委託單位 : 內政部營建署 受託單位 :

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委託單位 : 內政部營建署 受託單位 :. 住宅需求動向調查 民國 101 年第一季 記者會. 計畫主持人 : 張 金 鶚 教 授 民國 101 年 6 月 5 日. 研究人員與調查單位. 簡報內容. 調 查概要 房價與租金趨勢綜合分數 房價合理性看法 新購置住宅者之調查結果分析 欲購置住宅者之調查結果分析 已租用住宅者之調查結果分析 欲租用住宅者之調查結果分析 綜合結論. 調查概要. 調查期間 、範圍與對象. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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  • :

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    101 6 5 101

  • ()()()()()()

  • 10110121532531331(8)14561102,000()

  • 8002,4602,5265266,3121,3001,3012,60195%3.00%%

    800 181200146103611093.46%1,300 98 322 295 233 142 210 2.72%2,460 5646973293371573761.98%1,301 480417111101107852.72%2,526 467 780 316 410 225 328 1.95%526 108 144 67 68 50 89 4.27%

  • 101()36,1487,256(17%)24,584(41%)

    ()(100)206,945 31,013 59,479 44,421 29,165 16,291 26,576 (101Q1)36,148 4,808 8,708 8,508 5,285 3,399 5,440 (101)287,660 66,517 81,073 38,036 39,436 18,436 44,162 (101Q2~102Q1)297,272 68,500 84,382 39,640 40,711 18,861 45,178 (100)295,262 55,077 90,728 36,533 47,979 26,421 38,524 (101)61,515 12,737 16,750 7,746 7,957 5,871 10,453

  • 119(119)(119)(112102)(119121)(118117) (130) (134)(133126)(108107)

    118.8115.1113.4123.0115.9125.6131.2118.6120.6118.0120.2112.5120.2126.0118.7117.8115.7121.6114.2122.9128.6

  • 119.2 121.9 115.6 117.2 111.8 125.3 129.5 120.7 133.8 123.0 118.5 103.0 120.1 126.1 120.0 127.9 119.3 117.8 107.4 122.7 127.8

    118.3 108.2 111.2 128.9 120.0 126.0 132.9 116.5 107.4 112.9 121.8 122.0 120.3 125.9 117.4 107.8 112.0 125.4 121.0 123.1 129.4

  • 125

    124.1117.6130.1125.3129.3118.2119.0124.8116.4127.9127.4132.0114.0127.1124.5117.0129.0126.4130.6116.1123.0

  • 122.4 117.1 129.9 120.5 123.4 115.9 117.3 123.4 117.8 127.9 126.4 128.3 112.1 119.8 122.9 117.4 128.9 123.5 125.8 114.0 118.5

    125.7 118.0 130.2 130.0 135.1 120.5 120.7 126.2 114.9 127.9 128.4 135.7 115.9 134.3 126.0 116.5 129.0 129.2 135.4 118.2 127.5

  • 10135%61%67%53%()

    34.6 37.9 34.3 32.0 35.6 30.4 35.1 26.3 29.5 28.0 27.8 25.3 22.4 20.2 13.2 9.8 13.0 12.2 14.3 17.1 16.1 23.9 21.2 23.1 25.1 23.7 28.1 26.2 1.9 1.5 1.6 2.8 1.2 2.1 2.4

  • 59% 12%(14%)2(20%)8(75%)(23%) ()

    58.8 48.5 62.8 62.0 50.2 74.7 55.1 (0.3)(-10.9)(4.8)(3.6)(-3.7)(21.9)(-11.8)29.0 28.9 27.5 33.1 23.1 21.6 35.2 (1.0)(9.5)(1.3)(5.1)(-10.9)(-16.1)(6.5)12.2 22.5 9.7 4.9 26.7 3.7 9.7 (-1.3)(1.4)(-6.1)(-8.7)(14.6)(-5.7)(5.3)

  • (65%)(31%)(42%)11(46%)15(50%) ()

    25.9 32.1 29.0 29.9 12.0 0.0 49.5 (-5.2) (-18.0) (-14.8) (20.1) (2.8) (-14.6) (18.6) 67.5 41.1 71.0 70.1 88.0 100.0 50.5 (2.8)(1.9) (17.7) (-20.1) (-2.0)(14.6) (-3.8) 6.6 26.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 (2.5) (16.1) (-2.9) (0.0) (-0.8) (0.0) (-14.8)

  • ()

    7.8 7.2 3.8 13.5 11.2 5.7 3.8 (-0.3)(-2.4)(-3.6)(2.3)(5.3)(-8.2)(2.5)23.9 26.0 17.8 27.4 21.0 27.4 26.9 (-1.7)(-0.6)(-4.3)(0.8)(-3.0)(5.7)(-2.7)67.0 64.7 78.4 57.4 67.7 66.9 65.5 (2.0)(0.9)(8.8)(-2.3)(0.5)(3.2)(0.7)/1.0 2.1 0.0 1.0 0.1 0.0 3.3 (-0.2)(2.1)(-0.9)(-1.3)(-2.9)(-0.7)(3.0)0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.5 (0.0)(0.0)(0.0)(0.5)(0.0)(0.0)(0.5)

  • (12%)611(15%)(21.1) ()() ()

    (%)11.8 7.8 11.6 12.1 14.5 11.6 13.5 (0.0)(-6.9)(0.4)(1.0)(1.4)(3.7)(1.3)()6.4 7.9 5.7 6.7 5.4 6.1 5.9 (0.5)(1.8)(0.1)(0.8)(0.1)(0.8)(-1.3)()11.3 21.1 10.8 8.8 7.7 10.3 9.6 (1.0)(10.3)(-3.9)(-0.1)(0.5)(3.9)(1.1)

  • () / (/)

    15() 4.1 12.4 4.2 5.8 0.0 0.0 0.3 15~25() 12.0 19.0 17.6 7.7 11.0 2.6 10.8 25~35() 31.8 27.8 44.6 22.8 35.3 34.8 23.2 35~45() 20.7 23.6 12.3 27.4 16.8 21.9 24.0 45~55() 13.7 5.7 14.3 13.5 18.7 15.2 14.4 55~65() 11.1 6.1 4.3 16.1 10.8 20.1 13.1 65 6.7 5.3 2.8 6.7 7.3 5.3 14.2 ()40.1 35.9 35.2 41.8 42.3 44.5 46.5 (-0.6) (-6.1) (-0.5) (-4.4) (7.4) (2.8) (2.0) (/)16.3 13.1 15.4 16.9 16.7 17.5 18.1 (1.0) (-2.8)(2.9) (0.0) (3.5) (2.1) (-1.9)

  • () /()

    30017.0 0.0 5.2 21.9 32.3 26.2 22.3 300~60033.4 4.9 33.8 42.9 32.1 44.9 37.4 600~90023.9 31.4 28.6 19.8 19.8 19.3 23.3 900~1,20010.7 9.6 16.7 12.3 7.6 4.4 6.3 1,20015.0 54.1 15.7 3.1 8.2 5.3 10.7 ()838.2 1852.7 839.7 579.5 613.4 520.1 626.6 (-5.1%)(-16.1%)(-3.1%)(-1.2%)(21.0%)(3.8%)(-0.2%)(/)21.8 51.0 24.5 13.7 14.1 11.5 13.4 (1.1%)(1.1%)(0.1%)(1.8%)(21.5%)(-0.9%)(-6.7%)

  • 8.2(8.7)(1245%)(938%) () ()

    ()8.2 12.2 9.2 6.5 6.8 6.8 7.0 (-0.5)(-2.4)(0.1)(-0.9)(-0.1)(0.4)(0.1) (%)33.2 45.1 37.8 28.6 28.5 25.4 28.1 (1.6)(-0.2)(2.4)(1.4)(3.4)(-6.4)(5.4)

  • 99Q4 () 100Q1100Q1~101Q1

    98HY299HY199Q399Q4100Q1100Q2100Q3100Q4101Q1()656.1 714.4 718.6 800.1 912.2 937.0 848.2 883.1 838.2 (/) 18.8 20.4 20.7 22.8 22.6 21.9 21.7 21.6 21.8 ()7.17.78.08.98.78.48.88.78.2 (%)28.2 31.6 32.2 36.0 32.6 32.9 33.1 31.6 33.2

    98HY299HY199Q399Q4100Q1100Q2100Q3100Q4101Q1()1000.0 1150.0 1135.0 1500.0 2195.6 2507.9 1970.4 2207.1 1852.7 (/) 33.9 38.3 41.9 49.0 51.8 51.7 52.9 50.5 51.0 ()9.1 10.9 11.1 14.3 13.7 14.6 15.1 14.7 12.2 (%)36.1 43.0 43.8 56.2 45.4 43.2 44.5 45.3 45.1

  • 45.0 46.0 46.0 33.9 40.7 58.4 56.1 8.2 4.9 10.5 9.4 6.0 8.0 7.9 3.7 3.6 3.4 5.7 2.3 0.9 4.1 7.0 7.8 6.3 10.3 3.6 7.7 5.0 8.4 4.8 9.5 14.0 7.7 3.3 4.6 56.7 59.1 46.5 66.7 56.5 63.2 51.2 49.2 68.7 48.7 46.5 49.6 46.9 37.7 33.3 46.5 26.3 31.3 32.3 33.7 36.8 0.7 0.6 1.4 0.1 0.0 1.7 0.5

  • (43%)(96%351)(20%1,527)

    4.7 8.4 3.8 3.7 4.2 1.4 6.8 33.6 18.8 29.7 42.4 35.3 32.5 38.4 43.1 48.7 41.9 34.6 48.3 50.9 43.7 14.6 16.4 19.4 14.1 11.3 13.2 10.2 3.9 7.7 5.1 5.2 0.9 2.1 0.9

  • (47%)(33%)41%21(119)(121)

    1.6 1.3 0.9 3.6 2.2 0.0 0.0 9.6 12.5 10.1 6.9 14.4 8.6 6.7 46.8 38.9 52.9 53.5 46.9 45.3 34.3 32.7 35.5 29.2 23.5 30.5 33.2 52.3 9.3 11.7 6.9 12.5 6.0 12.9 6.7 1.7 1.3 1.8 3.8 0.9 0.7 0.0 11.4 9.5 6.4 8.2 24.8 14.5 11.1 38.4 21.6 41.2 43.4 45.6 39.4 33.1 41.0 55.0 45.0 36.7 24.7 34.8 48.4 7.6 12.4 5.6 8.0 4.0 10.6 7.5

  • 52%34%13%25.3 ()

    52.1 46.6 54.8 61.5 54.0 48.5 47.1 (0.7) (-8.0)(-2.2)(13.1) (2.4) (3.4) (5.2) 33.7 35.5 31.2 30.3 34.0 35.6 37.6 (6.3) (10.7) (6.3) (9.5) (7.5) (1.5) (-1.9)13.3 16.9 13.3 5.5 12.0 14.9 15.3 (-7.9)(-3.8)(-4.8)(-25.3)(-9.9)(-5.9)(-3.3)

  • 62%29% ()

    28.6 30.3 34.0 16.7 27.3 20.0 25.0 (-7.0)(-8.9)(6.8) (-19.7)(-19.2)(-23.8)(-4.4)61.9 64.5 61.7 33.3 63.6 80.0 58.3 (3.7) (5.1) (-4.2)(-12.1)(13.6) (23.8) (-12.3)9.5 5.3 4.3 50.0 9.1 0.0 16.7 (3.3) (3.8) (-2.6)(31.8) (5.5) (0.0) (16.7)

  • 64%/23%/(60%)(49%)/(48%) ()

    /23.1 5.9 6.8 33.3 31.6 60.2 47.6 (-3.9)(-0.9)(-1.1)(-11.1)(-20.2)(-2.0)(9.3) 12.0 22.6 17.5 5.6 2.0 6.8 2.4 (-3.8)(-5.1)(-7.3)(1.9) (-2.3)(3.1) (-5.8)64.0 70.6 75.2 60.2 65.3 32.0 48.8 (8.5) (5.4) (10.6) (11.1) (23.0) (-0.9)(-3.9)0.8 0.9 0.5 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.2 (-0.8)(0.6) (-2.2)(-1.9)(-0.4)(-0.2)(0.5)

  • 25~35()41%15~25()21% ()

    15() 1.5 2.9 1.4 0.9 1.0 0.0 1.2 (0.3) (0.3) (-0.2)(0.9) (1.0) (-2.4)(1.2) 15~25() 20.9 29.6 23.6 24.5 13.1 4.8 12.9 (-0.0)(1.9) (-3.4)(13.1) (-2.8)(-11.9)(-1.2)25~35() 40.5 41.5 45.7 27.3 37.4 41.3 43.5 (-0.1)(0.5) (-2.1)(-8.9)(-5.4)(8.0) (11.1) 35~45() 18.1 15.7 18.5 24.5 16.2 22.1 15.3 (1.6) (1.1) (4.4) (2.6) (1.7) (7.8) (-6.3)45~55() 10.1 5.2 7.0 9.1 15.2 15.4 17.6 (-0.0)(-2.6)(0.2) (-5.2)(7.9) (5.9) (-1.3)55~65() 5.7 3.1 1.9 8.2 9.1 10.6 9.4 (-0.9)(-0.2)(-0.3)(-5.2)(-1.8)(1.1) (1.3) 65 3.2 1.9 1.9 5.5 8.1 5.8 0.0 (-0.9)(-1.0)(1.3) (2.6) (-0.6)(-8.5)(-4.7)

  • 300~600600~90029%50%1,200 ()

    3006.1 1.3 1.9 11.8 3.0 23.6 11.8 (-1.9)(-1.9)(-1.3)(7.2) (-0.6)(-2.0)(-10.4)300~60029.1 6.9 21.8 43.6 32.0 36.8 57.6 (0.4) (0.1) (-3.5)(5.1) (4.5) (-7.1)(7.3) 600~90029.1 16.8 37.4 32.7 35.0 26.4 24.7 (1.7) (1.7) (2.8) (0.6) (-4.9)(3.2) (5.9) 900~1,20016.1 24.7 23.3 8.2 11.0 7.5 4.7 (-1.1)(-0.3)(3.7) (-8.3)(-7.1)(1.4) (-2.0)1,20019.6 50.3 15.6 3.6 19.0 5.7 1.2 (0.8) (0.3) (-1.7)(-4.6)(8.1) (4.4) (-0.8)

  • 59%48%

    48.0 45.4 50.4 45.0 52.0 50.0 45.9 6.3 8.6 5.0 4.6 4.0 9.4 7.1 3.7 3.6 3.8 1.8 2.0 6.6 5.9 6.2 5.5 9.4 3.7 5.0 8.5 3.5 13.0 12.7 13.7 11.0 10.0 8.5 18.8 58.6 55.7 60.9 53.2 57.0 56.6 65.9 34.8 37.1 36.2 26.6 35.0 29.2 37.6 36.2 34.6 35.7 28.4 47.0 41.5 34.1 0.7 0.6 1.4 0.0 0.0 2.8 0.0

  • 45%26%24%(28%)(27%)

    5.3 6.0 4.9 7.3 6.2 4.9 2.4 26.0 21.3 23.7 36.7 21.6 22.5 33.3 45.1 44.5 44.0 39.4 49.5 51.0 46.4 19.1 23.7 21.2 14.7 19.6 21.6 10.7 4.5 4.5 6.2 1.8 3.1 0.0 7.1

  • 46%17%52%21%

    1.4 2.1 0.7 0.0 2.0 1.9 2.4 14.1 19.4 18.2 14.7 8.0 8.7 5.9 38.7 44.5 43.4 27.5 42.0 34.6 29.4 37.9 28.0 33.3 43.1 44.0 45.2 48.2 7.9 6.1 4.3 14.7 4.0 9.6 14.1 5.0 6.9 5.3 5.5 2.0 3.8 4.7 16.1 17.8 20.9 16.4 13.0 13.2 8.2 27.4 34.3 24.8 21.8 31.0 27.4 23.5 43.7 35.6 40.9 41.8 47.0 50.0 57.6 7.7 5.4 8.2 14.5 7.0 5.7 5.9

  • (49%)

    7.59.68.26.89.22.34.612.016.115.89.17.97.47.929.129.528.828.029.829.329.448.541.445.055.050.054.454.53.03.42.21.03.16.53.6

  • (86%)10%(89.1%)

    10.010.28.213.511.78.69.31.40.91.32.61.03.20.31.32.21.41.01.20.90.61.32.21.60.01.21.40.685.983.887.482.984.886.089.10.20.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

  • 90%(92%)

    3.45.42.63.23.93.61.82.82.41.43.84.44.92.44.34.53.96.03.75.43.789.587.792.287.088.086.292.1

  • 12,45819,2058,738 ()

    6,654 10,322 6,011 5,456 4,254 4,250 5,633 6,823 8,535 6,955 7,400 6,489 5,227 6,714 8,392 11,571 9,571 6,805 6,786 5,600 6,750 12,458 19,205 12,439 10,773 11,263 8,738 8,982

  • 86%38%

    85.982.385.483.088.789.688.67.23.86.78.910.211.64.80.60.60.41.70.30.00.42.00.92.43.42.41.21.31.91.92.22.12.41.20.937.647.341.038.733.826.826.82.62.84.63.01.00.60.45.06.65.68.13.82.41.80.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

  • 31%22%47%(50%)

    13.516.911.812.414.713.412.421.822.720.623.819.523.523.5 17.416.618.714.318.518.916.030.827.232.833.929.628.131.616.516.616.215.617.716.116.6

  • 18% 80%

    1-34.84.05.04.05.66.04.53-514.814.714.512.318.415.013.580.381.380.483.876.079.081.90.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

  • 49%13%54%15%

    1.83.80.62.31.01.32.811.314.710.010.19.814.010.738.336.431.941.942.044.643.937.433.944.335.535.731.834.111.211.313.310.111.58.38.41.92.32.11.41.12.81.513.317.010.612.112.317.913.931.132.028.130.828.334.538.643.440.247.943.545.742.135.610.28.511.312.112.62.810.4

  • 40% 60%(48%)(69%)

    39.538.037.547.830.940.044.960.562.062.552.269.160.055.1

  • (73%)22%

    21.615.916.234.320.938.019.32.31.90.74.50.02.05.72.13.73.53.00.00.00.01.10.90.03.01.52.01.172.877.679.655.277.658.073.90.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

  • (67%)(20%)(78%)(46%)

    3.60.94.24.52.910.02.49.47.45.624.210.314.03.520.420.419.025.822.122.016.566.671.371.145.564.754.077.6

  • 43%58%(47%)(66%)

    1-312.215.613.210.311.910.98.63-530.331.331.034.522.026.133.357.653.155.855.266.163.058.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

  • 57%16%61%19%

    1.70.00.91.70.05.14.314.019.116.410.07.012.812.926.831.521.630.028.120.530.046.243.844.043.352.659.042.911.35.617.215.012.32.610.01.91.10.91.71.84.93.017.328.720.413.87.112.211.920.217.216.822.426.834.114.947.444.846.050.046.443.953.713.18.015.912.117.94.916.4

  • 1018385%8%36,14817%41%22%28%52%(119)(112)(119)(102)(130)(133)(134)(107)

  • (8.2)(8.7)33%(34%)(57%59%)(45%48%)(86%)(85%)

  • ***