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Opportunities in the US
16896
24th April 2013
This communication is for professional advisers only and must not be relied
upon by retail clients. Circulation must be restricted accordingly.
Dan Harlow
Fund Manager
AXA Framlington American Growth Fund
US Investment Team
1 16896
The Investment Team Global sector specialists
Stephen Kelly
Lead Fund Manager
21 years’ experience managing US equities
Joined AXA Framlington and started managing
American Growth fund in March 1997
Previously on US Desk at Capel Cure Myers
BSc (Hons) Economics from Exeter University
Consumers
Isabel
Pajot
24 yrs’ experience
Commodities
Olivier Eugène
13 yrs’ experience
Industrials
Mark Hargraves
17 yrs’ experience
Healthcare
Gemma Game 11 yrs’ experience
Technology
Jeremy
Gleeson
15 yrs’ experience
Auto/Telecom/Utilities
Bruno Grandsard
11 yrs’ experience
Financials
Susan Sternglass Noble
26 yrs’ experience
Source: AXA IM as at 31/12/2012. Years relate to investment experience.
Dan Harlow
Fund Manager
Dan moved onto the US equity team in
November 2011, having previously co-managed
the UK small and mid cap mandates upon
joining AXA Framlington in February 2010
Previously with Montanaro Asset Management
for nine years as Head of UK fund management
BA (Hons) History and MSc International
Relations both from Southampton University
Growth cycle
Growth Screening
A systematic screening of the universe will help us identify strong growth candidates
“Blue Sky” Emerging Mainstream
Potential
opportunities
Executing on
opportunity
Mature Sales Growth
Time
Source: AXA IM. For illustration purposes only
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A data-point we pay close attention to: Senior Loan Officer Survey
Banks tightening C&I loans to large firms (%) vs Real GDP (Y/Y) – lagged three quarters
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
Tig
hte
nin
g -
in
vert
ed
R
eal G
DP
(Y/Y
)
6%
4%
2%
0%
-2%
-4%
-6%
Q2-9
2
Q2-9
3
Q2-9
5
Q2-9
4
Q2-9
6
Q2-9
7
Q2-9
9
Q2-9
8
Q2-0
0
Q2-0
1
Q2-0
2
Q2-0
3
Q2-0
4
Q2-0
5
Q2-0
6
Q2-0
7
Q2-0
8
Q2-0
9
Q2-1
0
Q2-1
1
Q2-1
2
Q2-9
1
Q2-9
0
Recession
Real GDP Y/Y
Banks tightening C&I loans to large firms (%) (left)
Source: Citi Research as at 21/12/2012.
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Architecture Billing Index – Best reading since November 2007
Source: AIA as at 19/02/2013
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North Dakota: The Economic Miracle State
Source: N.D. Department of Mineral Resources as at 17/12/2012.
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Natural gas pricing giving us a competitive advantage
Source: Federal Energy Regulatory Commission. Natural gas price in $US/MMBtu as at 07/09/2012.
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Re-made in the USA: Manufacturing renaissance
General Electric Buck Knives
Caterpillar Inc. Sleek Audio
Whirlpool Corp.
Otis Elevator
Ford
Source: AXA IM as at at December 2012.
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AXA Framlington American Growth Fund as at 31 March 2013
Source: AXA IM as at 31/03/2013 in GBP. Comparative benchmark = Russell 1000 Growth Index. *Note: the S&P 500 is not the current
benchmark of the Fund and is only used for illustrative purpose.
Sector – Fund against comparative benchmark Top ten holdings Fund %
Comparative
Benchmark %
Apple Inc. 4.2 5.4
Google Inc. Cl A 3.5 2.7
QUALCOMM Inc. 2.1 1.5
International Business Machines Corp. 1.9 3.0
Amazon.com Inc. 1.8 1.3
salesforce.com inc. 1.6 0.3
Cerner Corp. 1.6 0.2
Celgene Corp. 1.6 0.7
Edwards Lifesciences Corp. 1.6 0.1
ITC Holdings Corp. 1.6 0.1
TOTAL 21.4 15.2
Fund size (£m) 637.4
Number of holdings 77 % 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
ConsumerDiscretionary
ConsumerStaples
Energy
FinancialServices
Health Care
Industrials
Materials
Technology
Telecoms
Utilities
AXA FramlingtonAmerican Growth
Russell 1000 Growth
S&P 500*
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AXA Framlington American Growth Fund - Current active positions
Top ten underweight Top ten overweight
Source: AXA IM as at 31/03/2013. Comparative benchmark: Russell 1000 Growth.
Name Sub-sector Fund
Comparative
benchmark
ITC Holdings Corp. Electric Utilities 1.6 0.1
Quanta Services Inc. Construction & Engineering 1.5 0.0
Panera Bread Co. Cl AHotels, Restaurants &
Leisure1.5 0.1
Polaris Industries Inc.Leisure Equipment &
Products1.5 0.1
Tractor Supply Co. Specialty Retail 1.5 0.1
Edwards Lifesciences Corp.Health Care Equipment &
Supplies1.6 0.1
TransDigm Group Inc. Aerospace & Defense 1.5 0.1
National Oilwell Varco Inc.Energy Equipment &
Services1.5 0.1
Equinix Inc. Internet Software & Services 1.6 0.1
Kansas City Southern Road & Rail 1.5 0.1
Name Sub-sector Fund
Comparative
benchmark
Microsoft Corp. Software 0.0 2.8
Coca-Cola Co. Beverages 0.0 2.0
Philip Morris International
Inc.Tobacco 0.0 1.9
Verizon Communications
Inc.
Diversified
Telecommunication Services0.0 1.8
PepsiCo Inc. Beverages 0.0 1.6
Oracle Corp. Software 0.0 1.6
Home Depot Inc. Specialty Retail 0.0 1.4
McDonald's Corp.Hotels, Restaurants &
Leisure0.0 1.3
Schlumberger Ltd.Energy Equipment &
Services0.0 1.3
Wal-Mart Stores Inc. Food & Staples Retailing 0.0 1.3
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AXA Framlington American Growth Fund performance
Source: Graph – AXA IM, Lipper as at 31/03/2013, performance calculated net of fees, bid to bid, in GBP. Table: Lipper, Midday NAV,
Bid to Bid Net Income TR, Net Fees in GBP as at 31/03/2013. NB: Past performance is not a guide to future returns. *Fund launched
31/12/1992.
Net performance Since Launch*
Cumulative performance (net) 1 Yr 3 Yrs 5 Yrs 10 Yrs
AXA Framlington American Growth in GBP 7.2 36.4 75.8 117.8
IMA North America 17.9 33.0 61.8 101.9
Quartile (vs IMA North America) 4 2 1 2
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1st Sept 2012 – 28th Feb 2013:
Russell 1000 Growth underperforms Russell 1000 Value by 6.4%
Worst 6 month relative performance since 1H 2006
Source: Bloomberg as at 28/02/2013.
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S&P 500 Q1 2013 Sub-Sector Performance
4.2 4.2
8.2
9.6 10.0 10.1
10.9
11.8 11.8
13.8
15.2
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
Source: S&P as at 31/03/2013.
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US sector valuations
LHS source: Wells Fargo Securities. As at 28/3/13.
RHS source J.P.Morgan and DataStream. As at 04/04/13 :
Tech Valuations - Relative Price / 10-yr EPS Food Valuations – Packaged Food NTM P/E
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Important information
This communication is intended for Investment Professional use only and should not be relied upon by retail clients. Circulation must be restricted
accordingly. Any reproduction of this information, in whole or in part, is prohibited.
This communication does not constitute an offer to sell or buy any units in the Fund. Information relating to investments is based on research and analysis
undertaken or procured by AXA Investment Managers UK Limited for its own purposes and may have been made available to other members of the AXA
Investment Managers Group of Companies which, in turn, may have acted on it. Whilst every care is taken over these comments, no responsibility is accepted
for errors and omissions that may be contained therein. It is therefore not to be taken as a recommendation to enter into any investment transactions.
This communication should not be regarded as an offer, solicitation, invitation or recommendation to subscribe for any AXA service or product and is provided to
you for information purposes only. The views expressed do not constitute investment advice and do not necessarily represent the views of any company within
the AXA Investment Managers Group and may be subject to change without notice. No representation or warranty (including liability towards third parties),
express or implied, is made as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the information contained herein.
Information relating to investments may have been based on research and analysis undertaken or procured by AXA Framlington for its own purposes and may
have been made available to other expertises within the AXA Investment Managers Group, who in turn may have acted upon it. Information in this document may
be updated from time to time and may vary from previous or future published versions of this document.
Past performance is not a guide to future performance. The value of investments and the income from them can fluctuate and investors may not get back the
amount originally invested. Changes in exchange rates will affect the value of investments made overseas. Investments in newer markets and smaller
companies offer the possibility of higher returns but may also involve a higher degree of risk. An initial charge is usually made when you purchase units. Your
investment should be for the medium to long term i.e. typically 5-10 years.
AXA Framlington is an expertise of AXA Investment Managers UK Limited. Issued by AXA Investment Managers UK Limited which is authorised and regulated by
the Financial Conduct Authority. Registered in England and Wales No: 01431068 Registered Office: 7 Newgate Street, London EC1A 7NX. Telephone calls may
be recorded for quality assurance purposes. 16896 04/2013
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