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Who is FAKE? Discover Astroturfing or Attempts of Fake Influence! Lutz Finger Soumitra Dutta MiningData.biz

Who is fake discover astroturfing or attempts of fake influence presentation

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Who is Fake? Discover Astroturfing or Attempts of Fake Influence!

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Page 1: Who is fake  discover astroturfing or attempts of fake influence  presentation

Who is FAKE?��

Discover Astroturfing or Attempts of Fake Influence!�

��

Lutz Finger � Soumitra Dutta�MiningData.biz �

Page 2: Who is fake  discover astroturfing or attempts of fake influence  presentation
Page 3: Who is fake  discover astroturfing or attempts of fake influence  presentation
Page 4: Who is fake  discover astroturfing or attempts of fake influence  presentation
Page 5: Who is fake  discover astroturfing or attempts of fake influence  presentation
Page 6: Who is fake  discover astroturfing or attempts of fake influence  presentation
Page 7: Who is fake  discover astroturfing or attempts of fake influence  presentation

An Army of Bots�

$ 2.76 million

Page 8: Who is fake  discover astroturfing or attempts of fake influence  presentation

The Social Net �

Page 9: Who is fake  discover astroturfing or attempts of fake influence  presentation

The Social Net �

Page 10: Who is fake  discover astroturfing or attempts of fake influence  presentation

The Analytics�

Page 11: Who is fake  discover astroturfing or attempts of fake influence  presentation

The Problem�

Page 12: Who is fake  discover astroturfing or attempts of fake influence  presentation

ANY measurement (if useful)

Will be ATTACKED.

Page 13: Who is fake  discover astroturfing or attempts of fake influence  presentation

Mass Movement �

•  Reach •  Intention •  Ease of Action

Page 14: Who is fake  discover astroturfing or attempts of fake influence  presentation

Mass Movement �

•  Reach •  Intention •  Ease of Action

Page 15: Who is fake  discover astroturfing or attempts of fake influence  presentation

Mass Movement �Astroturf�

•  Reach •  Intention •  Ease of Action

Page 16: Who is fake  discover astroturfing or attempts of fake influence  presentation

Bots 1.0 – Spammer going Social �@you malware.com @you-as-well malware.com D fresh-contact malware.com

Page 17: Who is fake  discover astroturfing or attempts of fake influence  presentation

Bots 1.0 – Spammer going Social �

10.000 messages in 4 month

@PeaceKaren

_25  

Jacob  Ratkiewicz  et.  al    -­‐  2011  

Page 18: Who is fake  discover astroturfing or attempts of fake influence  presentation

10.000 messages in 4 month

Bots 1.0 – Spammer going Social �

@PeaceKaren

_25  

Jacob  Ratkiewicz  et.  al    -­‐  2011  

Page 19: Who is fake  discover astroturfing or attempts of fake influence  presentation

Look for Un-Normal �Training: •  @spam •  Manual classification •  Honey Pots

Page 20: Who is fake  discover astroturfing or attempts of fake influence  presentation

Look for Un-Normal �

Differences: •  Time: Regular or Bursty •  Heavy Hashtag Usage •  Blacklisted URL •  Spam Words •  Few Friends

Grier  et  al.  2010        (Berkeley)  

Training: •  @spam •  Manual classification •  Honey Pots

Page 21: Who is fake  discover astroturfing or attempts of fake influence  presentation

Thus Social Networks acted…. �

Page 22: Who is fake  discover astroturfing or attempts of fake influence  presentation

Thus Social Networks acted…. �

2013

7% SPAM

2012 2011

20% detection

Page 23: Who is fake  discover astroturfing or attempts of fake influence  presentation

Detected but still Dangerous�

SMEAR Campaigns

Denial of INFORMATION

Page 24: Who is fake  discover astroturfing or attempts of fake influence  presentation

Bot 2.0 – Social Bots�

Analytics Tools Conversation Bots

Page 25: Who is fake  discover astroturfing or attempts of fake influence  presentation

More Human�

Social Friend @JamesMTitus

Page 26: Who is fake  discover astroturfing or attempts of fake influence  presentation

More Human�

Social Friend @JamesMTitus

Page 27: Who is fake  discover astroturfing or attempts of fake influence  presentation

More Human�

Social Friend @JamesMTitus

Knowledge Lajello

Page 28: Who is fake  discover astroturfing or attempts of fake influence  presentation

More Human�

Silent Influencer @Al_AGW

Social Friend @JamesMTitus

Knowledge Lajello

Page 29: Who is fake  discover astroturfing or attempts of fake influence  presentation

Can Bots do Astroturfing?�

Page 30: Who is fake  discover astroturfing or attempts of fake influence  presentation

Can Bots do Astroturfing?�

•  Reach •  Intention •  Ease of Action

Page 31: Who is fake  discover astroturfing or attempts of fake influence  presentation

Can Bots do Astroturfing?�

INTENTION / INFLUENCE •  Opinion leaders (Katz 1955) •  Influentials (Merton 1968) •  Mavens & connectors (Gladwell 2000)

•  Reach •  Intention •  Ease of Action

Page 32: Who is fake  discover astroturfing or attempts of fake influence  presentation

Can Bots do Astroturfing?�

To create Intention Is not easy

•  Reach •  Intention •  Ease of Action

Page 33: Who is fake  discover astroturfing or attempts of fake influence  presentation

Can Bots do Astroturfing?�

Readiness Multiple Sources Topic Dependence

•  Reach •  Intention •  Ease of Action

To create Intention Is not easy

Page 34: Who is fake  discover astroturfing or attempts of fake influence  presentation

But it is NOT impossible�

Page 35: Who is fake  discover astroturfing or attempts of fake influence  presentation

But it is NOT impossible�Arjun  M

ukherjee  et.al.    

Page 36: Who is fake  discover astroturfing or attempts of fake influence  presentation

Influence the News�50%

Page 37: Who is fake  discover astroturfing or attempts of fake influence  presentation

Influence the News�50%

55%

Page 38: Who is fake  discover astroturfing or attempts of fake influence  presentation

Influence the News�

0   20.000   40.000   60.000   80.000   100.000   120.000  

N  Korean  leader  Kim  Jong-­‐il  dies  

AnMmaNer  atom  trapped  for  first  Mme,  say  scienMsts    

Neutrinos  beat  light  speed  again  

Earth-­‐like  planet  found  in  the  "habitable  zone"  

No  rhinos  remain  in  West  Africa  

Eurozone  debt  web:  Who  owes  what  to  whom?  

Writer  Christopher  Hitchens  dies  

BBC  apology  for  Clarkson  comments  

'Witch's  coNage'  found  in  Pendle  

In  pictures:  ApocalypMc  Manchester  

Social  Media  Index  

Clicking  Sharing  CommenMng  

50%

on  the  courtesy  of      

55%

Page 39: Who is fake  discover astroturfing or attempts of fake influence  presentation

Truth about the Truth�

Page 40: Who is fake  discover astroturfing or attempts of fake influence  presentation

Thus how to spot them?�INDIVIDUAL

•  Not ‘loud’ •  Might be human •  Missing trainings data

Page 41: Who is fake  discover astroturfing or attempts of fake influence  presentation

Thus how to spot them?�

GROUP

•  Similarity of group •  Description, Focus,

Tweets…

INDIVIDUAL

•  Not ‘loud’ •  Might be human •  Missing trainings data

Page 42: Who is fake  discover astroturfing or attempts of fake influence  presentation

Outlook �

• Arm’s length Race • Verification

• Avoid Training Spammer • The New Gatekeeper

Page 43: Who is fake  discover astroturfing or attempts of fake influence  presentation

Thanks�

MiningData.Biz

LutzFinger.com SoumitraDutta.com�