11

1. 2.

(Macro-

1.

2.

(Macroeconomy)

(Economic Growth)

(Full Employment)

3.

4. (Income Distribution)

(Economic Stability)

GDP

(Poverty)

2

1. (Absolute poverty) (bare

(bare subsistence)

(poverty line)

(poverty line)2. (Relative poverty)

/

(Poverty line)

:

/

-

, calorie/day 2546

()

Region 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004

Bangkok 1,105 1,227 1,346 1,502 1,696 1,736 1,801 1,853

Central 760 854 894 1,013 1,211 1,211 1,277 1,339

North 652 737 767 874 1,023 1,019 1,078 1,131

North - east 560 667 707 811 998 993 1,040 1,078

South 644 724 778 897 1,033 1,034 1,096 1,164

Thailand 692 790 838 953 1,130 1,135 1,190 1,242

(Poverty Incidence)

100

P = (Np/N) x 100p

P P = Np = N = N

..2550

: .. 2550 , .

() 2531-2550

: .. 2550 , .

-

5 2543, 2545 2547, 2549 2550

(% ) (% )2543 2545 2547 2549 2550

1

(60.6)

(46.4) (36.9) (52.5) (65.2)

2

(57.8) (44.2) (34.3)

(30.7) (28.7)

3(51.6) (42.2)

(33.4) (27.1)

(28.1)

4(46.9) (42.1) (33.4) (26.0) (20.3)

5

5(46.6) (38.6)

(32.9) (25.1) (20.0)

..2549-2552

: (2553)

(80% 7 ) /

:

( + )

(Income distribution)

(perfect l )

equality)

(perfect inequality)

??

% %

20% 10,000 10,000/ 274,000 = 3.6% 3.6 %

20% 24,000 8.8 % 12.4 %

20% 50,000 18.2 % 30.6 %

20% 80 000 29 2 % 59 8 % 20% 80,000 29.2 % 59.8 %

20% 110,000 40.2 % 100 %

274,000 100 % -

Lorenz curve

: /

(0 100 %) :

u

a

l

i

t

y

Line of perfect in

e

q

(Gini Coefficient) (Gini Coefficient)

Gini coefficient

= Area AA (A B)

AArea (A+B)

B

Gini Coeff. = 0 Gini Coeff. = 1

Gini

: : .

(Social Mobility): /

The Kuznets Hypothesis

Simon Kuznets

Kuznets CurveKuznets Curve

-

- 4

4

-

- -

: :

: -

:

:

:

:

3

1 (Liberalism)

1. (Liberalism)

2. (Popularism)

3. (Welfare State)

1.

- ( ) )

1. Trickle-down Effects

//

/

1.

-

(General Survey Mission) .

-

- 2501 2540 .. 2501 .. 2540

1.

- 7.2 ()

.. 2539-

-

1.

- -

- (Unbalanced

D l t)Development)-

2.

2.

... (.. )

2518-2519)

2,500

/ /

2.

... .. 2544

Dual-Track Economy () ()

2.

., 30

, 30 (Quasi-fiscal policy)

CEO SML CEO SML

2.

- -

(M l h d) (Moral hazard)- -

-

2.

39

2.

2.

41

3.

-

-

- (Social Capitals) -

3.

-

(

( .. )

- 2 - ()

-

3.

-

( 2.3 GDP 2549)

)-

-

3. --

. ( )

).

. . (social safetynet) net)

3

-

-

-

-

- -

- (Micro-Finance)

- -

-

-