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1 SBC Project Lightspeed Project Lightspeed SBC Presentation Jeff Weber VP-Product & Strategy February 1, 2005

Project Lightspeed

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Project Lightspeed . SBC Presentation Jeff Weber VP-Product & Strategy February 1, 2005. Company assets. 53 million direct connections to homes and businesses covering 1/3 of the United States 5.1 million high-speed Internet lines - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Project  Lightspeed

1

SBC Project Lightspeed

Project Lightspeed SBC PresentationJeff WeberVP-Product & StrategyFebruary 1, 2005

Page 2: Project  Lightspeed

2SBC Project Lightspeed

Company assets 53 million direct connections to homes and businesses covering 1/3 of

the United States

5.1 million high-speed Internet lines

47 million wireless customers with the acquisition of AT&T Wireless and a wireless footprint with the industry’s largest overlap of wireline assets

20,000 Wi-Fi hotspots in 6,000 venues throughout the 13-state SBC territory by 2006

A nationwide IP backbone covering the nation’s largest cities

A co-branded satellite video service

One of the world’s largest directory advertising companies

A strong financial position

No other communications company has our combination of No other communications company has our combination of assetsassets

Page 3: Project  Lightspeed

3SBC Project Lightspeed

MissionOur strategy is clear:Our strategy is clear: Grow by offering the most complete, flexible bundle of

high quality communications solutions in the market, at a great value

Needed a stronger video play Continually introduce new opportunities to meet and

exceed the service and experience our customers demand

Know our customers and offer a personalized service tailored to their needs

Maintain a strong financial position and always be on the lookout for ways to be more efficient and cost effective

Page 4: Project  Lightspeed

4SBC Project Lightspeed

Project Lightspeed OverviewCapital Efficient

Significant CostSavings • FTTN expected to generate

approximately 70% of installation and maintenance savings available from FTTP

• FTTN requires approximately one-fifth the investment and one-fourth the deployment time of FTTP-only overbuild

• Expected deployment cap ex of approximately $4 billion

• Expect 2005 cap ex will be at the high end of our 2004 guidance range -$5 billion to $5.5 billion

• Scale expected to drive cost curve down rapidly

Page 5: Project  Lightspeed

5SBC Project Lightspeed

Project Lightspeed Overview

• Both FTTP and FTTN• Natural extension of current fiber

deployment and broadband network

• Targeted deployment to 18 million households in 3 years

• To cover nearly 90% of high-value residential customers

Powerful Network

Speed To Market

Market-ChangingServices

• Integrated IP voice, high-speed Internet access and video

• IPTV – choice and control over substantial content alternatives

Page 6: Project  Lightspeed

6SBC Project Lightspeed

What it isn’t…What it is What it isn’t

TV PC

Closed system fully managed within the SBC

environment and delivered using IP

Open system delivered over the Internet

More secure than traditional broadcast platforms, customer

specific content delivery

Less secure than current platforms, prone to PC-like

viruses

Creative content packaging to offer

consumers more choiceDisruptive a la carte

offering

Page 7: Project  Lightspeed

7SBC Project Lightspeed

Enhancing communications and entertainment at home,

at work, on the go …

IPTV

Fiber

WiFi

VDSL Wireless

Digital Lifestyle (U-verse branding)

HomeNetworking

Page 8: Project  Lightspeed

8SBC Project Lightspeed

Integrated Communications and Entertainment Services

High-Speed Internet Access

IP VoiceFull-featured offering –growing wireless integration

IPTV4 high-quality TV streams,including high-definition TV, and video-on-demand• 20-25

Mbps• Everything

IP

Page 9: Project  Lightspeed

9SBC Project Lightspeed

The Forces are Right

New compression technologies

reducebandwidthrequired

These developmen

ts create video andconsumer

data growth opportunitie

s

New distribution

architecturesallow delivery

of higher bandwidth at a lower

cost

Global demand speeds

innovation and drives down the cost curve

Bandwidth Requirement

s

Global Development

Deployment Costs

Growth Potential

Page 10: Project  Lightspeed

10SBC Project Lightspeed

Significant Market Opportunity

Industry RevenuesU.S. Video Market

$63B

$54B

20082004Source: PWC Global Entertainment and Media Outlook, 2004 - 2008

Industry RevenuesU.S. Broadband Market

$29B

$16B

20082004Source: IDC Worldwide Broadband Access Services 2004 – 2008

Broadband market subscriptions expected to grow at a 16% CAGR over the next four years

Video market to grow to $63 billion over next four years, with fastest growth from new services

Page 11: Project  Lightspeed

11SBC Project Lightspeed

High-Value CustomersTotal Customer

Household Segmentation

LowValue35%

Medium Value40%

HighValue25%

% of Customer $ Spend Attributed to Each

Segment

HighValue34%

Medium Value41%

LowValue25%

Page 12: Project  Lightspeed

12SBC Project Lightspeed

High-Value Customer Coverage

Percent of Each SegmentCovered by Project Lightspeed

~90%

~70%

~5%

HighValue

MediumValue

LowValue

• FTTN is efficient in how it can be deployed

• Lightspeed deployment will cover approximately 90% of high-value and 70% of medium-value customers

Page 13: Project  Lightspeed

13SBC Project Lightspeed

What We Expect to Achieve• The second largest video provider in our

fiber footprint within five years• A lift in high-speed Internet penetration• Differentiated product set with

comparable prices• Increased share of overall spend for

customers’ communications and entertainment services

Page 14: Project  Lightspeed

14SBC Project Lightspeed

Strong Platform for Revenue Growth

Video Opportunity

• 500 bps of market share generates $550 to $600 million revenue annually

• Goal is to be 2nd largest video provider within five years

Data Opportunity

• Market share in FTTX markets grows to nearly 50%

• FTTX revenues increase by nearly $300 million in 2007

Voice Opportunity

• FTTX product set increases 2007 access line market share by 300 bps

• Estimated $300 million revenue lift in 2007 from improved market share

Page 15: Project  Lightspeed

15SBC Project Lightspeed

Superior Capabilities Versus Cable

Voice• Functional

integration with Cingular wireless service – voice, video and data

DataVideo• Flexible content

choice and VOD capabilities

• 100% digital IP network, with the latest technology in compression and DRM

• Dedicated connection

• Integration with WiFi, wireless

• Bandwidth on demand

• Upstream speeds – 1 Mbps

The power of integration drives customer value. The key competitive differentiator

Page 16: Project  Lightspeed

16SBC Project Lightspeed

Order Print^

Power of IPTV

Multiple Camera Angles

Interactive Guides

Photo and Music Sharing

Source: Microsoft

Page 17: Project  Lightspeed

17SBC Project Lightspeed

Video differentiationQuantity of content

Ability to offer many traditional channels as well as new content including gaming, music, video on demand, and interactive applications

Customization IP platform provides flexibility in developing the user interface and allows for a highly customizable user experience

Tracking & reporting

Ability to track and report detailed subscriber and usage metrics in near real time for broadcast channels and interactive services

Targeting Ability to deliver content tailored to the specific interest of the customer over time

SecurityMore secure, customer specific content delivery, ensures content delivered to specific end user only; security scheme can be easily updated without replacing set top boxes; pair the network with the set top

ConvergenceIP platform facilitates repurposing of video content delivery across the SBC companies’ broad base of platforms (i.e. wireless, internet)

Advantages of SBC Video PlatformAdvantages of SBC Video Platform

Page 18: Project  Lightspeed

18SBC Project Lightspeed

Consumer Wireline Revenue Year-over-Year Growth

3Q03 4Q03

1Q04

(6.9)%

(3.3)%

2Q04

(1.8)%

1.0%

2Q03

(8.2)%

Solid Growth Record Growth Driven By Bundling, LD and DSL…

2.8%

3Q04

4Q03 1Q04 2Q043Q03

44%

50%54%

36%

3.1%

5.9%6.1%

8.1%

Consumer Key-Product Bundle PenetrationConsumer retail revenue per retail access line year-over-year growth 58%

9.2%

3Q042Q03

31%

2.1%

Page 19: Project  Lightspeed

19SBC Project Lightspeed

SBC | DISH Network

We began marketing our integrated SBC | DISH Network satellite TV service in March, expanding from a soft launch to full sales-channel coverage in April

Growing to over 300K subs today DBS provides a feasible interim offering to retain voice

lines; however, it is not a long term solution for profitable growth

Owning a video distribution network has the greatest potential to generate profitable growth in video

SBC has demonstrated great success in integrating a video offering through its relationship with SBC | DISH Network

Page 20: Project  Lightspeed

20SBC Project Lightspeed

Market Success Drivers

• Cingular, wireline, high-speed Internet access and IPTV – all IP and all integrated

• Leveraging relationships with our existing customer base

IntegratedPortfolio

Individual Product Capabilities

• Taken separately, each product offers superior value to what’s currently on the market

Customer Relationships

• We get to the right customers fast

Speed To Market

Page 21: Project  Lightspeed

21SBC Project Lightspeed

Unique Operational Approach• Procurement • Partner in new ways• Choose based on what is available not what

we want• Critical to trust key partners

– Alcatel account team differentiated itself from competitors

– Alcatel project team is part of SBC

Page 22: Project  Lightspeed

22SBC Project Lightspeed

FTTP

Project Lightspeed Network Plan

• Fiber to the node in existing neighborhoods

• Flexible and cost-efficient

All-digital, high-bandwidth IP network to reach more than 18 million households within three

yearsFTTN

• Fiber to the premise for new construction and multi-dwelling units

• Will deploy FTTP in selected rehab situations

Page 23: Project  Lightspeed

23SBC Project Lightspeed

Network AlternativesFiber to the RT (Pronto)

Copper CopperNodeRemoteTerminal

Fiber to the Node (FTTN)

Central Hub

CopperNode

Fiber to within 3,000 feet of home on average; 5,000 feet maximum

CentralHub

Fiber to within 6,000 feet of home on average;

12,000 feet maximum

CentralHub

Fiber to the Premise (FTTP)

Fiber from the central office to the home

1.5 - 6.0 Mbps

Up to 39 Mbps

20 - 25 Mbps

New Build

Overbuild

Today

Fiber

Fiber

Fiber

Page 24: Project  Lightspeed

24SBC Project Lightspeed

Project Lightspeed Video Network Architecture

National Regional Local

SuperHead Ends

Video Hub Offices

Video Serving Offices

to customers

• National contentaggregation

• Redundant infrastructure

• VOD encoding• Number: 2

• Distribution of video

• Local aggregation point

• Number: 140

• Storage of content/intelligence

– VOD library– Time-shifted TV– Interactive applications

• Local content aggregation

• Number: 40

Page 25: Project  Lightspeed

25SBC Project Lightspeed

Broadcast Video

IP Video Distribution Advantages

SBC IP Video3 542 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Channel Lineup:

2 97

VideoServiceProvider

VideoDSLAM

Page 26: Project  Lightspeed

26SBC Project Lightspeed

Expected Deployment Costs

New Build

$1,100

RT(current)

FTTP FTTN FTTP

Overbuild• In overbuild situations,

comparable deployment costs for FTTP are more than 5X costs for FTTN

• FTTN deployed by 2007, one-fourth the time vs. full FTTP deployment

• FTTN deployment costs include all video infrastructure, fiber and electronics, including line cards

• FTTP overbuild deployment costs include all fiber, electronics and video, plus the service drop and ONT

Deployment Costs Per Household Passed

$1,100

$250

$1,350

Page 27: Project  Lightspeed

27SBC Project Lightspeed

Project LightspeedExpected Subscriber CostsDeployment Costs

Per Household Passed

$1,100

$250

FTTP Greenfiel

d

FTTN Overbuil

d

Success Based Subscriber Costs • In greenfield

deployments, FTTP costs the same as copper

• In overbuilds, FTTN is about one-fifth the cost of FTTP

• Subscriber costs decline rapidly driven by scale and IP technology curve

Nearly one-third lower than DISH

& DSL

Declines over 10% annually

during next five years

Page 28: Project  Lightspeed

28SBC Project Lightspeed

Targeted Time To Market2Q04 3Q04 4Q04 1Q05 2Q05 3Q05 4Q05

FTTP Field Trials(scalability, provisioning, customer experience)

IP Video Trials(video quality, operational integration)

FTTXVideo

Launch

FTTPVoice/Data

Launch

FTTX Video Field Trials(customer acceptance)

Begin Network Construction

Page 29: Project  Lightspeed

29SBC Project Lightspeed

Project Lightspeed Overview

• Capital efficient, financially disciplined approach

• Creates a logical migration path with minimal risk of stranded investment

Investment

Return • Significant revenue opportunities in video, high-speed data and integrated services; improves retention of highest-value customers

• Substantial opportunities for operating expense savings

• Project returns are in excess of cost of capital; flexibility for continued dividend growth and share repurchase

• Growth in wireline operations should more than offset up-front dilution from Project Lightspeed

Page 30: Project  Lightspeed

30SBC Project Lightspeed

Summary Video is important (both defense and offense) The time is now for switched video world wide Microsoft and Alcatel have a leadership

position Opportunity is overwhelming for Alcatel Partner like Alcatel/SBC and there is no limit

on your success