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1.3.1. ,
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1.3.2.
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13
1.3.3.
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13
1.3.4. ( ) ......................... 13
1.3.5.
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17
1.3.6.
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3.1.1. ............................. 19
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3.2.1. 5
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3.2.2.
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23
3.2.4. ,
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3.2.5.
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3.2.6.
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3.3.1. , .....................................................
32
3.3.2. //
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33
3.3.3. ,
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3.3.4.
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3.4. / / ............................... 37
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3.5.
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4.2.1.
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4.2.2.
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4.2.3.
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46
4.2.4. , ..................................... 47
4.2.5. .......................... 48
4.3. , .................................................. 51
4.3.1. , ....................................... 51
4.3.2.
.......................................................................................
53
4.3.3. , .............................................. 54
4.3.4. , ..................................... 56
4.4. ( ) ............................... 58
4.4.1. .........................................................
58
4.4.2. , ...................................................
61
4.5.
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62
5. ,
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5.1.1. ........................... 63
5.1.2. , ,
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64
5.2. , ............................................ 65
5.2.1.
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5.2.2. ........................................................
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5.2.3. //
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5.2.4.
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5.2.5.
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5.2.6.
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5.3.1. , ..................................................
77
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5.3.3. ,
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5.3.4.
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79
5.4. / / ............................... 80
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5.4.2. , , .... 81
5.5.
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6. ,
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6.2.1.
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6.2.2. .......................................... 88
6.2.3.
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6.2.4.
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6.2.5.
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92
6.2.6. .......................... 94
6.3. , ................................................. 97
6.3.1. , ................................. 97
6.3.2.
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98
6.3.3. , .............................................. 99
6.3.4. , ............................... 101
6.4. ( ) ............................. 103
6.4.1. .......................................................
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6.4.2. , , .. 105
6.5.
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2
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t-Statistic 9.381 3.638
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, ", MNS 2457:2009 ",
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.
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.
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2009-2010
66 .
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61.%- . 4.1%- , 5.6%- ,
48.2%- 42.1%- .
23. /
/
:
2000 27.5% 42.1% .
-
45
16. / /
2005 2006 2007 2008
/./ 328 5.00% 273.2 4.50% 287.9 4.10% 377.2 4.10%
/./ 404.3 6.10% 383.8 6.30% 379.9 5.40% 505 5.50%
/./ 3 038.3 46.10% 2 935.6 48.30% 3 519.7 50.20% 4 380.7
48.00%
/./ 2 793.4 42.40% 2 455.4 40.40% 2 797.5 39.90% 3 826.8
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/./ 30.5 0.50% 30.43 0.50% 31.26 0.40% 31.96 0.40%
6 594.5 100% 6 078.4 100% 7 016.3 100% 9121.7 100%
:
0,9%
//
.
17. / /
17.9% 17.2% 24.0% 27.2% 25.6% 24%
39.5% 46.9% 38.3% 36.6% 17.7% 38%
23.3% 18.3% 23.1% 25.2% 49.3% 24%
18.4% 15.4% 13.7% 10.3% 7.3% 13%
1.0% 2.3% 0.9% 0.8% 0.1% 1%
:
, ,
50
.
18.
2005 2006 2007 2008
2,029.1 16% 2,114.7 12.9% 2,239.2 12.9% 2,186.9 17.2%
1,963.7 21% 2,167.8 17.7% 2,425.9 15.7% 2,503.7 20.2%
12,884.6 24% 14,815.1 19.8% 16,990.1 20.7% 18,362.2 23.9%
13,267.2 21% 15,451.8 15.9% 18,347.8 15.2% 19,969.5 19.2%
:
0.15, 0.19,
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-
46
4.2.2.
.
, ,
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).
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.
.
19. / /
, %
1-5 185.6 246.8 146.7 80.7 6 665.9 7.30%
6-8 381.5 507.1 301.5 165.8 12.4 1,368.30 15.00%
9-10 1,266.50 1,683.50 1,001.10 550.6 41 4,542.60 49.80%
11-12 707 939.8 558.8 307.3 22.9 2,535.80 27.80%
2,540.60 3,377.20 2,008.10 1,104.40 82.3 9,112.60 100.00%
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6
( 96,4%) .
.
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54.80% 38.00% 7.20% 100%
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6 12
-
47
54.8% 38%
. 7.2%
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.
21.
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7.0% 14.4% 47.0% 27.1%
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.
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:
22. //
478 350 3,500 2,618
469 500 19,500 7,117
331 900 30,000 8,756
282 500 12,000 10,677
5 1,700 8,000 3,680
6 6,500 37,000 13,333
7 5,000 30,000 11,571
5 7,000 17,000 11,200
4 1,000 5,000 2,500
3 6,000 8,000 6,833
4 8,500 18,000 11,750
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IDF Grant TF 051255 , 2006 .
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49
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1 33% 50% 17% 0%
2 10% 40% 50% 0%
3 33% 22% 22% 22%
4 43% 29% 29% 0%
5 44% 33% 11% 11%
6 0% 13% 63% 25%
7 25% 38% 13% 25%
8 38% 38% 13% 13%
9 , 20% 40% 20% 20%
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11 0% 14% 71% 14%
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1 22.20% 22.20% 44.40% 11.10% 0.00% 100.00%
2 7.70% 7.70% 23.10% 61.50% 0.00% 100.00%
3
14.30% 42.90% 14.30% 28.60% 0.00% 100.00%
4 0.00% 25.00% 37.50% 37.50% 0.00% 100.00%
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6 , .
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8
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20
,
-
51
,
. 37.5%,
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35 8,0 ,
50 .
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.
, 100
10-40%-
. 400
.
2005-2006 - 2001 114
8 2007
2005 3 19,2
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25. , ,
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,
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.
8 , -
, , , 2009.02.16
-
52
26. , -
:
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2.5% 110.7 , 7.6% 292.5
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2001-2008 , .
2001 29,6 ,
2008
. ,
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- ,
. ,
2001-2008 .
,
, ,
(
), ,
, , .
26. / /
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
, . 0.9 0.6 0.7 2.3 2.1 1 0.5 1.1
, .2 6.2 2.8 1.3 2.4 0.4 0 29.4 3.7
, , .2 29.6 8.7 2.2 3.5 5.5 2 1.9 -
, , . 16.7 9.5 4.6 3 3 4.9 21.4 5.5
, . - - 0.2 0.1 3.6 4 4 2.9
, , . 0.1 - 0.1 0.1 4.2 4.2 4 0.4
, . 2.4 2.1 3.5 3.5 5.5 7.1 12.4 11.4
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2008 , 3.05% 278.3
.
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-
53
2001 .
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, 2008 73.3% 276.5
. 2001
.
27. ,
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370.5 54.7 13.1 2.0 - 3.5 0.1 -
355.0 439.0 359.7 198.9 261.4 303.0 237.4 276.5
853.5 448.6 91.3 98.3 2.7 - - -
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100
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.
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.
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.
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. 1990
.
- ,
MNS5480:2005
2006
.
,
MNS 5480:2005 90%-
-9, 50-89% -13, 50%- -3 .
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MNS 300-60
( ), MNS 432-61 ( ), MNS 559-63
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.
.
:
. -
. ,
-
57
: , ,
, , , 12.
,
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.
, ,
.
: 3823 ,1862 , 250-1 ,
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.
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/ 400
3 / 350
4 / 110
5 , / 480
/ 180
/ 160
6 , / 3500
7 / 260
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,, / 700
8 / 1500
, / 300
9
/ 5000
: .
3-
42,1 , 2- 30,7
39,8 3- , 30 2- 1-
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41,3 .
12
IDF Grant TF 051255 , 2006 .
-
58
29.
I 18.4% 16.9% 44.6%
II 30.0% 30.7% 50.5%
III 39.8% 42.1% 52.1%
IV 11.8% 10.2% 41.3%
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.
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-
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* 79,8 20 1 19.9 80,280 1,597,572
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409,1 97 116.1 10,190,784
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* 85,2 22 0.2 4.3 117,360 504,648
61,4 16 1 15.5 55,920 866,760
81,9 24 0.3 6.8 119,760 814,368
* 116,6 31 1 29.8 64,440 1,920,312
123,0 33 1 32.1 108,000 3,466,800
560,6 151 186.1 13,627,992
* 12,9 4 1 3.8 81,360 309,168
- 88,2 25 0.2 5.1 90,120 459,612
* 57,2 16 1 15.3 81,360 1,244,808
* 48,2 13 1 12.7 66,960 850,392
* 47,7 14 1 13.2 57,840 763,488
101,6 26 1 24.1 150,480 3,626,568
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442,6 124 98.9 9,005,760
73,6 20 1 19.2 75,240 1,444,608
* 54,9 15 1 13.7 65,880 902,556
71,0 20 1 18.8 53,400 1,003,920
199,5 55 51.7 3,351,084
1611,8 426 452.8 36,175,620
2008 - , *- -
.
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31. /2008 /
//
,
/./
, /./
1 21.1 8 - 8.8 16.8 79.6%
2 - 15.2 - - 5.3 5.3 34.9%
3 20.5 - - 5.3 5.3 25.9%
4 19.9 - - 4.48 4.48 22.5%
5 39.4 6 - 4.03 10.03 25.5%
I 116.1 14 - 27.91 41.91 36.1%
6 97.6 4.2 - 12.1 16.3 16.7%
7 4.3 0.6 - 4.6 5.2 120.9%
8 15.5 - - 7.7 7.7 49.7%
-
61
9 6.8 - - 3.75 3.75 55.1%
10 29.8 2.1 - 8.8 10.9 36.6%
11 32.1 - - 6.39 6.39 19.9%
II 186.1 6.9 - 43.34 50.24 27.0%
12 3.8 0.557 - 1.4 1.957 51.5%
13 - 5.1 1.7 - 3.99 5.69 111.6%
14 15.3 - - 2.67 2.67 17.5%
15 12.7 - - 2.79 2.79 22.0%
16 13.2 5.8 - 2.54 8.34 63.2%
17 24.1 - - 4.72 4.72 19.6%
18 24.7 12 - 5.18 17.18 69.6%
III 98.9 20.06 - 23.29 43.347 43.8%
19 19.2 - - 4.75 4.75 24.7%
20 13.7 - - 3.79 3.79 27.7%
21 18.8 - - 4.76 4.76 25.3%
IV 51.7 0 - 13.3 13.3 25.7%
452.8 40.96 - 107.84 148.797 32.9%
2008 - , *- -
4.4.2. ,
.
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32. SWOT
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.
4.5.
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2003 61.1 . 4.1 , 5.6
, 48.2 42.1 .
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.
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,
.
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VII.
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.
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.
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.
.
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540 . ,
2008
130.8 -147.6 , ,
,
4
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64
5
,
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.
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29. , %
1998 2008
:
1998 2008
4 .
.
.
, :
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* 0.2 67.2 128.0 711.8 494.3 1,401.5
* 4.4 48.4 49.0 658.7 637.2 1,397.7
0.8 64.5 68.9 677.1 529.3 1,340.5
* 1.2 35.4 55.1 667.9 540.9 1,300.4
* 5.0 22.7 50.6 570.2 487.5 1,136.1
* 5.0 26.9 44.7 377.3 622.1 1,076.0
0.1 54.3 60.0 552.0 391.5 1,058.0
* 8.5 24.6 46.4 297.2 679.1 1,055.8
-* 7.8 20.9 16.7 324.6 664.7 1,034.8
1.2 43.3 63.3 497.8 389.7 995.3
* 7.2 26.7 15.1 406.5 428.0 883.3
* 3.2 36.6 39.7 341.1 263.3 683.9
-* 1.0 17.3 34.6 269.8 342.0 664.8
2.1 41.3 48.2 332.9 236.1 660.6
* 26.9 14.6 4.8 143.6 467.2 657.1
0.2 15.2 51.5 298.5 260.9 626.3
* 9.2 18.3 13.9 155.0 191.2 387.6
0.1 5.5 27.0 75.9 74.3 182.8
- 0.2 2.7 13.3 80.2 64.9 161.2
0.0 3.5 8.3 51.4 58.1 121.2
* 0.2 2.3 1.5 30.7 43.5 78.2
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2008 - , *- -
-
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.
, , , , ,
, .
.
5.2.2.
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1.3 2008
1999
81%- .
30. ,
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31.
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2000 2005
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2006 .
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68
,
.
.
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34. ,
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35.
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50% , 350-
420 .
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.
7 50-60 20-30
528 174.6-576.5 vv
.
5 .
36. ,
231 194 151 194 194
196 228 204 300 198
321 575 366 518 497
27 24 38 10 33
9 16 15 14 14
-
-
69
17- . 17-
.
37.
,
126,000 9,405
9,132,000 9,219
545,424 8,434
994,800 8,176
296,069 7,956
1,443,000 7,450
4,029,800 7,048
903,287 6,753
1,610,000 6,426
3,845,820 6,338
1,617,000 5,703
1,087,000 4,784
4,167,121 3,801
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2,106,075 465
908,712 432
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7
8,2 11 4.9 - .
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30 , 7,680
.
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1990 .
.
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276.6 . 2003
2005 ,
2006
.
.
33. - ,
:
,
.
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15-20 - 2009
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38. ,
,
,
8,643 20 70 25
:
-
71
: ,
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.
39.
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11.4 0.5 11.9
7.4 7.4
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9 1 10
3.7 1.8 5.5
3.4 3.4
12.1 0.04 12.14
4.2 0.4 4.6
2.7 1.2 3.9
5.6 0.2 5.6
9 4 13
16.5 16.5
10.08 0.2 10.28
12.2 12.2
21.7 3.2 24.9
0.1 1.67 15.6
- 4.6 4.6
8.51 0.67 9.18
0.6 0.2 0.8
2008 - , *- -
,
- , 8,643 ,
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2 8 4 14
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0
0
-
72
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2 3 8 13
15 15 30
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2 3 7 12
5 9 3 17
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8 5 13
3 1 8,469 8473
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.
41. , %
1.60% 7.32% 7.50% 0.83% 17.26%
3.14% 10.96% 4.50% 3.64% 22.23%
1.19% 19.36% 4.39% 0.30% 25.24%
1.93% 1.87% 1.07% 0.00% 4.87%
3.83% 5.23% 3.50% 0.00% 12.57%
0.97% 1.07% 0.73% 0.00% 2.77%
1.54% 1.77% 2.08% 0.00% 5.39%
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.
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12.3 147.6
391.7 . 2008
363.55 - 5.6%- .
-
.
46%- .
-
78
42. ,
,
%
-
9.6 2.5% 19,200.00 9.9%
* 8.8 2.3% 7,999.74 14.4%
-* 2.8 0.7% 3,418.17 4.7%
9.0 2.3% 9,025.20 11.2%
* 12.4 3.2% 22,260.10 18.2%
* 15.1 3.9% 15,111.00 13.8%
* 10.3 2.6% 10,262.80 11.1%
* 17.1 4.4% 13,707.69 14.2%
180.4 46.0% 164,123.72 5.5%
* 11.1 2.8% 7,775.71 9.4%
* 0.9 0.2% 1,300.42 12.1%
10.1 2.6% 7,078.88 8.9%
17.1 4.4% 13,656.48 9.6%
12.3 3.1% 8,578.08 7.1%
* 6.5 1.7% 8,159.25 7.8%
- 12.6 3.2% 7,586.98 9.5%
* 11.2 2.9% 14,575.53 13.7%
* 6.9 1.8% 4,145.04 2.4%
- 11.4 2.9% 6,823.01 6.6%
* 6.8 1.7% 8,863.30 22.2%
11.0 2.8% 6,596.93 0.6%
8.3 2.1% 3,300.48 3.8%
391.7 100.0% 363,548.51 5.6%
2008 - - , *- -
- 1997
- 2005 ,
325 2008
175 , 247.5 ,
,
409.2 . ,
, .
5.3.3. ,
: ,
, , . , ,
-
79
, . ,
, , .
, .
,
.
: 1000 6.5-
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2.3 , .
.
3-4
. -
. .
3-4
.
5.3.4.
:
Y = 118.1987 + 0.015433*x R-squared= 0.341
t-Statistic 15.031 2.160
-
-
34.1%
.
-
, -
:
-
80
43. , , ,
:,
(Frontier market economy)
, ,
.
5.4. / /
5.4.1.
- , 2003-2004
2005 2009 100% .
- 2009-2010 ,
,
. 5.2.6 5.3.4- ,
:
44. , , ,
: ,
2001 2009
2.2 .
45. 2001 2.2
-
81
:
:
Y = 1.0854 + 0.0176*x R-squared= 0.367
t-Statistic 36.466 -2.408
- %
- %
2 60.6%,
36.7%
1%-
1.76%- .
46. , , %
: , ,
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,
.
-
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,
.
47. , 2008
: , ,
6-9 215
149 ,
. 2008 100%
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.
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.
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.
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.
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.
.
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2008
1999
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1990 .
.
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.
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130 .
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.
.
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6.
6.1.
6.1.1.
1961 - - 580-
,
.
1989 13 , 15
10 , 5 , 2.5 ,
-
85
1.3 , 650 , 600
, 1.9
. 1999
3 , 3 , 1 , 4 , 3 ,
1 , , 2 , 30 ,
1 ,
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.
2009 55 6.5
, 11.8 , 10
, .
, 6 , 3 , 3 ,
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, 50 . 2009
114.8, 17.8,
40.3, 90.9 , 30.8 .
, ,
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18 ISO9001
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,
.
.
6.1.2. , ,
,
. 2001-2010
18
., YA LLC , . 2009-12-10- .
-
86
,
.
44. :
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2001-2002
, , . 83%
II
2003-2004 , , .
III
2005-2010
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19
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2007 11 - 3 , 7 .
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96
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6.2.1.
43.8%-
, , .
1990 3684,7 2000 10
4 13206,0 . 2000-2003
2003 10417,6
. 40
,
.
45. /2004-2009 /
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
1 /./ 28027.9 30398.8 34802.9 40263.8 43288.4 44000
2 /./ 11686.4 12884.5 14815.1 16990.1 18362.3 19274.7
3 /%/ 41.70% 42.40% 42.60% 42.20% 42.40% 43.80%
:
2000-2003
,
, ,
.
48.
21
2009 7-8 10 .
-
88
:
79 .22
1,42
,
.
49 , %
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6.2.2.
:
1999 17.8 2009 23.2 1999 30,3 . , .
46. / /
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
I 4,635.12 5,448.96 6,080.16 6,009.72 5,559.48
1 - 669 723.6 769.2 726 629.16
2 -* 705.24 843.48 930.12 922.92 832.92
3 * 1,231.68 1,501.80 1,758.36 1,865.52 1,754.40
4 * 1,185.24 1,397.76 1,533.84 1,458.00 1,374.12
5 * 843.96 982.32 1,088.64 1,037.28 968.88
II 5,139.84 6,064.44 7,161.24 8,181.12 8,855.40
6 * 1,189.92 1,394.88 1,629.72 1,937.40 2,143.32
22 - , 2009
-
89
7 * 536.52 638.04 753.72 846.24 869.76
8 826.92 990.48 1,187.88 1,439.64 1,599.24
9 66.96 86.16 105.12 133.2 134.16
10 * 1,271.28 1,456.08 1,754.52 1,883.04 2,029.68
11 1,248.24 1,498.80 1,730.28 1,941.60 2,079.24
III 3,235.68 3,520.32 4,117.08 4,742.52 5,341.20
12 -* 70.92 82.68 89.04 79.8 83.64
13 - 78.48 99.24 122.64 195.6 211.8
14 * 447 338.16 373.08 422.4 490.44
15 * 983.64 1,040.52 1,133.16 1,101.48 1,168.56
16 * 295.68 302.88 355.8 421.44 450.84
17 333.12 407.88 544.2 782.04 878.52
18 1,026.84 1,248.96 1,499.16 1,739.76 2,057.40
IV 2,337.84 2,589.60 2,875.20 2,915.88 3,172.20
19 563.88 632.76 733.68 826.32 844.92
20 938.76 1,055.88 1,209.96 1,209.84 1,024.44
21 * 835.2 900.96 931.56 879.72 1,302.84
V 141.3 193.5 193.05 231.75 251.85
15,489.78 17,816.82 20,426.73 22,080.99 23,180.13
2008 - - , *- - , : 1,2
2009 23.2 .
: , ,
.
1999 1.2% , , 18.9%
, , 79.9% ,
1999 1990 64.5%- 55.1
2008 95%
, 23, 4% , 1%
, ,
,
.
23
, , ,
-
90
47. , 24
2005 2006 2007 2008
1 1 205.2 9.40% 1 411.0 9.50% 1 574.7 9.30% 1 418.3 7.70%
2 53.9 0.40% 57.7 0.40% 59.9 0.40% 98.9 0.50%
3
113 0.90% 103.9 0.70% 65.2 0.40% 63.3 0.30%
4 753.2 5.80% 892.7 6.00% 918.4 5.40% 949.8 5.20%
5 12,884.60 14,815.10 16,990.10 18,362.20
6.2.3.
2009 23.2 28%
6.5 , 51% 11.8 ,
, 21% 4.9 25
.
,
.
48. 2009 //
,
5559.5 1556.7 2835.3 1167.5
8855.4 2479.5 4516.3 1859.6
5341.2 1495.5 2724 1121.7
3172.2 888.2 1617.8 666.2
251.9 70.5 128.4 52.9
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30% YIII 1667,8 2656,6 1602,4 951,7 75,6 6954,0
15% IX 833,9 1328,3 801,2 475,8 37,8 3477,0
10% X 555,9 885,5 534,1 317,2 25,2 2318,0
100% 5559,5 8855,4 5341,2 3172,2 251,85 23180,1
2008
3 613 662 5 756 010 3 471 780 2 061 930 163 703 15 067 085
2009 / / 4 225 205 6 730 104 4 059 312 2 410 872 191 406 17 616
899 : /1 / 2008 650 , 2009 760 .
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12
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.
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: --
6.2.5.
:
51.
234 25.5%
118 12.8%
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52.
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4 31,8% 18,2% 29,5% 11,4% 9,1% 100%
5 18,2% 15,9% 22,7% 34,1% 9,1% 100%
6 31,8% 22,7% 15,9% 18,2% 11,4% 100%
7 34,1% 4,5% 20,5% 22,7% 18,2% 100%
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-
97
8
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6.3.
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2009 55
, ,
, 2,5
6.5 , 11.8
, . , , , ,
, - 20
30-35 , 28
, 50 , . 2009
114.8, 17.8, 40.3,
90.9 , 30.8 .
56. , 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 1 , . 2.1 1.2 0.5
1.8 0.9 1.1 1.7 1.8 2 , 45.6 55.9 55.1 57.4 69.7 38.5 32.8 28.1 3 ,
. 110.5 112.9 303.0 67.8 69.1 68.8 87.8 86.5 4 , . 33.4 16.1 9.0
4.9 10.5 7.8 9.3 6.3 5 ,
.. 38.0 32.0 54.6 58.7 64.8 50.4 120.2 195.8
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// 1900 2160 2200 2000
// 540 600 650 760
:
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50
.
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2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 10,5 6,1 8,4 8,3 8,6 6,4
9,1 9,3
:
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.
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2000 .
.
51.
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60. ,
/2008 /
/./
/./
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101,3 21 0,5 11 39360 421152
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* 79,8 20 0,5 10 33390 340578
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* 88,4 20 3,9 10 30630 307832
409,1 97 49 1 685 792
* 92,5 25 1,0 13 30720 384000
* 85,2 22 0,5 11 31380 351456
61,4 16 0,5 8 30360 244398
81,9 24 0,2 12 30450 360833
* 116,6 31 0,5 15 30630 471702
123,0 33 0,5 17 31380 517770
560,6 151 76 2 330 159
-
104
* 12,9 4 0,5 2 30090 57171
- 88,2 25 0,7 13 30180 377250
* 57,2 16 0,5 8 30720 247296
* 48,2 13 1,0 7 30270 196755
* 47,7 14 0,5 7 31080 222222
101,6 26 0,5 13 30360 397716
86,8 25 1,0 13 30000 376500
442,6 124 62 1 874 910
73,6 20 0,5 10 31470 320994
* 54,9 15 0,5 7 3180 23214
71,0 20 0,5 10 30360 296010
199,5 55 27 640 218
1611,8 426 213 6 531 078
2008 - , *- -
,
2,330,159 ,
1,874,910 , 1,685,792
, 640,218
. , 34
,
1 , . ,
, .
,
.
61. , /2008 / //
/./
,
/./
1 11 2,7 0 0,89 3,59 25,2% 33,6%
2 -* 8 2,19 0 0,67 2,86 28,8% 37,6%
3 * 10 2,81 0 0,94 3,75 27,5% 36,8%
4 * 10 2,7 0 0,89 3,59 27,1% 36,1%
5 * 10 2,47 0 0,79 3,26 24,6% 32,4%
I 49 12,87 0 4,18 17,05 26,3% 34,8%
6 * 13 3,21 0 1,1 4,31 25,7% 34,5%
7 * 11 2,76 0 0,91 3,67 24,6% 32,8%
8 8 2,13 0 0,65 2,78 26,5% 34,5%
9 12 2,36 4,8 0,74 3,1 19,9% 26,2%
10 * 15 3,61 0 1,27 4,88 23,4% 31,7%
34
, . :, , 2009 .
-
105
11 17 3,61 0 1,27 4,88 21,9% 29,6%
II 76 17,68 4,8 5,94 23,62 23,3% 31,1%
12 * 2 0,48 0 0,12 0,6 25,3% 31,6%
13 - 13 2,47 0 0,79 3,26 19,8% 26,1%
14 * 8 1,85 0 0,53 2,38 23,0% 29,6%
15 * 7 1,91 0 0,55 2,46 29,4% 37,8%
16 * 7 1,79 0 0,5 2,29 25,0% 32,0%
17 13 2,81 12 0,94 3,75 21,5% 28,6%
18 13 3,04 0 1,03 4,07 24,2% 32,4%
III 62 14,35 12 4,46 18,81 23,1% 30,3%
19 10 2,36 0 0,74 3,1 23,1% 30,4%
20 * 7 1,91 0 0,55 2,46 26,2% 33,7%
21 10 2,36 0 0,74 3,1 24,2% 31,8%
IV 27 6,63 0 2,03 8,66 24,6% 32,1%
213,0 51,5 16,8 16,6 68,1 24,2% 32,0%
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- (1998, 2001)
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(2000, 2002)
2.
:
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.
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- MNS 3113:1981
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-
115
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3.
- 1998, , ,
. 95
:
Dependent Variable: BD_EX
Method: Least Squares
Date: 04/15/10 Time: 14:29
Sample(adjusted): 2003 2008
Included observations: 2 after adjusting endpoints
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C -5.730769 9.406540 -0.609232 0.6044
PF(-1) 28.07692 8.829416 3.179930 0.0863
R-squared 0.834874 Mean dependent var 23.75000
Adjusted R-squared 0.752311 S.D. dependent var 6.396614
S.E. of regression 3.183491 Akaike info criterion 5.460687
Sum squared resid 20.26923 Schwarz criterion 5.153834
Log likelihood -8.921373 F-statistic 10.11195
Durbin-Watson stat 1.583200 Prob(F-statistic) 0.086286
, :
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116
- 6. , ,
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//
1 20000
2 5000
3 300
4 B& BS 1200
5 1200
6 650
7 1200
8 4000
9 - 4000
10 1200
11 4000
12 650
13 1200
14 1200
15 1200
16 - 5000
17 , 4500
18 1200
19 , 4500
20 60000
21 1200
22 65000
23 200000
24 30000
25 55000
26 60000
27 , 3000
-
117
28 240
29 , 200
- 2002 (1995) - 2001 (1998) - 1995 - 1995 (1995, 2005) - 2002
1995
- 1998 ,
