TraNsform ThailaNd

TraNsform ThailaNd 1 2554 1,000 230 (.) 979 34 10400 434 . 24 . 10900 02-513-8208 02-513-8209 www.siu.co.th, www.siamintelligence.com () 12 1 10900 0-2580-0021 3350-3353 0-2591-9012

. . .

- Siam Intelligence Unit Transform Thailand Transform Thailand

Transcend all dream and reality for the sake on the future of our society

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SIU 12 : (scenario planning) Solving Tough Problem Synchronicity SIU 3

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public policy 5 (Zeitgeist) Inception (A single idea from the human mind can build cities. An idea can transform the world and rewrite all the rules) (network and leaderless organization) 3 (Transform Thailand)

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(.) .. Fernand Braudel Anales (unfreeze) (French Colonialism)

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? (think tank) ... . . (TDRI) .

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(middle income trap) . (ASEAN way) (soft power) (hard power) (skeptic)

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Power and Love ( ) ()

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transcend Siam Intelligence Unit

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1: 1.1 1.2 (Middle Income Trap) : . 2: 2.1 : : 1971 2011 () Default 2 : BRIC Next Eleven BRICs 2.2- Asia-7 : : 2.3 (Macrotrends) 3: 3.1 GMS Economic Corridors 3.2 : 17 19 23 27 29 40 42 43 48 56 62 63 65 66 70 76 82 84 85 90 92 95

3.3 3.4 (.) : Reversed Cross : ... 4 : : : . : . : .

99 100 102 103 106 115 119 125 131 134 137 143 147 155 160 161 164 167 167 181 182

4: Think Tank 4.1 Think Tank 4.2 :

1:

1.1 (geography) (geopolitics) (Southeast Asian Peninsula) (Mainland Southeast Asia) 17

(Zomia)

(Zomia) (StraitofMalacca) 1 3 1218

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2 (Indochina peninsula) (Malay peninsula) (heartland) 4 ()

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.. 2432 .. 2445 ()

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- .. (Asian Highway Network) (UNESCAP) .. 2502 (.. 1959) 3

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1.2 70 2450 .. 2475 .. 2475 2500-2520 - .. 2500 6 () .. 2503-2525 2500 2510 - 23

2510 ( 3 .. 2514 ) 2520-2530 2510 .. 2518 .. 2516-2519 2520 2520 (...) 2520 .. 2527 2520 .. 2528

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2530-2540 2530 GDP ( .. 2531-2533) 2530 2530 .. 2540 .. 2540 .. 2540 2530-2540 25

2530 2540 (GNI per capita) 710 .. 1980 4,150 2010 .. 2008 26

(Middle Income Trap) middle income trap - 2 (World Bank) (ADB) (high income countries) (Ardo Hansson)

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middle income trap

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: . 2 2554 (World Bank) - (lower-middle income) - (upper-middle income) (gross national income per captita) 4,210 29

SIU . SIU: SIU (middle-income trap) () 20 SIU: 30-40 100-200 30-40

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15-20 Gini Coefficient 10 SIU: ? 31

SIU: 99 80 (Programme for International Student Assessment-PISA) SIU:

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65 2-3 SIU: ? 20 ? 20

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SIU: (logistics) (infrastructure) ? 8 20 45 SIU: ? 34

SIU: ? The New Normal 35

(loop) 15 5 SIU: (IMF) 1-3 IMF +3

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2015 2-3 SIU: ? (commodity market) 2-3

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2: 50 (NICs1) 2540 .. 1985 (labor intensive)1. Newly Industrialized Countries

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( ) 2 (global economic shift) (ASEAN community) 2 2 (macrotrends)

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2.1 (global economic shift) (multi-polar) 2 9/11 - 2008 BRICs (Brazil, Russia, India, China)

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: 11 2001

Michael Foran http://www.flickr.com/photos/pixorama/239262070

9/11 (New World Order) New World Order 43

(League of Nations) 40 1950s 1991 - (Unipolar World) 1991 1990s

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11 2001 3 (homeland security) : 9/11 Operation Enduring Freedom 9/11

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(dilemma) (War on Terror) 80-90s

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2008 (Multi-polar World) 10-20 BRICs () ( ) 20 9/11 (trigger point) 9/11 http://www.siamintelligence.com/ten-years-911/ 18 2554

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: 1971 2011 () Default () AAA 1 AA+ 2 5 2011 1971 2011 40 (Gold Exchange Standard Bretton Woods)

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15 1971 (Gold Convertibility) 1971 default ( ) 1957 653.06 62% 1972 275.97 27% (M1) (M2) default 1971 2011 default AAA 40

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Bretton Woods 1971 G5 G5 1974 1973 Bretton Woods 1971 2011 21 G5 ( G7 ) 1 6 1971 ( 8 3 ) , 50

30 10 14-15% 1981 2% 2011 default 10 10 2.79% 2.56% 2.26% 12 vs BRICs BRICs GDP 4 ()51

(Global Economic Governance Imbalance) 4 G5 BRICs 2007-2008 10 1 500,000 3.2 2 2011 2 7 .. default (

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) default ( GCC2 UAE) AAA 2009 1971 35 800 1981 2011 Arab Spring 1971 2. Gulf Cooperation Council The Cooperation Council for the Arab States of the Gulf (CCASG)

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GCC , ( ) AAA AAA G5 1971

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G5 default BRICs (Global Monetary War) BRICs default BRICs currency swaps G5 BRICs http://www.siamintelligence.com/post-americafinancial-system-from-1971-2011/ 17 2554

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: BRICs 2551 (BRICs) 4 7 G7 G20 BRICs (global agenda) BRICs 2544 (Jim ONeill) (Goldman Sachs) BRICs 9/11 11 2544 BRICs 3 9/11 (globalization) (americanization) 3. Global Economic Paper # 66, Building Better Global Economics BRICs, Goldman Sachs, November 2001

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4 BRICs 21 9/11 BRICs BRICs BRICs BRICs BRICs BRICs 40% 25% GDP BRICs GDP 24% GDP 45% BRICs GDP (contribution to global growth) G7 .. 2000-2008 BRICs GDP 46% 10 (..1990-2000) BRICs GDP 32%4. Financial Times, The Story of BRICs, January 2010

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G7 .. 1990-2000 41% ..2000-08 20% G7 BRICs G7 BRICs BRICs G7 G7 BRICs G7 BRICs .. 2027 (.. 2570) BRICs G7 .. 2032 (.. 2575)5 BRICs (degree of openness) GDP 2549 BRICs 62% 47% 32% BRICs 21%5. Global Economic Paper # 192, The Long-Term Outlook for the BRICs and N-11 Post Crisis, Goldman Sachs, December 2009

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GDP 15% GDP 7% GDP 25% GDP (raw materials) 2551 BRICs 2552 BRICs SDRs (IMF) BRICs BRICs BRICs G7 BRICs

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2551 2552

4 BRICs 2553 Jose Cruz/ABr

BRICs 2 16 2553 BRICs Bretton Woods 6

6. Luiz Incio Lula da Silva BRICs: From Acronym to Global Actor 12 2553 http://english.caixin. cn/2010-04-12/100134204.html

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BRICs 9/11 BRICs (theme) BRICs 2551 BRICs BRICs BRICs BRICs BRICs BRICs G7 BRICs http://www.siamintelligence.com/the-rise-of-bric/ 18 2553

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Next Eleven BRICs BRICs (buzzword) BRICs 2005 Goldman Sach BRICs 11 Next Eleven (N-11)7 1. 4. 7. 10. 2. 5. 8. 11. 3. 6. 9.

Goldman Sach 2050 N-11 BRICs G7 N-11 GDP ( GDP 9% GDP )

7. Global Economics Paper No: 153 The N-11: More Than an Acronym Goldman Sachs

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2.2 - GDP 58% 188 .. 1750 19 ( ) (British Century) 20 (American Century) GDP 15% .. 1952 (NICs NIEs9) 4 1970 1980 GDP 27% GDP

8. Asia 2050: Realizing the Asian Century, Asian Development Bank, 2011 9. Newly Industrialized Economies

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GDP 51% .. 2050 250 21 (Asian Century) Rivals: How the Power Struggle Between China, India, and Japan Will Shape Our Next Decade Bill Emmott The Economist - 3 ASEAN+3 (ASEAN Community) 2015

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(springboard)

Asia-7 (ADB)10 7 7 GDP 14.2 87% 3.1 (78% ) 2050 73% GDP 90% 45% GDP 10. Asia 2050: Realizing the Asian Century, Asian Development Bank, 2011

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: 44 ASEAN 1967 ASA 1961 ( ) () 1960 1975 10 19791989 20 - 1990 - (spill over)

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1990 (ASEAN Free Trade Area: AFTA) -(ASEANRegionalForum:ARF)1995 (GrowthTriangleSIJORI) (IMT-GT: Indonesia-Malaysia-Thailand Growth Triangle) (Quadrangle Economic Cooperation) + ASEAN Plus

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2015 1997 2001 2002 Bali Concord II 2003 (Vientiane Action Programme 2004-2010) 3 2020 2015 AEC 2015 600 0 (FDI) 68

1997 - 4

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: 25 2554 2015: . ASEAN Way

2 action plan roadmap action plan 3 blueprint WTO FTA - , - , - input 2015 80 600 2-3 (ASEAN connectivity) 10 - 3 -

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sanction sanction (sense of ownership) (sense of participating) (Interaction) (Common Foreign Policy) 9/11, , (Common Security Policy)

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(Common Defense Policy) (Common External Economic Relations Policy) (Common Tariff) (ASEAN Affairs comes first) EU affairs comes first - () 3-4

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4.6 (confidence building) (defense diplomacy) Troika sense road map (ASEAN/Regional Architecture) ASEAN centrality driver seat ( )

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ASEAN Way 2015 http://www.siamintelligence.com/asean-2015-surakiart-video/ 3 2554 ()

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2.3 (Macrotrends) (climate change) .. 2553 2554 30-40

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(ageing society) .. 2500-2540 (national security) (traditional threats) (non-traditional threats) - 9/11 77

(commodity) -

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.. 2009 (Arab Spring) .. 2011

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3: 2 3 4 4 Regional

Sustain

Independent

New Opportunity

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4 1. (regional) 2. (balance) (independent) 3. (new opportunity) 4. (sustain)

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3.1 2 -- .. 2015 2 3 (Mainland ASEAN) 7 (Maritime ASEAN) - -

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-

GMS Economic Corridors - - (AEC) (corridors) (Greater Mekong Subregion) 6 () GMS Economic Corridors ADB (Asian Development Bank) 1998 253585

ADB GMS Economic Corridors 3 North-South Economic Corridor East-West Economic Corridor Southern Economic Corridor ( ) North-South Economic Corridor (NSEC) GMS Economic Corridors () - - - 3 (Western Subcorridor: R3) R3E R3W (Central Subcorridor) A1 - (Eastern Subcorridor) (Guangxi) 86

GMS Economic Corridors ( ADB)

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East-West Economic Corridor (EWEC) - EWEC () (Mawlamyine) R2 - . () . . R2 . . . R2 100% 0-50% R2 - Southern Economic Corridor (SEC) -- 4 - (Central Subcorridor: R1) (Vang Tau)

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(Northern Subcorridor) ( ) Quy Nhon (Southern Coastal Subcorridor: R10) . Nam Can (Intercorridor Link) 3 ( EastWest) 2 R1 (--) R10 http://www.thaifta.com/thaifta/Portals/0/GMS_Corridor.pdf . http://vigcollab.mot.go.th/gm/document-1.9.9274/ .pdf Southern Economic Corridor http://www.exim.go.th/doc/research/targeted_country/6026.pdf

http://www.siamintelligence.com/gmc-economiccorridors/ 21 2554

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3.2 .. 2500 (GDP) 5 C+I+G+(X-M) C(private consumption) I (gross investment) G(government spending) X(exports) M (imports)

(X) GDP 1997 20-30% GDP 60-70% GDP 76.5% GDP .. 2008 ... (dual track) (C)

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GDP .. 1960 ()

BRIC Next Eleven 2008 (independent) 91

Sasin Institute for Global Affairs (SIGA) (CEO CAMP) 4-5 2554 . (Imbalance Rebalance) . 1. Global Imbalance 2. Financial & Real Economy Imbalance (FIRE: Finance, Investment, Real Estate) 20% GDP 10 92

27% 11% 16% 12% 3. () 4. 300 20% 3 (emerging market countries) , IMD 57 ( 23, 19) 1.

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2. (export-led growth strategy) (domestic consumption growth) 3. sector sector bonsai 10 11 sector ( 16,000 38 588,000 53) ( 50,000 38 340,000 53) 20% IMF paradox (emerging paradox) (self destruction mechanism) 4. (capital flow management) 50 50 7 1 3-4% http://www.siamintelligence.com/thanong-to-warnthailand-re-balancing-go-asia/ 5 255494

: 72 () ( JDA) - 95

(biofuel) 39 80 ( )

1: 5 ( EPPO)

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2:5 (EPPO)

2551 150 / .. 2553-2573 (PDP2010) 25

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PDP2010 20 LPG NGV 2554 ( 900 )

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3.3 (labour intensive) Creative Economy ? ... (trading nation)

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2552 () 2570 11 . ( ) 5 ( 10) 100% Creative Capitalism CSR 11 http://www.nesdb.go.th/Portals/0/news/annual_meet/52/ book/Group%200%20Plenary%20Ampon%20Final.pdf http:// www.siamintelligence.com/development-plan11-nesdb-challenge/

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-

, , -,

Green Job, Green Growth, Green Economy - , Long stay tourisms --, ,

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3.4 .. 2520-2530 - (green technology) (CSR) 8 9 10

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(paradigm) -

(.) (.) .. 2553 .. 2554 . . . . 4

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50 ,

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http://www.siamintelligence.com/reformcommittee-proposal/ . http://www.reform.or.th/sites/default/files/aenwthaangkaarptiruuppraethsaithy_0.pdf

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: 2 .. ... Asia Times () (TCDC) SIU: (unfreeze) (freeze) (french colonialism) (US strategic will) 106

puzzle SIU: (take risk) SIU: manage SIU: 2 ? B52 (perception of power) 107

? (get rational) it stays the same SIU: form substance (surplus) (agriculture failure) failure failure ? SIU: 108

(qualitative change in production value) Patek Phillippe ? SIU: (phenomena) (asset) Petite Bourgeoisie Thai Style () (inspiration) (aspiration)

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SIU: (value creation) (surplus) (moral obligation) at what cost? (cost) (low cost selection of value) cost (political failure) (policy failure) SIU: 30% ? 110

2 MBA MBA (domestic growth) domestic growth (dignity) (value creation) (micro) (facilitate) (volume collection of tax) SIU: (Reversed Cross)1 Reversed Cross (strategy) (logistic reality) (tangible impact) 1. Reversed Cross

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(income of metropolitant area) where is your role? SIU: () GDP 65% 65% 1,000 30% 10% (security policy)112

SIU: 1960s ? domestic growth SIU: (ability to have quality debt) (surplus) SIU: (NESDB) (alienate)

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(function)(hope) (supermacrohope) SIU: passion passion SIU: ? ?NextGeneration,GoonMan! http://www.siamintelligence.com/pansak-interview/ 22553114

ReversedCross Thailandintransition:ahistoricchallenge andwhatsnext?82552 -, , ..... ...2

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2001: A Space Odyssey ? 2001: A Space Odyssey 3 3 () 3 ... value creation creative economy

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creative economy (TCDC) 19 2549

-

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reversed cross

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: ... .. ... SIU: 119

2008- 2009 2009-2011 5 domestic demand domestic demand 2009 2010 BOI (industrialization) Eastern Seaboard 120

Eastern Seaboard value added AFTA (ASEAN Free Trade Area ) AFTA 10 10

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trading nation trading nation industry nation 30 profit margin SIU: ASEAN 2015 122

SIU: fund flow capital flow 1997 fund flow 123

SIU: (reserve) reserve Sovereign Wealth Fund reserve 90,000 http://www.siamintelligence.com/pridiyathorn-devakula-interview/ 24 2554

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4 (SIFA) Sasin Institute for Global Affairs (SIGA) 17 2554 .. , , . ... 4 1. 2015 (AEC) 2. + 5 3. ASEAN 4. 20-30% Eastern Seaboard 30 Southern Seaboard Seaboard

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AEC 2015 AEC 49% attitude . (..) choice AEC AEC AEC consumer product 1

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trade fair investment fair ASEAN AEC 3 Eastern Seaboard Eastern Seaboard - intraregional trade intraregional investment skill 2015 2 center -- 9-10

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outlet West Gate decision decision decision NGOs 3 area save 10 supplier center 128

capital risk 2 GDP 1,000 10,000

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Eastern Seaboard Eastern Seaboard , NGOs 20% 5-6% trading fail trader manufacturing trading trading trading 1. AEC trader of the Region trader of the region trading trader trader asia 2. Logistics center trading banking trading nation AEC logistics

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: 2554 SIU 32554

SIU: position 131

90 9.1 90 27 24 . 2-3 SIU: ? 27 vicious circle ? 90 120-150 fine tune SIU: 27 90 120 4

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6 40% tax rebate SIU: 4 10 30% 3 SIU: 2-3 4 6-7 SIU: priority http://www.siamintelligence. com/korbsak-sabhavasu-interview/ 4 2554133

: Riviera ( ) Riviera SIU Hafencity Hafencity (freeport) Hafencity Hafencity (PPP Private Public Partnership) Hafencity

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Hamburg Hafencity Hamburg 3 Hamburg Hafencity V&A Waterfront Odaiba Riviera SIU -

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A

(Riviera) Italian Riviera Ligurian Riviera French Riviera ( 14.7% )

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: . .. (TDRI) . SIU . 2015 SIU: 2015 ?

? - SIU: - AFTA SIU: ? 138

SIU: ? 40% SIU: ? 139

SIU: ? 2540 ? SIU: ? 2 SIU: 40 ?

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2 SIU: 300 SIU: ? 1

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10 100-1000 SIU: TDRI ?

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. . (TDRI)25533 . SIU

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. TDRI 3 2 TDRI 5 1. (inclusive growth) 2. - 3.- --

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4. 5. (regulator) - 5 1. . BOI - 2. SME

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3. 4. 5.

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: . . Single Cell Protein From Sulfite Waste Liquor NIDA . . . (Philip Kotler) Kellogg School of Management Northwestern . The Marketing of Nations Booz Allen & Hamilton . 1

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2549 . Sasin Institute for Global Affairs (SIGA) The Marketing of Nations . Marketing Moves Philip Kotler Dipak C. Jain (Dean of Kellogg ) : SIU . SIU: . ? 2 (Grand Strategy) (Post-modern) (Ground Strategy) (Bottom-up) (Top-down) SIU: ? 2

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SIU: 2015? (AEC) ( ASEAN Supply Chain Regional Sourcing ) (ASC) (ASCC) Free Flow of People Business2Business People2People ASEAN Value, ASEAN Culture ASEAN Brand Food & Fuel Security Local Context Regional Context Intra-Regional Source of Energy Use of Energy

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( ) ( ) SIU: (Nasim Taleb) blackswan ? (Grand) () (Ground) (Multiple Realities) SIU: 3-4 ?150

Dignity of the Nation National Interest Common Ground, Common Goals (Middle-income) (Efficiency Driven Economy) (Innovation Driven Economy) SIU: Korea 3.0 (Green Innovation) (Convergence Technology)

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Soft Power (More for Less) (Less for More) SIU: ? 3 SIU: 2 Mindset Global Vision 10 2 4 8 10

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SMEs SET 100 New Set of Capabilities Resource Based Capabilities Knowledge Based Capabilities SIU: ? (First tier) Hard Truth SIU: ? 153

SIU: ? De-skill Reverse Engineering - (JTEPA) SIU: ? 154

Private Interest Public Mind Common Ground Common Goals Weak Nationalism Unproductive Culture Dignity of the Nation Wealth of the Nation () (Grand + Ground) SIU: 2015? Comparative Advantage Locational Advantage Comparative Advantage Competitive Advantage

: . . Sasin Institute for Global Affairs (SIGA) . . 155

. . . . . ( Zygmunt Bauman solid modernity ) liquid modernity 156

(synchronicity) . .

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4: Think Tank (public policy) ( 3) (foresight) (scenario planning) (future history) () ( think tank) 160

4.1 Think Tank Think tank 19 think tank ( )

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think tank think tank 75 425 Think Tank The Policymakers ( ) Rand Corporation (US), Urban Institute (US), Overseas Development Institute (UK), Fundao Getulio Vargas (Brazil), Institute for Research on Public Policy (Canada) The Partisans Heritage Foundation (US), Center for American Progress (US), Adam Smith Institute (UK), Civitas (UK) The Phantoms NGO China Development Institute (China), Institute for Democracy and Cooperation (Russia), Center for Political Studies (Uzbekistan)

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The Scholars Brookings Institution (US), Council on Foreign Relations (US), Chatham House (UK), Danish Institute of International Studies (Denmark) The Activists Human Rights Watch (US), Centre for Conflict Resolution (South Africa), Amnesty International (UK) think tank think tank think tank think tank think tank think tank think tank think tank think tank think tank think tank

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4.2 . (James McGann) (FP) The Global Go-To Think Tanks . , , 2010 6,480 2010 Brookings Institution (US) Council on Foreign Relations (US) Carnegie Endowment for International Peace (US) Chatham House (UK) Amnesty International (UK) RAND Corporation (United States) Center for Strategic and International Studies (US) Heritage Foundation (US) Transparency International (Germany) Peterson Institute for International Economics (FNA) Institute for International Economics (US)

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think tank 1 1913 2 1757 3 1200 4 - 690 5 548 6 - 333 7 39 6480 think tank 10 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1816 425 292 278 191 176 131 112 103 97

30% 27% 18% 11% 8% 5% 1% 100%

think tank

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1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22

425 292 103 52 35 34 27 20 20 19 17 14 14 13 12 12 10 9 8 8 8 8

think tank The Global Go-To Think Tanks 2010166

8 ( ) 9 20 , 3 , 20 , 6 17 think tank think tank

: SIU think tank think tank think tank

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think tank think tank think tank think tank SIU: think tank think tank 1950 1863 Royal

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United Services Institute for Defence and Security Studies (RUSI) think tank think tank 1910 Fabian Society Labour Fabian Society think tank 1863 2 (..1945) think tank 12 2 war room () war room (grand strategy) brain room think tank think tank policy institute 2 think tank think tank Rand Corporation think tank top ten 2 think tank comprehensive think tank independent think tank think tank

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think tank think tank (debating society) (freedom of expression) think tank think tank think tank 100% think tank independent think tank senior fellow think tank fellow senior fellow/scholar removing door think tank think tank think tank

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(all round) fellow/scholar think tank think tank think tank Track II think tank Track I think tank think tank think tank think tank think tank think tank think tank think tank think tank Friedrich Ebert Stiftung think tank top ten

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think tank

think tank think tank think tank think tank Institute of Defense and Security Study think tank think tank SIU: think tank ? ? 2 think tank 1) think tank / (definition) think tank 60% 8 Anglo-section base definition 2) think tank . University of Sylvania

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(UN) . UN think tank update 10 1. 2. think out of the box 3. think tank 2 top 100 top 100 Henry Kissinger ( . ) 1 . 2 2011 2009 2008 think tank 5,300 2009 6,300 900 think tank think tank 2008 think tank 11% 2009 19% think tank

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think tank 6,305 think tank 1 1,800-1,900 1 3 40 % think tank 2008 75 2009 425 2 Top 5 1 2008 think tank 121 103-105 75 425 think tank globalization 2-3 think tank 100 % 75 425 think tank think tank 1990 think tank think tank 1990 2000 globalization agenda (domestic issues) (stand alone) think tank

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SIU: think tank think tank think tank think tank top 10 think tank think tank urbanization global city 2 30% 50-60%

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SIU: think tank ? think tank 2-3 1. think tank think tank 2. think tank 3. think tank think tank think tank 3 think tank think tank MoU 4 20 20 Top 10 Top 20

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Brooking CSIS (Center Strategic and International Studies) AEI (American Enterprise Institute) Heritage Foundation Woodrow Wilson Center East West Center 2008 Thailand-US think tank Summit - 175 think tank - think tank 14 . CSIS 1 - 2 (Intellectual landscape) policy circle CSIS Southeast Asia Research Program CSIS 3 Southeast Asia Research Program CSIS

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decision maker / 5 , , , ASEAN, EAS public hearing Friends of Thailand think tank think tank SIU: think tank 2 1) (practitioner)

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2) think tank update 2 intellectual backup think tank think tank position think tank Rajaratnam School of International Studies (RSIS) think tank IISS (International Institute for Strategic Studies) Forum Shangri-La Dialogue dialogue

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Shangri-La Dialogue think tank think tank policy instrument think tank . think tank Global 2011 2009 Routledge think tank Anglo-American http://www.siamintelligence.com/songsak-interview/ 27 2554180

... . . . (TDRI) Sasin Institute for Global Affairs (SIGA)

.

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.. 2552 (Think Tank) Practical Utopia (http://www.practicalu topia.tv) 12 .. 2551-2552 scenario planning ( 2,000 ) Siam Intelligence (http://www.siamintelligence.com) 220,000 Practical Radio Siam Intelligence iZen OnZen 4-5 20

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28 .. 2553 Scenario Scenario ( http:// www.siamintelligence.com/video-record-come-over-thailand-conflictseminar/ (http://politicalbase.in.th) Wikipedia 500 50,000 Transform Thailand (http://transform.in.th) Podcast social media Change Agents: 50 http://siu.co.th

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