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Study to Identify the Special Transport Policies in Asian Megacities
アジアの大都市特有の都市交通政策に関する研究
Surya Raj AcharyaSenior ResearcherInstitute for Transport Policy Studies (ITPS), Tokyo
24 Feb 2006
79th ITPS Colloquium 24 February 2006
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 2
Contents
• Background: Features and Problems of Asian Megacities
• STREAM Study: Objectives; Framework and
Perspectives
• Comparative Examples from Seoul and Bangkok
– Urban form and Land-use
– Urban roads and motorization
– Public transport and urban rails
• Policy Implication and further works
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 3
Population
2 mil5 mil
10 mil
Legend
World 30 Largest Metropolitan Areas (1950)
In 1950, only 7 cities from Asia…
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 4
Population
2 mil5 mil
10 mil
Legend
World 30 Largest Metropolitan Areas (2003)
By 2003, 16 cities from Asia..
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 5
Population
2 mil5 mil
10 mil
Legend
Metropolitan Areas: Population >5 mil (2003)
Out of 52, 27 cities from Asia
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 6
60666163715776218351580
AreaKm2
0 20 40 60 80
Seoul (1942-70)Jakarta (1945-75)
M. Manila (1945-75)Bangkok (1945-80)
Tokyo 23-ku (1895-1932)New York (1860-1920)
London (1800-1901)
Years taken to increase city* population from 1 mil. to 5 millions
Number of Year
28
30
30
35
37
60
101
Data source: Compilation from multiple sources
* City proper (not extended metropolitan area)
1974--2004192719041863
First Subway
• Rapid urban growth in Asian megacities • Challenge of managing rapid urban growth• Late development of important infrastructure (subway)
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 7
0 100 200 300 400 500
Korea
Japan
Philippines
VietNam
Germany
China
Thailand
Indonesia
France
US
people/sq km
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
Asia
Europe
Africa
Latin America
North America
Australia
people/sq km
Population DensityContinents
Selected countries
Source: UN (2005)
Higher population density in Asia
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 8
Source: UITP (2001)* Data year for Bangkok 2000, Source NSO (2004)
Urban density: Only urbanized area is considered
Higher urban density in Asian megacities
Urban density in Selected Metropolitan Areas 1995
0 50 100 150 200 250
SeoulTaipeiManila
JakartaBangkok
BeijingTokyo
LondonParis
LosAngelesNewYork
Persons/ha
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 9
1970
1974
1978
1982
1986
1990
1994
1998
2002
0100200
300400500
cars
/100
0 po
pula
tion
02000400060008000
100001200014000
1970
1974
1978
1982
1986
1990
1994
1998
2002
Con
stan
t US$
at 2
000
pric
e
Seoul
Bangkok
M. Manila
Seoul
Bangkok
M. Manila
Trend of city’s per capita income
Trend of car ownership
Rapid increase of income and car ownership in Asian megacities
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 10
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20
Car
s pe
r 10
00 p
opul
atio
n
Income/capita, PPP constant $ 2000 price
Tokyo-to
Seoul
Taipei
Bangkok
Income Vs Car Ownership
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 11
0 5 10 15 20 25
Bangkok
Tokyo
Paris
Taipei
Manila
Seoul
Beijing
LosAngeles
Thousand Vehicle km/car/year
Car usages rate
Not only ownership, but car usage rates are also higher…
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 12
Urban Roads
Inadequate road in mega-cities of Asian developing countries
0 5 10 15 20 25
Shanghai
Bangkok
Seoul
Tokyo 23ku
Paris
London
New York
Road Ratio % (Road area/urbanized area)
Road space ratio in selected cities
Data source:MLIT, Vasconcello (2001)
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 13
0
10
20
30
40
50
Bangko
kMan
ilaJa
karta
Shanghai
Mumbai
Tokyo
London
Paris
NewYork
LosAng
eles
平均
時速
(Km
/hou
r)
Data source: UITP (2001)
Traffic CongestionAverage speed of road traffic 1995
Severe Road traffic congestion in Asian megacities
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 14
0 50 100 150 200
LosAngeles
Tokyo
Singapore
Manila
Bangkok
KualaLumpur
Shanghai
Mumbai
Jakarta
死亡者数/10億台 キロ
都市別交通事故死亡率 1996
0 100 200 300 400 500
M. Manila
Bangkok
Shanghai
Mumbay
Beijing
N. Delhi
micro-gm/cu m
Recommended limit: 90 g/m3
粒子状浮遊物質(SPM) 濃度 1998
Data source: WHO AIMS
Traffic accident and PollutionTraffic accident rate (1996)
Death/bil. Veh-km
SPM Concentration (1998)
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 15
Background: summary• Specific features of Asian megacities
Special urban transport problems • Research on Urban Transport in EU and US
– Does not focus on the specialties of Asian megacities– Mostly focused on the problems of developed cities– Suggestions for Asian cities: direct lessons without context?– Project oriented studies: short-term focus– Value biased perspectives
• Pro-car vs anti-car• Road vs rail (BRT vs LRT)• Environment vs Economic growth
Need of policy-oriented research focusing on the Asian contexts maintaining a balanced perspective
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 16
Sustainable TRansport for East Asian Megacities (STREAM)
An International Collaborative Research Study(2005~2007)
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 17
Objectives of STREAM StudyGenerate policy insights to address special problems of urban transport in Asian megacities at different level of policy making:
•Vision – What are the long-term desirable scenarios?
•Policy Strategies– What are the strategic options to realize the
Vision?
•Policy measures– What are the measures to implement policy
strategies?
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 18
Current situation, problems, responses
•International experiences•Asian cities’ characteristics•Need of new perspective
Explore long-term strategic options for Asian cities
Case studies
Conceptual framework (dynamic)
Specific issues and implementation measures
Output 1: Vision-Guiding principles
Output 2: Strategic Options
Output 3: Implementation measures
Research Approach
Tokyo
SeoulHongkong
Taipei
Bangkok
M.Manila
Beijing
Jakarta
Hochimin- city
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 19
To workout solutions for the special problems of Asian megacities, we may need some new perspectives…
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 20
Mobility (High)
Mobility (Low)
Accessibility (High)
Accessibility (Low)
• Road-oriented city structure
• Car dominated transport
• Polycentric city structure
• Rail dominated transport
• High-density city structure
• Inadequate infrastructure
• Low density sprawl
• Inadequate infrastructure
Mobility or Accessibility ?Mobility: Quality of being mobile (Level-of-Service)Accessibility: Potential for interactions
Definition
ECMT (2002)
Tokyo
US Cities
DevelopingAsian cites
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 21
Income level
Desirable path
Do-nothing path
Critical stage
feasible unfeasible
feasible
difficult
Mod
e sh
are
of P
ublic
Tra
nspo
rt
Role of Mass Transit System (MRT)• Too early: financially difficult• Too late: Unfavorable land-use
The dynamics of Motorization and Suburbanization declining of Public Transport modal share
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 22
020406080
100120140160180200220
LosAnge
lesRomePari
sBerl
inNew
YorkMumbai
Seoul
London
Bangko
kSing
apore
Taipei
HongKon
gTok
yo%
of o
pera
ting
cost
Data source: UITP (2001)
Operation Revenue of Public Transport (% of operating cost)
Operational Profit
….issue is not only about how to make provision of public transport, but also how to sustain it…..
Operational Loss
Subsidies
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 23
Comparative Examples from selected cities Seoul and Bangkok
• Urban form and Land Use
• Urban Roads and motorization
• Public transport and urban rails
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 24
Seoul 11.8 %45.6 %46.4 %43.7 %48.8 %42.3 %
AreaPopulationGRPBusinessManufacturingUniversities
Seoul Metropolitan Area (% Share in Korea total)
Seoul city Area: 606 sq kmPopulation: 10.3 million
Seoul Metropolitan Area Area: 11,748 sq kmPopulation: 21.4 million
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 25
1957 1972
1985 1997
Urban Expansion in Seoul MA
• Concentrated urbanization
• Leap-frog suburbanization
Source: Seoul Metropolitan Government
Urban form and Land Use
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 26
Seoul Metropolitan Area: Land Use
• Strong land use control
• Green-belt in 1971 to control urban sprawl
• Compact and high-density city development
• Severe shortage of land for housing
Green belt
Seoul city
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 27
Trend of Population growth in Seoul Metropolitan Area (Seoul city, Incheon city and Kyonggi) 1960-2000
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
1960 1970 1980 1990 2000
Popu
latio
n (m
illio
n)
Seoul
Kyung-gi
Incheon
• Until 1990: population concentration in the Seoul city
• Since 1990:population decentralized to suburban area
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 28
Paju
IlsanKimpo
Jungdong
Pyungchon
Sanbon
Pankyo
Bundang
Iyi(Suwan)
Dongtan(Hwasung)
1st New Towns2nd New Towns
Seoul Metropolitan Area: New Towns
New Town Development• New town
development plan in 1989
• Rapid development of 5 new towns
• Plan for second stage new towns
New Towns only for Housing?
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 29
Trip Patterns in Seoul Metropolitan Area
Total daily trips:1970 5.7 million1995 27 million
Average commuting distance1991 9.7 km1996 11.3 km2002 12.9 km
Decentralization of population but concentration of jobs in the city center caused increase in,
Total number of trips
Average commuting distance
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 30
Urban Roads and Motorization
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 31
Expansion of Road Network in Seoul City
1936 1966
1972 1989
Source: Seoul Metropolitan Government
Urban Roads
Priority to road building: 1960s through 1980s
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 32
Road Network in Seoul City 2000ExpresswaysMajor ArterialsMinor ArterialsRoad length in 2000 km
Expressways: 23
Highways 169
Metrop. Roads 7,697
• Expressways (tolled) are section of intercity expressways
• Highways are toll-free Freeways (expressways)
• Metropolitan road includes other general roads
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 33
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Aut
omob
iles
(thou
sand
)
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
Roa
d le
ngth
(100
0 km
)AutomobilesRoad length
Trend of Automobile population and Road length in Seoul 1960-2000
Rate of motorization is even faster than the rate of road expansion…
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 34
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
1981
1983
1985
1987
1989
1991
1993
1995
1997
1999
2001
park
ing
units
('00
0)
Trend of public parking in Seoul 1981-2001
Increasing trend of parking: demand driven road transport strategy?
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 35
10
15
20
25
3019
8419
8819
9019
9219
9419
9619
98
Km
/hou
rCar-downtownCar-outer areasBus
Average road traffic speed in Seoul 1984-1998
0246
1993
1995
1997
1999
2001
2002
Bill
ion
US
$
Annual congestion cost
Data source: Seoul Statistical yearbook
Increasing trend of road traffic congestion and heavy economic cost !
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 36
Public Transport and Urban railways
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 37
Seoul Public Transport System• Traditionally, Bus system played major role
• First Subway line opened in 1974 and the network was gradually expanded
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 38
Transport Network in Seoul MA (2000)
Suburban rail lines
Freeways
Highways
Inadequate suburban rail network
Subways
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 39
Trend of Bus and Subway Fare in Seoul
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Kor
ean
Won
Subway
Bus
Bus and Subway fare is well harmonized…
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 40
Comparing Tokyo MA and Seoul MA (urban rail)
Profit~25 %Operating subsides13.2 6.5Daily ridership (mil)
190 Yen(10 km)
100 yen(12 km)
Subway fare
1973200Suburban rail (km)333287Subway (km)33.521.4Population (million)13,49411,753Area (sq km) Tokyo MASeoul MA
• Smaller suburban rail network• Need of operational subsidies: due to low fare level
Seoul
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 41
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
1974
1978
1982
1986
1990
1994
1998
2002
Mod
al s
hare
(%)
Bus
Subway
Taxi
Cars
0
10
2030
40
50
6070
80
90
1974
1978
1982
1986
1990
1994
1998
2002
Mod
al s
hare
(%)
PublicPrivate
Modal split in Seoul City (all purpose)
• Increasing trend of modal share of private mode
• Rapid decline of Bus share
Response?
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 42
Modal shift from private mode to public mode is the main element of current urban transport policies….
Objective: Achieve modal shiftYear 2000 2006 (target)
Bus 26.0% 33.4%Subway 34.6% 36.6%Car 26.9% 18.7 %Others 12.5 % 11.3 %
•Reform for high-quality bus service
•Restrain ownership and use of car
60.6 % 70 %
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 43
Seoul Bus Reform: 8 Programs (from 2004)Trunk, Feeder, Circular, Express
• Flat fare for non-transfer ride
• Distance-based fare for transfer-ride (include subway)
1. Bus Route System
Trunk Feeder
Circular Express
2. Bus Fare System
3. Bus Business Structure • Bus ownership privates• Operation control: public• Revenue basis: bus-km
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 44
State-of-the-Art IT application
• Makes integrated fare collection possible
4. Bus Management system
5. Smart card system
Seoul Bus Reform: 8 Programs (from 2004)
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 45
7. Quality buses & shelters
8. New urban governanceParticipation by stakeholders
6. Exclusive Median Bus Lane
Low floor buses
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 46
Impact of Bus Reform: Preliminary results
Average Bus and Car Speed (before and After Bus reform)
Significant improvement in traffic speed
0
5
10
15
20
25
Dobong-MiaStreet
Soosek-Sungsan
Street
Dobong-MiaStreet
Soosek-Sungsan
Street
Ave
rage
Spe
ed (k
m/h
r)Before reform (no bus lane)After reform (bus lane)
Bus Speed Car SpeedData source: Seoul Metropolitan Government (2005)
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 47
0
50
100
150
200
250
2003 2004 2005
Bill
ion
Won
Implementation of Bus Reform
Data source: Hwang (2005)
Bus operation deficit in Seoul
The improvement came with a significant cost !
1 Yen = 8.5 Won
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 48
• Population decentralization• Rapid motorization • Inadequate suburban
rails network
Risk of sub-urban sprawling
2. Heavy investment in urban rail did not stop increasing use of private car
3. Alternatives? • High-quality bus service
Needs less investment Bus lane: less road space for car
• Restrain on car use
1. Suburbanization
Seoul: Summary and Issues
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 49
Bangkok
Bangkok Metropolitan Area (BMA)Area: 1,577 sq kmPopulation: 6.7 million
Bangkok Metropolitan Region (BMR)Area: 7,761 sq kmPopulation: 10.7 million
1.1 %15.6 %48.2%
AreaPopulationGRP
Bangkok Metro. Region(% Share in Thai total)
KmKm
Bangkok MA
Pathum Thani
Nonthaburi
Nakhon Pathom
Samut SakhomSamut Prakan
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 50
1900 1958
1936
1953
1967
2000
Urban Expansion of Bangkok
BMA Builtup Area 2004
• Mono-centric urban form
• Expansion of built-up area along arterial roads
• Weak land-use planning and control
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 51
Km
Bangkok MA
Pathum Thani
Nonthaburi
Nakhon Pathom
Samut SakhomSamut Prakan
Population densities in Bangkok MR (BMR)
High density in inner city areas
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 52
0123456
1960 1970 1980 1990 2000
Popu
latio
n (m
illio
n) Bangkok
Other provinces
Population Trend in Bangkok MR (BMR)
Trend of rapid suburbanization
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 53
Road Network in Bangkok Metropolitan RegionRoad length (km)Expressway (tolled): 200
Arterials: 900
Outer Ring road: 170
Access rd (Soi) 2800
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 54
Big urban block surrounded by wide arterial roads but
no secondary roads
Canal
Arterial roads
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 55
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
No
of c
ars/
1000
pop
ulat
ion
Car ownership rate in Bangkok
Rapid motorization road congestion
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 56
Rapid expansion of Expressway network as a response to congestion
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 57
1994-00Other1996-00IV stage
Planned/Under const
III stage
1993-00II stage
1981-87I stage
Open.Year
Exprs.ways
1994-00Other1996-00IV stage
Planned/Under const
III stage
1993-00II stage
1981-87I stage
Open.Year
Exprs.ways
Average car speed in central city area
Km/hr81015
198919982003
Speed Data Source: Hanaoka (2005)
Rapid expansion of expressway network
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 58
Public Transport and urban rails
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 59
0
1
2
3
4
5
1992 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 '00 '01 '02 '03
Pass
enge
rs (m
illio
n/da
y)
Data Source: BMTA (2005)
Bus passenger trend, Bangkok
Declining RidershipOperational deficit
307
867
560
0 500
OperationLoss
OperationExpenses
OperationRevenue
million Bhat
Revenue and Cost for Bus operation in Bangkok 2004
1 Bhat = 3 YenData source: BMTA (2005)
Major mode Bus: Operated by public corporation (BMTA)Public Transport in Bangkok: Bus
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 60
Public Transport in Bangkok: Urban Rail
Sky Train-BTS: 23.5 km• Opened: 1999
• Full BOT Scheme
• Daily Ridership (2004): 325,000 /day
Subway: 20 km • Opened: 2004
• Civil works (tunnel): Public
• Track, signals, rolling stocks: BOT
• Daily Ridership (2004) : 180,000/day
Subway
Sky Train
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 61
• Train fare is much higher than AC Bus
• Unfair modal competition !
Ordinary bus: 4-8
AC Bus: 10-18
Sky train: 10-40
Subway: 14-36
Fare Level (Thai Bhat)
1 Bhat = 3 Yen
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
100%
1995 2003
Modal Split in Bangkok MR
Bus
Car
Motor Cycle
Rail
Taxi, para
Public Transport fare level and modal split
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 62
สวน
เจาพระยา
แมน้ํา
ลุมพินี
ถนนพหลโยธิน
ทางรถไฟสายเหนือ
ถนนลําลูกกา
ถนน รตันาธิเบศร
ทางรถไฟส
ายใต
ถนน
ตวิานนท
ถนนจรญัสนิทวงศ
ทางรถไฟสายมหาชยั
ถนน สุขสวสัดิ์
ถนนลาดพราว
ทางรถไฟสายตะวนัออก
ถนนศรนี
ครนิทร
ถนนประชาราษฎร
ถนน ราม
คาํแหง
ถนน รามคาํแหง
ถนน สุขมุวทิ
ถนนพระราม 3
ถนนก าญจนาภิเ ษก
ถนนเสรไี
ทย
ถนนพุทธมณฑลสาย
3
ถนนพุทธมณฑลสาย
2
ถนนพทุธมณฑลสาย
4
ถนนพระราม2
ถน
ถนนวดันครอนิทร
ถนนพบูิลสงคราม
ถนนงามวงศวาน
ถนนรามอินทรา
ถนนแจงวฒันะ
ถนนกาญจนาภิเษก
ถนนเพชรเกษมถนนวภิาวดรีงัสิต
ถนน ตวิานนท
ถนนศรสีมาน
ถนนเจาคณุทหาร
ถนนบางนา ตราด-
ถนนเทพารกัษ
ถนนพฒันาการ
ถนนนิมิตรใหม
ถนนบรมราชชนนี
ถนนประดษิมนูธรรม
ทางหลวงหมายเลข 345
พระราม4
สุวรรณภมูิทาอากาศยาน
ทาอากาศยาน
ดอนเมือง
ถนนวดันครอนิทร แนวเหนือใต
-
ถนนเพชรเกษม
แนวตะวันออก ตะวนัตก-
บางใหญ สะพานพระนัง่เกลา
รังสิต
รามอินทรา
รัชโยธนิ
ลาดพราว
หลักสี่
บางเขนแคราย
ตลิ่งชัน
บางบาํหรุ
สามเสน
บางกะป
ออนนชุ
สําโรง
บางแค
ทาพระ ลาดกระบงั
วงเวยีนใหญ
การเคหะ
พระราม9
มกักะสันสนามหลวง
ราษฎรบรูณะ
อโศก
ลาดพราว
สยาม
ราชดําเนนิ
บางซือ่
สามแยกไฟฉาย
บางหวา
ยมราช
อนสุาวรยี
บางซอน
วังบูรพา
ดาวคะนอง
รามคําแหง
หวัลําโพง
ออนนุช
บางกะป
สําโรง
ลาดกระบัง
รงัสิต
บางใหญ
บางแค
ลาดพราว
พระนั่งเกลา
ราษฎรบูรณะ
ตลิ่งชนั
พรานนก
รถไฟรางคู
Prannok-Samautraprakarn
Sapanmai-BSTCCircle LineBangyai-Ratburana
Bangbumru-Bangkapi
Rangsit-MahachaiTalingchan-Airport
Prannok-Samautraprakarn
Sapanmai-BSTCCircle LineBangyai-Ratburana
Bangbumru-Bangkapi
Rangsit-MahachaiTalingchan-Airport
บางบําหรุ
Proposed Accelerated Development Plan
Bangkok Mass Transit (2003-2009,291km)
Proposed Accelerated Development Plan
Bangkok Mass Transit (2003-2009,291km)
Rangsit
Don Moung
Bangapi
SuwannabhumAirport
SamutraprakarnRatchburanaMahachai
Bangkae
Taling Chan
Bangbuatong
Prannok
Bangkok Urban Rail Development Plan Total route of 291 km by 2009.
Ambitious Plan!
Network hierarchy?Source: OPT (2004)
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 63
• Weak land use control• Arterial and narrow
streets only
• Road side haphazard development
• Problem of road network hierarchy
2. Rapid expansion of Expressway improved road speed: may be only short-term relief?
3. Current plans for long-term solution• 291 Km MRT network by 2009• Poly-centric urban form
1. Suburbanization
4. No concrete plan or measures to control motorization ! Implication for MRT system?
Bangkok: Summary and Issues
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 64
20.4 173 (2000)20 km/hr
(1999)
Road area (%) Car (no/1000 people)Average road speed
11.0493 (2002)15 km/hr (2003)
230 pers/ha12.9 km14.8 %
62 persons/ha20 km (106 min)47.2 %
Urban density AvgCommuting distanceCross commuting
• Expressways with toll• Secondary roads missing• No control on car use
• Toll-free Expressways• Good stock of roads? • Control on car use
Urban roads/ motorization
• Weak land use • Ribbon-type expansion
•Strong Land-use control•High density, mono-centric
Urban form and Land Use
Bangkok MRSeoul MA
Comparative analysis: differences
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 65
287 km200 km61.2 %100 yen100 yen
43.5 km-29 %35-60 yen40-120 yen
Subway/MRT Suburban railPublic mode shareBus fareMRT Fare
• PT share much lower• Late opening of MRT (1999)
• Bus fare subsidized , but MRT not subsidized
• Challenge: modal shift from private to public mode
• MRT investment
• PT mode share high• Early opening of MRT (1974)
• Balanced and integrated Bus/MRT fares
• Challenge: maintain public transport mode share
• Response: Bus reform
Public Transport (PT) and urban railways
Bangkok MRSeoul MA
Comparative analysis: differences
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 66
• High density city center • Increasing trend of suburbanization• High Motorization and congestion• Radial-ring arterial road network structure• Higher demand density for MRT in inner
city corridor• Challenge of developing suburban rails
Comparative analysis: Commonalities
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 67
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20
Publ
ic T
rans
port
Sha
re (%
)
Income/capita, PPP constant $ 2000 price
Tokyo MASeoul
Bangkok
What path Seoul and Bangkok are following ?
Challenge:Seoul: How to maintain Public Transport share?Bangkok: How to achieve modal shift from private to Public?
Tokyo-ku
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 68
1. Vision: What are the desirable scenarios?• Higher mobility and higher accessibility• Concentrated decentralization (polycentric urban form)• Modal balance (private vs public mode)
2. Strategies: What are the options for desirable scenarios?• Building Infrastructures (Roads and MRT facilities)• Managing motorization• Promoting Public Transported oriented land use• Improving service quality and competitiveness of public
transport
Policy Implications for Asian Megacities
Implementation measures……
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 69
3. Implementation measures, priority and sequence• Investment for new infrastructure
– What mode? What type? When to invest? – How to invest? Public or Private?
• Development of high-density MRT corridor – Land-use regulation (control oriented)– MRT investment (market oriented)
• Transport Demand Management (TDM) measures
• Hierarchical network of urban railways
• Inter-modal coordination and competition– Transfer facilities (station plaza)– Coordinated service routes – Harmonized fares for inter-modal competition
Constraints:•Institutional
•Organizational•Capacity building•Regulatory
•Financial
Policy Implications for Asian Megacities
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 70
As the income rises, service quality is important
Quality of service• Accessibility• Frequency• Speed• Transferability• Comfort
Subsidy more effective in low income stage
Cost (affordability)
Basic infrastructure needed
Availability
Policy implicationsHigher income stage
Lower income stage
Factors
Factors for modal competition have different degree of influence at different stage of income
High Low
Policy Implications for Asian Megacities
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 71
Further Works• Conduct full-fledge case studies on the candidate cities, in
collaboration with partner institutions:• East Asian Society for Transportation Studies (EASTS)• Korea Transport Institute (KOTI)• National Center for Transport Studies (NCTS), Manila• Asian Institute of Technology (AIT), Bangkok• Institute of Traffic and Transportation, National Chiao
Tung Univ., Taiwan• Indonesia Transport Society• Hong Kong Polytechnic University• Experts from Beijing, Hochimin city (requested)
• Book publication from the research outputs
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 72
Thank you for your kind attention !
(C) Dr. Surya Raj ACHARYA, Institute for Transport Policy Studies, 2006 73
今後の課題 Task Ahead
• 国際共同研究プロジェクト「アジアの都市における持続可能なモビリティのための公共交通ー国際比較研究」として継続の予定To be continued as an International Collaborative Research Study titled “Public Transport for Sustainable Mobility in Asian Cities” covering about a dozen of Asian mega-cities
• Collaboration with,– 東アジア交通学会 (EASTS)– 韓国交通研究院 (KOTI)– 交通研究センター(NCTS)マニラ– アジア工科大学, バンコク– Indonesia Transport Society– Hong Kong Polytechnic UniversityInstitute of Traffic and Transportation, National Chiao Tung Univ., Taiwan– アジア諸国の専門家– アジアの他の研究機関(予定)