31
TDM Evaluation Tool: Opportunities for Evidence-Based Policy Selection Md. Sami Hasnine (M.A.Sc Student) Adam Weiss, M.A.Sc (PhD Candidate) Professor Khandker Nurul Habib, PhD, PEng 1

TDM Evaluation Tool: Opportunities for Evidence-Based Policy Selection Md. Sami Hasnine (M.A.Sc Student) Adam Weiss, M.A.Sc (PhD Candidate) Professor Khandker

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: TDM Evaluation Tool: Opportunities for Evidence-Based Policy Selection Md. Sami Hasnine (M.A.Sc Student) Adam Weiss, M.A.Sc (PhD Candidate) Professor Khandker

TDM Evaluation Tool: Opportunities for Evidence-Based Policy Selection

Md. Sami Hasnine (M.A.Sc Student)Adam Weiss, M.A.Sc (PhD Candidate)Professor Khandker Nurul Habib, PhD, PEng

1

ITSLab
on going project, final stage data colleciton goin on
ITSLab
•http://www.surveymonkey.com/s/Screening_S?c=SAMI200075
ITSLab
http://tdm.tdmg-utoronto.ca/impact/
Page 2: TDM Evaluation Tool: Opportunities for Evidence-Based Policy Selection Md. Sami Hasnine (M.A.Sc Student) Adam Weiss, M.A.Sc (PhD Candidate) Professor Khandker

Roadmap of the PresentationBackground What is TDM?ObjectivesMethodsWhy do we Need a Survey? Data type for RP and SP surveyData ModelRP and SP QuestionnaireTDM Evaluation toolNext Steps

2

Page 3: TDM Evaluation Tool: Opportunities for Evidence-Based Policy Selection Md. Sami Hasnine (M.A.Sc Student) Adam Weiss, M.A.Sc (PhD Candidate) Professor Khandker

Background

Reduce single-occupant vehicle (SOV) commuting trips in Peel

The Region of Peel has been implementing various Transportation Demand Management (TDM) policies

Before and after survey can evaluate the TDM effect

Need to evaluate combined and individual effect of TDM policies before implementing

3

Page 4: TDM Evaluation Tool: Opportunities for Evidence-Based Policy Selection Md. Sami Hasnine (M.A.Sc Student) Adam Weiss, M.A.Sc (PhD Candidate) Professor Khandker

What is TDM?• TDM refers to a variety of strategies that change people’s

travel behavior.

• Primary Objective to reduced traffic congestion

• Secondary Objective increased safety and mobilityenergy conservationemission reductions

• Typical TDM programs reduce Single Occupant Vehicle (SOV) 4

Page 5: TDM Evaluation Tool: Opportunities for Evidence-Based Policy Selection Md. Sami Hasnine (M.A.Sc Student) Adam Weiss, M.A.Sc (PhD Candidate) Professor Khandker

Objectives

• To forecast the mode switching behavior of commuters in response to:

various incentives to use sustainable modes and/or disincentives for single occupant vehicle

trips. To develop an evaluation tool to investigate

various TDM policies

5

Page 6: TDM Evaluation Tool: Opportunities for Evidence-Based Policy Selection Md. Sami Hasnine (M.A.Sc Student) Adam Weiss, M.A.Sc (PhD Candidate) Professor Khandker

MethodsConduct a survey to collect the required information to

develop such a tool

Develop policy-sensitive mode choice models

Use this tool to test regional, local and partial effect of various TDM policies

6

Page 7: TDM Evaluation Tool: Opportunities for Evidence-Based Policy Selection Md. Sami Hasnine (M.A.Sc Student) Adam Weiss, M.A.Sc (PhD Candidate) Professor Khandker

Why do we need RP-SP Survey

7

• Limitations with existing data types• TTS only has Revealed Preference (RP) data, we need RP and

Stated Preference (SP) data• The RP approach uses information collected about the actual

choices made by individuals to estimate demand models. • A major advancement in choice modelling is the use of SP

experiments in which respondents choose from a set of hypothetical scenarios.

Ride theRocket

Dundas VIA

Milky Way!

Page 8: TDM Evaluation Tool: Opportunities for Evidence-Based Policy Selection Md. Sami Hasnine (M.A.Sc Student) Adam Weiss, M.A.Sc (PhD Candidate) Professor Khandker

Why do we Need a Survey?

8

• Existing TDM surveys are typically qualitative or opinion based• Metrolinx Smart commute data:• Data collected limited information regarding home and work

location• Attitudes and views regarding non SOV modes• Categorical LOS values for revealed modes only (10-20 minutes)

• A comprehensive RP-SP survey is needed to do forecasting and policy analysis!

Page 9: TDM Evaluation Tool: Opportunities for Evidence-Based Policy Selection Md. Sami Hasnine (M.A.Sc Student) Adam Weiss, M.A.Sc (PhD Candidate) Professor Khandker

9

Revealed Preference

Detailed Person

Information

Detailed Household Information

Activity Schedule

Information

Socio-demographic Information

Data type for RP survey

Page 10: TDM Evaluation Tool: Opportunities for Evidence-Based Policy Selection Md. Sami Hasnine (M.A.Sc Student) Adam Weiss, M.A.Sc (PhD Candidate) Professor Khandker

10

Stated Preference

Level of Service (LOS) is

consistent over the scenarios

TDM policies are varying over

the scenarios

Data type for SP survey

Page 11: TDM Evaluation Tool: Opportunities for Evidence-Based Policy Selection Md. Sami Hasnine (M.A.Sc Student) Adam Weiss, M.A.Sc (PhD Candidate) Professor Khandker

RP QuestionnaireRespondent must work in Peel and respondent must

answer the SP partTravel diary for commuters and non-commuters (over age 12)Focus on household level information and

characteristics.We need the commuting mode choice for the

respondent.

11

Page 12: TDM Evaluation Tool: Opportunities for Evidence-Based Policy Selection Md. Sami Hasnine (M.A.Sc Student) Adam Weiss, M.A.Sc (PhD Candidate) Professor Khandker

Data ModelGraphical representation of the data that

is to be collectedUtilizes an object oriented approach

Clearly depicts the relationship between data points

12

Page 13: TDM Evaluation Tool: Opportunities for Evidence-Based Policy Selection Md. Sami Hasnine (M.A.Sc Student) Adam Weiss, M.A.Sc (PhD Candidate) Professor Khandker

RP

Age

Level of education

Employment Statusa. Full time workerb. Part time workerc. Working from homed. Full time homemakere. Not employedf. Retiredg. Fulltime homemakerh. Studenti. None

Work Location

School Location

Daily Personal Schedule:DateDay of the weekNumber of activities

Activity PurposeLocationStart TimeDurationJoint activity with HH members

TripOriginDestinationMode (Drive, passenger, local Transit, regional transit) Start timeDurationHH vehicle used?Joint trip?Transit routes usedGo or subway access stations

Residence InformationLocationDwelling typeOwnership StatusReason behind not living in Peel

Detail InformationHousehold auto ownership

Transit Pass OwnershipBike Ownership

Who is primary user of each mobility tool

Income

Activity Purposea. Work/School b. Drop-off/Pick-up c. Recreation/

Entertainment d. Household Obligations e. Social f. Services g. Basic Needs h. Shopping i. Other

Drivers License

Daily Activity Schedule

13

Gender

Nickname

Parking cost @workplace & Occupation

Detailed Person

Information: for all HH

member 12 and over

Detailed Household Information

Parking cost @school

If more than 1 person: ask relation with first person (respondent)

HH Member informationNumber of people over 12Total number of people

Page 14: TDM Evaluation Tool: Opportunities for Evidence-Based Policy Selection Md. Sami Hasnine (M.A.Sc Student) Adam Weiss, M.A.Sc (PhD Candidate) Professor Khandker

Detailed Person Information

14

Parking daily costa. Free

b. Less than 5 dollarc. 5-10 dollar

d. 10-20 dollare. More than 20 dollar

f. Don’t know

Age

Level of education

Employment Statusa. Full time workerb. Part time workerc. Working from homed. Full time homemakere. Not employedf. Retiredg. Fulltime homemakerh. Studenti. None

Work Location

School Location

Income

Occupation Categorya. General Office / Clerical

b. Manufacturing / Construction / Trades

c. Professional / Management / Technical

d. Retail Sales and Servicee. Not Employed

Has Drivers License

Gender

Name IncomeUnder 2000020000-4000040000-6000060000-80000Over 80000

Level of Educationa. Elementaryb. Junior Highc. High schoold. Collegee. Bachelorf. Master or aboveg. None

Relationship to Respondent:

a. Respondent themselves

b. Husband/Partnerc. Wife/Partnerd. Father/In lawe. Mother/ In lawf. Sisterg. Brotherh. Grandmotheri. Grandfatherj. Sonk. Daughterl. Auntm. Unclen. Other

If more than 1 person: ask relation with first person (respondent)

Parking cost @workplace &

Occupation

Parking cost @school

Page 15: TDM Evaluation Tool: Opportunities for Evidence-Based Policy Selection Md. Sami Hasnine (M.A.Sc Student) Adam Weiss, M.A.Sc (PhD Candidate) Professor Khandker

Detailed Household Information

15

Household Members (12 and over)

Residence InformationLocationOwnership StatusDwelling type

Household auto ownership Manufacturer

ModelProduction Year

Primary user

Transit Pass OwnershipTransit AgencyPrimary user

Bike OwnershipPrimary user

Rational of bike ownershipDwelling Typea. Single(detached)b. Semi(detached)c. Town/Row Housed. Apartment/Flat in detached duplexe. Apartment/Condo with less than 5 storiesf. Apartment/Condo with more than 5 stories

Rational for not living in Peel

-More convenient commute for spouse-School location for children-Housing affordability (close to work is too expensive)-Wanting to be close to extended family-Preference for current neighborhood-Own property in existing region-other

-For recreational or exercise purpose-For working or shopping purpose

-For running errands

Page 16: TDM Evaluation Tool: Opportunities for Evidence-Based Policy Selection Md. Sami Hasnine (M.A.Sc Student) Adam Weiss, M.A.Sc (PhD Candidate) Professor Khandker

Activity Schedule Information

16

Travel Diary for Commuters and Non-Commuters

Activity -Purpose

Trip•Trip origin •Origin activity purpose•Trip destination •Destination activity purpose•Joint activity information (trip made by other household member)•Departure time for this trip•Primary mode associated with this trip

Activity Purposea. Work activityb. School Activity c. Dropping off or

Picking up another person

d. Recreation or Entertainment out of house

e. Staying at homef. Returning at

homeg. Social activities

out of homeh. Services i. Shopping j. Other

Number of trips each household member (over age 12) on the last weekday

Page 17: TDM Evaluation Tool: Opportunities for Evidence-Based Policy Selection Md. Sami Hasnine (M.A.Sc Student) Adam Weiss, M.A.Sc (PhD Candidate) Professor Khandker

SP Questionnaire

Experimental design was developed given a list of policies of interest

Efficient design method was used Currently using all possible TDM policies and 7

feasible modal alternatives Focus is based almost entirely on employer

based TDM policy; some overlap with home based TDM policies and land use policies.

17

Page 18: TDM Evaluation Tool: Opportunities for Evidence-Based Policy Selection Md. Sami Hasnine (M.A.Sc Student) Adam Weiss, M.A.Sc (PhD Candidate) Professor Khandker

Stated Preference Table

18

Attribute Values Information Source

LOS attributes (individual specific)

Typically don’t vary across scenarios

Traffic Assignment model, Rule based fare structure, TTS 2011

TDM Policies Vary across scenarios. Mostly binary, experimental design

7 possible modes:Drive, auto passenger, carpool, transit, transit bike on board, bike,

walk. Modal availability based on:

feasibility rules (i.e. can’t drive if you don’t have a drivers license/car)Competitiveness (transit with exceedingly high travel time not

considered viable).Reduced alternatives may result in reduced TDM policies, reducing

the size of the table

Page 19: TDM Evaluation Tool: Opportunities for Evidence-Based Policy Selection Md. Sami Hasnine (M.A.Sc Student) Adam Weiss, M.A.Sc (PhD Candidate) Professor Khandker

Level of service attributesIndividual Specific• Total Drive Time • Transit Walk/ Bike Time• Transit Wait Time • Total Time Traveling in the Transit Vehicle• Travel Cost

19

Page 20: TDM Evaluation Tool: Opportunities for Evidence-Based Policy Selection Md. Sami Hasnine (M.A.Sc Student) Adam Weiss, M.A.Sc (PhD Candidate) Professor Khandker

TDM Policies of Interest• Employer provides incentive for Region of Peel transit passes

(Miway or Brampton Transit) • Daily parking cost • Indoor car parking facilities at workplace• Sheltered bike parking facilities at workplace• Showers and changing rooms at workplace• Employer owned bikes available to rent • Workplace with bike access facilities (Ramps) • Likelihood of Finding a Parking Spot Within 5 minutes walk to

work place (due to parking reductions)• Emergency ride home program.• Car share program 20

Page 21: TDM Evaluation Tool: Opportunities for Evidence-Based Policy Selection Md. Sami Hasnine (M.A.Sc Student) Adam Weiss, M.A.Sc (PhD Candidate) Professor Khandker

Capturing Telecommute and Flexible Work HoursNot directly able to capture in the standard SP survey, choice

to participate will influence travel time.To capture this impact, use of pre SP screening questions are

utilized.

21

Page 22: TDM Evaluation Tool: Opportunities for Evidence-Based Policy Selection Md. Sami Hasnine (M.A.Sc Student) Adam Weiss, M.A.Sc (PhD Candidate) Professor Khandker

SP survey

22

Page 23: TDM Evaluation Tool: Opportunities for Evidence-Based Policy Selection Md. Sami Hasnine (M.A.Sc Student) Adam Weiss, M.A.Sc (PhD Candidate) Professor Khandker

SP survey

23

Page 24: TDM Evaluation Tool: Opportunities for Evidence-Based Policy Selection Md. Sami Hasnine (M.A.Sc Student) Adam Weiss, M.A.Sc (PhD Candidate) Professor Khandker

Evaluation Tool (Before input)

24

Page 25: TDM Evaluation Tool: Opportunities for Evidence-Based Policy Selection Md. Sami Hasnine (M.A.Sc Student) Adam Weiss, M.A.Sc (PhD Candidate) Professor Khandker

Evaluation Tool (Before input)

25

Page 26: TDM Evaluation Tool: Opportunities for Evidence-Based Policy Selection Md. Sami Hasnine (M.A.Sc Student) Adam Weiss, M.A.Sc (PhD Candidate) Professor Khandker

Evaluation Tool(After input)

26

Page 27: TDM Evaluation Tool: Opportunities for Evidence-Based Policy Selection Md. Sami Hasnine (M.A.Sc Student) Adam Weiss, M.A.Sc (PhD Candidate) Professor Khandker

Mode share(After input)

27

Page 28: TDM Evaluation Tool: Opportunities for Evidence-Based Policy Selection Md. Sami Hasnine (M.A.Sc Student) Adam Weiss, M.A.Sc (PhD Candidate) Professor Khandker

Evaluation Tool(After input)

28

Page 29: TDM Evaluation Tool: Opportunities for Evidence-Based Policy Selection Md. Sami Hasnine (M.A.Sc Student) Adam Weiss, M.A.Sc (PhD Candidate) Professor Khandker

TDM Evaluation Tool• Individual or combined effect of TDM policies

can be captured• Changed mode share, changed VKT, CO2 Savings

and other environmental factors

Regional Scale

• In small scale: Individual or combined effect of TDM policies can be captured

• Changed mode share, changed VKT, CO2 Savings and other environmental factors

Local Scale

• Will provide the effect of partial implementation of certain policy (e.g., 50% or 30%)

• Changed mode share, changed VKT, CO2 Savings and other environmental factors

Partial Implementation 29

Page 30: TDM Evaluation Tool: Opportunities for Evidence-Based Policy Selection Md. Sami Hasnine (M.A.Sc Student) Adam Weiss, M.A.Sc (PhD Candidate) Professor Khandker

Example Interface

30

Page 31: TDM Evaluation Tool: Opportunities for Evidence-Based Policy Selection Md. Sami Hasnine (M.A.Sc Student) Adam Weiss, M.A.Sc (PhD Candidate) Professor Khandker

Next Step of our project

• Final Data Collection (ongoing)• Mathematical Model (ongoing)• TDM Evaluation tool (preliminary framework

completed)

31

ITSLab
http://www.surveymonkey.com/s/Screening_S?c=SAMI2000702