發展局Development Bureau

Mr. Paul MP Chan

Secretary for DevelopmentHong Kong SAR Government

The HKIS Planning & Development Conference 2016“Planning and Development, Past Present & Future”

22 October 2016

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WHERE DO WE GO FROM HERE?

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• Hong Kong has been positioning itself as Asia’s World City.

• Hong Kong stands out as a highly competitive global city with world‐class infrastructure, a leading financial centre and business hub, an attractive tourist destination, a city with a reputable brand.  

• Some of the comparative advantages are planning‐related, and are in large part due to our integrated land use‐transport‐environment and infrastructure planning. 

• Our performance in liveability and innovation remains moderate.

GLOBAL RANKINGS AND MEGATRENDS

Good international and regional connectivity

Compact city form

High urban mobility

Nature conservation

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• In an increasingly connected world, we need to duly consider the emerging global megatrends.

• We need to “Think Globally and Act Locally”.

Source: adapted from KPMG’s “Future State 2030: The global megatrends shaping governments”

GLOBAL RANKINGS AND MEGATRENDS

Individuals and Society

Changing demographics with ageing population

Technology application and innovation

Better education

Physical Environment

Global Economy

Accelerating urbanisation

Scarcity of natural resources 

Climate change

Interconnected global economy

Rise of globalmiddle class

Shift of economic power to the East

Innovation and technology as key 

driver

• Manage the Threats

• Harness the Opportunities

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USA

Asia

Europe

Africa

Australia

HK

Indian Ocean

The Pacific Ocean

Over half of the world’s population is within 5-hour flight from HK

4-hour flight capturing countries with GDP totaling HK$140 trillion

Hong Kong as Asia’s best International Transport, Logistics and Trade Hub

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“One‐hour Intercity Traffic Circle” covering the Pearl River Estuary

Expressway Network

Reaching large cities as far away as those in Vietnam within a day’s drive

Regional Connectivity

Highway connection to PRD regional network, webbing major cities

HZMB connects PRD West and Guangzhou-Macao Expressway

TM-CLKL connects PRD East via Hong Kong Shenzhen Western Highway and Guangshen Coastal Expressway

Guangzhou

中山ZHONGSHAN

佛山市FOSHAN SHI

深圳市SHENZHEN SHI

東莞市DONGGUAN SHI

肇慶ZHAOQING

澳門MACAO

往廣西梧州To WUZHOU, GUANGXI

陽江YANGJIANG

江門JIANGMEN

鹽田YANTIAN

往北京To BEIJING

廣州市GUANGZHOU SHI

往湛江市To ZHANJIANG SHI

京珠高速Jingzhu Highway

廣珠西線Guangzhu West

Highway

汕頭市SHANTOU SHI

珠海ZHUHAI

現存道路EXISTING ROAD

計劃中 / 興建中道路ROAD UNDER PLANNING / CONSTRUCTION

香港國際機場HONG KONG

INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT

West of China

Southwest of China

Zhuhai / Macao

Hong Kong

Beijing

HZMB

TM-CLKL & TMWB

深中通道

Shenzhen-Zhongshan corridor

Infrastructure Connectivity with PRD ‐Hong Kong‐Zhuhai‐Macao Bridge & Tuen Mun‐Chek Lap Kok Link

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Hung Hom

Lo Wu

Man Kam To

Lok Ma Chau/ Spur Line

Sha Tau Kok

China Ferry Terminal

HK Macau Ferry Terminal

Shenzhen Bay

Infrastructure Connectivity with PRD –Existing Boundary Crossing Facilities

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HK Boundary Crossing Facilities

Liantang/Heung Yuen Wai Boundary Control Point and Connecting Road

HK-Zhuhai-Macao Bridge (HZMB)

Express Rail Link (XRL)

West Kowloon

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Infrastructure Connectivity with PRD ‐Boundary Crossing Facilities under Construction

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Coverage by Express Rail Networkin Higher Capacity and Shorter Time

Express Rail in China

(10小時)

(10小時)

(7小時)(9小時)

(5小時)(12小時)

(8小時)

(7小時)

(5小時)(4小時)

(10小時)

(5小時)

(4小時)

(2小時)(4小時)

(9小時)

Express Rail Link (XRL)

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Infrastructure Connectivity with the Mainland ‐Guangzhou‐Shenzhen‐Hong Kong Express Rail Link (XRL)

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• One of seven major items of Hong Kong and Guangdong Co-operation under the National 12th

Five Year Plan.

• To be connected with highway network in Shenzhen and PRD East.

• Target Completion by end-2018.

• Faster road link to Fujian, Jiangxi, etc., Jiangxi and the Eastern part of Mainland

Infrastructure Connectivity with the Mainland ‐Liantang/Heung Yuen Wai Boundary Crossing Facilities

Hong KongZhongshan

ZhuhaiJiangmen

Macao

FoshanZhaoqing HuizhouDongguanGuangzhou

GUANGDONGQingyuan

Shenzhen

PRD East

PRD West

ShaoguanPopulation ~ 64 millionGDP ~ 1,150 billion US$(Comparable to Republic of Korea)

Region Population GDP (in 2013)PRD West 21 million ~ 250 billion US$

PRD East 36 million ~ 630 billion US$

HK 7 million ~ 270 billion US$

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Opportunities in PRD Region

Key salientissues that will impact on Hong Kong in the years 

ahead

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CHALLENGES FOR HONG KONG

A growing and ageing population and a shrinking labour force

Moderate performance in liveability

Imbalance in home‐job spatial distribution

Keen competition in the global and regional economy 

Moderate performancein innovation

Demand for new transport and other infrastructure

Challenges in land development

A large quantity of old building stock

Climate change

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CHALLENGES FOR HONG KONG

• A growing and ageing population.

• Our labour force is shrinking as a result of the ageing population.

15%

85+

65+

2014

20432064

7.24M

8.22M7.81M

10.1%

36%

2.2%

Population

Population Projection (2014 Based) Household Projection (2014 Based)

• Smaller household size leading to faster household growth.

2014

2044 20492.43M

2.93M 2.91MHousehold

A growing and ageing population anda shrinking labour force

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CHALLENGES FOR HONG KONG

Limited/no residual development potential providing limited incentives for redevelopment, especially for smaller sites

Multiple ownershipmaking it difficult to assemble full ownership or reach the threshold for compulsory sale

Decanting spacelimited developable space in the densely developed urban area to displace the affected households

• Hong Kong has a rapidly ageing building stock, especially in the densely developed urban areas.

• We face a number of challenges in urban redevelopment.

A large quantity of old building stock

Long lead timenot uncommon for projects to take more than 10 years to complete

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“THE DOUBLE AGEING PHENOMENON”

• Ageing population + Ageing building stock = A Bigger Problem

• Are we prepared for this?

Considerations for Ageing Population

• Age‐friendly built environment

• Universal design / barrier‐free access

• “Active ageing”

• “Ageing in place”

• Provisions for elderly facilities

• Provisions for elderly support

Considerations for Ageing Building Stock

• Timely rejuvenation of the urban fabric

• Boost building management / maintenance

• Step up efforts in urban renewal

• Respect neighbourhood characteristics

• Promote social cohesion

• Ensure sufficient decanting space

Land Development

• Land and space implications arising from the ageing population and ageing building stock

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CHALLENGES FOR HONG KONG

• There is room for improving Hong Kong’s liveability and the well‐being of our people.

• Hong Kong’s urban population density (27,000 persons/km2) is the highest in all developed economies.

• We need to retrofit the densely developed urban areas and optimise development in new development areas.

Liveability Ranking Sources: Demographia, Mercer and Urban Land InstituteComparative Liveability Matrix

Moderate performance in liveability

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Challenges in land development

CHALLENGES FOR HONG KONG

Major Challenges in Land Development

• The built‐up areas take up only about 24% of our total land area.  The majority of the remaining land area comprises natural assets, environmentally sensitive areas, and hilly terrain, etc. 

• Built‐up area grew by 3,800 ha (between 2000 and 2015), as compared to 8,000 ha (1985‐2000).

• We need to create sufficient land capacity to cope with existing shortfalls and future demands.

Low Vacancy Rates Across Different Property Types 

• Our response is: “Hong Kong 2030+: Towards a Planning Vision and Strategy Transcending 2030”(Hong Kong 2030+).

• A vision-driven, pragmatic and action-oriented strategic plan.

• The public engagement for Hong Kong 2030+ will commence shortly.

FROM CHALLENGES TO OPPORTUNITIES

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Updating the territorial development strategy to guide land and infrastructure development, and the shaping of the built environment of Hong Kong beyond 2030

FROM CHALLENGES TO OPPORTUNITIES

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• Three key themes : ‐ Enhance livability Strengthen 

competitiveness Creating land, 

infrastructure and environment capacity

• A development strategy based on the smart, green and resilient principles.

Liveability

Capacity Creation

EconomicCompetitiveness

• From surveyors and planners to architects and engineers, we all have a key role to play in shaping a sustainable future for Hong Kong.  

• Let us put our heads together to consider how we should plan for Hong Kong and to make wise choices with the community.

• Your participation is crucial and will be most welcomed.

FROM CHALLENGES TO OPPORTUNITIES

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THANK YOU