Cuomo_YNN MARIST POLL

8/3/2019 Cuomo_YNN MARIST POLL

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Marist College Institute for Public OpinionPoughkeepsie, NY 12601 Phone 845.575.5050 Fax 845.575.5111www.maristpoll.marist.edu

NY1/YNN-Maris t Pol l

New York Voters More Optimistic

About Direction of the State*** Complete Tables for Poll Appended ***

For Immediate Release: Wednesday, January 25, 2012

Contact: Lee M. Miringoff

Barbara L. Carvalho

Mary E. Azzoli

Marist College

845.575.5050

This NY1/YNN-Marist Poll Reports:

For the first time in nearly a decade, a majority of the New York electorate believes the

Empire State is heading in the right direction. 52% of voters share this view while 40%

believe it is moving in the wrong direction. Eight percent are unsure. The last time a

majority of the electorate reported the state was on track was in October 2002 when 51%

shared that view.

When NY1/YNN-Marist last reported this question in November 2011, voters perceptions

were quite different. 49% thought the state was travelling along the wrongpath while 43%

believed it was following the right one. Seven percent, at the time, were unsure.

This represents a dramatic shift in public sentiment after a decade of frustration, says Dr.

Lee M. Miringoff, Director of The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion. Positive

reaction to Governor Cuomo is influencing how voters feel about the future of New York.

Key points:

A significant change has been in the proportion of Republican voters statewide who

believe New York is moving in the right direction. Nearly half -- 48% -- currently

believe this to be the case compared with 28% who had this view in November, a 20percentage point increase. There has been little change among Democrats -- 58% -

- and non-enrolled voters -- 47%. 53% and 44%, respectively, shared these views

in the last poll.

Optimism has grown particularly in the suburbs and upstate. A majority -- 56% -- of

voters in the suburbs of New York City, 52% of those in New York City, and half --

50% -- of voters upstate now think the state is on course. This compares with 46%,

48%, and 39%, respectively, who had this opinion in November.
http://www.maristpoll.marist.edu/http://www.maristpoll.marist.edu/http://www.maristpoll.marist.edu/


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Page 2 of 5

Nearly Six in Ten Approve of Cuomos Overall Job Performance

58% of registered voters in New York State approve of the job Governor Andrew Cuomo is

doing in office. This includes 12% who believe he is doing an excellent job and 46% who

think he is doing a good one. Almost three in ten -- 29% -- rate the governors performance

as fair while 7% say he is missing the mark. Seven percent are unsure.

Governor Cuomo continues to score high marks in the realm of public opinion. In NY1/YNN-

Marists previous survey, 55% thought Cuomo was doing an above average job while 32%

believed he was doing an average one. Seven percent thought his performance was poor,

and 6%, at the time, were unsure.

New York State voters also have an overall favorable impression of Governor Cuomo. 76%

have this view of him while 16% have an unfavorable impression of the governor. Eight

percent are unsure.

In November, 70% had a positive impression of Mr. Cuomo while 19% had a negative one.

11% were unsure.

The Keys to Cuomos Current Success

What accounts for Cuomos solid job approval rating and favorable perception? On the

specifics of Cuomos image:

Slightly more than three in four registered voters in New York -- 76% -- think Cuomo

is a good leader for the state. 18% disagree, and 5% are unsure. In November,

75% believed Cuomo was a good leader. 68% of voters say Cuomo is changing Albany for the better, 26% report he is not,

and 7% are unsure. There has been a slight increase in the proportion of voters

who think Cuomo is positively impacting Albany. 63% thought this to be the case in

November.

Many voters also believe the governor is keeping his campaign promises. 65%

have this view while 20% disagree, and 15% are unsure. There has been no

change on this question. 65% had this opinion in NY1/YNN-Marists November

survey.

When it comes to Cuomos ideology, nearly six in ten registered voters in New

York -- 57% -- think Cuomo is a political moderate while 21% believe he is a liberal,and 14% report he is a conservative. Nine percent are unsure. In November,

slightly more voters reported Cuomo to be liberal. At that time, 53% reported he

was a moderate, 27% thought he was a liberal, and 13% said he was a

conservative. Eight percent were, then, unsure.


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Page 3 of 5

About Two-Thirds Approve of Cuomos Handling of the States Budget

65% of registered voters in New York approve of how Governor Andrew Cuomo is handling

the states budget while 29% disapprove, and 6% are unsure.

Key points:

Majorities of voters upstate -- 68% -- in New York City -- 65% -- and in the suburbs of

New York City -- 59% -- like how the governor is dealing with the states budget.

On the specifics of Governor Andrew Cuomos budget proposal:

71% of registered voters statewide favor linking tougher standards for evaluating

teachers to aid for school districts. 24% oppose such an action, and 5% are

unsure.

Looking at the pensions of future public employees, 69% are for increasing the

amount of money these workers personally contribute to their pension. 28% areagainst it, and 3% are unsure.

Nearly seven in ten registered voters -- 68% -- favor giving future public employees

the option of an individual 401K instead of a government pension. 28% oppose

it, and 4% are unsure.

Should the retirement age for public employees be raised from 62 years old to

65? A majority of registered voters -- 55% -- think it should be while 43% dont. Only

1% is unsure. There is an age difference. 62% of voters 45 years of age or older

favor the increase while just 45% of those who are younger say the same.

More than six in ten registered voters statewide -- 62% -- are for spending one

billion dollars, including some state money, to try to revitalize business in theBuffalo area. About one in three -- 33% -- opposes such an action, and 5% are

unsure. Regionally, upstate voters -- 67% -- are most likely to support this proposal,

but even 60% of voters in New York City and 57% of those in the suburbs of New

York City favor the idea as well.

Voters divide about whether or not a new convention center near Aqueduct

Racetrack in Queens should be built with $4 billion dollars of private funds. 47%

oppose the action while 45% favor it. Seven percent are unsure. A majority of

suburban voters -- 56% -- favor the new development while 54% of those upstate

oppose it. New York City voters divide. 47% favor the action while 45% are against

it.

Dip in Support for Non-Indian Casinos in NYS

Half of New York State adults -- 50% -- support the allowance of commercial non-Indian

casinos in New York State while 41% oppose such an action, and 9% are unsure.


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Page 4 of 5

There has been a decrease in support on this issue. In NY1/YNN-Marist November survey,

60% backed the idea while 35% were against it, and 5% were unsure.

There has been a similar dip in support among registered voters statewide. A slim majority -

- 51% -- now backs the proposal while 44% oppose it, and 5% are unsure. In November,

58% were for allowing commercial non-Indian casinos in New York State compared with37% who opposed it and 5% who were unsure.

Key points:

Among registered voters, the sharpest decline has been among Democrats. 49%

of these voters support the plan while 59% did so in November.

When it comes to the impact on jobs and revenues, 52% of New York State adults believe

allowing commercial non-Indian casinos in New York State is a good way to raise revenues

and create jobs while 43% think it is a bad way to do so. Five percent are unsure.

There has been a change on this question. In NY1/YNN-Marists previous survey, 59% said

such casinos would have a positive impact on state revenues and job creation. 37%

reported it would have a negative impact, and 4% were unsure.

Among registered voters, 51% think these casinos would be advantageous to the state, 45%

say they would be a detriment, and 4% are unsure. Here, too, there has been a decline in

support. In November, 57% thought these casinos would be beneficial, 39% said they

would be a bad way to raise state revenues and create jobs, and 4% were unsure.

Key points:

Regionally, 56% of adults living in New York City, 52% residing upstate, and 44% of

those in the suburbs of New York City believe commercial non-Indian casinos in New

York State would be a good way to raise revenues and create jobs. This compares

with 63%, 56%, and 55%, respectively in November.

Among registered voters, there has been a decline in the proportion of Democrats -

- 50% -- who believe these casinos would have a positive impact. 63% shared this

view two months ago.

Increase in NYS Senate and Assembly Approval Ratings

After more than two years scraping bottom, the approval ratings for both the New York State

Senate and Assembly have inched up.

About one in four voters -- 26% -- now say that the legislative body is doing either an

excellent or good job. Included here are 2% who think it is doing an excellent job and 24%

who report it is doing a good one. 44% rate it as fair while 26% say it is performing poorly.

Four percent are unsure.


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Page 5 of 5

There has been a 7 percentage point increase in the proportion of voters who rate the State

Senate positively. In November, only 19% gave it high marks, 45% thought its performance

was average, and 33% said it fell short. Three percent, at the time, were unsure.

Although not as marked an improvement, the approval rating of the New York StateAssembly has also edged up. 24% of registered voters in New York now think this

legislative body is doing either an excellent or good job in office. This includes 2% who

believe the Assembly is doing an excellent job and 22% who report it is doing a good one.

42% give it fair marks while 29% say it is performing poorly. Five percent are unsure.

In NY1/YNN-Marists previous survey, 20% thought the State Assembly was doing an above

average job, 43% said it was doing fairly well, and 33% believed it fell short. Four percent

were unsure.


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How the Survey was Conducted

Nature of the Sample: New York State Poll of 681 Adults

This survey of 681 New York State adults was conducted on January 18 th and 19th, 2012. Adults 18

years of age and older residing in New York State were interviewed by telephone. Telephone numbers

were selected based upon a list of telephone exchanges from throughout the state. The exchangeswere selected to ensure that each county was represented in proportion to its population. To increase

coverage, this land-line sample was supplemented by respondents reached through random dialing of

cell phone numbers. The two samples were then combined. Results are statistically significant within

4.0 percentage points. There are 554 registered voters. The sample of registered voters was adjusted

for turnout in statewide elections. The results for this subset are statistically significant within 4.5

percentage points. The error margin increases for cross-tabulations.


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Nature of the Sample: New York State

NYS Adults NYS Registered Voters

Col % Col %

100%

81% 100%Democrat n/a 51%

Republican n/a 23%

Non-enrolled n/a 25%

Other n/a 1%

Yes n/a 19%

No n/a 73%

Unsure n/a 8%

Liberal n/a 24%

Moderate n/a 46%

Conservative n/a 30%

New York City 42% 30%

Suburbs 21% 24%Upstate 37% 46%

Less than $50,000 46% 43%

$50,000 or more 54% 57%

White 64% 71%

African American 13% 11%

Latino 16% 13%

Other 6% 5%

White 64% 71%

Non White 36% 29%

Under 45 48% 42%

45 or older 52% 58%

Men 48% 45%Women 52% 55%

Landline 79% 81%

Cell Phone 21% 19%

Party Registration

Support Tea P arty

Polit ical Ideology

NY1/YNN-Marist Poll NYS Adults: Int erviews conducted January 18th and 19th , 2012, N=681 MOE +/- 4.0

percentage points. NYS Registered Voters: N=554 MOE +/- 4.5 percentage points. T otals may not add to

100% due to rounding.

Income

Race

Race

Age

Gender

Interview T ype

Adults

Registered Voters

Region

Nature of the S ample - New York State


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Direction of New York StateAsked of NYS Registered Voters:

Question Wording: In general, thinking about the way things are going in New York state, do you feel things

are going in the right direction or that things are going in the wrong direction?


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Direction of New York State (Over Time)Asked of NYS Registered Voters:

Right direction Wrong direction Unsure

January 2012 52% 40% 8%

November 2011 43% 49% 7%

August 2011 46% 45% 9%

May 2011 41% 54% 6%

January 2011 42% 52% 6%

October 30, 2010 18% 78% 4%

October 22, 2010 21% 74% 5%

September 30, 2010 16% 79% 5%

September 24, 2010 24% 73% 3%

May 7, 2010 22% 72% 6%

March 26, 2010 16% 78% 6%

March 2, 2010 18% 76% 6%

February 3, 201 0 21% 74% 5%

November 23, 2009 20% 75% 5%

September 16, 2009 22% 74% 4%

June 30, 2009 21% 74% 5%

May 4, 2009 27% 67% 6%

March 3, 2009 27% 65% 8%

October 2008 35% 57% 8%

April 2008 33% 59% 8%

March 2007 49% 43% 8%

October 2006 35% 56% 9%

July 2006 40% 52% 8%

May 2006 34% 61% 5%

January 2006 39% 54% 7%

September 2005 43% 50% 7%

April 2005 29% 65% 6%

October 2004 40% 54% 6%

September 2004 40% 54% 6%

April 2004 43% 51% 6%

January 2004 42% 46% 12%

September 2003 39% 54% 7%

April 2003 40% 53% 7%

December 2002 39% 52% 9%

October 30, 2002 51% 40% 9%

October 1, 2002 55% 37% 8%

September 2002 56% 38% 6%

May 2002 65% 28% 7%

April 2002 66% 28% 6%

December 2001 65% 25% 10%

April 2001 58% 33% 9%

In general, think ing about t he way things are going in New York State, do you feel things

are going in the right direction or t hat t hings are going in the wrong direction?

New York State Registered Voters

Marist Poll New York Registered Voters


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Governor Andrew Cuomo Approval RatingAsked of NYS Registered Voters:

Question Wording: Would you rate the job Governor Andrew Cuomo is doing in office as excellent, good, fair

or poor?


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Governor Andrew Cuomo Approval Rating Over TimeAsked of NYS Registered Voters:

Excellent/

Good Excellent Good Fair Poor Unsure

January 2012 58% 12% 46% 29% 7% 7%

November 2011 55% 9% 46% 32% 7% 6%

August 2011 56% 12% 44% 24% 10% 10%

May 2011 54% 10% 44% 31% 6% 9%

January 2011 48% 9% 39% 28% 5% 19%


Would you rate the job Governor Andrew Cuomo is doing in office as excellent,

good, fair, or poor?



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Governor Andrew Cuomo FavorabilityAsked of NYS Registered Voters:

Question Wording: Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Andrew Cuomo?


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Governor Andrew Cuomo Favorability Over TimeAsked of NYS Registered Voters:

Favorable Unfavorable Unsure-Never Heard

Row % Row % Row %

76% 16% 8%

70% 19% 11%

67% 23% 9%

72% 16% 12%

71% 17% 12%

Marist P oll New York Registered Voters


January 2012

January 2011

In general, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Andrew

Cuomo?

May 2011

August 2011

November 2011


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Governor Andrew Cuomo as LeaderAsked of NYS Registered Voters:

Question Wording: Do you agree or disagree with the statement: Governor Andrew Cuomo is a good leader

for New York State?


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Governor Andrew Cuomo as Leader Over TimeAsked of NYS Registered Voters:

Agree Disagree Unsure

Row % Row % Row %

76% 18% 5%

75% 19% 6%

72% 19% 9%

72% 16% 12%

72% 15% 13%



Do you agree or disagree with the statement: Governor Andrew Cuomo is a good

leader for New York State?

January 2011

August 2011

May 2011

January 2012

November 2011


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Governor Andrew Cuomos Impact on AlbanyAsked of NYS Registered Voters:

Question Wording: Do you agree or disagree with the statement: Governor Andrew Cuomo is changing the

way things work in Albany for the better?


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Governor Andrew Cuomos Impact on Albany Over TimeAsked of NYS Registered Voters:


Row % Row % Row %

68% 26% 7%

63% 28% 8%

60% 25% 14%

62% 27% 11%

58% 23% 19%



Do you agree or disagree with the statement: Governor Andrew Cuomo is

changing the way things work in Albany for the better?

January 2011

January 2012

May 2011

August 2011

November 2011


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Governor Andrew Cuomo Is Fulfilling Campaign PromisesAsked of NYS Registered Voters:

Question Wording: Do you agree or disagree with the statement: Governor Andrew Cuomo is fulfilling

campaign promises?


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Governor Andrew Cuomo Is Fulfilling Campaign Promises Over TimeAsked of NYS Registered Voters:


Row % Row % Row %

65% 20% 15%

65% 22% 13%

66% 19% 15%

64% 23% 13%

54% 20% 26%



Do you agree or disagree with the statement: Governor Andrew Cuomo is

fulfilling campaign prom ises?

January 2011

January 2012

May 2011

August 2011

November 2011


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Governor Andrew Cuomos IdeologyAsked of NYS Registered Voters:

Question Wording: Politically speaking, do you think Governor Andrew Cuomo is a:


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Governor Andrew Cuomos Ideology Over TimeAsked of NYS Registered Voters:

Liberal Moderate Conservative Unsure

Row % Row % Row % Row %

21% 57% 14% 9%

27% 53% 13% 8%

19% 52% 17% 12%

26% 55% 12% 8%


May 2011

NYS Registered Voters

Politically speaking, do you think Governor Andrew Cuomo is a:

January 2011

November 2011

January 2012


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Governor Andrew Cuomos Handling of the New York State BudgetAsked of NYS Registered Voters:

Question Wording: Do you approve or disapprove of how Governor Andrew Cuomo is handling the states

budget?


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Linking Tougher Standards for Evaluating Teachers to Aid for School DistrictsAsked of NYS Registered Voters:

Question Wording: From what you have read or heard about Governor Cuomo's proposed budget, please tel

me if you favor or oppose linking tougher standards for evaluating teachers to aid for school districts?


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Increasing the Amount of Money Public Employees Personally Contribute to Their PensionAsked of NYS Registered Voters:

Question Wording: Governor Cuomo has proposed several changes to the pensions of future public

employees, including police and firefighters, in order to control costs. Please tell me if you favor or oppose

increasing the amount of money public employees personally contribute to their pension?


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Providing Future Public Employees an Option of a 401K Instead of Government PensionAsked of NYS Registered Voters:



providing an option for an individual 401K instead of a government pension?


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Raising the Retirement Age from 62 to 65 Years Old for Public EmployeesAsked of NYS Registered Voters:



raising the retirement age from 62 to 65?


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Spending $1 Billion to Bring Business to BuffaloAsked of NYS Registered Voters:


me if you favor or oppose spending $1 billion, including some state monies, to bring business back to Buffalo

over several years?


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Building a New Convention Center Near Aqueduct RacetrackAsked of NYS Registered Voters:


me if you favor or oppose building a new convention center near Aqueduct racetrack in Queens with four billion

dollars from private investors?


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Support for non-Indian Casinos in New York State (Adults)Asked of NYS Adults

Question Wording:Do you support or oppose allowing commercial non-Indian casinos in New York State?


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Support for non-Indian Casinos in New York State (Registered Voters)Asked of NYS Registered Voters

Question Wording:Do you support or oppose allowing commercial non-Indian casinos in New York State?


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Non-Indian Casinos are a Good or Bad Way to Raise NYS Revenues and Jobs (Adults)Asked of NYS Adults

Question Wording:Overall, do you think allowing commercial non-Indian casinos in New York State is:


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Non-Indian Casinos are a Good or Bad Way to Raise NYS Revenues and Jobs (Registered Voters)Asked of NYS Registered Voters

Question Wording:Overall, do you think allowing commercial non-Indian casinos in New York State is:


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New York State Senate Job Approval RatingAsked of NYS Registered Voters:

Question Wording: Would you rate the job the New York State Senate in Albany is doing as excellent, good

fair, or poor?


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New York State Senate Job Approval Rating (Over Time)Asked of NYS Registered Voters:

Excellent/Good Excellent Good Fair Poor

Unsure-Never Heard

January 2012 26% 2% 24% 44% 26% 4%

November 2011 19% 2% 17% 45% 33% 3%

May 2011 17% 1% 16% 43% 36% 3%

January 2011 18% 1% 17% 34% 43% 5%

March 26, 2010 14% 1% 13% 35% 48% 3%

March 3, 2010 16% 2% 14% 33% 49% 2%

February 3, 2010 17% 2% 15% 33% 48% 2%

November 23, 2009 16% 1% 15% 33% 48% 3%

September 15, 2009 14% 1% 13% 30% 54% 2%

June 30, 2009 11% 1% 10% 20% 65% 4%

Would you rate the job the New York State Senate in Albany is doing as excellent, good,

fair, or poor?




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New York State Assembly Job Approval RatingAsked of NYS Registered Voters:

Question Wording: Would you rate the job the New York State Assembly in Albany is doing as excellent

good, fair, or poor?


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New York State Assembly Job Approval Rating (Over Time)Asked of NYS Registered Voters:

Excellent/

Good Excellent Good Fair Poor

Unsure-

Never Heard

January 2012 24% 2% 22% 42% 29% 5%

November 2011 20% 2% 18% 43% 33% 4%

May 2011 17% 1% 16% 42% 36% 5%

January 2011 17% 1% 16% 35% 43% 5%

March 26, 2010 13%


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Tea Party SupportAsked of NYS Registered Voters:

Question Wording: Do you consider yourself to be a supporter of the Tea Party Movement?

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