Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
Mapbook: Hurricane Iota Nicaragua 15 November 2020
(PDC Mapbook) Hurricane Iota - Nicaragua: 15NOV20
© Copyright PDC 2006-2020
1
Contact
Version Date Description Version
15NOV20 Original Document 1.0
(PDC Mapbook) Hurricane Iota - Nicaragua: 15NOV20
© Copyright PDC 2006-2020
2
• PDC-UNOCHA Joint Hurricane Winds Exposure Analysis - Nicaragua, Adv. 10 15NOV20 2100UTC / 1500CST
• TAOS Estimated Impacts Product, Adv. 10 15NOV20 2100UTC / 1500CST • Nicaragua COVID-19 Planning Profile • Nicaragua COVID-19 Cases, 15NOV • Nicaragua Multi-Hazard Risk Index • Nicaragua Resilience Index • Nicaragua Vulnerability Index • Nicaragua Coping Capacity Index • Nicaragua Vulnerable Health Status Index • Nicaragua Infrastructure Capacity Index • Nicaragua Health Care Capacity Index
Contents:
Hurricane Iota - Nicaragua: Estimated Wind Impact AnalysisAdvisory 10 – 15 NOV 2020 1500 CST (2100 UTC)
© 2015-2020 Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) – All rights reserved. Commercial use is permitted only with explicit approval of PDC │ https://emops.pdc.org │ [email protected]│ [email protected] │ Population and capital exposure calculated using PDC’s All Hazards Impact Model (AIM) (experimental). Key needs based on The Sphere Project │ Data: PDC, NOAA NHC, KinetiCastTC (TAOS Model), ESRI.
elderly >64 yrsadults 15-64 yrs children <15 yrs
67,000URBAN
135,000RURAL
TOTAL CAPITAL EXPOSURE
425.9 million
kcals per day
606,393 liters of water
per day
3,651100-liter
waste bins
699,684square metersof
shelter
BREAKDOWN OF POTENTIAL NEEDS
$1.2 billion
MAXIMUM POTENTIAL POPULATION EXPOSURE
202,000people exposed to potential tropical cyclone winds (Widespread Damage and above)
CatastrophicDamageSevereDamage
WidespreadDamage
Branches Breaking
Large TreesSway
Small TreesSway
Moderate Damage5% of valueMinor Damage;Power out
Trees Down;Some power loss
EstimatedWindImpacts
ForecastTrack
Hurricane Track > 74 mph (120kph)
Tropical Storm
Hurricane Track > 150 mph (240kph)
Capital exposure represents existing infrastructure (residential, hospital, industrial, school, service sector) exposed to hazard impacts and is not an estimate of losses.
33% 67%
Ï
Ï
ÏNicaragua
Honduras
ÏÏÏÏÏÏÏ
ÏÏ"Ï)ÏÏÏÏÏÏ
Mexico
Nicaragua
HondurasGuatemala
Cuba
Panama Colombia
Costa Rica
Belize
El Salvador
Jamaica
Cayman Is.
21SEP13 - 0600UTC
21SEP13 - 1800UTC
22SEP13 - 1800UTC
22SEP13 - 0600UTC
21SEP13 - 1800UTC
!
!
!
!
Ï"Ï)Ï
ÏÏÏÏ
Ï
Ï"Ï)Ï
ÏÏÏÏ
Ï
2020 NOV 18,12:00 CST
2020 NOV 17, 12:00 CST
2020 NOV 16,12:00 CST
2020 NOV 16,00:00 CST
2020 NOV 15, 15:00 CSTNicaragua
Honduras
Costa Rica
El Salvador
Belize
Colombia
Guatemala
Managua
San Jose
Tegucigalpa
San Pedro Sula
Trop ical Cyclone Pos itionsÏ Hurricane/Typhoon >150 mph
Ï Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph
Ï Tropical Storm: 39-73 mph
Ï Tropical Depression: <39 mph
"Ï) Current Cyclone Position
Es t Wind Im p acts (TAOS)Small Trees SwayLarge Trees SwayBranches BreakingTrees Down; some power lossMinor Damage; power outModerate Damage 5% of valueWidespread DamageSevere DamageCatastrophic Damage
1-3 ft
3-6 ft
6-9 ft
9-12 ft
12-15 ft
15-20 ft
>20 ft
< 1 in
1-3 in
3-6 in
6-9 in
9-12 in
12-24 in
> 24 in
Estimated Wind Impacts
Estimated Still Water Storm Surge Estimated Tropical Cyclone Rainfall
0 80 16040 Miles
0 80 16040 Kilometers
Pacific Dis as ter Center | 11/15/2020 | http ://w w w.p dc.org | res p ons e@p dc.org |Data: NOAA, KinetiCas tTC, ESRI. © 2015-2020 Pacific Dis as ter Center (PDC) – All rights res erved.Com m ercial us e is p erm itted only with exp licit ap p roval of PDC. The delineation of p olitical b oundaries , and as s ociated data s hown here do not im p ly endors em ent b y PDC.
¯
Hurricane Iota - Estimated ImpactsAdvisory 10, 15 November 2020 1500 CST (2100 UTC)NWS Summary: At 400 PM EST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Iota was located near latitude 13.3 North, longitude 79.3 West. Iota is moving toward the west near 9 mph (15km/h). A westward to west-northwestward motion is expected through landfall. After landfall, a westward to west-southwestward motion is forecast. On the forecast track, the core ofIota will pass near or over Providencia island late tonight or Monday, and approach the coasts of northeastern Nicaragua and eastern Honduras Monday, and make landfall within thehurricane warning area Monday night. Maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher gusts. Rapid strengthening is expected during the next 24 hours, and Iota isforecast to be an extremely dangerous category 4 hurricane when it approaches Central America. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center andtropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 974 mb (28.77 inches).
PDC-31A-10A
6.6 MILLIONTOTAL POPULATION (2020)
PHYSICIANS NURSES / MIDWIVES HOSPITALBEDS
575,438ELDERLY POPULATION (60+)
Key demographics snapshot
per 10,000 per 10,000 per 10,00010.06 13.8 9
COVID-19 LAC PLANNINGNICARAGUA
PDC Risk and Vulnerability Highlights
9 out of 28LAC Vulnerability Ranking
5 out of 29LAC Vulnerable Health Status Ranking
25 out of 30LAC Coping Capacity Ranking
21 out of 27LAC Resilience Ranking
LAC Healthcare Capacity Ranking: 23 out of 31
© 2015 - 2020 Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) - All rights reserved. Commercial use is permitted only with explicit approval of PDC| 06/09/2020|www.emops.pdc.org|[email protected]|Data: PDC Global Risk and Vulnerability Index. LAC refers to 33 nations in Latin America and The Caribbean.
COVID-19: Nicaragua15 NOVEMBER 2020
Country Cases Deaths Population Age 60+Hospital Beds
per 10k Persons
Doctors /Nurses per 10k
Persons
Guatemala 114,885 3,932 17.9 Million 1.3 Million 6 3.55 / 8.6
El Salvador 36,358 1,044 6.5 Million 782,086 13 15.69 / 4.1
Honduras 102,079 2,820 9.9 Million 729,876 7 3.14 / 11.3
Costa Rica 123,223 1,546 5.1 Million 766,611 12 11.5 / 8
Nicaragua 5,661 158 6.6 Million 575,438 9 10.06 / 13.8
© 2015 - 2020 Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) - All rights reserved. Commercial use is permitted only with explicit approval of PDC | 11/15/2020 | www.emops.pdc.org | [email protected] | Data: PDC National Disaster Preparedness Baseline Assessment, Johns Hopkins University. *Country data was last updated on 10NOV.
Nicaragua Summary
CASES SUMMARY
5,661 Confirmed Cases*
158 Deaths*
6.6 MillionTOTAL POPULATION
575,438ELDERLY POPULATION
(60+)
147 Cases (last 7d)*
2 Deaths (last 7d)*
New Confirmed CasesIn Last 24 Hours
Hurricane Iota – Nicaragua: Multi-Hazard Risk Index15 November 2020 2100 UTC (1500 CST)
© 2015-2020 Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) – All rights reserved. Commercial use is permitted only with explicit approval of PDC │ https://emops.pdc.org │ [email protected]: PDC National Disaster Preparedness Baseline Assessment, NHC (Advisory #10 15NOV2020 2100UTC / 1500 CST). View this and other data in DisasterAWARE® at: https://emops.pdc.org/emops/?bookmark=15239
2020NOV1612:00 CST
Hurricane Iota – Nicaragua: Resilience Index15 November 2020 2100 UTC (1500 CST)
© 2015-2020 Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) – All rights reserved. Commercial use is permitted only with explicit approval of PDC │ https://emops.pdc.org │ [email protected]: PDC National Disaster Preparedness Baseline Assessment, NHC (Advisory #10 15NOV2020 2100UTC / 1500 CST). View this and other data in DisasterAWARE® at: https://emops.pdc.org/emops/?bookmark=15240
2020NOV1612:00 CST
Hurricane Iota – Nicaragua: Vulnerability Index15 November 2020 2100 UTC (1500 CST)
© 2015-2020 Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) – All rights reserved. Commercial use is permitted only with explicit approval of PDC │ https://emops.pdc.org │ [email protected]: PDC National Disaster Preparedness Baseline Assessment, NHC (Advisory #10 15NOV2020 2100UTC / 1500 CST). View this and other data in DisasterAWARE® at: https://emops.pdc.org/emops/?bookmark=15241
2020NOV1612:00 CST
Hurricane Iota – Nicaragua: Coping Capacity Index15 November 2020 2100 UTC (1500 CST)
© 2015-2020 Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) – All rights reserved. Commercial use is permitted only with explicit approval of PDC │ https://emops.pdc.org │ [email protected]: PDC National Disaster Preparedness Baseline Assessment, NHC (Advisory #10 15NOV2020 2100UTC / 1500 CST). View this and other data in DisasterAWARE® at: https://emops.pdc.org/emops/?bookmark=15242
2020NOV1612:00 CST
Hurricane Iota – Nicaragua: Vulnerable Health Status Index15 November 2020 2100 UTC (1500 CST)
© 2015-2020 Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) – All rights reserved. Commercial use is permitted only with explicit approval of PDC │ https://emops.pdc.org │ [email protected]: PDC National Disaster Preparedness Baseline Assessment, NHC (Advisory #10 15NOV2020 2100UTC / 1500 CST). View this and other data in DisasterAWARE® at: https://emops.pdc.org/emops/?bookmark=15243
2020NOV1612:00 CST
Hurricane Iota – Nicaragua: Infrastructure Capacity Index15 November 2020 2100 UTC (1500 CST)
© 2015-2020 Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) – All rights reserved. Commercial use is permitted only with explicit approval of PDC │ https://emops.pdc.org │ [email protected]: PDC National Disaster Preparedness Baseline Assessment, NHC (Advisory #10 15NOV2020 2100UTC / 1500 CST). View this and other data in DisasterAWARE® at: https://emops.pdc.org/emops/?bookmark=15244
2020NOV1612:00 CST
Hurricane Iota – Nicaragua: Health Care Capacity Index15 November 2020 2100 UTC (1500 CST)
© 2015-2020 Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) – All rights reserved. Commercial use is permitted only with explicit approval of PDC │ https://emops.pdc.org │ [email protected]: PDC National Disaster Preparedness Baseline Assessment, NHC (Advisory #10 15NOV2020 2100UTC / 1500 CST). View this and other data in DisasterAWARE® at: https://emops.pdc.org/emops/?bookmark=15245
2020NOV1612:00 CST
