8/14/2019 IL-10: Anzalone Liszt 8-10-2009 Poll

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August 7, 2009

To: Interested Parties

Fr: Jeff LisztRe: Summary of Democratic Primary Polling Results in Illinois CD-10

Dan Seals begins the 2010 campaign for Congress with a dominating 55-point lead over JulieHamos and Elliot Richardson. Although Hamoss campaign is touting early support from

political insiders, rank and file voters know and like Dan Seals better than the other candidates in

the race by a wide margin. Voters believe Seals paid his dues when the going was tough, andhas earned another chance to run for Congress.

Seals Dominates Hamos and Richardson with nearly two-thirds of the vote

Dan Seals starts the race for Congress with 63% of the vote (six points higher than he

polled against Jay Footlik in November of 2007). Julie Hamos trails badly, with just 8%,followed by Elliot Richardson with 2%. With just 27% of voters undecided, Hamos

could win every undecided voter, and still come up 28 points short.

Seals has run over 4000 GRPs of television in his races against Mark Kirk, which

combined with his commitment to grass-roots campaigning gives him strong name

identification (70% favorable / 13% unfavorable). His total name identification (83%)dwarfs Hamoss (18%). In fact, the percentage of Democratic primary voters who are

very favorable towards Seals (27%) is higher than Hamoss total name identification

(18%). In this very difficult and expensive media market, Seals' head start will be

extremely difficult to overcome.

Hamos has limited expansion potential

Seals's is strong across demographic lines, which limits Hamos's ability to expand with

her natural constituencies. His favorable ratings are higher with women (74% favorable)

than with men (66% favorable). He is at 70% favorable with Jewish voters (71%favorable), Catholics (70% favorable), and Protestants alike (70% favorable).

Just as important as Sealss lead is the solidity of his support. After voters hear basicpositive information about both candidates, Seals maintains a 30-point lead over Hamos

(55% Seals / 25% Hamos). Hamoss profile is not strong enough to make a real dent in

Sealss lead, and with a February primary she only has six months to catch up.

Voters believe Dan Seals has earned the chance to run again

Given the choice, two-thirds of voters (67%) say, Dan Seals believed in this race when

nobody else did. He almost beat Republican Mark Kirk twice and has earned a chanceto run for Congress again. Just 23% say, Dan Seals has already run for Congress

twice and lost. Its time to give somebody new a chance to run for Congress.

Anzalone Liszt Research conducted N=405 live telephone interviews with likely 2010 Democratic primary election voters in IL

CD-10. Interviews were conducted between August 3-6, 2009. Respondents were selected at random, with interviews apportioned

geographically based on past voter turnout. Expected margin of sampling error is 4.9% with a 95% confidence level.