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警警 警警警警警警警警警警警警警警警警警警警警警警 警警警警警警警警警警警警警警警警 :, Copyright © 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd. 1 2016/06/06

詹姆士看天下 2016/06/06

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Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.2016/06/06

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

84.1599.0759.39

20082014-26.69% -5.61%-36.09% -7.28%-20.81% ---18.82%-5.58%-21.11% -12.76%-9.52% -5.56%

Bloomberg() 2016/4/30%50.3344.5799.83

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#G 64042

: Bloomberg 2016/6/3

3.684.707.65%%5.14

(%)

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#IND>IND>12)HE00H0A0DXEM(20160411)ADOL

3

Bloomberg1bp=0.01% :2016/6/3(%)(bp)(bp)(bp)4.704584562977.656086093355.143703782773.68222232218

()()()()()

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#IND>18)>HE00H0A0DXEM(20160411)ADOLLDMP

4

: Bloomberg 2016/6/3 5 3.8 6 2 MSCIMSCI

(%)

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

: Bloomberg 2016/6/3 6 11 10 (%)

1.70$1.1367$48.62106.530.068$124494.03

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

6

: Bloomberg 2016/6/3 ==225= (%)

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

7

(4.2%)(2.5%) 6 MSCI A 7 3.34 %

(-3.8%)

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

8

Bloomberg

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#WFII

9

()Bloomberg : 2016/6/3()

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#BLP WEEKLY REPORT :>

10

()Bloomberg : 2016/6/3()

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#6/6() 4 -0.5%1.9%6/7() GDP 1.5%1.5% 4 0.7%-1.3%6.5%6.5%6/8() GDP 2.0%1.7% 4 ()2.312.98 5 -4.2%-1.8% 5 -6.8%-10.9%6/9() 4 0.1%0.1% 5 CPI 2.3%2.3% 5 PPI -3.1%-3.4%6/10() 6 94.094.7 5 M2 12.5%12.8%11.0%11.0%

: Bloomberg 5

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

12

5 3.8 3 11.6 12 8 6 5 6 2 106.53 105 4 6 8 OPEC 50

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

13

(60%)5 6 6 2019 10 5 200 2015 - 20 6.5 5 180 OPEC(40%) 6 12 2 21% 12%

(2016/6/6)

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

OPEC ( OPEC ) 2 OPEC 50 5 5 3.8 6 16 34 5.95 4.7% 0.2% 2.5% 3 8 TLTRO 22 0.1% 0.2%2017 2018 1.3% 1.6% 1.6% 3 1.4% 1.7%

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

15

8% 10% 2017 4 2019 10 2

GDP 7.9% 7.2%

GDP 0.3% 0.8% 5.4% 1.1%

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

16

5 92.696.194.7 4 0.4%0.4%0.4% 4 1.0%0.7%0.0% 4 PCE 1.6%1.6%1.6% 5 ISM 51.350.550.8 5 ISM 52.955.355.7 4 -1.8%0.6%1.5% 5 ADP 17.317.316.6 5 3.816.012.3 5 4.7%4.9%5.0% 5 -7.0-7.0-7.0 5 CPI -0.1%-0.1%-0.2% 4 10.2%10.2%10.2% 5 PMI 51.551.551.5 ()0.0%0.0%0.0% 4 0.0%0.4%-0.6%

: Bloomberg

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

17

4 -0.8%-1.2%-1.1% 4 3.2%3.2%3.2% 4 0.3%-1.5%3.8% 5 PMI 47.7--48.2 5 PMI50.150.050.1 5 PMI49.249.249.4 5 PMI50.7--50.5 GDP 7.9%7.5%7.2% GDP -5.4%-5.9%-5.9% 5 FGV IGPM 0.82%0.74%0.33% 4 11.2%11.1%10.9% 4 0.1%-0.9%1.4% 5 PMI41.6--42.6 5 PMI49.648.548.0

: Bloomberg

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

18

(%)MSCI1678.580.15 2.15 4.39 -0.96 0.95 -4.65 2099.130.00 2.04 4.96 0.36 2.70 0.30 1164.141.19 4.43 7.60 -1.63 2.49 -7.68 341.29-2.39 2.90 -0.15 -7.91 -6.70 -12.26 248.46-1.80 2.97 1.29 -5.85 -5.02 -7.70 22516642.23-1.14 3.32 -2.19 -14.67 -12.56 -18.66 4385.890.85 2.57 2.32 -8.69 -7.27 -11.75 2938.684.17 0.87 2.25 -16.63 -16.97 -41.50 MSCI816.180.98 1.35 3.19 0.48 2.78 -16.90 MSCI401.220.67 2.14 2.79 -1.69 -0.59 -17.77 MSCI269.60-0.57 -0.80 5.75 5.37 10.30 -12.47 MSCI2104.072.21 -2.48 3.16 7.78 14.99 -15.24 MSCI229.451.41 1.34 5.03 4.62 9.15 -14.07 Bloomberg126.870.79 0.63 1.22 4.06 3.76 5.17 Bloomberg136.280.40 0.49 2.02 3.65 3.51 4.06 Bloomberg143.840.88 0.54 4.95 5.80 6.06 5.92 Bloomberg151.180.52 0.57 7.73 5.50 8.36 0.44 Bloomberg156.890.23 0.89 7.47 5.52 8.49 0.14 Bloomberg165.940.34 0.56 4.89 1.83 4.14 1.55 ETF43.700.25 2.22 3.92 -2.25 0.97 -8.24 Bloomberg151.550.81 0.88 5.38 6.61 7.96 4.25 Bloomberg125.190.01 -2.09 1.87 2.35 2.75 0.16 Bloomberg160.170.06 0.32 3.69 7.61 8.00 6.08

Bloomberg 2016/6/3

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

19

(%)()MSCI195.73-0.74 0.96 7.23 3.60 9.75 -14.54 MSCI200.881.06 0.97 7.60 5.47 8.78 -12.10 MSCI92.55-1.13 2.12 3.60 -7.03 -4.61 -11.60 MSCI189.980.25 0.70 2.19 -4.34 -1.88 -4.33 MSCI219.391.02 1.43 3.85 5.27 5.27 9.77 MSCI199.940.34 1.19 4.37 2.35 4.24 -2.27 MSCI146.42-0.31 4.41 4.17 -3.55 0.03 -0.73 MSCI71.830.18 1.04 2.21 5.80 5.74 2.25 MSCI120.471.26 0.96 0.96 9.54 7.88 5.35 MSCI206.081.43 4.35 6.47 -0.97 -1.96 -5.69 NBI2947.032.07 10.23 6.99 -15.09 -16.76 -23.30 AMEX226.6113.95 0.20 31.78 86.60 103.82 42.04 REITsFTSE15721.760.94 -0.94 7.39 9.22 7.31 14.35 REITsFTSE1897.350.97 -1.71 6.06 8.39 6.03 13.99 REITsFTSE1426.53-2.51 1.75 6.20 -3.72 -1.88 0.82 REITsFTSE1733.182.68 0.36 7.67 19.68 17.26 18.10 (/)1244.202.58 -3.21 -1.00 14.70 17.45 6.37 (/)16.411.14 -5.97 5.05 15.31 18.64 2.75 (/)4688.00-0.15 -4.72 -3.44 2.90 -0.36 -22.01 (/)49.640.65 9.61 28.43 15.65 33.40 -21.45 (/)48.62-1.44 9.14 35.69 21.94 31.59 -17.57 CRB188.671.36 4.87 11.94 2.96 7.11 -15.22 894.962.22 4.98 13.10 6.49 8.61 0.88

: Bloomberg 2016/6/3

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

(%)1.13672.27 -0.46 3.06 4.74 4.50 0.53 106.533.43 0.60 6.56 15.86 12.90 16.91 1.4518-0.72 -0.32 0.81 -4.48 -2.41 -6.31 0.97591.89 -0.45 1.90 2.37 2.58 -5.07 1.29370.65 -0.41 2.47 4.14 6.77 -4.26 0.73672.58 -0.26 -1.63 1.10 0.84 -4.62 1183.61-0.37 -3.66 2.64 -1.61 -0.72 -6.68 32.5990-0.22 -1.26 1.43 0.56 0.81 -5.50 6.54920.25 -0.84 -0.22 -2.31 -0.85 -5.37 13595.00-0.06 -2.99 -2.67 1.84 1.42 -2.68 67.2600-0.34 -1.24 0.12 -0.89 -1.64 -4.99 35.36500.98 -0.66 0.19 1.51 1.92 -4.53 1.35731.61 0.22 1.47 3.53 4.43 -0.38 4.1450-1.64 -5.15 -0.25 1.94 3.60 -11.10 46.50700.32 0.92 1.19 1.44 0.86 -3.68 15.09314.04 -1.49 0.95 -3.77 2.38 -17.43 2.90241.97 0.66 0.28 0.16 0.30 -5.39 65.30470.96 0.74 8.83 5.73 10.41 -14.75 3.86252.14 0.51 1.68 3.14 1.44 -4.37 274.882.76 0.15 2.32 4.98 5.56 1.01 3.97591.92 -0.99 1.80 3.86 4.59 -0.51 3.52732.33 0.89 7.71 6.57 12.29 -11.16 18.5919-0.63 -4.09 -4.73 -9.35 -7.64 -16.11 13.85450.44 2.50 9.72 -29.85 -6.66 -35.00

: Bloomberg 2016/6/3

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

(%) () (bp)30 2.5097-13.7-14.8-14.8-54.5-50.6-59.3101.7004-15.1-9.6-13.3-61.3-56.9-66.4-0.09501.82.9-8.5-41.4-36.0-56.90.0680-7.0-13.2-10.1-59.8-56.1-81.40.4130-5.6-14.7-12.4-58.0-57.5-75.91.3330-2.2-12.3-8.9-31.0-26.3-84.81.4690-1.4-9.1-6.8-26.1-30.2-66.73.164011.87.517.167.264.828.93.13307.83.310.729.619.05.99.5600-43.010.0-88.0-66.0-118.042.08.98512.418.0-28.0-58.3-56.9-158.63.42003.012.013.04.09.0-12.09.1970-19.17.3-16.056.4-59.879.612.5850-45.612.2-265.4-305.4-392.714.76.13101.924.1-3.9-19.1-14.60.31.7370-3.8-5.8-13.8-52.8-34.8-69.37.85900.916.7-19.5-62.1-88.6-36.1*7.48401.34.2-17.8-22.9-27.7-26.1102.195012.139.026.2-46.1-30.5-62.7

: Bloomberg 2016/6/3

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

105008 (02)770-888886610 (04)3700-7988360171 (07)972-118839Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#