Upload
christian-malcolm-black
View
215
Download
1
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
1
The Governance of Surface Transportation in the 21st Century:
Understanding the Challenges of Implementing New Technologies and New Procurement
Methods
George Washington University
Washington, DC
July 9, 2015
Jonathan L. GiffordLisardo BolañosNobuhiko Daito
Jeong Yun Kweun
George Mason University
2
Presentation Outline
• Research question and methodology
• Why transportation and why Virginia Dept of Transportation?
• Challenges confronting surface transportation system
• VDOT´s adaptation efforts
• The barriers to adaptation
• Conclusions
3
Research Question and Methodology
• Derthick (1990): ambiguous mandates and loss of control• Fountain (2001): activities persist despite innovations• Stigler (1971), Williamson (1979), Spiller (2013), Moszoro and
Spiller (2015): external opposition due to cost avoidance or opportunism
• Wilson (1989): costly monitoring of outputs and outcomes
What technological and procurement developments have taken place in surface transportation and how have transportation institutions adapted to them?
Research question
The challenges of adaptation
4
Research Question and Methodology
• 11 questions: 30-60 minute• Questions oriented to identify the changes in the last 20
years in VDOT, driving forces and implications
• In-depth interviews between March and May 2015• Industry leaders and professionals with extensive
experience in Virginia’s highway sector • 15 interviews out of 22 invited• 7 in the public sector, 8 in the private sector
Interviews
Questionnaire
5
Why transportation?
Transportation in the US provides a rich context to test hypotheses on institutional theory
Different transactionsDesignConstructFinanceOperate and maintainRetire
Changing governance mechanismsPrivate tolls and turnpikesCounty and city provisionState provisionFederal financial supportPrivate involvement via P3s
6
Why is VDOT context i useful to others?
Responsibilities in urban and rural areas is useful for different types of states
Highways (miles)1,118 interstate8,111 primary highways333 frontage roads48,305 secondary roads
Some issuesLow proportion of locally owned roadsState ownership favors adopting innovations -In methods and materials -In procurement methods
7
Why is VDOT context useful to others?
Experiences with political environment may help other states
Considerable political contestabilityShifts in Governor party: 1993, 2002, 2009Shifts in the House majority: 1997Shifts in the Senate majority: 1995, 2008, 2011
High ethnic fractionalization
8
Why is VDOT context useful to others?
Experiences developing a competitive market may help other states
P3 market as an exampleMultimodal P3 office outside the DOTManual and Guidelines to provide process certaintyOperators• Ferrovial Agroman, Fluor, Macquarie, Skanska,
TransurbanActive interest from the private sector• 19 teams responded to the I-66 RFI
9
Challenges confronting surface transportation system
Challenges and opportunitiesGrowing complexity
Cost increases
New materials, methods, and technologies
Budget constraints
10
Challenges confronting surface transportation system
Growing complexity
Deteriorating infrastructureGrowing congestionGrowing urbanizationAging facilitiesInsufficient maintenance
Increased urbanization
Physical constraints in dense areasOther modes of transportationTransit-Oriented Development
11
Challenges confronting surface transportation system
Cost increases
Customers expectations Low tolerance for inconvenienceHigh demand for informationAdditional modes of transportation
Regulatory requirements
Complicates buying innovationsComplicates implementing innovationsImpedes providing new services
Other driversNew technologies allow new/demand new servicesIncreased input pricesSlow growth in construction productivity
12
Challenges confronting surface transportation system
New materials, methods, and technologies
InnovationsIT development to improve designs for lower costsNew construction technologiesHigher specification safety features on roadsIntelligent Transportation Systems (ITS)
13
Challenges confronting surface transportation system
Budget constraints
Funding concernsPressure to ‘reign in’ government since 1980sVirginia self-limitation on debt ceilingsGas tax reform in 2014 was positive but “insufficient” to satisfy demands
14
VDOT´s adaptation efforts
VDOT´s adaptationNew focus
Relationship - private sector
Relationship - public sector
Relationship - citizens
New organization & new skills
New management style
15
VDOT´s adaptation efforts
A new focus
ServicesTechnology to increase efficiencyMultimodal approachesTransit-Oriented Development (TOD)Operations and maintenance
Life-cycle costsConcern with infrastructure deteriorationTrade-off: cost and asset-lifeDecisions on materials and procurement
16
VDOT´s adaptation efforts
Relationship with the private sector
DBB DB DBFOMFocus on process controlRisk on public sector
Focus on cost and delivery dateShared risks with private partner
More private involvement in definition and objectivesRisk-sharing requires a specialized skillIncentives allocated to achieve on-time and on-budget completion
Changes in the relationship
17
VDOT´s adaptation efforts
Relationship with other public agencies
Image: http://www.fairfaxcounty.gov/westox/mpstoc/images/pstoc-front-sign-web.jpg
Shared facilitiesShared technologiesShared operational informationIndividuals and institutions interact 24x7
Changes in the relationship
18
VDOT´s adaptation efforts
Relationship with citizens
New modes of communicationIncreased interaction through informal information meetings
Changes in the relationship
19
VDOT´s adaptation efforts
Changing the organization and the mix of skills
Organizational changes“Ossified” organizationDownsizing (1994-2014): 15K (1994) down to 7.5K workersShift to private contractors
New skills neededContract managementFinancial engineeringPublic relationships
20
VDOT´s adaptation efforts
Changing the management style
Performance managementPrevious focus on proceduresPerformance management to improve resultsDashboard for publicly procured projects -Clarity on what is being managed -Clarity on goal achievement -Efforts to break-down silos
21
VDOT´s adaptation efforts
Image: http://dashboard.virginiadot.org/
22
VDOT´s adaptation efforts
Changing the management style
Managing P3sDashboard not appropriateNot monitoring ´every ton of asphalt´Focus is on the concept and the delivery A new agency had to be established -Concentrate responsibilities -Specialized skills -Multimodal approach
Image: http://www.p3virginia.org/
23
The conflicts from VDOT´s adaptation
Conflicts from VDOT´s adaptation
External opposition
Internal resistance
24
The conflicts from VDOT´s
adaptationThe conflicts
Internal resistanceResistance to citizen prioritiesEngineering mentalityHigher budget obviates need for P3s
External resistance
High-cost projects attract attentionUrban projects may affect more peopleTolls are unpopularSome benefits are hard to appreciate
25
The conflicts from VDOT´s
adaptationWhat is causing the conflicts?
VDOT transactions are more sophisticatedIncreased uncertainty, complexity, and new risksEfforts to assure qualityEfforts to gather citizen support Efforts to gather political support (budget, project, program)
Losing the ability to control and measure performancePublic outreach may not win community support P3 project may go bankrupt due to a national recession
26
The conflicts from VDOT´s
adaptationExplaining the conflictsWilson (1989): how to avoid shirking in the absence
of residual profits
Types of organization
OutcomesExpected results
Easy to measure Hard to measure
OutputsDay-to-
day actions
Easy to measure
Production organizationsE.g., IRSFocus on measurable outcomes
Procedural organizationsE.g., Army at peaceFocus on standard operating procedures
Hard to measure
Craft organizationsE.g., Army at warGenerate a sense of duty
Coping organizationsE.g., SchoolsBalance situational imperatives and constraints
27
The conflicts from VDOT´s
adaptationExplaining the conflict
Production organization
Coping organization
Observable outputs & outcomes
Unobservable outputs & outcomes
Operators: situation imperativesManagers: budgetary and political constraintsIn bad times: external pressure to add more constraints
Shift is expected to generate conflict
28
Conclusions
• Through in-depth interviews our goal was to understand
• What technological and procurement developments have taken place in surface transportation and how transportation institutions have adapted to them?
• Findings• VDOT faces rapid urban growth, public funds shortages, and higher
expectations• The adoption of transportation innovations implies higher
uncertainty and complexity• This is caused by a loss of control and a lower ability to measure
performance• VDOT faces external and internal conflict that pressures the
agency to focus again on tasks that are easier to control and measure
• NIE provides a useful framework for understanding VDOT changes
Center for Transportation Public-Private Partnership Policy
For more information:
Visit us at: p3policy.gmu.eduTwitter: @p3policy
George Mason University
School of Policy, Government, and International Affairs3351 Fairfax Drive, Arlington, VA 22201 USA
[email protected] / +1(703)993-2275 29
Expanding the evidence base, enhancing agency capacity,
educating the workforce and community about P3s