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Offshore Wind Technical Progress海上风电技术进展September 20112011 年 9 月
Experts in renewable energy可再生能源专家
Onshore & Offshore Wind
陆上和海上风电
Wave & Tidal
海浪能和潮汐能
Solar PV & CSP
太阳能光伏以及 集
热发电
Geographical reach地理范围
• 750 staff, in 42 locations, across 23 countries全球 23 个国家, 42 家分公司, 750 名员工
BristolDublin
Glasgow
Vancouver
Ottawa
Portland
San Diego
Montreal
Peterborough
Austin
Monterrey
Porto Alegre
Santiago
Beijing
Seoul
Tokyo
Shanghai
Mumbai
Bangalore
Newcastle
Melbourne
Wellington
HeerenveenSint Maarten Kaiser-Wilhelm- Koog
Paris
IzmirCairo
CopenhagenHinnerupOldenburgHamburgWarsaw
Lisbon Barcelona ZaragozaMadrid
Imola
LondonSlough
GLGH Offshore Milestones加勒德哈森公司海上风电技术大事记
• First offshore work 1989
1989 年第一个海上项目• First major offshore wind farm project commenced in 1997 1997 年第一个大型海上风电场项目• Over 350 separate renewable energy project assignments
completed in the last 10 years 过去 10 年间,完成了超过 350 个再生能源项目• Responsible for the project management of the largest
offshore wind farm in the world (Thanet) 承担世界上最大海上风电场项目的管理工作( Thane
t )• Measurements completed for offshore projects in the Irish Sea,
North Sea and Baltic Sea 完成了爱尔兰海、北海以及波罗的海的海上项目测
量工作• Procurement Management for the Dudgeon Offshore wind farm
(500MW) 承担 Dudgeon 海上风电场( 500MW )的采购管理工
作• Project Management for the Borkum West II Offshore Project
(200MW) 承担 Borkum West 海上项目二期工程( 200MW )的
管理工作
• Over 100 staff and consultants working on offshore wind farm projects
超过 100 名员工和顾问负责海上风电场项目• Met platforms: Rhyl, Arklow, FINO - platforms and
RAVE Met 平台: Rhyl, Arklow, FINO – 平台以及
RAVE Met • Revolutionised the modelling of offshore O&M 变革海上风电场的运行和维护模式
GLGH in China加勒德哈森公司在中国• Established office in Beijing in 2005
2005 年成立北京办事处
• Currently have 20 staff working from offices in Beijing and Shanghai
目前,北京和上海的办事处拥有 20 名员工
• Multiple onshore and offshore wind turbine design contracts
提供多种形式的陆上和海上风电机组设计
• Energy production assessments on over 4.5GW of proposed wind farms
可对超过 4.5GW 的拟建风电场提供发电量估
• Conducted technical due diligence on numerous mainstream Chinese wind turbine models
竭尽所能,针对中国主流的风电机组型号,进行技术研发
• Technical advisor for several international banks and lending agencies considering equity investment in the Chinese value chain
为几大国际银行和贷款机构考虑投资中国的价值链提供技术咨询
• Industry analyses on the Chinese wind market
对中国的风电市场进行行业分析
• Extensive sales of GLGH’s wind farm and wind turbine design software packages
风电场和风机设计软件包销售
• Since 2008 have been supplying GH SCADA systems to operating wind farms for analysis and reporting on wind farm dynamics
自 2008 年以来,向中国市场提供加勒德哈森公司的 SCADA 系统,用于分析风电场动态以及出具报告。
We have come a long way in the last 10 years…过去 10 年,我们成绩斐然
40MW
2001: Middlegrunden ( 丹麦 ) 2011: Borkum West 二期项目 ( 德国 )
Capacity
装机容量200MW
WTG Capacity
风力发电机组单机容量2MW 5MW
Distance from Shore
离岸距离~3km ~45km
Water Depth
水深~5m ~30m
Foundation Concept
基础概念 Gravity重力
Tripod
Export Concept
输出概念MV AC HVDC
高压直流Offshore Substation ?
是否建有海上变电站 ?
NO否
Yes是
O&M Strategy
运行和维护策略Workboats
工作船Helicopters
直升飞机
资本成本之演变
Bubble area represents project capacity
Sheringham Shoal
Rhyl FlatsRobin Rigg
Alpha Ventus
Horns Rev II
Gunfleet Phase I
Gunfleet Phase II
Greater Gabbard
Thanet
LID
Samsø
Nysted
Horns Rev
North Hoyle
Scroby Sands
Kentish FlatsBarrow
Egmond
Lillgrund
Princess Amalia (Q7)
Thornton Bank
0
1
2
3
4
2000 2005 2010
Year (main contracts signed)
Proj
ect C
apEx
(£
M /
MW
)
Contracted (Pre 2009 Budget)
Under Construction
Operational
Strengthening
onshore demand
Early
Competition
(and losses)
NEG Micon
Merger
V90 Sales
Suspension
WTG EBIT
Shift
Sterling
Collapse
EPC
Withdrawal
GE
Withdrawal
Commodities
PeakVessels
Crunch
a perfect storm ?
Evolution of Operational Costs运营成本之演变
* Total OPEX represents total operational expenditure incurred by the project owner, including non-technical cost centres such as insurances and administration.
运营总成本表示项目所有者发生的全部运营费用,包括:非技术成本中心,例如,保险和管理费用等
Industry Phase行业周期
Total OpEx*
( €k / WTG / annum)运营总成本
( €k / 风力发电机 / 年 )Comments评价
Low 低 High高
Round 1第一轮 80 170
Lower end represents early aggressive bidding.Upper end represents readjusted pricing小数表示早期的激进的投标行为。大数表示重调价格。
Round 2第二轮 170 500
Lower end represents lean bidding on an accessible site.Upper end represents high spec bids for challenging sites 小数表示,为那些容易得到的场址给出的竞价。大数表示,为了得到具有挑战性的场址,而给出更高的竞价
Round 3第三轮 500 700
Speculative increase on basis of changing project demands.在项目需求有变的情况下,投机行为增多
Wind Resource – Recommended approaches风能 – 推荐的方法
Site sc
reen
ing
Ope
ratio
nal a
sses
smen
t
运行
评估
Feasib
ility s
tudy
Scoping
EIS s
ubm
issio
n
Building
conse
nt
Start build
Commissioning
End of warra
nty
EO
dat
a EO
数据
Pub
. stu
dies
民意
调查
Rea
naly
sis
重新
分析
Coa
stal
met
Rem
ote
offs
hore
mea
s.远
程海
上测
量
Mes
o-m
odel
s
Ons
ite L
IDA
R现
场LI
DAR
Ons
ite b
uoy
现场
航标
Ons
ite m
ast
现场
测风
塔
质保期结束试运行
开工建设
同意建设
提交EIS
审查
可行性研究选址
Energy U
ncertainty
能量不确定性
Wind Resource – Recommended approachesEarly Stages: Earth Observation Data风能 – 推荐的方法早期 : 野外观测数据
θ
λw
λr
λr = 2n λw sin θ
• Wind speed derived from radar images of sea surface (Scatterometer)
海平面雷达影像(散射仪)提供的风速• Steepness of capillary “wind waves” derived
from resonant backscatter 共振反向散射仪提供的风浪陡度• Empirical relationship applied to obtain
mean wind speed (at 10m asl) 采用经验关系获取平均风速( 10m asl )
Wind Resource – Recommended approachesOffshore Met Mast风能 – 推荐的方法海上 Met 测风塔
• Typically arrangement: lattice tower mounted on steel monopiles• 典型的安装方式 :将测风塔安装在钢质单管桩上• High quality instrumentation
• 高质量的 检测仪器
Onsite measurements
Best accuracy
Reduced reliance on models
High (developmental) cost
现场测量 最好的准确度 减少对模型的依赖 成本高(开发成本)
Impact of Metocean ConditionsMetocean 条件的影响Outputs Used for…► Operational conditions
► Normal water levels Design assumptions► Joint wind and wave frequency tables (“4d”) Fatigue load calculations► Exceedance statistics (wind, wave and current) Installation / O&M planning► Persistence statistics (wind and wave) Installation / O&M planning
产出 用于…
► 运行条件
► 正常水位 设计假设
► 风浪频率联合表 (“4d”) 疲劳载荷计算
► 超越统计 ( 风、浪和流 t) 安装 / 运行和维护规划
► 持续统计 ( 风和浪 ) 安装 / 运行和维护规划Extreme conditions
► Extreme winds Extreme load calculations► Extreme wave Extreme load calculations
Design assumptions► Extreme water levels Extreme load calculations
Design assumptions
► 极端条件
► 极端风 极限载荷计算
► 极端浪 极限载荷计算
设计假设
► 极端水位 极限载荷计算
设计假设
Impact of Seabed Geology海底地质的影响
Drawing it all together - The Design Basis将如下内容结合在一起—设计依据
Design Basis设计依据
MetoceanReport
Metocean报告
WindReport
风资源报告
GeotechnicalInterpretation地质说明
GeotechnicalFactual地质情况
IndustryStandards行业标准
WTG Design 风力发电机设计
Foundation / Substructure
Design 地基 /
下部结构设计
Certification认证
Iterative design – loads loop 迭代设计 – 载荷回路
www.gl-garradhassan.com
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