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South Carolina Primary. Amber Lawyer. Primary history. Founded in 1980 1 of 13 open Republican primaries in the US The Republican nominee has never lost South Carolina. http://www.google.com/search?hl=en&sugexp. Past Republican Winners. 2008 John McCain 147,733 Votes - 33.15% - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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SOUTH CAROLINA PRIMARYAmber Lawyer
PRIMARY HISTORY Founded in 1980
1 of 13 open Republican primaries in the US
The Republican nominee has never lost South Carolina
http://www.google.com/search?hl=en&sugexp
PAST REPUBLICAN WINNERS 2008 John McCain
147,733 Votes - 33.15%
2004 George W. Bush Uncontested
2000 George W. Bush 53%
1996 Bob Dole - 45%
1992 George H. W. Bush 68%
1988 George H. W. Bush - 49%
1984Ronald Reagan - Uncontested
1980 Ronald Reagan - 55%
THE BUILD UP
Mitt Romney (1)
Rick Santorum (1)
Newt Gingrich
Ron Paul
Romney- leading nominee. Gains support of
Governor Nikki Haley.
Huntsman endorses
Gingrich gains endorsement of Rick Perry
Remaining Nominees Support
BUILD UP CONT.
Romney’s financial situation
Gingrich’s ex-wife
Advertisements
Citizens United Supreme Court decision in 2010 allows for the funneling of money into political action committees.
Most money had been spent by super PACs for South Carolina
Romney has the largest super PAC (Restore Our Future)
Gingrich (Winning Our Future) Rick Santorum (The Red, White
and Blue Fund) Ron Paul (Endorse Liberty)
Conflict Super PACs
SUPER PACS CONT. Spent to vilify
other candidates through advertisements
Romney spent the most per vote $30
Gingrich spent much less but his Super PAC made up the difference $20.56
http://www.google.com/imgres?q=Super+PACS+for+the+4+republican+
http://andrewsullivan.thedailybeast.com/2012/01/ad-war-update-5.html
HUGE FACTORS IN SOUTH CAROLINA
Super PAC spendingTwo Debates
53% of Primary voters made their decision in the last few days
Media swings toward Gingrich after debates
White EvangelicalsMake up 63% of the electorate
WHAT IS THE ELECTORATE LOOKING FOR?To beat President
Obama in November
To fix the economy
Independents (25%)
49% Gingrich 41% Romney.
Out of 61%:39%Gingrich 35% Romney
Gingrich 31%Paul 26%Romney 25%
RESULTS South Carolina 100% reporting Newt Gingrich 243,172 40.4% 23 Mitt Romney 167,297 27.8% 2 Rick Santorum 102,061 17.0% Ron Paul 78,000 13.0% Others 10,685 1.8%
RESULTS CONT.
RESULTS CONT.
Middle of the pack Affair scandal
handled well at the debates
Rick Perry Super PAC provided
advertising money
Leader Scrutiny of his
personal finances Pulls him away from
middle class Does poorly in
debates
Newt Gingrich Mitt Romney
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN?Standings
http://race42012.com/
Questions?
On to Florida