Councillors市民對「一國兩制」及香港前途的信心 10 Confidence in “One Country, Two Systems”, and Hong Kong’s Future市民最關注的範圍 11 Areas of People’s Concern

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年八月號

編者的話From the Editor

一年前,《民意快訊》本著服務社會的宗旨發行了創刊號。承蒙各界垂青,《民意快訊》的印行量已由當初的半百增至現時接近半千。不過,由於索閱者眾,訂閱者少,民意研究組實在無法維持過往的印發模式。

因此,由下期起,本刊將會停止免費派發,但會開展免費傳真服務,並計劃在國際電腦網絡發行,以求降低成本之餘仍然保持資訊流通。

十二期的《民意快訊》,見證了香港的主權回歸,記載了董建華的冒起、鄧小平的殞落、英國人的離去、和特區新貴的誕生。在特區成立五十多日後的今天,已沒有人談論預委、籌委和立法局議員的公信力,市民對英國政府的信任程度已不再重要。

八月份,市民對北京中央政府的信任程度達到新高,不信任程度跌至五年來的歷史低點。不過,市民對香港政府的信任程度似乎又每況愈下,對政治及社會狀況的滿意程度比回歸前普遍下降…是特區與內地的距離拉近了?還是未來發展的契機?

《民意快訊》的歷史任務似乎還未完結。 鍾庭耀

One year ago, we started to publish our POP EXPRESS. Our circulation has since then increased from half a hundred to half a thousand. However, due to constraint in resources, we would not be able to give out free copies after this issue. We will distribute them by fax and internet instead.

In the past twelve months, POP EXPRESS has recorded the reversal of Hong Kong’s sovereignty, the rise of Tung Chee-hwa, the departure of the British, the birth of a new gentry, and the death of Deng Xiaoping. At this fifty or so days after the transition, nobody is talking about the Preliminary Working Committee, the Preparatory Committee, or the Legislative Council any more, nor are people interested in the British government. Those are all by-gones.

By August, people’s trust in the Beijing Central Government has reached a new height, while distrust has fallen to a record low in five years. However, people were not very satisfied with the current social and political conditions, and faith in the local government has further fallen. Is the gap between Hong Kong and the Mainland closing? Or is it just another turning point?

Maybe our mission is not over yet.

Chung Ting-yiu Robert

市民對北京中央、特區及台灣政府的信任程度Trust in the Beijing Central, HKSAR & Taiwan Governments

調查日期 Date of survey: 5-6/6/97, 23-24/6/97, 15/7/97, 12/8/97

問題: 整體黎講,你信唔信任XXX政府呢? Question: On the whole, do you trust the XXX government?

中國 Chinese 香港 Hong Kong 台灣 Taiwan

六月份調查 Survey in June 28.5% 62.9% 15.7%

北京中央 Beijing Central 香港特區 HKSAR 台灣 Taiwan

七月份調查 Survey in July 31.1% 50.7% 10.5%

八月份調查 Survey in August 32.7% 48.3% 11.1%

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August 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2

社會指標Social Indicators

調查日期 Date of survey: 29-30/7/97 樣本數目 Sample size:564 回應率 Response rate: 39.7%調查日期 Date of survey: 25/6/97 樣本數目 Sample size:548 回應率 Response rate: 47.6%

問題:我地想請你評價一下香港既社會現狀。如果你要用0-10分評價香港是否一個公平既社會,10分代表絕對公平,0分代表絕對唔公平,5分代表一半半,你會比幾多分香港社會?Question : Please evaluate the present social condition in Hong Kong. If you were to use 0 - 10 to evaluate whether Hong Kong is a fair society, with 10 indicating absolutely fair, 0 indicating absolutely unfair, 5 indicating half-half, how would you rate Hong Kong?

社會狀況 Social condition 平均分數 Average marks29-30/7/97 25/6/97

繁榮的社會 A prosperous society 7.9 8.0

文明的社會 A civilized society 7.6 7.5

效率的社會 An efficient society 7.6 7.6

自由的社會 A free society 7.3 7.7

安定的社會 A stable society 7.2 7.3

法治的社會 A society governed by the rule of law 6.9 7.2

廉潔的社會 A corruption-free society 6.9 7.0

公正的法庭 The courts are fair 6.9 -

良好的治安 Good public order 6.7 -

公平的司法制度 Fairness of judicial system 6.7 -

平等的社會 An egalitarian society 6.3 6.5

公平的社會 A fair society 6.2 6.4

民主的社會 A democratic society 6.2 6.7

足夠的社會福利 Sufficient social welfare 6.2 -

自由指標Freedom Indicators

調查日期 Date of survey: 6/8/97 樣本數目 Sample size:533 回應率 Response rate: 43.5%

問題: 我地想你評價一下香港既自由程度。首先,請你用0-10分評價一下香港XXX既程度。10分代表絕對自由,0分代表絕對冇自由,5分代表一半半,你會俾幾多分呢?Question: Please evaluate the extent of freedom in Hong Kong. Firstly, please use 0 - 10 to evaluate the extent of the XXX in Hong Kong. 10 indicates absolute freedom, 0 indicates absolute lack of freedom, 5 indicates half-half. What do you think?自由狀況 The level of freedom 平均分

Average marks認知度

Awareness level信仰自由 Freedom of religious belief 8.6 91.0%

出入境自由 Freedom to enter or leave Hong Kong 8.2 93.6%

學術研究自由 Freedom to engage in academic research 8.0 74.1%

文藝創作自由 Freedom to engage in artistic and literary creation 7.8 78.0%

言論自由 Freedom of speech 7.2 93.1%

出版自由 Freedom of publication 7.2 85.0%

新聞自由 Freedom of press 7.0 91.4%

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August 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2 結社自由 Freedom of association 6.4 77.9%

遊行示威自由 Freedom of procession and demonstration 6.2 87.8%

罷工自由 Freedom to strike 6.0 79.2%

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年八月號

有關各項社會問題的民意調查Opinion Survey on Different Social Issues

調查日期 Date of survey: 29-30/7/97 樣本數目 Sample size:564 回應率 Response rate: 39.7%

問題:新一輪高層官員既調動,有冇增加或者減少你對特區政府既信心?Question : Has the recent reshuffling of senior government officials increased or decreased your confidence in the SAR Government?

增加 Increased 5.1% 不變 No change 65.1%

減少 Decreased 13.2% 唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 16.6%

問題 : 特區政府最近公佈有關增加土地供應同埋建屋量既措施, 你有冇信心呢些措施可以壓抑炒風?Question : The SAR Government recently announced policies on the increase of land and housing supplies. Are you confident that these policies will stamp out speculations?

有信心 Confident 49.4% 冇信心 Not confident 38.6%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 12.0%

問題 : 最近有關未來中央圖書館既爭拗,你傾向支持市政總署署長鍾麗幗定係臨時市政局主席梁定邦?Question : For the recent dispute on the design for the Central Library, who do you support more, the Director of Urban Services Elaine Chung Lai-kwok or the Chairman of the Provisional Urban Council Ronald Leung Ding-bong?

鍾麗幗 Elaine Chung Lai-kwok 14.4% 梁定邦 Ronald Leung Ding-bong 41.2%

兩個都支持 Support both of them 0.5% 兩個都唔支持 Support none of them 12.8%

唔清楚/未聽過件事 Don’t know/Never heard of the dispute 18.6% 唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 12.5%

問題 : 你鍾意中央圖書館既新設計多些定舊設計多些Question : Do you like the original or the new design for the Central Library?

新設計 New design 31.8% 舊設計 Old design 34.9%

兩個都鐘意 Like both designs 2.0% 兩個都唔鐘意 Dislike both designs 2.6%

唔清楚/未見過那些設計 Don’t know/Never seen the designs 20.1% 唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 8.5%

問題 : 上訴庭今日既判詞中話,籌委會係有全國人大代表大會既授權去成立臨立會, 所以臨立會是有法理根據。呢件事有冇增加或者減少你對臨立會既信心?Question : According to the Court of Appeal, since the Preparatory Committee was authorized by the National People’s Congress to set up the Provisional Legislative Council, the Council is indeed legitimate. Has the incident increased or decreased your confidence in the Provisional Legislative Council?

增加 Increased 11.0% 不變 No change 56.2%

減少 Decreased 13.2% 唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 19.6%

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August 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2

有關股票市場的調查Survey on the Stock Market

調查日期 Date of survey:20/8/97 樣本數目 Sample size: 530 回應率 Response rate: 42.3%

問題:請問你個人有冇買係香港上市既股票? Question : Have you bought any listed stock in Hong Kong?

有 Yes 19.3% 冇 No 80.7%

問題:咁請問你係幾時開始買?(只問有買股票的被訪者)Question : When did you first start to buy the stock(s)? (Only ask respondents who have bought some stocks)

有購買股票的被訪者百份比Percentage of interviewees with stock

investment (基數 Base=102)

佔總樣本百份比Percentage of total sample

(基數 Base =530)一年以下 Less than one year ago 32.5% 6.3%

一年或以上 One year ago or more 66.7% 12.9%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 1.0% 0.2%

問題:請問你家人又有冇買? Question : Has any of your family members bought any stock(s)?

有 Yes 18.7% 冇 No 77.1% 唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 4.1%

問題 : 你估計三個月後既股市會比宜家升左定跌左?Question : Do you predict the stock market will perform better or worse three months from now?

會升好多 Much better 4.8% 會升少少 A little bit better 33.0%

冇升冇跌/差不多 No change/More or less the same 9.9% 會跌少少 A little bit worse 12.8%

會跌好多 Much worse 5.1% 好難估計/唔知/難講 Hard to predict/Don’t know/Hard to say

34.5%

問題:你認為八七年股災係短期內會再發生既可能性有幾多?Question : How likely do you think the stock catastrophe in 1987 will happen again in the near future?

很大 Very likely 10.0% 一半半 Half-half 13.8%

很小 Not likely 55.2% 唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 21.1%

  五百多名被訪者中有二成八自己或家人有買股票,而該等人士普遍較沒有購買股票人士對股市前景樂觀。四成九該等人士認為股市在三個月後的表現會比現時好,樂觀程度較沒有購買股票者超出一成六(後者有三成三表示樂觀)。

A more detailed analysis on interviewees with stock investment has reviewed that 28% of the respondents invested in stocks either themselves or through family members. Those who have invested in stocks generally held a more optimistic view about the stock market. Among them, 49% indicated that the stock market should be better three months from now. Their level of

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August 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2

optimism was 16% higher than those without any stock investments.

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年八月號

被訪者購買股票情況 Overview of interviewee’s stock investment

自己購買 Investment by oneself 19.3%

沒有購買 No investment in any stock 72.0%

自己沒有購買,但家人購買 Investment by family members but not by oneself 8.6%

被訪者對股市前景評估 Interviewee’s evaluation of the future of the stock market

自己或家人有買股票者Investment by oneself or family members

沒有買股票者No investment會升好多 Much better 7.4% ) 3.7% )

會升少少 A little bit better 41.8% ) 49.2% 29.6% ) 33.3%

冇升冇跌/差不多 No change/More or less the same 10.2% 9.7%

會跌少少 A little bit worse 12.2% ) 13.1% )

會跌好多 Much worse 4.7% ) 16.9% 5.2% ) 18.3%

好難估計/唔知/難講 Hard to predict/Don’t know/Hard to say

23.6% 38.6%

100.0% (基數 Base=148)

100.0% (基數 Base =382)

有關選舉制度的意見調查Opinion Survey on the Electoral System

調查日期 Date of survey: 5/8/97 樣本數目 Sample size: 525 回應率 Response rate: 43.5%

問題:你對有關九八年立法會選舉制度既討論了解有幾多?Question : How well do you know about the discussions on the 1998 Legislative Council electoral sytem?

好多 Very well 0.8% 幾多 Quite well 2.9%

一般/普通 OK/General 14.8% 唔係幾多/好少 Not much 58.6%

完全唔認識 Don’t know at all 20.7% 唔知難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 2.3%

問題:係九八年舉行既立法會直選部份,你認為最適合採用以下邊種選舉方式? Question : Which electoral system do you think is the most appropriate for the 1998 Legislative Council direct elections?

單議席單票制 ‘Single-seat single-vote’ system 27.7% 其他選舉方式 Other electoral systems 0.6%

比例代表制 ‘Proportional representation’ system

18.7% 唔知難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 7.9%

多議席單票制 ‘Multi-seat single-vote’ system 9.4% 冇所謂 Doesn’t matter 3.4%

對選舉制度唔了解 Don’t understand the electoral system

32.4%

問題:如果有得俾你選擇,你比較喜歡投票既時候選人定選黨?Question : If you were given a choice, would you prefer to vote for a candidate or for a political party?

選人 Candidate 72.4% 選黨 Political party 14.2%

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年八月號冇所謂 Doesn’t matter 5.3% 唔知難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 8.1%

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August 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2

華人身份國籍認同的民意調查Opinion Survey on the Ethnic Identity of Hong Kong Chinese

香港電台委託本中心民意研究組在香港特別行政區成立後,進行華人身份國籍認同的民意調查,目的是了解華人對其身份認同,以及他們的流轉情況。本調查訪問了一千零四十八名十八歲或以上操粵語的香港華人。結果發現,在香港土生土長的佔三分二,二成九是來港超過七年的中國移民。至於海外華僑及來港不足七年的中國移民,則各佔二個百分比,屬於回流移民的則有三個百分比。自己或直系親屬在過去十年內,曾移民到外地的佔二成一,而在過去五年內曾到外地工作或生活累積超過一年的則有二成八。外國居留權方面,有一成一被訪者表示擁有外國居留權,或不包括英國國民海外護照在內的外國護照。

為了解香港華人對本身身份認同的程度,本調查分別測試被訪者對香港及中國的向心及離心力。當被訪者被問及在七月一日後會怎樣稱呼自己,有四成六比較認同中國人身份,包括二成九會自稱為「中國人」和一成六會自稱為「香港的中國人」。而四成七則較認同香港人身份,包括二成九會自稱為「香港人」和一成八會自稱為「中國的香港人」,顯示認同「中國人」及認同「香港人」的被訪者數目均等,同在四成半以上水平。可是,假若被訪者可自由選擇,則三成九選擇做香港人,三成選擇做中國人,另有一成六選擇做其他地方的人,未能給予肯定答案的亦有一成六。顯示可以選擇的話,較多的人會選擇做香港人,其次是中國人。選擇做其他國家的人中,較多選擇做美國人和加拿大人。

對於未來五年的移民意慾,百分之六的被訪者表示會考慮移居外地,較熱門的地方是美加、英國、澳洲和中國內地。至於未知會否移民外地的有八個百分比,而肯定不會的則佔八成六。有百分之九的被訪者有子女在外地升學或者生活,其中以在中國內地升學或生活者較多,其次是美國、澳洲和加拿大。而有子女但沒有在外地生活的佔五成半,實際上沒有子女的有三成六。對於有子女的人仕,其中一成一 (佔總樣本七個百分比)表示計劃於未來五年送子女到外地升學或生活,未決定的佔一成三(佔總樣本八個百分比),而肯定不會的有七成六(佔總樣本四成九)。至於未來計劃送子女到外地升學或生活的人仕中,較多人選擇美國,其次是澳洲、英國和加拿大。

綜合結果,可發現被訪人仕中,有一成七可以說是有某程度的移民傾向。考慮自已移民的佔六個百分比

自己不會和未決定移民,但已有子女在外地工作,升學或生活的,共佔八個百分比。三個百分比則表示自已不會移民,無子女在外地,但打算送子女到外地。至於完全無跡象會移民的,也就是表示自己既不會移民,又無子女在外地,亦不打算送子女到外地的佔七成一,其餘一成二可謂處於灰色地帶。

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August 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2 Our POP Team was commissioned by RTHK to

conduct an opinion survey on the ethnic identity of Hong Kong Chinese after the establishment of the SAR. The main purpose of the survey was to find out the mobility of Hong Kong Chinese and how they identified themselves. Two-thirds of the 1,048 interviewees were born and raised in Hong Kong. Another 29% were immigrants from China who have lived in Hong Kong for over 7 years. Overseas Chinese and immigrants from China who have lived here for less than 7 years constituted 2%. The remaining 3% were emigrants from Hong Kong who have returned. Twenty-one percent of the interviewees or their direct relatives have emigrated within the past 10 years, while 28% have worked or stayed overseas for over a year within the past 5 years. And 11% had the right of abode overseas, or possessed foreign passports.

The present survey rated specifically how the interviewees identified themselves with Hong Kong and China after 1 July. A total of 46% identified themselves as Chinese, with 29% as “Chinese citizens” and 16% as “Hong Kong Chinese citizens”. Another 47% identified themselves as Hong Kong Chinese, including 29% who called themselves “Hong Kong citizens” and 18% “Chinese Hong Kong citizens”. The results illustrate that about the same proportion of interviewees identified themselves with Hong Kong or China. Nonetheless, if interviewees were given a choice, 39% would choose to be Hong Kong citizens, 30% to be Chinese, while 15% would choose to become citizens of another place, mainly the USA and Canada. When given a choice, more interviewees wanted to become Hong Kong, rather than Chinese, citizens. Only 6% responded that they intended to emigrate overseas within the next 5 years. The most popular destinations were Canada, the USA, Britain, Australia and Mainland China. While 8% of the interviewees remained undecided, the remaining 86% would definitely not emigrate. Nine percent replied that they had children overseas. Those who had children but had never lived overseas constituted 55% of the interviewees, and 36% had no children. Amongst those who had children, 11% (7% of the total interviewed) indicated that they planned to send their children overseas within the next 5 years, while another 76% (49% of the total interviewees) answered in contrast.

Summing up, 17% of the interviewees showed a tendency to emigrate. Among them 6% replied they would consider emigration themselves. While 8% would not, or had not decided to, emigrate themselves, their children were already overseas. Another 3% indicated they would not emigrate, but would send their children overseas. A total of 71% would neither emigrate nor send their children overseas in the future. The remaining 12% remained undecided.

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年八月號

訪問日期 Date of survey: 3/7/1997調查方法 Survey method: 電話訪問 Telephone survey訪問對象 Target sample: 十八歲及以上操粵語之香港華人

Cantonese-speaking population of HK-Chinese aged 18 or above樣本數目 Sample size: 1048 成功個案 Successful cases抽樣誤差 Standard error: 少於 less than 1.5%回應比率 Response rate: 55.8%

請問你既身份係? What is your ethnic identity?香港土生土長既華人 Native Chinese born in HK 66.4% 海外華僑 Overseas Chinese 2.3

%來港不足七年既中國移民 Chinese immigrant (stayed in HK for less than seven years)

2.0% 其他 Others 0.5%

來港超過七年既中國移民Chinese immigrant (stayed in HK for more than seven years)

28.7% 唔知/難講/唔記得 Don’t know/Hard to say/Don’t remember

0.1%

你係唔係回流移民? Are you a returned emigrant? 係 Yes 2.8% 唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 0.4%唔係 No 96.9%

係過去十年內,你或者你既父母、子女同埋兄弟姊妹當中,有冇人移民到香港以外的地方?During the past 10 years, have you or your family (parents, children or siblings) emigrated?

有 Yes 20.8% 冇 No 79.2%

係過去五年內,你或者你既父母、子女同埋兄弟姊妹當中,有冇人係香港以外的地方工作或者生活累積超過十二個月? During the past 5 years, have you or your family (parents, children or siblings) lived or worked outside of Hong Kong for more than 12 months? 撇除來港不足七年者

Excluding those who have arrived in HK for less than seven years(基數 Base =1027人)

有 Yes 28.1%冇 No 71.3%唔知/難講/唔記得 Don’t know/Hard to say/Don’t remember 0.6%

請問你有冇外國居留權或者外國護照,唔包括 BNO(英國國民海外護照)?Do you have any right of abode or passport of other countries, excluding BNO (British National Overseas)?

有 Yes 10.6% 冇 No 88.6% 唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 0.8%

香港成為中國特別行政區之後(即七月一日之後),你稱自己為After Hong Kong has become the SAR of China (i.e. after 1 July), you would identify yourself as a

中國人 Chinese citizen 29.4% 香港人 Hong Kong citizen 28.8% 其他 Others 0.5%香港的中國人Hong Kong Chinese

16.3% 中國的香港人 Chinese Hong Kong citizen

18.1% 唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say

6.9%

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年八月號citizen

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August 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2

如果可以選擇既話,你最希望成為邊一個國家或者地方既人? If you were given a choice, which place or country would you consider to be the most desirable to become its citizen?

香港 Hong Kong 38.7% 其他 Others 15.5%

中國 China 30.3% 唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 15.5%

係未來五年,你會唔會考慮移居香港以外既地方,包括中國本土?For the next 5 years, would you consider emigrating to other places, including Mainland China?

會 Yes 6.2% 唔會 No 86.2% 未決定/唔知/難講 Not decided/Don’t know/Hard to say 7.6%

你有冇子女係香港以外既地方,包括中國,升學或者生活?Do you have any children living or studying overseas, including Mainland China?

有 Yes 8.9% 冇 No 55.0% 無子女 No children 36.2%

(只分析有子女人仕)係未來五年,你會唔會計劃送子女到香港以外既地方,包括中國,升學或者生活?(Only analyze interviewee with children) For the next 5 years, would you consider sending your children to live or study overseas, including Mainland China? 佔總樣本百分率

% of Total sample會 Yes 6.7

唔會 No 48.7

唔知/難講/未決定 Don’t know/Hard to say/Not decided 8.4

香港華人移居外地的傾向 Tendencies of HK-Chinese towards emigration佔總樣本百分率 % of Total sample

考慮移居外地 Consider emigration

6.2 )

未決定會否移居外地,但已有子女在外地 Haven’t decided to emigrate or not, yet already have children overseas

1.2 )

不會移居外地,但已有子女在外地 Won’t emigrate, yet already have children overseas

6.5 )

不會或未知會否移居又無子女在外地,但計劃送子女到外地 Won’t emigrate / Don’t know whether to emigrate or not, no children overseas, yet plan to send them overseas

3.1 ) 17.1

不會移居外地,無子女在外地,亦無計劃送子女到外地 Won’t emigrate, no children overseas, and no plans to send children overseas in the future

71.2

傾向不定 Undecided

11.7

特首董建華評分Ratings of the Chief Executive Tung Chee-hwa

調查日期 Date of Survey 支持度 Support Rating 按月平均分 Monthly Average六月份第一次調查 1st survey in June 5-6/6/97 58.1 57.9

六月份第二次調查 2nd survey in June 23-24/6/97 59.7 (六月 June)六月份第三次調查 3rd survey in June 25/6/97 56.0

七月份第一次調查 1st survey in July 8/7/97 64.1 64.5

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August 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2 七月份第二次調查 2nd survey in July 22/7/97 63.1 (七月 July)七月份第三次調查 2nd survey in July 29-30/7/97 66.1

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年八月號

十大臨時立法會議員評分Ratings of the Top Ten Provisional Legislative Councillors

七月第一階段訪問日期(提名): 九七年七月份調查結果 累積今年(四次)調查結果Date of survey in JulyFirst Stage (Naming)

15/7/97

Result from survey in July 97 Accumulated results in this year(4 surveys)

七月第二階段訪問日期(評分): 支持度 標準誤差 總人數 評分人數 認知度 上榜次數 平均支持度 平均認知度Second Stage (Rating)

22/7/97Supportrating

Standard error

Total sample

No. of raters

Recognitionrate

No. of time on the list

Average support rating

Average rate of recongition

Chan Yuen-han 陳婉嫻 58.9 1.0 519 270 52.0% 1 58.9 52.0%Cheng Kai-nam 程介南 57.6 0.9 519 291 56.1% 3 56.9 63.1%Frederick Fung 馮檢基 57.4 0.9 519 326 62.8% 4 56.4 65.7%Selina Chow 周梁淑怡 57.1 0.8 519 343 66.1% 4 57.0 71.0%Tam Yiu-chung 譚耀宗 55.7 1.0 519 302 58.2% 4 54.6 62.7%Andrew Wong 黃宏發 53.8 0.9 519 335 64.5% 4 49.5 69.1%Jasper Tsang 曾鈺成 53.6 1.1 519 279 53.8% 3 53.3 60.9%Henry Tang 唐英年 53.0 1.0 519 283 54.5% 2 53.9 55.6%Allen Lee 李鵬飛 51.6 1.1 519 328 63.2% 4 51.5 67.6%Rita Fan 范徐麗泰 48.8 1.1 519 389 75.0% 4 52.3 71.9%Top 5 average 首五名平均分 57.3 59.0%Top 10 average 首十名平均分 54.8 60.6%

市民對「一國兩制」及香港前途的信心Confidence in “One Country, Two Systems”, and Hong Kong’s Future

調查日期 Date of survey: 5-6/6/97, 25/6/97, 15/7/97, 29/7/97整體黎講, 你對一國兩制/香港前途有冇信心 On the whole, do you have confidence in ‘one-country, two systems’ / HK’s future?

一國兩制 One country, two systems 香港前途 Hong Kong’s future六月份第一次調查 1st survey in June 56.8% 67.9%

六月份第二次調查 2nd survey in June - 75.2%

七月份第一次調查 1st Survey in July 63.6% 72.7%

七月份第二次調查 2nd Survey in July 61.2% 77.5%

九七年七月份社研調查之樣本數據 Contact information for POP polls conducted in July 1997第一次 First poll 第二次 Second poll 第三次 Third poll 第四次 Fourth poll

日期 Date of surveys 8/7/97 15/7/97 22/7/97 29/7/97

訪問對象 Target population 十八歲或以上之香港市民 Hong Kong population aged 18 or above調查方法 Survey method 電話訪問 Telephone survey抽樣方法 Sampling method 從住宅電話簿中隨機抽出號碼,再用電腦配套另一部份。當成功接觸目標住戶後,

再用出生日期抽取其中一名被訪者接受訪問。Telephone numbers were selected randomly from telephone directories and additional numbers generated by the computer. If more than one subject had been available, the one who had his/her birthday next was selected.

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年八月號

樣本數目 Sample size 538 541 519 564

回應率 Response rate 49.8% 45.8% 47.4% 39.7%

抽樣誤差 Standard error 2.2% 2.2% 2.2% 2.1%

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August 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2

市民最關注的範圍Areas of People’s Concern

調查日期 Date of survey:23-24/6/97, 5/8/97問題: 香港而家面對好多問題,你個人最關心邊種問題?Question: Hong Kong currently faces various problems. What kind of problems are you most concerned with?

政治問題Political problems

經濟問題Economic problems

社會問題Social problems

沒有意見No opinion

六月份調查 Survey in June 10.4% 31.2% 43.0% 15.4%

八月份調查 Survey in August 9.0% 34.6% 46.0% 10.3%

問題: 整體黎講,你滿唔滿意香港而家既政治/經濟/社會環境?Question: Are you satisfied with the present political/economic/social condition in Hong Kong?

滿意Satisfied

一半半Half-half

不滿Dissatisfied

唔知/難講Don’t know/Hard to say

政治問題 Political condition六月份調查 Survey in June 47.1% 14.2% 24.4% 14.3%

八月份調查 Survey in August 35.1% 15.9% 28.9% 20.1%

經濟問題 Economic condition六月份調查 Survey in June 59.4% 12.4% 26.9% 1.3%

八月份調查 Survey in August 50.1% 19.4% 28.7% 1.9%

社會問題 Social condition六月份調查 Survey in June 58.8% 14.1% 25.6% 1.5%

八月份調查 Survey in August 51.9% 21.5% 23.6% 3.0%

問題: 同三年前比較,你覺得香港而家既 XXX 環境好左定差左?Question: Do you think the XXX condition in Hong Kong has become better or worse in the last three years?

(比三年前)好Better

差不多Same

(比三年前)差Worse

唔知/難講Don’t know/Hard to say

政治 Political六月份調查 Survey in June 29.5% 21.1% 38.4% 11.0%

八月份調查 Survey in August 18.8% 25.1% 36.0% 20.0%

經濟 Economic六月份調查 Survey in June 38.1% 12.2% 45.5% 4.2%

八月份調查 Survey in August 28.6% 25.0% 41.9% 4.5%

社會 Social六月份調查 Survey in June 36.4% 22.1% 37.0% 4.5%

八月份調查 Survey in August 29.0% 34.2% 31.6% 5.3%

問題: 以你估計,三年後香港既 XXX 環境會比而家好定差?Question: Do you think the XXX condition in Hong Kong will become better or worse in three years’ time?

(比目前)好Better

差不多Same

(比目前)差Worse

唔知/難講Don’t know/Hard to say

政治 Political六月份調查 Survey in June 23.6% 10.6% 33.4% 32.5%

八月份調查 Survey in August 24.7% 13.5% 21.9% 39.9%

經濟 Economic六月份調查 Survey in June 35.7% 14.8% 21.1% 28.4%

八月份調查 Survey in August 32.0% 18.9% 17.2% 31.8%

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August 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2

社會 Social六月份調查 Survey in June 32.2% 14.6% 25.6% 27.6%

八月份調查 Survey in August 32.6% 15.7% 20.5% 31.2%

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年八月號

《民意快訊》編輯委員會 EDITORIAL COMMITTEE OF POP EXPRESS 主編 Chief Editor : 鍾庭耀 Chung Ting-yiu Robert副編 Editors : 陳夢施 Chan Mung-sze Natalie,李至君 Lee Chi-kwan Anita編務助理 Editorial Assistant : 李德成 Lee Tak-shing Patrick電話 Telephone : 2859 2988, 2859 2989

傳真 Fax : 2517 6951

地址 Address : 香港薄扶林道, 香港大學黃子明樓 8樓, 社會科學研究中心 Social Sciences Research Centre, 8/F, Wong Chue Meng Building, The University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam Road, Hong Kong.

鳴謝 ACKNOWLEDGMENT 亞洲電視有限公司 Asia Television Limited

(贊助各項社會問題的民意調查 for sponsoring opinion surveys on different social issues)

香港電台教育電視部 Radio Television Hong Kong (ETV)(贊助有關華人身份國籍認同的民意調查 for sponsoring the Opinion Survey on the Ethnic Identity of Hong Kong Chinese)

民意研究計劃最新出版資料 LATEST POP PUBLICATIONS AVAILABLE 《華人身份國籍認同的民意調查》 Opinion Survey on the Ethnic Identity of Hong Kong Chinese

中文版 Chinese version: 每本 $50 per copy

訂閱表格(歡迎加印)Order Form (Please make your own copies)

本人欲定期訂閱《民意快訊》: 由 __________年_________月 至 ___________年__________月I would like to subscribe to POP Express from ________________to _________________

本地訂閱 Local subscription 海外訂閱 Overseas subscription單行本 Single copy (從第十三期開始 From No. 13) 每本$50 per copy 每本$60 per copy半年(共六期)Half year (6 issues)(比原價享有九折優惠 10% off regular price)

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*更可免費獲贈價值$240之《民意快訊合訂本第一冊特刊》(收錄《民意快訊》創刊號至第十期)*With a GIFT of POP Express Combined Volume #1 Special Issue (back issues of No. 1 - 10, worth $240)《民意快訊合訂本第一冊特刊》(收錄《民意快訊》創刊號至第十期) Combined Volume #1 Special Issue (back issues of No. 1 - 10)

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未來合訂本(收錄六個月(六期)之《民意快訊》) Future combined volumes (back issues of 6 months)

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姓名 Name: 電話 Tel.no: 傳真 Fax no.:

機構 Organization: 職位 Position:

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年八月號地址 Address: 付款方式:如用劃線支票付款,抬頭請寫「香港大學」。Payment method: Cheques should be crossed and made payable to “The University of Hong Kong”. 如欲索取《民意快訊》之傳真本,請致電 2859 2988進行登記。To obtain a fax copy of POP EXPRESS, please call at 2859 2988.

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September 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2

民意研究計劃 民意快訊Public Opinion Programme POP EXPRESS

香港大學社會科學研究中心Social Sciences Research Centre (SSRC), The University of Hong Kong 第 13期 No.13

目錄 Content

編者的話 2 From the Editor

新聞自由指標 2-3 Press Freedom Indicators

市民對香港傳媒採用追蹤報導的意見調查 3-4 Public Opinion on the Mass Media’s Use of the Tracking Method in News Coverage有關雙十節的民意調查 4-5 Opinion Survey on the “Double Tenth”

市民對投資基金的意見調查 6-7 Survey on People’s Opinion of Investment Funds

特首董建華評分 8 Ratings of the Chief Executive Tung Chee-hwa

十大大陸及台灣政治人物評分 8 Ratings of the Top Ten Political Figures in Mainland China and Taiwan市民對北京中央、特區及

台灣政府的信任程度8 Trust in the Beijing Central, HKSAR &

Taiwan Governments

五大政治團體評分 9 Ratings of the Top Five Political Groups

十大政治人物評分 9 Ratings of the Top Ten Political Figures

市民對「一國兩制」及香港前途的信心 10 Confidence in “One Country, Two Systems”, and Hong Kong’s Future台灣問題民意調查 10 Surveys on the Taiwan Issues

市民對近代中國領導人的功過評價 10 People’s Evaluation of Contemporary Chinese Leaders

市民對中共十五大的看法 11 People’s Opinion on the 15th Chinese Communist Party Congress

對新聞傳媒的評價Evaluation of the News Media

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年九月號

編者的話From the Editor

英國皇妃戴安娜之死觸動了萬千英國人的心靈,也使世人關注追蹤式新聞報導的禍害。民意研究組在事伴發生後不久進行的調查就顯示,八成市民非常重視傳媒的社會責任,只有四分一贊成傳媒用追蹤方式採訪新聞。

不過,同期的調查亦顯示,四成半市民認為香港的新聞傳媒有進行自我審查,而七成認為香港的新聞傳媒在批評中國政府時有所顧忌。市民一方面要求傳媒克盡社會責任,另一方面又大量追求揭秘式報導,可謂香港人茅盾心情的另一個寫照。

十月將至,一系列關於中國及香港的問題,如中共十五大,十一國慶,及雙十問題等,勢將成為市民談論的問題。今期《民意快訊》中有關上述問題的數據應可為讀者提供有用的參考資料。

鍾庭耀

The death of Princess Diana has touched the soul of millions of British people, while at the same time raised the issue of whether tracking methods should be used in reporting news. According to our latest surveys, only one-quarter of Hong Kong people approved of such methods.

A sizable 44%, however, believed Hong Kong media practised self-censorship, 68% believed the media were reluctant to criticize China. Such a high expectation on the media, coupled with a large market for low grade reporting, reflects yet another double standard of the Hong Kong public.

October is now at the doorstep, the national day problem and the Fifteenth Chinese Communist Party Congress are all headlines. Timely data could be found in this issue of POP EXPRESS.

Chung Ting-yiu Robert

新聞自由指標Press Freedom Indicators

調查日期 Date of survey : 9-10/9/97 樣本數目 Sample size : 518 回應率 Response rate : 43.0%

問題:請你用0-10分評價香港新聞傳媒既公信力。10分代表非常可信,5分代表一半半,0分代表非常不可信,咁你會俾幾多分?

平均分 Average marks

認知度 Awareness

level Question : Please use a scale of 0-10 to rate the credibility of the news media in Hong

Kong, with 10 representing absolutely credible, 5 half-half, and 0 being absolutely not credible. What rating would you give the media?

6.5 94.3%

問題:你滿唔滿意而家香港新聞自由程度? Question : Are you satisfied with the existing level of freedom of press in Hong Kong?

非常滿意 Very satisfied 3.1% 幾唔滿意 Quite dissatisfied 9.3%

幾滿意 Quite satisfied 75.3% 非常唔滿意 Very dissatisfied 0.4%

一半半 Half-half 7.7% 唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 4.3%

問題:你認為而家香港新聞傳媒既報導負唔負責任? Question : Do you think the news media in Hong Kong are responsible in their reporting?

非常負責任 Very responsible 0.6% 幾唔負責任 Quite irresponsible 22.4%

幾負責任 Quite responsible 40.8% 非常唔負責任 Very irresponsible 1.5%

一半半 Half-half 23.6% 唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 11.1%

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年九月號

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September 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2

問題:你覺得香港新聞傳媒係批評XXX政府既時候有冇顧忌?Question : Do you think the news media in Hong Kong have any scruple about criticizing the XXX Government?

中國 Chinese 香港 Hong Kong有 Yes 68.4% 36.6%

冇 No 21.6% 52.6%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 10.0% 10.7%

問題:你覺得香港新聞傳媒有冇XXX?Question : Do you think the news media in Hong Kong have XXX?

自我審查practised self-censorship

充份發揮言論自由given full play to the

freedom of speech

誤用或濫用新聞自由misused or abused the

freedom of press有 Yes 44.1% 53.5% 49.4%

冇 No 31.2% 30.5% 32.3%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 24.7% 16.0% 18.3%

市民對香港傳媒採用追蹤報導的意見調查Public Opinion on the Mass Media’s Use of the

Tracking Method in News Coverage

調查日期 Date of survey : 3-4/9/97 樣本數目 Sample size : 508 回應率 Response rate : 41.5%

問題:你認為傳媒應唔應該用追蹤報導既方式去採訪新聞? Question : Do you approve of the tracking method used by the mass media in reporting news?

應該 Yes 24.3% 中立 Neutral 15.7% 唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 12.0%

唔應該 No 46.9% 無意見 No comment 1.0%

問題:你認為傳媒應唔應該利用追蹤報導得番黎既獨家消息,去增加銷量、收視或收聽率 ? Question : Do you think the media should use the exclusive information obtained from tracking celebrities or public figures as a means to increase their circulation or audience ratings?

應該 Yes 27.8% 中立 Neutral 11.4% 唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 6.7%

唔應該 No 52.1% 無意見 No comment 2.0%

問題:你認為傳媒應該看重社會責任多些抑或商業利益多些? Question : Do you think the media should put more weight on social responsibility or commercial benefits?

社會責任 Social responsibility 77.9% 兩者同樣重要 Both are equally important 12.4%

商業利益 Commercial benefits 5.9% 兩者同樣不重要 Both are equally unimportant 0.2%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 3.6%

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年九月號

問題 : 你認為公眾人物同知名人士應唔應該同一般市民一樣,享有同樣既私隱權?Question : Do you think public figures and celebrities should enjoy the same level of privacy as what ordinary citizens

are enjoying?

應該 Yes 91.6% 中立 Neutral 1.0% 唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 2.0%

唔應該 No 5.3% 無意見 No comment 0.2%

問題:你認為知名人士既私隱權重要些,抑或公眾既知情權重要些?Question : Which do you think is more important, the privacy of celebrities or the public’s right to know?

知名人士私穩權

The privacy of celebrities 28.3% 兩者同樣不重要 Both are equally unimportant 0.2%

公眾知情權 The public’s right to know 21.7% 唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 9.4%

兩者同樣重要 Both are equally important 40.4%

問題:法律改革委員會建議,偵查他人私生活屬刑事罪行,需對被騷擾者作出賠償。你贊唔贊成呢個建議 ?Question : The Law Reform Commission has proposed that surveillance of other’s private life or intrusion into private properties should be an offence, and that offenders have to compensate the victim being harassed. Do you agree with this proposal?

贊成 Yes 75.5% 中立 Neutral 6.1% 唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 6.5%

唔贊成 No 8.0% 無意見 No comment 3.7%

有關雙十節的民意調查Opinion Survey on the “Double Tenth”

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September 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2

調查日期 Date of survey: 12/8/97 樣本數目 Sample size: 526 回應率 Response rate : 44.8%

問題:你認為特區政府應唔應該禁止係香港地區懸掛青天百日滿地紅旗,即中華民國國旗?Question : Do you think the SAR government should prohibit the national flag of the Republic of China from flying in the Hong Kong area?

應該禁止 Should prohibit 23.0% 唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 16.8%

唔應該禁止 Should not prohibit 60.3%

問題:你認為特區政府應唔應該禁止係香港地區懸掛青天百日旗,即國民黨黨旗?Question : Do you think the SAR government should prohibit the party flag of the National People’s Party from flying in the Hong Kong area?

應該禁止 Should prohibit 25.1% 唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 18.3%

唔應該禁止 Should not prohibit 56.6%

問題:你認為特區政府應唔應該禁止慶祝中華民國成立既「雙十節」活動?Question : Do you think the SAR government should prohibit all “Double Tenth” activities in celebration of the founding of the Republic of China?

應該禁止 Should prohibit 18.9% 唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 15.0%

唔應該禁止 Should not prohibit 66.1%

問題:你認為特區政府應唔應該禁止慶祝辛亥革命既「雙十節」活動?Question : Do you think the SAR government should prohibit all “Double Tenth” activities in the celebration of the 1911 Revolution?

應該禁止 Should prohibit 8.7% 唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 16.9%

唔應該禁止 Should not prohibit 74.4%

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年九月號

市民對投資基金的意見調查Survey on People’s Opinion of Investment Funds

調查日期 Date of survey : 13/8/97 樣本數目 Sample size : 533 回應率 Response rate : 49.6%

問題:請問你有冇投資基金呢? Question: Have you made any investment in funds?

有 Yes 3.2% 冇 No 96.8%

問題:(只問有投資基金的被訪者)請問你從邊個途徑投資基金呢? Question: (Only ask interviewees who invest in funds) Through which channel do you invest in funds?

基數 Base= 17 基數 Base= 533百份率

Percentage百份率

Percentage

銀行 Banks 53.1% 1.7%

證券公司或基金投資顧問公司 Securities firms / Fund investment consultancy firms

18.2% 0.6%

直接從基金公司 Direct purchase from fund companies 17.5% 0.6%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 11.2% 0.4%

問題:(只問有投資基金的被訪者)點解選擇基金黎投資呢? Question: (Only ask interviewees who invest in funds) Why do you choose funds as your investment?

基數 Base= 17 基數 Base= 533百份率 Percentage 百份率 Percentage

專業人材、專業管理 Specialized experts and professional management 28.0% 0.9%

組合投資、分散風險 Combined investment to reduce risk 37.0% 1.2%

能掌握各地市場 Good knowledge of different markets 0.0% 0.0%

買賣易、手續簡 Easy trading and simple procedures 11.2% 0.4%

其他 Others 18.2% 0.6%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 5.6% 0.2%

問題:(只問有投資基金的被訪者)請問你主要以咩原則去選擇基金? Question: (Only ask interviewees who invest in funds) What is the main factor in your decision to invest in funds?

基數 Base= 17 基數 Base= 533百份率 Percentage 百份率 Percentage

基金過去的表現 Past performance of the fund 11.2% 0.4%

基金公司的背景 Background of the fund company 35.7% 1.1%

購買基金所收取的費用 Service charges for fund purchasing 0.0% 0.0%

基金所受的監管 Degree of regulation of the fund 0.0% 0.0%

跟朋友/親友意見選擇 Opinion of friends/relatives 41.3% 1.3%

其他 Others 6.3% 0.2%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 5.6% 0.2%

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年九月號

問題:(只問沒有投資基金的被訪者)點解唔投資基金呢? Question: (Only ask interviewees who do not invest in funds) Why don’t you invest in funds?

基數 Base= 515 基數 Base= 533百份率 Percentage 百份率 Percentage

喜歡自己作投資 Like to invest by oneself 3.6% 3.5%

唔會選擇基金投資 (不認識甚麼是基金) Will not consider fund investment (interviewee has no understanding of what funds are)

79.1% 76.4%

唔會選擇基金投資 (認識甚麼是基金但不會投資基金) Will not consider fund investment (interviewee knows what funds are but still choose not to invest in them)

13.0% 12.6%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 4.3% 4.2%

問題:(只問唔會選擇基金投資 (認識甚麼是基金但不會投資基金)的被訪者)點解唔選擇投資基金呢? Question: (Only ask interviewees who will not consider fund investment and yet have an understanding of what funds

are) Why do you choose not to invest in funds?

基數 Base= 67 基數 Base= 533百份率 Percentage 百份率 Percentage

唔認識點樣去開始作基金投資 Don’t know how to begin any fund investments 14.7% 1.9%

首次投資額太高 The premium investment price is too high 35.6% 4.3%

基金公司提供太多資料 Too much information from fund companies 0.0% 0.0%

其他 Others 45.4% 5.6%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 4.3% 0.6%

問題:(只問沒有投資基金的被訪者) 以下有關基金的教育性活動,請問你有興趣參與邊種呢?(可選多項) Question: (Only ask interviewees who do not invest in funds) Listed in the following are some educational activities related to funds. Which one(s) would you be interested to participate in? (Multiple response)

基數= 529次 Base= 529 Responses

基數= 515人 Base= 515 Respondents

基數= 533人 Base= 533 Respondents百份率 Percentage 百份率 Percentage 百份率 Percentage

展覽 Exhibitions 14.6% 15.0% 14.4%

講座 Seminars 9.1% 9.3% 9.0%

投資課程 Investment courses 12.6% 13.0% 12.6%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 63.7% 65.4% 63.2%

鳴謝 ACKNOWLEDGMENT 香港投資基金協會 Hong Kong Investment Funds Association

(贊助有關市民對投資基金意見調查 for sponsoring the Survey on People’s Opinion of Investment Funds)

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年九月號

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September 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2

問題:(只問沒有投資基金的被訪者)點解唔投資基金呢? Question: (Only ask interviewees who do not invest in funds) Why don’t you invest in funds?

基數 Base= 515 基數 Base= 533百份率 Percentage 百份率 Percentage

喜歡自己作投資 Like to invest by oneself 3.6% 3.5%

唔會選擇基金投資 (不認識甚麼是基金) Will not consider fund investment (interviewee has no understanding of what funds are)

79.1% 76.4%

唔會選擇基金投資 (認識甚麼是基金但不會投資基金) Will not consider fund investment (interviewee knows what funds are but still choose not to invest in them)

13.0% 12.6%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 4.3% 4.2%

問題:(只問唔會選擇基金投資 (認識甚麼是基金但不會投資基金)的被訪者)點解唔選擇投資基金呢? Question: (Only ask interviewees who will not consider fund investment and yet have an understanding of what funds

are) Why do you choose not to invest in funds?

基數 Base= 67 基數 Base= 533百份率 Percentage 百份率 Percentage

唔認識點樣去開始作基金投資 Don’t know how to begin any fund investments 14.7% 1.9%

首次投資額太高 The premium investment price is too high 35.6% 4.3%

基金公司提供太多資料 Too much information from fund companies 0.0% 0.0%

其他 Others 45.4% 5.6%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 4.3% 0.6%

問題:(只問沒有投資基金的被訪者) 以下有關基金的教育性活動,請問你有興趣參與邊種呢?(可選多項) Question: (Only ask interviewees who do not invest in funds) Listed in the following are some educational activities related to funds. Which one(s) would you be interested to participate in? (Multiple response)

基數= 529次 Base= 529 Responses

基數= 515人 Base= 515 Respondents

基數= 533人 Base= 533 Respondents百份率 Percentage 百份率 Percentage 百份率 Percentage

展覽 Exhibitions 14.6% 15.0% 14.4%

講座 Seminars 9.1% 9.3% 9.0%

投資課程 Investment courses 12.6% 13.0% 12.6%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 63.7% 65.4% 63.2%

鳴謝 ACKNOWLEDGMENT 香港投資基金協會 Hong Kong Investment Funds Association

(贊助有關市民對投資基金意見調查 for sponsoring the Survey on People’s Opinion of Investment Funds)

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年九月號

特首董建華評分Ratings of the Chief Executive Tung Chee-hwa

調查日期 Date of Survey 支持度 Support Rating 按月平均分 Monthly Average七月份第一次調查 1st survey in July 8/7/97 64.1 64.5

七月份第二次調查 2nd survey in July 22/7/97 63.1 (七月 July)七月份第三次調查 2nd survey in July 29-30/7/97 66.1

八月份第一次調查 1st survey in August 5/8/97 63.5 65.7

八月份第二次調查 2nd survey in August 19/8/97 65.4 (八月 August)八月份第三次調查 3rd survey in August 26-27/8/97 68.3

十大大陸及台灣政治人物評分Ratings of the Top Ten Political Figures in Mainland China and Taiwan

調查日期 Date of survey第一階段訪問日期(提名):

First Stage (Naming)26-27/8/97

九七年九月份調查結果Result from survey in September 97

累積過去十二個月( 六次)調查結果 Accumulated results in the past 12 months

(6 surveys)

第二階段訪問日期(評分):Second Stage (Rating)

3-4/9/97

支持度Supportrating

標準誤差Standard

error

總人數Total

sample

評分人數No. of raters

認知度Recognition

rate

上榜次數No. of time on the list

平均支持度Average

support rating

平均認知度Average rate

of recognition

Zhao Ziyang 趙紫陽 68.3 0.9 508 349 68.7% 1 68.3 68.7%Qian Qichen 錢其琛 66.6 0.8 508 373 73.4% 6 60.8 67.8%Zhu Rongji 朱鎔基 64.1 1.0 508 301 59.3% 4 60.2 54.0%Jiang Zemin 江澤民 63.7 0.9 508 367 72.2% 6 57.3 71.4%Lu Ping 魯平 59.5 0.9 508 397 78.1% 6 53.8 72.6%Zhou Nan 周南 57.0 0.8 508 378 74.4% 2 54.6 64.0%Lee Teng-hui 李登輝 53.8 1.0 508 328 64.6% 2 53.0 57.1%Yang Shangkun 楊尚昆 53.4 1.2 508 285 56.1% 2 49.9 47.2%Lien Chan 連戰 52.6 1.2 508 217 42.7% 2 51.2 37.8%Li Peng 李鵬 52.2 1.1 508 378 74.4% 6 45.3 71.6%

首五名平均分 Top 5 average 64.5 70.4%

首十名平均分 Top 10 average 59.1 66.4%

市民對北京中央、特區及台灣政府的信任程度Trust in the Beijing Central, HKSAR & Taiwan Governments

調查日期 Date of survey: 15/7/97, 12/8/97, 9-10/9/97問題: 整體黎講,你信唔信任XXX政府呢? Question: On the whole, do you trust the XXX government?

北京中央 Beijing Central 香港特區 HKSAR 台灣 Taiwan七月份調查 Survey in July 31.1% 50.7% 10.5%八月份調查 Survey in August 32.7% 48.3% 11.1%九月份調查 Survey in September 32.9% 57.6% 14.6%

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September 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2

五大政治團體評分Ratings of the Top Five Political Groups

調查日期 Date of survey第一階段訪問日期(提

名):First Stage (Naming)

29/7/97

九七年八月份調查結果 Result from survey in August 97

累積過去十二個月( 六次)調查結果 Accumulated results in the past 12 months

(6 surveys)

第二階段訪問日期(評分):

Second Stage (Rating)6/8/97

支持度Supportrating

標準誤差Standard

error

總人數Total

sample

評分人數No. of raters

認知度Recognition

rate

上榜次數No. of time on the list

平均支持度Average support

rating

平均認知度Average rate of

recognition

DP 民主黨 63.8 1.0 533 453 85.0% 6 58.3 78.2%

FTU 工聯會 61.4 1.0 533 391 73.4% 5 59.1 65.1%

DAB 民建聯 57.1 0.9 533 371 69.6% 6 53.5 62.4%

LP 自由黨 56.1 0.9 533 395 74.1% 6 52.5 68.2%

ADPL 民協 55.9 0.9 533 332 62.3% 6 53.4 57.3%

首五名平均分 Top 5 average 58.9 72.9%

ADPL = Hong Kong Association for Democracy & People's Livelihood 香港民主民生協進會DAB = Democratic Alliance for the Betterment of Hong Kong 民主建港聯盟DP = Democratic Party 民主黨FTU = Hong Kong Federation of Trade Unions 工聯會LP = Liberal Party 自由黨

十大政治人物評分Ratings of the Top Ten Political Figures

調查日期 Date of survey第一階段訪問日期(提名)

First stage (naming):12/8/97

九七年八月份調查結果Result from survey in August 1997

累積過去十二個月(三次)調查結果Accumulated results in the past 12 months

(3 surveys)

第二階段訪問日期(評分)Second stage (rating):

19/8/97

支持度Support rating

標準誤差Standard

error

總人數Total

sample

評分人數No. of raters

認知度Recognition

rate

上榜次數No. of time on the list

平均支持度Average

support rating

平均認知度Average rate of

recognition

Anson Chan 陳方安生 69.8 0.7 530 462 87.2% 3 70.8 86.3%Tung Chee-hwa 董建華 65.4 0.7 530 471 88.9% 2 65.4 81.1%Tsang Yum Kuen 曾蔭權 64.0 0.8 530 398 75.1% 2 62.7 74.9%Chris Patten 彭定康 63.9 0.9 530 428 80.8% 1 63.9 80.8%Lau Chin-shek 劉千石 60.1 1.0 530 409 77.2% 3 62.1 78.7%Emily Lau 劉慧卿 59.3 1.0 530 394 74.3% 3 61.3 76.6%Martin Lee 李柱銘 58.3 1.0 530 431 81.3% 3 59.9 81.5%Selina Chow 周梁淑怡 57.3 0.8 530 396 74.7% 2 57.4 76.1%Sezto Wah 司徒華 54.6 1.0 530 421 79.4% 3 56.5 81.2%Rita Fan 范徐麗泰 52.3 1.0 530 412 77.7% 2 53.5 77.5%Top 5 average 首五名平均分 64.6 81.8%Top 10 average 首十名平均分 60.5 79.7%

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September 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年九月號市民對「一國兩制」及香港前途的信心

Confidence in “One Country, Two Systems”, and Hong Kong’s Future

調查日期 Date of survey: 15/7/97, 29/7/97, 12/8/97, 26-27/8/97整體黎講, 你對一國兩制/香港前途有冇信心 On the whole, do you have confidence in “one-country, two systems” / HK’s future?

一國兩制 One country, two systems 香港前途 Hong Kong’s future七月份第一次調查 1st Survey in July 63.6% 72.7%

七月份第二次調查 2nd Survey in July 61.2% 77.5%

八月份第一次調查 1st survey in August 63.8% 75.5%

八月份第二次調查 2nd survey in August 66.3% 83.1%

台灣問題民意調查Surveys on the Taiwan Issues

調查日期 Date of survey: 23-24/6/97 樣本數目 Sample size: 538 回應率 Response rate : 39.4%調查日期 Date of survey: 12/8/97 樣本數目 Sample size: 526 回應率 Response rate : 44.8%

對台灣獨立的意見 Independence of Taiwan 你贊唔贊成台灣獨立?Do you agree to Taiwan becoming independent?

23-24/6/97 12/8/97贊成 Yes 19.4% 20.2%唔贊成 No 64.2% 59.1%唔知/難講 Don’t know 16.4% 20.7%

對大陸與台灣統一的意見 Reunification of Taiwan and the Mainland China 你有無信心大陸同台灣終於能夠統一? Do you have confidence in the ultimate reunification of Taiwan and Mainland China?

有信心 Yes 41.0% 29.7%無信心 No 44.8% 48.8%唔知/難講 Don’t know 14.2% 21.5%

對台灣重新加入聯合國的意見 Whether Taiwan Should Rejoin the United Nations 你贊唔贊成台灣重新加入聯合國?Do you agree to Taiwan rejoining the United Nations?

贊成 Yes 37.6% 30.5%唔贊成 No 40.1% 40.4%唔知/難講 Don’t know 22.3% 29.1%

市民對近代中國領導人的功過評價People’s Evaluation of Contemporary Chinese Leaders

功(績)多 一半半 過(錯)多 唔知/難講More Contributions Half half More faults Don’t know/Hard to say

調查日期 Date of survey 19-20/5/97 2-3/9/97 19-20/5/97 2-3/9/97 19-20/5/97 2-3/9/97 19-20/5/97 2-3/9/97

鄧小平 Deng Xiaoping 77.1% 75.6% 13.4% 16.6% 2.7% 3.4% 6.9% 4.4%

周恩來 Zhou Enlai 64.0% 69.8% 8.3% 8.6% 1.5% 1.8% 26.2% 19.8%

蔣介石 Chiang Kai-shek 21.9% 31.8% 15.8% 19.6% 17.0% 13.7% 45.3% 34.9%

毛澤東 Mao Zedong 27.1% 30.7% 20.5% 21.6% 31.2% 28.8% 21.2% 18.9%

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年九月號

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September 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2

市民對中共十五大的看法People’s Opinion on the 15th Chinese Communist Party Congress

調查日期 Date of survey : 3-4/9/97 樣本數目 Sample size : 508 回應率 Response rate : 41.5%

問題:你知唔知中國共產黨係呢個月會舉行乜野重要會議呢?Question : What is the important meeting that the Chinese Communist Party will hold in this month?

答對 Right answer 50.4% 唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 46.2%

答錯 Wrong answer 3.4%

問題:根據中國憲法規定,李鵬唔可以再留任國務院總理,你希望邊個係佢既繼任人?(沒有提示)Question : According to the Chinese Constitution, Li Peng cannot be re-appointed as the President of the National Affairs Office. Who, do you hope, will become his successor?

朱鎔基 Zhu Ronji 21.0% 喬石 Qiao Shi 0.8% 周南 Zhou Nan 0.2%

錢其琛 Qian Qichen 5.6% 李瑞環 Li Ruihuan 0.2% 無意見 No comment 55.2%

趙紫陽 Zhao Ziyang 4.7% 李嵐清 Li Lan-qing 0.2% 其他 Others 0.6%

江澤民 Jiang Zemin 1.8% 魯平 Lu Ping 0.2% 唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 9.6%

問題:你認為中共十五大既會議結果對香港特區既發展有幾重要?Question : How important do you think the results of the 15th Chinese Communist Party Congress will be with respect to the future development of the HKSAR?

非常重要 Very important 13.3% ) 唔係幾重要 Not very important 8.2% )

幾重要 Quite important 53.0% ) 66.3% 非常唔重要 Absolutely not important 1.4% ) 9.6%

一半半 Half-half 9.6% 無意見 No comment 6.2%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 8.3%

問題 : 十五大之後,你預期中國既政治開放程度會Question : After the 15th Chinese Communist Party Congress, how do you predict the political openness of the Chinese Government will become?

更好 Better 58.3% 不變 No change 28.4% 唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 7.4%更差 Worse 2.0% 無意見 No comment 4.0%

問題:十五大之後,你認為中國既經濟開放程度會Question : After the 15th Chinese Communist Party Congress, how do you think the economic openness of China will become?

更好 Better 69.5% 不變 No change 20.9% 唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 5.8%

更差 Worse 1.8% 無意見 No comment 2.0%

九七年八月份社研調查之樣本數據 Contact information for POP polls conducted in August 1997第一次 First poll 第二次 Second poll 第三次 Third poll 第四次 Fourth poll 第五次 Fifth poll

日期 Date of surveys 5/8/97 6/8/97 12/8/97 19/8/97 26-27/8/97

訪問對象 Target population 十八歲或以上之香港市民 Hong Kong population aged 18 or above調查方法 Survey method 電話訪問 Telephone survey抽樣方法 Sampling method 從住宅電話簿中隨機抽出號碼,再用電腦配套另一部份。當成功接觸目標住戶後,再用出生日期

抽取其中一名被訪者接受訪問。Telephone numbers were selected randomly from telephone directories and additional numbers generated by the computer. If more than one subject had been available, the one who had his/her birthday next was selected.

樣本數目 Sample size 525 533 526 530 532

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September 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2 回應率 Response rate 43.5% 43.5% 44.8% 42.3% 42.4%

抽樣誤差 Standard error 2.2% 2.2% 2.2% 2.2% 2.1%

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年九月號

《民意快訊》編輯委員會 EDITORIAL COMMITTEE OF POP EXPRESS 主編 Chief Editor : 鍾庭耀 Chung Ting-yiu Robert副編 Editors : 陳夢施 Chan Mung-sze Natalie,李至君 Lee Chi-kwan Anita編務助理 Editorial Assistant : 李德成 Lee Tak-shing Patrick電話 Telephone : 2859 2988, 2859 2989

傳真 Fax : 2517 6951

地址 Address : 香港薄扶林道, 香港大學黃子明樓 8樓, 社會科學研究中心 Social Sciences Research Centre, 8/F, Wong Chue Meng Building, The University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam Road, Hong Kong.

鳴謝 ACKNOWLEDGMENT 亞洲電視有限公司 Asia Television Limited

(贊助各項社會問題的民意調查 for sponsoring opinion surveys on different social issues)

民意研究計劃最新出版資料 LATEST POP PUBLICATIONS AVAILABLE 《有關市民對投資基金意見調查》 Survey on People’s Opinion of Investment Funds

中文版 Chinese version: 每本 $40 per copy

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年九月號

地址 Address: 付款方式:如用劃線支票付款,抬頭請寫「香港大學」。Payment method: Cheques should be crossed and made payable to “The University of Hong Kong”. 如欲索取《民意快訊》之傳真本,請致電 2859 2988進行登記。To obtain a fax copy of POP EXPRESS, please call at 2859 2988.

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年十月號

民意研究計劃 民意快訊Public Opinion Programme POP EXPRESS

香港大學社會科學研究中心Social Sciences Research Centre (SSRC), The University of Hong Kong 第 14期 No.14

目錄 Content

編者的話 2 From the Editor

施政報告調查系列 2-7 Opinion Surveys on the Policy Address

市民對施政報告的滿意程度 3 People’s Satisfaction with the Policy Address

市民對施政報告內政策的評價 4-5 People’s Evaluation of the Policies in the Policy Address

 市民對特首約章及特區行政長官首份施政  報告的期望

5-7 Opinion Survey on the Chief Executive’s Charter and the First Policy Address

市民對民主黨及特首參選全國人大代表的 意見調查

8 Survey on People’s Opinion on the Election of the Hong Kong Deputies to the National People’s Congress

十大臨時立法會議員評分 8 Ratings of the Top Ten Provisional Legislative Councillors社會指標 9 Social Indicators

自由指標 9 Freedom Indicators

新聞自由指標 10 Press Freedom Indicators

特首董建華評分 11 Ratings of the Chief Executive Tung Chee-hwa

對北京中央、特區及台灣政府的信任程度 11 Trust in the Beijing Central, HKSAR & Taiwan Governments

市民對「一國兩制」及香港前途的信心 11 Confidence in “One Country, Two Systems”, and Hong Kong’s Future

市民最關注的範圍 12 Areas of People’s Concern

號外系列 Extra Series

香港市民的民族認同感 13 Ethnic Identity of Hong Kong People

董建華當選特首後每月平均評分 14 Monthly Average Ratings of Tung Chee-hwa after Selection as the Chief Executive市民三個月來對特區政府表現的評價 14-15 People’s Evaluation of the Performance of the SAR Government in its First Three Months特首董建華施政方針 15 Chief Executive Tung Chee-hwa’s policies

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年十月號

編者的話From the Editor

  隨著特區行政長官董建華在十月八日發表第一份特區施政報告,一國兩制下的施政循環便正式展開,而董建華的治港籌備階段便正式結束。  未代港督彭定康五次發表施政報告當日,民意研究組都進行即時民意調查,今年當然也不會例外。數字顯示,市民對特首的第一份施政報告受落程度遠遠不及彭定康的首兩份施政報告,但又較最後兩份為佳,明顯是一個中庸之作。  不過,市民對彭定康施政報告的滿意程度,多年來都是高開低收,董建華能否打破這個循環,則是未知之數。可是,若單以施政報告發表後一星期的走勢,則形勢未許樂觀,輿論似乎漸次挑剔。  當然,董建華的五年任期才剛剛開始,特首能否另 闢天地,現在言之尚早。民意研究組將緊守自己的崗位,時刻監察市民對特首及特區政府各項施政的反應。這是我們的服務承諾。

鍾庭耀

The delivery of the SAR Chief Executive’s maiden policy address on 8 October marked the beginning of the new policy cycle. Findings from instant polls conducted by the POP Team have registered a very different immediate reaction of the general public to the policy addresses of Chris Patten from that of Tung Chee-hwa. Simply put, people reacted to Patten’s first two addresses much more favourably than Tung’s first one, which in turn was better received than Patten’s last two.

Tracked across the policy years, however, people’s satisfaction with Patten’s policy addresses usually dropped from high to low. Whether Tung’s policy addresses would follow the same pattern or not remains to be seen. What is sure is that people’s satisfaction with Tung’s maiden address dropped significantly after one week. Whichever the direction of change, the POP Team will continue to closely monitor people’s reaction to Tung and the SAR Government. This is our performance pledge.

Chung Ting-yiu Robert

施政報告調查系列Opinion Surveys on the Policy Address

本民意研究組如過往一樣,在特首發表其上任以來的首份施政報告當晚,進行即時民意調查,了解市民對首份施政報告的即時反應及評價。調查發現,市民願意即時評價該份施政報告的人數較前五年多,顯示市民相當關注特首的第一份施政綱領。然而,當撇除那些未聞施政報告或沒有意見的被訪者後,市民對彭定康在任首兩年的施政報告的滿意程度始終最高。在九二年,給予意見的被訪者中有七成七表示滿意;九三年,七成二被訪者表示滿意;九四年,亦有五成二被訪者認為滿意;到董建華今次的施政報告,則有五成一被訪者表示滿意。換言之,對願意評價的被訪者而言,他們較滿意彭定康在首兩年的施政報告多於現時董建華的。

On the night that the Chief Executive Tung Chee-hwa delivered his first policy address, our POP team, like in previous years, conducted a survey to measure people’s instant reaction. Although compared to Chris Patten’s former addresses, more people were willing to give an opinion, the relative level of satisfaction was not high. In 1992 and 1993, 77% and 72% respectively of those who were willing to comment were satisfied with Chris Patten’s address. Yet, only 51% were satisfied with that of Tung Chee-hwa this year. In other words, Chris Patten’s first two addresses were better received than Tung Chee-hwa’s.

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October 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2

本研究組在特首發表施政報告後六日,再次就有關施政報告進行調查,測試民意有否轉變。結果顯示,市民對施政報告滿意的比率由五成一(發表施政報告即日調查結果)下降至四成三,顯示市民在更深入了解施政報告內容後,滿意程度有所減退。

To examine whether there has been a change in public opinion, the POP Team repeated the same survey six days later, and found that the satisfaction level dropped from 51% to 43%, which means that people became less satisfied after they knew more.

市民對施政報告的滿意程度 People’s Satisfaction with the Policy Address

調查日期 Date of survey 7-8/10/92 6/10/93 5/10/94 11/10/95 2/10/96 8/10/97 14-15/10/97

問題:請問你整體黎講對港督/特首董建華發表既施政報告滿唔滿意呢?Question: How satisfied are you with the Governor's/Chief Executive’s policy speech?

原始樣本(撇除未聞施政報告者)Raw Sample (Excluding those who have not heard the policy address)

原始基數 Raw Base 1,375 588 705 426 543 534 517

非常滿意 Very satisfied 8.1% 5.6% 4.1% 1.4% 2.6% 2.5% 2.7%幾滿意 Quite satisfied 25.4% 36.1% 22.0% 19.7% 16.0% 42.3% 28.1%一半半 Half-half 6.2% 10.2% 11.9% 8.7% 9.8% 29.8% 27.4%幾唔滿意 Not quite satisfied 2.7% 4.8% 11.1% 12.9% 12.0% 13.3% 11.2%非常不滿 Very dissatisfied 1.2% 1.2% 1.6% 3.3% 3.9% 0.8% 3.0%唔知/難講 Don't know 56.4% 42.3% 49.4% 54.0% 55.8% 11.3% 27.5%合計 Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

組合數據 Collapsed data滿意 Satisfied 33.5% 41.7% 26.1% 21.1% 18.6% 44.8% 30.8%一半半 Half-half 6.2% 10.2% 11.9% 8.7% 9.8% 29.8% 27.4%不滿 Dissatisfied 3.9% 6.0% 12.7% 16.2% 15.8% 14.1% 14.2%唔知/難講 Don't know 56.4% 42.3% 49.4% 54.0% 55.8% 11.3% 27.5%合計 Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

有效樣本(再撇除沒有意見者) Effective Sample (Further excluding those without opinion)*有效基數 Effective Base 600 339 357 196 240 474 375滿意 Satisfied 76.8% 72.3% 51.5% 45.9% 42.1% 50.5% 42.5%一半半 Half-half 14.2% 17.7% 23.5% 18.9% 22.1% 33.6% 37.8%不滿 Dissatisfied 8.9% 10.1% 24.9% 35.2% 35.8% 15.9% 19.6%合計 Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

*鑑於即日調查中有大量未聞施政報告及沒有意見者,而表中亦並列了一些並非施政報告當日的數據,因此撇除 該等人士有助比較歷次調查數據的差距。*Excluding those who knew nothing about the policy address, and those who did not have any opinion, makes the

figures comparable across the different surveys reported. Some of these surveys were not conducted on the day the policy addresses were delivered.

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年十月號市民對施政報告內政策的評價 People’s Evaluation of the Policies in the Policy Address調查日期 Date of survey: 8/10/1997 成功樣本 Successful cases: 1,482 回應率 Response rate: 62.9%

(以下三題只詢問曾經聽聞施政報告者) (The first three questions only for those who had heard the Policy Address)

問題:你滿唔滿意特首今日發表既房屋政策呢?Question: How satisfied are you with the Chief Executive’s housing policy?

% % omitting “Don’t know” % of collapsed data百份比 撇除沒有意見者百份比 組合數據百份比

非常滿意 Very satisfied 2.4% 2.8% )幾滿意 Quite satisfied 43.4% 49.9% ) 52.6%一半半 Half-half 16.8% 19.3% 19.3%幾唔滿意 Quite dissatisfied 20.7% 23.8% )非常唔滿意 Very dissatisfied 3.7% 4.3% ) 28.0%唔知/難講/唔了解 Don’t know/Hard to say 13.0% - -

100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

問題:你滿唔滿意特首今日發表既老人福利政策呢?Question: How satisfied are you with the Chief Executive’s elderly welfare policy?

% % omitting “Don’t know” % of collapsed data百份比 撇除沒有意見者百份比 組合數據百份比

非常滿意 Very satisfied 2.4% 2.7% )幾滿意 Quite satisfied 33.2% 37.7% ) 40.5%一半半 Half-half 14.2% 16.1% 16.1%幾唔滿意 Quite dissatisfied 34.5% 39.2% )非常唔滿意 Very dissatisfied 3.7% 4.2% ) 43.4%唔知/難講/唔了解 Don’t know/Hard to say 11.9% - -99.9% 100.0% 100.0%

問題:你滿唔滿意特首今日發表既教育政策呢?Question: How satisfied are you with the Chief Executive’s education policy?

% % omitting “Don’t know” % of collapsed data百份比 撇除沒有意見者百份比 組合數據百份比

非常滿意 Very satisfied 3.0% 3.9% )幾滿意 Quite satisfied 43.7% 57.3% ) 61.3%一半半 Half-half 15.5% 20.3% 20.3%幾唔滿意 Quite dissatisfied 13.4% 17.6% )非常唔滿意 Very dissatisfied 0.6% 0.8% ) 18.4%唔知/難講/唔了解 Don’t know/Hard to say 23.9% - -

100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

(詢問所有被訪者) 特區行政長官評分 (For all respondents) Rating of the Chief Executive 平均支持度 總人數 評分人數 認知率

Support rating Total sample Valid raters Recognition rate66.1 1482 1311 88.5%

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調查日期 Date of survey: 8/10/1997 成功樣本 Successful cases: 579 回應率 Response rate: 61.5%

調查日期 Date of survey: 14-15/10/1997 成功樣本 Successful cases: 517 回應率 Response rate: 46.6%

(以下問題只問聽過施政報告者 Only for those who had heard about the Policy Address)市民對特區行政長官發表的施政報告之即日評分 People’s Instant Rating of the Chief Executive’s Policy Address

平均分(0-10) Average rating (0-10) 6.3 總人數 Total sample 579

認知率 Recognition rate 90.8% 評分人數 Valid raters 526

問題:你認為特首董建華今日既施政報告比彭定康五年前第一份既施政報告好些定差些?Question: Is the Chief Execuitve’s first policy address better or worse than that of Chris Patten five years ago?

好些 Better 38.6% 一樣/差唔多 Just the same 17.3%

差些 Worse 10.9% 唔知/難講/唔了解 Don’t know/Hard to say/Not clear 33.1%

問題:Question:

你認為特首董建華今日提出有關房屋供應既措施能唔能夠有效改善香港既房屋問題呢?Do you think the Chief Executive’s housing policies are effective measures to solve the present housing problems in Hong Kong?

8/10/1997 15-16/10/1997能夠 Effective 36.7% 36.3%

不能夠 Not effective 33.4% 35.4%

唔知/難講/唔了解 Don’t know/Hard to say/Don’t understand the policies 29.8% 28.4%

問題:Question:

你認為特首董建華今日提出有關老人福利既措施能唔能夠有效改善香港老人家既生活呢? Do you think the Chief Executive’s elderly policies are effective measures to improve the livelihood of the elderly in Hong Kong?

8/10/1997 15-16/10/1997能夠 Effective 32.9% 33.4%

不能夠 Not effective 44.5% 43.7%

唔知/難講/唔了解 Don’t know/Hard to say/Don’t understand the policies 22.7% 22.8%

問題:Question:

你認為特首董建華今日提出有關教育既措施能唔能夠有效改善香港教育既質素呢? Do you think the Chief Executive’s education policies are effective measures to improve the quality of education in Hong Kong?

8/10/1997 15-16/10/1997能夠 Effective 39.0% 37.1%

不能夠 Not effective 21.2% 27.3%

唔知/難講/唔了解 Don’t know/Hard to say/Don’t understand the policies 39.8% 35.6%

市民對特首約章及特區行政長官首份施政報告的期望Opinion Survey on the Chief Executive’s Charter and

the First Policy Address

調查日期 Date of survey :2-3/9/1997 回應率 Response rate :45.7%成功樣本 Successful cases :683 標準誤差 Standard error :少於 less than 1.9%

問題:Question:

特首即將要發表其第一份施政報告,你認為他應重點處理甚麼問題? The Chief Executive will soon announce his first policy address. Which aspect, do you think, should he regard as the point of focus?

房屋 Housing 47.3% 人權自由 Human rights and freedom 1.3%社會福利 Social welfare 9.8% 交通 Transport 0.9%教育 Education 3.5% 醫療 Medical policy 0.6%

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October 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2 經濟發展 Economic development 3.5% 環境 Environment 0.1%勞工及就業 Labour and employment 3.0% 唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 28.2%政制發展 Political development 1.8%

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October 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2

問題:你認為特首係草擬施政報告前應唔應該先諮詢市民大眾既意見?Question: Do you think the Chief Executive should consult the general public before he drafts the policy address?

應該 Yes 85.1% 唔應該 No 5.9% 唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 9.0%

問題:(只問在上一條答「應該」的被訪者) 咁你認為應該點樣進行諮詢?Question: (For those who have answered “Yes” in the previous question) In what way do you think consultation should proceed?

會見市民代表 Meet representatives of the public 5.7% 書面意見 Written submissions 1.7%

舉行公開諮詢大會 Conduct public consultative meetings

27.0% 民意調查 Opinion surveys 10.5%

透過傳媒與市民對話 Talk to the public through media 14.3% 其他方式 Other means 7.9%

開闢網頁收集意見 Set up a website to collect public opinion

5.9% 唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 18.7%

接受議員質詢 Be questioned by Council members 8.3%

問題: 最近有議員提出《特首約章》既概念,即由特首與市民共同釐定一些施政承諾,如果執政者既政策與約章上的條文有所違背時,市民能根據約章既指引督促同監察政府,你是否贊成訂立一個《特首約章》?

Question: The concept of a “Chief Executive’s Charter” has been recently proposed. Accordingly, the general public and the Chief Executive make policy pledges and the public could use the charter to supervise the government. Do you agree with the drawing up of this charter?   

贊成 Yes 74.2% 唔贊成 No 9.8% 唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 16.0%

(以下所有問題,只問在答贊成訂立一個《特首約章》的被訪者,基數為 505)(For the following questions, ask only those who have answered “Yes” in the previous question. Base=505).問題:咁你認為係《特首約章》內既條文應該係列出原則性既方向,定係具體實行既承諾 ?Question : Do you think the proposed “Chief Executive’s Charter” should provide a principle guideline for policy

direction or concrete details for policy implementation?

Base 基數=505 Base 基數=683原則性方向 Principle guideline for policy direction 22.3% 16.5%

具體實行既承諾 Concrete details for policy implementation 66.9% 49.5%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 10.8% 8.0%100.0% 74.0%

問題:如果訂立《特首約章》,你認為裡面既施政承諾應該以幾多年為實踐期最適當?Question: If the “Chief Executive Charter” were drawn up, what should be the time frame for the policy pledges?

Base 基數=504 Base 基數=683一年 One year 7.8% 5.8%

兩年 Two years 14.9% 11.0%

三年 Three years 22.3% 16.5%

四年 Four years 4.9% 3.6%

五年 Five years 26.3% 19.4%

六年或以上 Six years or more 3.8% 2.8%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 20.0% 14.8%100.0% 74.0%

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問題:如果訂立《特首約章》,你認為下列條文應否包括在內?請你指出佢地既重要性,你可以答「非常重要」、「幾重要」、「一半半」、「唔係幾重要」、同埋「絕對 唔重要」。Question : If a “Chief Executive’s Charter” were to be drawn up, do you think the following provisions should be included? Please point out their importance, by saying “very important”, “quite important”, “half-half”, "not quite important”, or “absolutely not important”.

非常重要 幾重要 一半半 唔係幾重要 絕對唔重要 唔知/難講 重要比率* 平均重要性**Very

importantQuite

importantHalf-half Not quite

importantAbsolutely

not importantDon't know/Hard to say

Importance level

Importance rating

維護香港的法治 75.2% 24.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.4% 99.3% 4.74Preserve the rule of law in HK維持一個廉潔政府 75.0% 22.4% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.9% 97.4% 4.69Maintain government integrity維持一個有效率的政府 57.9% 38.7% 2.2% 0.2% 0.0% 1.0% 96.6% 4.51Maintain an efficient government捍衛一國兩制及基本法規定所享有的自由權利 59.0% 36.2% 2.0% 1.0% 0.0% 1.8% 95.2% 4.48Preserve “One country, two systems” and civil rights致力改善香港整體市民的生活質素 56.4% 38.3% 3.0% 1.4% 0.0% 0.8% 94.7% 4.47Improve the livelihood of HK people照顧社會各階層的利益 50.8% 44.6% 3.0% 0.6% 0.0% 1.0% 95.4% 4.43Look after the interest of different social strata創造公平競爭環境,加強競爭力及經濟持續發展 49.7% 42.2% 5.9% 0.8% 0.2% 1.2% 91.9% 4.37Promote fair competition, increase competitiveness and economic development增加政府的開放性及透明度 44.5% 46.1% 7.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.6% 90.6% 4.32Enhance the government’s openness and transparency防止中央政府及各省市自治區對特區的干預 52.3% 33.0% 7.7% 3.4% 0.2% 3.5% 85.3% 4.24Protect the SAR from the PRC’s intervention對社會上弱勢的社群盡量協助 37.1% 53.0% 6.8% 1.2% 0.0% 2.0% 90.1% 4.20Assist the underprivileged groups in society促進民主進程 39.0% 46.5% 8.9% 4.0% 0.0% 1.6% 85.5% 4.16Enhance the pace of democratization保持與各階層,包括各黨派的對話及溝通 33.3% 51.8% 10.3% 2.6% 0.0% 2.0% 85.1% 4.10Maintain dialogues with different social strata & political parties扶助中小型企業及科學研究 30.0% 48.3% 14.2% 4.8% 0.4% 2.3% 78.3% 3.96Aid small & medium enterprises and scientific research促進文化藝術、康樂及體育活動,提高精神文明 22.6% 52.0% 19.4% 4.6% 0.6% 0.8% 74.6% 3.89Promote art & recreational activities* 重要比率 = 「非常重要」比率 + 「幾重要」比率 Importance level = “very important” + “quite important” **運算方法:是假設 5分=非常重要、4分=幾重要、3分=一半半,如此類推,唔知/難講則設作 0分,再運算 505名贊成訂立約章者的平均分數。

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**Method of calculation : Assume 5 = very important, 4 = quite important, 3 = half-half, and so on, and that 0 = don't know/hard to say, and then calculate the average score of the 505 respondents who agreed to drawing up the charter.

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年十月號

市民對民主黨及特首參選全國人大代表的意見Survey on People’s Opinion on the Election of

the Hong Kong Deputies to the National People’s Congress

調查日期Date of survey : 3-4/10/97 成功樣本 Successful cases : 511 回應率 Response rate : 41.8%

問題: 民主黨最近宣佈派代表參選來屆全國人大代表,你贊成定反對民主黨咁樣做?Question: Do you agree with the Democratic Party’s recent decision to nominate members to participate in the election

of the Hong Kong Deputies to the National People’s Congress?

贊成 Yes 66.2% 中立 Neutral 11.0%

反對 No 9.4% 唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 13.4%

問題: 你贊成定反對特首董建華參選來屆全國人大代表? Question: Do you agree to the Chief Executive participating in the election of the Hong Kong Deputies to the National

People’s Congress?

贊成 Yes 57.1% 中立 Neutral 8.7%

反對 No 22.4% 唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 11.8%

十大臨時立法會議員評分Ratings of the Top Ten Provisional Legislative Councillors

九月第一階段訪問日期(提名): 九七年九月份調查結果 累積今年(五次)調查結果Date of survey in September

First Stage (Naming)9-10/9/97

Result from survey in September 97 Accumulated results in this year(5 surveys)

九月第二階段訪問日期(評分): 支持度 標準誤差 總人數 評分人數 認知度 上榜次數 平均支持度 平均認知度Second Stage (Rating)

15-18/9/97Supportrating

Standard error

Total sample

No. of raters

Recognitionrate

No. of time on the list

Average support rating

Average rate of recongition

Elsie Tu 杜葉鍚恩 62.2 1.0 530 377 71.1% 4 60.2 69.9%Chan Yuen-han 陳婉嫻 59.9 1.0 530 311 58.7% 2 59.4 55.4%Cheng Kai-nam 程介南 58.2 0.9 530 339 64.0% 4 57.2 63.3%Tam Yiu-chung 譚耀宗 57.6 1.0 530 327 61.7% 5 55.2 62.5%Selina Chow 周梁淑怡 57.4 0.8 530 370 69.8% 5 57.1 70.7%Andrew Wong 黃宏發 55.2 0.8 530 358 67.5% 5 50.6 68.8%Jasper Tsang 曾鈺成 54.6 0.9 530 332 62.6% 4 53.6 61.3%Allen Lee 李鵬飛 54.5 0.9 530 346 65.3% 5 52.1 67.2%Rita Fan 范徐麗泰 54.4 0.9 530 379 71.5% 5 52.7 71.8%Lau Wong-fat 劉皇發 51.2 1.0 530 332 62.6% 2 48.9 64.1%Top 5 average 首五名平均分 59.0 65.1%Top 10 average 首十名平均分 56.5 65.5%

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年十月號

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October 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2

社會指標Social Indicators

調查日期 Date of survey: 23-24/9/97 成功樣本 Successful cases: 511 回應率 Response rate: 41.6%調查日期 Date of survey: 26-27/8/97 成功樣本 Successful cases: 532 回應率 Response rate: 42.4%調查日期 Date of survey: 29-30/7/97 成功樣本 Successful cases: 564 回應率 Response rate: 39.7%調查日期 Date of survey: 25/6/97 成功樣本 Successful cases: 548 回應率 Response rate: 47.6%

例題: 我地想請你評價一下香港既社會現狀。如果你要用0-10分評價香港是否一個繁榮既社會,10分代表絕對繁榮,0分代表絕對唔繁榮,5分代表一半半,你會比幾多分香港社會?

Sample question : Please evaluate the present social condition in Hong Kong. If you were to use 0 - 10 to evaluate whether Hong Kong is a prosperous society, with 10 indicating absolutely prosperous, 0 indicating absolutely not prosperous, 5 indicating half-half, how would you rate Hong Kong?

社會狀況 Social condition 平均分數 Average marks25/6/97 29-30/7/97 26-27/8/97 23-24/9/97

繁榮的社會 A prosperous society 8.0 7.9 7.9 7.9

自由的社會 A free society 7.7 7.3 7.5 7.4

安定的社會 A stable society 7.3 7.2 7.3 7.4

法治的社會 A society governed by the rule of law 7.2 6.9 7.1 7.1

民主的社會 A democratic society 6.7 6.2 6.3 6.3

自由指標Freedom Indicators

調查日期 Date of survey: 3-4/10/97 成功樣本 Successful cases: 511 回應率 Response rate: 41.8%調查日期 Date of survey: 15-18/9/97 成功樣本 Successful cases: 530 回應率 Response rate: 43.2%調查日期 Date of survey: 6/8/97 成功樣本 Successful cases: 533 回應率 Response rate: 43.5%

例題: 我地想你評價一下香港既自由程度。首先,請你用0-10分評價一下香港信仰自由既程度。10分代表絕對自由,0分代表絕對冇自由,5分代表一半半,你會俾幾多分呢?

Sample question: Please evaluate the level of freedom in Hong Kong. Firstly, please use 0 - 10 to evaluate the extent of the freedom of religous belief in Hong Kong. 10 indicates absolute freedom, 0 indicates absolute lack of freedom, 5 indicates half-half. What do you think?

自由狀況 The level of freedom平均分

Average marks6/8/97 15-18/9/97 3-4/10/97

信仰自由 Freedom of religious belief 8.6 8.6 8.5

出入境自由 Freedom to enter or leave Hong Kong 8.2 8.2 8.2

學術研究自由 Freedom to engage in academic research 8.0 8.0 7.9

文藝創作自由 Freedom to engage in artistic and literary creation 7.8 7.8 7.7

言論自由 Freedom of speech 7.2 7.2 7.1

出版自由 Freedom of publication 7.2 7.3 7.4

新聞自由 Freedom of press 7.0 7.2 7.3

結社自由 Freedom of association 6.4 6.6 6.6

遊行示威自由 Freedom of procession and demonstration 6.2 6.6 6.1

罷工自由 Freedom to strike 6.0 6.4 6.2

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年十月號

新聞自由指標Press Freedom Indicators

調查日期 Date of survey : 9-10/9/97 成功樣本 Successful cases : 518 回應率 Response rate : 43.0%調查日期 Date of survey : 14-15/10/97 成功樣本 Successful cases : 517 回應率 Response rate : 46.6%

問題:請你用0-10分評價香港新聞傳媒既公信力。10分代表非常可信,5分代表一半半,0分代表非常不可信,咁你會俾幾多分?

Question : Please use a scale of 0-10 to rate the credibility of the news media in Hong Kong, with 10 representing absolutely credible, 5 half-half, and 0 being absolutely not credible. What rating would you give the media?

9-10/9/97 14-15/10/97平均分 Average marks 6.5 6.3

認知度 Awareness level 94.3% 92.3%

問題:你滿唔滿意而家香港新聞自由程度? Question : Are you satisfied with the existing level of freedom of press in Hong Kong?

9-10/9/97 14-15/10/97 9-10/9/97 14-15/10/97非常滿意 Very satisfied 3.1% 3.8% 幾唔滿意 Quite dissatisfied 9.3% 18.9%

幾滿意 Quite satisfied 75.3% 55.6% 非常唔滿意 Very dissatisfied 0.4% 1.5%

一半半 Half-half 7.7% 14.8% 唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 4.3% 5.3%

問題:你認為而家香港新聞傳媒既報導負唔負責任? Question : Do you think the news media in Hong Kong are responsible in their reporting?

9-10/9/97 14-15/10/97 9-10/9/97 14-15/10/97非常負責任 Very responsible 0.6% 0.8% 幾唔負責任 Quite irresponsible 22.4% 27.7%

幾負責任 Quite responsible 40.8% 29.5% 非常唔負責任 Very irresponsible 1.5% 2.1%

一半半 Half-half 23.6% 26.6% 唔知/難講 Don’t know 11.1% 13.3%

問題:你覺得香港新聞傳媒係批評XXX政府既時候有冇顧忌?Question : Do you think the news media in Hong Kong have any scruple about criticizing the XXX Government?

中國 Chinese 香港 Hong Kong9-10/9/97 14-15/10/97 9-10/9/97 14-15/10/97有 Yes 68.4% 70.2% 36.6% 40.5%

冇 No 21.6% 20.0% 52.6% 49.2%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 10.0% 9.8% 10.7% 10.3%

問題:你覺得香港新聞傳媒有冇XXX?Question : Do you think the news media in Hong Kong have XXX?

自我審查practised self-censorship

充份發揮言論自由given full play to the

freedom of speech

誤用或濫用新聞自由misused or abused the

freedom of press9-10/9/97 14-15/10/97 9-10/9/97 14-15/10/97 9-10/9/97 14-15/10/97有 Yes 44.1% 41.6% 53.5% 52.6% 49.4% 47.5%

冇 No 31.2% 31.9% 30.5% 33.5% 32.3% 35.5%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 24.7% 26.5% 16.0% 13.9% 18.3% 17.0%

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年十月號

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October 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2

特首董建華評分Ratings of the Chief Executive Tung Chee-hwa

調查日期 Date of Survey

支持度 Support Rating

按月平均分 Monthly Average

八月份第一次調查 1st survey in August 5/8/97 63.5 65.7

八月份第二次調查 2nd survey in August 19/8/97 65.4 (八月 August)八月份第三次調查 3rd survey in August 26-27/8/97 68.3

九月份第一次調查 1st survey in September 3-4/9/97 67.2 67.7

九月份第二次調查 2nd survey in September 15-18/9/97 65.6 (九月 September)九月份第三次調查 3rd survey in September 23-24/9/97 70.4

十月份第一次調查 1st survey in October 3-4/10/97 65.8

十月份第二次調查 2nd survey in October 8/10/97 66.1

有關九月份的樣本資料,請參閱本刊第十二頁。For contact information for POP polls conducted in September 1997, please refer to page 12.

.

對北京中央、特區及台灣政府的信任程度Trust in the Beijing Central, HKSAR & Taiwan Governments

調查日期 Date of survey: 12/8/97, 9-10/9/97, 14-15/10/97問題: 整體黎講,你信唔信任XXX政府呢? Question: On the whole, do you trust the XXX government?

北京中央 Beijing Central 香港特區 HKSAR 台灣 Taiwan八月份調查 Survey in August 32.7% 48.3% 11.1%九月份調查 Survey in September 32.9% 57.6% 14.6%十月份調查 Survey in October 38.1% 61.1% 9.5%有關九月份的樣本資料,請參閱本刊第十二頁。For contact information for POP polls conducted in September 1997, please refer to page 12.

市民對「一國兩制」及香港前途的信心Confidence in “One Country, Two Systems”, and Hong Kong’s Future

調查日期 Date of survey: 12/8/97, 26-27/8/97, 9-10/9/97, 23-24/9/97, 14-15/10/97整體黎講, 你對一國兩制/香港前途有冇信心?On the whole, do you have confidence in “one country, two systems” / Hong Kong’s future?

一國兩制 One country, two systems 香港前途Hong Kong’s future

八月份平均比率Average percentage in August 65.1% 79.3%

八月份第一次調查 1st survey in August 63.8% 75.5%

八月份第二次調查 2nd survey in August 66.3% 83.1%

九月份平均比率Average percentage in September 68.8% 81.9%

九月份第一次調查 1st survey in September 69.6% 79.0%

九月份第二次調查 2nd survey in September 67.9% 84.7%

十月份第一次調查 1st survey in October 72.8% 82.0%

有關九月份的樣本資料,請參閱本刊第十二頁。14-11 67

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October 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2

For contact information for POP polls conducted in September 1997, please refer to page 12.

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年十月號

市民最關注的範圍Areas of People’s Concern

調查日期 Date of survey: 5/8/97, 3-4/10/97問題: 香港而家面對好多問題,你個人最關心邊種問題?Question: Hong Kong currently faces various problems. What kind of problems are you most concerned with?

政治問題Political problems

經濟問題Economic problems

社會問題Social problems

沒有意見No opinion

八月份調查 Survey in August 9.0% 34.6% 46.0% 10.3%

十月份調查 Survey in October 5.3% 33.0% 53.5% 8.3%

問題: 整體黎講,你滿唔滿意香港而家既政治/經濟/社會環境?Question: Are you satisfied with the present political/economic/social condition in Hong Kong?

滿意Satisfied

一半半Half-half

不滿Dissatisfied

唔知/難講Don’t know/Hard to say

政治環境 Political condition八月份調查 Survey in August 35.1% 15.9% 28.9% 20.1%

十月份調查 Survey in October 28.0% 26.7% 22.2% 23.2%

經濟環境 Economic condition八月份調查 Survey in August 50.1% 19.4% 28.7% 1.9%

十月份調查 Survey in October 48.5% 21.6% 27.3% 2.7%

社會環境 Social condition八月份調查 Survey in August 51.9% 21.5% 23.6% 3.0%

十月份調查 Survey in October 35.8% 33.4% 28.2% 2.7%

九七年九月份社研調查之樣本資料 Contact information for POP polls conducted in September 1997第一次 First poll 第二次 Second poll 第三次 Third poll 第四次 Fourth poll 第五次 Fifth poll

日期 Date of surveys 3-4/9/97 9-10/9/97 15-18/9/97 23-24/9/97 27-28/9/97

訪問對象 Target population 十八歲或以上之香港市民 Hong Kong population aged 18 or above調查方法 Survey method 電話訪問 Telephone survey抽樣方法 Sampling method 從住宅電話簿中隨機抽出號碼,再用電腦配套另一部份。當成功接觸目標住戶後,再用

出生日期抽取其中一名被訪者接受訪問。Telephone numbers were selected randomly from telephone directories and additional numbers generated by the computer. If more than one subject had been available, the one who had his/her birthday next was selected.

成功樣本 Successful cases 508 518 530 512 511

回應率 Response rate 41.5% 43.0% 43.2% 41.6% 46.8%

抽樣誤差 Standard error 2.2% 2.2% 2.2% 2.2% 2.2%

鳴謝 ACKNOWLEDGMENT 亞洲電視有限公司 Asia Television Limited

(贊助一項有關市民對施政報告的即時反應民意調查 for sponsoring one opinion survey on people’s instant reaction on the policy address)

電視廣播有限公司 Television Broadcast Limited(贊助一項有關市民對施政報告的即時反應民意調查

for sponsoring one opinion survey on people’s instant reaction on the policy address)

臨時立法會議員陳財喜 Provisional Legislative Council Member Chan Choi-hei(贊助市民對《特首約章》及特區行政長官首份施政報告的期望

for sponsoring the opinion on the Chief Executive’s Charter and

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年十月號 the first policy address )

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October 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2 Special Release of 30 September 1997

號外 民意快訊 EXTRA POP EXPRESS 民意研究計劃 香港大學社會科學研究中心 Public Opinion Programme Social Sciences Research Centre (SSRC), The University of Hong Kong

香港市民的民族認同感Ethnic Identity of Hong Kong People

日期 Date of survey: 27-28/9/97 成功樣本 Successful cases : 511 回應率 Response rate : 46.8%問題:你贊成定反對係戲院放映電影前播放XXX片段?Question : Do you agree to screening the clip of XXX prior to movies in cinema?中國國歌 The Chinese National Anthem 香港象徵 Hong Kong images 贊成 Agree 29.0% 47.7%

中立 Neutral 34.5% 22.5%

反對 Disagree 30.4% 22.9%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 6.2% 6.9%

日期 Date of survey: 27-28/9/97 成功樣本 Successful cases : 511 回應率 Response rate : 46.8%日期 Date of survey: 8/7/97 成功樣本 Successful cases : 538 回應率 Response rate : 49.8%日期 Date of survey: 1/7/97 成功樣本 Successful cases : 560 回應率 Response rate : 75.6%問題: 你有冇因為變成中國國民而感到自豪?Question: Are you proud of becoming a national citizen of China?

1/7/97 8/7/97 27-28/9/97有 Yes 46.6% 31.1% 32.6%

冇 No 45.7% 62.5% 60.7%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 7.7% 6.5% 6.7%

日期 Date of survey: 23-24/9/97 成功樣本 Successful cases : 512 回應率 Response rate : 41.6%日期 Date of survey: 26-27/8/97 成功樣本 Successful cases : 532 回應率 Response rate : 42.4%問題: 你會稱自己為Question: What is your ethnic identity?

26-27/8/97 23-24/9/97香港人 Hong Kong Citizen 34.9% 36.2%

中國人 Chinese Citizen 18.6% 17.5%

中國的香港人 Chinese Hong Kong Citizen 24.8% 24.2%

香港的中國人 Hong Kong Chinese Citizen 20.1% 20.3%

其他 Other 0.4% 0.2%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 1.3% 1.6%

XXX身份既認同感 XXX identity index香港人 Hong Kong Citizen 8.0 8.1

中國人 Chinese Citizen 7.5 7.4

《民意快訊》乃香港大學社會科學研究中心民意研究計劃自一九九六年九月開始按月出版之刊物,目的是為社會人士提供研究計劃的最新成果。此號外乃記錄過去數天民意調查結果,並非定期《民意快訊》。有關此號外之查詢請致電 2859 2988與發言人李小姐聯絡。

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October 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2 Special Release of 30 September 1997

POP EXPRESS is a monthly newsletter published by the Public Opinion Programme (POP) of the Social Sciences Research Centre in The University of

Hong Kong since September 1996. This Special Issue records the result of our surveys in the last few days and is an extra to our regular monthly release.

Enquiries concerning this Extra should be addressed to our spokesperson, Miss Anita Lee, at 2859 2988.

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年十月號一九九七年十月七日特別號

號外 民意快訊 EXTRA POP EXPRESS 民意研究計劃 香港大學社會科學研究中心 Public Opinion Programme Social Sciences Research Centre (SSRC), The University of Hong Kong

董建華當選特首後每月平均評分Monthly Average Ratings of Tung Chee-hwa

After Selection as the Chief Executive

按月平均分 Monthly Average一九九六年十二月份調查 Survey in December 1996 66.3

一九九七年一月份調查 Survey in January 1997 64.4

一九九七年二月份調查 Survey in February 1997 60.1

一九九七年三月份調查 Survey in March 1997 60.0

一九九七年四月份調查 Survey in April 1997 57.7

一九九七年五月份調查 Survey in May 1997 58.6

一九九七年六月份調查 Survey in June 1997 57.9

一九九七年七月份調查 Survey in July 1997 64.5

一九九七年八月份調查 Survey in August 1997 65.7

一九九七年九月份調查 Survey in September 1997 67.7

一九九七年十月份第一次調查 1st survey in October 1997調查日期 Date of survey : 3-4/10/97

65.8

市民對特區政府首三個月表現的評價People’s Evaluation of the Performance of the SAR Government in its First Three Months

調查日期 Date of survey : 29-30/7/97 成功樣本 Successful cases : 564 回應率 Response rate : 39.7%調查日期 Date of survey : 26-27/8/97 成功樣本 Successful cases : 532 回應率 Response rate : 42.4%調查日期 Date of survey : 23-24/9/97 成功樣本 Successful cases : 512 回應率 Response rate : 41.6%問題:你對特區政府既整體表現滿唔滿意?Question : Are you satisfied with the overall performance of the SAR Government?

29-30/7/97 26-27/8/97 23-24/9/97滿意 Satisfied 39.6% 44.3% 48.9%

一半半 Half-half 24.5% 28.7% 30.4%

唔滿意 Dissatisfied 17.1% 13.0% 13.1%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 18.9% 14.0% 7.6%

問題:你對特區政府係 XXX 既表現滿唔滿意?Question : Are you satisfied with the SAR Government’s performance on XXX?

維持繁榮方面 The maintenance of economic prosperity

改善民生方面 The improvement of people’s livelihood

29-30/7/97 26-27/8/97 23-24/9/97 29-30/7/97 26-27/8/97 23-24/9/97

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年十月號一九九七年十月七日特別號

滿意 Satisfied 44.3% 56.0% 59.8% 29.0% 30.6% 30.7%

一半半 Half-half 17.3% 19.2% 21.5% 19.9% 25.0% 28.4%

唔滿意 Dissatisfied 10.5% 8.5% 8.3% 16.8% 19.4% 18.6%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 27.9% 16.3% 10.3% 34.3% 24.9% 22.3%

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October 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2 Special Release of 7 October 1997

問題:你對特區政府係 XXX 既表現滿唔滿意?Question : Are you satisfied with the SAR Government’s performance on XXX?

維護人權自由方面The protection of

human rights and freedom

推行民主步伐 Pace of democratic development

29-30/7/97 26-27/8/97 23-24/9/97 29-30/7/97 26-27/8/97 23-24/9/97滿意 Satisfied 25.9% 29.1% 29.4% 22.6% 22.1% 24.6%

一半半 Half-half 23.6% 26.0% 28.1% 18.0% 22.3% 22.5%

唔滿意 Dissatisfied 26.6% 26.3% 28.9% 34.0% 36.7% 38.2%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 23.9% 18.6% 13.7% 25.4% 18.9% 14.7%

問題:你對特區政府既整體表現XXX滿唔滿意?Question : Are you satisfied with the overall performance of the XXX?

係處理與中央政府關係方面 SAR Government’s handling of its

relation with the Chinese Government

司級官員 SAR Government policy secretaries

29-30/7/97 26-27/8/97 23-24/9/97 29-30/7/97 26-27/8/97 23-24/9/97滿意 Satisfied 45.0% 51.3% 57.3% 36.3% 42.5% 50.6%

一半半 Half-half 19.7% 21.0% 19.6% 21.6% 25.4% 24.3%

唔滿意 Dissatisfied 12.3% 9.3% 8.5% 16.6% 13.6% 11.6%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 23.1% 18.3% 14.% 25.5% 18.4% 13.4%

行政會議成員 Members of the SAR Executive

Assembly

臨時立法會成員Members of the Provisional Legislative

Council29-30/7/97 26-27/8/97 23-24/9/97 29-30/7/97 26-27/8/97 23-24/9/97滿意 Satisfied 25.2% 24.4% 26.9% 20.3% 22.4% 21.7%

一半半 Half-half 24.8% 25.4% 28.9% 20.9% 23.6% 24.5%

唔滿意 Dissatisfied 19.6% 22.9% 17.6% 34.4% 33.6% 33.4%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 30.4% 27.3% 26.5% 24.5% 20.4% 20.4%

特首董建華施政方針Chief Executive Tung Chee-hwa’s Policies

問題 : 請問你整體黎講對董建華既施政方針滿唔滿意呢?Question: Are you satisfied with Tung Chee-hwa's policies?

調查月份/日期 Month/Date of survey 2/97 3/97 4/97 5/97 6/97 7/97 8/97 9/97 3-4/10/97

成功樣本 Successful cases 1,070 1,038 1,044 1,054 1,082 1,057 1063 1038 511

回應率 Response rate 45.4% 43.3% 40.4% 43.9% 39.9% 48.6% 42.9% 42.4% 41.8%

滿意 Satisfied 35.6% 35.4% 26.2% 26.5% 24.7% 33.5% 33.5% 36.8% 33.4%

一半半 Half-half 16.6% 18.0% 15.1% 14.5% 17.6% 22.7% 22.8% 25.6% 22.8%

唔滿意 Dissatisfied 22.0% 14.8% 22.0% 22.8% 19.4% 11.9% 10.9% 8.7% 6.5%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 25.9% 31.8% 36.8% 36.3% 38.4% 31.9% 32.9% 29.1% 37.3%

《民意快訊》乃香港大學社會科學研究中心民意研究計劃自一九九六年九月開始按月出版之刊物,目的是為社會人士提供研究計劃的最新成果。此號外乃記錄截至數天前有關特區政府表現的民意調查結果,並非定期《民意快訊》。有關此號外之查詢請致電 2859 2988與發言人李小姐聯絡。POP EXPRESS is a monthly newsletter published by the Public Opinion Programme (POP) of the Social Sciences Research Centre in

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October 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2 Special Release of 7 October 1997

The University of Hong Kong since September 1996. This Special Issue records the result of our surveys up to the last few days concerning the performance of the SAR Government and is an extra to our regular monthly release. Enquiries concerning this Extra should be addressed to our spokesperson, Miss Anita Lee, at 2859 2988.

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一九九七年十月號 民意快訊合訂本第二冊

《民意快訊》編輯委員會 EDITORIAL COMMITTEE OF POP EXPRESS 主編 Chief Editor : 鍾庭耀 Chung Ting-yiu Robert副編 Editors : 陳夢施 Chan Mung-sze Natalie,李至君 Lee Chi-kwan Anita編務助理 Editorial

Assistant: 李德成 Lee Tak-shing Patrick

電話 Telephone : 2859 2988, 2859 2989

傳真 Fax : 2517 6951

地址 Address : 香港薄扶林道, 香港大學黃子明樓 8樓, 社會科學研究中心 Social Sciences Research Centre, 8/F, Wong Chue Meng Building, The University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam Road, Hong Kong.

民意研究計劃最新出版資料 LATEST POP PUBLICATIONS AVAILABLE 市民對《特首約章》及特區行政長官首份施政報告的意見調查

Opinion Survey on the Chief Executive’s Charter and the First Policy Address中文版 Chinese version: 每本 $40 per copy

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本人欲定期訂閱《民意快訊》: 由 __________年_________月 至 ___________年__________月I would like to subscribe to POP Express from ________________to _________________

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付款方式:如用劃線支票付款,抬頭請寫「香港大學」。Payment method: Cheques should be crossed and made payable to “The University of Hong Kong”.

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一九九七年十月號 民意快訊合訂本第二冊 如欲索取《民意快訊》之傳真本,請致電 2859 2988進行登記。To obtain a fax copy of POP EXPRESS, please call at 2859 2988.

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November 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2

民意研究計劃 民意快訊Public Opinion Programme POP EXPRESS

香港大學社會科學研究中心Social Sciences Research Centre (SSRC), The University of Hong Kong 第 15期 No.15

目錄 Content

編者的話 2 From the Editor

西藏及台灣獨立問題的意見調查 2-3 Opinion Surveys on the Issue of Independence of Tibet and Taiwan有關港區全國人大代表選舉的民意調查 3-4 Opinion Survey on the Election of the Hong Kong Deputies to the

National People’s Congress市民對傳媒發展的意見調查 5 Opinion Survey on Media Development

對醫務人員人手供應的評估 6-7 Survey on the Assessment of the Supply of Medical Practitioners

自選影像服務的意見調查 7 Opinion Survey on Video On Demand (VOD)

市民對退休保障制度的意見調查 8 Survey on People’s Opinion on Pension Schemes

市民對投資的取向 9 People’s Propensity towards Investment

社會指標 9 Social Indicators

市民對特區政府表現的評價 10 People’s Evaluation of the Performance of the SAR Government

市民對江澤民的評價 11 People’s Evaluation of Jiang Zemin

五大政治團體評分 12 Ratings of the Top Five Political Groups

台灣問題民意調查 12 Surveys on the Taiwan Issues

特首董建華評分 13 Ratings of the Chief Executive Tung Chee-hwa

市民對「一國兩制」及香港前途的信心 13 Confidence in “One Country, Two Systems”, and Hong Kong’s Future

號外系列 Extra Series

江澤民訪美之行的影響 14 The Effect of Jiang Zemin’s Visit to the United States

有關股市下跌的民意調查 15 Public Opinion on the Drastic Fall in the Stock Market

西藏及台灣獨立問題的意見調查Opinion Surveys on the Issue of Independence of Tibet and Taiwan

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年十一月號

編者的話From the Editor

  國家主席江澤民在十月底至十一月初訪問美國時,國際傳媒的焦點已由香港問題漸次轉移到大陸如何處理台灣及西藏等問題。民意研究組自九三年起便不斷跟進港人對該等問題的取向,今期《民意快訊》特別以此為題發表五年來的綜合數據。當然市民對江澤民訪美之評價,及其個人聲望的變化亦是研究項目之一。  隨著香港踏入「一國兩制」的年代,全國人民代表大會港區代表的選舉突然變成討論焦點,顯示「兩制」與「一國」已開始產生一種特殊的關係,港人對國家機關的運作也有一定的訴求。民意研究組已不斷跟進市民對人大選舉的意見,並把部份數據在本刊發表。  連同其他有關本地政治、民生、及傳媒研究的項目,本期《民意快訊》可謂港情國情並重,政情民情兼顧,某程度上反映了在「一國兩制」下香港特區的民情發展。

鍾庭耀

When President Jiang Zemin visited the United States, the international media were quick to focus on Jiang’s reaction to the Taiwan and Tibet issues. What about the view of Hong Kong people? In this issue, the POP Team presents, for the first time, findings from a series of tracking polls on the Taiwan and Tibet issues, along with popularity ratings of Jiang, and people’s evaluation of his trip to the United States.

Recently, but never before, the election of the Hong Kong Deputies to the National People’s Congress has captured the attention of many Hong Kong people. Naturally, the POP Team has followed the issue closely, and is releasing some latest poll results in this POP EXPRESS.

Coupled with other findings on political, livelihood, and media issues, this POP EXPRESS appears to be fairly balanced in terms of national, local, political, and social issues, probably reflecting new developments of society under the principle of “one country, two systems”.

Chung Ting-yiu Robert

西藏及台灣獨立問題的意見調查Opinion Surveys on the Issue of Independence of Tibet and Taiwan

調查日期 Date of survey 6/93 7-12/93 1-6/94 7-12/94 1-6/95 7-12/95 1-6/96 7-12/96 1-6/97 7-10/97

調查次數 No. of surveys 1 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2

成功樣本 Successful cases 509 1650 1557 1589 1657 1621 1697 1625 1591 1043

回應率 Response rate 52.7% 59.2% 56.5% 54.1% 52.6% 54.6% 51.1% 48.5% 41.0% 45.7%

你贊唔贊成西藏獨立? Do you agree to Tibet becoming independent?

贊成 Yes 26.3% 23.2% 22.4% 22.1% 18.4% 16.4% 17.7% 19.0% 16.7% 12.3%

唔贊成 No 47.8% 52.6% 51.3% 44.8% 55.0% 53.0% 56.0% 53.1% 60.1% 49.5%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 25.9% 24.2% 26.3% 33.2% 26.6% 30.5% 26.3% 27.9% 23.2% 38.3%

調查日期 Date of survey: 12/8/97 成功樣本 Successful cases: 526 回應率 Response rate : 44.8%調查日期 Date of survey: 14-15/10/97 成功樣本 Successful cases: 517 回應率 Response rate : 44.6%

你贊唔贊成西藏/台灣獨立? Do you agree to Tibet/Taiwan becoming independent?

12/8/97 14-15/10/97西藏 Tibet 台灣 Taiwan 西藏 Tibet 台灣 Taiwan贊成 Yes 10.5% 20.2% 14.1% 20.4%

唔贊成 No 51.9% 59.1% 47.0% 58.1%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 37.6% 20.7% 39.0% 21.5%

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November 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2

自九三年開始,本中心民意研究組開始就西藏問題進行民意調查,了解市民對西藏獨立的意見。香港已回歸中國,但有關西藏的問題仍然在中國國情中懸而未決。而近期更再一次成為中國問題的焦點,故本中心特於本期輯錄五年調查所得之數據,以供讀者參考。

從調查結果發現,不贊成西藏獨立的被訪者一直佔主要比例,在九三年六月本中心的第一次西藏問題的調查就顯示,有四成八被訪者不贊成西藏獨立,贊成的有二成六,而沒有給予肯定答案的亦同樣有二成六。類似的比率分佈在五年間一直沒有太大轉變,不過,不贊成西藏獨立的比率則比較九三年有輕微上升的趨勢,曾一度增至九六年上半年的五成六及九七年上半年的六成。而本研究組在十月中最新的民意調查就顯示,不贊成西藏獨立的被訪者仍佔四成七,而不願意給予肯定答案的則有三成九,表示贊成的則只有一成四。

將西藏獨立的問題與台灣比較,分別頗為明顯(請參閱今期第一頁的圖表及上列最新八月及十月的數據)。贊成台灣獨立的被訪者比率在九三至九五年期間,一直維持三至四成;九五年底起,此比率逐漸下降到二至二成半之間。相對而言,不贊成台獨的比率則不斷增加,由九三年至九五年的四成半至五成半增加至九六年至九七年的五成半至六成半。在最新九七年十月的調查發現,不贊成台獨的被訪者比率為五成八,而贊成的則有兩成。相比西藏而言,贊成台灣獨立的比訪者比率一直比贊成西藏獨立的

被訪者多。The POP Team has been conducting opinion

surveys on the independence of Tibet since 1993. Although China has regained her sovereignty over Hong Kong, the sovereignty of Tibet remains an unsolved problem.

According to the data that the POP Team has gathered in the recent five years, there has continuously been a great proportion of respondents disagreeing to the independence of Tibet. In June 1993, when the first survey on Tibet was conducted, 48% of the respondents disagreed to Tibet becoming independent. This disagreement to the independence of Tibet has become a trend when 56% and 60% of the respondents in the first half of 1996 and 1997 respectively expressed a negative attitude. According to the most recent survey conducted in October, 47% disagreed while only 14% agreed.

Meanwhile, there has consistently been a larger proportion of respondents agreeing to the independence of Taiwan. From 1993 to 1995, 30% to 40% agreed to Taiwan becoming independent. But the proportion has reduced drastically since late 1995. At the same time, an increased proportion of people disagreed to the independence of Taiwan. Based on the most recent survey in October 1997, 58% disagreed while only 20% agreed.

有關港區全國人大代表選舉的民意調查Opinion Survey on the Election of the Hong Kong Deputies to

the National People’s Congress

三十六位港區全國人大代表將於十二月八日正式產生,而候選人的提名階段已進行得如火如荼。本中心民意研究組在較早前(十月初)已就民主黨成員及特首董建華應否參選人大進行過調查,為進一步了解是次選舉對香港的影響,本研究組亦於十一月十一日開始,就港區人大選舉的問題進行更深入的研究,測試市民對今次選舉的意見,包括是次選舉的重要性、對選舉會議代表性的評價,及港區人大代表選舉制度等問題。而本研究組在港區人大代表選舉的前後,亦將繼續就市民對合資格候選人的支持度及整個選舉制度進行調查,務求對參與是次選舉的人士(包括選舉

人及候選人)提供一些參考。The Election of the Hong Kong Deputies to the

National People’s Congress (NPC) will be held in December. The POP Team has conducted a survey concerning the participation of the Democratic Party and the Chief Executive in this election. To understand more about the influence of the election on Hong Kong, another survey was conducted on 11 November. The scope of survey includes the importance of this election, the representativeness of the Election Committee and the electoral system. To provide reference for the election

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November 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2 participants, the POP Team will continue to conduct surveys based on this scope.

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調查日期 Date of survey:11/11/97 成功樣本 Successful cases:518回應率 Response rate :47.6% 標準誤差 Standard error :少於 less than 2.2%

你覺得港區全國人大代表既選舉對香港重唔重要?How important, do you think, the election of the Hong Kong Deputies to the National People’s Congress is to Hong Kong?

非常重要 Very important 13.3% 幾唔重要 Not quite important 16.0%幾重要 Quite important 52.7% 非常唔重要 Absolutely not important 1.2%一半半 Half-half 6.0% 唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 10.7%

你認為港區全國人大代表應唔應該盡快由全港市民一人一票選出?Do you think the Hong Kong Deputies to the National People’s Congress should be elected by Hong Kong people through the one-man-one-vote system as soon as possible?

應該 Yes 78.7% 唔應該 No 7.7% 唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 13.6%

(只問認為港區全國人大代表應該盡快由全港市民一人一票選出的被訪者) 咁你認為幾多年後由全港市民一人一票選出港區全國人大代表為最適當?(Ask only those who agreed that the Hong Kong Deputies to the National People’s Congress should be elected through the one-man-one-vote system as soon as possible) Then how many years later do you think is the suitable time for the Hong Kong Deputies to the National People’s Congress to be elected through the one-man-one-vote system?

百分比 累積百分比 佔整體樣本百分比 佔整體樣本累積百分比Percentage Cummulative

percentagePercentage of overall

sampleCummulative percentage

of overall sample一年 One year 46.3 46.3% 36.5% 36.5%二年 Two years 15.2 61.4% 11.8% 48.3%三年 Three years 11.1 72.5% 8.7% 57.1%四年 Four years 3.4 76.0% 2.7% 59.8%五年 Five years 8.9 84.9% 7.0% 66.8%六年或以上 Six years or above 1.5 86.4% 1.2% 68.0%唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 13.6 100.0% 10.7% 78.6%

調查日期 Date of survey : 18/11/97 成功樣本 Successful cases : 530回應率 Response rate : 43.9% 標準誤差 Standard error : 少於 less than 2.2%

你認為新華社香港分社社長姜恩柱應唔應該參選港區全國人大代表選舉?Do you think the Director of the New China News Agency, Jiang Enzhu, should participate in the election of the Hong Kong Deputies to the National People’s Congress?

應該 Yes 29.5% 唔應該 No 41.1% 唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 29.4%

你認為最近全國人大常委通過既四百二十四名第九屆全國人大代表選舉會議成員既代表性如何?How representative, do you think, is the 424-members Election Committee recently approved by the National People’s Congress?

非常有代表性 Very representative 0.6% 無乜代表性 Not quite representative 30.0%幾有代表性 Quite

representative17.9% 全無代表性 Absolutely not representative 3.9%

一半半 Half-half 12.4% 唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 35.2%

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市民對傳媒發展的意見調查Opinion Survey on Media Development

調查日期 Date of survey: 22-23/10/97 成功樣本 Successful cases: 541 回應率 Response rate: 55.5%

你認為而家香港所提供既電視/電台頻道是否足夠?Do you think the television/radio channels available in Hong Kong are sufficient?

電視 Television 電台 Radio

非常足夠 Very sufficient 11.5% 11.7%

幾足夠 Quite sufficient 56.6% 60.6%

一半半 Half-half 3.7% 2.2%

幾唔足夠 Quite insufficient 22.0% 8.3%

非常唔足夠 Very insufficient 2.2% 0.9%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 4.1% 16.3%

你認為現時XXX 既節目是否足夠? Do you think XXX is/are sufficient?

兩個無線電視台從外國購買overseas programmes bought

by the two terrestrial TV stations

各電台轉播外國製作overseas production broadcast

by the radio stations

非常足夠 Very sufficient 2.4% 1.3%

幾足夠 Quite sufficient 33.3% 15.6%

一半半 Half-half 6.6% 4.4%

幾唔足夠 Quite insufficient 37.5% 33.0%

非常唔足夠 Very insufficient 5.2% 10.2%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 15.0% 35.2%

你認為現時XXX 既本地製作既節目是否夠多元化?Do you think the local productions of XXX are pluralistic enough?

兩個無線電視台 the two terrestrial TV stations

各電台the radio stations

夠 Enough 40.3% 48.1%

一半半 Half-half 13.5% 11.5%

唔夠 Not enough 39.8% 16.7%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 6.5% 23.6%

你認為現時兩個無線電視台既外語節目是否夠多元化?Do you think the foreign language programmes broadcast by the two terrestrial TV stations are sufficiently diversified enough?

夠 Enough 32.4% 一半半 Half-half 12.0%

不夠 Not enough 39.6% 唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 16.1%

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年十一月號

對醫務人員人手供應的評估Survey on the Assessment of the Supply of Medical Practitioners

  民意研究小組受香港大學醫學院委託,進行一個對醫務人員人手供應評估的調查。在一千零六十六名成功訪問的被訪者中,調查顯示市民對政府機構及私人機構的醫療人手供應給予非常不同的評價,百分之五十二表示公營機構的醫療人手不足,百分之二十三表示剛剛足夠,百份之二十五沒有意見,沒有被訪者認為人手過剩。至於私人機構的醫療人手方面,接近一半的被訪者認為足夠,百分之十五認為過剩,百份之二十八沒有意見,表示不足的只有百分之九。 若再深入分析,我們不難發現政府醫院的用戶對政府醫院的醫療人手供應存有較負面的看法。在該五成表示自己或其家人曾在半年內使用政府醫院服務的被訪者當中,百分之五十六至五十七認為政府醫院人手不足,與此同時,在餘下的一半非政府醫院用戶當中,只有百分之四十八有相同看法。 由於本港的醫護人員大多培訓於香港大學及中文大學,大部份被訪者(即超過七成)反對在一九九八至九九年度削減醫科生的收生學額,只有百分之十三持相反意見。 整體看來,民意數據顯示出政府及私家醫院的醫療人手存在明顯差異,目前,醫學院收生學額與政府醫療人手的多寡有不可分割的關係,在公眾對政府醫療服務仍有很大的需求下,市民對削減兩所大學的醫學院收生額的強烈反應也是可以理解。無可否認,單獨民意本身不能解決醫療人手問題,但在開放的社會,公眾情緒應被尊重,而公眾對醫療的需求理應予以重視。

The Faculty of Medicine of The University of Hong Kong has commissioned the POP Team to gauge the general public’s assessment on the supply of medical practitioners in Hong Kong.

Among the 1,066 respondents successfully interviewed, views over the supply of medical practitioners in public and private services differed significantly. A total of 52% said there was an under-supply of medical practitioners in the public sector, while 23% believed the supply was just enough and nobody said there was an over-supply.

With regard to the supply of medical practitioners in the private sector, 48% believed that it was enough, 15% thought it was more than sufficient, while only 9 % thought it was less than sufficient.

Upon further analysis, it could be seen that users of public hospital services tend to be more negative about the supply of medical practitioners in the public service. Among the 50% who, or whose family members, had used public hospital services, 56% to 57% thought there was an under-supply. Meanwhile, only 48% of the non-users said so.

Given that most medical practitioners in Hong Kong are trained by HKU and CUHK, an overwhelming majority, 73%, disagreed that the intake of medical students in the two universities starting from the school year 1998/99 should be reduced. Only 13% agreed.

As far as public opinion is concerned, there was an imbalance in the supply of medical practitioners across the two sectors. Given the weight of public demand for public hospital services, and the direct connection between the intake of medical students and the supply of medical practitioners in the public service, people’s overwhelming sentiment of disagreement to the proposed reduction of medical student intake in the two universities is readily understandable. Certainly, public opinion alone could not solve the problem of manpower supply. Yet, in an open society, where the public mood should always be respected, consumer demand is of paramount importance.

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November 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2

調查日期 Date of survey: 5-6/8/97 成功樣本 Successful cases: 1066 回應率 Response rate: 43.5%你或者你屋企人係過去半年內有冇用過公立醫院服務? (如有,訪問員追問自己定屋企人)Did you or any other family member use any public hospital services during the past six months? (If yes, interviewer to ask whether it is the interviewee or another family member)

有:自己 Yes: self (user) 26.0% 冇 No (non-user) 48.9%

有:屋企人 Yes: family (user) 23.8% 唔記得 Don’t remember (non-user) 1.2%

整體黎講,你覺得而家既公共醫生人手供應係點樣?係過剩、唔夠、抑或剛好?Generally speaking, how do you feel about the supply of doctors in public hospitals? Over supply? Under supply? Or just enough?

過剩 Over supply 0.6% 剛好 Just enough 22.9%

唔夠 Under supply 52.0% 唔知/難講/無意見 Don’t know/Hard to say 24.5%

整體黎講,你覺得而家既私家醫生人手供應係點樣?係過剩、唔夠、抑或剛好?Generally speaking, how do you feel about the supply of doctors in private practice? Over supply? Under supply? Or just enough?

過剩 Over supply 15.2% 剛好 Just enough 48.0%

唔夠 Under supply 9.2% 唔知/難講/無意見 Don’t know/hard to say 27.6%

而家本港既執業醫生主要係由香港大學同埋香港中文大學訓練出黎既。有人建議削減兩間大學由 98至 99年度開始招收既醫科學生數目。你贊成定反對呢個建議?At present, most of the medical practitioners in Hong Kong are trained by The University of Hong Kong and The Chinese University of Hong Kong. There is a proposal to reduce the intake of medical students starting from the school year 1998 -1999. Do you agree with such a proposal?

贊成 Agree 13.0% 中立 Neutral 3.3%

不贊成 Disagree 73.1% 唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 20.6%

自選影像服務的意見調查Opinion Survey on Video On Demand (VOD)

調查日期 Date of survey: 11/11/97 成功樣本 Successful cases: 518 回應率 Response rate: 47.6%你認為文康廣播局應唔應該係其中一個競投者仍然牽涉訴訟既時候,只係先發出一個自選影像服務(VOD)既節目服務牌照?Should the Broadcasting, Culture and Sport Bureau award only one single VOD programme service licence at a time when one of the bidders is still involved in litigation?

應該 Should award 22.7%

唔應該 Should not award 21.0%

唔知/難講/唔清楚件事 Don't know/Hard to say/Don’t understand the issue 56.3%

如果自選影像服務節目只包括卡通片同電影,你認為咁既節目種類夠唔夠多元化?Is the programming pluralistic enough if VOD programmes include only cartoons and films?

夠 Enough 16.7% 一半半 Half-half 3.4%

唔夠 Not enough 63.3% 唔知/難講 Don't know/Hard to say 16.5%

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November 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年十一月號市民對退休保障制度的意見調查

Survey on People’s Opinion on Pension Schemes

本中心民意研究組在九七年一月在香港社會工作聯會的建議下,曾就退休保障制度的問題進行民意調查,了解市民對各項退休保障制度建議的了解及支持程度(有關一月發表的調查結果,請參閱《民意快訊》一九九七年四月號〔即第八期〕)。在九七年十一月民意研究組在香港社會保障學會的建議下,再一次就此項問題進行調查,以測試市民對退休保障制度的意見是否有變化。現將兩次調查結果分列如下:

To understand people’s support for the different pension schemes and at the suggestion of the Hong Kong Social Workers’ General Union, the POP Team conducted a survey in January 1997. (Please refer to Issue No.8 for results.) At the suggestion of the Hong Kong Social Security Society, the POP Team conducted another survey on this issue again in November. It aims to examine whether there is an attitudinal change towards the schemes. Listed below are the findings:

調查日期 Date of survey: 4-5/11/97 成功樣本 Successful cases: 523 回應率 Response rate : 47.3%調查日期 Date of survey: 20-21/1/97 成功樣本 Successful cases: 549 回應率 Response rate : 46.9%

你認為退休保障制度既管理同投資應該由政府定私人機構負責?In your opinion, should the government or a private firm be responsible for the management and investment of the pension scheme?

20-21/1/97 4-5/11/97 20-21/1/97 4-5/11/97政府 The government 68.7% 60.3% 私人 Private firm 12.3% 13.6%

冇所謂 Doesn’t matter 9.3% 6.4% 唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 9.6% 19.7%

*以下幾個退休計劃,你認為邊個比較好? *Which of the following pension schemes do you think is the best?

20-21/1/97 4-5/11/97自願性私營退休金計劃Private Voluntary Retirement Protection Scheme

14.5% 自願性公積金Voluntary Provident Fund

5.4%

中央公積金Central Provident Fund

47.4% 中央公積金Central Provident Fund

13.9%

_ _ 中央公積金加老年退休金Central Provident Fund & Old Age Pension Scheme

45.1%

強制私營退休金計劃Private Mandatory Retirement Protection Scheme

7.7% 強制私營公積金Private Mandatory Provident Fund

7.0%

強制老人退休金Mandatory Old Age Pension Scheme

12.2% 老年退休金Old Age Pension Scheme

14.8%

唔了解/唔明有乜分別Don’t understand the difference

13.7% 唔了解/唔明有乜分別Don’t understand the difference

10.2%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 4.5% 唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 3.6%

請問你清唔清楚以上提及果幾個方案既分別? Do you know the differences among the above pension schemes?

20-21/1/97 4-5/11/97 20-21/1/97 4-5/11/97好清楚 Very clear 7.7% 8.7% 唔係幾清楚 Not quite clear 35.6% 33.8%

幾清楚 Quite clear 43.1% 42.2% 唔清楚 Not at all 13.6% 15.3%

你認為特區政府是否需要推出退休保障既諮詢文伴向市民作公開諮詢?Do you think the SAR Government need to issue a consultation document to consult the public on the issue of pension schemes?

4-5/11/97 4-5/11/97需要 Yes 87.8% 唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 7.7%

唔需要 No 4.5%

*此條問題與本中心研究組一月進行的同類調查一樣,至於在答案中採用的退休保障制度名稱方面,由於香港退休保障學會建議其中一些答案需進行少許改動,故兩次調查結果並不能直接或完全相互比較,本中心研究組只將兩次數據並列,供讀者作更詳細的參考。*This question is identical to that of another survey which was conducted in January. As the Hong Kong Social Security Society suggested a change of the names of some pension schemes that are listed in the answers, it is not entirely appropriate to make a direct comparison of the results of the two surveys. The POP Team simply lists out all the results for references.

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November 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2

市民對投資的取向People’s Propensity towards Investment

調查日期 Date of survey 25/6/97 29-30/7/97 26/8/97 23-24/9/97 28-29/10/97

成功樣本 Successful cases 548 564 532 511 536

回應率 Response rate 47.6% 39.7% 42.4% 41.6% 44.5%

如果你有一大筆多餘既錢,你會首先選擇: If you had a large sum of spare money, you would choose to:長線投資香港 Make long-term investments in Hong Kong

48.0% 51.7% 53.7% 53.0% 45.3%

投資國內 Invest in China 7.5% 7.0% 8.4% 7.7% 7.1%

投資海外 Invest overseas 6.1% 8.5% 5.9% 5.2% 7.3%

擺係銀行或作其他短線投資Save in banks or make other short-term investments

23.3% 19.8% 20.2% 24.6% 24.6%

駛左佢 Spend it all 3.5% 2.7% 2.6% 2.6% 2.8%

其他答案 Other answers 2.9% 2.7% 4.1% 2.7% 6.3%

不知道 Don’t know 8.6% 7.7% 5.1% 4.2% 6.5%

註: 此項調查由九六年十二月已開始進行,有關九六年十二月至九七年五月之調查數據結果,請參閱《民意快訊》的第十期。Note: This survey was first conducted in December 1996. Please refer to POP EXPRESS No. 10 for the survey results from

December 1996 to May 1997.

社會指標Social Indicators

調查日期 Date of survey: 28-29/10/97 成功樣本 Successful cases: 536 回應率 Response rate: 44.5%調查日期 Date of survey: 23-24/9/97 成功樣本 Successful cases: 511 回應率 Response rate: 41.6%例題: 我地想請你評價一下香港既社會現狀。如果你要用0-10分評價香港是否一個繁榮既社會,10

分代表絕對繁榮,0分代表絕對唔繁榮,5分代表一半半,你會比幾多分香港社會?Sample question : Please evaluate the present social condition in Hong Kong. If you were to use 0 - 10 to evaluate

whether Hong Kong is a prosperous society, with 10 indicating absolutely prosperous, 0 indicating absolutely not prosperous, 5 indicating half-half, how would you rate Hong Kong?

社會狀況 Social condition 平均分數 Average marks23-24/9/97 28-29/10/97

繁榮的社會 A prosperous society 7.89 7.42

自由的社會 A free society 7.39 7.35

安定的社會 A stable society 7.37 7.03

法治的社會 A society governed by the rule of law 7.15 6.90

民主的社會 A democratic society 6.28 6.19

鳴謝 ACKNOWLEDGMENT 亞洲電視有限公司 Asia Television Limited

(贊助各項社會問題的民意調查 for sponsoring opinion surveys on different social issues)

電視廣播有限公司 Television Broadcasts Limited(贊助一項有關市民對江澤民之評價的民意調查

for sponsoring the Survey on People’s Evaluation of Jiang Zemin)

香港大學醫學系 The Faculty of Medicine of The University of Hong Kong

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November 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2 (贊助一項有關對醫務人員人手供應評估的調查

for sponsoring the Survey on the Assessment of the Supply of Medical Practitioners)

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年十一月號市民對特區政府表現的評價

People’s Evaluation of the Performance of the SAR Government

調查日期 Date of survey : 28-29/10/97 成功樣本 Successful cases : 536 回應率 Response rate : 44.5%調查日期 Date of survey : 23-24/9/97 成功樣本 Successful cases : 512 回應率 Response rate : 41.6%你對特區政府既整體表現滿唔滿意? Are you satisfied with the overall performance of the SAR Government?

23-24/9/97 28-29/10/97 23-24/9/97 28-29/10/97滿意 Satisfied 48.9% 37.0% 一半半 Half-half 30.4% 40.1%

唔滿意 Dissatisfied 13.1% 17.9% 唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 7.6% 5.0%

你對特區政府係 XXX 既表現滿唔滿意?Are you satisfied with the SAR Government’s performance on XXX?

維持繁榮方面 The maintenance of economic prosperity

改善民生方面 The improvement of people’s livelihood

23-24/9/97 28-29/10/97 23-24/9/97 28-29/10/97滿意 Satisfied 59.8% 40.3% 30.7% 24.3%

一半半 Half-half 21.5% 31.2% 28.4% 37.7%

唔滿意 Dissatisfied 8.3% 20.5% 18.6% 27.8%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 10.3% 8.0% 22.3% 10.3%

你對特區政府係 XXX 既表現滿唔滿意?Are you satisfied with the SAR Government’s performance on XXX?

維護人權自由方面The protection of

human rights and freedom

推行民主步伐 The pace of democratic development

23-24/9/97 28-29/10/97 23-24/9/97 28-29/10/97滿意 Satisfied 29.4% 27.3% 24.6% 22.9%

一半半 Half-half 28.1% 33.3% 22.5% 29.1%

唔滿意 Dissatisfied 28.9% 31.4% 38.2% 38.7%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 13.7% 8.0% 14.7% 9.4%

你對特區政府XXX 既整體表現滿唔滿意?Are you satisfied with the overall performance of the XXX?

係處理與中央政府關係方面SAR Government’s handling of its

relation with the Chinese Government

司級官員SAR Government policy secretaries

23-24/9/97 28-29/10/97 23-24/9/97 28-29/10/97滿意 Satisfied 57.3% 54.0% 50.6% 37.6%

一半半 Half-half 19.6% 22.6% 24.3% 32.8%

唔滿意 Dissatisfied 8.5% 9.8% 11.6% 14.7%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 14.% 13.7% 13.4% 14.7%

行政會議成員Members of the SAR Executive

Assembly

臨時立法會成員Members of the

Provisional Legislative Council23-24/9/97 28-29/10/97 23-24/9/97 28-29/10/97滿意 Satisfied 26.9% 25.2% 21.7% 17.8%

一半半 Half-half 28.9% 29.5% 24.5% 29.0%

唔滿意 Dissatisfied 17.6% 22.0% 33.4% 32.1%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 26.5% 23.3% 20.4% 21.1%

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年十一月號附註 : 是項調查由九七年七月起開始進行,有關七月及八月的調查數據結果,請參閱《民意快訊》第十四期。Note : This survey was first conducted in July 1997. Please refer to POP EXPRESS No. 14 for the survey results of July

and August.

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November 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2

市民對江澤民的評價People’s Evaluation of Jiang Zemin

江澤民評分 Ratings of Jiang Zemin 調查日期 Date of Surveys 成功樣本 Successful Cases 支持度 Support rating 認知度 Recognition rate

4-5/11/97 523 62.5 80.1%3-4/9/97 508 63.7 72.2%8/7/97 538 60.1 59.3%

2-5/5/97 536 54.9 75.9%3-4/3/97 536 59.8 77.2%7-8/1/97 599 54.0 78.8%5-6/11/96 522 54.2 64.8%30/9/96 511 56.2 77.5%10/7/96 530 55.5 71.5%5-6/5/96 579 51.7 67.7%

13-15/3/96 613 52.9 72.9%4-5/1/96 543 50.6 75.7%6-7/11/95 550 48.0 70.5%

30/9-2/10/95 516 50.6 71.5%14-17/7/95 559 52.7 73.2%

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年十一月號五大政治團體評分

Ratings of the Top Five Political Groups

調查日期 Date of survey第一階段訪問日期(提

名):First Stage (Naming)

23/9/97

九七年十月份調查結果 Results from the survey in October 97

累積過去十二個月( 六次)調查結果 Accumulated results in the past 12 months

(6 surveys)

第二階段訪問日期(評分):

Second Stage (Rating)3-4/10/97

支持度Supportrating

標準誤差Standard

error

總人數Total

sample

評分人數No. of raters

認知度Recognition

rate

上榜次數No. of time on the list

平均支持度Average support

rating

平均認知度Average rate of

recognition

FTU 工聯會 62.0 0.9 511 370 72.4% 5 59.9 67.4%

DP 民主黨 61.4 1.0 511 432 84.5% 6 58.8 80.4%

LP 自由黨 56.7 0.9 511 373 73.0% 6 52.9 69.0%

ADPL 民協 56.7 0.9 511 326 63.8% 6 53.4 57.8%

DAB 民建聯 56.6 0.9 511 358 70.1% 6 54.2 64.7%

首五名平均分 Top 5 average 58.7 72.8%

ADPL = Hong Kong Association for Democracy & People's Livelihood

香港民主民生協進會DAB = Democratic Alliance for the Betterment of Hong Kong 民主建港聯盟DP = Democratic Party 民主黨FTU = Hong Kong Federation of Trade Unions 工聯會LP = Liberal Party 自由黨有關十月份社研調查的樣本資料,請參閱本刊第十三頁。For contact information for POP polls conducted in October 1997, please refer to page 13.

台灣問題民意調查Surveys on the Taiwan Issues

調查日期 Date of survey: 12/8/97 成功樣本 Successful caese: 526 回應率 Response rate : 44.8%調查日期 Date of survey: 14-15/10/97 成功樣本 Successful caese: 517 回應率 Response rate : 44.6%對大陸與台灣統一的意見 Reunification of Taiwan and the Mainland China 你有無信心大陸同台灣終於能夠統一? Do you have confidence in the ultimate reunification of Taiwan and the Mainland China?

12/8/97 14-15/10/97有信心 Yes 29.7% 33.9%

無信心 No 48.8% 49.9%

唔知/難講 Don't know/Hard to say 21.5% 16.2%

對台灣重新加入聯合國的意見 Whether Taiwan Should Rejoin the United Nations 你贊唔贊成台灣重新加入聯合國?Do you agree to Taiwan rejoining the United Nations?

贊成 Yes 30.5% 30.0%

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年十一月號唔贊成 No 40.4% 44.0%

唔知/難講 Don't know/Hard to say 29.1% 26.0%

有關十月份社研調查的樣本資料,請參閱本刊第十三頁。For contact information for POP polls conducted in October 1997, please refer to page 13.

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November 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2

特首董建華評分Ratings of the Chief Executive Tung Chee-hwa

調查日期 Date of Survey

支持度 Support Rating

按月平均分 Monthly Average

九月份第一次調查 1st survey in September 3-4/9/97 67.2 67.7

九月份第二次調查 2nd survey in September 15-18/9/97 65.6 (九月 September)九月份第三次調查 3rd survey in September 23-24/9/97 70.4

十月份第一次調查 1st survey in October 3-4/10/97 65.8

十月份第二次調查 2nd survey in October 8/10/97 66.1 64.9

十月份第三次調查 3rd survey in October 22-23/10/97 62.2 (十月October)十月份第四次調查 4th survey in October 28-29/10/97 65.3

十一月第一次調查 1st survey in November 4-5/11/97 61.2

十一月第二次調查 2nd survey in November 18/11/97 61.6

有關十月份社研調查的樣本資料,請參閱本頁下表。For contact information for POP polls conducted in October 1997, please see below.

市民對「一國兩制」及香港前途的信心Confidence in “One Country, Two Systems”, and Hong Kong’s Future

調查日期 Date of survey: 12/8/97, 26-27/8/97, 9-10/9/97, 23-24/9/97, 14-15/10/97, 28-29/10/97整體黎講, 你對一國兩制/香港前途有冇信心?On the whole, do you have confidence in “one-country, two systems” / Hong Kong’s future?

一國兩制 One country, two systems 香港前途Hong Kong’s future

九月份平均比率Average percentage in September 68.8% 81.9%

九月份第一次調查 1st survey in September 69.6% 79.0%

九月份第二次調查 2nd survey in September 67.9% 84.7%

十月份平均比率 Average percentage in October 67.3% 78.2%

十月份第一次調查 1st survey in October 72.8% 82.0%

十月份第二次調查 2nd survey in October 61.7% 74.4%

有關十月份社研調查的樣本資料,請參閱本頁下表。For contact information for POP polls conducted in October 1997, please see below.

九七年十月份社研調查之樣本數據 Contact information for POP polls conducted in October 1997第一次 First poll 第二次 Second poll 第三次 Third poll 第四次 Fourth poll

日期 Date of surveys 3-4/10/97 14-15/10/97 22-23/10/97 28-29/10/97

訪問對象 Target population 十八歲或以上之香港市民 Hong Kong population aged 18 or above調查方法 Survey method 電話訪問 Telephone survey抽樣方法 Sampling method 從住宅電話簿中隨機抽出號碼,再用電腦配套另一部份。當成功接觸目標住戶後,

再用出生日期抽取其中一名被訪者接受訪問。Telephone numbers were selected randomly from telephone directories and additional numbers generated by the computer. If more than one subject had been available, the one who had his/her birthday next was selected.

成功樣本 Successful cases 511 517 541 536

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November 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2

回應率 Response rate 41.8% 46.6% 55.5% 44.5%

抽樣誤差 Standard error 2.2% 2.2% 2.2% 2.2%

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年十一月號一九九七年十月三十日特別號

號外 民意快訊 EXTRA POP EXPRESS 民意研究計劃 香港大學社會科學研究中心 Public Opinion Programme Social Sciences Research Centre (SSRC), The University of Hong Kong

江澤民訪美之行的影響The Effect of Jiang Zemin’s Visit to the United States

調查日期 Date of survey : 28-29/10/97 回應率 Response rate : 44.5%成功樣本 Successful cases : 536 標準誤差 Standard error : 少於 less than 2.2%

你認為江澤民訪美之行能唔能夠改善中美關係?Do you think Jiang Zemin’s visit to the United States would improve the Sino-American relationship?

能夠改善 Would improve 70.1% 唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 17.6%唔能夠改善 Would not improve 12.3%

咁佢今次訪美,你認為對香港好處多定壞處多?Do you think Jiang’s visit to the United States is favourable or unfavourable to Hong Kong?

好處多 Favourable 71.1% 一半半/好壞參半 Half-half 15.3%壞處多 Unfavourable 1.1% 唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 12.5%

《民意快訊》乃香港大學社會科學研究中心民意研究計劃自一九九六年九月開始按月出版之刊物,目的是為社會人士提供研究計劃的最新成果。此號外乃記錄前兩天的民意調查結果,並非定期《民意快訊》。有關此號外之查詢請致電 2859 2989與發言人陳夢施小姐聯絡。POP EXPRESS is a monthly newsletter published by the Public Opinion Programme (POP) of the Social Sciences Research Centre in The University of Hong Kong since September 1996. This Special Issue records the result of our surveys in the last two days and is an extra to our regular monthly release. Enquiries concerning this Extra should be addressed to our spokesperson, Miss Natalie Chan, at 2859 2989.

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November 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2 Special Release of 31 October 1997

號外 民意快訊 EXTRA POP EXPRESS 民意研究計劃 香港大學社會科學研究中心 Public Opinion Programme Social Sciences Research Centre (SSRC), The University of Hong Kong

有關股市下跌的民意調查Public Opinion on the Drastic Fall in the Stock Market

調查日期 Date of survey 成功樣本 Successful cases 回應率 Response rate 標準誤差 Standard error28-29/10/97 536 44.5% 少於 less than 2.2%

近日股市大跌,你個人既經濟狀況好左定差左呢?The stock market has suffered a drastic fall recently. Has your personal economic situation become better or worse?

好左 Better 0.6% 不變/差不多 No change/The same 78.5%差左 Worse 20.6% 唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 0.4%

調查日期 Date of survey 成功樣本 Successful cases 回應率 Response rate 標準誤差 Standard error28-29/10/97 536 44.5% 少於 less than 2.2%

3-4/10/97 511 41.8% 少於 less than 2.2%

你對香港既經濟前景有冇信心? Are you confident of the economic future of Hong Kong?

3-4/10/97 28-29/10/97有信心 Yes 78.8% 72.6%冇信心 No 11.2% 12.7%唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 10.0% 14.7%

《民意快訊》乃香港大學社會科學研究中心民意研究計劃自一九九六年九月開始按月出版之刊物,目的是為社會人士提供研究計劃的最新成果。此號外乃記錄前兩天的民意調查結果,並非定期《民意快訊》。有關此號外之查詢請致電 2859 2988與發言人李至君小姐聯絡。POP EXPRESS is a monthly newsletter published by the Public Opinion Programme (POP) of the Social Sciences Research Centre in The University of Hong Kong since September 1996. This Special Issue records the result of our surveys in the last two days and is an extra to our regular monthly release. Enquiries concerning this Extra should be addressed to our spokesperson, Miss Anita Lee, at 2859 2988.

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年十一月號

《民意快訊》編輯委員會 EDITORIAL COMMITTEE OF POP EXPRESS 主編 Chief Editor : 鍾庭耀 Chung Ting-yiu Robert副編 Editors : 陳夢施 Chan Mung-sze Natalie,李至君 Lee Chi-kwan Anita編務助理 Editorial

Assistant: 李德成 Lee Tak-shing Patrick

電話 Telephone : 2859 2988, 2859 2989

傳真 Fax : 2517 6951

地址 Address : 香港薄扶林道, 香港大學黃子明樓 8樓, 社會科學研究中心 Social Sciences Research Centre, 8/F, Wong Chue Meng Building, The University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam Road, Hong Kong.

民意研究計劃最新出版資料 LATEST POP PUBLICATIONS AVAILABLE 對醫務人員人手供應評估的意見調查

Survey on the Assessment of the Supply of Medical Practitioners英文版 English version: 每本 $55 per copy

訂閱表格(歡迎加印)Order Form (Please make your own copies)

本人欲定期訂閱《民意快訊》: 由 __________年_________月 至 ___________年__________月I would like to subscribe to POP Express from ________________to _________________

本地訂閱 Local subscription 海外訂閱 Overseas subscription單行本 Single copy (從第今期開始 From this issue) 每本 $50 per copy 每本 $60 per copy半年(共六期)Half year (6 issues)(比原價享有九折優惠 10% off regular price)

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*更可免費獲贈價值 $240之《民意快訊合訂本第一冊特刊》(收錄《民意快訊》創刊號至第十期) With a GIFT of POP Express Combined Volume #1 Special Issue (back issues of No. 1 - 10, worth $240)

《民意快訊合訂本第一冊特刊》(收錄《民意快訊》創刊號至第十期) Combined Volume #1 Special Issue (back issues of No. 1 - 10)

HK$240**

未來合訂本(收錄六個月(六期)之《民意快訊》) Future combined volumes (back issues of 6 months)

HK$300**

**海外訂戶另加郵費 HK$100。Please add HK$100 for postage for subscriptions overseas.

姓名 Name: 電話 Tel.no: 傳真 Fax no.:

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年十一月號

付款方式:如用劃線支票付款,抬頭請寫「香港大學」。Payment method: Cheques should be crossed and made payable to “The University of Hong Kong”. 如欲索取《民意快訊》之傳真本,請致電 2859 2988進行登記。To obtain a fax copy of POP EXPRESS, please call at 2859 2988.

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Decemeber 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2

民意研究計劃 民意快訊Public Opinion Programme POP EXPRESS

香港大學社會科學研究中心Social Sciences Research Centre (SSRC), The University of Hong Kong 第 16期 No.16

目錄 Content

編者的話 2 From the Editor

回顧系列 3-16 Review Series

一九九七年回顧調查 3-5 1997 Year-end Survey

有關港區全國人大代表選舉的民意調查

6-7 Opinion Survey on the Election of the Hong Kong Deputies to the National People’s Congress

一九九七年「市民對『一國兩制』及香港前途信心」調查回顧

8 1997 Review of People’s Confidence in “One Country, Two Systems”, and Hong Kong’s Future

一九九七年「北京中央、特區、台灣及英國政府信任程度」調查回顧

9-10 1997 Review of People’s Trust in the Beijing Central, HKSAR, Taiwan, and British Governments

一九九七年「市民最關注問題」調查回顧

11-12 1997 Review of Areas of People’s Concern

一九九七年全年特首董建華評分 13 1997 Review of Ratings of the Chief Executive Tung Chee-hwa一九九七年「市民對西藏問題」

調查回顧14 1997 Review of People’s View on the Tibet Issue

一九九七年「市民對台灣問題」調查回顧

15-16 1997 Review of People’s View on the Taiwan Issues

十大大陸及台灣政治人物評分 16 Ratings of the Top Ten Political Figures in Mainland China and Taiwan市民對傳媒發展的意見調查 17 Opinion Survey on Media Development

社會指標 18 Social Indicators

自由指標 18 Freedom Indicators

新聞自由指標 19 Press Freedom Indicators

市民對特區政府表現的評價 20 People’s Evaluation of the Performance of the SAR Government十大政治人物評分 21 Ratings of the Top Ten Political Figures

十大臨時立法會議員評分 21 Ratings of the Top Ten Provisional Legislative Councillors

市民對「一國兩制」及香港前途的信心 22 Confidence in “One Country, Two Systems”, and Hong Kong’s Future市民對投資的取向 22 People’s Propensity towards Investment

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年十二月號編者的話

From the Editor

時光飛逝,香港回歸輾轉又已半年。在九七將去,九八正臨的時候,《民意快訊》特以九七回顧為主題,列出民意研究組在過去一年所進行的各項基準調查數字,連同歷年的結果一併分析。

鑑於香港在九七上半年乃由英國管治,而下半年則是在中國主權下「港人治港」,因此各項數據除了按年羅列外,亦盡可能把它們分拆分上下半年兩個部份,方便參考。讀者可根據個別調查項目的數據,判斷回歸前後香港社會的轉變。

除了九七回顧外,我們當然不會忽略各項重要的定期調查,如傳媒表現、社會指標、政治人物評分、及市民對前途信心等。至於在「一國兩制」下進行的第一次全國人大代表選舉,《民意快訊》亦繼上期之後,再次發放市民對該項選舉的反應。《民意快訊》的工作人員,以及民意研究組的所有

成員,在香港回歸後正緊守崗位,繼續過往的工作,與讀者一起迎接九八的來臨。

鍾庭耀

Time flies. We are now half year after the handover. Before 1997 leaves us, POP Express would like to publish a series of benchmark surveys which together give a fairly objective review of the year past.

In order to facilitate comparision between pre- and post-handover Hong Kong, we have, as far as possible, presented our data as half-year aggregates, on top of yearly variations. Readers are welcome to draw their own conclusions on post-handover changes.

Of course, as a monthly newsletter, we have not forgotten to report our latest findings from tracking surveys on media performance, social indicators, popularity ratings, people’s confidence in Hong Kong’s future, and the like. Needless to say, we continue to cover people’s reaction towards the first election of the Hong Kong Deputies to the National People’s Congress under “one country, two systems”.

We are glad to say that six months after the handover, we are still in good shape and remain committed as ever to produce opinion data for public consumption. This is probably our best new year gift to the general reader.

Chung Ting-yiu Robert

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December 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2

一九九七年回顧調查1997 Year-end Survey

九七年是香港歷史發展上重要的一年,香港已於七月一日正式回歸中國,英國殖民地的統治告一段落。九七年亦同時是令人歎息的一年,先是二月有中國重要政治人物鄧小平的逝世;十月起則出現股市大跌、繼而有多間大企業結業,經濟發展走向下坡,而整個東南亞經濟亦現疲弱。本港市民對過去一年有何觀感?一如過往,本研究小組於每年年底均進行全年總結的民意調查,探討市民對過去一年的評價及對未來一年的展望。

在十二月十八至十九日的最新調查顯示,市民對九七年發展的滿意程度為四成一,不滿比率為三成。對比過去五年調查結果,除九五年的滿意程度只有三成,而不滿程度為四成九外,今年是市民最不滿的一年,亦即滿意程度最底的一年。

愉快程度方面,九七年亦是六年調查以來最底的一年,有四成半被訪者表示在回顧九七年時感到生活得快樂,此比率是六年以來最底;至於其餘有四成三表示九七年的生活沒有甚麼特別,而一成二則表示不快樂。

With the return of sovereignty to China, 1997 has become a year of great importance to Hong Kong’s historical development. 1997 is also a year of regret. It was marked by the death of Deng Xiaoping, the drastic fall in the stock market and the weakness of the Asian economy. Under all these circumstances, how do Hong Kong people view the year past? Similar to the past, a year-end survey is conducted to explore people’s evaluation of 1997.

The survey conducted on 18 and 19 December shows that 41% of the respondents were satisfied with Hong Kong’s development in 1997 while 30% were dissatisfied. Except in 1995 when 30% and 49% of the respondents were satisfied and dissatisfied respectively, the level of satisfaction in 1997 is the second lowest among the past six years.

Regarding the level of people’s happiness, 1997 is the lowest among the past six years. Only 45% of the respondents felt happy. A total of 43% felt nothing special and 12% felt unhappy in 1997.

調查日期 Date of survey 22-23/12/92 28/12/93 21-28/12/94 28-29/12/95 9/12/96 18-19/12/97

成功樣本 Successful cases 606 600 529 509 563 547

回應率 Response rate 65.9% 48.0% 53.0% 50.3% 50.3% 46.3%

整體黎講,你滿唔滿意香港係九 X年既發展?On the whole, are you satisfied with Hong Kong’s development in 199X?

百分率 百分率 百分率 百分率 百分率 百分率Percentage Percentage Percentage Percentage Percentage Percentage非常滿意 Very satisfied 4.6 ) - 1.3 ) 1.1 ) 3.2 ) 0.9 )

(一般) 滿意 (Just) satisfied 44.2 ) 48.8 - 51.8 ) 53.1 29.3 ) 30.4 50.6 ) 53.8 39.7 ) 40.6

中立 Neutral 19.8 - 14.4 18.0 17.8 27.3

(一般) 不滿 (Just) dissatisfied 24.3 ) - 24.5 ) 40.5 ) 21.2 ) 27.3 )

非常不滿 Very dissatisfied 2.5 ) 26.8 - 3.6 ) 28.1 8.8 ) 49.3 2.0 ) 23.2 3.1 ) 30.4

不肯定 Not sure 4.6 - 4.4 2.2 5.2 1.6

回顧199X年,你生活得快樂嗎? Were you happy in 199X?

非常快樂 Very happy 5.3 ) - 7.0 ) 4.6 ) 6.8 ) 2.0 )

(一般)快樂 (Just) happy 55.8 ) 61.1 - 58.8 ) 65.8 51.1 ) 55.7 61.9 ) 68.7 42.7 ) 44.7

冇乜點 Nothing special 24.3 - 19.4 26.1 18.8 42.5

(一般)不快樂 (Just) unhappy 12.0 ) - 12.3 ) 15.8 ) 9.2 ) 10.3 )

非常不快樂 Very unhappy 2.1 ) 14.1 - 1.5 ) 13.8 1.3 ) 17.1 1.9 ) 11.1 1.3 ) 11.6

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December 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2 唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 0.5 - 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.3

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年十二月號  對未來一年的估計,調查結果是令人擔憂的,有四成二的被訪者估計九八年本港的發展會比九七年差,認為九八年會比九七年發展得好的只有二成七,其餘二成一被訪者則認為兩年發展會差不多。個人發展方面,被訪者則較為樂觀,三成四認為其九八年的個人發展會比九七年好,估計差不多的有三

成半,認為會差些的則有二成一。Respondents’ prediction of the coming year is

pessimisstic as well. Forty-two percent predicted that Hong Kong would become worse in the coming year and 21% thought it would remain the same. Only 27% thought it would be better. As regards personal development, 34% and 21% respectively thought it would be better and worse next year, while 35% thought it would remain the same.

調查日期 Date of survey 28/12/93 21-28/12/94 28-29/12/95 9/12/96 18-19/12/97

成功樣本 Successful cases 600 529 509 563 547

回應率 Response rate 48.0% 53.0% 50.3% 50.3% 46.3%

你估計香港係明年既發展會比今年較好定係較差?Do you think Hong Kong will become better or worse next year?

百分率 百分率 百分率 百分率 百分率Percentage Percentage Percentage Percentage Percentage

較好 Better - 30.4 19.8 37.1 27.3

差不多 Same - 22.6 20.0 20.8 21.1

較差 Worse - 33.4 51.7 21.6 42.0

不肯定 Not sure - 13.6 8.6 20.6 9.5

你估你係明年既個人發展會比今年好些定差些呢? Do you think your personal development will become better or worse next year?

好些 Better 46.9 40.5 30.4 35.4 33.8

差不多 Same 19.0 29.3 32.0 30.7 34.9

差些 Worse 20.8 13.7 24.2 14.1 21.1

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 13.3 16.6 13.4 19.8 10.3

你覺得香港/特區政府係明年最需要處理乜野問題?What do you think is the most important problem that the Hong Kong/HKSAR government should tackle next year?

房屋 Housing - 11.8 ) 7.3 ) 21.0 ) 25.9 )

福利 Welfare - 9.6 ) 5.4 ) 6.9 ) 7.0 )

教育 Education - 1.6 ) 0.4 ) 2.0 ) 3.1 )

醫療/衛生 Medical/Health - 0.7 ) 0.2 ) 0.7 ) 1.3 )

治安 Law and order - 6.1 ) 1.2 ) 6.2 ) 0.9 )

交通 Traffic - 6.3 ) 2.4 ) 0.6 ) 0.4 )

貪污 Corruption - 0.7 ) 0.2 ) 1.3 ) 0.2 )

環境 Environment - 1.2 ) - - 0.2 )

社區設施 Community facilities - 0.9 ) 38.9 0.8 ) 17.9 0.7 ) 39.4 - ) 39.0

經濟 Economics related - 12.8 ) 50.8 ) 19.3 ) 37.6 )

通漲 Inflation - 3.3 ) 16.1 1.5 ) 52.3 1.4 ) 20.7 0.4 ) 38.0

政制 Constitutional development - 24.0 4.6 12.3 0.9

其他 Others - 6.5 16.7 7.3 11.4

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say - 14.4 8.5 20.1 10.8

你最想香港變成點樣既社會呢?What kind of society would you most like Hong Kong to become?

繁榮既社會 A prosperous society 33.6 36.5 38.8 40.4 35.7

公平既社會 A fair society 21.0 22.1 19.2 23.7 24.5

自由既社會 A free society 23.7 24.4 20.4 21.3 20.9

福利社會 A welfare society 11.2 4.7 9.1 6.0 7.1

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年十二月號乾淨既社會 A clean society 1.8 1.5 1.4 1.2 2.0

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 8.7 10.9 11.1 7.4 9.7

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December 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2

  就市民對政府及整體社會的期望方面,市民最希望政府於明年處理的是經濟問題,有三成八的被訪者提出,其次二成六認為政府最需要處理房屋問題,另外則有七個百分比表示福利問題是最需要處理對比市民在九六年對九七年的期望,今年市民較關注經濟問題,與民生問題的關注程度相若。同一調查顯示,三成八被訪者希望本港成為一個繁榮的社會、二成半希望香港成為一個公平的社會,另二成一則渴望香港是一個自由的社會。可以顯示,市民依然是對經濟發展最最關注,其次是公平與自由。

最後,談到新一年的願望,同樣最多被訪者對經濟發展有所期望(三成四被訪者提出),另外二成七則提及自己個人發展的問題,亦有一成二表示沒有願望。對比過去五年調查結果,市民對經濟發展的願望是六年以來最高的。

總括而言,市民一般對九七年香港的發展給予較負面的評價,特別是經濟方面,至於對來年則不

大樂觀,主要期望政府能在經濟發展方面有所改善。Economic problem is the issue that the greatest

number of respondents, i.e. 38%, hoped the government would deal with. Then comes housing and welfare problems, where 26% and 7% respectively hoped the government would tackle. When compared with 1996, people tended to show more concern in economic problem in 1997. Among the respondents, 38%, 25% and 21% hoped Hong Kong would become a prosperous, a fair and a free society respectively. This shows that economic development is the primary concern of most people, followed by fairness and freedom.

Regarding new year wishes, 34% wished for a prosperous economy, 27% wished for personal development, while 12% had no wishes whatsoever.

On the whole, people tended to evaluate Hong Kong, especially its economy, negatively in 1997 and their forecast for the coming year was also pessimistic.

調查日期 Date of survey 22-23/12/92 28/12/93 21-28/12/94 28-29/12/95 9/12/96 18-19/12/97

成功樣本 Successful cases 606 600 529 509 563 547

回應率 Response rate 65.9% 48.0% 53.0% 50.3% 50.3% 46.3%

新年就快到啦,請問你對明年有乜願望呢? Do you have any new year wish?

百分率 百分率 百分率 百分率 百分率 百分率Percentage Percentage Percentage Percentage Percentage Percentage

個人 -- 健康、心境 Health 6.9 ) - 9.1 ) 10.0 ) 11.4 ) 8.8 )

個人 -- 財富 Wealth 3.0 ) - 6.0 ) 6.1 ) 5.2 ) 7.5 )

個人 -- 事業、學業 Career, studies 3.1 ) - 9.9 ) 13.6 ) 7.7 ) 7.2 )

個人 -- 家庭 Family related 2.0 ) - 3.9 ) 4.9 ) 4.1 ) 2.9 )

個人 -- 愛情、婚姻 Love, marriage - - 0.2 ) 0.8 ) 0.5 ) 0.0 )

個人 -- 朋友 Friendship - - 0.2 ) 0.2 ) 0.2 ) 0.0 )

個人 -- 其他 Other personal items 1.5 ) 16.5 - 1.8 ) 31.1 1.7 ) 37.3 1.7 ) 30.8 0.9 ) 27.3

社會 -- 政治 Political items 30.4 ) - 13.1 ) 4.5 ) 14.1 ) 3.5 )

社會 -- 經濟 Economic items 12.5 ) - 10.9 ) 22.3 ) 13.7 ) 34.0 )

社會 -- 民生 People’s livelihood 11.4 ) - 7.4 ) 8.0 ) 10.4 ) 7.5 )

社會 -- 其他 Other community items 3.7 ) 58.0 - 7.1 ) 38.5 8.4 ) 43.2 6.1 ) 44.3 5.5 ) 50.5

國家民族 National items 0.2 - 1.8 - 0.5 0.2

世界(和平、友愛) World peace 10.1 - 12.8 9.3 7.0 10.1

其他 Others 0.3 - 0.8 2.7 1.1 2.2

沒有願望 No special wish 15.0 - 15.2 7.7 16.4 12.3

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年十二月號有關港區全國人大代表選舉的民意調查

Opinion Survey on the Election of the Hong Kong Deputies to the National People’s Congress

調查日期 Date of survey: 8-9/12/97 成功樣本 Successful cases: 500 回應率 Response rate: 50.1%

你對港區人大代表既選舉過程滿唔滿意? Are you satisfied with the electoral process of the Hong Kong Deputies to the National People’s Congress?

百分比 Percentage

撇除「唔清楚過程」的被訪者百分比

撇除「唔清楚過程」及「唔知/難講」的被訪者百分比

Percentage omitting “Don’t know the process”

Percentage omitting “Don’t know the process” and “Don’t know”

非常滿意 Very satisfied 2.0% ) 3.1% ) 3.4% )

幾滿意 Quite satisfied 10.7% ) 12.7% 15.9% ) 19.0% 17.9% ) 21.3%

一半半 Half-half 8.8% 13.1% 14.8%

幾唔滿意 Very dissatisfied 22.4% ) 33.6% ) 37.9% )

非常唔滿意 Quite dissatisfied 15.3% ) 37.7% 22.9% ) 56.5% 25.9% ) 63.8%

唔清楚過程 Don’t know the process 33.2% - -

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 7.5% 11.3% -

你對港區人大代表既選舉結果滿唔滿意? Are you satisfied with the result of the election of the Hong Kong Deputies to the National People’s Congress?

百分比 Percentage

撇除「唔清楚結果」的被訪者百分比 撇除「唔清楚結果」及「唔知/難講」的被訪者百分比Percentage omitting

“Don’t know the result”Percentage omitting “Don’t know

the result” and “Don’t know”

非常滿意 Very satisfied 1.8% ) 2.8% ) 3.3% )

幾滿意 Quite satisfied 13.3% ) 15.1% 20.4% ) 23.2% 23.7% ) 27.0%

一半半 Half-half 7.7% 11.9% 13.9%

幾唔滿意 Very dissatisfied 18.3% ) 27.9% ) 32.5% )

非常唔滿意 Quite dissatisfied 14.9% ) 33.2% 22.9% ) 50.8% 26.6% ) 59.1%

唔清楚結果 Don’t know the result 34.7% - -

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say

9.3% 14.1% -

整體黎講,你滿唔滿意港區人大選舉會議既安排?Generally speaking, are you satisfied with the arrangement made by the Election Committee of the Election of the Hong Kong Deputies to the National People’s Congress?

百分比Percentage

撇除「唔清楚安排」的被訪者百分比 撇除「唔清楚安排」及「唔知/難講」的被訪者百分比Percentage omitting

“Don’t know the arrangement”

Percentage omitting “Don’t know the arrangement” and “Don’t

know”

非常滿意 Very satisfied 1.7% ) 2.7% ) 3.2% )

幾滿意 Quite satisfied 10.0% ) 11.7% 16.7% ) 19.4% 19.4% ) 22.6%

一半半 Half-half 7.3% 12.2% 14.2%

幾唔滿意 Very dissatisfied 18.7% ) 31.3% ) 36.4% )

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年十二月號非常唔滿意 Quite dissatisfied 13.9% ) 32.6% 23.1% ) 54.4% 26.9% ) 63.3%

唔清楚佢既安排

Don’t know the arrangement

40.2% - -

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say

8.2% 13.9% -

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December 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2

整體黎講,你覺得今次港區人大代表既選舉工作尊唔尊重香港市民既民意? Generally speaking, do you think the election of the Hong Kong Deputies to the National People’s Congress respect public opinion?

百分比 Percentage 百分比 Percentage

非常尊重 Very much 1.1% 唔係幾尊重 Not quite 28.6%

幾尊重 Somewhat 11.5% 完全唔尊重 Not at all 23.9%

一半半 Half-half 10.9% 唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 23.9%

三十六名港區人大代表已於十二月八日誕生,繼上一期《民意快訊》(第十五期)探討過市民對港區人大代表選舉制度的意見後,本中心民意研究組於港區人大代表誕生當日及翌日(十二月八日及九日)進行民意調查,了解市民對選舉過程及結果的滿意程度。調查結果發現,有三成八的被訪者表示對選舉過程不滿,而另外三成三則表示不清楚本身選舉過程,認為滿意的只有一成三。由於太多被訪者並不了解選舉過程,故在撇除沒有意見的被訪者後,發現在有表達意見的被訪者中,有六成四對選舉過程不滿,另二成一則表示滿意,表示一半半的則有一成半。

至於選舉結果方面,三成三被訪者表示不滿,一成半滿意選舉結果,其餘有八個百分比表示一半半;與選舉過程一樣,有三成半被訪者表示不清楚人大選舉的結果。故在撇除沒有表達意見的被訪者後,顯示有五成九被訪者不滿意港區人大的選舉結果,滿意的則有二成七,表示一半半的有一成四。

有關整個選舉會議的安排方面,市民的滿意程度與對選舉過程及結果的滿意程度差不多。三成三表示不滿選舉會議的安排,一成二表示滿意,七個百分比表示一半半,不了解安排的則有四成。在撇除沒有給予評價的被訪者後,六成三表示不滿選舉會議的安排,表示滿意的有二成三。

最後,調查要求市民評價是次選舉尊重民意的程度,結果發現,認為今次選舉工作不尊重民意的有五成三,認為尊重民意的只有一成三,表示一半半的有一成一。

總括而言,接近三分之一的被訪者對港區人大選舉的過程、安排及結果均不大了解,在表達意見的被訪者當中,則有六成或以上被訪者均對港區人大選舉的過程、安排及結果不滿,同時亦有過半數的被訪者

認為是次選舉並沒有尊重民意。The election of 36 Hong Kong Deputies to the

National Peoples’ Congress was held on 8 December. The POP Team conducted a survey on 8 and 9 December in order to understand people’s satisfaction with the election. Concerning the election process, the result illustrates that 38% of the respondents were dissatisfied, while 33% did not know the process at all. Only 13% were satisfied. Among those who expressed their opinion, 64% were dissatisfied, 21% were satisfied and 15% said half-half.

Concerning the election results, 33% of the respondents were dissatisfied, 8% said half-half and 35% did not know the results. Only 15% were satisfied. Among those who knew, 59% were dissatisfied, 27% were satisfied and 14% said half-half.

Respondents’ opinion on the arrangement of the Election Committee is negative as well. A sum of 33% were dissatisfied with the arrangement, while 12% were satisfied and 7% said half-half. The remaining 40% did not understand. Among those who understood, 63% were dissatisfied, while only 23% were satisfied.

Eventually, 53% of the respondents said the election did not respect public opinion. Only 13% said it did and 11% said half-half.

On the whole, about one-third of the respondents did not understand the election process, the result, or the arrangement. Among those who expressed an opinion, more than 60% were dissatisfied with these election matters. Meanwhile, more than half of the respondents felt that public opinion had not been respected in this

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December 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2

election.

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年十二月號一九九七年「市民對『一國兩制』及香港前途信心」調查回顧

1997 Review of People’s Confidence in “One Country, Two Systems”, and Hong Kong’s Future

總結市民對「一國兩制」及香港前途的信心,九七年似乎是市民頗具信心的一年。對香港前途的信心方面,按九七年全年的數字顯示,平均有七成四的被訪者(全年成功樣本為一萬三千四百八十三個)表示對香港前途有信心,認為沒有信心的只有一成一。對比過去三年數字,九七年是港人對香港前途最有信心的一年,信心程度一直由九四年的五成六逐年遞升至今年的七成四。至於對「一國兩制」的信心方面,在九七年平均有六成一的被訪者(全年成功樣本為一萬一千二百四十五個)表示對「一國兩制」有信心,認為沒有信心的有二成一。對比過去四年數據,今年同樣是港人對「一國兩制」最有信心的一年;而對比九六年,「有信心」的被訪者比率在今年上升達一成七。

1997 is the year when Hong Kong people were most confident of “one country, two systems” and Hong Kong’s future compared with the previous four and five years respectively. A review shows that an average of 74% of the respondents in 1997 had confidence in Hong Kong’s future (out of a total of 13,483 successful cases). Only 11% had no confidence. Meanwhile, an average of 61% of the respondents in 1997 were confident of “one country, two systems” (out of a total of 11,245 successful cases). Only 21% had no confidence. The level of confidence in “one country, two systems” has increased significantly by 17% from 1996 to 1997.

整體黎講, 你對一國兩制/香港前途有冇信心?On the whole, do you have confidence in “one-country, two systems” / Hong Kong’s future?

香港前途 Hong Kong’s future 一國兩制 “One country, two systems”調查年份 Year of polls 1994 1995 1996 1997 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997調查次數 No. of polls 10 12 13 25* 4 6 8 12 21*成功樣本 Successful cases 5,299 6,900 7,077 14,000 2,159 3,146 4,601 6,557 11,762回應率 Response rate 59.3% 57.0% 51.0% 46.0% 57.5% 55.3% 56.1% 50.9% 45.3%

有信心 Confidence 56.1% 58.1% 62.7% 73.5% 38.6% 37.7% 42.0% 44.0% 60.7%冇信心 No confidence 21.4% 21.8% 16.2% 10.7% 44.2% 43.8% 35.7% 32.0% 21.1%唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 22.3% 20.1% 21.1% 15.8% 17.2% 18.4% 22.3% 24.0% 18.2%

一九九七年數字 1997 Figures

整體黎講, 你對一國兩制/香港前途有冇信心?On the whole, do you have confidence in “one-country, two systems” / Hong Kong’s future?

香港前途 Hong Kong’s future 一國兩制 “One country, two systems”

九七上半年平均數1997 1st

half-year average

九七下半年平均數1997 2nd

half-year average

九七上半年平均數1997 1st

half-year average

九七下半年平均數1997 2nd

half-year average調查次數 No. of polls 14 11* 10 11*成功樣本 Successful cases 8,203 5,797 5,965 5,797回應率 Response rate 46.9% 44.7% 46.0% 44.7%

有信心 Confidence 71.5% 76.1% 57.0% 64.0%冇信心 No confidence 11.6% 9.5% 23.8% 18.7%唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 16.9% 14.4% 19.2% 17.3%

* 此調查數據已包括十二月底之數據,與較早前發放之預覽略有不同。* These figures have incorporated the lastest findings from the last survey in December, and are slightly different from those

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年十二月號published in the POP EXPRESS PREVIEW.

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December 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2

一九九七年「北京中央、特區、台灣及英國政府信任程度」調查回顧1997 Review of People’s Trust in the Beijing Central,

HKSAR, Taiwan, and British Governments

對比九七年市民對各個政府信任程度,香港政府/香港特區政府是四個政府當中最為市民所信任的,平均有五成八被訪者表示對其信任,表示一半半的有二成三,不信任的有一成二。至於信任程度最底的是台灣政府,九七年平均只有一成三被訪者表示對台灣政府信任,表示不信任的有四成。市民對中國政府及英國政府的信任程度則差不多,在九七年各平均有三成一的被訪者表示信任(表一)。

In 1997, the Hong Kong local government enjoyed the highest level of trust among the four governments tested, namely, the HK/HKSAR government, Beijing, British, and Taiwan governments. An average of 58% respondents trusted the local government, 23% said half-half and 12% did not trust it. Meanwhile, only 13% trusted the Taiwan government. The level of trust in both the Beijing and British governments were both 31% on average (Table 1).表一 Table 1

中國 / 北京中央政府Chinese / Beijing Central Government

英國政府*British Government*

調查年份 Year of polls 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997調查次數 No. of polls 12 12 12 12 11 12 12 12 12 6成功樣本 Successful cases 6,325 7,572 6,900 6,557 5,878 6,325 7,572 6,900 6,557 3,276回應率 Response rate 59.5% 56.7% 57.0% 50.9% 44.6% 59.5% 56.7% 57.0% 50.9% 43.5%

信任 Trust 19.2% 23.9% 21.7% 24.7% 30.6% 22.4% 27.6% 25.2% 27.3% 31.0%一半半 Half-half 21.5% 17.3% 19.4% 23.8% 22.3% 23.4% 19.4% 21.3% 23.4% 21.2%不信任 Distrust 50.8% 49.2% 49.1% 43.2% 36.3% 45.8% 43.5% 43.6% 40.9% 40.1%不知道 Don’t know 8.4% 9.6% 9.9% 8.4% 10.8% 8.3% 9.5% 9.9% 8.3% 7.8%

撇除“不知道”者 Omitting “Don’t know”信任 Trust 21.0% 26.4% 24.1% 26.9% 34.4% 24.4% 30.5% 28.0% 29.8% 33.6%一半半 Half-half 23.5% 19.1% 21.5% 25.9% 25.1% 25.6% 21.4% 23.6% 25.5% 23.0%不信任 Distrust 55.5% 54.4% 54.5% 47.2% 40.5% 50.0% 48.1% 48.4% 44.7% 43.4%

香港 / 香港特區政府Hong Kong / HKSAR Government

台灣政府 Taiwan Government

調查年份 Year of polls 1993 1994 1995 1 996 1997 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997調查次數 No. of polls 12 12 12 12 11 4 6 6 7 8成功樣本 Successful cases 6,325 7,572 6,900 6,557 5,878 2,159 3,146 3,278 3,853 4,193回應率 Response rate 59.5% 56.7% 57.0% 50.9% 44.7% 57.5% 55.3% 53.6% 51.1% 44.2%

信任 Trust 47.1% 54.7% 48.4% 57.6% 58.2% 39.6% 30.3% 17.0% 24.8% 13.0%一半半 Half-half 23.3% 16.9% 22.2% 23.2% 22.9% 13.8% 14.7% 15.0% 13.5% 13.3%不信任 Distrust 22.8% 21.4% 22.7% 14.3% 11.7% 24.7% 27.4% 37.5% 36.1% 40.0%不知道 Don’t know 6.8% 7.1% 6.8% 5.0% 7.2% 21.9% 27.6% 30.5% 25.7% 33.7%

撇除“不知道”者 Omitting “Don’t know”信任 Trust 66.1% 58.8% 51.9% 60.6% 62.5% 50.7% 41.2% 24.5% 33.1% 19.4%一半半 Half-half 19.7% 18.2% 23.8% 24.4% 24.9% 17.5% 20.2% 21.4% 18.1% 20.2%不信任 Distrust 14.1% 23.0% 24.3% 15.1% 12.6% 31.8% 38.6% 54.1% 48.8% 60.3%

* 對英國政府信任程度的調查於九七年七月主權回歸後起停止進行。16-9 97

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December 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2 * Survey on the trust in the British Government was discontinued after the handover of sovereignty in July 1997.

若比較市民對香港政府及特區政府(即回歸前後的分別)的信任程度,市民對九七回歸前的香港政府是稍勝一籌,按九七年上半年數字,有六成三被訪者信任香港政府,而對特區政府(即九七年下半年平均比率)在下半年的平均信任程度為五成二(表二)。

對回歸前後中國政府的信任程度方面,市民似乎對回歸後的北京中央政府較為信任。九七年下半年平均有三成二被訪者表示對北京中央政府信任,表示不信任的有三成。相對主權回歸前的中國政府,九七年上半年數字顯示只有二成九被訪者表示對其信任,表示不信任的則有四成二。換句話說,九七主權回歸後市民對中國政府的信任程度有增加的趨勢(表二)。

台灣政府方面,比對九七上下半年的數字,市民對台灣政府的信任程度則有下降趨勢,九七年上半年平均有一成六被訪者對台灣政府表示信任,表示不信任的有四成七。九七年下半年則跌至平均只有一成一被訪者表示信任台灣政府(表二)。

The level of trust in the Hong Kong government before the handover is higher than that in the HKSAR government. A total of 63% of the respondents on average trusted the Hong Kong government in the first half of 1997 while only 52% on average trusted the HKSAR government in the second half (Table 2).

However, people have expressed a higher level of trust in the Beijing government after the handover. A total of 32% on average trusted the Beijing government in the latter half of 1997 and 30% on average showed distrust. Comparatively, only 29% of the respondents trusted the Beijing government before the handover and the proportion of distrust was 42% (Table 2).

On the other hand, people’s trust in the Taiwan government dropped after the handover. The proportion of trust has reduced from 16% in the first half of 1997 to 11% in the latter half of the year (Table 2).

表二 Table 2一九九七年數字 1997 Figures

中國 / 北京中央政府Chinese / Beijing Central

Government

香港 / 香港特區政府Hong Kong / HKSAR

Government

台灣政府Taiwan Government

英國政府British

Government九七上半年平均數1997 1st half-year average

九七下半年平均數

1997 2nd half-year average

九七上半年平均數1997 1st half-year average

九七下半年平均數

1997 2nd half-year average

九七上半年平均數1997 1st half-year average

九七下半年平均數

1997 2nd half-year average

九七上半年平均數1997 1st half-year average

調查次數 No. of polls

6 5 6 5 3 5 6

成功樣本 Successful cases

3,276 2,602 3,276 2,602 1,591 2,602 3,276

回應率Response rate

43.5% 46.1% 43.5% 46.1% 41.0% 46.1% 43.5%

信任 Trust 29.0% 32.4% 63.2% 52.1% 16.4% 11.0% 31.0%一半半 Half-half 21.0% 24.0% 18.8% 27.9% 11.8% 14.1% 21.2%不信任 Distrust 41.7% 29.8% 13.5% 9.5% 46.6% 36.0% 40.1%不知道 Don’t know 8.3% 13.8% 4.5% 10.4% 25.3% 38.8% 7.8%

撇除“不知道”者 Omitting “don’t know”信任 Trust 31.6% 37.6% 66.1% 58.2% 21.9% 18.0% 33.6%一半半 Half-half 22.9% 27.8% 19.7% 31.1% 15.8% 22.9% 23.0%

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December 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2 不信任 Distrust 45.5% 34.6% 14.1% 10.7% 62.3% 59.1% 43.4%

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December 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2

一九九七年「市民最關注問題」調查回顧1997 Review of Areas of People’s Concern

另一項本研究組定期進行的調查是探討市民對不同社會狀況的滿意程度及最關心的是那種類型的問題。九七年全年的數字顯示,平均而言,市民最關注的是社會問題,有四成二的被訪者表示最關心,另平均有三成八被訪者最關注經濟問題。若分別將上下半年的數字比較,發現市民對社會及政治問題的關心程度較多轉移到關心經濟問題方面,反映在九七年下半年度市民對經濟問題比上半年關注。不過,再比較過去五年的數字,則發覺經濟問題本身均是多年來市民最關注的問題,一直維持有三至四成被訪者最關注,而市民對社會問題的關注程度則逐年遞升,由九二年有二成一被訪者表示最關注社會問題,上升至九七年的四成二。

Another tracking poll that the POP Team conducted regularly is people’s areas of concern and their level of satisfaction to social conditions. Throughout 1997, social problems were the concern of most people. Forty-two percent of the respondents put it as the problems they were most concerned with. Meanwhile, 38% were most concerned with economic problems. It is found that the area of concern has shifted steadily from social and political issues in the first half of 1997 to economic ones in the latter half of the year. In fact, economic issues has been the area of concern of most people since 1992 as the proportion of respondents has remained between 30% and 40% from 1992 onwards. On the other hand, people’s concern on social issues had increased steadily from 21% in 1992 to 42% in 1997.

調查年份 Year of survey 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1997 1997

全年Wholeyear

全年Whole year

全年Whole year

全年Wholeyear

全年Whole year

上半年1st half

year

下半年2nd half

year

全年Whole year

調查次數 No. of surveys 1 7 6 5 6 3 3 6成功樣本 Successful cases 726 4,058 3,305 2,821 3,215 1,591 1,561 3,152回應率 Response rate 66.8% 56.2% 57.2% 56.4% 49.3% 41.0% 44.6% 42.8%

香港而家面對好多問題,你個人最關心邊種問題?Hong Kong is currently facing various problems. What kind of problems are you most concerned with?

政治 Political 22.0% 19.5% 18.4% 11.6% 12.8% 11.0% 6.1% 8.6%經濟 Economic 40.4% 32.1% 35.9% 43.6% 43.6% 34.8% 40.9% 37.9%社會 Social 21.3% 28.7% 33.1% 31.1% 32.7% 41.7% 42.6% 42.2%冇意見 No opinion 16.3% 19.7% 12.7% 13.8% 12.6% 12.4% 10.4% 11.4%

此外,就市民對政治、經濟及社會環境的滿意程度方面,總結九七年全年數字,發現市民對社會環境的滿意程度最高,有五成被訪者表示滿意,不滿的有二成七,一半半有二成二。就經濟環境而言,表示滿意的有四成八,不滿的有三成三,一半半的有一成七,

不滿程度為三者最高。

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December 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2

In respect of political, economic and social conditions, the level of satisfaction in the social condition was the highest in 1997, with 50% of the respondents claiming satisfaction, 27% dissatisfaction, and 22% half-half. Concerning the economic condition, 48% of the respondents were satisfied, 33% dissatisfied, and 17% half-half. The level of dissatisfaction in the economic condition was the highest among the three aspects.

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年十二月號

至於政治環境,滿意與不滿意的比率較為接近,認為滿意的有三成七,不滿的有二成七,而一半半的則有一成八。若同樣將九七上下半年的數字分拆看,不難發現市民對三項環境的滿意程度在下半年均有明顯下降的趨勢,對政治環境的滿意程度由上半年的四成半下降至下半年的二成九;對經濟環境的滿意程度由上半年的五成六下跌至下半年的四成;最後,對社會環境的滿意程度由上半年的五成九滑下至下半年的四成。可見市民對九七下半年各方面的環境均不大滿意

Regarding the political condition, 37% were satisfied, 27% were dissatisfied and 18% said half-half. When one makes a comparison between the results of the first and the second half of 1997, it is quite obvious that the level of satisfaction in all these three conditions has experienced a drastic fall. The level of satisfaction in the political, economic and social condition dropped from 45% to 29%, 56% to 40% and 59% to 40% respectively.

調查年份 Year of survey 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1997 1997全年

Whole year 全年

Whole year 全年

Whole year 全年

Whole year 全年

Whole year 上半年

1st half year下半年

2nd half year全年

Whole year

調查次數 No. of surveys 1 7 6 5 6 3 3 6成功樣本 Successful cases 726 4,058 3,305 2,821 3,215 1,591 1,561 3,152回應率 Response rate 66.8% 56.2% 57.2% 56.4% 49.3% 41.0% 44.6% 42.8%

整體黎講,你滿唔滿意香港而家既政治/經濟/社會環境?Generally speaking, are you satisfied with the present political/economic/social condition in Hong Kong?

政治環境 Political condition

滿意 Satisfied 38.3% 32.9% 34.7% 36.5% 44.1% 45.3% 28.7% 37.0%一半半 Half-half 12.0% 12.2% 14.4% 13.0% 13.7% 13.3% 22.9% 18.1%不滿 Dissatisfied 39.3% 36.4% 33.7% 31.0% 24.7% 28.0% 25.8% 26.9%唔知/難講 Don’t

know/Hard to say

10.3% 18.6% 17.3% 19.5% 17.5% 1.7% 22.6% 18.0%

經濟環境 Economic condition

滿意 Satisfied 67.5% 62.3% 66.0% 37.6% 44.9% 56.2% 39.5% 47.8%一半半 Half-half 9.4% 9.6% 10.0% 10.3% 11.9% 11.5% 22.6% 17.1%不滿 Dissatisfied 21.8% 23.1% 21.1% 49.1% 40.6% 30.5% 35.4% 33.0%唔知/難講 Don’t

know/Hard to say

1.4% 5.0% 2.9% 3.0% 2.6% 1.7% 2.6% 2.2%

社會環境 Social condition

滿意 Satisfied 61.3% 56.2% 58.6% 50.2% 56.9% 59.1% 39.8% 49.5%一半半 Half-half 11.2% 13.1% 13.8% 16.0% 14.9% 13.1% 30.4% 21.8%不滿 Dissatisfied 25.5% 27.4% 24.9% 30.5% 25.4% 25.7% 27.4% 26.6%唔知/難講 Don’t 1.9% 3.4% 2.7% 3.3% 2.9% 2.0% 2.5% 2.2%

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年十二月號know/Hard to say

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December 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2

一九九七年全年特首董建華評分1997 Review of Ratings of the Chief Executive Tung Chee-hwa

調查日期 Date of Survey

支持度 Support Rating

按月平均分 Monthly Average

一月份第一次調查 1st survey in January 7-8/1/97 64.2 64.4

一月份第二次調查 2nd survey in January 17-20/1/97 64.6 (一月 January)二月份第一次調查 1st survey in February 3-4/2/97 58.5 60.1

二月份第二次調查 2nd survey in February 18-19/2/97 60.3 (二月 February)二月份第三次調查 3rd survey in February 24/2/97 61.4

三月份第一次調查 1st survey in March 3-4/3/97 61.6 60.0

三月份第二次調查 2nd survey in March 17-18/3/97 57.7 (三月 March)三月份第三次調查 3rd survey in March 26/3/97 60.6

四月份第一次調查 1st survey in April 10-11,14-15/4/97 57.9 57.7

四月份第二次調查 2nd survey in April 22-23,26-27/4,1/5/97 57.4 (四月 April)四月份第三次調查 3rd survey in April 28-29/4/97 57.9

五月份第一次調查 1st survey in May 2,5/5/97 57.4 58.6

五月份第二次調查 2nd survey in May 19-20/5/97 58.8 (五月 May)五月份第三次調查 3rd survey in May 27/5/97 59.7

六月份第一次調查 1st survey in June 5-6/6/97 58.1 57.9

六月份第二次調查 2nd survey in June 23-24/6/97 59.7 (六月 June)六月份第三次調查 3rd survey in June 25/6/97 56.0

七月份第一次調查 1st survey in July 8/7/97 64.1 64.5

七月份第二次調查 2nd survey in July 22/7/97 63.1 (七月 July)七月份第三次調查 2nd survey in July 29-30/7/97 66.1

八月份第一次調查 1st survey in August 5/8/97 63.5 65.7

八月份第二次調查 2nd survey in August 19/8/97 65.4 (八月 August)八月份第三次調查 3rd survey in August 26-27/8/97 68.3

九月份第一次調查 1st survey in September 3-4/9/97 67.2 67.7

九月份第二次調查 2nd survey in September 15-18/9/97 65.6 (九月 September)九月份第三次調查 3rd survey in September 23-24/9/97 70.4

十月份第一次調查 1st survey in October 3-4/10/97 65.8

十月份第二次調查 2nd survey in October 8/10/97 66.1 64.9

十月份第三次調查 3rd survey in October 22-23/10/97 62.2 (十月 October)十月份第四次調查 4th survey in October 28-29/10/97 65.3

十一月第一次調查 1st survey in November 4-5/11/97 61.2 63.4

十一月第二次調查 2nd survey in November 18/11/97 61.6 (十一月November)十一月第三次調查 3rd survey in November 24-25/11/97 67.3

十二月第一次調查 1st survey in December 2-3/12/97 61.8 62.8

十二月第二次調查 2nd survey in December 18-19/12/97 63.9 (十二月December)十二月第三次調查 3rd survey in December 22-23/12/97 62.6

上半年 1st half-year 下半年 2nd half-year 全年Whole year

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董建華平均分 Tung Chee-hwa’s average rating 59.5 64.8 62.3

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年十二月號一九九七年「市民對西藏問題」調查回顧

1997 Review of People’s View on the Tibet Issue

總結九七年市民對西藏獨立的意見,有五成半被訪者並不贊成西藏獨立,一成五表示贊成,三成則沒有表達意見,比對九七上下半年的數字,上半年有一成七市民表示贊成西藏獨立,而下半年此比率下降三個百分點;至於表示不贊成西藏獨立的被訪者比率亦同時下降,由上半年的六成跌至下半年的四成九,反而選擇不表達意見的被訪者比率則由上半年的二成三上升至下半年的三成七。

對比過去四年的調查數字,與台獨的態度一樣,贊成西藏獨立的被訪者比率逐年下跌,由九三年的二成四降至今年一成五。不過,可以肯定的是,在五年來市民的整體意見均較傾向不支持西藏獨立。

To summarize the results in 1997, 55% disagreed with the independence of Tibet. Only 15% agreed and 30% did not express an opinion. To make a comparison between the results of the first and second half of 1997, it is found that the proportion that agreed has decreased from 17% to 14%. Similarly, the proportion that disagreed has dropped from 60% to 49%. In contrast, those who did not express an opinion has increased from 23% to 37%. On the whole, the proportion of people who agreed with the independence of Tibet has dropped annually from 24% in 1993 to 15% in 1997. It is certain that people tended to disagree with the independence of Tibet in the recent five years.

調查年份 Year of survey 1993全年Whole year

1994全年Whole year

1995全年Whole year

1996全年Whole year

1997上半年1st half year

1997 下半年2nd half year

1997全年Whole year調查次數 No. of surveys 4 6 6 6 3 3 6

成功樣本 Successful cases 2,159 3,146 3,278 3,322 1,591 1,560 3,151

回應率 Response rate 57.5% 55.3% 53.6% 49.8% 41.0% 46.7% 43.8%

你贊唔贊成西藏獨立?Do you agree to Tibet becoming independent?

贊成 Yes 24.0% 22.2% 17.4% 18.4% 16.7% 13.6% 15.1%

唔贊成 No 51.4% 48.0% 54.0% 54.6% 60.1% 49.3% 54.7%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 24.6% 29.8% 28.6% 27.1% 23.2% 37.2% 30.2%

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一九九七年「市民對台灣問題」調查回顧1997 Review of People’s View on the Taiwan Issues

本研究組自九三年開始,定期就市民對台灣前途的意見進行調查。總結過去一年的數字,發現大多數被訪者均不大認同台灣獨立,在九七年中平均有六成被訪者不贊成台灣獨立,贊成的則有二成一,而沒有肯定答案的亦有一成九,對比過去四年的統計數字,贊成台獨的被訪者比率有逐年下降的傾向,由九三年有三成二贊成台灣獨立,降至九七年的二成一。

雖然不贊成台獨者居多,但被訪者對中台兩地的統一又是否樂觀?以九七年全年數字平均計算,有三成八被訪者表示對大陸與台灣統一有信心,表示沒有信心的有四成半。將九七上下半年數字分開比較,發現九七年上半年有四成三表示對兩岸統一有信心,而下半年此比率則跌至三成三,反映兩岸關係在九七年七月香港正式回歸中國後的發展並未使市民對大陸及台灣兩地的統一變得樂觀。

對台灣重新加入聯合國的問題上,九七年全年平均有四成市民表示不贊成台灣重新加入聯合國,贊成的有三成四,沒有意見者亦有二成六;反映雖然有六成被訪者並不贊成台獨,但對台灣自身拓展國際空間則有較寬鬆的看法。不過,九七香港回歸中國後,被訪者同樣對台灣重新加入聯合國較有保留,九七年上半年有三成八被訪者表示贊成台灣重新加入聯合國,下半年此比率只有三成一。至於對比過去四年的調查數字,與對台獨意見的走勢差不多,贊成重新加入聯合國的被訪者比率逐年下降,由九三年的五成二跌年至今年的三成四。

The POP Team has conducted surveys on the future of Taiwan since 1993. Throughout 1997, a majority of respondents, with 60% on average, disagreed with the independence of Taiwan. The proportion that agreed and those with no opinion shared 21% and 19% respectively. Compared with the figures of the past four years, the proportion of respondents who agreed with the independence has dropped steadily from 32% in 1993 to 21% in 1997.

Regarding the confidence in the ultimate reunification of China and Taiwan, 38% respondents felt confident and 45% were not confident. To compare the results of the first and the second half of 1997, it is found that people’s confidence in the reunification dropped from 43% to 33%. It seems that the handover of Hong Kong did not bring about an optimistic view in people on reunification.

Moreover, 40% of the respondents opposed to Taiwan rejoining the United Nations. Meanwhile, 34% agreed and 26% had no opinion. Respondents were more liberal on Taiwan developing her international status. Nevertheless, people became more reserved in the issue of rejoining the United Nations as those who agreed has dropped from 38% in the first half to 31% in the second half of the year. Such a decrease is consistent with the results of the previous four years as the proportion that agreed has also dropped from 52% in 1993 to 34% in 1997.

調查年份 Year of survey 1993全年Whole year

1994全年Whole year

1995全年Whole year

1996全年Whole year

1997 上半年1st half year

1997 下半年2nd half year

1997 全年Whole year

調查次數 No. of surveys 4 6 6 7 3 3 6

成功樣本 Successful cases 2,159 3,146 3,278 3,857 1,591 1,560 3,151

回應率 Response rate 57.5% 55.3% 53.6% 51.1% 41.0% 46.7% 43.8%

對台灣獨立的意見 Independence of Taiwan 你贊唔贊成台灣獨立? Do you agree to Taiwan becoming independent?

贊成 Yes 32.1% 34.2% 29.1% 23.6% 22.4% 19.8% 21.1%

唔贊成 No 52.1% 48.7% 51.6% 60.5% 62.1% 57.4% 59.8%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 15.8% 17.1% 19.3% 15.9% 15.5% 22.8% 19.2%

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年十二月號

調查年份 Year of survey 1993全年Whole year

1994全年Whole year

1995全年Whole year

1996全年Whole year

1997 上半年1st half year

1997 下半年2nd half year

1997 全年Whole year

調查次數 No. of surveys 4 6 6 7 3 3 6

成功樣本 Successful cases 2,159 3,146 3,278 3,857 1,591 1,560 3,151

回應率 Response rate 57.5% 55.3% 53.6% 51.1% 41.0% 46.7% 43.8%

對大陸與台灣統一的意見 Reunification of Taiwan and Mainland China 你有無信心大陸同台灣終於能夠統一? Are you confident in the ultimate reunification of Taiwan and Mainland China?

有信心 Yes 41.6% 34.9% 39.2% 47.5% 43.4% 33.1% 38.3%

無信心 No 41.7% 46.7% 43.2% 37.9% 42.7% 46.6% 44.6%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 16.7% 18.4% 17.6% 14.6% 14.0% 20.3% 17.1%

對台灣重新加入聯合國的意見 Whether Taiwan Should Rejoin the United Nations 你贊唔贊成台灣重新加入聯合國? Do you agree to Taiwan rejoining the United Nations?

贊成 Yes 52.1% 48.1% 40.3% 38.6% 37.7% 31.0% 34.4%

唔贊成 No 26.0% 28.6% 34.4% 39.4% 41.7% 38.7% 40.2%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 21.9% 23.5% 25.3% 22.0% 20.7% 30.3% 25.5%

十大大陸及台灣政治人物評分Ratings of the Top Ten Political Figures in Mainland China and Taiwan

調查日期 Date of survey第一階段訪問日期(提名):

First Stage (naming)28-29/10/97

九七年十一月份調查結果Result from the survey in November 97

累積過去十二個月(六次)調查結果 Accumulated results in the past 12 months

(6 surveys)

第二階段訪問日期(評分):Second Stage (rating)

18/11/97

支持度Supportrating

標準誤差Standard

error

總人數Total

sample

評分人數No. of raters

認知度Recognition

rate

上榜次數No. of time on the list

平均支持度Average

support rating

平均認知度Average rate of

recognition

趙紫陽 Zhao Ziyang 66.3 0.9 530 362 68.3% 2 67.3 68.5%

朱鎔基 Zhu Rongji 64.0 1.0 530 340 64.2% 5 61.0 56.1%

錢其琛 Qian Qichen 61.9 0.9 530 389 73.4% 6 61.5 69.6%

江澤民 Jiang Zemin 61.4 0.9 530 400 75.5% 6 59.0 73.2%

喬石 Qiao Shi 52.4 1.3 530 201 37.9% 2 51.4 33.8%

李瑞環 Li Ruihuan 52.3 1.5 530 163 30.8% 1 52.3 30.8%

連戰 Lien Chan 50.4 1.3 530 220 41.5% 3 51.0 39.0%

李登輝 Lee Teng-hui 50.3 1.1 530 335 63.2% 3 52.1 59.1%

李鵬 Li Peng 49.7 1.0 530 405 76.4% 6 46.6 72.9%

楊尚昆 Yang Shangkun 45.8 1.2 530 291 54.9% 3 48.5 49.8%

首五名平均分 Top 5 average 61.2 63.8%

首十名平均分 Top 10 average 55.4 58.6%

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December 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2

市民對傳媒發展的意見調查Opinion Survey on Media Development

調查日期 Date of survey: 24-25/11/97 成功樣本 Successful cases: 535 回應率 Response rate: 44.5%

你認為而家香港出版既報章/雜誌數目是否足夠?Do you think the newspapers/magazines published in Hong Kong are sufficient?

報章 Newspapers 雜誌 Magazines 非常足夠 Very sufficient 18.1% ) 23.4% )

幾足夠 Quite sufficient 67.3% ) 85.4% 56.1% ) 79.5%

一半半 Half-half 5.8% 3.7%

幾唔足夠 Quite insufficient 2.4% ) 6.0% )

非常唔足夠 Very insufficient 0.0% ) 2.4% 0.0% ) 6.0%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 6.4% 10.8%

你認為現時報章/雜誌轉載外國消息是否足夠? Do you think the foreign news quoted by newspapers/magaziness is sufficient?

報章 Newspapers 雜誌 Magazines 非常足夠 Very sufficient 1.5% ) 0.6% )

幾足夠 Quite sufficient 45.8% ) 47.3% 26.2% ) 26.8%

一半半 Half-half 17.2% 10.8%

幾唔足夠 Quite insufficient 22.4% ) 31.4% )

非常唔足夠 Very insufficient 0.2% ) 22.6% 1.1% ) 32.5%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 100.0% 29.9%

你認為現時報章/雜誌提供中國消息是否足夠? Do you think the news about China provided by newspapers/magaziness is sufficient?

報章 Newspapers 雜誌 Magazines 非常足夠 Very sufficient 2.1% ) 0.6% )

幾足夠 Quite sufficient 40.2% ) 42.3% 23.6% ) 24.2%

一半半 Half-half 15.7% 12.1%

幾唔足夠 Quite insufficient 31.4% ) 37.6% )

非常唔足夠 Very insufficient 0.2% ) 31.6% 2.4% ) 40.0%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 10.5% 23.7%

你認為而家可以係香港買到既外國報章/雜誌數目是否足夠? Do you think the foreign newspapers/magaziness which can be bought in HK is sufficient?

報章 Newspaper 雜誌 Magazine 非常足夠 Very sufficient 0.0% ) 2.1% )

幾足夠 Quite sufficient 16.8% ) 16.8% 31.4% ) 33.5%

一半半 Half-half 5.4% 6.7%

幾唔足夠 Quite insufficient 39.3% ) 22.6% )

非常唔足夠 Very insufficient 2.6% ) 41.9% 0.7% ) 23.3%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 35.9% 36.4%

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年十二月號社會指標

Social Indicators

調查日期 Date of survey: 4-5/11/97 成功樣本 Successful cases: 523 回應率 Response rate: 47.3%調查日期 Date of survey: 28-29/10/97 成功樣本 Successful cases: 536 回應率 Response rate: 44.5%

我地想請你評價一下香港既社會現狀。如果你要用0-10分評價香港是否一個繁榮既社會,10分代表絕對繁榮,0分代表絕對唔繁榮,5分代表一半半,你會比幾多分香港社會?Please evaluate the present social condition in Hong Kong. If you were to use 0 - 10 to evaluate whether Hong Kong is a prosperous society, with 10 indicating absolutely prosperous, 0 indicating absolutely not prosperous, 5 indicating half-half, how would you rate Hong Kong?社會狀況 Social condition 平均分數 Average marks

23-24/9/97 28-29/10/97 4-5/11/97文明的社會 A civilized society - - 7.17

效率的社會 An efficient society - - 7.12

自由的社會 A free society 7.39 7.35 7.00

繁榮的社會 A prosperous society 7.89 7.42 6.96

廉潔的社會 A corruption-free society - - 6.74

公正的法庭 The courts are fair - - 6.71

安定的社會 A stable society 7.37 7.03 6.69

法治的社會 A society governed by the rule of law 7.15 6.90 6.68

公平的司法制度 Fairness of jucial system - - 6.51

良好的治安 Good public order - - 6.39

平等的社會 An egalitarian society - - 6.24

公平的社會 A fair society - - 5.93

足夠的社會福利 Sufficient social welfare - - 5.90

民主的社會 A democratic society 6.28 6.19 5.87

自由指標Freedom Indicators

調查日期 Date of survey: 11/11/97 成功樣本 Successful cases: 518 回應率 Response rate: 47.6%調查日期 Date of survey: 3-4/10/97 成功樣本 Successful cases: 511 回應率 Response rate: 41.8%

我地想你評價一下香港既自由程度。首先,請你用0-10分評價一下香港信仰自由既程度。10分代表絕對自由,0分代表絕對冇自由,5分代表一半半,你會俾幾多分呢?Please evaluate the level of freedom in Hong Kong. Firstly, please use 0 - 10 to evaluate the extent of the freedom of religous belief in Hong Kong. 10 indicates absolute freedom, 0 indicates absolute lack of freedom, 5 indicates half-half. What do you think?自由狀況 The level of freedom 平均分 Average marks

15-19/9/97 3-4/10/97 11/11/97 信仰自由 Freedom of religious belief 8.58 8.49 8.73

出入境自由 Freedom to enter or leave Hong Kong 8.15 8.18 8.19

學術研究自由 Freedom to engage in academic research 8.01 7.93 8.11

文藝創作自由 Freedom to engage in artistic and literary creation

7.84 7.72 7.89

新聞自由 Freedom of press 7.22 7.26 7.08

出版自由 Freedom of publication 7.27 7.38 7.01

言論自由 Freedom of speech 7.25 7.12 7.01

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年十二月號 結社自由 Freedom of association 6.65 6.55 6.33

遊行示威自由 Freedom of procession and demonstration 6.56 6.12 6.03

罷工自由 Freedom to strike 6.37 6.21 5.82

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December 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2

新聞自由指標Press Freedom Indicators

調查日期 Date of survey : 18/11/97 成功樣本 Successful cases : 530 回應率 Response rate : 43.9% 調查日期 Date of survey : 14-15/10/97 成功樣本 Successful cases : 517 回應率 Response rate : 46.6%

請你用0-10分評價香港新聞傳媒既公信力。10分代表非常可信,5分代表一半半,0分代表非常不可信,咁你會俾幾多分?Please use a scale of 0-10 to rate the credibility of the news media in Hong Kong, with 10 representing absolutely credible, 5 half-half, and 0 being absolutely not credible. What rating would you give the media?

14-15/10/97 18/11/97 平均分 Average marks 6.30 6.48

認知度 Awareness level 92.3% 94.9%

你滿唔滿意而家香港新聞自由程度? Are you satisfied with the existing level of freedom of press in Hong Kong?

14-15/10/97 18/11/97非常滿意 Very satisfied 3.8% ) 5.3% )

幾滿意 Quite satisfied 55.6% ) 59.4% 59.0% ) 64.3%

一半半 Half-half 14.8% 19.2%

幾唔滿意 Quite dissatisfied 18.9% ) 14.4% )

非常唔滿意 Very dissatisfied 1.5% ) 20.4% 0.4% ) 14.8%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 5.3% 1.7%

你認為而家香港新聞傳媒既報導負唔負責任? Do you think the news media in Hong Kong are responsible in their reporting?

14-15/10/97 18/11/97非常負責任 Very responsible 0.8% ) 0.6% )

幾負責任 Quite responsible 29.5% ) 30.3% 30.1% ) 30.7%

一半半 Half-half 26.6% 40.7%

幾唔負責任 Quite irresponsible 27.7% ) 19.8% )

非常唔負責任 Very irresponsible 2.1% ) 29.8% 2.0% ) 21.8%

唔知/難講 Don’t know 13.3% 6.9%

你覺得香港新聞傳媒係批評XXX政府既時候有冇顧忌? Do you think the news media in Hong Kong have any scruple about criticizing the XXX Government?

中國 Chinese 香港 Hong Kong14-15/10/97 18/11/97 14-15/10/97 18/11/97有 Yes 70.2% 69.7% 40.5% 37.7%

冇 No 20.0% 22.5% 49.2% 54.8%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 9.8% 7.7% 10.3% 7.5%

你覺得香港新聞傳媒有冇XXX? Do you think the news media in Hong Kong have XXX?

自我審查practised self-censorship

充份發揮言論自由given full play to the freedom of speech

誤用或濫用新聞自由misused or abused the

freedom of press14-15/10/97 18/11/97 14-15/10/97 18/11/97 14-15/10/97 18/11/97有 Yes 41.6% 50.3% 52.6% 57.5% 47.5% 57.5%

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December 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2 冇 No 31.9% 29.6% 33.5% 30.1% 35.5% 28.4%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 26.5% 20.2% 13.9% 12.4% 17.0% 14.1%

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年十二月號市民對特區政府表現的評價

People’s Evaluation of the Performance of the SAR Government

調查日期 Date of survey : 11/11/97 成功樣本 Successful cases : 518 回應率 Response rate : 47.6%調查日期 Date of survey : 28-29/10/97 成功樣本 Successful cases : 536 回應率 Response rate : 44.5%

你對特區政府既整體表現滿唔滿意? Are you satisfied with the overall performance of the SAR Government?

28-29/10/97 11/11/97滿意 Satisfied 37.0% 44.4%

唔滿意 Dissatisfied 17.9% 13.8%

一半半 Half-half 40.1% 37.3%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 5.0% 4.6%

你對特區政府係 XXXX 既表現滿唔滿意?Are you satisfied with the SAR Government’s performance on XXXX?

維持繁榮方面 the maintenance of economic prosperity

改善民生方面 the improvement of people’s livelihood

28-29/10/97 11/11/97 28-29/10/97 11/11/97滿意 Satisfied 40.3% 42.2% 24.3% 25.1%

一半半 Half-half 31.2% 29.9% 37.7% 35.8%

唔滿意 Dissatisfied 20.5% 21.2% 27.8% 31.0%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 8.0% 6.7% 10.3% 8.2%

維護人權自由方面the protection of human rights

and freedom

推行民主步伐 the pace of democratic

development28-29/10/97 11/11/97 28-29/10/97 11/11/97滿意 Satisfied 27.3% 27.6% 22.9% 23.7%

一半半 Half-half 33.3% 37.7% 29.1% 29.0%

唔滿意 Dissatisfied 31.4% 27.1% 38.7% 38.4%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 8.0% 7.8% 9.4% 8.8%

你對特區政府XXXX 既整體表現滿唔滿意?Are you satisfied with the overall performance of the XXXX?

係處理與中央政府關係方面SAR Government’s handling of its

relation with the Chinese Government

司級官員SAR Government policy secretaries

28-29/10/97 11/11/97 28-29/10/97 11/11/97滿意 Satisfied 54.0% 52.4% 37.6% 37.4%

一半半 Half-half 22.6% 24.0% 32.8% 34.1%

唔滿意 Dissatisfied 9.8% 10.2% 14.7% 15.7%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 13.7% 13.5% 14.7% 12.9%

行政會議成員Members of the SAR Executive Assembly

臨時立法會成員Members of the Provisional

Legislative Council28-29/10/97 11/11/97 28-29/10/97 11/11/97滿意 Satisfied 25.2% 23.9% 17.8% 18.4%

一半半 Half-half 29.5% 33.3% 29.0% 32.0%

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民意快訊合訂本第二冊 一九九七年十二月號唔滿意 Dissatisfied 22.0% 22.1% 32.1% 34.6%

唔知/難講 Don’t know/Hard to say 23.3% 23.3% 21.1% 15.0%

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December 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2

十大政治人物評分Ratings of the Top Ten Political Figures

調查日期 Date of survey第一階段訪問日期(提名)

First stage (naming):8-9/12/97

九七年十二月份調查結果 Result from the survey in December 1997

累積過去十二個月(三次)調查結果Accumulated results in the past 12 months

(3 surveys)

第二階段訪問日期(評分)Second stage (rating):

18-19/12/97

支持度Support rating

標準誤差Standard

error

總人數Total

sample

評分人數No. of raters

認知度Recognition

rate

上榜次數No. of time on the list

平均支持度Average

support rating

平均認知度Average rate

of recognition

陳方安生 Anson Chan 67.2 0.7 547 477 87.2% 3 69.0 87.5%

董建華 Tung Chee-hwa 63.9 0.7 547 514 94.0% 2 64.7 91.5%

曾蔭權 Tsang Yum-kuen 61.3 0.8 547 420 76.8% 3 62.2 75.5%

劉千石 Lau Chin-shek 60.1 0.9 547 426 77.9% 3 61.3 78.7%

李卓人 Lee Cheuk-yan 58.6 1.0 547 418 76.4% 1 58.6 76.4%

李柱銘 Martin Lee 56.6 1.0 547 433 79.2% 3 58.2 81.2%

周梁淑怡 Selina Chow 55.0 0.8 547 424 77.5% 3 56.6 76.6%

司徒華 Sezto Wah 54.7 1.0 547 435 79.5% 3 55.7 81.0%

黃宏發 Andrew Wong 53.3 0.8 547 409 74.8% 1 53.3 74.8%

范徐麗泰 Rita Fan 49.2 1.0 547 433 79.2% 3 52.0 78.1%

首五名平均分 Top 5 average 62.2 82.4%

首十名平均分 Top 10 average 58.0 80.2%

十大臨時立法會議員評分Ratings of the Top Ten Provisional Legislative Councillors

調查日期 Date of survey 第一階段訪問日期(提名)

First Stage (naming): 18/11/97

九七年十一月份調查結果 Result from the survey in November 1997

累積過去十二個月(六次)調查結果 Accumulated results in the past 12 months

(6 surveys)

第二階段訪問日期(評分)Second Stage (rating):

24-25/11/97

支持度Supportrating

標準誤差Standard

error

總人數Total

sample

評分人數No. of raters

認知度Recognition

rate

上榜次數No. of time on the list

平均支持度Average

support rating

平均認知度Average rate

of recongition

杜葉鍚恩 Elsie Tu 67.7 0.9 535 433 80.9% 5 61.7 72.1%

程介南 Cheng Kai-nam 61.7 0.8 535 402 75.1% 5 58.1 65.7%

馮檢基 Frederick Fung 61.4 0.8 535 402 75.1% 5 57.4 67.6%

周梁淑怡 Selina Chow 60.0 0.8 535 433 80.9% 6 57.6 72.4%

譚耀宗 Tam Yiu-chung 58.5 0.9 535 400 74.8% 6 55.8 64.5%

曾鈺成 Jasper Tsang 56.3 1.0 535 375 70.1% 5 54.2 63.1%

黃宏發 Andrew Wong 56.1 0.9 535 418 78.1% 6 51.6 70.4%

李鵬飛 Allen Lee 53.5 0.9 535 429 80.2% 6 52.3 69.3%

范徐麗泰 Rita Fan 51.3 1.0 535 450 84.1% 6 52.5 73.9%

田北俊 James Tien 48.8 1.1 535 355 66.4% 1 48.8 66.4%

首五名平均分 Top 5 average 61.9 77.4%

首十名平均分 Top 10 average 57.6 76.6%

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一九九七年十二月號 民意快訊合訂本第二冊

市民對「一國兩制」及香港前途的信心Confidence in “One Country, Two Systems”, and Hong Kong’s Future

調查日期 Date of survey: 14-15/10/97, 28-29/10/97, 24-25/11/97, 8-9/12/97, 22-23/12/97整體黎講, 你對一國兩制/香港前途有冇信心?On the whole, do you have confidence in “one-country, two systems” / Hong Kong’s future?

一國兩制 One country, two systems

香港前途Hong Kong’s future

十月份平均比率 Average percentage in October 67.3% 78.2%

十月份第一次調查 1st survey in October 72.8% 82.0%

十月份第二次調查 2nd survey in October 61.7% 74.4%

十一月份調查 Survey in November 59.4% 71.8%

十二月份平均比率 Average percentage in December 58.9% 68.3%

十二月份第一次調查 1st survey in December 59.0% 65.8%

十二月份第二次調查 2nd survey in December 58.8% 70.8%有關十一月份社研調查的樣本資料,請參閱本頁下表。 For contact information for POP polls conducted in November 1997, please see below.

市民對投資的取向People’s Propensity towards Investment

調查日期 Date of survey 28-29/10/97 24-25/11/97

成功樣本 Successful cases 536 535

回應率 Response rate 44.5% 44.5%

如果你有一大筆多餘既錢,你會首先選擇: If you had a large sum of spare money, you would choose to:長線投資香港 Make long-term investments in Hong Kong 45.3% 47.0%

投資國內 Invest in China 7.1% 8.8%

投資海外 Invest overseas 7.3% 8.3%

擺係銀行或作其他短線投資 Save in banks or make other short-term investments 24.6% 21.8%

駛左佢 Spend it all 2.8% 3.2%

其他答案 Other answers 6.3% 5.8%

不知道 Don’t know 6.5% 5.1%

九七年十一月份社研調查之樣本資料 Contact information for POP polls conducted in November 1997第一次 First poll 第二次 Second poll 第三次 Third poll 第四次 Fourth poll

日期 Date of surveys 4-5/11/97 11/11/97 18/11/97 24-25/11/97訪問對象 Target population 十八歲或以上之香港市民 Hong Kong population aged 18 or above調查方法 Survey method 電話訪問 Telephone survey抽樣方法 Sampling method 從住宅電話簿中隨機抽出號碼,再用電腦配套另一部份。當成功接觸目標住戶

後,再用出生日期抽取其中一名被訪者接受訪問。Telephone numbers were selected randomly from telephone directories and additional numbers generated by the computer. If more than one subject had been available, the one who had his/her birthday next was selected.

成功樣本 Successful cases 523 518 530 535

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一九九七年十二月號 民意快訊合訂本第二冊

回應率 Response rate 47.3% 47.6% 43.9% 44.5%抽樣誤差 Standard error 2.2% 2.2% 2.2% 2.2%

110 16-22

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December 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2

《民意快訊》編輯委員會 EDITORIAL COMMITTEE OF POP EXPRESS 主編 Chief Editor : 鍾庭耀 Chung Ting-yiu Robert編輯 Editors : 陳夢施 Chan Mung-sze Natalie,李至君 Lee Chi-kwan Anita編務助理 Editorial Assistant : 李德成 Lee Tak-shing Patrick ,劉珮欣 Lau Pui-yan Flora電話 Telephone : 2859 2988, 2859 2989

傳真 Fax : 2517 6951

地址 Address : 香港薄扶林道, 香港大學黃子明樓 8樓, 社會科學研究中心 Social Sciences Research Centre, 8/F, Wong Chue Meng Building, The University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam Road, Hong Kong.

民意研究計劃即將出版資料 POP PUBLICATIONS AVAILABLE SOON 《民意快訊合訂本第二冊》(收錄《民意快訊》第十一至第十六期)

POP Express Combined Volume #2 (back issues of No. 11 - No. 16)

每本 $300 per copy

訂閱表格(歡迎加印)Order Form (Please make your own copies)

本人欲定期訂閱《民意快訊》: 由 __________年_________月 至 ___________年__________月I would like to subscribe to POP Express from ________________to _________________

本地訂閱 Local subscription 海外訂閱 Overseas subscription單行本 Single copy (從第今期開始 From this issue) 每本 $50 per copy 每本 $60 per copy半年(共六期)Half year (6 issues)(比原價享有九折優惠 10% off regular price)

$270 $320

一年 (共十二期)One year (12 issues)(比原價享有八五折優惠 15% off regular price)

$510 $610

兩年 (共二十四期)Two years (24 issues)(比原價享有七五折優惠 25% off regular price)*

$900 $1080

*更可免費獲贈價值 $240之《民意快訊合訂本第一冊特刊》(收錄《民意快訊》創刊號至第十期) With a GIFT of POP Express Combined Volume #1 Special Issue (back issues of No. 1 - 10, worth $240)

《民意快訊合訂本第一冊特刊》(收錄《民意快訊》創刊號至第十期) Combined Volume #1 Special Issue (back issues of No. 1 - 10)

HK$240**

未來合訂本(收錄六個月(六期)之《民意快訊》) Future combined volumes (back issues of 6 months)

HK$300**

**海外訂戶另加郵費 HK$100。Please add HK$100 for postage for subscriptions overseas.

姓名 Name: 電話 Tel.no: 傳真 Fax no.:

機構 Organization: 職位 Position:

地址 Address:

付款方式:如用劃線支票付款,抬頭請寫「香港大學」。

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December 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2 Payment method: Cheques should be crossed and made payable to “The University of Hong Kong”. 如欲索取《民意快訊》之傳真本,請致電 2859 2988進行登記。To obtain a fax copy of POP EXPRESS, please call 2859 2988.

16-23 111

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December 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2 索引Index

**[ ]內的篇號乃刊登該項目的期號及其頁數**The numbers in [ ] indicate the no. of issue and the page no. in that issue carrying that item.

編者的話 From the Editor 回歸的日子 2[11-2]The Transferral of Sovereignty, 1997<<民意快訊>>一週年 34[12-2]First Anniversary of POP EXPRESS皇妃戴安娜逝世與新聞傳媒 46[13-2]The Death of Princess Diana and the News Media特區政府管治下的首份施政報告 58[14-2]The Chief Executive’s Maiden Policy Address江澤民訪美與人大港區代表選舉 74[15-2]President Jiang Zemin’s Visit to the United States and the Election of the Hong Kong Deputies to the National People’s Congress一九九七回顧篇 90[16-2]1997 Year-end Review

評分調查 Popularity Ratings 特首董建華評分 7[11-7], 41[12-9], 52[13-8],Ratings of the Chief Executive Tung Chee-hwa 67[14-11], 85[15-13]十大大陸及台灣政治人物評分 8[11-8], 52[13-8],Ratings of the Top Ten Political Figures in Mainland 104[16-16] China and Taiwan五大政治團體評分 10[11-10], 53[13-9],Ratings of the Top Five Political Groups 84[15-12]十大臨時立法會議員評分 42[12-10], 64[14-8],Ratings of the Top Ten Provisional Legislative Councillors 109[16-21]十大政治人物評分 53[13-9], 109[16-21]Ratings of the Top Ten Political Figures董建華當選特首後每月平均評分 70[14-14]Monthly Average Ratings of Tung Chee-hwa after Selection

as the Chief Executive

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December 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2

指標調查 Indicator Surveys 政府表現指標 14[11-14]Indicators of the Performance of the Government生活滿意指標 15[11-15]Indicators of People’s Living Conditions社會現狀指標 21[11-21]Indicators of the Social Condition不同組織的公信力 22[11-22]Credibility of Various Organizations社會指標 35[12-3], 65[14-9],Social Indicators 81[15-9],106[16-18]自由指標 35[12-3], 65[14-9],Freedom Indicators 106[16-18]新聞自由指標 46[13-2], 66[14-10],Press Freedom Indicators 107[16-19]

一九九七回歸系列 1997 Transition Survey Series 彭定康評分總結 3[11-3]Round-up of Chris Patten’s Rating總結市民對彭定康施政報告滿意程度 4[11-4]Round-up of People’s Satisfaction with Chris Patten’s Policy Addresses總結市民自九三年來對中、英、港、台政府的信任程度 6[11-6]Round-up of People’s Trust in the Chinese, British, Hong Kong, and Taiwan Governments since 1993市民對「一國兩制」及香港前途的信心 8[11-8], 42[12-10],Confidence in “One Country, Two Systems”, and 54[13-10],67[14-11], Hong Kong’s Future 85[15-13], 110[16-22]九七回歸前市民的心情 11[11-11]Feelings about the 1997 Transition九一至九七年立法局議員的評價總結 16[11-16]Ratings of the Legislative Council Members 1991-1997對英國統治的評價 20[11-20], 28[11-28]Evaluation of the British Rule港人面對回歸的心情 25[11-25]Public Mood during the Transition

31

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December 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2

市民對北京中央、特區及台灣政府的信任程度 34[12-2], 52[13-8],Trust in the Beijing Central, HKSAR & Taiwan Governments 67[14-11]

一九九七全年回顧系列 1997 Year-end Review Series 一九九七年回顧調查 91[16-3]1997 Year-end Survey一九九七年「市民對『一國兩制』及香港前途信心」調查回顧 96[16-8]1997 Review of People’s Confidence in “One Country, Two Systems”, and Hong Kong’s Future一九九七年「北京中央、特區、台灣及英國政府信任程度」 調查回顧 97[16-9]1997 Review of People’s Trust in the Beijing Central, HKSAR, Taiwan, and British Governments一九九七年「市民最關注問題」調查回顧 99[16-11]1997 Review of Areas of People’s Concern一九九七年全年特首董建華評分 101[16-13]1997 Review of Ratings of the Chief Executive Tung Chee-hwa一九九七年「市民對西藏問題」調查回顧 102[16-14]1997 Review of People’s View on the Tibet Issue一九九七年「市民對台灣問題」調查回顧 103[16-15]1997 Review of People’s View on the Taiwan Issues

本港政策 Local Policies 施政報告調查系列 58[14-2]Opinion Surveys on the Policy Address 市民對施政報告的滿意程度 59[14-3] People’s Satisfaction with the Policy Address 市民對施政報告內政策的評價 60[14-4] People’s Evaluation of the Policies in the Policy Address 市民對特首約章及特區行政長官首份施政報告的期望 61[14-5] Opinion Survey on the Chief Executive’s Charter and the First Policy Address市民對特區政府首三個月來表現的評價 70[14-14]People’s Evaluation of the Performance of the SAR Government in its First Three Months特首董建華施政方針 71[14-15]Chief Executive Tung Chee-hwa’s Policies

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December 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2

市民對特區政府表現的評價 82[15-10], 108[16-20]People’s Evaluation of the Performance of the SAR Government

選舉研究 Electoral Studies 有關選舉制度的意見調查 38[12-6]Opinion Survey on the Electoral System市民對民主黨及特首參選全國人大代表的意見調查 64[14-8]Survey on People’s Opinion on the Election of the Hong Kong Deputies to the National People’s Congress有關港區全國人大代表選舉的民意調查(一) 75[15-3]Opinion Survey on the Election of the Hong Kong Deputies to the National People’s Congress(1)有關港區全國人大代表選舉的民意調查(二) 94[16-6]Opinion Survey on the Election of the Hong Kong Deputies to the National People’s Congress(2)

傳媒研究 Media Studies 市民對香港傳媒採用追蹤報導的意見調查 47[13-3]Public Opinion on the Mass Media’s Use of the Tracking Method in News Coverage市民對傳媒發展的意見調查 77[15-5], 105[16-17]Opinion Survey on Media Development自選影像服務的意見調查 79[15-7]Opinion Survey on Video-On-Demand (VOD)

社會問題 Social Issues 市民最關注的範圍 9[11-9], 43[12-11],Areas of People’s Concern 68[14-12]對「小人蛇」條例草案的即時反應 32[11-32]Instant Reaction to the Draft Bill Relating to Child Illegal Immigrants有關各項社會問題的民意調查 36[12-4]Opinion Survey on Different Social Issues有關股票市場的調查 37[12-5]Survey on the Stock Market

33

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December 1997 POP EXPRESS COMBINED VOLUME #2

市民對投資基金的意見調查 38[13-6]Survey on People’s Opinion of Investment Funds對醫務人員人手供應的評估 78[15-6]Survey on the Assessment of the Supply of Medical Practitioners市民對退休保障制度的意見調查 80[15-8]Survey on People’s Opinon on Pension Schemes市民對投資的取向 81[15-9], 110[16-22]People’s Propensity towards Investment有關股市下跌的民意調查 87[15-15]Public Opinion on the Drastic Fall in the Stock Market

國家問題 National Issues 台灣問題民意調查 10[11-10], 54[13-10],Surveys on the Taiwan Issues 84[15-12]比較港台兩地市民意見 12[11-12]Comparative Studies in Hong Kong and Taiwan People’s Opinion華人身份國籍認同的民意調查 39[12-7]Opinion Survey on the Ethnic Identity of Hong Kong Chinese有關雙十節的民意調查 48[13-4]Opinion Survey on the “Double Tenth”市民對近代中國領導人的功過評價 54[13-10]People’s Evaluation of Contemporary Chinese Leaders市民對中共十五大的看法 55[13-11]People’s Opinion on the 15th Chinese Communist Party Congress香港市民的民族認同感 69[14-13]Ethnic Identity of Hong Kong People西藏及台灣獨立問題的意見調查 74[15-2]Opinion Survey on the Issue of Independence of Tibet and Taiwan市民對江澤民的評價 83[15-11]People’s Evaluation of Jiang Zemin江澤民訪美之行的影響 86[15-14]The Effect of Jiang Zemin’s Visit to the United States

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