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World Tourism

Performance 2011

and Outlook 2012

IPK 19th World Travel

Monitor Forum

Pisa, Italy

3-4 November, 2011

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Results 2011

www.unwto.org/facts

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International Tourist Arrivals, monthly evolutionWorld (% change)

Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO)

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

2008 2009 2010 2011*

V-shape decline of

15 consecutive

months of

negative growth

+2.1% -3.8% +6.6% +4.5%

Consolidation of growth achieved in 2010

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International Tourist Arrivals, monthly evolution

World (million)

Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO)

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

120

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

2008

20092010

2011*

2010: 940 mn

2009: 881 mn => 2010: +59 mn

2008: 916 mn => 2010: +24 mn

2011 expected to mark new all-time record

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International Tourist Arrivals, monthly evolutionAdvanced economies & Emerging economies (% change)

Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO)

-20

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

2008 2009 2010 2011*

Advanced economies

Emerging economies

10 months

16 months

Advanced economy destinations gain momentum

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International Tourist Arrivals, monthly evolutionEurope (% change)

Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO)

-20

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

2008 2009 2010 2011*

V-shape decline of

19 consecutive

months of

negative growth

+0.5% -4.9% +3.1% +6.4%

Europe: fastest growing region in 2011

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International Tourist Arrivals, monthly evolutionEurope (million)

Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO)

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

2011*

2010

2009

2008

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International Tourist Arrivals (% change over same period of the previous year)

Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO)

0

3

5

3

1412

6

12

7

34

10

6 7

15

7

3

98

1

12

0

13

34 4

13

-15

3

-9

6.5

4.5

-16

-14

-12

-10

-8

-6-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

World

Northern

Europ

e

WesternEu

rope

Central/E

astern

Europ

e

South

ern/Mediter

.Eu.

North

-EastA

sia

South

-EastA

sia

Oceania

South

Asia

North

America

Caribbea

n

CentralA

merica

South

America

North

Africa

Subsa

haran

Africa

Middle

East

10/09

11*/10 January - August

2010 and 2011 year to date by subregion

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International Tourism Expenditure(% change of same period year before, local currencies current prices)

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Germany

United

State

sChina

UnitedKing

domFra

nce

Canada

Japan Ita

ly

Russian

Federation

Australia

SaudiA

rabia

Neth

erlands

Belgiu

m

Korea,R

epublic

of

HongKo

ng(Chin

a)Spain

Singapor

eBra

zil

Norwa

y

Swede

n

2010 2011 ytd

Major outbound markets

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UNWTO Panel of Tourism Experts: World

Better

Equal

Worse

Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO)

25

50

75

100

125

150

175

T1 T2

'03

T3 T1 T2

'04

T3 T1 T2

'05

T3 T1 T2

'06

T3 T1 T2

'07

T3 T1 T2

'08

T3 T1 T2

'09

T3 T1 T2

'10

T3 T1 T2

'11

T3

Prospects

Evaluation

Outlook and evaluation 2003-2011: World

V-shape

comparable

to arrivals

Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO)

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UNWTO tourism business-cyc le clock

U swin May 2003 Boom

October 2011

Recession Downswin

Pr

ospects

com

ing

4

m

onth

s

Evaluation past 4 months

50

75

100

125

150

25 50 75 100 125 150 175

UNWTO tourism business-cycle clock

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UNWTO Panel of Tourism Experts: Europe

Better

Equal

Worse

Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO)

25

50

75

100

125

150

175

T1 T2

'03

T3 T1 T2

'04

T3 T1 T2

'05

T3 T1 T2

'06

T3 T1 T2

'07

T3 T1 T2

'08

T3 T1 T2

'09

T3 T1 T2

'10

T3 T1 T2

'11

T3

Prospects

Evaluation

Europe: confidence declining

V-shape

comparableto arrivals

Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO)

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Outlook

www.unwto.org/facts

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2010 Forecast 2011

World +6.6% +4.0% to +4.5%

Europe +3.2% +5% to +6%

Asia and the Pacific +12.8% +5% to +6%

Americas +6.4% +4% to +5%

Africa +7.8% -2% to +1%

Middle East +14.8% -10% to -5%

International Tourism: Forecast 2011

Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO)

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International tourist arrivals

8.0

-0.1

3.0

-1.6

10.3

5.4 5.5

6.6

-3.8

6.6

2.1

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011* 2012*

Forecast

2011: 4.0% to 4.5%

2012: 3% to 4%

Outlook: World

change(%)

Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO)

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Where to find information prepared by UNWTO?

www.unwto.org => Facts & Figures

publications www.unwto.org/pub electronic:

=> UNWTO eLibrary hardcopy:

=> UNWTO Infoshop

=> depositary libraries

Affiliate Membership: www.unwto.org/edsco/index.php