D e c a d e o f c h a n g e i n a u t o m o t i v e b u s i n e s s

Automotive Industry

Technology Developmentพัฒนาการดา้นเทคโนโลยขีองอตุสาหกรรมยานยนต์

Presented by Mr. Thanawat Koomsin

Executive Vice President of Thailand Automotive Institute

March 27, 2019

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Topics

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Global Automotive Trend

Next Generation Vehicle

TAI’s Activities in Next Generation Vehicle Area

Vehicle Emission Standard

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1. Global Automotive Trend

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1. Global Automotive Trend: Global megatrends

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Global megatrend matrix 2025

Source: Frost & Sullivan (2014), World’s Top Global Mega Trends to 2025 and Implications to Business, Society, and Cultures.

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2. Global Automotive Trend: Future of Mobility

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AAutomated

CConnected

EElectrification

SShared

AAutomated

CConnected

EElectrification

SShared

YYearly

Updated

Enablers ofTransformation

Motivators ofTransformation

Source: PWC (2018), Five trends transforming the Automotive Industry.

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2. Next Generation Vehicle

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2. Next Generation Vehicle: Electric Vehicle

Source: A guide to electric vehicles, Consumer NZ,2017.

xEV

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2. Next Generation Vehicle: EV policy target

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2020 2030 2040 2050

CO2 emission restriction

China 116 g/kmEU (2021) 95 g/km India (2021) 113 g/kmJapan 114 g/kmKorea 97 g/kmSaudi Arabia 137 g/km

xEV Target

China NEV sale 12%USA (2025) 3.3 million

ZEVs in 8 states combined (California, Connecticut, Maryland, Massachusetts, New York, Oregon, Rhode Island, Vermont)

ICE Ban : Norway

xEV Target

India >More than 30% of vehicles are electric

Netherlands New passenger cars, public transport, and city distribution, are zero emission

UK 50-70% new cars are ULEVsUSA, California 5 million ZEVs

ICE Ban : China, Germany, Ireland, Netherlands

xEV Target

Sweden (2045) No net emission

UK All new cars are ZEVs

ICE Ban: France, UK

xEV Target

UK Nearly all cars are ZEVs

Zero Carbon Economy Target

Japan: 80% reduction of GHG emission per vehicles produced by Japanese Automakers

New Zealand: Net Zero CarbonNetherlands: All electric society

Collected by Thailand Automotive Institute

Thailand 25% of xEV production in 2036

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2. Next Generation Vehicle: Car maker’s EV target

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2022 20242021 2023 20252020

Ford 16 models

Nissan-Renault-Mitsubishi12 models

BMW 12 BEV models and 13 PHEV models

Chonqing Changan 21 BEV models and 12 PHEV models

Mercedes 10 models VW group 80 modelsToyota All vehicles are

HE, BE, or FCE

General Motors20 models

JaguarAll model

InfinitiAll model

EV Models

Nissan-Renault-Mitsubishi VW Group

ToyotaChonqingBAICGeely

Tesla BMW0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

X 1,0

00 u

nits

Annual global electric sales

Source: ICCT (2018), Power play: How Governments are spurring the electric vehicle industry.

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2. Next Generation Vehicle: Thailand xEV Production Promotion Measures

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Thailand xEV production promotion measuresendorsed by cabinet on March 28, 2017

Vision Thailand is a motor vehicle production base focusing on clean, save and safety vehicle andalso motor driven vehicle enhancing by an effective testing center to evaluate Thaiindustrial standard toward to international standard.

Target xEV production proportion will be a 25% of the amount of total vehicleproduction in 2036

Investment promotion

Stimulate domestic demand

Infrastructure Standardization Used battery management

Human Resource Development

6 Measures

HEV

PHEV

BEV

FCEV

xEV

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2. Next Generation Vehicle: Level of vehicle automation

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Level 0No automation

Level 1Driver assistance

Level 2Partial automation

Level 3Conditional automation

Level 4High automation

Level 5Full automation

Human driver performs part or all of the dynamic driving task; in particular, the driver is responsible for monitoring the environment and any action taken by

the automation system

System performs entire dynamic driving task while engaged, including monitoring and response as well as steering and acceleration

Human driver performs all aspects of dynamic

driving tasks

System can perform either steering or

acceleration e.g. Park assist,

Adaptive cruise control

System can perform both steering and

acceleratione.g. Traffic jam assist

Human driver may be requested to intervene

(fallbacks)e.g. Intersection pilot,

Platooning

Full automation in some driving modes

e.g. Urban automated driving

Full automation in all driving modes

Year 2011 Year 2016 Year 2018 Year 2025 Year 2030

New vehicles40 million

New vehicles15 million

New vehicles5 million

New vehicles2 million

New vehicles1 million

Mind OffEyes Off

Hand OffFeet Off

Brain Off

Source: Transport System Catapult (2017), Market forecast for connected and autonomous vehicle.

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2. Next Generation Vehicle: CAV New Model Lunch

2020 2030

Lv. 1 Samsung3 Camera for self driving, DRVLINE

Lv. 2 PSA Group1 (Peugeot, Citroen, DS)Volvo1 & Autoliv2 (2019) V60, S90

Lv. 3 Baidu6 Apollo ModelBMW1 & Intel6 & Mobileye3 iNextDaimler1 & Bosch2 & Tom Tom5

Ford1 within "Geofence*" AreaGM1 & Lyft5 (2019) Driverless TaxiHyundai1 & Aurora3 TestingJaguar1 provide Vehicles for Waymo6's

Fleet

PSA Group1 (Peugeot, Citroen, DS) (2021)

Renault-Nissan1 10 modelsToyota1 AI car featuresVolvo1 & Autoliv2 XC90 for testingVW1 & Aurora3 AV & EV Mobility as a

Service (MaaS) Fleets

Renault-Nissan-Mitsubishi1

Ride-hailing Car sharing Pilot

Hyundai1 & Aurora3

Autonomous SUV

Lv. 4 Aptiv2 (2019) Start ProductionBayton1 M-Byte, K-Byte ModelBMW1 & Intel6 Uber pilot program

NIO1 EVE ModelTesla1

Lv. 5 Toyota1 & Amazon5 e-Palette Vehicle

Note: 1 OEM2 Tier-X suppliers3 Device Manufacturers4 Telecom Companies5 Online Players6 IT Suppliers *Fenced area base on geographic area

Collected by Thailand Automotive Institute

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2. Next Generation Vehicle: Market Penetration Trend

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2020 202X 203X

Source: Kellley Blue Book, Cox Automotive Brand.

Active Safety System (Lv 1 – 2) can reduce accident numbers by 20%.

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2. Next Generation Vehicle: Connected Vehicles

In 2020, 75% of cars produced globally will be able to connect with the internet.

Source: http://www.businessinsider.com/connected-cars-2015-9

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2. Next Generation Vehicle: V2X Technology

Connectivity technology will support autonomous vehicles.

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2. Next Generation Vehicle: New business model (Shared and Services)

Blue SG, EV car sharing fleet in Singapore, originate in Paris, France.

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2. Next Generation Vehicle: New business model (Shared and Services)

CU Toyota Ha:mo is the first EV car sharing fleet in Thailand.

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2. Next Generation Vehicle: Mobility-as-a-Service (MaaS)

Mobility-as-a-Service (MaaS) Consumers are focusing on service not car ownership. Car ownership will be decrease. According to MIT, driverless vehicle will be sufficient with 80% less vehicle.

Driverless Shuttle Driverless Taxi

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3. TAI’s Activities in Next Generation Vehicle Area

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3. TAI’s Activities in Next Generation Vehicle Area: ATTRIC

OFFICE

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3. TAI’s Activities in Next Generation Vehicle Area: ATTRIC

T1

T2

T4

T3

T5

T6

T7

T8T9

T10

T11

T12

L1L3

L4L5

LAYOUT

T7 Wet Handling Track

T1 UN R117 Track

T2 High Speed Track

T3 Braking Track

T4 Test Hill

T5 Dynamic Platform

T8 Skid Pad

T6 Handling Track

T9External Noise Test Track(ISOc10844:2014)

T10Noise Vibration & Harshness(NVH)

T11 Accelerated Fatigue Track

T12 Steering Pad

TEST TRACK LABORATORY

L2

L1 Tire Lab

L4 Certification Lab

L2Passive Safety LabPowertrain Lab

L5 EMC

L3 Battery Lab

1st Phase

2nd Phase

Further Phase

NOTE

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3. TAI’s Activities in Next Generation Vehicle Area: ATTRIC

T1 UN R117 Track

L3 Battery Lab

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3. TAI’s Activities in Next Generation Vehicle Area: Standardization

• UN R100 Standard testing

• Testing for R&D

• Technical service

TAI’s activities | 1. Set up EV standard master plan

| 2. Battery laboratoryBattery lab testing capabilities

Mechanical integrity

External short circuit protection

Overcharge protection

Over-discharge protection

Over temperature protection

Mechanical shock

Thermal shock

Fire resistance

Vibration

UN R100 Standard testing

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ตวัอยา่งผลจากการทดสอบแบตเตอรี่

ภาพจาก Internet

หอ้งนิรภยัส าหรบัการทดสอบแบตเตอรี่ เซลล ์แบตเตอรีเ่กดิการบวมและอาจตดิไฟไดข้ณะทดสอบ

D e c a d e o f c h a n g e i n a u t o m o t i v e b u s i n e s s

3. TAI’s Activities in Next Generation Vehicle Area: Human Resource Development

TAI’s activities | 1. EV Training course

| 2. EV Technology & Innovation Learning center

EV Training course in 2019

1. Fundamentals of Electric Vehicle Technologies

2. Battery Technology for Electric Vehicle

D e c a d e o f c h a n g e i n a u t o m o t i v e b u s i n e s s

3. TAI’s Activities in Next Generation Vehicle Area: Human Resource Development

TAI’s activities | 1. EV Training course

| 2. EV Technology & Innovation Learning center EV Technology & Innovation Learning center

It is set up to provide knowledge to entrepreneurs. Recently, There are the study of EV parts disassembly, the design of cooling system of the EV battery, the database of Thai EV entrepreneurs, and many more.

D e c a d e o f c h a n g e i n a u t o m o t i v e b u s i n e s s

3. TAI’s Activities in Next Generation Vehicle Area: Next Generation Automotive Research Center

TAI’s activities | 1. Think-tank of Thailand automotive industry

| 2. Analyze data and provide essential information for both public and private sectors

Next Generation Automotive Research CenterNext Generation Automotive Research Center was established in order to gather essential

information of global automotive industry and automotive technology knowledge and provide analyzed data and information to both public and private sector

Data

Catching up with

Global automotive industry

Automotive technology knowledge

Analyze data and provide essential information for Government to set the appropriate policies for development

of Thai automotive industry Private sectors to plan their business.

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4. Vehicle Emission Standard

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HC

NOx

PMCO

Euro 1

Euro 2Euro 3

Euro 4Euro 51

Euro 61

1.510.500.511.522.530.2

1.2

0.8

0.6

0.4

0.2

1

Diesel Passenger Car Emission Limit (g/km)

1.510.500.511.522.53

PMCO

HC

NOx

0.2

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

Gasoline Passenger Car Emission Limit (g/km)

90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22

Euro1 Euro2 Euro3 Euro4 Euro5 Euro6

Euro1 Euro2 Euro3 Euro4 Euro5

4. Vehicle Emission Standard: Euro emission Standard for Passenger Car

Euro 3

Euro 52 / 61

Euro 2

Euro 1

1 Include PM quantity limit 6x10^11 particles/ km. 2 Euro 5 = Euro 4 + PM Emission Limit (g/km)

Euro 4Current Use3

3 Source: EEA air pollutant emission inventory guidebook 2016 – Update Jul. 2018

Current Use3

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4. Vehicle Emission Standard: Way to reduce Vehicle Tailpipe Emissions

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THANK YOU | ขอบคุณครับ

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