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Logistics Market – China
November 2014
2 LOGISTICS MARKET IN CHINA 2014.PPT
Executive Summary
Market
Drivers & Challenges
Competition
Logistics market value in China is expected to reach USD 55.1 tn by 2018 from USD 28 tn in 2012, growing at a CAGR of 11.9%
Industrial products accounted for a major share of 91.4% of the logistics market value in 2012
Trends
Development of National Transport Infrastructure
Market Consolidation
Logistics Outsourcing
Inland Expansion of Third Party Logistics
Rising Investments
Drivers:
- Healthy Economy
- Rising Income and Increasing Domestic Consumption
- Growing E-commerce Business
- Manufacturers’ Shift to the West
- Strong Retail Sales
- Opportunity from Cold Chain Logistics
- Opportunity from Pharmaceutical Logistics
Government Initiatives
Reorganization of Logistics-Related Administrative Institutions in 2008
Fragmented Regulatory Framework
Development Plan of Commercial Logistics (2011)
Logistics Key Focus Areas under the 12th Five Year Plan (2010-2015)
Medium-and Long-term Development Plan of Logistics Industry (2012-2020)
Seven point plan for (2014-2020)
Challenges:
- Rise in Logistics Costs Due to Low Efficiency
- Lack of Modern Logistics Facilities
- Inadequate Warehouse Space
- Regional Protectionism
- Constraints in Human Resources
- Preference Towards Self Management
Major Players
Sinotrans Ltd. FedEx Corporation DHL Logistics Pvt. Ltd.
3 LOGISTICS MARKET IN CHINA 2014.PPT
•Macroeconomic Indicators
•Introduction
•Market Overview
•Drivers & Challenges
•Government Initiatives
•Trends
•Mergers & Acquisitions
•Competitive Landscape
•Strategic Recommendations
•Appendix
4
SAMPLE
LOGISTICS MARKET IN CHINA 2014.PPT
Macroeconomic Indicators (1/3)
Current Account Balance
Exchange Rate: Half Yearly
0
100
200
300
400
USD bn
20--
f6
20--
e5
20--
d4
20--
c3
20--
b2
20--
a1
5/1/14 4/1/14
6.08
3/1/14 2/1/14 1/1/14
USD/INR
e3
e1
e2 d3
d1
d2
c3
c1
c2
b3
b1
b2
a3
a1 a2
Period Low Period Average Period High
5 LOGISTICS MARKET IN CHINA 2014.PPT
Logistics Industry Framework
Note: LTL refers to less than truckload, FTL refers to full truckload, 3PL refers to Third-Party Logistics, 4PL refers to Fourth-Party Logistics and SCM refers to Supply Chain Management
Regulator (Government Authorities,
Industry Association) Road/ Highway
Providers
Sea and Inland Ports
Railways
Equipment Providers
Postal / Mail Services
Cargo Airlines
Trucking Companies
LTL / FTL
Shipping Companies
Cargo Rail Companies
Courier
Express
Parcel
Load Logistics Provider (LLP)
Contract Logistics (3PL) Value Added Services, Warehousing,
Transportation, Distribution
4PL
Freight Forwarding Road LTL / FTL, Air Freight,
Sea Freight, Rail Freight
Professional Services Consulting, IT Systems Integrators,
SCM Application Providers
Airports
Logistics related Financial Services
Infrastructure
Carriers
Delivery Type
Service Providers
SAMPLE
6 LOGISTICS MARKET IN CHINA 2014.PPT
Logistics market in China is exhibiting rapid development with annual double digit growth expected through 2012-18
• Logistics industry is acting as a bridge between the value
chain from production to sales
• It plays a key role in China’s smooth economic
development
• In 2012, the logistics demand coefficient which is the
logistics industry’s value to GDP ratio, was 3.4, which is
higher than the coefficient in 2011, implying a steady
growth in the logistics market
• Booming manufacturing sector is the main factor behind
China’s economic development
Industrial products have the maximum value in the country’s
total logistics value
• Logistics industry is highly dependent on transport
facilities for its growth
Growth in the logistics industry will accelerate the network
and density of the five major segments of the market –
express, road freight, air freight, contract logistics and
international freight forwarding
Logistics Market Value and Growth Logistics Market – Overview
r
q
p
0
USD tr
11.9%
20--
a7
20--
a6
20--
a5
20--
a4
20--
a3
20--
a2
20--
a1
Logistics Market Value Category-wise
x3 x5
x4 x2
x1
Segment 4
Segment 5
Segment 3
Segment 2
Segment 1
2012
7 LOGISTICS MARKET IN CHINA 2014.PPT
Drivers & Challenges – Summary
Drivers
Healthy Economy
Rising Income and Increasing Domestic Consumption
Growing E-commerce Business
Manufacturers’ Shift to the West
Strong Retail Sales
Opportunity from Cold Chain Logistics
Opportunity from Pharmaceutical Logistics
Challenges
Rise in Logistics Costs Due to Low Efficiency
Lack of Modern Logistics Facilities
Inadequate Warehouse Space
Regional Protectionism
Constraints in Human Resources
Preference Towards Self Management
8
SAMPLE
LOGISTICS MARKET IN CHINA 2014.PPT
Government has implemented certain measures to reorganize the regulatory structure of the logistics industry
• In 2008, there was a major reorganization at the ministry level to streamline government bodies
associated with the transport system
• Ministry of Transport was established by consolidating the functions of a number of government
departments regulating civil aviation, postal services, communications and urban public
transportation
According to China’s new Postal Law which became effective on 1st Oct 2009, only China’s state owned post
offices can deliver domestic letters and documents
– This law also imposes a minimum capital requirement of ~USD72,963, indicating the exit of small players from the market
Reorganization of Logistics-Related Administrative Institutions in 2008
Ministry of Communications
Civil Aviation Administration of China
Urban traffic management under the
Ministry of Construction
Functions merged
State Bureau of Civil Aviation
State Post Bureau
Under
Purview of
Ministry of Transport
9 LOGISTICS MARKET IN CHINA 2014.PPT
`
Development of National Transport Infrastructure
Logistics Outsourcing
Rising Investments
Market Consolidation
Inland Expansion of 3PLs
Key Trends
Trends – Summary
10
SAMPLE Porter’s Five Forces Analysis
Competitive Rivalry
Bargaining Power of Suppliers
Bargaining Power of Buyers
Threat of Substitutes
Threat of New Entrants
Impact x
Impact x
Impact x
Impact x
Impact x
LOGISTICS MARKET IN CHINA 2014.PPT
11
SAMPLE Key Ratios of Top 3 Companies – Operational Basis (FY 2013) (1/3)
Competitive Benchmarking (2/5)
0
10
20
30
40
%
Company C
b3 a3
Company B
b2 a2
Company A
b1
a1
Operating Margin Net Margin
• Company A recorded operating margin of x1%, higher than that of Company B which recorded operating margin of y2% but lower than that of Company C which recorded operating margin of z3%
• Net margin for Company A , Company B and Company C are a1%, b2% and c3% respectively, wherein Company A has the highest net margin among these three companies
LOGISTICS MARKET IN CHINA 2014.PPT
12
SAMPLE
LOGISTICS MARKET IN CHINA 2014.PPT
Public: Domestic Company – Company 1 (1/5)
Key People
Products and Services
Company Information Offices and Centres – India
Corporate Address
Tel No.
Fax No.
Website
Year of Incorporation
Ticker Symbol
Stock Exchange
Name Designation
Person 1 MD and Executive Director
Person 2 VC and VC of Share Transfer Committee
Person 3 Director
Person 4 Director
Head Office Mumbai
Category Products/Services
13
SAMPLE Financial Snapshot Key Ratios
Financial Summary
• The company earned a net profit of INR x1 mn in FY 2013, as compared to net profit of INR x2 mn in FY 2012
• The company reported total income of INR y1 mn in FY 2013, registering an increase of y2% over FY 2012
• The company earned an operating margin of z1% in FY 2013, an increase of z2percentage points over FY 2012
• The company reported debt to equity ratio of a1 in FY 2013, an increase of a3% over FY 2012
Key Financial Performance Indicators
Indicators Value (20/03/2014)
Particulars y-o-y change
(2013-12) 2013 2012 2011 2010
Profitability Ratios Operating Margin
Net Margin
Profit Before Tax Margin
Return on Equity
Return on Capital Employed
Return on Working Capital
Return on Assets
Return on Fixed Assets
Cost Ratios Operating costs (% of Sales)
Administration costs (% of Sales)
Interest costs (% of Sales)
Liquidity Ratios Current Ratio
Cash Ratio
Leverage Ratios Debt to Equity Ratio
Debt to Capital Ratio
Interest Coverage Ratio
Efficiency Ratios Fixed Asset Turnover
Asset Turnover
Current Asset Turnover
Working Capital Turnover
Capital Employed Turnover
Improved Decline
Net Profit/Loss Total Income
e
d
c
b
a
s
r
q
p
2013
a4
z4
2012
a3
z3
2011
a2
z2
2010
a1
z1
Public: Domestic Company – Company 1 (2/5)
LOGISTICS MARKET IN CHINA 2014.PPT
14
SAMPLE Public: Domestic Company – Company 1 (3/5) Key Business Segments Key Geographic Segments
A%
B%
C%
2013
b4%
2012
b3%
2011
b2%
2010
b1%
a1% C%
B%
A%
2010
y1%
x1%
2013
x4%
2012
x3%
2011
x2%
Region 2 Region 1
Business Highlights
Segment 2 Segment 1
Description News
Overview • The company has operations in Country A, Country B and Country C that offers treatment for acute and
chronic diseases in primary, secondary and tertiary care sectors
Services
• Specializes in 50 specialties comprising cardiac sciences, oncology, radiology and imaging, gastroenterology, neurosciences, orthopedics, critical care services and in minimally invasive surgeries and transplantation
• Operates retail pharmacy outlets all across the country
LOGISTICS MARKET IN CHINA 2014.PPT
15
SAMPLE Public: Domestic Company – Company 1 – SWOT Analysis (5/5)
LOGISTICS MARKET IN CHINA 2014.PPT
T O
W S
16 LOGISTICS MARKET IN CHINA 2014.PPT
Thank you for the attention
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