cguMCIcase

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

  • 7/30/2019 cguMCIcase

    1/20

    MCI Communications Corp.1983

    Nathan Lyons-Smith

    12/14/2009

  • 7/30/2019 cguMCIcase

    2/20

    2

    Contents

    Executive Summary ....................................................................................................................................... 3

    Introduction .................................................................................................................................................. 4

    Background ................................................................................................................................................... 4

    Before the First Antitrust Suit (Before May 1974) .................................................................................... 4

    Before the Second Antitrust Suit (June 1974 January 1982) ................................................................. 4

    After the Second Antitrust Suit (February 1982 Today) ........................................................................ 4

    SWOT Analysis Pre AT&T Breakup ............................................................................................................. 5

    SWOT Analysis Post AT&T Breakup ........................................................................................................... 5

    MCIs Past Financial Strategy ........................................................................................................................ 6

    MCI Financial Analysis for Growth ................................................................................................................ 7

    Calculation of Cost of Debt and Cost of Equity ......................................................................................... 7

    Calculation of MCIs Future Financial Needs ............................................................................................ 8

    Conclusion ..................................................................................................................................................... 9

    Appendix 1 Pre AT&T Breakup ................................................................................................................. 10

    Appendix 2 Post AT&T Breakup ............................................................................................................... 11

    Appendix 3 Chronology of Significant Events .......................................................................................... 12

    Appendix 4 MCI Beta Calculation ............................................................................................................. 13

    Appendix 5 S&P 500 Data Set 1 (1980-1983) ........................................................................................... 14

    Appendix 6 S&P 500 Data Set 2 (1980-1983) ........................................................................................... 15

    Appendix 7 Risk Free Rate T-Bill Average 1980-1983 ........................................................................... 16

    Appendix 8 Calculation of MCIs rD .......................................................................................................... 17

    Appendix 9 Calculation of MCI Required rE.............................................................................................. 17

    Appendix 10 Table of Rates...................................................................................................................... 17

    Appendix 11 MCI Pro Forma Balance Sheet ............................................................................................ 18

    Appendix 12 MCI Pro Forma Sources and Uses ....................................................................................... 19

    Appendix 13 MCI Pro Forma Income Statement ..................................................................................... 19

    Appendix 14 MCI Proposed Financial Moves ........................................................................................... 20

    Appendix 15 Financial Ratio Analysis ($ billions) ..................................................................................... 20

  • 7/30/2019 cguMCIcase

    3/20

    3

    Executive SummaryMCI has been providing long distance telecommunication services for several years. The

    company has seen its revenue grow from almost nothing in FY1974, to more than $1 billion in FY1983.

    The company has had problems from AT&T unfairly using its monopoly and from the FCC passing

    regulation against MCIs services. Each time this has happened, the courts have ruled in MCIs favor,

    and MCI has continued to grow. Recently, the FCC has broken up the AT&T monopoly and forced it to

    compete on fairer terms. This has given MCI the opportunity to steal a large chunk of market share

    from AT&T, but MCI would need to obtain funds and grow in order to do this.

    The company has raised capital in the past by issuing convertible preferred stock and

    debentures that allow MCI to convert the debt into equity and take on additional debt. The cost of debt

    for MCI was significant, but MCI needed the money for growth. MCIs gamble paid off and the growth

    outpaced the expense. The growth in the stock has enabled them to convert the old debt and take on

    new debt, allowing them to further grow.

    MCI is in an excellent strategic and financial position for growth. The market share is theirs for

    the taking, they have excellent debt history and financial ratios, they have $550 million in cash, and their

    stock price is $47 per share. The Pro Forma Balance Sheet, Sources and Uses, and Income Statement

    show that MCI is going to need significant capital moving forward. MCI will need to get this capital from

    the market, first from the sale of common stock and then from the sale of convertible debentures. Their

    cost of debt is calculated to be 12.46% and their required return on equity is calculated to be 16.17%.

    The additional debt and plant and equipment growth will allow MCI to grow from the 1983

    revenue level of $1.1 billion to the expected 1990 revenue level of $10.6 billion. The changes will help

    MCI become a big player in the long-distance telecommunications industry and will provide a strong

    base for future operations of the company.

  • 7/30/2019 cguMCIcase

    4/20

    4

    IntroductionMCI needs to determine what its financial policy should be for the next few years so that it can

    capitalize on its market position and grow into a hugely profitable company. MCI needs to determine its

    strategic position, financial structure, and capital needs necessary for its potential growth.

    BackgroundMCI has been providing long distance telecommunication services for years. The company has

    revenue growth from almost nothing in FY1974, to more than $1 billion in FY1983. In the last two years,

    MCIs stock price has increased five-fold. MCI operates in an industry historically plagued by a strong

    monopoly (AT&T) and government involvement via the Federal Communications Commission (FCC). The

    company background can be broken down into three eras based on antitrust lawsuit decisions.

    Before the First Antitrust Suit (Before May 1974)In 1971, the FCC allowed new long distance companies to compete, and MCI began construction

    of its telecommunications network. MCI wanted more growth, but AT&T was refusing interconnection

    services. MCI sued AT&T in 1974, won the suit, and resumed construction of its network.

    Before the Second Antitrust Suit (June 1974 January 1982)MCI started turning a profit in 1976 with its successful Execunet service. The service allowed

    MCI to attract small business subscribers who could not afford a dedicated long-distance line. MCI

    became very profitable and exhausted its tax loss carry forward by the end of FY1981. MCI began

    offering Execunet type services to residential customers, and saw the potential growth, yet they were

    constrained by their lack of investment capital. SVP Brian Thompson noted that MCI needed more

    funds, saying, Economies of scale and scope are everything in this business.

    After the Second Antitrust Suit (February 1982 Today)MCIs main competitor, AT&T, has been the target of recent antitrust lawsuits that stand to

    significantly change the landscape of the telecommunications business. The settlement calls for the

  • 7/30/2019 cguMCIcase

    5/20

    5

    separation of AT&T long distance from its local telephone company subsidiaries. AT&T Communications

    would now compete directly with MCI, GTE, and ITT. The newly independent local telephone companies

    would be forced to provide equal quality of access to all providers, and therefore the rates paid by MCI

    would have to rise by about 80% in 1984. MCI will have the opportunity to take some of AT&Ts 95%

    market share but MCIs cost advantages will erode and AT&Ts competitive flexibility will increase.

    SWOT Analysis Pre AT&T BreakupMCI had many strengths before the breakup of AT&T. The Execunet service and the acquisition

    of Xerox and Western Union International were profitable. Their capital structure and financing had

    allowed them to continually increase capital and expand. Additionally, they had a cost advantage over

    AT&T. However, they still lacked additional investment capital and market share.

    MCIs opportunities included huge possible growth in the residential Execunet market and small

    growth in market share and plant and equipment. Their threats came from the AT&T monopoly and FCC

    regulation. MCI was in an excellent position for mild growth before the AT&T breakup, but they were

    not really ready to go full steam ahead because they faced the monopoly. The AT&T breakup will put

    them in a better position. The Pre AT&T Breakup SWOT is shown in Appendix 1.

    SWOT Analysis Post AT&T BreakupThe FCCs breakup of AT&T created all new SWOT for MCI. They still had their successful

    Execunet business. They may still enjoy their lower costs for a small time period but they no longer have

    the burden of the AT&T monopoly. Their stock value is at an all-time high and they have $550 million in

    cash. Their weaknesses still are their lack of additional investment capital and lack of market share.

    They are also facing an erosion of competitive advantage due to the FCC ruling.

    MCIs new opportunities include stealing some of AT&Ts 95% market and they can do this by

    using their high stock value and cash. Their interest coverage ratio is high suggesting that they can

  • 7/30/2019 cguMCIcase

    6/20

    6

    easily handle more debt. They should be able to leverage their financial policy to raise capital and

    expand. Additionally they have the opportunity to implement a new product, MCI Mail. MCIs new

    threat is that AT&T will try to compete on price. The Post AT&T Breakup SWOT is shown in Appendix 2.

    MCIs Past Financial StrategyMCI has had several successful capital campaigns in the past. Their first fundraising attempts

    carried higher interest rates because MCI was a riskier company at the time. MCI often secured loans by

    offering them with put warrants on their stock shares. After MCI began to be profitable, they were able

    to use a tax loss carry forward to reduce their taxable income.

    When the Execunet program began to generate significant profits, MCI again needed capital to

    expand. In 1978, MCI had the opportunity to accelerate their growth with additional capital. MCIs

    previous loans had covenants on them preventing further debt, but MCI was able to circumvent this

    restriction by paying off the loans. Eventually MCI was able to enter the public capital markets and raise

    money by selling convertible preferred stock. Preferred stock offered dividends to the holders and

    allowed them to convert to common stock. MCI used this method so that they would not deflate the

    value of their common stock. The dividend was also a tax shield for corporate investors since MCI still

    had carry forward tax losses. Lastly, there was a call provision on the preferred stock that could be

    exercised by MCI and forced the holders to convert to common stock. This would prevent preferred

    stock from draining cash flows. Because MCIs stock was steadily rising, MCI was able to issue preferred

    stock, convert it to common stock in several months, retire the old debt, and take on new debt.

    MCI also began selling subordinated debentures and convertible debentures. These debentures

    were eventually converted into common stock, and MCI was able to continue taking on even more debt.

    The company was very profitable and, even though the number of common shares was growing, the

    stock value was also growing. The rates on MCIs debt were high, but the company was so profitable

    that it was able to easily cover the interest expense.

  • 7/30/2019 cguMCIcase

    7/20

    7

    MCI was able to expertly use debt to leverage the company and explode with the growth in the

    market. They sold convertible securities, converted them to common stock, and took on more debt.

    This process was repeated many times, each time allowing MCI to continue to grow further through the

    increase in capital. When MCI issued these debts, it was taking a very large risk. The interest rates were

    high, and the company would have very serious financial problems if they were not able to grow.

    Management had significant confidence in the company and issued the high cost debt because they

    believed that the cost of debt was secondary to the need for available funds to grow. It was a great

    gamble, but it turned out that they were right. A chronology of significant MCI events is shown in

    Appendix 3. MCI now needs to figure out how to position itself for the future growth opportunities.

    MCI Financial Analysis for GrowthMCI believes it has a great opportunity for growth; however, it needs to figure out several

    financial structure questions. MCI needs to determine out how much money it is going to need in the

    coming years, where it can get that money, and how much it is going to cost them.

    Calculation of Cost of Debt and Cost of EquityThe first part of the process is to calculate the cost of the money; the required return on debt

    (rD) and the required return on equity (rE). To do this, an equity Beta for MCI is needed. This was done

    by comparing MCI returns to S&P 500 returns for a period of 3 years and a period of 5 years. The Betas

    were vastly different and so the Beta for the 3 year period was used so that the more current correlation

    could be used. MCI has been dramatically changing over the past 3 years and it would be more

    appropriate to use the more recent equity beta value. The equity beta value is 1.822 (Appendix 4).

    After calculating the beta, the next step is to calculate an Expected return on the market from

    equity investors. To do this, data from two different S&P 500 data sets was used and the monthly

    returns were calculated. The average monthly return was near 1.00%, giving a compounded yearly

  • 7/30/2019 cguMCIcase

    8/20

    8

    return of around 12.75%. This data is tabulated in Appendix 5 and Appendix 6. The data sets extend

    from 1980 to March 1983, similar to the beta calculation.

    The next step involves determining a risk-free rate of return. This was calculated using the

    average return on the 13-week t-bill for the same 1980 to 1983 period. The corresponding data is

    shown in Appendix 7 and the calculated risk-free rate is 11.72%.

    Exhibit 7 from the case was used to calculate the required return on debt for MCI. The average

    return of the MCI bonds from 1980 to 1983 was taken and calculated to be rD = 12.46%. This is very high

    considering the expected market rate is only 12.75%. To account for this, the average return for Utilities

    Preferred Stock (Medium) was calculated and found to be 14.17%. This was the value used for the

    expected return for the market (instead of the 12.75%) because it was calculated from similar

    companies preferred stock. This data and corresponding calculations are shown in Appendix 8.

    The calculation for the required return on equity (rE), using the CAPM, is shown in Appendix 9.

    The calculation shows that MCIs cost of equity is 16.17%. All of the rates are shown in Appendix 10.

    Calculation of MCIs Future Financial Needs

    Exhibit 9A of the case projected MCIs capital investment needs for FY1984 FY1990. These

    rates, and the data in the case, were used to create Pro Forma Balance Sheet, Sources and Uses, and

    Income Statement for the corresponding fiscal years. These are shown in Appendix 11, 12, 13

    respectively. The Pro Forma statements show that MCI is going to need significant cash in order to

    undertake the capital investment plans that will allow it to achieve the 20% market share that it desires.

    The projections call for capital expenditures ranging from $890 million in FY1984 to $2.76 billion in

    FY1987. MCI does not generate that much cash, and so it needs to generate additional capital.

    The proposed means of generating this additional capital are tabulated in Appendix 14. MCI will

    begin by selling $481 million in common stock in the same manner that it has sold it in the past. The

    share price is currently $47 per share and MCI needs to capitalize on the high value of the shares while it

  • 7/30/2019 cguMCIcase

    9/20

    9

    can. This amount will satisfy MCIs needs for 1984. From 1985 to 1989, MCI will sell convertible

    debentures in the same manner that it has in the past. The debentures will be convertible so that MCI

    can add them to the common stock and then continue to issue more debt. The cost of this debt is the

    calculated rD (12.46%) although it may be lower considering that recent interest rates have been

    significantly lower. Each year from 1985 to 1989, MCI will take on additional debt and convert some of

    the older debt (although the conversion was not taken into account in the financial statements). The

    proposed additional debt will give MCI the money it needs to execute all of its expansion plans and take

    advantage of the FCC breakup of AT&T.

    The additional debt will change MCIs financial ratios to be more in line with other pure-play

    competitors. This effect is shown in Appendix 15. MCIs current ratio will drop and its debt ratio will

    rise. If MCI continues to be profitable, it will have no problem converting the debt or paying it down.

    The revenue will greatly increase and MCI will be able to compete on more even terms with AT&T.

    ConclusionMCI is poised to be very profitable, but they need the capital infusion that will enable the

    growth. MCI has an excellent history of taking on debt, converting it into equity, and taking on

    additional debt. The company should continue to do this, especially as it experiences astounding

    growth. MCIs calculated cost of equity and cost of debt are reasonable, and should allow MCI to

    borrow the money from the public and private sectors and put it to use growing the company. If growth

    does not hit target levels, MCI needs only to slow down their proposed increase in debt. If growth

    exceeds target levels, MCI will need to search for more capital so that it can capitalize on the new

    possibilities. MCI has a great opportunity ahead of itself because of the FCC breakup of AT&T, and the

    company needs to be ready to step into the vacuum created by the breakup. They need to obtain the

    required capital shown in Appendix 14, so that the company can take advantage of its growth potential.

  • 7/30/2019 cguMCIcase

    10/20

    10

    Appendix 1 Pre AT&T Breakup

    Strengths:

    Execunet Service (business +residential)

    Tax loss carry forward

    Acquistions of Zerox and WesternUnion International

    Financial lending terms

    Lower fees to local telephonenetworks

    Weaknesses:

    Lack of investment capital

    Lack of market share

    Opportunities:

    Residential growth in execunet

    Possibility of expanding market

    Expanding capital investment

    Threats:

    FCC regulation

    AT&T abusing their power andfreezing MCI out of the market

    GTE, ITT competition

  • 7/30/2019 cguMCIcase

    11/20

    11

    Appendix 2 Post AT&T Breakup

    Strengths:

    Execunet Service (business +residential)

    FCC Lifted restrictions

    High stock value

    $550 million in cash

    Weaknesses:

    Lack of investment capital

    Lack of market share

    Erosion of competitive advantage

    Opportunities:

    Growth into AT&T's 95% marketshare

    Use of high stock value and $550million cash

    High interest coverage ratio

    Use of financial policy to getinvestment capital

    MCI Mail

    Threats:

    AT&T Competition and abuse

    GTE, ITT competition

    FCC meddling

    Increased fees and competition

    from AT&T

  • 7/30/2019 cguMCIcase

    12/20

    12

    Appendix 3 Chronology of Significant Events

  • 7/30/2019 cguMCIcase

    13/20

    13

    Appendix 4 MCI Beta Calculation

  • 7/30/2019 cguMCIcase

    14/20

    14

    Appendix 5 S&P 500 Data Set 1 (1980-1983)From http://www.econstats.com/eqty/eqem_mi_1.csv

    Month %Chg for Month Average Monthly Return 1.01%

    1983-03 3.309 Compounded Yearly Return 12.75%

    1983-02 1.9

    1983-01 3.313

    1982-12 1.523

    1982-11 3.597

    1982-10 11.045

    1982-09 0.761

    1982-08 11.598

    1982-07 -2.299

    1982-06 -2.029

    1982-05 -3.916

    1982-04 4.0011982-03 -1.017

    1982-02 -6.055

    1982-01 -1.754

    1981-12 -3.008 1980-12 -3.387

    1981-11 3.659 1980-11 10.238

    1981-10 4.915 1980-10 1.602

    1981-09 -5.383 1980-09 2.517

    1981-08 -6.21 1980-08 0.584

    1981-07 -0.221 1980-07 6.504

    1981-06 -1.041 1980-06 2.6971981-05 -0.166 1980-05 4.657

    1981-04 -2.346 1980-04 4.114

    1981-03 3.603 1980-03 -10.179

    1981-02 1.328 1980-02 -0.438

    1981-01 -4.574 1980-01 5.762

  • 7/30/2019 cguMCIcase

    15/20

    15

    Appendix 6 S&P 500 Data Set 2 (1980-1983)From - http://finance.yahoo.com/q/hp?s=^GSPC&a=00&b=1&c=1980&d=02&e=1&f=1983&g=m

    Date Open Close % Change

    3/1/1983 148.07 150.88 0.018978 Average 0.97%

    2/1/1983 145.29 148.06 0.019065 Yearly 12.22%

    1/3/1983 140.65 145.3 0.033061

    12/1/1982 138.56 140.64 0.015012

    11/1/1982 133.72 138.53 0.035971

    10/1/1982 120.4 133.72 0.110631

    9/1/1982 119.52 120.42 0.00753

    8/2/1982 107.71 119.51 0.109553

    7/1/1982 109.52 107.09 -0.02219

    6/1/1982 111.97 109.61 -0.02108

    5/3/1982 115.96 111.88 -0.03518

    4/1/1982 111.96 116.44 0.0400143/1/1982 113.11 111.96 -0.01017

    2/1/1982 119.81 113.11 -0.05592

    1/4/1982 122.55 120.4 -0.01754

    12/1/1981 126.35 122.55 -0.03008

    11/2/1981 122.35 126.35 0.032693

    10/1/1981 116.18 121.89 0.049148

    9/1/1981 122.79 116.18 -0.05383

    8/3/1981 130.92 122.79 -0.0621

    7/1/1981 131.21 130.92 -0.00221

    6/1/1981 132.59 131.21 -0.010415/1/1981 132.81 132.59 -0.00166

    4/1/1981 136 132.81 -0.02346

    3/2/1981 131.27 136 0.036033

    2/2/1981 129.48 131.27 0.013825

    1/2/1981 135.76 129.55 -0.04574

    12/1/1980 140.52 135.76 -0.03387

    11/3/1980 127.47 140.52 0.102377

    10/1/1980 125.46 127.47 0.016021

    9/2/1980 122.38 125.46 0.025168

    8/1/1980 121.67 122.38 0.0058357/1/1980 114.24 121.67 0.065039

    6/2/1980 111.24 114.24 0.026969

    5/1/1980 106.29 111.24 0.046571

    4/1/1980 102.09 106.29 0.04114

    3/3/1980 113.66 102.09 -0.10179

    2/1/1980 114.16 113.66 -0.00438

    1/2/1980 107.94 114.16 0.057625

  • 7/30/2019 cguMCIcase

    16/20

    16

    Appendix 7 Risk Free Rate T-Bill Average 1980-1983From - http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/data/TB3MS.txt

    1980-01-01 12.00 AVERAGE 11.72

    1980-02-01 12.861980-03-01 15.20

    1980-04-01 13.20

    1980-05-01 8.58

    1980-06-01 7.07

    1980-07-01 8.06

    1980-08-01 9.13

    1980-09-01 10.27

    1980-10-01 11.62 1982-01-01 12.28

    1980-11-01 13.73 1982-02-01 13.48

    1980-12-01 15.49 1982-03-01 12.681981-01-01 15.02 1982-04-01 12.70

    1981-02-01 14.79 1982-05-01 12.09

    1981-03-01 13.36 1982-06-01 12.47

    1981-04-01 13.69 1982-07-01 11.35

    1981-05-01 16.30 1982-08-01 8.68

    1981-06-01 14.73 1982-09-01 7.92

    1981-07-01 14.95 1982-10-01 7.71

    1981-08-01 15.51 1982-11-01 8.07

    1981-09-01 14.70 1982-12-01 7.94

    1981-10-01 13.54 1983-01-01 7.861981-11-01 10.86 1983-02-01 8.11

    1981-12-01 10.85 1983-03-01 8.35

  • 7/30/2019 cguMCIcase

    17/20

    17

    Appendix 8 Calculation of MCIs rD

    MCI Average rD = 12.46%

    Utility Medium Preferred Stock 14.17%

    Industrials Utilities

    Bonds Preferred Stock Bonds Preferred Stock

    Issue Date A BBB Medium Speculative A BBB Medium

    MCI

    Bonds

    Dec. 1978 9.17% 9.76% 9.45% 10.34% 9.50% 9.78% 10.48% 10.56%

    Sept. 1979 9.74% 10.41% 9.76% 11.53% 10.05% 10.51% 10.97% 12.00%

    Jul. 1980 11.35% 11.74% 10.56% 10.91% 11.54% 12.60% 12.32% 15.00%

    Oct. 1980 12.92% 13.03% 11.43% 11.98% 12.79% 14.14% 14.32% 12.27%

    Apr. 1981 13.29% 14.18% 13.19% 13.65% 14.01% 15.17% 15.12% 16.80%

    Aug. 1981 16.25% 17.25% 13.46% 14.99% 17.50% 18.00% 15.85% 10.25%

    May 1982 15.50% 16.50% 13.16% 14.62% 16.25% 17.00% 14.93% 10.00%

    Sept. 1982 13.75% 14.63% 13.21% 14.49% 14.00% 15.13% 14.11% 15.17%Mar. 1983 12.50% 13.00% 11.36% 12.67% 12.75% 13.25% 12.51% 7.75%

    Appendix 9 Calculation of MCI Required rE

    = + = 11.72% + 1.822 14.17% 11.72% = 16.17%

    Appendix 10 Table of Rates

    1980-1983 Value

    MCI Beta 1.822

    S&P 500 (market) 12.75%

    Utility Rate 14.17%

    Risk-free T-Bill Rate 11.72%

    MCI Required rE 16.17%

    MCI Required rD 12.46%

  • 7/30/2019 cguMCIcase

    18/20

    18

    Appendix 11 MCI Pro Forma Balance Sheet

    Market Share 4% 6.20% 9.60% 13.50% 18.60% 19.80% 20% 20%

    1983 1984E 1985E 1986E 1987E 1988E 1989E 1990E

    Cash and equiv. 542 442 342 192 99 99 99 165 Note AR 162 251 389 547 753 802 810 810 Note

    Other 9 14 22 30 42 45 45 45 Note

    Current Assets 713 707 752 769 894 945 954 1,020

    Plant, Equip. 1,324 2,041 3,236 4,755 6,914 7,622 7,902 8,136 Note

    Other 27 51 79 111 153 163 165 165 Note

    Total Assets 2,064 2,799 4,068 5,636 7,962 8,731 9,021 9,321

    AP 251 389 602 847 1,167 1,242 1,255 1,255 Note

    Taxes 22 34 53 74 102 109 110 110 Note

    Short-term debt 48 48 48 48 48 48 48 48 Note

    Current Liabilities 321 471 703 969 1,317 1,399 1,413 1,413

    ong-term debt 896 896 1,951 3,162 5,036 5,498 5,511 5,511 Note

    Deferred taxes 88 153 241 347 467 607 753 893 Note

    Total Liabilities 1,305 1,520 2,895 4,478 6,820 7,504 7,677 7,817

    Preferred stock (par) - - - - - - - - Note

    Common stock (par) 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 Note

    Surplus capital paid in 576 1,057 1,057 1,057 1,057 1,057 1,057 1,057 Note

    Retained earnings 171 210 104 89 72 158 275 435 Note

    Total Liabilities, net

    worth 2,064 2,799 4,068 5,636 7,962 8,731 9,021 9,321

    Note A - Cash used for investment

    Note B - Growth based on market share

    Note C - Based on Exhibit 9A in Case

    Note D - No change in short-term debt

    Note E - Long term debt issued to raise funds for P&E

    Note F - Preferred stock kept at 0, Common stock kept at 12

    Note G - Common stock sold to raise funds for P&E

  • 7/30/2019 cguMCIcase

    19/20

    19

    Appendix 12 MCI Pro Forma Sources and Uses1983 1984E 1985E 1986E 1987E 1988E 1989E 1990E

    Funds from Operations

    Retained earnings 171 210 104 89 72 158 275 435 Note A

    Depreciation 109 173 272 412 601 749 800 826 Note A

    Other 57 70 92 112 126 148 155 148 Note B

    Total 337 453 468 613 799 1,055 1,230 1,409

    External Financing

    Net increase in lease obligations (18) 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 Note C

    Other net borrowing, sale of securities 842 481 1,055 1,211 1,874 462 13 - Note D

    Total 824 501 1,075 1,231 1,894 482 33 20

    Total sources 1,161 954 1,543 1,844 2,693 1,537 1,263 1,429

    Uses of Funds

    Investment in Plant and Equip 623 890 1,467 1,931 2,760 1,457 1,080 1,060 Note A

    Acquisitions 195 - - - - - - - Note E

    Increase in working capital (55) 164 176 63 26 80 183 303 Note F

    Change in cash holdings 398 (100) (100) (150) (93) - - 66 Note G

    Total Uses 1,161 954 1,543 1,844 2,693 1,537 1,263 1,429

    Note A - Based on Exhibit 9A in Case

    Note B - Deferred Taxes increase + Employee Stock Purchase Plan

    Note C - Average over past 6 years

    Note D - Capital raised

    Note E - Assumed no more acquisition, just investment in P&E

    Note F - Adjusted for assumed need

    Appendix 13 MCI Pro Forma Income Statement

    1983 1984E 1985E 1986E 1987E 1988E 1989E 1990E

    Revenue 1,073 1,850 3,160 4,870 7,380 8,660 9,600 10,560

    Operating Income 295 380 390 590 890 1,125 1,345 1,580

    Interest expense 75 100 231 382 616 673 675 675 Note A

    Interest income 21 13 3 4 4 5 5 5

    Profit before tax 241 293 162 212 278 457 675 910

    Tax provision 70 83 58 123 206 299 400 475

    Net income 171 210 104 89 72 158 275 435

    Preferred dividends - - - - - - - -

    Incomefor common stock 171 210 104 89 72 158 275 435

    Note A - Increases as increased Debt taken on

  • 7/30/2019 cguMCIcase

    20/20

    20

    Appendix 14 MCI Proposed Financial Moves

    1984E 1985E 1986E 1987E 1988E 1989E 1990E

    Common Stock 481

    Convertible Debentures 1,055 1,211 1,874 462 13

    Appendix 15 Financial Ratio Analysis ($ billions)

    1983

    MCI 1990E MCI AT&T GTE ITT

    Revenue 10.6 1.1 65.1 12.1 16

    Net income 0.43 0.17 6.99 0.9 0.7

    Assets 9.3 2.1 148.2 21.9 14.1

    RoS 26.50% 15.90% 10.7 7.4 4.4

    RoA 10.2% 11% 8.6 4.1 4.8

    RoE 28.9% 32.40% 12.2 15.6 12.7

    Debt ratio 79% 55% 43% 57% 38%

    Current ratio 0.72 2 0.9 1 1.3

    Interest coverage 2.3 4.2 3.6 2.4 2.5