RESIDENTIAL MARKET REPORT - sumitomo-R.E.S.ny€¦ · sumitomo real estate sales residential market report 3q 2016 800 second avenue, suite 300 new york, ny 10017 (212) 596-0800

SUMITOMO REAL ESTATE SALES

RESIDENTIAL

MARKET

REPORT

3Q 2016

800 SECOND AVENUE, SUITE 300

NEW YORK, NY 10017

(212) 596-0800 WWW.SUMITOMO-NY.COM

RENTAL 賃貸市場

MANHATTAN

QUICK LOOK MH

SEP 16 前年比変化率 SEP 15

Avg Rental Price 平均賃料 $4,117 0.8% $4,084

Median Rental Price 中間賃料 $3,396 -1.2% $3,437

# of New Rentals 新規契約数 5,243 51.2% 3,468

Days on Market リスティング期間 44 12.8% 39

Listing Discount 割引率 2.8% 1.9%

Listing Inventory 市場在庫 7,392 34.8% 5,482

Vacancy Rate 空室率 2.38% 2.69%

無断転載・複写を禁止します。また使用者の本資料の利用に関して、当社は方法の如何を問わず、使用者が損失・損害を被った場合、使用者に対して一切の責任を負いません。

3

Median Rental Price中間賃料 SEP 16 前年比変化率 SEP 15

Doorman ドアマン付き $3,839 1.0% $3,800

Non Doorman ドアマン無し $2,904 1.9% $2,850

New Development 新築 $4,292 -1.2% $4,346

OVERVIEW 概要

PROPERTY TYPE 物件種類別


Luxury (Top 10%) 上位10% $8,121 -2.8% $8,354

Upper Tier (3rd 30%) 上部層30% $4,430 -1.0% $4,474

Mid Tier (2nd 30%) 中央層30% $3,234 -0.5% $3,250

Entry Tier (1st 30%) 下部層30% $2,350 0.0% $2,350

BY PRICE 賃料別


Uptown $2,545 12.5% $2,262

East Side $3,195 0.0% $3,196

West Side $3,450 -2.3% $3,530

Downtown $3,642 0.2% $3,633

BY LOCATION エリア別

• 出所: Miller Samuel Inc. 「Market Report」

PRICES 中間賃料

↓ -1.2%RENTALS 新規契約数

↑ 51.2%

KEY POINT:• 新規契約件数は急増するも、特に高価格帯の物件において賃貸から購入へのシフトが進み、賃料指標全般がマイナスに転じる

• 市場金利の上昇観測も購入を加速する要因となっている


4

$ 2,629 Non Doorman

$ 3,166 Doorman

Average Price

平均賃料

2015.9 2015.10 2015.11 2015.12 2016.1 2016.2 2016.3 2016.4 2016.5 2016.6 2016.7 2016.8 2016.9

Non Doorman 2,431 2,413 2,418 2,428 2,466 2,480 2,384 2,442 2,498 2,527 2,593 2,647 2,629

Doorman 3,060 2,990 2,960 2,933 2,974 2,918 2,938 3,008 3,136 3,138 3,210 3,232 3,166

+8.2% （+$198）

+3.5% （+$106）

Price Change YoY

前年比価格上昇率

• 出所: MNS 「Manhattan Rental Market Report」http://www.mns.com/manhattan_rental_market_report

Harlem

Upper

West SideUpper

East Side

Midtown

West

Midtown

East

Murray Hill

Chelsea

Gramercy

Park

Greenwich

Village

East

Village

SoHo

Lower

East

Side

TriBeCa

Battery

Park City

Financial

District

Central Park

$1,905

$2,513

$2,300

$2,807

$2,216

$2,926

$2,550

$3,413

$2,565

$4,600

$4,549

$4,271

N/A

$3,215

$2,162

$2,714

$2,333

$2,671

$2,321

$2,699

$2,537

$2,849

$2,428

$3,314

$2,196

$3,167

$3,825

$3,033

$2,917

$3,299

Non Doorman

Doorman

QUICK LOOK STUDIO MH

QUICK LOOK 1BR MH


5

$ 3,328 Non Doorman

$ 4,311 Doorman

+ 5.8 % （+$184）

+ 0.3% （+$14）


Average Price

平均賃料

Price Change YoY


Harlem

Upper

West SideUpper

East Side

Midtown

West

Midtown

East

Murray Hill

Chelsea

Gramercy

Park

Greenwich

Village

East

Village

SoHo

Lower

East

Side

TriBeCa

Battery

Park City

Financial

District

Central Park

$2,288

$3,080

$3,013

$3,949

$2,746

$3,894

$3,436

$4,737

$4,270

$6,658

$5,734

$5,175

N/A

$3,807

$2,606

$3,945

$2,871

$3,928

$2,908

$3,726

$3,432

$4,105

$2,837

$4,196

$2,903

$4,131

$3,830

$4,087

$3,713

$5,252

Non Doorman

Doorman

2015.9 2015.10 2015.11 2015.12 2016.1 2016.2 2016.3 2016.4 2016.5 2016.6 2016.7 2016.8 2016.9

Non Doorman 3,144 3,124 3,140 3,137 3,037 3,047 3,081 3,299 3,306 3,359 3,373 3,289 3,328

Doorman 4,297 4,206 4,176 4,148 4,109 4,097 4,104 4,254 4,364 4,330 4,262 4,228 4,311

QUICK LOOK 2BR MH


6

$ 4,378 Non Doorman

$ 6,142 Doorman

+0.3% （+$11）

-4.2% （-$267）


Average Price

平均賃料

Price Change YoY


Harlem

Upper

West SideUpper

East Side

Midtown

West

Midtown

East

Murray Hill

Chelsea

Gramercy

Park

Greenwich

Village

East

Village

SoHo

Lower

East

Side

TriBeCa

Battery

Park City

Financial

District

Central Park

$2,912

$4,231

$4,150

$6,260

$3,574

$5,729

$5,142

$6,903

$5,868

$8,779

$7,397

$7,465

N/A

$6,300

$3,172

$6,121

$3,478

$5,660

$3,684

$5,143

$3,841

$6,179

$3,785

$6,484

$3,784

$4,859

$5,266

$5,780

$5,247

$6,234

Non Doorman

Doorman

2015.9 2015.10 2015.11 2015.12 2016.1 2016.2 2016.3 2016.4 2016.5 2016.6 2016.7 2016.8 2016.9

Non Doorman 4,367 4,313 4,302 4,271 4,187 4,183 4,218 4,262 4,273 4,332 4,410 4,423 4,379

Doorman 6,409 6,274 6,246 6,186 6,173 6,102 6,101 6,229 6,489 6,339 6,199 6,182 6,142

RENTAL 賃貸市場

BROOKLYN

QUEENS

QUICK LOOK BK


8


Studio $2,437 3.4% $2,358

1 Bed Room $2,708 -1.7% $2,756

2 Bed Room $3,146 -0.1% $3,150

3+ Bed Room $3,671 -13.6% $4,250

OVERVIEW 概要

BY PRICE 賃料別



Ave Rental Price 平均賃料 $3,197 2.2% $3,129

Median Rental Price 中間賃料 $2,949 2.4% $2,879

# of New Rentals 新規契約数 1,248 84.9% 675




PRICES 中間賃料

↑ 2.4%RENTALS 新規契約数

↑ 84.9%

KEY POINT:• 前期より引き続き、中間賃料や新規契約数が大幅に上昇し、継続的なBrooklynエリアに対する需要の高さが確認される

• 中間賃料ベースでは、Manhattan

比$447安く、割安感が選好の要因

BY TYPE 物件種類別


Luxury (Top 10%) 上位10% $5,415 2.9% $5,264

New Development 新築 $3,101 1.7% $3,050

QUICK LOOK RENT BK


9

• 出所: MNS 「Brooklyn Rental Market Report」http://www.mns.com/brooklyn_rental_market_report

Studio

1 Bed Room

AVERAGE RENT BY NEIGHBORHOOD

2 Bed Room

Fort Greene

Park Slope

Bay

Ridge

Bed-Stuy

CrownHeights

Williamsburg

Prospect Lefferts

Gardens

Bushwick

Boerum Hill

Clinton Hill

$2,049

$2,607

$3,226

$2,723

$3,093

$3,567

$2,090

$2,247

$2,449

$1,944

$2,163

$2,477

$2,347

$2,250

$2,593

$1,699

$1,973

$2,440

$2,027

$2,638

$3,239

$1,448

$1,815

$2,326

$2,361

$2,768

$3,668

$2,446

$2,922

$4,102

$2,057

$2,614

$3,081

$2,524

$3,023

$3,850$2,687

$3,221

$4,368

$2,433

$3,143

$4,649

$3,173

$4,415

$5,742

Greenpoint

Downtown Brooklyn

DUMBO

Cobble Hill

Brooklyn Heights


Luxury (Top 10%) 上位10% $3,976 -13.6% $4,600

New Development 新築 $2,962 -3.1% $3,057


Ave Rental Price 平均賃料 $2,881 -5.4% $3,044

Median Rental Price 中間賃料 $2,787 -5.7% $2,954

#of New Rentals 新規契約数 274 12.3% 244



Listing Inventory 市場在庫 467 16.8% 400

PRICES 中間賃料

↓ -5.7%RENTALS 新規契約数

↑ 12.3%KEY POINT:• Queensエリア全体における各種指標は、強気･弱気が混在し、方向性が定まらないものの、Manhattan比の割安感が、底堅い賃貸需要を促している

QUICK LOOK QN


10


Studio $2,497 0.4% $2,488

1 Bed Room $2,957 -0.7% $2,978

2 Bed Room $3,462 -18.1% $4,225

3+ Bed Room $3,427 6.1% $3,231

OVERVIEW 概要

BY PRICE 賃料別


BY TYPE 物件種類別

QUICK LOOK RENT QN


11

AVERAGE RENT BY NEIGHBORHOOD

Studio

1 Bed Room

2 Bed Room

JacksonHeights Flushing

$1,476

$1,836

$2,519

Ridgewood

Long Island City

Astoria

Rego Park

ForestHills

$1,533

$1,830

$2,660

$1,995

$2,297

$2,597

$2,427

$2,942

$3,922

$1,594

$1,974

$2,587

$1,731

$2,016

$2,402

$1,399

$1,866

$2,165

SALE 売買市場

MANHATTAN

BROOKLYN

QUEENS

WESTCHESTER

QUICK LOOK MH

CONDOMINIUM 3Q 2016 前年比変化率 3Q 2015

Ave Sale Price 平均価格 $2,952,382 27.3% $2,319,470

Ave Price / Sqft SFあたり単価 $2,133 18.4% $1,801

Median Sale Price 中間価格 $1,600,000 6.7% $1,500,000

#of Sales (Closed) 売買取引数 1,327 -20.1% 1,661

Days on Marketリスティング期間 86 2.4% 84




13

OVERVIEW 概要


PRICES 中間価格

中古 ↑ 6.7%

新築 ↑ 95.8%SALES 売買取引数

中古 ↓ -20.1%

新築 ↓ -6.2%INVENTORY 在庫

中古 ↑ 15.6%

新築 ↑ 27.2%

KEY POINT:• 前期に引続き、中古･新築市場とも、中間価格が最高値を更新

• 市場金利の上昇観測が購入を加速させるも、価格上昇基調が継続するなかで、売買取引数の低下や市場在庫の上昇など、若干の調整局面が確認される項目もある

$900

$1,100

$1,300

$1,500

$1,700

$1,900

$2,100

$400,000

$600,000

$800,000

$1,000,000

$1,200,000

$1,400,000

$1,600,000

$1,800,000

$2,000,000

RESALE CONDO HISTORICAL SALE PRICE

Median Sale Price Average PPSF

NEW DEVELOPMENT 3Q 2016 前年比変化率 3Q 2015

Ave Sale Price 平均価格 $5,355,827 58.6% $3,377,218

Ave Price / Sqft SFあたり単価 $2,799 32.6% $2,111

Median Sale Price 中間価格 $4,011,044 95.8% $2,048,341

# of Sales 売買取引数 366 -6.2% 390


Listing Inventory 市場在庫 973 27.2% 765

QUICK LOOK BR


Ave Sale Price 平均価格 $1,145,401 24.0% $923,821

Ave Price / Sqft SFあたり単価 $1091 25.8% $867

Median Sale Price 中間価格 $812,008 6.8% $760,000

#of Sales 売買取引数 743 14.3% 650




14

OVERVIEW 概要


$300

$400

$500

$600

$700

$800

$900

$1,000

$1,100

$1,200

$-

$200,000

$400,000

$600,000

$800,000

$1,000,000




Ave Sale Price 平均価格 $1,869,810 108.9% $895,178

Ave Price / Sqft SFあたり単価 $1,275 48.6% $858




PRICES 中間価格

中古 ↑ 6.8%

新築 ↑ 27.0%SALES 売買取引

中古 ↑ 14.3%

新築 ↑ 1.8%

KEY POINT:• 近年Brooklynは、国際的なブランド都市としての認知度が高まり、単純なManhattan比の割安感以上の旺盛な需要が確認される

• 前期に引き続き、中古･新築市場ともに、中間価格やSFあたり単価などの各種価格指標が著しく上昇することからも、継続的な需要の逼迫が確認される

QUICK LOOK QN


Ave Sale Price 平均価格 $613,337 7.4% $571,306

Ave Price / Sqft SFあたり単価 $1,118 76.6% $633




15

OVERVIEW 概要


$100

$200

$300

$400

$500

$600

$700

$800

$900

$1,000

$1,100

$1,200

$-

$100,000

$200,000

$300,000

$400,000

$500,000

$600,000




Ave Sale Price 平均価格 $770,839 -4.0% $803,312

Ave Price / Sqft SFあたり単価 $1204 37.3% $877



CO-OP 3Q 2016 前年比変化率 3Q 2015

Ave Sale Price 平均価格 $266,574 6.0% $251,374


# of Sales 売買取引数 988 -5.8% 1049

PRICES 中間価格

CONDO ↑ 7.2%

CO-OP ↑ 9.4%SALES 売買取引数

CONDO ↓ -9.5%

CO-OP ↓ -5.8%

KEY POINT:• 他エリア比の価格割安感より、継続的な選好が続いており、Condo･Co-opの中間価格は、最高値を更新

• 急激な価格高騰により、売買取引数においては、若干の調整が確認される

QUICK LOOK WC

SINGLE FAMILY 3Q 2016 前年比変化率 3Q 2015

Ave Sale Price 平均価格 $867,968 -3.1% $895,640

Ave Price / Sqft SFあたり単価 $332 -2.9% $342

Median Sale Price 中間価格 $670,000 -1.5% $680,000




Listing Inventory 市場在庫 2,893 -19.9% 3,612


16

OVERVIEW 概要


$-

$50

$100

$150

$200

$250

$300

$350

$400

$-

$200,000

$400,000

$600,000

$800,000

RESALE SINGLE FAMILY HISTORICAL SALE PRICE


AREA: Median Sale Price 3Q 2016 前年比変化率 3Q 2015

North East $739,000 -0.1% $740,000

North West $410,000 2.5% $400,000

River Towns $645,000 3.2% $625,000

White Plaints & Vicinity $1,125,000 -5.9% $1,195,000

Sound Shore* $579,450 0.6% $576,250

Lower Market* $1,212,500 2.8% $1,180,000

South $549,000 -5.3% $580,000

PRICES 中間価格

HOUSE ↓ -1.5%SALES 売買取引数

HOUSE ↑ 5.3%

KEY POINT:• 売買取引数において、8期連続で過去最高記録を更新

• Manhattanのベッドタウンと高級住宅地としての底堅い不動産需要により、安定的に高水準の取引件数が期待できるエリア

* 駐在員を含む日本人に人気のエリア(Harrison, Rye, Scarsdale)は、Sound

Shore, Lower Market エリアに位置します。

Documents

RESIDENTIAL MARKET REPORT - sumitomo-R.E.S.ny€¦ · sumitomo real estate sales residential market report 3q 2016 800 second avenue, suite 300 new york, ny 10017 (212) 596-0800