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การวิเคราะห์หลักทรัพย์โดยวิธีทางเทคนิค (TECHNICAL ANALYSIS) BY TALADHOON.COM PRESENT FXFRIEND.COM Creative By JupiterFX

TECHNICAL by TaladhoonCom

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TECHNICAL by TaladhoonCom

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  • (TECHNICAL ANALYSIS)

    BY TALADHOON.COM

    PRESENT FXFRIEND.COM

    Creative By JupiterFX

  • (Introduction)

    2

    1. (FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS) 2. (TECHNICAL ANALYSIS)

    3

    1.

    2.

    3.

  • BAR CHART (DEMAND) (SUPPLY) (PRICE PATTERN) 3

    (REVERSAL TREND) (CONTINUATION TREND) (SIDEWAYS PATTERN)

    (REVERSAL TREND) 7

    (V FORMATION) (HEAD & SHOULDERS) (DOUBLE/TRIPLE BOTTOMS &

    DOUBLE/TRIPLE TOPS) (THE ROUNDING TURN) (BROADENING TRIANGLE) (GAP) (ISLAND)

  • (V FORMATION) V (V-Bottom) V (V-Top) V KEY REVERSAL DAY V (ISLAND) (ISLAND)

    (HEAD & SHOULDERS) (HEAD & SHOULDERS TOP) 3 (HEAD) (SHOULDERS) (NECKLINE) (NECKLINE)

  • (HEAD & SHOULDER BOTTOMS) HEAD & SHOULDER TOPS (NECKLINE)

    (COMPLEX HEAD & SHOULDERS) 2 2 HEAD & SHOULDERS 2 (NECKLINE) (NECKLINE)

    *

  • (DOUBLE/TRIPLE BOTTOMS & DOUBLE/TRIPLE TOPS) (DOUBLE TOPS) M 2 2

    (TRIPLE TOPS) 3 3

  • (DOUBLE BOTTOMS) W (DOUBLE TOPS) (DOUBLE BOTTOMS) (NECKLINE)

    (TRIPLE BOTTOMS) (TRIPLE TOPS) (NECKLINE)

  • (THE ROUNDING TURN) (ROUNDING BOTTOM)

    (ROUNDING Top)

  • (BROADENING TRIANGLE) 3 2

    (GAP) (UPTREND) (DOWNTREND) COMMON GAP BREAKAWAY GAP HEAD & SHOULDERS BREAKAWAY GAP

  • CONTINUATION/RUNAWAY GAP () CONTINUATION GAP GAP EXHAUSTION GAP GAP ( GAP) (ISLAND) GAP GAP GAP BREAKAWAY GAP CONTINUTION GAP * (XD) (XR) GAP

  • (ISLAND) V (ISLAND TOP) BREAKAWAY GAP EXHAUSTION GAP V (ISLAND BOTTOMS)

  • (CONTINUATION TREND) 2 FLAG PENNANT (FLAG) 2 BULLISH FLAG BEARISH FLAG (BULLISH FLAG) 2 2

  • (BEARISH FLAG)

    (PENNANT)

  • 3

    FLAG AND PENNANT

    (SIDEWAYS PATTERN) 2 RECTANGLE TRIANGLE (RECTANGLE) (SIDEWAYS) (SUPPORT LINE) (RESISTANCE LINE)

  • (TRIANGLE) SYMMETRICAL TRIANGLE SIDEWAYS 2 2

    THE RIGHT-ANGLE TRIANGLE SYMMETRICAL TRIANGLE 2

  • ASCENDING TRIANGLE

    DESCENDING Triangle

  • POINT & FIGURE TECHNIQUE ( POINT & FIGURE INTRADAY) BOX SIZE 1 (BOX) 1 ABC 150 1 1 1 ABC 200 2 200 1 2

    () () 0 10 0.10

    10 50 0.25

    50 100 0.50

    100 200 1.00 200 600 2.00

    600 1,000 4.00

    1,000 6.00

  • POINT AND FIGURE DAILY 1. X O ( O) 2. X X O O 3. X (REVERSAL) 3 O O X 1 O O 3 X X O 1 X

  • 3 .. BOX SIZE = 1

    REVERSAL = 3 BOX SIZE / 159 03/06 152 149 158 04/06 152 150 157 X 05/06 153 145 156 X 06/06 147 145 155 X 07/06 146 143 154 X 10/06 146 144 153 X X 11/06 145 143 152 X O X 12/06 146 143 151 X O X 13/06 149 142 150 X O X 14/06 148 146 149 X O X X 17/06 148 147 148 O X O X 18/06 150 148 147 O X O X 19/06 152 146 146 O X X O 20/06 157 152 145 O X O X 144 O X O X 143 O O 142 * X O

  • POINT AND FIGURE INTRADAY DAILY (TICK) REVERSAL REVERSAL 2 O X 2 1. X X O O 2. X X REVERSAL O O X 1 O X REVERSAL O O REVERSAL X X O 1 X O REVERSAL

  • 3 POINTS REVERSAL

    Price Plot 35 29 Start 34 32 X 33 X 29 O 32 X X O 33 X 31 X O X O X 30 O 30 X O X O X O 28 O 29 * O O X O 30 No Plot 28 O O 31 X 27 O 29 No Plot 26 27 O 25

    POINT & FIGURE 3 1. X X X X X X X O X X O X X O

  • 2. O O O X O X O O X O O O O O 3. X 5 X 1 X 5 X 3 X X X X O X X O X X O X X X O X X O X O X X O O X X O O 3

    POINT & FIGURE

  • (BREAK DOUBLE TOP) (BREAK DOUBLE BOTTOM) (BREAK DOUBLE TOP) 124 119 124 DOUBLE TOP 124 (BREAK DOUBLE BOTTOM) 121 124 121 121

    (BULLISH TRIANGLE) (BEARISH TRIANGLE) (BULLISH TRIANGLE) 45

  • (BEARISH TRIANGLE) 45

    PRICE PATTERN ( PRICE PATTERN ) 3

    20 X 50 % (Measure Move)

  • 20 X 20 X

    50 % 50% ( 30% 1 3 ) 50%

  • (Measure Move)

    : 3 20 O 20 X

  • JAPANESE CANDLESTICK CHARTING TECHNIQUES 200 MUNEHISA HOMMA 2 SAKATA HENSO SOBA SAIN NO DEN 10 (.. 2525) ..2530 Hammer 1/3, 1/2 2/3 60% BULLISH ENGULFING PATTERN (MOVING AVERAGES) (TREND LINE) (POINT & FIGURE) (REVERSAL TREND) (CONTINUOUS TREND) 50 4 (MAJOR REVERSAL PATTERN) (MINOR REVERSAL PATTERN)

  • CANDLESTICK (REAL BODY) UPPER SHADOW LOWER SHADOW

    BLACK CANDLESTICK : REAL BODY UPPER SHADOW LOWER SHADOW :

  • WHITE CANDLESTICK : REAL BODY

    :

    DOJILESTICK

    :

    :

  • GRAVESTONE DOJI

    : DOJI DOJI LINE () :

    CANDLESTICK

    LONG-LEGGED DOJI : DOJI - RICKSHAW MAN :

  • HIGH WAVES : (CANDLESTICK) :

    SHAVEN HEAD : CANDLESTICK (LOWER SHADOW) (UPPER SHADOW) :

  • SHAVEN BOTTOM : (CANDLESTICK) (UPPER SHADOW) (LOWER SHADOW) :

    SPINNING TOP : (CANDLESTICK) REAL BODY : - (SIDEWAYS)

  • WINDOW : :

  • (MAJOR REVERSAL PATTERNS) ABANDONED BABY (UPTREND) : DOJI STAR WHITE CANDLESTICK WINDOW GAP BLACK CANDLESTICK WINDOW GAP DOJI STAR :

    ABANDONED BABY (DOWNTREND) : DOJI STAR BLACK CANDLESTICK WINDOW GAP WHITE CANDLESTICK WINDOW GAP DOJI STAR :

  • DARK-CLOUD COVER : BLACK CANDLESTICK WHITE CANDLESTICK REAL BODY WHITE CANDLESTICK :

    ENGULFING PATTERNS (BULLISH) : WHITE CANDLESTICK REAL BODY REAL BODY BLACK CANDLESTICK BULLISH ENGULFING :

  • ENGULFING PATTERNS (BEARISH) : BLACK CANDLESTICK REAL BODY REAL BODY WHITE CANDLESTICK BEARISH ENGULFING :

    STAR : (CANDLESTICK) (REALBODY) (CANDLESTICK) : (CANDLESTICK) RAIN DROP

  • DOJI STAR (UPTREND) : DOJI LINE () WHITE CANDLESTICK DOJI WHITE CANDLESTICK : CANDLESTICK

    DOJI STAR (DOWNTREND) : DOJI LINE () BLACK CANDLESTICK DOJI BLACK CANDLESTICK : CANDLESTICK

  • EVENING STAR : WHITE CANDLESTICK CANDLESTICK REAL BODY BLACK CANDLESTICK BLACK CANDLESTICK 3 REALBODY WHITE CANDLESTICK :

    EVENING DOJI STAR : EVENING STAR CANDLESTICK DOJI

    : EVENING STAR

  • MORNING STAR : EVENING STAR 3

    :

    MORNING DOJI STAR : MORNING STAR DOJI : MORNING STAR

  • SHOOTING STAR

    : (CANDLESTICK) (REAL BODY) 2 (REAL BODY)

    :

    HAMMER : HANGING MAN ( 3-18) (DOWNTREND) CANDLESTICK REAL BODY) ) 2 REAL BODY

    :

  • INVERTED HAMMER : HAMMER (CANDLESTICK) (REAL BODY) (REAL BODY) 2

    : (CANDLESTICK) (REAL BODY) INVERTED HAMMER

    HANGING MAN : HAMMER (UPTREND)

    :

  • PIERCING PATTERN : (WHITE CANDLESTICK) (BLACK CANDLESTICK) (REAL BODY)

    :

    (MINOR REVERSAL PATTERNS) BELT-HOLD LINE (BULLISH) : (WHITE) WHITE OPENING SHAVEN BOTTOM

    :

  • BELT-HOLD LINE (BEARISH) : (BLACK) BLACK OPENING SHAVEN HEAD

    :

    COUNTERATTACK LINES (BEARISH) :

    :

  • COUNTERATTACK LINES (BULLISH) : WHITE CANDLESTICK BLACK CANDLESTICK

    :

    DUMPLING TOP : CANDLESTICK CANDLESTICK

    :

  • FRY PAN BOTTOMS :

    :

    THREE CROWS : (BLACK) (REAL BODY) THREE WINGED CROWS

    :

  • HARAMI : CANDLESTICK REAL BODY REAL BODY CANDLESTICK CANDLESTICK

    :

    HARAMI CROSS : HARAMI (CANDLESTICK) DOJI PETRIFYING PATTERN

    : HARAMI

  • TOWER TOP : (WHITE CANDLESTICK) (SIDEWAYS) (BLACK CANDLESTIC)

    :

    TOWER BOTTOM : (BLACK CANDLESTICK) (SIDEWAYS) (WHITE CANDLESTICK)

    :

  • TWEEZERS TOP : (WHITE CANDLESTICK) DOJI CANDLESTICK :

    TWEEZERS BOTTOM : (BLACK CANDLESTICK) DOJI CANDLESTICK :

  • UPSIDE GAP TWO CROWS : (BLACK CANDLESTICK) 2 (WHITE CANDLESTICK) (BLACK CANDLESTICK) 3 2

    :

    ADVANCE BLOCK : 3 (WHITE CANDLESTICK) THREE WHITE SOLDIERS

    :

  • HIGH PRICE GAPPING PLAY : CANDLESTICK WHITE CANDLESTICK CANDLESTICK

    :

    MAT-HOLD PATTERN : 3 (BLACK CANDLESTICK) (WHITE CANDLESTICK) (BLACK CANDLESTIC) (WHITE CANDLESTICK) (BLACK CANDLESTICK) (WHITE CANDLESTICK)

    :

  • IN-NECK LINE : PIERCING PATTERN (WHITE CANDLESTICK) (BLACK CANDLESTICK) (REAL BODY) (BLACK CANDLESTICK)

    : (CANDLESTICK) (CANDLESTICK)

    ON-NECK LINE : (WHITE CANDLESTICK) (BLACK CANDLESTICK) (BLACK CANDLESTICK)

    : CANDLESTICK (WHITE CANDLESTICK)

  • LOW PRICE GAPPING PLAY : HIGH-PRICE GAPPING PLAY BLACK CANDLESTICK CANDLESTICK

    :

    THRUSTING LINE : (WHITE CANDLESTICK) (REAL BODY) (BLACK CANDLESTICK)

    : BEARISH IN-NECK LINE BULLISH

  • SEPERATING LINES : (WHITE CANDLESTICK) (BLACK CANDLESTICK)

    :

    SEPERATING LINES : (BLACK CANDLESTICK) (WHITE CANDLESTICK)

    :

  • SIDE-BY-SIDE WHITE LINE : 2 (CANDLESTICK)

    (REAL BODY) 2 (CANDLESTICK) (WINDOW) 2 (CANDLESTICK)

    :

    STALLED PATTERN : (WHITE CANDLESTICK) (REAL BODY) (WHITE CANDLESTICK) (WHITE CANDLESTICK) (WHITE CANDLESTICK) (DELIBERATION PATTERN)

    :

  • TASUKI GAPS (UPWARD) : (WHITE CANDLESTICK) (WHITE CANDLESTICK) (BLACK CANDLESTICK) (REAL BODY) (WHITE CANDLESTICK) 2

    :

    TASUKI GAPS (DOWNWARD) : (REAL BODY)

    :

  • THREE METHOD (FALLING) : 3 5

    :

    THREE METHOD (RISING) : 3 5

    :

  • THREE WHITE THREE ADVANCING SOLDIERS : (REAL BODY) 3

    :

    UNIQUE THREE RIVER BOTTOM : REAL BODY BLACK HAMMER

    :

  • MOVING AVERAGE (MA)

    (MOVING AVERAGE) (PRICE PATTERN) 10 10 10 ( 10 10 ( 10 ) (MOVE) ( 11) 11 ( ) 10 5

    1. SIMPLE MOVING AVERAGE

    2. WEIGHTED MOVING AVERAGE

    3. MODIFIED MOVING AVERAGE

    4. EXPONENTIAL MOVING AVERAGE

    5. HAMMING MOVING AVERAGE

  • 10 (2 ) 25 (5 ) 75 (15 ) 200 (40 ) 4 12 150 30 75 15 5 10 40 (BULL OR BEAR MARKET) (SIDEWAYS) - 2 5

    1. 2.

    3. 4.

  • 5.

    6.

  • 40 (200 ) 15 (75 ) 40

    2 (10 ) 5 (25 ) 15 (75 ) 40 (200 ) -

    40 (200 ) 15 (75 ) 200

    75 200 ()

    GOLDEN CROSS 75 (BULL MARKET) 75 () 200 BULL DEAD CROSS

  • :

    DEAD CROSS ( 15 40 ) (BULL) 15 40 BEARISH : 15 40 BULL BEARISH 10 40 12 25 MOVING AVERAGES (LAG) 15 40 BULL MARKET

  • MOVING AVERAGE SHIFT MOVING AVERAGE SHIFT (SHIFT) (SHIFT) (SHIFT) (POSITIVE SHIFTED) (NEGATIVE SHIFTED)

    (SHIFT) SMA 10 10 ()

  • (SHIFT) SMA 10 10 () SHIFT 25 25 MOVING AVERAGE MOVING AVERAGE SHIFT (MOVING AVERAGE OSCILLATOR)

    SIMPLE MOVING AVERAGE (SMA)

    (ARITHMETIC MEAN) () 10 (Pt) 9 (Pt-1 Pt-9) 10 (BAR CHART) (LINE CHART) SMAt = (Pt + Pt - 1 + P1-2 + + Pt-n+1) /n

  • : SMAt () n Pt ( ) Pt-k k

    SMA 10, 25 75 SMA SMA 10 (WEIGHTED) (10%) WEIGHTED MOVING AVERAGE (WMA)

    [Pnt + Pt-1 (n-1) + (Pt-2 (n-2) + + t-n+1 (1)]

    WMAt = n + (n-1)+(n-2) + + 2 + 1

  • WMAt Pt ( ) Ptt-k k n

    SMA

    WMA 10, 25 75 SMA

    MODIFIED MOVING AVERAGE SMA SMA WMA 1 MMAt = MMAt-1 + [Pt - (MMAt-1)] / n

  • : MMAt MMAt-1 1 Pt n : SMA

    MMA 10, 25 75 EXPONENTIAL MOVING AVERAGE (EMA)

    EMA SMA EMA EMA SMOOTHING FACTOR (SF) SMOOTHING CONSTANT SF = 2/(n+1) EMA EMA = EMAt-1 + SF(Pt - EMAt-1)

  • EMAt Exponential Moving Average

    EMAt-1 Exponential Moving Average SF Smoothing Factor = 2/(n+1) Pt n

    : EMA

    EMA 10, 25 75 HAMMING - WEIGHTED MOVING AVERAGE (HMA)

    HAMMING - WEIGHTED MOVING AVERAGE SPECTRAL ANALYSIS HAMMING HAMMING (CYCLE) HAMMING AVERAGE

  • HMA 10, 25 75 MOVING AVERAGE ENVELOPES (TRADING BANDS) (UPPER BAND) (LOWER BAND) ( 10 25 75 ) (FILTER) 3 (UPPER BAND) (LOWER BAND)

    BU = Mat + cMAt BL = Mat - cMAt

  • BU = BL = c = 0 100 MAt = 10, 25, 75, 200, .

    (TRADING BANDS) 0 100 (BUYING RISK) (SELLING RISK)

    BOLLINGER BANDS BOLLINGER BANDS (MOVING AVERAGE ENVELOPES) (JOHN BOLLINGER)

    1. (TRADING BANDS)

  • 2. (TRADING BANDS)

    BOLLINGER BANDS (MOVING AVERAGE) (UPPER BAND) (LOWER BAND) BOLLINGER BANDS 2 (STANDARD DEVIATION) 5 200 BOLLINGER BANDS 10 20 50 BOLLINGER BANDS BOLLINGER BANDS BOLLINGER BANDS SIDEWAYS BOLLINGER BANDS

    1. () ()

  • 2. () () () ()

    PARABOLIC (TECHNICAL ANALYSIS) (TIME LAG) J. WELLES WILDER (PARABOLIC) STOP AND REVERSAL (SAR) SAR PARABOLIC CURVE PARABOLIC (LONG POSITION) SAR (SHORT POSITION) SAR (LONG POSITION) SAR (PRICE FUNCTION) SAR SAR SAR

  • (SHORT POSITION) SAR SAR SAR SARt-1 = SARt + AF(EPt - SARt)

    SARt-1 SAR SARt SAR EPt (SHORT)

    (LONG) AF 0.02 0.02

    0.2

    PARABOLIC (UPWARD OR DOWNWARD) (SIDEWAYS) WILDER PARABOLIC AVERAGE DIRECTIONAL MOVEMENT (ADX) ( DIRECTIONAL MOVEMENT) ADX 0 100 () ADX PARABOLIC WILDER ADX PARABOLIC 20 ADX PARABOLIC ADX

  • SAR :

    1, 4 2 3

    SAR ADX A

    SAR ADX B

    VOLUME (VOL) VOLUME :

    1.

    2.

    3. (PANIC SELLING) VOLUME (SELLING

  • CLIMAX) (SELLING CLIMAX) BEAR MARKET

    1.

    2.

    3. VOLUME VOLUME

    4. VOLUME VOLUME

    5. VOLUME ()

    TICK VOLUME TICK VOLUME (FUTURE CONTRACT) TICK () TICK VOLUME TICK VOLUME TICK () TICK VOLUME

  • ON BALANCE VOLUME (OBV) (OBV) (VOLUME) DEMAND-SUPPLY DEMAND SUPPLY

  • OBV :-

    1. O 1,000 10,000 2.

    3. OBV (DIRECTION) 2

    OBV = OBV + OBV = OBV -

    OBV (CONFIRMATION)

    (UPTREND) OBV (DOWNTREND) OBV

    OBV (DIVERGENCE) OBV OBV

    1. OBV OBV OBV

    2. (TRENDLINES) OBV

  • 3. (MOVING AVERAGE) OBV OBV

    OBV OBV

  • AVERAGE BALANCE VOLUME (ABV)

    (ABV) 10 , 25 , 75 200 ABV ABV

    CUMULATIVE VOLUME (CV)

    (OBV)

    CUMULATIVE VOLUME (CV) (WEIGHT) CV VOLUME CV VOLUME

    CV = ((Closet - Closet-1) *Volumet) + CVt-1 CV

    CV CV OBV

    VARIABLE ACCUMULATION/DISTRIBUTION (VAD)

    VAD (MOVING AVERAGE) OSCILLATOR

    (ACCUMULATION) VAD 0 (DISTRIBUTION) VAD 0

  • OSCILLATOR VAD Oscillator = CLOSE - OPEN *VOLUME HIGH - LOW VADn = (OSCt + OSCt-1 + + OSCt - n+1)/ln

    ACCUMULATION () (BULL MARKET)

    DISTRIBUTION ( ) (BEAR MARKET)

    VAD O

    VAD O VAD

    VOLUME ACCUMULATION OSCILLATOR (VAO)

    VAO VOLUME ACCUMULATION (VA) OSCILLATOR (

    ) VA (WEIGHT) () VA VA

    VAO 3 10 VA

    3 10 (LINE) (HISTOGRAM) 0

  • VA VAO

    VA = (CLOSE-LOW)-(HIGH-CLOSE) *VOLUME HIGH-LOW

    VAOn = MA3 (VA)-MA10 (VA)

    3 10 VAO 0 3 10 VAO 0 VAO

    OSCILLATOR (TREND LINE), (MOVING AVERAGE) (SIDEWAYS) OSCILLATOR ()

  • OSCILLATOR OSCILLATOR COMMODITY CHANNEL INDEX (CCI) CCI 10 14 5 CCI CCIt = (TPt - MAt) / (.015 *MD) MD = Mean Deviation (MAt - P1) + (MAt - P2) + (MAt - Pn) / n n = TPt = ( + + ) / 3 MAt = 10 Pi = i

  • CCI -100 +100 ( BISNEWS -200 +200) 0 0 +100 (+200) -100 (-200) 0 0 0

  • +100 -100

    ACCUMMULATION/DISTRIBUTION OSCILLATOR (ADO) ADO A/D OSCILLATOR ADO = (BP - SP) / (2* (HIGH-LOW)) *100 ADO = Accumulation / Distribution Oscillator Bp = = - P = = -

  • HIGH = LOW = 0 - 100 2 ADO ADO (DIVERGENCE)

    1 B A ADO b a DIVERGENCE

  • 2

    Y X ADO y x

  • ADO ADO (50) ADO 100 ADO ADO (50) ADO 0 ADO 0

    HIGH/LOW OSCILLATOR (HLO) HLO HLO

  • HLO = HIGH - CLOSE t-1 *100 MAX (A, B, C) MAX (A,B,C) = A = - 1 B = - C = 1 - -100 +100 0 1 ()

    1. +100

    2. -100

    3. 0 0 0

  • OSCILLATOR MOVING AVERAGE, TREND LINE STOCHASTICS

    STOCHASTICS

    - STOCHASTICS

    STOCHASTICS

  • %K STOCHASTICS %D %K

    %K = () - ( n ) ( n ) - ( n ) %D = (n ) %K STOCHASTICS

    STOCHASTICS OVERSOLD 20% %K %D

    STOCHASTICS OVERBOUGHT 80% %K %D

    (RIGHT-HAND CROSS-OVER)

    %K %D 2 %K %D (RIGHT-HAND CROSS-OVER)

  • HINGE

    STOCHASTICS (DIVERGENCE) 2

    BEARISH DIVERGENCE STOCHASTICS

  • BULLISH DIVERGENCE STOCHASTICS

    SET-UP STOCHASTICS

    BULL SET-UP

  • BEAR SET-UP STOCHASTICS

    FAILURE 2 KNEE %K %D

  • SHOULDER %K %D

  • GARBAGE 2 GARBAGE TOP %K %D

    STOCHASTIC V SPIKE BOTTOM

    GARBAGE BOTTOM GARBAGE TOP STOCHASTIC SPIKE TOP

  • 0% 100% 0% (OVERSOLD)

    TECHNICAL REBOUND 0% WEAK

    100 % (OVERBOUGHT)

    (STRONG) STOCHASTIC 100% STOCHASTIC (TECHNICAL CORRECTION) OVERBOUGHT

    FAST STOCHASTIC

    STOCHASTIC

    SLOW STOCHASTIC STOCHASTIC %K %D (OVERBOUGHT) STOCHASTIC 80% 80% 100 % (OVERSOLD) STOCHASTIC %D 20% %K

  • %D %D 80% %K %D

    FORMULA

    FAST %k = CURRENT CLOSE LOWEST LOWn HIGHEST HIGHn LOWEST LOWn

    %D = 3 PERIOD MODIFIED MOVING AVERAGE OF FAST %k

    n = NUMBER OF PERIODS

    SLOW STOCHASTIC

    SLOW STOCHASTIC

    FAST STOCHASTIC SLOW STOCHASTIC MODIFIED MOVING AVERAGE SLOW %K 3 PERIOD FAST STOCHASTIC FAST %K MODIFIED MOVING AVERAGE 1 PERIOD

    FORMULA

    SLOW %K = 3 Period Modified Moving Average of FAST %K

    %D = 3 Period Modified Moving Average of SLOW %K

  • SLOW STOCHASTIC FAST STOCHASTIC

    MODIFIED STOCHASTIC

    MODIFIED STOCHASTIC

    FAST STOCHASTIC SLOW STOCHASTIC

    FAST STOCHASTIC MODIFIED MOVING AVERAGE

    %D 3 SLOW STOCHASTIC MODIFIED MOVING AVERAGE %K %D 3 MODIFIE STOCHASTIC MOVING AVERAGE MOVING AVERAGE %K %D

    MODIFIED STOCHASTIC FAST SLOW STOCHASTIC

  • WILLIAM %R %R

    %R

    %R = HIGHn CURRENT LAST

    LOWn HIGHn n =

    HIGHn = LOWn =

    %R 0 100 0 100 SCALE

    WILLIAMS

    %R -90% %R 10% (OVERBOUGHT ) 0 10 (OVERSOLD) 90 100

  • MOMEMTUM OSCILLATOR

    (COUNTER TREND) (OVERBOUGHT) (OVERSOLD)

    MOMENTUM = P Pn P = Pn = n

    ()

  • 1.

    2. (TRENDLESS)

    (SIDEWAYS) 3.

    (DIVERGENCE)

    (CENTER LINE) ZERO LINE

  • 0 n (SIDEWAYS)

    (DOWNTREND)

    10 10

  • 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

    100 102 107 108 106 107 104 108 109 108

    11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 110 115 116 114 112 110 111 113 111 108

    (10 ) 10 13 9 6 6 3 7 5 2 0

    10

    12 2 11 1 15 5 14 4 18 8 17 7 (CENTER LINE)

    -

    (TREND)

  • (DIVERGENCE)

    2

    BEARISH DIVERGENCE

  • BULLISH DIVERGENCE

  • MOVING AVERAGE MOMENTUM

    MOVING AVERAGE MOMENTUM (SMOOTHED VERSION)

    MOVING AVERAGE MOMENTUM

    MOVING AVERAGE MOMENTUM = MA - MAn

    MA = MAn = n

    MOVING AVERAGE MOMENTUM

    MOVING AVERAGE MOMENTUM MOVING AVERAGE MOMENTUM MOVING AVERAGE MOMENTUM MOVING AVERAGE MOMENTUM

  • RSI : RELATIVE STRENGTH INDEX

    RSI (OVERBOUGHT) (OVERSOLD) 70% OVERBOUGHT 30% OVERSOLD (DIVERGENCE) 14 RSI

    (RSI) (INTERNAL STRENGTH) 14 14 RSI

    14 RSI

    RSI = 100 - 100 1+RS

    RS = 14

    14

    RSI = 100 XU

    U+D

    U = AVERAGE OF 14 DAYS UP CLOSES ( 14 ) D = AVERAGE OF 14 DAYS DOWN CLOSES ( 14 )

  • RSI 14

    Day Close U D RSI 0 100 - - 1 102 2 - 2 104 2 - 3 103 - 1 4 101 - 2 5 98 - 3 6 97 - 1 7 97 - 0 8 98 1 - 9 99 1 - 10 98 - 1 11 99 1 - 12 101 2 - 13 103 2 - 14 106 3 -

    Average of U 14/14 Average of D 8/14

    RSI 63.64% (OVERBOUGHT & OVERSOLD)

    14 RSI 70% 30% 14 RSI OVERSOLD 14 RSI OVERBOUGHT 14 RSI 5

    1. (TOP) (BOTTOM) 70 30

  • 2. HEAD & SHOULDERS ; DOUBLE TOPS & DOUBLE BOTTOMS OVERBOUGHT OVERSOLD

    3. 14 RSI (FAILURE SWING) OVERBOUGHT OVERSOLD

  • TOP FAILURE SWING RSI 70 (A) (A) TOP FAILURE SWING RSI (B) (A C)

    3 RSI 70 (A) RSI (AC) RSI (B)

    3.

    BOTTOM FAILURE SWING RSI 30 A) (C) (A) BOTTOM FAILURE SWING RSI (C) (B) (A B)

  • 3

    RSI 30 (A) RSI (AC) RSI (B)

    3.

    4. RSI - TRENDLINES, MOVING AVERAGES

    5. RSI

  • NEGATIVE DIVERGENCE (DIVERGENCE) (C) (A) RSI (C) RSI (A) RSI

    POSITIVE DIVERGENCE

    (C) (A) RSI (C) RSI (A)

  • RSI

    1. 70 30 2. FAILURE SWINGS (SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE PENETRATION)

    3. RSI 4. RSI (DIVERGENCE)

    RSI DIRECTIONAL MOVEMENT INDEX OSCILLATOR DIRECTIONAL MOVEMENT INDEX 0-100

    DIRECTIONAL MOVEMENT INDEX +DI = +DMN TRN

    -DI = -DMN TNN

    +DMN +DM +DM - -DMN -DM -DM - TRN

    (Hightoday - Lowtoday) (Hightoday - Closeyesterday)

  • (Closeyesterday - Lowtoday)

    DM

    DM + - +DM -DM 3

    1. (C) (A) (D) (B) C+A +DM

    2. (C) (A) (D) (B) D-8 -DM

  • 3. (C) (A) (D) (B) 2

    C-A +DM D-B -DM

    : DM ZERO DM

    DI

    DM DIRECTIONAL MOVEMENT DIRECTIONAL INDICATIOR (DI)

    DIRECTIONAL INDICATOR DI 14 DI 14 14 J. Wells Wilder 14 +DI14 -DI14

  • DIRECTIONAL MOVEMENT INDEX (DI)

    DI +DI14 -DI14 () (BUY SIGNAL)

    +DI14 -DI14 ()

    (SELL SIGNAL)

    DIRECTIONAL OSCILLATOR

    +DI -DI (DO) -DI +DI

    +DI -DI -DI -DI

    DIRECTIONAL OSCILLATOR (DO) DI

  • AVERAGE DIRECTIONAL INDEX

    J.WEELS WILDER DIRECTIONAL INDICATOR (DI) DI J.WELLS WILDER AVERAGE DIRECTIONAL INDEX (ADX) ADX 14 14

    ADX

    ADX = DXt+DXt-1+DXt-2++DXt-n+1 n

    DX = (+DI) - (-DI) (+DI) + (-DI)

  • ADX DXt n

    ADX 0-100 ADX 20-25

    DI

    DI (+DI -DI) ADX 20-25 DI

    / MOVING AVERAGES CONVERGENCE/ DIVERGENCE

    - (4-6 ) - (MACD)

    MACD GERALD APPEL ..1979 (TREND FOLLOWING) (DEGREE) BULL BEAR

  • MACD 2

    2 EXPONENTIAL 12 25 ( 26 ) 1

    MACD (SIGNAL LINE) MACD MACD = EMA (12 DAYS) - EMA (25 DAYS) SIGNAL LINE = EMA 9 DAYS OF MACD EMA = EXPONENTIAL MOVING AVERAGE

    MACD (SIGNAL LINE) SCALE 0

  • 1. MACD 2. MACD 3. MACD (SIGNAL LINE)

    (BUY SIGNAL) 4. MACD (SIGNAL LINE)

    (SELL SIGNAL) 5. MACD (SIGNAL LINE)

    6. MACD (SIGNAL LINE)

    7. MACD

    8. MACD

    9. MACD (SIGNAL LINE) BULL 10. MACD (SIGNAL LINE) BEAR

    MACD MACD STOCHASTIC MOMENTUM

    MACD DIVERGENCE MACD (DIVERGENCE) DIVERENCE MACD 2

    1. NEGATIVE DIVERGENCE MACD

  • 2. POSITIVE DIVERGENCE MACD

    NEGATIVE POSITIVE DIVERGENCE MACD OSCILLATOR (MACDO)

    MACD OSCILLATOR (MACDO)

    MACD OSCILLATOR MACD (SIGNAL LINE)

  • MACD OSCILLATOR = MACD - SIGNAL LINE

    MACD OSCILLATOR

    MACD OSCILLATOR MACD

    MOVING AVERAGE OSCILLATOR (MAO)

    M/A OSCILLATOR 2 2

    M/A OSCILLATOR = 1 - 2 = MA1 - MA2

    MA1 = MA2 = MA1

  • 5 10 25 75

    1. (TREND)

    MAO MAO

    2.

    MAO

    (OVERBOUGHT)

    MAO (OVERSOLD)

    / ADVANCE / DECLINE LINE (A/D LINE)

    A/D LINE () ( )

    A/D = (A-D) + A/D

    A = D = A/D LINE VOLUME

  • A/D LINE

    A/D LINE 1,000 10,000 20,000

    A/D LINE 1,000 A/D LINE

    A/D 1 1000 2 46 162 -116 884 3 31 177 -146 738 4 67 109 -42 696 5 100 57 43 739 6 30 181 -151 588

    A/D LINE

    2

    1. CONVERGENCE A/D LINE

    BEARISH CONVERGENCE A/D LINE

    BULLISH CONVERGENCE A/D LINE

  • BEARISH CONVERGENCE

    2. DIVERGENCE A/D LINE 2

    BEARISH DIVERGENCE A/D LINE A/D LINE

    A/D LINE

    ()

    BULLISH DIVERGENCE A/D LINE

    A/D LINE

  • BEARISH DIVERGENCE

    A/D LINE (MOVING AVERAGE)

    A/D LINE (SUPPORT) (RESISTANCE)

    SUPPORT RESISTANCE

    ()

    10 25 75 200 A/D LINE

    A/D LINE A/D LINE A/D LINE

    (POSITIVE) A/D LINE (NEGATIVE) A/D LINE

  • A/D LINE ( A/D LINE ) ( A/D LINE ) A/D LINE

    A/D LINE SMA 10 A/D LINE SMA 25 A/D LINE SMA 75 A/D LINE SMA 200 A/D LINE SMA 10 A/D LINE SMA 25 A/D LINE SMA 75 A/D LINE SMA 200 TREND LINE

    (TREND LINE) , , POINT & FIGURE RSI, MOMENTUM

    3

    (UPTREND) (DOWNTREND) (SIDEWAYS TREND)

    (UPTREND)

    (UPTREND LINE)

  • (DOWNTREND)

    (DOWNTREND LINE)

    (SIDEWAYS TREND)

  • /

    (UPTREND) (DOWNTREND) (SIDEWAYS) () ()

    (SUPPORT LINE) (RESISTANCE LINE)

    (CHANNEL) 3

    (HORIZONTAL SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE)

  • (BULLISH SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE)

    (BEARISH SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE)

  • (PARALLEL LINE)

    (PARALLEL LINE) (CHANNEL)

    XY A B A PQ PQ

  • (PITCHFORK)

    PITCHFORK 3

    SPEED LINES

    TRENDLINES () PERCENTAGE RETRACEMENT ( ) DESON GOULD OF ANAMETRICS 3 SPEED LINES PERCENTAGE RETRACEMENT SPEED LINES ()

    SPEED LINES

    BULLISH SPEED LINES 3 SPEED LINES 1/3 2/3

    BEARISH SPEED LINES SPEED LINES BULLISH 3 SPEED LINES 1/3 2/3

  • SPEED LINES 33% 66% RETRACEMENT

    SPEED LINES (2/3) SPEED LINES (1/3)

    SPEED LINES (2/3) SPEED LINES

    SPEED LINES SPEED LINES SPEED LINES (2/3) SPEED LINES (1/3) SPEED LINES (2/3)

    SPEED LINES SPEED LINES

    SPEED LINES SPEED LINES

  • FIBONACCI

    FIBONACCI LEONARDS FIBONACCI .. 13 (Regular) 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89 1 2 3 3 5 8 4 0.618 1.618 0.618 1.618

  • 1/1 = 1.0 1/1 = 1.0 1 / 2 = .5 2/1 = 2.0 2/3 = .667 3/2 = 1.5 3/5 = .60 5/3 = 1.667 5/8 = .625 8/5 = 1.6 8/12 = .615385 13/8 = 1.625 13/21 = .619048 21/13 = 1.61538 21/34 = .617647 34/21 = 1.61905 34/55 = .618182 55/34 = 1.61765 55/89 = .618056 89/55 = 1.61818

    (Golden Ratio) (Parthenon)

    FIBONACCI 3

    (FIBONACCI LINES) (FIBONACCI FAN LINES) (TIME ZONES)

    2 ( 1 2) (

    3)

    (FIBONACCI LINES)

    (Horizontal line) , ,

  • 38.2% 50.0% 61.8% (FIBONACCI RATIO) 38.2%, 50.0% 61.8%

    A B C, D, E A B JUNE SEP. C E D ( C) 4 JUNE-SEP. SEP. D E MAY

  • (FIBONACCI FAN LINES)

    FIBONACCI FAN LINES 38.2%, 50.0% 61.8% ( FAN LINES )

    FAN LINES 3 FAN LINES FAN LINES

  • (TIME ZONES)

    FIBONACCI

    FIBONACCI FANLINES TIMEZONE FAN LINES FAN LINES TIMEZONE FAN LINES

    FIBONACCI 3 38%, 50% 62% FIBONACCI 38.2%, 50.0% 61.8%

  • GANN THEORY

    GANN THEORY W.D. DAN SUPPORT RESISTANCE RESISTANCE SUPPORT 100% 100% 50%, 25% 12.5%

    W.D.GANN 2 GANN THEORY GANNS GEOMETRIC ANGLE SUPPORT RESISTANCE PERCENTAGE RETRACEMENT GANNS GEOMETRIC ANGLE

    GANN (GEOMETRIC ANGLES) GANNS GEOMETRIC ANGLES 45 1 X 1

    PRICE ANGLE GANN

    1 x 8 = 82.5 1 x 4 = 75 1 x 3 = 71.25 1 x 2 = 63.25 1 x 1 = 45 2 x 1 = 26.25 3 x 1 = 18.75 4 x 1 = 15 8 x 1 = 7.5

    1 x 1

    1 ( , ) 1 UPTREND DOWNTREND 1X2 1 2 2x1 2 1

    GANN 45 45 BULLISH BEARISH BULL 45 BEAR

  • 45 45

    PERCENTAGE RETRACEMENT

    GANN 10

    1/8 = 12.5% 2/8 = 25% 1/3 = 3.3% 3/8 = 37.5% 4/8 = 50% 5/8 = 62.5% 2/3 = 67% 6/8 = 75% 7/8 = 87.5% 8/8 = 100%

  • SUPPORT RESISTANCE GANN THEORY

    GANN

    8 1/8 2/8 3/8 4/8 8/8 4/8 50% 3/8 (38.2%) 5/8 (61.8) FIBONACCI NUMBER

    GANN 1/3 2/3 2

    SUPPORT RESISTANCE

    GEOMETRIC ANGLES GANNS BEOMETHIC ANGLES PEAK BOTTOM 1x1 UPTREND DOWNTREND

    FEB. PEAK DOWNTREND LINE 1X1 RESISTANCE APR. TREND BOTTOM MAR. UPTREND 1X2 1x1 TREND SUPPORT LINE 1x2 APR. SUPPORT 1x2 SUPPORT 1x1

  • JAN.-FEB. GANN LINES JAN UPTREND 1x4 1x1 A 90 SUPPORT

    JAN BOTTOM GANN LINES UPTREND 7 1x8 8X1 PEAK FEB. GANN LINES DOWNTREND PEAK UPTREND 1X1 DOWNTREND 1X2 90 STRONG SUPPORT

  • COMPARISON

    COMPARISON (Relative Strength)

    COMPARISON

    COMPARISON (Fundamental) (Overweight) /

    COMPARISON

    / / / / /

    COMPARISON = Price X Price Y

  • Price X = X Price Y =

    COMPARISON COMPARISON Pattern, Moving Average, RSI, Stochastic Trend Line

    COMPARISON

    COMPARISON

  • (COMPARISON) :

    1 : (SET9) (II30a)

    2 : (SETBANK) (SET 9)

  • 3 : (KTB9) (SETBANK)

    4 :

    COMPARISON)