22 Sandeep CDS

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

  • 7/27/2019 22 Sandeep CDS

    1/25

    1

    Globalisation, Energy efficiency and Material Consumption in a

    Resource based Industry: A Case of Indias Pulp and Paper

    Industry 1980-81 to 2009-10

    Sandeep Kumar Kujur*

    Abstract- Indias Pulp and Paper industry, as one of the old and core industrial manufacturing sector

    with a bearing on socio-economic development has undergone a significant change during the last

    three decades, especially after liberalisation. This paper examines in detail about the globalisation

    and its impact on the growth performances of major indicators of structure and nature of the industry.

    It then identifies the probable causes for changing pattern of growth. The changing policy of

    government propelled this sector to integrated international market. Further analysis reveals that,

    apart from rising production and consumption, erstwhile import dependent India, has achieved self-

    sufficiency and also witnessed tremendous increase in exports since libelralisation. During the same

    time, the energy efficiency of the sector has improved while the raw-material consumption has seen

    drastic shift from conventional type to energy-efficient carbon-neutral non-conventional one.

    Key Words: Pulp and paper industry, Liberalisation, Intensity, and Growth.

    *: The author is a PhD Student at Centre for Development Studies, Thiruvananthapuram,

    [email protected].

    1. Introduction

    Several attributes of paper, including its pedagogic and packaging value makes Pulp and

    Paper industry (P&P) uniquely positioned among the manufacturing industries. Paper, is thus,recognized almost as a touchstone of socio-economic development. This traditional Indian

    P&P sector had leverage and played a pivotal role in laying the foundation for economic

    growth. It is also one of the 35high priority industries of Government of India (DIPP-Annual

    Report 2010-11). It contributes around Rs.2500 crores per annum to the national exchequer

    (Planning Commission 2008). The sector has witnessed a sea change in the structure during

    the last three decades especially after liberalization. It produces 1.19 % of total output

    produced by all organized industrial manufacturing industries in 2009-10. The export of

    mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]
  • 7/27/2019 22 Sandeep CDS

    2/25

    2

    paper industry to the total manufacturing exports is work out to 0.35 % in 2010 while the

    import bill of paper and paperboard to the total imports is about 0.52 %.

    During the same time, the nature of Indias P&P industry has undergone a considerable

    change. The technological bias is highly material, and energy intensive by nature which

    begets humungous gamut of pollution (IEA 2011; Schumacher and Sathaye 1999). In 2009-

    10 it uses 3.17 % of total energy and 1.17 % of total material consumed by all manufacturing

    industries.

    Against this brief background, the purpose of this paper is to understand the globalization of

    Indias P&P industry and its impact on the growth performances of production, consumption,

    import and exports. These dimensions of structure are analysed for the year 1981 to 2010retrieving the data from Food and Agriculture Organisation (FAO). The second objective is

    to assess the nature of the industry analysing energy and material consumption. To evaluate

    this, the factory sector characteristics, such as, energy and material used are taken from

    National Industrial Classification-2004 based three-digit all India manufacture of paper &

    paper products (210) by Annual Survey of Industries (ASI) for 1980-81 to 2009-10. It also

    examines the changing pattern of material consumption using the data published from

    Department of Industrial Policy and Promotion (DIPP). We have also calculated regression

    least-squares Average Annual Compound Growth Rate (AACGR), and intensities.

    In keeping with these objectives the paper is organized into following sections. In the first

    section, we trace brief history of the industry. The second section maps out the growth

    performance during globalisation whilst nature of the industry is analysed in fourth section. It

    also highlighted the probable reasons for such changes in Indias P&P sector. The fifth and

    last section summarizes the findings.

    2 Indias Pulp and Paper Industry

    The genesis of paper and development of P&P industry with its extensive uses ease the

    human civilization worldwide1. In India, the testimony of paper manufacturing is borne out

    by the antiquities of Indian manuscripts, Islam literatures, visitors accounts and the British

    sources.

  • 7/27/2019 22 Sandeep CDS

    3/25

    3

    The Indian manuscript reveals that the reference of writing material during the empire of

    Alexander indicated the existence of paper manufacturing in Indus valley. The gold letters in

    palm leaf during Vikram era of 170 A.D., and Indian or extra Indian scripts retrieved from

    Central Asia and Gilgit between 5th

    to 8th

    centuries. And the uses of talpat type of

    manuscripts found from Assam, Bihar and Bengal in 12th century could be conjectured as

    paper being manufactured in India. It is consolidated further by the Islamic literatures. The

    paper trade between Middle East and India in 8th

    century and the uses of Iranian paper during

    13th century strengthened the evidence of paper manufacturing. An introduction of paper

    money by Mohamed bin Tughlak and transfer of papermaking technology from Arab to

    Kashmir during the reign of Zain-ul-Abidin are the other indicators of paper being made in

    India. Moreover, the travelers to India like: Nicoli Conti, Tavernier and Ovington have

    pointed out the uses of paper for writing, wrapping and as an exportable material. On the

    other hand, British literature revealed the early establishment of different categories paper

    mills in India during 16th to 19th century (Ramaseshan 1989).

    The evidence of paper making in pre-British period and establishments of modern P&P mills

    during British period reflects the historical importance of this industry in Indian economy.

    However, the low growth posted by P&P industry during pre-planning is addressed with an

    introduction of various protectionist public policies by government. Further encouragementsand necessary fillip in the form of fiscal incentives are provided during the planning periods

    to reduce the import dependency and improve the self-sufficiency. Later, the sector has made

    a departure from protectionist approach to outward policy regime during post-liberalisation

    era. The introduction of various major restructuring exercises in an effort to cut the costs and

    rationalize the operation has transmuted the growth performance and nature of Indias P&P

    industry. Now, in the following we begin the discussion with the former.

    3. Growth under Globalisation

    The changing policy focus of government has changed the growth performance of Indias

    P&P industry during the last three decades. The liberalization and policy initiatives later lay

    emphasis on improving overall performance which led to increasing integration of the sector

    with rest of the world. Therefore, in this section we have measure the extent of globalisation.

    It also analyses the subsequent impact of globalisation on the growth performance of

    production, consumption, import and exports.

  • 7/27/2019 22 Sandeep CDS

    4/25

    4

    3.1 Globalisation of Indias pulp and paper industry

    The steady liberalisation process of Indian economy that began in 1991 did not exempt P&P

    industry from industrial licensing bowing to the security and strategic concerns, social and

    environmental reasons (Schumacher and Sathaye, 1999). Finally, P&P sector is de-licensed in

    July, 1997 that allows 100 % Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) to lure the prospective

    investors through automatic route except of those required product based industrial license

    (manufacture of excise books and registers) (DIPP 2010-11). Although it did not receive

    much FDI2, the liberalisation championed the cause of prolonged financial shortages of the

    sector. Various financial agencies like: The Industrial Development Bank of India (IDBI),

    Industrial Credit and Investment Corporation of India (ICICI), and Indian Renewable Energy

    Development Agency (IREDA) etc. are now willing to advance the long term soft loans to

    modernise the industry (Narayana and Sahu, 2010; Mathur, Thapliyal and Singh, 2009). As a

    result, the deployment of gross bank credit to Indias P&P industry has increased from Rs.

    2366 crores in 1996 to Rs. 3741 crores in 2002 (Indiastat, 2011). The opening up of the sector

    also had an evolutionary effect on the traditional way of management. It transformed the

    industrys image from being a subsistence producer to international competitor. It has also led

    to a serious redesign the way of management and is now taking an integrated account of

    energy security, sustainable raw-material supply and environmental norms to survive and

    compete in the international market. India ranked among the top 15 global paper industry

    (Mathur et al 2009). Here, the extent of globalisation is captured using following index:

    GP = Iq + Eq / Pq * 100

    Where, GP stands for Gobalisation of Paper Industry, Iq represents import quantity, Eq refers

    export quantity and Pq stands for total quantity of domestic production. The various inward

    looking policy approach of government towards P&P sector to reduce the import dependency

    and improve the self-sufficiency thwarted the globalisation rate till 1995 (Figure 1). These

    policies include the levy of custom duty on all types of paper and paperboard till 1980s, and

    then ban on the export of writing and printing paper until 1983. It also restricted the export

    (up to 10,000 tones per year) of paper and paperboard after 1983. However, a major

    breakthrough came in 1992 as far as globalization of P&P industry is concerned when centre

    allowed the users to import one tone of newsprint against purchases of 200 tones of local

    newsprint. Import licenses at moderate rate of custom duty of 10 % were allowed on pulp and

  • 7/27/2019 22 Sandeep CDS

    5/25

    5

    waste paper (Schumacher and Sathaye 1999). Further, with the de-licensing, the globalisation

    rate has increased until recent fall during global financial crisis of 2008 and later.

    Figure 1. Globalisation rate of Indias Pulp and Paper Industry

    The increasing integration of Indias P&P sectorwith rest of the world is influenced by many

    factors. Therefore, in the following section we discussion about the major influencing

    variable of globalisation, such as, production, consumption, imports and exports.

    3.2 Production of Paper and Paper Products

    The paper production has witnessed a drastic change worldwide. The percentage shares of

    production in America and Europe to the worlds total have seen a marked decline which has

    been is increasingly offsets by Asia3

    (Table 1). The rising production in Asia is driven

    largely by increasing demand for paper and paper products attributed to the jump of Asian

    countries into the middle and high-income income league.

  • 7/27/2019 22 Sandeep CDS

    6/25

    6

    Table 1. Worldwide production of paper and paper products (Quantity-Lakhs Tones)

    Regions 1981 1990 2000 2010AACGR

    (%)

    Africa

    30.84

    (1.19)

    45.31

    (1.20)

    66.71

    (1.12)

    69.23

    (0.95) 3.38

    Americas1245.51

    (47.94)

    1562.90

    (41.52)

    2162.69

    (36.41)

    2018.22

    (27.59)2.11

    Asia438.49

    (16.87)

    915.25

    (24.31)

    1838.65

    (30.96)

    3187.37

    (43.58)6.97

    Europe848.74

    (32.67)

    1196.78

    (31.79)

    1804.71

    (30.38)

    1956.06

    (26.74)3.72

    Oceania34.57

    (1.33)

    44.26

    (1.18)

    67.30

    (1.13)

    83.44

    (1.14)3.54

    World2598.15

    (100)

    3764.50

    (100)

    5940.06

    (100)

    7314.33

    (100)3.90

    Note:Figure in parenthesis indicates the % shares to the Worlds total

    Source:FAOSTAT 2012

    An analysis of aforementioned table illustrates that the share of Asia has been consistently

    rising to the worlds total. Similarly, the share of India to the worlds total production of

    paper and paper products have been rising from 0.68 % in 1981 to 0.84 % in 1990. This has

    increased further to 1.00 % in 2000. In 2010, it accounts for about 2.25 % of worlds

    production contributed by the impressive growth of all varieties of paper and paperboard

    driven by multiple policy initiatives undertaken by the government.

    The major policy initiatives include the incorporation of broad banding4 in 1985-86. It

    exempted the excise duty to the units using 75 % or more non-conventional raw-material for

    production in 1987. During the same time it also removed the price and distribution control

    initially for white printing paper and later for other paper products to encourage the industry

    to produce varieties of good quality products. The sector is further rewarded by multiple

    fiscal incentives during post liberalization era. For instance, in 1992, the infrastructural

    support was provided by increasing allocation of coal and wagons to the sector. It removed

    the statutory control over production, price and distribution of white printing paper to

    facilitate the higher production and higher profits (Schumacher and Sathaye 1999). In anendeavour to raise the quality of paper products, the Newsprint Control Order of 2004 avails

  • 7/27/2019 22 Sandeep CDS

    7/25

    7

    the exemption of excise duty to the mills which produce the newsprint conforming to Bureau

    of Indian Standard (BIS) and supplies paper to newspaper publishers (DIPP, 2010-11).

    The proactive measures initiated by government enabled India achieving self-sufficiency in

    most varieties of paper and paperboard over the past three decades (Planning Commission

    2008; Mohanty 1997). Thus, the share of production to total domestic consumption has

    increased from 82.80 % in 1981 to 96.02 % in 1990. This has declined to 88.61 % in 2000

    but surged again to 93.40 % in 2010.

    There has also been a sustained increase in the production of all major paper products with

    more than 5 % AACGR. The production share of all paper products have been gradually

    increasing except for those of paper plus paperboard n.e.s., and printing plus writing paper

    which have been declining due to low demand. The newsprint production also registered the

    higher growth because of increasing realisation by way of hardening prices (C entral Pulp

    and Paper Research Institute Undated pp 40). The production of different paper varieties is

    furnished below.

    Table 2. India's Production of different Paper and Paper Products (Quantity- Thousand Tones)

    Products 1981 1990 2000 2010AACGR

    (%)

    Coated papers - -215

    (3.63)

    720

    (4.37)9.14

    Household + sanitary paper20

    (1.13)

    19

    (0.60)

    40

    (0.67)

    50

    (0.30)5.11

    Newsprint50

    (2.82)

    310

    (9.81)

    400

    (6.74)

    740

    (4.49)6.77

    Other paper + paperboard506

    (28.55)

    975

    (30.86)

    1864

    (31.42)

    5380

    (32.67)7.08

    Paper +paperboard NES205

    (11.57)

    38

    (1.20)

    130

    (2.19)

    600

    (3.64)6.55

    Printing + writing paper710

    (40.07)

    900

    (28.48)

    1530

    (25.79)

    4170

    (25.32)4.87

    Wrapping + packaging paper +

    board

    281

    (15.86)

    918

    (29.05)

    1694

    (28.55)

    4730

    (28.72)7.97

    Wrapping paper - - 60 80 1.69

  • 7/27/2019 22 Sandeep CDS

    8/25

    8

    (1.01) (0.49)

    TOTAL1772

    (100)

    3160

    (100)

    5933

    (100)

    16470

    (100)6.6

    Note:Figure in parenthesis indicates the % share of paper and paper products to total

    Source:FAOSTAT 2012

    The aggregate rise in the production of paper and paper products worldwide and in India is

    largely driven by increasing market demand.

    3.3 Demand Factor

    The profuse production painted quite a rosy scenario for rising aggregate demand. However,

    as we observed in production, the consumption5 pattern of paper and paper products

    presented in below table also shows that the shares of Americas and Europe have been

    declining while Asia have emerged as the major growth poles in the world.

    Table 3. Worldwide Total Consumption of Paper and Paper Products (Quantity-Lakhs Tones)

    Regions 1981 1990 2000 2010 AACGR (%)

    Africa46.50

    (1.81)

    62.52

    (1.67)

    85.09

    (1.46)

    125.40

    (1.75)3.92

    Americas1171.84

    (45.71)

    1473.46

    (39.44)

    2065.51

    (35.43)

    1893.85

    (26.48)2.13

    Asia481.91

    (18.80)

    985.11

    (26.37)

    1982.36

    (34.01)

    3303.03

    (46.19)6.81

    Europe825.61

    (32.20)

    1165.43

    (31.19)

    1616.46

    (27.73)

    1735.95

    (24.27)3.03

    Oceania37.94

    (1.48)

    49.45

    (1.32)

    79.94

    (1.37)

    93.16

    (1.30)

    3.92

    World2563.79

    (100)

    3735.97

    (100)

    5829.37

    (100)

    7151.39

    (100)3.87

    Note:Figure in parenthesis indicates the % share of regions to the worlds total

    Source:FAOSTAT 2012

    As paper and paper products consumption in Asia is increasing, the share of India to the

    worlds total has also been rising. Due strong domestic consumer base, Indias share to the

  • 7/27/2019 22 Sandeep CDS

    9/25

    9

    worlds total has increased from mere 0.83 % in 1981 to 0.88 % in 1990. This has increased

    further to 1.15 % in 2000 and 2.47 % in 2010. Indias robust paper demand is contributed by

    many factors. According to Indian Paper Manufacturers Association (IPMA), the economic

    growth; increasing literacy rate; changing demographics with higher urbanisation; increasing

    living standards , aspirations for changing lifestyles and media growth; demand for high

    quality paper and paper products (e.g., magazines, multi-colour printings, advertising and

    direct mailers for promotional materials) are among the major growth drivers of Indias paper

    market6.

    Among all types of paper and paper products the share of other paper plus paperboard, and

    wrapping plus packaging paper plus board have been increasing during the last 30 years

    might be because of concomitant rise in packaging sector7. On the other, the share of graphic

    papers defined as newsprint, and printing plus writing paper have been declining because of

    rapid adoption of electronic technology8. The details of demand for paper and paper products

    are given below.

    Table 4. India's Total Consumption of Paper and Paper Products (Quantity-Thousand

    Tones)

    Products 1981 1990 2000 2010AACGR

    (%)

    Coated paper - - 269(4.20)

    769.758(4.37)

    8.91

    Household + sanitary paper20.9

    (0.98)

    19.8

    (0.60)

    41.5

    (0.62)

    47.319

    (0.27)4.96

    Newsprint319.8

    (14.94)

    395

    (12.00)

    749.6

    (11.20)

    1651.566

    (9.37)6.24

    Other paper + paperboard515.8

    (24.10)

    990.6

    (30.10)

    1989.6

    (29.72)

    5493.414

    (31.16)7.08

    Paper + paperboard NES2117

    (9.89)

    48.6

    (1.48)

    196.3

    (2.94)

    610.516

    (3.47)6.23

    Printing + writing paper788.7

    (36.89)

    914.8

    (27.80)

    1631.39

    (24.37)

    4114.981

    (23.34)4.88

    Wrapping + packaging paper + Board283.2

    (13.23)

    922.2

    (28.02)

    1751.8

    (26.17

    4835.579

    (27.43)7.98

    Wrapping papers - -64.6

    (0.96)

    104.497

    (0.59)-3.14

    Total 2140.1 3291 6695.59 17634.052 6.65

  • 7/27/2019 22 Sandeep CDS

    10/25

    10

    (100) (100) (100) (100)

    Note:Figure in parenthesis indicates the % share of different paper and paper productsSource:FAOSTAT, 2012

    Though India have emerged as fastest growing paper market in the world the per capita paper

    consumption is still remain low which is often regarded as barometer of socio-economic

    progress of a country. The per capita paper consumption in India is 9.18 kg. in 2009-10

    compared to 42 kg. in China and 350 kg. developed countries9. This indicates that India

    holds an enormous growth potential of the sector. However, the burgeoning consumption of

    paper is also supplemented by imports.

    3.4 Long-standing Paper Imports

    Historically, the gap between production and consumption signifies that Indian paper market

    is remained characterized by its increased reliance on imports as industry has groomed with

    the short-term goals instead of organized long-term planning (Table 5).

    Table 5. Indias Import trend of Paper and Paperboard

    Time Period AACGR (%)

    1981-1990 -7.46

    1991-2000 16.77

    2001-2010 12.26

    1981-2010 8.42

    Source:FAOSTAT 2012

    The above table shows that the imports of paper and paperboard have been growing at more

    than 8 % during 1981 to 2010. However, to understand the magnitude of imports we have

    measured the import intensity as follows:

    II = Iq / Cq * 100

    Where, II stands for Import intensity, Iq refers to import quantity and Cq represents total

    quantity of domestic consumption. The II of paper have witnessed a fluctuation during the

  • 7/27/2019 22 Sandeep CDS

    11/25

    11

    past three decades. It has seen a worst slippage from 17.28 % in 1981 to 4.28 % in 1990

    because of rise in the non-conventional raw-material based domestic production.

    Nevertheless, it increased again to 12.25 % in 2000 which has declined in 2010 to 9.55 %

    mainly on account of substantial increase in the domestic production after liberalisation.

    The import is composed of different varieties of paper and paper products. However, as it

    found in the case of demand, the import of industrial and cultural grades paper, such as, other

    paper plus paperboard, wrapping plus packaging paper plus board have been ballooning. The

    import growth of newsprint, and printing plus writing paper, in contrast slummed

    substantially (Table 6).

    Table 6. India's Imports of Paper and Paper Products (Quantity-Tones)

    Products 1981 1990 2000 2010AACGR

    (%)

    Coated papers - -65000

    (7.92)

    124597

    (7.40)8.09

    Household + sanitary paper900

    (0.24)

    800

    (0.57)

    1500

    (0.18)

    1426

    (0.08)3.98

    Newsprint

    269800

    (72.94)

    85000

    (60.37)

    350000

    (42.66)

    923981

    (54.86) 6.54

    Other paper + paperboard10300

    (2.79)

    16700

    (11.86)

    136600

    (16.65)

    207748

    (12.34)11.44

    Other papers packaging - -2400

    (0.29)

    7292

    (0.43)10.3

    Paper + paperboard NES7000

    (1.89)

    11200

    (7.95)

    68100

    (8.30)

    32780

    (1.95)7.14

    Printing + writing paper

    79500

    (21.49)

    22400

    (15.91)

    118600

    (14.46)

    151808

    (9.01)9.59

    Wrapping + packaging

    paper + Board

    2400

    (0.65)

    4700

    (3.34)

    67000

    (8.17)

    173542

    (10.30)16.69

    Wrapping papers - -11200

    (1.37)

    61060

    (3.63)28.61

    Total369900

    (100)

    140800

    (100)

    820400

    (100)

    1684234

    (100)8.42

    Note:Figure in parenthesis indicates the % share in imports of paper products to the total

    Source:FAOSTAT 2012

  • 7/27/2019 22 Sandeep CDS

    12/25

    12

    The large chunk of Indias import of paper and paperboard are originated from Australia,

    Belgium, China, France, Italy, Malaysia, Korea, Sweden, Thailand and UK during 1997 to

    2008. On the other hand the import of newsprint is rising precipitously notably from

    Belgium, China, Japan, Poland, UK, and United States of America.

    Although, India is a net importer of paper and paper products its exports have also been

    swelling since liberalisation.

    3.5 Expansion of Exports

    The tiny and changeable export quantity in later part of 1990s was transient type rather than

    sustained (Bhati and Jha 2006). However, there has been a significant upturn in the exports

    of paper and paperboard after opening up of the sector as mapped out in the following table.

    Table 7. Indias Exports of Paper and Paperboard

    Time Period AACGR (%)

    1981-1990 13.40

    1991-2000 22.05

    2001-2010 22.78

    1981-2010 22.13

    Source:FAOSTAT 2012

    The pronounced increase in AACGR of paper export is examined with export intensity to

    understand the export growth.

    XI = Eq / Pq * 100

    Where, XI represents export intensity, Eq stands for quantity of export and Pq refers to total

    quantity of production. The XI has displayed an increasing trend as it grew up marginally

    from 0.10 % in 1981 to 0. 31 % in 1990. The increase in production coupled with liberalised

    trade policy facilitated sharp rise in XI to 0.97 % in 2000 and to 3.16 % in 2010.

  • 7/27/2019 22 Sandeep CDS

    13/25

    13

    The liberalization of the sector also opened the new avenues to export of those products

    indicated in asterisk mark (Table 8). The export share of wrapping plus packaging paper plus

    board, and newsprint have witnessed a steady increase while the products like other paper

    plus paperboard, paper plus paperboard, n.e.s., and printing plus writing paper have seen a

    marked decline over the same years.

    There has been a phenomenal increase in export to the high, middle, and the low-income

    countries. The china, Denmark, Indonesia, Jordan, Kenya, Mexico, Korea, Russia and

    Table 8. India Exports of Paper and Paper Products (Quantity-Tones)

    Products 1981 1990 2000 2010AACGR

    (%)

    Coated paper* - -11000

    (19.03)

    74839

    (14.38)11.00

    Household + sanitary paper** - - -

    4107

    (0.79) 75.33

    Newsprint - -400

    (0.69)

    12415

    (2.39)18.31

    Other paper + paperboard500

    (27.28)

    1100

    (11.23)

    11000

    (19.03)

    94334

    (18.13)22.85

    Other papers packaging - -600

    (1.04)

    870

    (0.17)3.96

    Paper + paperboard NES300

    (16.67)

    600

    (6.12)

    1800

    (3.11)

    22264

    (4.28)15.06

    Printing + writing paper800

    (44.44)

    7600

    (77.55)

    17210

    (29.77)

    206827

    (39.76)26.74

    Wrapping + packaging paper +

    Board

    200

    (11.11)

    500

    (5.10)

    9200

    (15.91)

    67963

    (13.07)26.9#

    Wrapping papers* - -6600

    (11.42)

    36563

    (7.03)33.09

    Total 1800(100)

    9800(100)

    57810(100)

    520182(100)

    22.13

    Note:Figure in parenthesis indicates the % share in exports of paper and paper products to the total*: Indicates the data reported from 1998**: Indicates the data reported from 2008#: The figure for 1993-1999 are missing.Source:FAOSTAT 2012

  • 7/27/2019 22 Sandeep CDS

    14/25

    14

    Turkey are among the fovourite paper and paperboard destinations during 1997 to 2008 while

    the outbound shipment of newsprint is rising to Kenya and Nigeria.

    The rise in export intensity during post liberalisation era indicates an increasing integration of

    Indias P&P sector with rest of the world underpinned by the transformation of governments

    inward looking policy approach to outward oriented one. The changing orientation has

    however, also had the significant impact on its nature and characteristics discussed in the

    following section.

    4 Changing Nature and Characteristics of Pulp and Paper Industry

    The nature of Indias P&P industry has considerably influenced by changing policies of

    government during the last three decades. The huge amounts of energy and material

    consumption in the sector have drawn a lot of attention from the energy security and

    environmental pollution point of view. However, changing policy focus of government over

    the past decades has improved the energy efficiency and encouraged the sector moving

    towards the use of energy efficient and environmentally sustainable raw-material. In this

    milieu, we have analysed the two important features of this industry, such as, energy and

    material use. We then discuss the probable reasons for such changes in the industry.

    4.1 Energy Use

    The P&P is the fourthlargest energy user, consuming 164 millions of tones of oil equivalent

    (Mtoe) of energy in 2007, which is about 5 % of total global industrial energy consumption

    (IEA 2011). In India, the P&P industry is positioned seventh10 among the highest energy

    consumers using stubbornly high amount energy compared to mills in the developedcountries (Panda and Keswani 2008). The energy is second largest cost component

    influencing the manufacturing cost of P&P industry in India. In 2007-08, it used about 5.49

    % of total coal and 2.50 % of total electrical energy. It also consumed 2.33 % of total

    petroleum products and about 3.22 % of other types of fuels utilized by whole manufacturing

    sector. The intensity of energy consumption is measured as:

    EI = F / O * 100

  • 7/27/2019 22 Sandeep CDS

    15/25

    15

    Where EI represents energy intensity and F refers to fuel consumed and O refers total value

    of output. As depicted in the figure below (Figure.2), EI rose from 13.28 % in 1980-81 to

    14.83 % in 1989-90. In 1999-00, it has moved up to 16.91 %. The continuous rise in energy

    intensity in the P&P industry is because of slow progress in the diffusion of energy-efficient

    technologies due to government policies on energy prices for Indian industry (Bhattacharya

    and Cropper 2010)11. The EI of the sector has, however tapered off to 11.56 % in 2009-10.

    Figure 2. Energy Intensity of Indias P&P Industry

    This decline in EI of the sector is explained by the studies on Indian manufacturing industries

    conducted for the year 1992-93 to 2007-08 by Ray and Reddy (2007); they found that the

    reduction in EI is largely driven by structural changes. However, analysing data for the same

    time period Goldar (2010) finds that rise in the real price of energy prompts for its judicious

    use; thereby, technological improvements in the industry which led to decline in energy

    intensity. Panda (2005) also finds that due to rising energy prices most of the large and

    medium sized P&P mills also started installing captive cogeneration of power plant to

    generate the power from waste water. This reduces the demand for power from external

    sources like, state power grid and also helps the industry to lower the environmental impact.

    Energy Intensity (%)

    Fuels Used (Rs. Lakhs)

  • 7/27/2019 22 Sandeep CDS

    16/25

    16

    Again, Panda (2007) finds that the Electricity Conservation Act 2001 adheres to mandatory

    report and monitors the use of energy in all 15 energy intensive industries including P&P to

    curtail the energy crisis in the country. This led to reduction in energy consumption in P&P

    mills through production process improvements by imparting energy efficient technologies.

    The improvements in the energy efficiency is significantly influenced by the basic mill

    configuration, like, the raw-material use, products to be manufactured, and basic mill design

    and selection of technology in the production process (Panda 2005). In view of this, the

    quantity and types of raw-material consumption plays a crucial role determining the overall

    efficiency of the industry.

    4.2 Material Consumption

    The resource-based Indias P&P industry has seen an increase in total raw-material

    consumption, at the same time; it has also witnessed a drastic change in the composition of

    material use. The quantity and type of raw-material consumption is an important element

    primarily for three reasons. Firstly, it has a direct bearing on the amount of other types of

    basic inputs use in the production process, notably, energy and chemicals. Secondly, the

    material consumption is a single largest component influencing the manufacturing cost of

    paper production, and finally, the material consumption also significantly influences the

    effluent discharge to the environment. In India, the short supply of conventional raw-

    material and huge environmental compliances threatened the economic sustainability of this

    material intensive sector (Confederation of Indian Industry 2009; FAO 2008; Roy, Sanstad,

    Mongia and Schumacher 1999; Schumacher and Sathaye 1999). The material consumption of

    this industry is measured as:

    MI = M / O * 100

    Where MI stands for material intensity, M represents value of material used. As shown in

    figure below, the MI grew from 50.97 % in 1980-81 to 52.72 % in 1989-90. It increased to

    53.61 % in 1999-00 and rose further to 63.56 % in 2009-10.

    The MI has been steadily increasing partly because of substantial increase in the number

    factories from 1301 in 1980-81 to 4599 in 2009-10. It is also party because since

    liberalization the sector has been encouraging large scale factories that would obviously

  • 7/27/2019 22 Sandeep CDS

    17/25

    17

    require huge quantity of raw-material. The liberalisation of the sector and stricter

    environmental regulations promotes the large size and efficient P&P mills which would

    impart energy efficient carbon-neutral technology in the production process. These mills are

    also expected to produce good quality of products with higher economies of scale to compete

    in the international market (Schumacher and Sathaye 1999)12.

    Figure 3. Material Intensity of Indias P&P Industry

    Though, material intensity is on rise, the composition raw-material use has seen a tremendous

    shift from conventional-based to non-conventional ones (Figure 4).

    Material Intensity (%)

    Material Used (Rs. Lakhs)

  • 7/27/2019 22 Sandeep CDS

    18/25

    18

    Figure 4. Share of Different types of Raw-materials use in Indias P&P Industry

    Source:Paper Industry as cited in DIPP, 2012, pp 3

    As can be seen from the above figure, despite have the advantage of good qualities wood-

    based raw-materials; its share to the total raw-material consumption is drastically declining

    primarily because of wood prices in India are prohibitively high like in other competing

    countries such as: China and Korea (Jakko Poyry 2002). The higher wood costs is triggered

    by shortages in the supply13

    .

    On the other hand, the share of agro-based raw-material usage has grown up because of

    establishment of large numbers of ago-based P&P mills during 1970s and 1980s to meet the

    burgeoning domestic demand. The government encouraged medium and small scaled14 agro-

    based P&P mills because of its convenience set up in any part of the country in a short

    gestation period. These units were also expected to play a crucial role in backward area

    generating employment. The quick establishments of factories facilitated by readily available

    second hand machinery and equipments imported from foreign countries (Datt and Mahajan

    2012).

    Forest-based fibre

    Agro-based fibre

    Recovered paper

  • 7/27/2019 22 Sandeep CDS

    19/25

    19

    The mills are also backed by sufficient supply of fibers rated average quality (Mathur et al

    2009). The uses of this material have increased also because of dwindling in the supply of

    conventional raw-material. However, the share of this has declined in 2011 might be because

    its constraints of seasonal availability, high transportation costs, and investment in pollution

    control equipments (Jakko Poyry, 2002). Apart from these, most of these firms are owned

    and managed by local business groups and uses obsolete second hand technology which is

    basically designed for large-scaled wood-based mills (CPPRI 2000). These mills also lack

    modern technologies, such as chemical recovery plant and pollution control system, thereby

    uneconomic operation and high production costs. It resulted in huge pollution load and

    producing the low quality paper such as: Kraft paper and paperboards (CPPRI, 2004).

    Moreover, the liberalisation of the sector and increasing pressure of environmental pollution

    in a competitive paper sector squeezed these mills.

    The share of recovered paper use has seen a meteoric rise from mere 7 % in 1970 to 47 % in

    2011. Such rise in the use of this raw-material is resulted due to establishments of large

    number of small sized recycled-fibre based P&P mills to meet the rising demand during same

    time periods when agro-based mills were set up. The uses of recycled-fibre have increased

    partly also because of unavailability of wood-based raw-material in the country. Further,increasing integration of the sector and stringent environmental norms promotes the large

    scale mills to increase the economies of scale with less environmental impact (Schumacher

    and Sathaye 1999). As a result of this, most of these mills have undergone a major expansion

    especially after 1990s and now categorized as large scale mills and producing produce good

    quality of white paper and newsprint (CPPRI, 2004). The development from a small to large

    scale mill adds an advantage of being able to use modern technology in the production

    process, hence reduction in the energy intensity and environmental pollution.

    The increasing popularity of waste paper is facilitated by increase in domestic collection. The

    waste paper recovery rate in India was as low as 20 % in 2000 (Jakko Poyry, 2002). Although

    this has increased to 27 % in 2011, it is still very insignificant compared to developed

    countries such as Germanys 73 %, Swedens 69 % and Japans 60 % (DIPP 2012)15

    . This

    increase in domestic collection over the past few years reflects efforts made by national and

    local governments, and large paper companies to develop more efficient collection systems

    (IEA 2011). The rising demand for recovered paper has also been met through import which

  • 7/27/2019 22 Sandeep CDS

    20/25

    20

    has been growing at an AACGR of 14.54 % during 1981 to 2010. However, due to rise in the

    domestic collection rate the growth rate of recovered paper import has drastically declined

    from 39.37 % during 1981 to 1990 to 14.97 % in 1991 to 2000. This has further declined to

    8.16 % during 2001 to 2010.

    The increasing use of renewable raw-material helps the sector in number of ways as it lowers

    the burden of scared wood-based material and reduces the import bill of wood pulp. It saves

    energy, chemicals and water used in the production process, thereby less environmental

    impact of the industry and considerable cost reduction. Moreover, it provided employment

    opportunities in recycling sector (DIPP, 2012).

    5 Findings and Conclusion

    The century old Pulp and Paper industry occupies an important position in the Indian

    economy for its extended role of early industrialisation and social sector development. The

    emphasis on making India a knowledge-based economy after globalisation perpetuated the

    importance of P&P sector. The liberalization of the sector seems to have had the desired

    effect on its growth performance and nature in a competitive paper sector.

    Analysing the globalisation of the sector suggests that the inward looking policy framework

    vigorously advanced by Government in the past has reduced the import dependency and

    improve the self-sufficiency. However, the necessary fillip and encouragement provided

    since 1992 and more so since the onset of liberalisation have remarkably transformed the

    structure leading to the sector becoming more globalised.

    The liberalization of the sector has also attracted few financial agencies to advance the long-

    term soft loans enabling the sector to curb the prolonged financial crisis to some extent.

    Although this sector could not attract much FDI the liberalization has morphed the traditional

    ways of management. It helps transforming the industry from tiny producer to an

    international competitor. It enabled achieving self-sufficiency in most varieties of paper and

    paperboard with higher quality. In fact, there has been sustained increase in production of all

    varieties of products. The production of newsprint also registered high growth because of

    realization of higher prices and increasing exports.

  • 7/27/2019 22 Sandeep CDS

    21/25

    21

    The aggregate demand of paper is akin to that of trends observed in production. Owing to

    strong domestic consumer base the share of Indias paper consumption to the worlds total

    has been rising. The consumption shares of paper plus paperboard, and wrapping plus

    packaging paper have been rapidly rising due to simultaneous growth in packaging industry.

    Moreover, the low per capita paper consumption in India compared to Worlds average

    promises high growth of the sector in future. Moreover, the long-standing paper imports

    have been declining due to tremendous rise in the domestic production, which reflects that

    India has achieved self-sufficiency in paper and paper products over the years. At the same

    time, the sector also witnessed an upward trend in export growth after liberalisation. The

    rising exports to high, middle, and low-income countries reflect the sector increasingly

    becoming self-independent and integrated with the world.

    At the time when there is a change in the policy approach helping the sector becomes global,

    it also takes an integrated approach considering energy efficiency, sustainable supply of raw-

    material, and environmental impact. Therefore, it analysed two key components of input use,

    such as, energy and material, which are also considered to be the basic factors underpinning

    sector becomes efficient and global. Examining the energy intensity, it is found that this

    sector has made impressive strides in improving energy efficiency after liberlisation driven

    by structural change of industry and improvements in the production process by imparting

    energy efficient environmentally-benign technology.

    During the same time, the material intensity has also gradually increased because of steady

    increase in the number of factories. An emphasise given to large scale P&P factories after

    liberalization in a view to improve the overall efficiency also contributed on increasing

    material consumption. However, the composition of material consumption has witnessed a

    significant change from the use of conventional to non-conventional raw-material. The share

    of wood-based material to the total raw-material consumption has declined over the years due

    to high cost of wood caused by short supply. On the other hand, the uses of agro-based and

    recycled fiber-based materials have been rising owing to lack of supply of conventional raw-

    material. It is also because of establishments of large number of medium and small firms

    encouraged by government during 1970s and 1980s to meet the burgeoning demand.

    Because of increasing emphasise on making the industry efficient and globally competitive

    the sector is increasingly moving towards energy efficient and environmentally friendly raw-

    material use.

  • 7/27/2019 22 Sandeep CDS

    22/25

    22

    References

    Annual Survey of Industries, Various years, Central Statistical Organization, MoSPI, Government ofIndia, New Delhi.

    Bhati, U.N. and R. Jha (2006): Emerging opportunities for Australia in Indias paper and paperboardmarket,ASARC Working Paper, November.

    Bhattacharya, S. and M.L. Cropper (2010): Options for energy efficiency in India and barrier to theiradoption: A scoping study,RFF-DP, 10-20.

    Central Pulp and Paper Research Institute (2000): Report on Ecological and environmental factors inpaper industry, (Volume III), Technological Overview in Indian Paper Industry with

    Suggestive Measures for Improved Environment Management, Prepared for Indian PaperManufacturer Association, April, Saharanpur, Uttar Pradesh. India.

    Central Pulp and Paper Research Institute (2004): Report on studies on Benchmarking/Input Normsfor Pulp and Paper Industry, Submitted to Grant Authority Development Council for Pulp,Paper and Allied Industries, June, Saharanpur, Uttar Pradesh, India.

    Central Pulp and Paper Research Institute. (Undated). Updating of Statistical Data for the IndianPaper Industry Vol. 1. Saharanpur, India.

    Confederation of Indian Industry. (2009). National and International Best Practices Manual Pulp andPaper Industry (Vol. 2). (Hyderabad: CII).

    Datt G. and A. Mahajan (2012): Datt and Sudharam Indian Economy (New Delhi: S. Chand &

    Company Ltd.).

    Department of Industrial Policy & Promotion. (2010-11). Annual Report 2010-11. Ministry ofCommerce and Industry, Government of India.

    Department of Industrial Policy and Promotion (2012): Collection and Recycling of Waste paper inIndia, Discussion Paper, 1-37.

    Editorial (2012, February 17). Paper Chase. The Hindu, p. 12

    Food and Agriculture Organisation, Statistical Database, Various years, http://faostat.fao.org accessed

    on 30 April, 2011.

    Food and Agriculture Organizsation (2008): Advisory Committee on Paper and Wood Products.

    49th

    Session, Bakubung, South Africa.

    Goldar, B.N. (2010): Energy intensity of Indian manufacturing firms: Effects of energy process,technology and firm characteristics, IEG, Delhi.

    Indiastat, Statistical database, various years, www.indiastat.comaccessed on 2 August 2011.

    International Energy Agency. (2011). Energy transition for industry: India and the global context,Information paper, Rue de la Federation, Paris, France.

    Jakko Poyry Consulting. (2002). Global Competitiveness of the Indian Paper Industry, Prepared forCPPRI.

    Mathur, R.M., B.P. Thapliyal and K. Singh (2009): Challenges confronting Indian Paper Industry inchanging scenario,IPPTA Journal, 21 (3): 95-99.

    Mohanty, B. (ed.) (1997): Technology, Energy Efficiency and Environmental Externalities in the Pulpand Paper Industry (Pondicherry: All India Press).

    Narayana, K., and S.K. Sahu (2010): Labor and Energy Intensity: A Study of Pulp and Paper

    Industries in India. Paper to be presented in the Joint Annual International Conference ofIASSI and Knowledge Forum, Mumbai, India, 11-12 November.

    http://faostat.fao.org/http://www.indiastat.com/http://www.indiastat.com/http://faostat.fao.org/
  • 7/27/2019 22 Sandeep CDS

    23/25

    23

    Panda, A (2005): Technological Development in the Pulp & Paper Industry for Reduction of Energy

    Consumption,Inpaper International, Jan.-Mar., 15-24.

    Panda, A., and S.L. Keswani (2008): Energy Conservation in the Indian Pulp and Paper Industry,Urjavaran, Dec.-Jan.

    Panda, Abanish (2007): Technological Developments in the Indian Pulp and Paper Industry duringthe last decade,Paperi Ja Puu-Paper and Timber, Vol. 89, No. 7-8.

    Planning Commission. (2008). Eleventh Five Year Plan 2007-2012. Volume III. Government of India,

    New Delhi.

    Ramaseshan, S. (1989): The History of Paper Industry in India up to 1948, Indian Journal ofHistory of Science, 24 (2) 103-121.

    Ray, B. K. and B. S. Reddy (2007): Decomposition of Energy Consumption and Energy Intensity inIndian Manufacturing Industries, WP. 2007-020, IGIDR, 1-33.

    Roy, J., J. Sathaye, A. Sanstad, P. Mongia and K. Schumacher (1999): Productivity Trends in Indias

    Energy Intensive Industries, The Energy Journal, 20 (3), 33-61.

    Schumacher, K. and J. Sathaye (1999): Indias Pulp and Paper Industry: Productivity and EnergyEfficiency,Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, 41843, 1-46.

    UN Comtrade, United Nations Commodity Trade Statistics Database, Various years,http://comtrade.un.org/db/accessed on 24 January 2011.

    1Etymologically, the word paper is derived from Latin papyrus. Paper, a versatile material with

    many uses made as long as 3000 B.C. However, in 105 A.D. the invention of paper was reported inChina. Gradually the art of paper making was shipped to East and in 3

    rdcentury paper was introduced

    in Vietnam (CPPRI 2012). The Korean produced paper in 6th

    century A.D.. In 610 A.D., Koreanbaptized the wisdom of paper making to Japan. The technique of paper making was eventuallypercolated to Tibet around 650 A.D. and then to India after 645 A.D. The Arabas acquired the paper

    making expertise and built a first paper factory in Baghdad in 793 A.D. Subsequently, Egyptianlearned from Arabs during 10th century. As a result of crusades, the paper arrived in North Africaaround 1100 A.D. In Europe, Spaniards established the first paper mill in 1150 A.D. while the firstpaper factory in North America was built at Philadelphia in 1960 (Silkroad Foundation, The history

    of paper, Viewed on 09 April, htpp://www.silk-road.com/artl/papermaking.shtml)

    2 India has not yielded much from liberalization in terms of the percentage share of inflow to P&P

    sector to the total FDI. It has declined from 1.11 % during August 1991 to September 2005 to 0.35 %during April 2000 to March 2011. Even though this sector has high growth potential it attracted lessFDI compared to other sectors like, telecommunications, automobile , power, housing and real sector,etc. (DIPP-Annual Report 2010-11). This might be because of it nature of being capital, energy andmaterial intensive polluting industry. The foreign companies are not seems to be enthusiasticinvesting in India might be because of fear of undergoing process of creative destruction in newsprintindustry in North America and Europe. This is also reflected in declining trends of production and

    consumption (Soltas, Evan (2012, May 17). Schumpeter was wrong. Message posted tohttp://esoltas.blogspot.in/2012/05/schumpeter-was-wrong.html).

    3 Among the major producers of American countries, USA as highest producer has been growing at anAACGR of 2.33 during 1981 to 2010. The European countries, such as, Austria, Germany and

    http://comtrade.un.org/db/http://comtrade.un.org/db/http://esoltas.blogspot.in/2012/05/schumpeter-was-wrong.htmlhttp://esoltas.blogspot.in/2012/05/schumpeter-was-wrong.htmlhttp://esoltas.blogspot.in/2012/05/schumpeter-was-wrong.htmlhttp://comtrade.un.org/db/
  • 7/27/2019 22 Sandeep CDS

    24/25

    24

    Portugal have been growing at 5.18 %, 5.20 % and 3.53 %, respectively. Australia, as only Oceania

    country has clocked 4.95 %. Among Asian countries, China as highest producer has been growing at10.53 % while Korea has been growing at 7.42 %, Malaysia at 13.05 % and Indonesia at 14.24 %.

    Among low-income Asian countries such as, Viet Nam and Pakistan have registered 18.86 % and11.73 %, respectively (FAO, 2012).

    4Firm now experience the new freedom to manufacture any variety of paper within the overall limit

    of licensed capacity.

    5Consumption = Production + ImportExport

    6IPMA , htpp://www.ipma.co.in/index.asp, accessed on 11 May 2012.

    7Indian packaging industry is positioned 11

    thin the world ranking. The sector is growing at 15 % per

    annum and is expected to grow by 18-20 % by 2015. The rapid growth in packaging sector in India isdriven by flexible packaging market and increasing use of innovative packaging equipments. Of thetotal packaging sector, the retail, food processing, and pharmaceutical segments accounts for about 85

    % and 10 %, respectively (Packaging Industry Association of India, About the packaging sector,Viewed on September 18, 2012,http://www.piai.org/About_Packaging_Sector.aspx).

    8Maine John (2011, February 27). Worldwide graphic paper demand is growing again, but RISI.

    Viewed on 12 June, 2012 (htpp://www.risiinfo.com/pages.jsp)

    9Assocham, Indian Paper industry likely to touch 11.5 MT by 2011 -12 (June 15, 2010),Viewed on

    September 11, 2012,http://www.assocham.org/prels/shownews-archive.php?id=2460 .

    10 Bureau of Energy Efficiency. (2010-11). National Mission for Enhanced Energy Efficiency

    (Perform, Achieve and Trade PAT), Ministry of Power, Government of India.

    11To give an example of induced energy inefficiency in the industry, the authors says that high

    electricity price charged to industry stimulates self-generation using inefficient diesel powergenerators led to rise in energy intensity.

    12 Most of the large scale P&P mills (100-1100 tonne per day tpd of production capacity) are wood-

    based owned by large business houses and corporate groups. These mills are equipped with advancedtechnology in the production process, such as, cogeneration power plant and chemical recovery plant

    which helps reducing the basic inputs costs and wastes. It also produces good quality of paper andpaper products, such as, writing and printing papers, packaging papers, newsprint, rayon grade pulp,board and specialty papers, etc. these factories are domestically competitive and some of them havepresence in overseas market (CPPRI, 2004).

    13The forests, as one of the important revenue earning resource supplied inputs to wood-based

    industries. The forests land also diverted for other non-forest uses, hence suffered a serious depletion.However, the limitation of National Forest Policy of 1952 is addressed with an introduction ofNational Forest Policy in 1988 following the enactment of Forest (Conservation) Act of 1980. It triedto solve the problems of environmental safeguards, and supply of fuel, fodder and timber to the localcommunity. To achieve this, it also stopped allocating the natural forests for concessional logging andplantations by paper industry (Jakko Poyry, 2002). The supply of wood gets restricted furtherfollowed by the Convention on Biodiversity in 1992 to preserve the gene pool. The changes in thegovernment policy measures led to a drastic shift in the approach of state from a producer-centric toa conservation-centered management of the state forests (Indian Paper Manufacturers Association,Viewed on 11 May 2012,http://www.ipma.co.in/index.asp).

    http://www.piai.org/About_Packaging_Sector.aspxhttp://www.piai.org/About_Packaging_Sector.aspxhttp://www.piai.org/About_Packaging_Sector.aspxhttp://www.assocham.org/prels/shownews-archive.php?id=2460http://www.assocham.org/prels/shownews-archive.php?id=2460http://www.assocham.org/prels/shownews-archive.php?id=2460http://www.ipma.co.in/index.asphttp://www.ipma.co.in/index.asphttp://www.ipma.co.in/index.asphttp://www.ipma.co.in/index.asphttp://www.assocham.org/prels/shownews-archive.php?id=2460http://www.piai.org/About_Packaging_Sector.aspx
  • 7/27/2019 22 Sandeep CDS

    25/25

    14 The medium sized mills are having capacity of 50-100 tpd while mall sized are 5-50 tpd (DIPP-

    Annual Report, 2010-11).

    15The low recovery of waste paper in Indian owing to alternative uses of paper in wrapping and

    packing, better payment of waste paper in end use than paper industry, and the lack of better business

    model to facilitate an integrated system of collection (Editorial, 2012).