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INTERIM REPORT | JANUARY-MARCH 2012 Per Lindberg, CEO and President, and Susanne Lithander, CFO | 26 April, 2012

Billerud Interim Report Q1 2012 presentation

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Billerud Interim Report Q1 2012 presentation

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Page 1: Billerud Interim Report Q1 2012 presentation

1

INTERIM REPORT | JANUARY-MARCH 2012

Per Lindberg, CEO and President, and Susanne Lithander, CFO | 26 April, 2012

Page 2: Billerud Interim Report Q1 2012 presentation

2

AGENDA

• Highlights

• Development by Business Area

• Financials

• Outlook

Page 3: Billerud Interim Report Q1 2012 presentation

3

HIGHLIGHTS IN Q1 2012

• Increase in net sales and sales volumes vs. Q4 2011

• Operating profit of MSEK 142, 6% operating margin

• Non-recurring costs of MSEK 14

• Price cuts halted ‒ ~2% lower prices in local currency for packaging paper

‒ ~25 USD/tonne price increase for NBSK pulp in Europe

• Price increases announced for sack and kraft papers

• Lower wood costs

Page 4: Billerud Interim Report Q1 2012 presentation

4

INCREASED SALES DUE TO HIGHER VOLUMES

+10%

NET SALES

2 086 2 291

0

500

1 000

1 500

2 000

2 500

Q4 -11 Q1 -12

Net

sal

es, M

SEK

SALES VOLUME

315 360

050

100150200250300350400

Q4 -11 Q1 -12

Sale

s vo

lum

e, k

tonn

es

+14%

Page 5: Billerud Interim Report Q1 2012 presentation

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PACKAGING & SPECIALITY PAPER Kraft & Sack Paper

PACKAGING BOARDS S/C Fluting, Liner, Liquid Board

MARKET PULP Nordic Bleached Softwood Kraft Pulp

BUSINESS AREAS & SEGMENTS

Note: Graph shows sales breakdown per business area for Q1 2012.

Page 6: Billerud Interim Report Q1 2012 presentation

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PACKAGING & SPECIALITY PAPER Market situation in Q1 2012

• Improved order situation vs. Q4 2011

• Sack paper had higher order levels than normal while kraft paper was at normal levels towards the end of Q1

• Price cuts halted

• 80 EUR/tonne in price increase announced from 1 June for sack and kraft papers

Page 7: Billerud Interim Report Q1 2012 presentation

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PACKAGING & SPECIALITY PAPER Financials – Q1 2012 vs. Q4 2011

• Operating profit up by MSEK 35

• Mainly due to higher sales volumes and lower variable costs

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

Q1 -11 Q2 -11 Q3 -11 Q4 -11 Q1 - 12

Ope

ratin

g pr

ofit,

MS

EK

Q1 -12 Q4 -11 Q1 -11 FY 2011

Net sales, MSEK 1,091 941 1,217 4,293

Operating profit, MSEK 100 65 140 450

Operating margin, % 9 7 12 10

Page 8: Billerud Interim Report Q1 2012 presentation

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PACKAGING BOARDS Market situation in Q1 2012

• Somewhat improved order situation ‒ Slightly lower levels than normal

• Price cuts halted

Page 9: Billerud Interim Report Q1 2012 presentation

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PACKAGING BOARDS Financials – Q1 2012 vs. Q4 2011

• Operating profit down by MSEK 4

• Lower prices were partly offset by higher sales volumes and lower costs

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

Q1 -11 Q2 -11 Q3 -11 Q4 -11 Q1 - 12

Ope

ratin

g pr

ofit,

MS

EK

Q1 -12 Q4 -11 Q1 -11 FY 2011

Net sales, MSEK 663 644 728 2,772

Operating profit, MSEK 56 60 97 370

Operating margin, % 8 9 13 13

Page 10: Billerud Interim Report Q1 2012 presentation

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MARKET PULP Market situation in Q1 2012

• Pulp market improved vs. Q4 2011

• Price increased to ~850 USD/tonne at end of Q1 2012 from ~825 USD/tonne at end of Q4 2011

• Price increase to 870 USD/tonne announced for April

Page 11: Billerud Interim Report Q1 2012 presentation

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MARKET PULP Financials – Q1 2012 vs. Q4 2011

• Operating profit improved by MSEK 8

• Higher sales volumes and lower fixed costs compensated for lower prices

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

Q1 -11 Q2 -11 Q3 -11 Q4 -11 Q1 -12

Ope

ratin

g pr

ofit,

MS

EK

Q1 -12 Q4 -11 Q1 -11 FY 2011

Net sales, MSEK 436 416 436 1,752

Operating profit, MSEK -16 -24 38 64

Operating margin, % -4 -6 9 4

Page 12: Billerud Interim Report Q1 2012 presentation

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Q1 2012 IN SUM

• 10% increase in net sales due to higher sales volumes (vs. Q4 2011)

• Operating profit of MSEK 142, 6% operating margin

• Non-recurring costs of MSEK 14

• Price cuts halted

• Price increases announced for sack and kraft papers

• Lower wood costs

• Closing of the deal with UPM-Kymmene anticipated to take place in Q2 2012

Page 13: Billerud Interim Report Q1 2012 presentation

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FINANCIAL INFORMATION

Page 14: Billerud Interim Report Q1 2012 presentation

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QUARTERLY KEY FIGURES

Q1 -12 Q4 -11 Q1 -11

Net sales, MSEK 2,291 2,086 2,547

Operating profit, MSEK 142 75 332

Operating margin 6% 4% 13%

Profit/share, SEK 0.94 0.44 2.28

Net debt/equity ratio -0.04 -0.05 0.05

Sales volume (ktonnes) 360 315 369

Page 15: Billerud Interim Report Q1 2012 presentation

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OPERATING PROFIT BRIDGE Q1 2012 vs. Q4 2011

* Includes product mix.

75

142+69

-56

-24

+37

+41 0

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

Operatingprofit

Q4 2011

Sales &productionvolumes*

Selling prices(in respective

sales currency)

Effects ofexchange ratefluctuations,incl. hedging

Change invariable costs

Change infixed costs

Change indepreciation

Operatingprofit

Q1 2012

MS

EK

Page 16: Billerud Interim Report Q1 2012 presentation

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CASH FLOW GENERATION FROM OPERATION

1) Minus equals increase in net debt

MSEK Q1 -12

Q4 -11

Q1 -11

Operating surplus, etc 298 238 481

Change in working capital, etc. 22 48 -301

Net financial items, taxes, etc. -202 -12 -181

Cash flow from operating activities 118 274 -1

Current net investments -155 -178 -82

Operating cash flow -37 96 -83

Page 17: Billerud Interim Report Q1 2012 presentation

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WORKING CAPITAL KEY RATIOS

Overdue Days sales outstanding WC as % of quarterly sales

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

DSO

day

s

0,0

1,0

2,0

3,0

4,0

5,0

6,0%

of t

otal

rece

ivab

les

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Wor

king

cap

ital (

excl

. IAS

)/qua

rtely

net

turn

over

Page 18: Billerud Interim Report Q1 2012 presentation

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80

100

120

140

160

2004 Q4 -05

Q4 -06

Q4 -07

Q4 -08

Q4 -09

Q4 -10

Q4 -11

80120160200240280

2004 Q4 -05

Q4 -06

Q4 -07

Q4 -08

Q4 -09

Q4 -10

Q4 -11

Electricity index (Sweden*) Wood price index

Source: Nordpool. *Price area Sweden Source: Billerud

MARKET PRICES AFFECTING RESULT

Page 19: Billerud Interim Report Q1 2012 presentation

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MARKET PRICES AFFECTING RESULT

550600650700750800850900950

1 0001 050

2004 Q4 -05

Q4 -06

Q4 -07

Q4 -08

Q4 -09

Q4 -10

Q4 -11

9497

100103106109112115118

2004 Q4 -05

Q4 -06

Q4 -07

Q4 -08

Q4 -09

Q4 -10

Q4 -11

Market pulp (USD/t) TCW index*

Note: Average price for the quarter Source: Riksbanken *Total Competitiveness Weights Index

Page 20: Billerud Interim Report Q1 2012 presentation

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CURRENCY SITUATION

Average hedged currency rates (share of net flow)

Q2 -12 Q3 -12 Q4 -12 Q1 -13 Total 12 months

9.19 9.16 9.10 8,99 9.15

(83%) (65%) (41%) (14%) (50%)

6.74 6.81 6.88 6.82 6.79

(84%) (57%) (38%) (16%) (49%)

10.58 10.68 10.74 10.71 10.65

(83%) (62%) (36%) (16%) (49%)

Note: Data in table and graph are as of 31 March 2012. *As of 31 March 2012.

• Profit effect of net flow hedging MSEK 44 (99) for Q1 2012

• Market value of outstanding contracts not relating to trade receivable was MSEK 38*

Hedge level 12 months forward:

49%

49%

50%

GBP

USD

EUR

Page 21: Billerud Interim Report Q1 2012 presentation

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OUTLOOK

Page 22: Billerud Interim Report Q1 2012 presentation

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OUTLOOK

• The market shows signs of an upturn during the second quarter.

• The order situation in the packaging paper segments improved in the first quarter, compared to the previous one, and had at the beginning of the second quarter on average returned to normal levels. It is anticipated that the order situation will remain good in the next quarter.

• Price cuts in the packaging paper segments halted during the quarter.

• Price rises have during the quarter been announced in certain product categories and a price increase of 8-10% for sack and kraft paper was announced after the end of the quarter, to take effect on 1 June 2012.

Page 23: Billerud Interim Report Q1 2012 presentation

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OUTLOOK CONT.

• Acquisition-related non-recurring costs will be charged to results in the quarter in which the acquisition of UPM-Kymmene’s packaging paper business will be completed. These costs are estimated to an additional approximately SEK 15 million. Added to this figure will be non-recurring costs, already disclosed, estimated at approximately SEK 22 million to separate off the business acquired. The costs will accrue over the three remaining quarters of the year.

• Wood prices are anticipated to be lower in 2012 than in 2011.

Page 24: Billerud Interim Report Q1 2012 presentation

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Q&A

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