Kotler MM 14e 03 Sppt GE

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    3

    Collecting Informationand

    Forecasting Demand

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    Copyright 2012 Pearson Education 3-2

    Chapter Questions

    What are the components of a modernmarketing information system?

    What are useful internal records?

    What makes up a marketing intelligencesystem?

    What are some influential macro

    environment developments?

    How can companies accurately measure

    and forecast demand?

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    What is a

    Marketing Information System?

    A marketing information system

    consists of people, equipment, andprocedures to gather, sort, analyze,

    evaluate, and distribute needed, timely,

    and accurate information to

    marketing decision makers.

    Copyright 2012 Pearson Education 3-3

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    Case Study: MEDC

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    Copyright 2012 Pearson Education 3-5

    Table 3.2 Information Needs Probes

    What decisions do you regularly make? What information do you need to make these

    decisions?

    What information do you regularly get?

    What studies do you periodically request?

    What information would you want that you are

    not getting now?

    What are the four most helpful improvementsthat could be made in the present marketing

    information system?

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    Copyright 2012 Pearson Education 3-6

    Internal Records andMarketing Intelligence

    Order-to-payment cycle

    Sales information system

    Databases, warehousing, data mining Marketing intelligence system

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    What is aMarketing Intelligence System?

    A marketing intelligence system isa set of procedures and sources that

    managers use to obtain everydayinformation about developments in

    the marketing environment.

    Copyright 2012 Pearson Education 3-8

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    Copyright 2012 Pearson Education 3-9

    Steps to Quality Marketing Intelligence

    Train sales force to scan for new developments

    Motivate channel members to share intelligence

    Hire external experts to collect intelligence

    Network externally

    Utilize a customer advisory panel

    Utilize government data sources

    Purchase information

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    Copyright 2012 Pearson Education 3-10

    Sources of Competitive Information

    Independent customer goods and service

    review forums

    Distributor or sales agent feedback sites

    Combination sites offering customer reviewsand expert opinions

    Customer complaint sites

    Public blogs

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    Needs and Trends

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    Fad

    Trend

    Megatrend

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    Major Forces in the Environment

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    Demographic

    Economic

    Socio-cultural

    Natural

    Technological

    Political-legal

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    Population and Demographics

    Population growth

    Population age mix

    Ethnic markets Educational groups

    Household patterns

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    Perspective on the GlobalDemographic Environment

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    Economic Environment

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    Consumer Psychology

    Income Distribution

    Income, Savings, Debt, Credit

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    Economic Environment andConsumer Psychology

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    Income Distribution

    Subsistence economies

    Raw-material-exporting economies

    Industrializing economies Industrial economies

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    Copyright 2012 Pearson Education 3-18

    Social-Cultural Environment

    Views of themselves

    Views of others

    Views of organizations

    Views of society

    Views of nature

    Views of the universe

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    Copyright 2012 Pearson Education 3-19

    Table 3.4 Most PopularAmerican Leisure Activities

    Reading

    TV Watching

    Spending time with

    family

    Going to movies

    Fishing

    Computer activities

    Gardening

    Renting movies

    Walking

    Exercise

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    Socio-Cultural Influences

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    Copyright 2012 Pearson Education 3-21

    Natural Environment

    Shortage of raw materials

    Increased energy costs

    Anti-pollution pressures

    Governmental protections

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    Copyright 2012 Pearson Education 3-22

    Keys to AvoidingGreen Marketing Myopia

    Consumer Value Positioning

    Calibration of Consumer Knowledge

    Credibility of Product Claims

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    Consumer EnvironmentalSegments

    Genuine Greens

    Not Me Greens

    Go-with-the-Flow Greens

    Dream Greens

    Business First Greens

    Mean Greens

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    Copyright 2012 Pearson Education 3-24

    Technological Environment

    Pace of change

    Opportunities for innovation

    Varying R&D budgets

    Increased regulation of change

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    The Political-Legal Environment

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    Business Legislation

    Growth of Special Interest Groups

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    Forecasting andDemand Measurement

    How can we measure market demand?

    Potential market

    Available market

    Target market

    Penetrated market

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    A Vocabulary forDemand Measurement

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    Market Demand

    Market Forecast

    Market Potential

    Company Demand

    Company Sales Forecast

    Company Sales Potential

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    Market Demand Functions

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    Estimating Current Demand:Total Market Potential

    Calculations

    Multiple potential

    number of buyers by

    average quantity each

    purchases times price

    Chain-ratio method

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    Estimating Current Demand:Area Market Potential

    Multiple-Factor Index

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    Estimating Future Demand

    Survey of Buyers Intentions

    Composite of Sales Force Opinions

    Expert Opinion

    Past-Sales Analysis

    Market-Test Method

    Copyright 2012 Pearson Education 3-32

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    For Review

    What are the components of a modern

    marketing information system?

    What are useful internal records?

    What makes up a marketing intelligencesystem?

    What are some influential macroenvironment

    developments? How can companies accurately measure and

    forecast demand?

    Copyright 2012 Pearson Education 3-33