T i t l e

Climate Change

C3S Service for Water Indicators in Climate Change Adaptation (SWICCA) Berit Arheimer, SMHI

Copernicus klimattjänst (C3S) för klimatanpassning inom Vattensektorn (SWICCA)Berit Arheimer, SMHI

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S e c t o r i a l I n f o r m a t i o n S y s t e m : P o C W A T E R

• ‘Proof-of-Concept’ in C3S for Sectorial Information System

• Nov. 2015 – Feb. 2018:

– Co-design a web service with users (Knowledge Purveyors)

– Define & Provide Climate Change Indicators (CII)

– Evaluate user uptake

• http://swicca.climate.copernicus.eu/

ClimateChange • The importance of ‘Knowledge Purveyors’

= consultant engineers or agencies operating in water management

= interface between Climate Services and Climate adaptation

G a p A n a l y s i s i n u s e r e n g a g e m e n t

Management decisions

Integration with other management aspects

Shared accumulated knowledge in decision support

Indicators integrated with local data and tools

Customised Products; ECVs and indicators tailored to user needs

Modelled and integrated Data, e.g. Climate change impact indicators

Information Service, including functions for data search, standards, visualisation

Monitoring (Earth Observations, Global models and in-situ data)

Data vo

lum

e (d

ecre

asing)

PROVIDER

PURVEYOR

CLIENT

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C o - d e s i g n w i t h K n o w l e d g e P u r v e y o r s

• Local SMEs/Agencies interacting with Clients in 15 case-studiesResource allocation (multiple use)➢ Climate-proof Irrigation Strategies, IT➢ Snow Effects on Water Availability, SP➢ Extensive Drought Operations, SP

Risk management➢ Climate Change and Flash-Floods, AT➢ Warnings for Extreme River Floods, SL➢ Risk for River Flooding in Lake-rich Regions, SE

Ecological status➢ Environmental flows and point source emissions, GR➢ Climate-proof River Water Balance, IT➢ Predicting Change in Lake Ecosystems, SE➢ Climate Change Effects on Water Quality, SE

Water related industry➢ Drinking water in a future climate, SE➢ Inland Navigation (Rhine River), DE➢ Future proof region and brewery chain, NL➢ Water demand and supply of metallurgy sector, GR➢ Hydro Power production in a future climate, SE

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S h o w c a s e s i n S W I C C A : C l i m a t e a d a p t a t i o n !http://swicca.climate.copernicus.eu/

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C o - d e s i g n w i t h K n o w l e d g e P u r v e y o r s

• ≈1000 datasets (May 2017): visualisation, download, guidance, tutorials….

9

3

5

4

1

3

Model ensemble

No.tools:

45 CII:s

3 temperature

7 precipitation

10 water

12 water quality

2 air

4 socio-economic

4 ECV:s

Temperature

Precipitation

River flow

Unregulated river flow

SWICCA variables

Spatial resolution0.5 degree grid (50 km)0.1 degree grid (12 km)5 km gridCatchments (mean: 215 km2)

Time slicesReference period (1971-2000)Early century (2011-2040) Mid-century (2041-2070) End-century (2071-2100)

Transient time-series (ECVs)

RCPs: 2.6; 4.5; 8.5

Visualisation and Downloads

CDS? User requestsUser requests

Knowledge Purveyor

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S W I C C A c o n t e n t : M a p s

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S W I C C A c o n t e n t : G r a p h s a n d D o w n l o a d s

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S W I C C A c o n t e n t : S e a s o n a l F o r e c a s t s

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S W I C C A c o n t e n t : U s e r g u i d a n c e

– Climate science is difficult and the climate signal is not clear….

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S W I C C A c o n t e n t : K e y m e s s a g e s

– Climate science is difficult and the climate signal is not clear….

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S W I C C A c o n t e n t : C o n f i d e n c e a n d R o b u s t n e s s

– Climate science is difficult and the climate signal is not clear….

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S W I C C A c o n t e n t : ‘ T e a c h t h e T e a c h e r s ’

– purveyors need to understand to be able to communicate results with clients

Climate Services Training (Wageningen 13–15 March 2017)

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?

P r o d u c t i o n b e h i n d S W I C C A i n d i c a t o r s

General Circulation

Models

Regional Climate

Models

Impact Models

Knowledge

Purveyors

Water

Manager

Bias-adjustment

& Scaling

Climate Service

Method

choice

Wh

at?

How? What? Where?

http://swicca.climate.copernicus.eu/

AQUACLEW

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N e w R e s e a r c h P r o j e c t i n E U J P I

• The AQUACLEW project will continue development of SIS for WATER management

• Sept. 2017- Sept. 2020

• 8 partners from 6 European countries (SE, SP, AT, DE, FR, DK)

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D o m e a f a v o u r : G i v e F E E D B A C K ! ! !

What do you prioritise most in a climate service:• Guidance?

• Data quality?

• User friendliness of web interface?

• Technical tools?

• Key messages?

• Maps and graphs?

• Data downloads?

• Reliability at the local scale?

• Support service?

• Showcases?

• Hands-on training?

• Anything else? (suggestions are Welcome!)

Please, fill in prio on the Big Papers!

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T h a n k y o u , f r o m t h e S W I C C A t e a m !