27
警警 警警警警警警警警警警警警警警警警警警警警警警 警警警警警警警警警警警警警警警警 :, Copyright © 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd. 1 2016/07/18

詹姆士看天下 2016/07/18

  • Upload
    ezfunds

  • View
    21.920

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

PowerPoint

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.2016/07/18

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

91.43103.6961.38

20082014-26.69% -5.61%-36.09% -7.28%-20.81% ---18.82%-5.58%-21.11% -12.76%-9.52% -5.56%

Bloomberg() 2016/6/30%54.9654.52104.74

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#G 64042

: Bloomberg 2016/7/15

3.364.277.00%%4.67

(%)

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#IND>IND>12)HE00H0A0DXEM(20160411)ADOL

3

Bloomberg1bp=0.01% :2016/7/15(%)(bp)(bp)(bp)4.274714342977.005885423354.673613382773.36222207207

()()()()()

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#IND>18)>HE00H0A0DXEM(20160411)ADOLLDMP

4

: Bloomberg 2016/7/15 6 S&P500 MSCIMSCI

(%)

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

: Bloomberg 2016/7/15 10 103.17%

(%)

1.551$1.1035$45.95104.880.006$1337.596.58-0.225 6

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

6

: Bloomberg 2016/7/15 ==225= (%)

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

7

(9.2%) APP LINE

(6.2%)

(6.0%) (5.3%) 8 3

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

8

Bloomberg

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#WFII

9

()Bloomberg : 2016/7/15()

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#BLP WEEKLY REPORT :>

10

()Bloomberg : 2016/7/15()

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#7/18() 7 NAHB 60607/19() 6 116.5116.4 7 ZEW 9.019.2 ()7.50%7.50%7/20() 7 -8.0-7.37/21() 6 548553 6 0.2%-0.2% ()0.00%0.00%6.50%6.50%7.00%7.00%(7/20-21) 14.25%14.25%7/22() 7 Markit PMI 51.551.3 7 Markit PMI 52.052.8 7 Markit PMI 53.454.5 7 PMI --48.1

: Bloomberg (PMI)

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

12

7/187/19IBMYahooNetflix7/207/21Biogen7/22AT&TVISAGE

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

6 10 LINE 9% 7 2

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

14

(60%) 6 S&P500 GDP 6.7%6 8 (GST)50(40%)

(2016/7/18)

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

6 6 0.6% 3 50.2% 0.5%5 6 0.6% 5 0.3% 11 6 CPI 2.3% 10 1.9%2%1.6%

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

16

14 8 1 0.5 3750 8

2

ISIS 84

GDP 26 2015 GDP 26.3 7.812.5 GDP 2.1

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

17

2 GDP 2 GDP 6.7% 1 6.6%6 10.6% 6.2% 9% 9.4%

12

LINE Line 3500 2200 3300 10.9

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#http://wealth.businessweekly.com.tw/GArticle.aspx?id=ARTL00006590818

15 300 1500 6000 Fethullah Gulen

13 Rodrigo Maia46Michel Temer

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

6 -1.9-1.2-3.6 6 NFIB 94.593.993.8 5 0.1%0.2%0.7% 6 0.6%0.1%0.2% 6 CPI 0.2%0.3%0.2%0.50%0.50%0.50% 5 -1.2%-0.8%1.4% 6 CPI 0.2%0.2%0.4%0.50%0.25%0.50% ()3750--3750 GDP -2.1%1.5%2.3%

: Bloomberg

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

20

5 -1.4%3.2%-11.0% 5 -2.6%---2.3% 6 M211.8%11.4%11.8% 6 -4.8%-5.0%-4.1% 6 -8.4%-6.2%-0.4% GDP 6.7%6.6%6.7% 6 6.2%5.9%6.0% 6 10.6%9.9%10.0% ()3.00%--3.25% (7)1.25%1.25%1.25% 6 1.7%0.8%0.7% ()3479.5126 4 9.3%9.9%10.1% 5 ()28.627.229.7

: Bloomberg

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

21

(%)MSCI1700.572.30 3.96 1.51 12.32 2.27 -4.51 2161.741.49 4.37 3.22 14.97 5.76 1.65 1205.312.37 5.29 5.80 19.61 6.11 -4.88 337.923.23 3.73 -1.82 2.82 -7.62 -16.70 237.493.99 0.77 -3.57 3.37 -9.22 -15.05 22516497.859.21 5.76 1.36 -2.70 -13.32 -20.11 4170.692.53 0.63 -2.85 -4.56 -11.82 -18.46 3054.302.22 5.86 0.68 4.82 -13.70 -22.82 MSCI867.844.71 7.64 2.86 23.38 9.28 -7.84 MSCI423.854.70 6.85 2.61 17.38 5.01 -7.41 MSCI275.864.50 4.69 -1.53 29.43 12.86 -9.77 MSCI2354.034.19 11.92 7.25 46.32 28.65 -3.87 MSCI240.945.17 7.69 0.77 34.83 14.62 -11.80 Bloomberg128.16-1.15 0.30 1.39 3.32 4.82 5.78 Bloomberg138.400.16 1.24 2.11 5.19 5.12 5.86 Bloomberg147.04-0.70 1.65 3.37 7.85 8.41 8.58 Bloomberg154.981.41 2.58 4.99 13.46 11.08 4.46 Bloomberg162.651.32 3.38 6.33 15.06 12.47 5.01 Bloomberg167.431.08 1.46 1.91 6.89 5.07 3.17 ETF45.011.47 3.42 4.00 10.92 4.00 -2.72 Bloomberg157.340.25 3.63 5.14 13.51 12.09 8.81 Bloomberg127.950.91 1.72 0.33 6.78 5.01 2.77 Bloomberg166.670.02 3.79 4.10 12.35 12.38 11.60

Bloomberg 2016/7/15

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

22

(%)()MSCI207.092.18 4.95 7.32 29.54 16.12 -3.88 MSCI209.374.74 5.91 4.65 29.13 13.38 -4.45 MSCI90.274.12 1.97 -2.01 4.86 -6.96 -15.49 MSCI189.992.29 2.75 -0.90 8.43 -1.87 -6.11 MSCI224.940.25 4.61 3.12 14.11 7.94 7.01 MSCI204.373.09 4.24 2.42 16.76 6.55 1.23 MSCI149.042.58 4.22 0.68 12.17 1.82 0.17 MSCI73.661.22 4.35 2.45 15.06 8.44 1.88 MSCI124.230.08 3.07 3.07 14.68 11.25 7.29 MSCI209.910.69 5.96 3.21 8.45 -0.14 -7.68 NBI2850.930.54 6.23 -4.35 -4.09 -19.48 -31.52 AMEX267.74-1.39 17.89 34.51 150.92 140.82 108.27 REITsFTSE16939.090.45 6.45 8.90 22.65 15.62 20.37 REITsFTSE2047.230.42 6.41 8.26 20.64 14.40 19.62 REITsFTSE1310.273.73 -3.20 -5.58 -1.10 -9.88 -15.32 REITsFTSE1831.92-0.67 5.30 6.09 30.79 23.95 25.12 (/)1337.50-2.11 2.63 8.17 22.44 25.61 17.52 (/)20.23-0.21 15.53 24.59 44.92 45.97 37.46 (/)4918.004.41 6.00 2.30 13.55 4.53 -11.08 (/)47.611.82 -3.03 11.12 67.01 27.90 -16.50 (/)45.951.19 -4.31 15.41 56.05 23.95 -9.79 CRB188.860.90 -1.83 8.47 18.08 7.22 -11.97 863.121.31 -4.06 3.66 6.64 4.75 -7.19

: Bloomberg 2016/7/15

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

(%)1.1035-0.14 -2.27 -2.26 1.51 1.80 2.14 104.88-4.32 -1.54 3.08 11.13 13.88 17.71 1.31921.84 -9.84 -7.19 -6.96 -10.07 -14.85 0.98270.06 -2.18 -1.95 2.22 1.89 -1.92 1.29740.54 -1.13 -1.30 12.41 6.84 0.32 0.75782.58 1.85 -2.00 10.62 4.24 3.03 1133.662.42 3.49 1.10 7.01 3.65 0.87 31.85401.39 1.81 1.50 5.67 3.16 -2.23 6.6935-0.04 -1.67 -3.26 -1.62 -2.99 -7.24 13096.000.64 1.98 0.63 6.22 5.28 1.91 67.07120.44 0.12 -0.64 0.80 -1.37 -5.44 34.98500.55 0.80 0.07 3.93 3.13 -1.33 1.3479-0.13 -0.26 0.35 6.91 5.34 1.80 3.94572.20 3.86 -1.08 11.43 8.83 -3.62 46.74000.93 -0.86 -1.31 2.23 0.35 -3.26 14.5736-0.25 3.06 0.65 17.17 7.43 -13.63 3.0157-4.27 -1.93 -4.17 2.45 -1.56 -8.94 63.68520.28 1.34 4.26 24.87 14.17 -10.32 4.0123-0.51 -3.00 -4.85 2.36 -1.95 -4.79 286.25-0.72 -3.04 -3.62 1.47 1.80 0.39 4.06070.49 -1.05 -2.31 2.80 2.80 0.63 3.28020.60 5.91 7.68 23.44 20.75 -4.27 18.6048-0.54 0.74 -5.85 -1.67 -7.08 -13.54 14.9388-1.55 -8.02 -5.99 -10.24 -13.44 -38.85

: Bloomberg 2016/7/15

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

(%) () (bp)30 2.265516.7-14.1-29.4-54.9-75.0-87.3101.550919.3-2.1-20.1-48.4-71.9-80.1-0.22505.7-4.6-11.0-44.6-49.0-68.10.006019.51.6-12.1-53.4-62.3-82.20.231012.8-17.0-24.0-64.2-75.7-90.61.25506.1-24.3-7.9-31.1-34.1-74.91.22708.0-33.4-27.0-52.5-54.4-78.73.13405.5-21.6-3.439.761.844.32.94406.2-33.2-2.4-4.00.1-7.59.0900-6.0-65.0-32.0-204.0-165.0-29.08.37740.6-29.0-85.6-213.4-117.7-228.22.7700-12.0-61.0-16.0-50.0-56.0-97.08.73802.6-39.0-27.8-100.4-105.758.211.9500-9.6-84.8-106.2-438.2-456.2-57.25.995014.6-10.518.6-23.9-28.23.51.39000.3-23.0-44.8-63.0-69.5-110.27.1550-22.1-48.9-25.9-139.1-159.0-112.4*7.2850-10.0-23.2-15.0-52.7-47.6-55.61.93203.9-19.321.8-55.0-56.8-89.0

: Bloomberg 2016/7/15 *

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#

105008 (02)770-888886610 (04)3700-7988360171 (07)972-118839Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.#