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Johan Engström, Volvo Technology
Transportforum, Linköping 2011-01-13
Zombies i trafiken: Effekter av
kognitiv distraktion på
körprestatation och olycksrisk
Driver distraction
•Currently hot topic
–On top of the road safety agenda in the
US (see distraction.gov)
–Mobile phone debate in Sweden
•Recent NHTSA statistics
–16% of fatal crashes and 20% of injury
crashes involved reports of distracted
driving (DOT HS 811 379)
What is driver distraction?
•Two m
ain types
–Visual: Diversion of visual attention and gaze
•Examples: Radio tuning, phone dialling, text messaging,
looking at roadside events
–Cognitive: Diversion of non-visual attention
•Examples: Daydreaming, phone/passenger conversation,
speech interface control
(US-EU Focus Group on Driver Distraction, Berlin, April, 2010)
Effects of visual distraction (VTTI CVO study)
(Hanowski et al, in review)
Cognitive distraction –inconsistent results!
•Experimental studies
–Delayed event detection/response (Horrey and W
ickens, 2005; Caird et al., 2004)
•However
–Many studies used artificial stim
uli (e.g. PDT) (e.g. Swedish Mobile Phone Investigation, P
atten et
al., 2003)
–Effect in lead vehicle braking studies depends on initial time headway (Engström, 2010)
–No effect when brake lights are turned off (Muttart et al., 2007)
–Lateral control
•Impairment found for artificial tracking/driving tasks (Briem and Hedman, 1995; Strayer et
al., 2001; Creem and Profitt, 2001; Just, Keller and Cynkar; 2008)
•Improvement during cognitive task operation found for norm
al lane keeping perform
ance
(Östlund et al., 2004; T
örnros and Bolling, 2005; Engström et al., 2005; Jamson and
Merat, 2005; Mattes, Föhl and Schindhelm, 2007; Merat and Jamson, 2008).
•Crash risk
–Epidemiological studies: 4 times higher crash risk for mobile phone conversation
(Redelmeier and Tibshirami, 1997; McE
voy et al., 2005)
–Naturalistic driving: No increased crash/near crash risk (Dingus et al., 2006) or
lower risk (Olson et. al. 2009) for mobile phone conversation
”Standard” inform
ation processing bottleneck m
odels
(Pashler and Johnston, 1998; Salvucci and Taatgen, 2007)
•General prediction: C
ognitive distraction -> general slow down in
cognitive functioning -> general impairment in driving (slower
response, impaired lateral control)
•Inconsistent w
ith the data!
Perception
Cognition
(bottleneck)
Response
Visual
Auditory
Manual
Vocal
A possible alternative explanation: The zombie
hypothesis
”Zombie” behaviour (Koch, 2004)
•The application of routine, overlearned and automated,
unconscious
•The ”default” case in everyday driving
•Includes basic actions (e.g., looking, braking, turning) as
well as more complex sequences of actions (e.g.,
negotiating intersections, overtaking)
•Driven top-down by contextual cues
•Fast but inflexible and stereotyped
•May involve im
plicit learning
Cognitive control
•May override zombie behaviour when needed/desired
•Deployed in novel or difficult situations that require
flexibility, or when one is m
otivated to optim
ise
perform
ance
•Effortful and associated with conscious awareness
•Example:
–Stroop task: Green, Blue, Red
–Crossing the street in the UK
A m
odel (Norm
an and Shallice,1986; Miller and Cohen,
2001; Engström, Markkula and Victor, 2010)
Schemata
Environment
Sensing
Actuation
Schemata
Basic
Task context
Cognitive control
Schemata
Task context
Top-down
Bottom-up
•Task context and
basic schemata
•Related schemata
may compete for
activation
•Schemata selected
top-down
(proactively) and/or
bottom-up
(reactively)
•Two types of top-
down selection
–Context-driven
(automatic,
unconscious,
inflexible)
–Cognitive control
(effortful, conscious
”Zombie
system”
The zombie hypothesis
•Cognitive distraction
involves working m
emory
load
•Working m
emory requires
cognitive control to sustain
activation of schemata in
the absence of stimulus
input
•Lack of cognitive control
to other tasks -> zombie
behaviour
Environment
Sensing
Actuation
Lane keeing
Cognitive control
Schemata
”Zombie
system”
Phone
conversation
Predictions
•General:
–Cognitive distraction leads to zombie behaviour (stereotyped, inflexible,
but still efficient in routine situations)
–Cognitive distraction affects only non-routine (non-zombie) behaviours –
i.e., those that rely on cognitive control
•Specific:
–Intact perform
ance
•Norm
al lane keeping
•Basic avoidance responses to closing objects (looming)
•Basic visual orientation to salient objects
•Context-driven im
plicit learning
–Im
paired perform
ance
•Novel/difficult lateral control tasks
•Fast braking responses to brake lights
•Utilisation of non-routine predictive cues
•Semantic interpretation and encoding
•Flexible adaptation
Evidence
•Left intact
–Norm
al lane keeping (Östlund et al., 2004; Törnros and Bolling, 2005; Engström
et al., 2005; Jamson and M
erat, 2005; Mattes, Föhl and Schindhelm, 2007; Merat
and Jamson, 2008)
–Basic avoidance responses to closing objects (looming) (M
uttart et al., 2007;
Engström et al., in prep)
–Basic visual orientation to salient objects (Strayer et al., 2003; Engström et al., in
prep)
–Context-driven im
plicit learning (Chun and Jiang, 1998; Engström et al., 2010)
•Im
paired
–Novel/difficult lateral control tasks (Briem and Hedman, 1995; Strayer et al.,
2001; Creem and Profitt, 2001)
–Speeded braking responses to brake lights (Alm & Nilsson, 1995; Brookhuis, de
Vries & de W
ard, 1991; Lee et al., 2001; Salvucci and Beltowska, 2008; Strayer,
Drews & Johnston. 2003; Strayer & Drews, 2004; Engström, Ljung Aust and
Viström, 2010)
–Utilisation of non-routine predictive cues (M
uttart et al., 2007; Baumann et al.,
2007)
–Semantic interpretation and encoding (Strayer et al., 2003; Engström et al, 2010)
–Flexible adaptation (Engström et al., in prep)
Example data: Glances to oncoming car
0
0,51
1,52
2,53
3,5
12
34
56
Scenario exposure
Number of glances to car
No load
WM load
0
0,51
1,52
2,53
12
34
56
Exposure
Mean glance duration to car
No load
WM load
Number of glances towards car
Mean duration of glances towards car
Implicit learning (”crude adaptation”)
Flexible adaptation only for
non-loaded drivers
Zombie behaviour
Flexible adaptation
Zombie learning
-0,4
-0,20
0,2
0,4
0,6
0,81
1,2
12
34
56
Scenario exposure
Brake response time
No load
WM load
Example data: Brake onset tim
e
Zombie
response
Flexible adaptation
No loadW
M load
Example data: Anticipatory braking
65
43
21
rep
0,40
0,30
0,20
0,10
0,00
Proportion of
anticipatory
braking (before event
onset)
Zombie response
Flexible adaptation
No load
WM load
Example data: Visual response time for first exposure
10
WM
0,80
0,60
0,40
0,20
0,00
Mean RT
WM load
No load
Does cognitive distraction increase crash risk?
•At least not through delayed last-second avoidance
responses or impaired lane keeping
•However, m
ay contribute to the development of critical
situations when zombie behaviour is insufficient to deal
with the situation
•This would not be expected to show up in current
naturalistic data analyses –only analysed 5 seconds
prior to the event
•May explain discrepancy between naturalistic and
epidemiological studies…
Conclusions
•Cognitive distraction affects some aspects of driving
perform
ance but leave others intact
•Zombie hypothesis: Should only affect non-routine
activities
•Generally supported by existing data
•Further experimental w
ork is needed to further validate
the hypothesis