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生生生生 生生生生生生 2009 生 9 生 13 生

生活中的统计 袁 卫 中国人民大学 2009 年 9 月 13 日

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生活中的统计 袁 卫 中国人民大学 2009 年 9 月 13 日. 工作和生活中到处都有数据,就到处都可以用统计。统计是描述数据特征、探索数据内在规律的方法,随着计算机和信息时代的到来,统计在科学研究、生产管理和日常生活中起着越来越重要的作用。 几个例子:. 生男生女的性别比 ( 14:13 , 105:100) 英国人 格朗特 (John Graunt, 1620-1674). 世界主要发达国家 20 世纪 80 、 90 年代人口出生性别比. 2000-2005 年我国出生人口性别比. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Citation preview

  • 2009913

  • ( 14:13105:100)

    (John Graunt, 1620-1674)

  • 208090

  • 2000-2005

  • 2005

  • 2005

  • 2. http://china.nba.com/ www.columbia.edu/cu/economics

  • 2002-2009 2002-03 13.5 6.65 2003-04 17.5 6.90 2004-05 18.3 6.80 2005-06 22.3 6.31 2006-07 25.0 6.56 2007-08 22.0 6.74 2008-09 19.7 NBA 30.7 3.72 22.2 1.62 23.4 7.62 21.8 8.89 26.1 3.25 28.1 3.57

  • 2040 1/20,000 10 3 2002.4.15 - 767 166128 2002.5.7 - MD82, 112 2004.11.21 - CRJ200 55

  • 3 2006 349 3.32 2007 394 3.88 2008 422 4.05

    < 1/2,000,000

  • 325200844715200712.17%,0839502 7291463812.9% =/

  • 31.360005000

  • 5. (2208)

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  • 6.150/

  • 7. 2008GDP300,670 9.0% 07GDP257,3062.412.38 3PPP272327

    8CPI1.2% PPI7.9%.

  • 1 GDP 2 CPI) 3 4

  • 1978-2008GDP

    Chart1

    11.7

    7.6

    7.8

    5.2

    9.1

    10.9

    15.2

    13.5

    8.8

    11.6

    11.3

    4.1

    3.8

    9.2

    14.2

    13.5

    12.6

    10.5

    9.6

    8.8

    7.8

    7.1

    8

    7.5

    8

    9.1

    9.5

    9.9

    10.7

    13

    9

    GDP

    Sheet1

    GDP(%)GDP()()()

    197811.7111.712058730476.5

    19797.6107.6

    19807.8107.811723432055.5

    19815.2105.2

    19829.1109.1

    198310.9110.9

    198415.2115.2

    198513.5113.510884537910.8

    19868.8108.8

    198711.6111.6

    198811.3111.3

    19894.1104.111220540754.9

    19903.8103.811346644624.3

    19919.2109.211231443529.3

    199214.2114.211056044265.8

    199313.5114.011050945648.8

    199412.6113.110954444510.1

    199510.5110.911006046661.8

    19969.6110.011254850453.5

    19978.8109.311291249417.1

    19987.8107.811378751229.58254820

    19997.1107.611316150838.6

    20008108.410846346217.5

    20017.5108.310608045263.7

    20028109.110389145705.8

    20039.1110.09941043069.56603062

    20049.5110.110160646946.9

    20059.9110.210427848402.2

    200610.7110.710538049746.0

    200713

    20089

    Sheet1

    GDP

    Sheet2

    Sheet3

  • (%)(%)(%)199062.534.92.6199162.434.82.7199262.436.61199359.342.6-1.8199458.240.51.3199558.140.31.6199659.238.8219975936.74.3199859.636.24.2199961.236.22.6200062.335.32.4200161.436.52.1200259.637.92.6200356.8412.2200454.343.22.5200551.842.75.420065042.77.3200748.8 42.3 8.9 2008 48.3 42.9 8.9

  • 2004

    %%%86.50200318.042003-4.5474.51200323.8920031.6077.7917.274.9486.3816.96-3.3480.0019.750.2579.3819.810.8177.85200325.082003-2.9366.7920.7712.4471.9330.10-2.0374.2223.072.7156.0722.6521.2882.3317.100.5779.9522.09-2.0474.1721.314.52

  • 97CPIPPICPI61.7%,1.1%;PPI67.8%,5.9%

  • 1

    2000-200816-5016-45

    Chart1

    0.0310.031

    0.0360.036

    0.040.04

    0.0430.043

    0.0420.042

    0.0420.042

    0.0410.041

    0.040.04

    "2000-07"

    Sheet1

    20003.10%

    20013.60%

    20024.00%

    20034.30%

    20044.20%

    20054.20%

    20064.10%

    20074.00%

    20084.20%

    Sheet2

    Sheet3

    MBD00298029.xls

    Chart3

    0.031

    0.036

    0.04

    0.043

    0.042

    0.042

    0.041

    0.04

    0.042

    Sheet1

    20003.10%

    20013.60%

    20024.00%

    20034.30%

    20044.20%

    20054.20%

    20064.10%

    20074.00%

    20084.20%

    Sheet1

    Sheet2

    Sheet3

  • 2009, 25.7%and 20.9% , 24.1% 29.5% .

  • GDPGDPGDP1952-19786.151978-2007(29)9.81955-1973(18)9.221973-20002.811960-19655.741965-1984(19)9.861984-20007.181953-19623.841962-1991(29)8.481991-20005.761966-19682.611968-1988(20)8.691988-20004.141951-19627.921962-1987(25)9.481987-20006.59

  • 19981999199920002000200120012002 20022003200320042004200520052006200620072007200820082009

    2009GDP8%CPI4%

  • 200986 For Today.doc

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