แผนอนุรักษ์พลังงาน 20 ปี

20 (.. 2554 - 2573)

2554

1

20 (Highlights)

1) (energy intensity) 25% 2573 2548 (final energy) 20% 2573 30,000 (ktoe)

2) (13,400 ktoe 2573) (11,300 ktoe 2573)

3) Energy Elasticity ( GDP) 20 0.98 0.7 20

4) 14,500 ktoe 272,000 CO2 49

5) .. 2535 .. 2550 (Standard Offer Program SOP)

6) (market transformation) /

7) (Energy Efficiency Resource Standard EERS)

8) SMEs Standard Offer Program (SOP) Energy Efficiency Resource Standard (EERS)

9)

10)

2

1. 2 (1)

(2) .. 2535 5 3 () 2550 2573 (.. 2030) 20 (2554-2573) 2

(1) 5 20

(2) (1)

2.

20 (.. 2533-2553) 4.4 2.3 2533 4.5 GDP 3.0 3.7 2533

3

20 (Business-as-usual, BAU) 71,000 ktoe () 151,000 ktoe 2.1 3.9 GDP 4.2

2550 (..2007) (Energy Intensity) (GDP) 25 2573 (.. 2030) 2548 (.. 2005) 2548 16.2 ktoe () GDP ( 2531 .. 1988) 2573 12.1 ktoe GDP (final energy) 121,000 ktoe ( 4.2 ) (Business-as-usual, BAU) 30,000 ktoe 20

-

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

(kto

e)

31,000

71,000

151,000

41%

31%

10%

14%4%

36%

35%8%15%6%

29%37%5%6%23%

BAU

1990-2010 2010-2030

4.4% 3.9%GDP 4.5% 4.2% 0.9% 0.3%

4

/ 3 36,450 ktoe 2573 22 (saving per sector) 2573 1 80 69

1 2573

(ktoe)

()

(ktoe) (GWh)

(ktoe)

16,250 - 16,250 13,400 44.7 10,950 33,500 13,790 11,300 37.7 -

410

27,420

2,740

2,300

7.6

- 1,690 23,220 3,670 3,000 10.0 29,300 84,140 36,450 30,000 100.0

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

2010 2030

20

(kto

e)

ktoe151,000EI2005 = 16.2 ktoe/billion baht

EI2030 = 12.1

(EE Plan)

121,000

30,000(20% BAU)

-25%

71,000

(BAU)

5

3.0 2573 1.7 energy elasticity 20 0.71 20 0.98

3.

50,000

60,000

70,000

80,000

90,000

100,000

110,000

120,000

130,000

140,000

150,000

160,000

2011 2015 2020 2025 2030

(BAU)

(EE Plan)

(kto

e)

6

(market transformation)

(public-private partnership)

/

(ESCO)

5

16

(1) 4

(1.1) ... .. 2550

(1.2) (mandatory labeling) /

(1.3) (minimum energy performance standards MEPS) /

7

(1.4) (Energy Efficiency Resources Standards EERS) () SMEs

(2) 5 (2.1) (voluntary

agreement) /

(2.2) /

(2.3) (mass transit) Logistics

(2.4) () (DSM bidding) () / peak load SMEs Standard Offer Program (SOP)

(2.5) (ESCO) ( ESCO fund)

(3) 3 (3.1)

(eco-driving)

(3.2) (low carbon society low carbon economy)

8

(3.3)

(4) 2 (4.1)

/

(4.2) (deployment)

(5) 2 (5.1)

(5.2) /

4.

(CO2) 20 2573 289,000 ktoe 14,500 ktoe CO2 976 49 5.4 272,000 ( 2) 5 (BAU) 1,000 ktoe, 1,940 ktoe, 2,910 ktoe, 3,930 ktoe 5,040 ktoe 14,830 ktoe ( 11,950 ktoe

9

33,900 GWh) 2,960 ktoe 278,540 55,700 CO2 50 10

2

(ktoe)

CO2

()

()

5 20 5 20 5 20 1,300 6,400 4 20 28,700 141,000 1,120 5,500 4 17 17,900 87,000 -

220

1,100

1

6

3,800

20,000

-

320 1,500 1 6 5,300 24,000

2,960 14,500 10 49 55,700 272,000

5. 5 5

29,500 5,900 20,000 ( 68) 3,000 ( 10) 1,500 ( 5) 3,500 ( 12) 1,500 ( 5) () 11,000 9,500 4,000 5,000 2,000-6,000 toe ()

10

20,000 . (68%)

3,500 . (12%)

1,500 .

(5%)

1,500 .

(5%)

3,000 .

(10%)

5 29,500

( 5,900 ./)

9,500 .

(32%)

11,000 .

(37%)

4,000 .(14%)

5,000 .

(17%)

5 29,500

( 5,900 ./)

11

6.

( 6)

(1)

(2) rolling plan 3-5

(3)

(4) / ESCO

(5)

(6) (less energy-intensive) ()

20

(.. 2554 - 2573)

1 1 1-1

1.1 1-1 1.2 20 (.. 2554-2573) 1-2

2 2-1 2.1 2-1 2.2 2-3 2.3 2-4

3 3-1 3.1 3-3 3.2 3-10

4 20 (.. 2554-2573) 4-1 4.1 4-1 4.2 4-2 4.3 4-4 4.4 4-16

5 5 (.. 2554-2558) 5-1 5.1 5-1 5.2 5-2 5.3 5-21 5.4 5-23

6 6-1 6.1 6-1 6.2 6-6

-1 20 -1

3.1 2552 3-3 3.2 2552 3-4 3.3 2550 3-5 3.4 (Net Consumption) 3-6 3.5 LPG 2550 3-7 3.6 3-11 3.7 3-12 3.8 3-12 3.9 3-13 3.10 3-14 3.11 3-14 3.12 3-15 3.13 3-16 3.14 3-16 3.15 3-17 3.16 3-17 3.17 2573 3-18 4.1 2573 4-1 4.2 (Cross-sector) 4-8 4.3 4-11 4.4 4-12 4.5 4-13 4.6 4-14 4.7 20 4-16 5.1 5-1 5.2 5 5-3 5.3 5 5-23 6.1 20 (.. 2554-2573) 6-1

2.1 .. 2533-2553 2-1 2.2 .. 2529-2553 2-2 2.3 2-2 2.4 (BAU) 2-3 2.5 .. 2553-2573 2-4 3.1 3-1 3.2 2573 (.. 2030) 3-2 4.1 4-2 5.1 5-22 5.2 5-22

1-1

1

1.1

(Low-carbon energy system)

.. 2535 3 5 ... / (ESCO)

1-2

20 () 2550 2573 (.. 2030) 20 2

(1) 5 20

(2)

1.2 20 (.. 2554-2573)

(.) (JGSEE) 17 .. 2553 ( ) 20 (. ) (. ) ( )

3

20

1-3 5

(.) (.) (.) 20 5 () () () () 767 20 18 2554

2-1

2

2.1

20 .. 2533 2553 4.4 2553 (final energy) 2.32 2533 71,000 (ktoe) 4.5 * (energy elasticity) 0.98 2553 3.71 3.0 2533 2.36 ( 2.1)

2.1 .. 2533-2553 *

(GDP)

GDP( 2531)

100 236

100 300

100 152

100 220

2553 2533

100 232

100 371

2-2

(energy intensity) GDP 20 .. 2548-2551 ( 2.2) ( 2.3)

2.2 .. 2529-2553

2.3 (: GDP World Resources Institute)

10.0

11.0

12.0

13.0

14.0

15.0

16.0

17.0

2530 2535 2540 2545 2550

(ktoe

/

G

DP)

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

(ktoe

/milli

on U

SD G

DP at

cons

tant 2

000 p

rices

)

1990 2005

2-3 2.2

20 (base case) GDP ( 2531) 4.2 0.3 ( BAU) 151,000 ktoe 2.1 3.9 ( 2.4) (energy elasticity) 0.93 ( 2.4) 2.5

2.4 (BAU)

-

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

(kto

e)

31,000

71,000

151,000

41%

31%

10%

14%4%

36%

35%8%15%6%

29%37%5%6%23%

1990-2010 2010-2030 4.4% 3.9%GDP 4.5% 4.2% 0.9% 0.3%

2-4

2.5 .. 2553-2573 2.3

(1)

(2) (1)

GDP( 2531)

100 217

100 245

100 196

100 188

2553 2533

100 213

100 262

2553 2573

2-5

(3)

(4)

(5)

80 90 70 (carbon footprint)

3-1

3

5 2 (1) (2) (International Energy Agency, IEA) 50 2573 (.. 2030) ( 3.1)

3.1 [1]

26

28

30

32

34

36

38

40

42

2007 2015 2020 2025 2030

Gt

2010

Efficiency 65 57

End-use 59 52

Power plants 6 5

Renewables 18 20

Biofuels 1 3Nuclear 13 10

CCS 3 10

Share of abatement %2020 2030

3.8 Gt13.8 Gt

Reference Scenario

450 Scenario

3-2

() (Sydney Declaration) 2550 (Energy Intensity) (GDP) 25 2573 (.. 2030) 2548 (.. 2005)

2548 16.2 ktoe () GDP ( 2531 .. 1988) 2573 12.1 ktoe GDP (final energy) 121,000 ktoe ( 4.2 ) (Business-as-usual, BAU) 30,000 ktoe 20 ( 3.2)

3.2 2573 (.. 2030) (EI = Energy Intensity)

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

2010 2030

(kto

e)

ktoe151,000EI2005 = 16.2 ktoe/billion baht

EI2030 = 12.1

(EE Plan)

121,000

30,000(20% BAU)

-25%

71,000

(BAU)

3-3

3.1 2552

94 3.1 3.1 2552 [2]

(ktoe)

()

24,132 36 23,798 36 15,029 22 3,739 6

66,339 100

3 3.1.1

5

84 2552 3.2

3-4 3.2 2552 [2]

(ktoe)

()

7,406 31 7,282 31 2,439 10 1,836 8 1,030 4 3,202 16

23,195 100

(Specific energy consumption, SEC) SEC (Best practice) () SEC 20 2573 2573

3.1.2

2

(1) (2)

8 2550 3.3

3-5 3.3 2550 [3,4]

(GWh )

()

7,139 37 2,351 12 2,351 12 2,339 12 1,303 7 1,172 6 1,102 6 1,365 8

19,125 100

(Reference) (Building energy code, BEC) BEC 3

(1) HEPS (High Energy Performance Standard)

(2) Econ (Economic building)

(3) ZEB (Zero Energy Building)

(envelope) /

3-6

3.4 (ZEB) 1/4 1/3 3.4 (Net Consumption)

(kWh/m2-y)

Reference BEC HEPS Econ ZEB 219 171 141 82 57 308 231 194 146 112 370 298 266 161 126 271 199 160 116 97 256 211 198 132 95 244 195 168 115 81 102 85 72 58 39 182 134 110 66 53

(LPG) LPG 2550 3.5

3-7 3.5 LPG 2550 [5]

LPG (ktoe)

()

31 12 72 28 91 36 32 13 10 4 8 3 6 3 3 1

254 100

LPG

/ 5

1) 2) (VCD)

(DVD) 3)

4)

5)

3-8 2573

3.1.3

3 (1)

(2) (3)

2 (1) (2) 2573

(1) (2) (Fuel economy) () Fuel economy 20 2573

70 2573 70 2573 60 [6]

(on-road vehicles) (eco-driving) (idling stop)

3-9 5 Eco-driving 10 ( 5-10 [7])

2.8 5.5 3.1 10 [8]

2 (.) [9] (BRT) [10] [11]

(Travel Demand Management, TDM) [12] TDM 3 (1) (Vehicle Occupancy) (2) (3)

(Park-and-ride)

3-10

(Road pricing) /

(TDM) () (Accessibility) 3.2 3.2.1

3.6

13,790 ktoe 22 2573 (BAU) 5,370 ktoe 28 2,500 2,110 1,370 ktoe 300 ktoe 15 5 22 2,140 ktoe

3-11 3.6

2573 BAU

(ktoe)1

2573

(ktoe)

BAU

() 19,510 2,500 13 19,260 5,370 28 4,830 2,110 44 6,460 1,370 21 2,700 300 11 2 9,940 2,140 22

62,700 13,790 22 : 1 2 3.2.2

3.7 3.8 LPG 354 ktoe

3-12 3.7

2573 BAU (GWh)

2573

(GWh)

2573

(GWh)

()

11,211 4,178 7,033 26 8,466 4,372 4,094 15 3,265 1,401 1,864 7 7,366 3,197 4,169 15 1,931 907 1,024 4 2,163 1,228 935 3 12,947 6,150 6,797 25 2,356 857 1,499 5

49,705 22,289 27,416 100 3.8

2030 BAU

(ktoe)

(ktoe)

2573

(ktoe)

()

LPG 831 477 354 87 118 67 51 13

949 544 405 100

3.9 3.10

(1) 36 30 30

3-13

(2) 10 1 90

(3) 80 (4) EER 8 EER 13 33

EER 11 EER 13 15 (Solar Cooling) 50

(5) (Heat Pump) 100

3.9

2573 BAU (GWh)

()

2573

(GWh)

2573

(ktoe) 5,222 30 1,573 134 1,596 90 1,450 124 320 80 257 22 25,901 50 13,325 1,135 6,614 100 6,614 564

23,219 1,978 : 1 GWh = 0.08521 ktoe

49 65 2573 2573 2573 25 30 2573 3.10

3-14 3.10

()

2573 BAU

2573

(ktoe)

(106 kg LPG)

3,538 49% 65% 829 967

(106 kg)

8,173 25% 30% 1,061 725

1,693 : 1) 106 kg LPG = 1.1669 ktoe, 106 kg = 0.68364 ktoe 2) 2573

2573

3.11 6,410 ktoe 3.11

2573

(ktoe)

()

2,335 37 405 6

1,978 31 1,693 26

6,411 100

3-15 3.2.3

16,250 ktoe

35 2573 12,470 ktoe 77 2,770 ktoe 17 (TDM) 1,010 ktoe 6 3.12

3.12

2573

(ktoe)

(%)

12,470 77

2,770 17 (TDM) 1,010 6

16,250 100

8,413 ktoe

3.13 (on-road vehicles) 4,053 ktoe 3.14 (eco-driving) (idling stop)

3-16 3.13

Fuel economy

[13] (./)

Fuel economy

(./)

2573

(ktoe) 11.4 14.3 1,357 10.9 13.6 2,399 3.2 4.0 99 3.6 4.5 46 3.8 4.8 1,722 28.7 95.8 2,791

8,413

3.14

Fuel economy

1 (./)

Fuel economy

(./)

2573

(ktoe) 11.52 12.80 1,229 11.06 12.29 1,603 3.52 3.91 104 4.28 4.75 28 3.80 4.22 1,089

4,053 : 1

(mode shift)

2,770 ktoe 348 ktoe 2,422 ktoe 3.15

3-17 3.15

[8]

(MJ/-.)

[14,15]

2573* ()

2573** ()

(ktoe)

2.5 87.5% 85.0% 73.2% 2,422 0.75 2.6% 5.2% 17.0% 0.25 9.8% 9.8% 9.8%

: * ** [14, 15]

(TDM)

() 1,010 ktoe ( 3.16)

3.16

[8]

(MJ/-.)

[9]

2573 [9] ()

2573 ()

(ktoe)

2.2 39.6% 48.0% 35.3% 1,010

0.9* 15.0% 12.8% 9.7%

0.8 41.6% 32.9% 28.2%

0.25 3.7% 6.2% 26.8%

: *

3-18 3.2.4

2573 3 36,450 ktoe

16,250 ktoe 13,790 ktoe 6,410 ktoe ( 2,740 ktoe 3,670 ktoe) ( 3.17) 3.17 2573

(ktoe)

()

16,250 44 13,790 38 6,410 18

36,450 100

3-19

[1] IEA (International Energy Agency) (2009), World Energy Outlook 2009, DECD/IEA, Paris [2] (2552), 2552 [3] (2553), 2545-2550 [4] (2553), 2545-2552 [5] (2550), 2550 [6] Weinert J., Ogden J., Sperling D., Burke A. (2008), The future of electric two-wheelers

and electric vehicles in China, Energy Policy 36, pp.2544 2555 [7] IEA (International Energy Agency) (2010), Transport Energy Efficiency, pp. 37 [8] IEA (International Energy Agency), Energy Technology Perspectives 2006 [9] (2553),

, [10] (2552),

(BRT) ,

[11] (2550), ,

[12] Meyer, M. (1997), A Toolbox for Alleviating Traffic Congestion and Enhancing Mobility, Institute of Transportation Engineers, Washington D.C.

[13] (2551), ,

[14] (2549), ,

[15] (2553), ( 1),

4-1

4 20 (.. 2554-2573)

4.1 2 (1)

() (Energy Intensity, EI) (GDP) 25% 2573 (.. 2030) 2548 (.. 2005) (final energy) 20 2573 (BAU) 30,000 ktoe

(2) 3 36,450 ktoe (1) 22

2

4.1

4.1 2573

(ktoe)

()

(ktoe) (GWh)

(ktoe)

16,250 - 16,250 13,400 44.7 10,950 33,500 13,790 11,300 37.7 -

410

27,420

2,740

2,300

7.6

- 1,690 23,220 3,670 3,000 10.0 29,300 84,140 36,450 30,000 100.0

4-2

3.0 2573 1.7 ( 4.1) energy elasticity 20 0.71 20 0.98

4.1 4.2

50,000

60,000

70,000

80,000

90,000

100,000

110,000

120,000

130,000

140,000

150,000

160,000

2011 2015 2020 2025 2030

(BAU)

(EE Plan)

(kto

e)

4-3

1

2 (market transformation)

3 (public-private partnership)

4 /

5 (ESCO)

6

4-4 4.3

4.3.1

5

16

1 2 3 4 5

(1) 4

(1.1) ... .. 2550

(1.2) (mandatory labeling) /

4-5

(1.3) (minimum energy performance standards MEPS) /

(1.4) (Energy Efficiency Resources Standards EERS) ( ) (SMEs)

(2) 5 (2.1) (voluntary

agreement) /

(2.2) /

(2.3) (mass transit) Logistics

(2.4) () (DSM bidding) () / peak load (SMEs) Standard Offer Program (SOP)

(2.5) (ESCO) ( ESCO fund)

4-6

(3) 3 (3.1)

(eco-driving)

(3.2) (low carbon society low carbon economy)

(3.3)

(4) 2 (4.1)

/

(4.2) (deployment)

(5) 2

(5.1)

(5.2) /

4-7 4.3.2

20 3

(.. 2554-2558) (.. 2559-2563) (.. 2564-2573) 4.2-4.6

4-8

: / () / / ()

4.2 (Cross-sector) / ( ..)

2554-2558 2559-2563 2564-2573 (1) 1.1 ...

... .. 2550 ... .. 2550 ( /

/)

1.2 (mandatory labeling) /

1.3 (Minimum Energy Performance Standard, MEPS) /

1.4 Energy Efficiency Resource Standard (EERS) EERS EERS

(2) 2.1 (voluntary agreement)

/ 2.2

4-9

: / () / / ()

/ ( ..) 2554-2558 2559-2563 2564-2573

/ (High efficiency performance standard, HEPS)

/ HEPS, carbon footprint ISO 50001 2.3

(DSM bidding)

/ peak load / Standard Offer Program (SOP)

2.4 (ESCO) ESCO Fund

(3) 3.1

(HEPS, eco-points, ISO50001) ( )

3.2 (low carbon society low carbon economy)

4-10

: / () / / ()

/ ( ..) 2554-2558 2559-2563 2564-2573

3.3

(4) 4.1

(roadmap) /

4.2 /

(5) 5.1

/ ESCO

5.2 / /

4-11

: / () / / ()

4.3 / ( ..)

2554-2558 2559-2563 2564-2573 (1) 1.1

(SEC) (2) 2.1 (Benchmarking) (SEC)

SEC SEC (3) 3.1

4-12

: / () / / ()

4.4 / ( ..)

2554-2558 2559-2563 2564-2573 (1) 1.1

.. 2552 1.2

(2) 2.1

(3) 3.1

( ) (4) 4.1

4-13

: / () / / ()

4.5 / ( ..)

2554-2558 2559-2563 2564-2573 (1) 1.1

1.2 /

/ CFL

(2) 2.1 /

/ LED Heat pump

2.2

4-14

: / () / / ()

4.6 / ( ..)

2554-2558 2559-2563 2564-2573 (1) 1.1

1.2

(2) 2.1

2.2 (mass transit) Logistics

(Bus Rapid Transit, BRT)

(TDM) road-pricing

(3) 3.1 (eco-driving)

/

4-15

: / () / / ()

/ ( ..) 2554-2558 2559-2563 2564-2573

3.2 Eco-car

3.3 (sustainable transport system)

(Non-motorized transport, NMT)

(4) 4.1

4.2

4-16

4.4

(CO2) 20 2573 289,000 ktoe 14,500 ktoe CO2 976 49 5.4 272,000 ( 4.7) 4.7 20

(ktoe)

CO2

()

()

6,400 20 141,000 5,500 17 87,000 -

1,100

6

20,000

- 1,500 6 24,000 14,500 49 272,000

5-1

5 5 (.. 2554-2558)

5 (.. 2554-2558) 5 5

5.1

5 1,000 ktoe () 80 ( 5.1)

5.1

2554 2555 2556 2557 2558 (GWh) 915 1,777 2,670 3,597 4,612

(ktoe) 299 580 872 1,175 1,506 (ktoe) 377 731 1,100 1,482 1,899

- (GWh) 734 1,424 2,140 2,884 3,697

(ktoe) 11 21 32 43 55 (ktoe) 74 142 214 289 370

-

(GWh) 637 1,237 1,859 2,505 3,212 (ktoe) 52 102 153 206 264 (ktoe) 106 207 311 419 538

(GWh) - - - - - (ktoe) 443 861 1,293 1,743 2,235 (ktoe) 443 861 1,293 1,743 2,235

(ktoe) 1,000 1,942 2,913 3,932 5,041

5-2 5.2

5 (Cross-sector) 5.2

5-3

5.2 5

(Cross-sector) ... ... .. 2550 /

...

... .. 2550 / ... 2550 /

... 2550

(mandatory labeling) /

5-4

/

//

//

(Minimum Energy Performance Standard, MEPS) (MEPS) / ...

/

MEPS

Energy Efficiency Resource Standard (EERS) EERS ... .. 2550

5-5

EERS

( 3 )

(voluntary agreement) / / /

/ DSM Bidding Standard

Offer Program (SOP)

/ (HEPS) / /

/ /

/ //

5-6

/ HEPS, Carbon footprint ISO50001 / (HEPS), Carbon footprint ,

(ISO50001) (HEPS), carbon footprint,

(ISO50001) /

(rebate) (DSM bidding)

/

Standard Offer Program (SOP) / peak load / Standard Offer Program (SOP) SMEs

/ peak load

5-7

/ SOP ESCO

SOP (ESCO) ESCO Fund (ESCO) ESCO 2 ( 2 500 )

ESCO

(HEPS, eco-points, ISO50001) /

(HEPS)

(carbon footprint) (ISO 50001) (eco-points)

( )

5-8

(low carbon society low carbon economy) (low carbon society low carbon economy)

5-9

/

/

(roadmap) (/)

Technology Roadmap (cross-cutting industrial

equipment) /

5-10

(Combined Heat and Power, CHP) (

) / (industry-

specific) Specific energy consumption (SEC) SMEs

/

/

(clusters) (/)

5-11

/ / (clusters) (/)

/ ESCO

5-12

ESCO (rating)

ESCO

/ / /

(Benchmarking) (SEC) SEC SEC (Specific energy consumption, SEC)

SEC SEC SEC

5-13

Benchmarking

/

-

..2552 .. 2552

3

5-14

/

( ) /

.. 2552 3

5-15

-

/ / / CFL LED

Heat pump /

/

5-16

(.)

NGO ...

5-17

(Mean) (Minimum Energy Performance Standard, MEPS) 5 - 7 MEPS

(High energy performance standard, HEPS)

(HEPS)

HEPS

HEPS HEPS MEPS

(mass transit) Logistics

5-18

(Bus Rapid Transit, BRT)

(mass transit) (BRT)

-

(TDM) road-pricing

(TDM)

(road-pricing) / TDM

/

(eco-driving) / /

/

5-19

Eco-car

(sustainable transport system)

(walking street) ( )

(Non-motorized transport)

(Non-motorized transport, NMT)

5-21 5.3

5

29,500 5,900 20,000 ( 68) 3,000 ( 10) 1,500 ( 5) 3,500 ( 12) 1,500 ( 5) ( 5.1) () 11,000 9,500 4,000 5,000 ( 5.2) 2,000-6,000 toe ()

5-22

5.1

5.2

20,000 . (68%)

3,500 . (12%)

1,500 .

(5%)

1,500 .

(5%)

3,000 .

(10%)

5 29,500

( 5,900 ./)

9,500 .

(32%)

11,000 .

(37%)

4,000 .(14%)

5,000 .

(17%)

5 29,500

( 5,900 ./)

5-23 5.4

5

(CO2) 5 2558 14,830 ktoe ( 11,950 ktoe 33,900 GWh) 2,960 ktoe CO2 50 10 278,540 55,700 ( 5.3)

5.3 5

(ktoe)

CO2

()

()

1,300 4 28,700 1,120 4 17,900 -

220

1

3,800

- 320 1 5,300 2,960 10 55,700

6-1

6

6.1 20 (.. 2554-2573)

2573 (.. 2030) 6.1

6.1 20 (.. 2554-2573)

(Cross-sector) (1)

1.1 ...

1.2 (mandatory labeling)

1.3 (minimum energy performance standards, MEPS)

1.4 Energy Efficiency Resource Standard (EERS)

(2) 2.1

(voluntary agreement) /

6-2 2.2

2.3

/ ESCO

2.4 (ESCO)

ESCO

(3) 3.1

3.2 (low carbon society low carbon economy)

() /

3.3

()

(4) 4.1

/

6-3 4.2

/

(5) 5.1

5.2 /

(1)

1.1

/

(2) 2.1 (Benchmarking)

(SEC) /

(3) 3.1

/

6-4

- (1)

1.1

1.2

(2) 2.1

(3) 3.1

(4) 4.1

- (1)

1.1

1.2 /

(2) 2.1 /

/

2.2

/

6-5

(1)

1.1

1.2

(2) 2.1

2.2 (mass transit) Logistics

(3) 3.1

(eco-driving)

3.2

3.3

6-6

(sustainable transport system)

(4) 4.1

4.2

1) ()

2) ()

6.2

(1)

(2) rolling plan 3-5

6-7

(3)

(4)

/ ESCO

(5)

(6) (less energy-intensive)

-2

..

.. .. . . ..

.

.

-1

20

FINAL_EE20Y_Cover_page_20110624FINAL_EE20Y_Executive_summary_20110707FINAL_EE20Y_Insert_pageFINAL_EE20Y_ContentsFINAL_EE20Y_Ch_1_IntroductionFINAL_EE20Y_Ch_2_Situation_&_TrendFINAL_EE20Y_Ch_3_Saving_potentialsFINAL_EE20Y_Ch_4_Framework_of_EE20Y_PlanFINAL_EE20Y_Ch_5_Detailed plans for the first 5 yearsFINAL_EE20Y_Ch_6_Keys_successFINAL_EE20Y_Appendix_A_Study_teamFINAL_EE20Y_Appendix_B_Steering_committeeFINAL_EE20Y_Appendix_B_EE20Y-WKG-0254-301-Att

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