Transcript
Page 1: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

Hasil Uji Konsistensi

TAHUN 5 Menit

1957 8.41958 15.91962 8.81963 14.41965 8.31966 9.41967 7.61974 19.61975 23.71976 26.31977 23.6

Maximum 26.3Rerata 15.1

Minimum 7.6Standar Deviasi 7.2

1957 1958 1962 1963 1965 1966 1967 1974 1975 1976 19770

5

10

15

20

25

30

Curah Hujan Harian Maksimum

Tahun Pengamatan

Curah Hujan (mm)

Page 2: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

Hasil Uji Konsistensi

TAHUN 10 Menit

1957 21.41958 24.41962 17.61963 21.61965 12.51966 11.21967 101974 26.41975 36.41976 271977 30

Maximum 36.4Rerata 21.7

Minimum 10.0Standar Deviasi 8.3

1957 1958 1962 1963 1965 1966 1967 1974 1975 1976 19770

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

Curah Hujan Harian Maksimum

Tahun Pengamatan

Curah Hujan (mm)

Page 3: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

Hasil Uji Konsistensi

TAHUN 15 Menit

1957 33.21958 36.71962 22.41963 30.21965 21.41966 14.91967 10.41974 30.51975 43.81976 23.51977 39.5

Maximum 43.8Rerata 27.9

Minimum 10.4Standar Deviasi 10.4

1957 1958 1962 1963 1965 1966 1967 1974 1975 1976 19770

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

Curah Hujan Harian Maksimum

Tahun Pengamatan

Curah Hujan (mm)

Page 4: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

Hasil Uji Konsistensi

TAHUN 20 Menit

1957 37.21958 541962 30.31963 37.11965 31.81966 211967 11.81974 441975 72.31976 59.71977 43

Maximum 72.3Rerata 40.2

Minimum 11.8Standar Deviasi 17.3

1957 1958 1962 1963 1965 1966 1967 1974 1975 1976 19770

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Curah Hujan Harian Maksimum

Tahun Pengamatan

Curah Hujan (mm)

Page 5: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

Hasil Uji Konsistensi

TAHUN 45 Menit

1957 53.71958 59.21962 33.21963 41.81965 40.11966 24.81967 18.41974 58.61975 801976 62.81977 47.7

Maximum 80.0Rerata 47.3

Minimum 18.4Standar Deviasi 18.0

1957 1958 1962 1963 1965 1966 1967 1974 1975 1976 19770

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

Curah Hujan Harian Maksimum

Tahun Pengamatan

Curah Hujan (mm)

Page 6: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

Hasil Uji Konsistensi

TAHUN 60 Menit

1957 34.91958 65.51962 37.21963 44.21965 40.21966 27.11967 22.21974 711975 93.41976 691977 69.9

Maximum 93.4Rerata 52.2

Minimum 22.2Standar Deviasi 22.6

1957 1958 1962 1963 1965 1966 1967 1974 1975 1976 19770

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Curah Hujan Harian Maksimum

Tahun Pengamatan

Curah Hujan (mm)

Page 7: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

Hasil Uji Konsistensi

TAHUN 120 Menit

1957 55.41958 72.21962 40.81963 471965 40.31966 31.81967 27.41974 78.11975 103.21976 64.71977 99

Maximum 103.2Rerata 60.0

Minimum 27.4Standar Deviasi 25.9

1957 1958 1962 1963 1965 1966 1967 1974 1975 1976 19770

20

40

60

80

100

120

Curah Hujan Harian Maksimum

Tahun Pengamatan

Curah Hujan (mm)

Page 8: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

Hasil Uji Konsistensi

TAHUN 180 Menit

1957 59.41958 72.71962 43.91963 471965 40.31966 36.41967 28.41974 78.11975 104.61976 64.91977 119.5

Maximum 119.5Rerata 63.2

Minimum 28.4Standar Deviasi 28.8

1957 1958 1962 1963 1965 1966 1967 1974 1975 1976 19770

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

Curah Hujan Harian Maksimum

Tahun Pengamatan

Curah Hujan (mm)

Page 9: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

Hasil Uji Konsistensi

TAHUN 360 Menit

1957 70.31958 72.71962 441963 471965 40.31966 38.51967 29.61974 78.51975 105.71976 67.41977 149.8

Maximum 149.8Rerata 67.6

Minimum 29.6Standar Deviasi 35.2

1957 1958 1962 1963 1965 1966 1967 1974 1975 1976 19770

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

Curah Hujan Harian Maksimum

Tahun Pengamatan

Curah Hujan (mm)

Page 10: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

Hasil Uji Konsistensi

TAHUN 720 Menit

1957 70.51958 72.71962 441963 471965 40.31966 38.51967 30.51974 78.31975 105.71976 67.51977 246.2

Maximum 246.2Rerata 76.5

Minimum 30.5Standar Deviasi 60.5

1957 1958 1962 1963 1965 1966 1967 1974 1975 1976 19770

50

100

150

200

250

300

Curah Hujan Harian Maksimum

Tahun Pengamatan

Curah Hujan (mm)

Page 11: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

ANALISA FREKUENSI CURAH HUJANMetode Gumbell

No. TahunTr X Tr

(tahun) (mm) (mm) (tahun)

1 1957 12.00 8.40 26.30 44.77 1.01 -1.53

2 1958 6.00 15.90 23.70 0.65 2 0.37

3 1962 4.00 8.80 23.60 39.58 5 1.50

4 1963 3.00 14.40 19.60 0.48 10 2.25

5 1965 2.40 8.30 15.90 46.12 25 3.20

6 1966 2.00 9.40 14.40 32.39 50 3.90

7 1967 1.71 7.60 9.40 56.11 100 4.60

8 1974 1.50 19.60 8.80 20.33 200 5.30

9 1975 1.33 23.70 8.40 74.12 1000 6.91

10 1976 1.20 26.30 8.30 125.64

11 1977 1.09 23.60 7.60 72.40

Jumlah data yang dipergunakan n 11

Jumlah nilai data SX 166.00

Nilai rata-rata X 15.09

Jumlah selisih dengan mean pangkat 2 512.59

Standard deviasi 7.2

0.50

0.97

Xurut (X1 - X)2 YTr

(X1 - X)2

SX

Koefisien yn (reduced mean) Yn

Koefisien sn (reduced Sd) Sn

Page 12: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

ANALISA FREKUENSI CURAH HUJAN UJI KECOCOKAN SMIRNOV-KOLMOGOROVMetode Gumbell Untuk Metode Gumbell

Peluang m Weibull Tr (mm) (mm) (mm)

0.08 99.0% 1 0.08 12.00 2.44 26.30 29.46 3.16

14.11 50.0% 2 0.17 6.00 1.70 23.70 23.99 0.29

22.49 20.0% 3 0.25 4.00 1.25 23.60 20.61 2.99

28.05 10.0% 4 0.33 3.00 0.90 19.60 18.07 1.53

35.06 4.0% 5 0.42 2.40 0.62 15.90 15.97 0.07

40.27 2.0% 6 0.50 2.00 0.37 14.40 14.11 0.29

45.43 1.0% 7 0.58 1.71 0.13 9.40 12.38 2.98

50.58 0.5% 8 0.67 1.50 -0.09 8.80 10.70 1.90

62.50 0.1% 9 0.75 1.33 -0.33 8.40 8.98 0.58

10 0.83 1.20 -0.58 8.30 7.08 1.22

11 0.92 1.09 -0.91 7.60 4.66 2.94

Selisih Maksimum 3.16

Nilai Kritis 5% ditolak 39.60

Korelasi hasil uji kecocokan Diterima

XTr YTr

Xaktual Xprediksi

maks

o

Page 13: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

ANALISA FREKUENSI CURAH HUJANMetode Gumbell

No. TahunTr X Tr

(tahun) (mm) (mm) (tahun)

1 1957 12.00 21.40 36.40 0.08 1.01 -1.53

2 1958 6.00 24.40 30.00 7.39 2 0.37

3 1962 4.00 17.60 27.00 16.66 5 1.50

4 1963 3.00 21.60 26.40 0.01 10 2.25

5 1965 2.40 12.50 24.40 84.31 25 3.20

6 1966 2.00 11.20 21.60 109.87 50 3.90

7 1967 1.71 10.00 21.40 136.46 100 4.60

8 1974 1.50 26.40 17.60 22.26 200 5.30

9 1975 1.33 36.40 12.50 216.62 1000 6.91

10 1976 1.20 27.00 11.20 28.28

11 1977 1.09 30.00 10.00 69.19

Jumlah data yang dipergunakan n 11

Jumlah nilai data SX 238.50

Nilai rata-rata X 21.68

Jumlah selisih dengan mean pangkat 2 691.14

Standard deviasi 8.31

0.50

0.97

Xurut (X1 - X)2 YTr

(X1 - X)2

SX

Koefisien yn (reduced mean) Yn

Koefisien sn (reduced Sd) Sn

Page 14: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

ANALISA FREKUENSI CURAH HUJAN UJI KECOCOKAN SMIRNOV-KOLMOGOROVMetode Gumbell Untuk Metode Gumbell

Peluang m Weibull Tr (mm) (mm) (mm)

4.25 99.0% 1 0.08 12.00 2.44 36.40 38.37 1.97

20.54 50.0% 2 0.17 6.00 1.70 30.00 32.01 2.01

30.28 20.0% 3 0.25 4.00 1.25 27.00 28.09 1.09

36.72 10.0% 4 0.33 3.00 0.90 26.40 25.15 1.25

44.87 4.0% 5 0.42 2.40 0.62 24.40 22.70 1.70

50.91 2.0% 6 0.50 2.00 0.37 21.60 20.54 1.06

56.91 1.0% 7 0.58 1.71 0.13 21.40 18.53 2.87

62.89 0.5% 8 0.67 1.50 -0.09 17.60 16.58 1.02

76.74 0.1% 9 0.75 1.33 -0.33 12.50 14.58 2.08

10 0.83 1.20 -0.58 11.20 12.38 1.18

11 0.92 1.09 -0.91 10.00 9.57 0.43

Selisih Maksimum 2.87

Nilai Kritis 5% ditolak 39.60

Korelasi hasil uji kecocokan Diterima

XTr YTr

Xaktual Xprediksi

maks

o

Page 15: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

ANALISA FREKUENSI CURAH HUJANMetode Gumbell

No. TahunTr X Tr

(tahun) (mm) (mm) (tahun)

1 1957 12.00 33.20 43.80 28.48 1.01 -1.53

2 1958 6.00 36.70 39.50 78.08 2 0.37

3 1962 4.00 22.40 36.70 29.85 5 1.50

4 1963 3.00 30.20 33.20 5.46 10 2.25

5 1965 2.40 21.40 30.50 41.78 25 3.20

6 1966 2.00 14.90 30.20 168.06 50 3.90

7 1967 1.71 10.40 23.50 304.98 100 4.60

8 1974 1.50 30.50 22.40 6.95 200 5.30

9 1975 1.33 43.80 21.40 253.97 1000 6.91

10 1976 1.20 23.50 14.90 19.04

11 1977 1.09 39.50 10.40 135.40

Jumlah data yang dipergunakan n 11

Jumlah nilai data SX 306.50

Nilai rata-rata X 27.86

Jumlah selisih dengan mean pangkat 2 1072.05

Standard deviasi 10.35

0.50

0.97

Xurut (X1 - X)2 YTr

(X1 - X)2

SX

Koefisien yn (reduced mean) Yn

Koefisien sn (reduced Sd) Sn

Page 16: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

ANALISA FREKUENSI CURAH HUJAN UJI KECOCOKAN SMIRNOV-KOLMOGOROVMetode Gumbell Untuk Metode Gumbell

Peluang m Weibull Tr (mm) (mm) (mm)

6.15 99.0% 1 0.08 12.00 2.44 43.80 48.65 4.85

26.44 50.0% 2 0.17 6.00 1.70 39.50 40.73 1.23

38.57 20.0% 3 0.25 4.00 1.25 36.70 35.85 0.85

46.60 10.0% 4 0.33 3.00 0.90 33.20 32.18 1.02

56.74 4.0% 5 0.42 2.40 0.62 30.50 29.13 1.37

64.27 2.0% 6 0.50 2.00 0.37 30.20 26.44 3.76

71.74 1.0% 7 0.58 1.71 0.13 23.50 23.94 0.44

79.19 0.5% 8 0.67 1.50 -0.09 22.40 21.51 0.89

96.43 0.1% 9 0.75 1.33 -0.33 21.40 19.02 2.38

10 0.83 1.20 -0.58 14.90 16.28 1.38

11 0.92 1.09 -0.91 10.40 12.78 2.38

Selisih Maksimum 4.85

Nilai Kritis 5% ditolak 39.60

Korelasi hasil uji kecocokan Diterima

XTr YTr

Xaktual Xprediksi

maks

o

Page 17: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

ANALISA FREKUENSI CURAH HUJANMetode Gumbell

No. TahunTr X Tr

(tahun) (mm) (mm) (tahun)

1 1957 12.00 37.20 72.30 9.00 1.01 -1.53

2 1958 6.00 54.00 59.70 190.44 2 0.37

3 1962 4.00 30.30 54.00 98.01 5 1.50

4 1963 3.00 37.10 44.00 9.61 10 2.25

5 1965 2.40 31.80 43.00 70.56 25 3.20

6 1966 2.00 21.00 37.20 368.64 50 3.90

7 1967 1.71 11.80 37.10 806.56 100 4.60

8 1974 1.50 44.00 31.80 14.44 200 5.30

9 1975 1.33 72.30 30.30 1030.41 1000 6.91

10 1976 1.20 59.70 21.00 380.25

11 1977 1.09 43.00 11.80 7.84

Jumlah data yang dipergunakan n 11

Jumlah nilai data SX 442.20

Nilai rata-rata X 40.20

Jumlah selisih dengan mean pangkat 2 2985.76

Standard deviasi 17.28

0.50

0.97

Xurut (X1 - X)2 YTr

(X1 - X)2

SX

Koefisien yn (reduced mean) Yn

Koefisien sn (reduced Sd) Sn

Page 18: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

ANALISA FREKUENSI CURAH HUJAN UJI KECOCOKAN SMIRNOV-KOLMOGOROVMetode Gumbell Untuk Metode Gumbell

Peluang m Weibull Tr (mm) (mm) (mm)

3.97 99.0% 1 0.08 12.00 2.44 72.30 74.88 2.58

37.82 50.0% 2 0.17 6.00 1.70 59.70 61.67 1.97

58.06 20.0% 3 0.25 4.00 1.25 54.00 53.53 0.47

71.47 10.0% 4 0.33 3.00 0.90 44.00 47.40 3.40

88.40 4.0% 5 0.42 2.40 0.62 43.00 42.32 0.68

100.96 2.0% 6 0.50 2.00 0.37 37.20 37.82 0.62

113.43 1.0% 7 0.58 1.71 0.13 37.10 33.65 3.45

125.85 0.5% 8 0.67 1.50 -0.09 31.80 29.60 2.20

154.63 0.1% 9 0.75 1.33 -0.33 30.30 25.45 4.85

10 0.83 1.20 -0.58 21.00 20.86 0.14

11 0.92 1.09 -0.91 11.80 15.02 3.22

Selisih Maksimum 4.85

Nilai Kritis 5% ditolak 39.60

Korelasi hasil uji kecocokan Diterima

XTr YTr

Xaktual Xprediksi

maks

o

Page 19: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

RESUME UJI KECOCOKAN SMIRNOV-KOLMOGOROV

No. TahunX

(mm) (mm)1 1957 Err:509 Err:509

2 1958 Err:509 Err:509

3 1962 Err:509 Err:509

4 1963 Err:509 Err:509

5 1965 Err:509 Err:509

6 1966 Err:509 Err:509

7 1967 Err:509 Err:509

8 1974 Err:509 Err:509

9 1975 Err:509 Err:509

10 1976 Err:509 Err:509

11 1977 Err:509 Err:509

Xurut

Page 20: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

HUJAN RENCANA

Periode

Ulang

Tr

1.01 Tahun

2 Tahun

5 Tahun

10 Tahun

25 Tahun

Page 21: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot
Page 22: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot
Page 23: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot
Page 24: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

ANALISA FREKUENSI CURAH HUJANMetode Gumbell

No. TahunTr X Tr

(tahun) (mm) (mm) (tahun)

1 1957 12.00 53.70 80.00 40.96 1.01 -1.53

2 1958 6.00 59.20 62.80 141.61 2 0.37

3 1962 4.00 33.20 59.20 198.81 5 1.50

4 1963 3.00 41.80 58.60 30.25 10 2.25

5 1965 2.40 40.10 53.70 51.84 25 3.20

6 1966 2.00 24.80 47.70 506.25 50 3.90

7 1967 1.71 18.40 41.80 835.21 100 4.60

8 1974 1.50 58.60 40.10 127.69 200 5.30

9 1975 1.33 80.00 33.20 1069.29 1000 6.91

10 1976 1.20 62.80 24.80 240.25

11 1977 1.09 47.70 18.40 0.16

Jumlah data yang dipergunakan n 11

Jumlah nilai data SX 520.30

Nilai rata-rata X 47.30

Jumlah selisih dengan mean pangkat 2 3242.32

Standard deviasi 18.01

0.50

0.97

Xurut (X1 - X)2 YTr

(X1 - X)2

SX

Koefisien yn (reduced mean) Yn

Koefisien sn (reduced Sd) Sn

Page 25: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

ANALISA FREKUENSI CURAH HUJAN UJI KECOCOKAN SMIRNOV-KOLMOGOROVMetode Gumbell Untuk Metode Gumbell

Peluang m Weibull Tr (mm) (mm) (mm)

9.54 99.0% 1 0.08 12.00 2.44 80.00 83.44 3.44

44.82 50.0% 2 0.17 6.00 1.70 62.80 69.68 6.88

65.92 20.0% 3 0.25 4.00 1.25 59.20 61.19 1.99

79.88 10.0% 4 0.33 3.00 0.90 58.60 54.80 3.80

97.53 4.0% 5 0.42 2.40 0.62 53.70 49.50 4.20

110.62 2.0% 6 0.50 2.00 0.37 47.70 44.82 2.88

123.61 1.0% 7 0.58 1.71 0.13 41.80 40.48 1.32

136.55 0.5% 8 0.67 1.50 -0.09 40.10 36.25 3.85

166.54 0.1% 9 0.75 1.33 -0.33 33.20 31.92 1.28

10 0.83 1.20 -0.58 24.80 27.15 2.35

11 0.92 1.09 -0.91 18.40 21.06 2.66

Selisih Maksimum 6.88

Nilai Kritis 5% ditolak 39.60

Korelasi hasil uji kecocokan Diterima

XTr YTr

Xaktual Xprediksi

maks

o

Page 26: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

ANALISA FREKUENSI CURAH HUJANMetode Gumbell

No. TahunTr X Tr

(tahun) (mm) (mm) (tahun)

1 1957 12.00 34.90 93.40 300.55 1.01 -1.53

2 1958 6.00 65.50 71.00 175.92 2 0.37

3 1962 4.00 37.20 69.90 226.09 5 1.50

4 1963 3.00 44.20 69.00 64.58 10 2.25

5 1965 2.40 40.20 65.50 144.87 25 3.20

6 1966 2.00 27.10 44.20 631.84 50 3.90

7 1967 1.71 22.20 40.20 902.18 100 4.60

8 1974 1.50 71.00 37.20 352.07 200 5.30

9 1975 1.33 93.40 34.90 1694.44 1000 6.91

10 1976 1.20 69.00 27.10 281.02

11 1977 1.09 69.90 22.20 312.00

Jumlah data yang dipergunakan n 11

Jumlah nilai data SX 574.60

Nilai rata-rata X 52.24

Jumlah selisih dengan mean pangkat 2 5085.59

Standard deviasi 22.55

0.50

0.97

Xurut (X1 - X)2 YTr

(X1 - X)2

SX

Koefisien yn (reduced mean) Yn

Koefisien sn (reduced Sd) Sn

Page 27: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

ANALISA FREKUENSI CURAH HUJAN UJI KECOCOKAN SMIRNOV-KOLMOGOROVMetode Gumbell Untuk Metode Gumbell

Peluang m Weibull Tr (mm) (mm) (mm)

4.95 99.0% 1 0.08 12.00 2.44 93.40 97.50 4.10

49.13 50.0% 2 0.17 6.00 1.70 71.00 80.26 9.26

75.55 20.0% 3 0.25 4.00 1.25 69.90 69.63 0.27

93.04 10.0% 4 0.33 3.00 0.90 69.00 61.63 7.37

115.14 4.0% 5 0.42 2.40 0.62 65.50 55.00 10.50

131.53 2.0% 6 0.50 2.00 0.37 44.20 49.13 4.93

147.81 1.0% 7 0.58 1.71 0.13 40.20 43.69 3.49

164.02 0.5% 8 0.67 1.50 -0.09 37.20 38.40 1.20

201.58 0.1% 9 0.75 1.33 -0.33 34.90 32.98 1.92

10 0.83 1.20 -0.58 27.10 27.00 0.10

11 0.92 1.09 -0.91 22.20 19.38 2.82

Selisih Maksimum 10.50

Nilai Kritis 5% ditolak 39.60

Korelasi hasil uji kecocokan Diterima

XTr YTr

Xaktual Xprediksi

maks

o

Page 28: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

ANALISA FREKUENSI CURAH HUJANMetode Gumbell

No. TahunTr X Tr

(tahun) (mm) (mm) (tahun)

1 1957 12.00 55.40 103.20 21.08 1.01 -1.53

2 1958 6.00 72.20 99.00 149.06 2 0.37

3 1962 4.00 40.80 78.10 368.29 5 1.50

4 1963 3.00 47.00 72.20 168.76 10 2.25

5 1965 2.40 40.30 64.70 387.73 25 3.20

6 1966 2.00 31.80 55.40 794.73 50 3.90

7 1967 1.71 27.40 47.00 1062.17 100 4.60

8 1974 1.50 78.10 40.80 327.94 200 5.30

9 1975 1.33 103.20 40.30 1867.03 1000 6.91

10 1976 1.20 64.70 31.80 22.18

11 1977 1.09 99.00 27.40 1521.71

Jumlah data yang dipergunakan n 11

Jumlah nilai data SX 659.90

Nilai rata-rata X 59.99

Jumlah selisih dengan mean pangkat 2 6690.67

Standard deviasi 25.87

0.50

0.97

Xurut (X1 - X)2 YTr

(X1 - X)2

SX

Koefisien yn (reduced mean) Yn

Koefisien sn (reduced Sd) Sn

Page 29: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

ANALISA FREKUENSI CURAH HUJAN UJI KECOCOKAN SMIRNOV-KOLMOGOROVMetode Gumbell Untuk Metode Gumbell

Peluang m Weibull Tr (mm) (mm) (mm)

5.75 99.0% 1 0.08 12.00 2.44 103.20 111.91 8.71

56.43 50.0% 2 0.17 6.00 1.70 99.00 92.13 6.87

86.73 20.0% 3 0.25 4.00 1.25 78.10 79.94 1.84

106.79 10.0% 4 0.33 3.00 0.90 72.20 70.77 1.43

132.14 4.0% 5 0.42 2.40 0.62 64.70 63.16 1.54

150.94 2.0% 6 0.50 2.00 0.37 55.40 56.43 1.03

169.61 1.0% 7 0.58 1.71 0.13 47.00 50.19 3.19

188.21 0.5% 8 0.67 1.50 -0.09 40.80 44.12 3.32

231.28 0.1% 9 0.75 1.33 -0.33 40.30 37.90 2.40

10 0.83 1.20 -0.58 31.80 31.05 0.75

11 0.92 1.09 -0.91 27.40 22.30 5.10

Selisih Maksimum 8.71

Nilai Kritis 5% ditolak 39.60

Korelasi hasil uji kecocokan Diterima

XTr YTr

Xaktual Xprediksi

maks

o

Page 30: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

ANALISA FREKUENSI CURAH HUJANMetode Gumbell

No. TahunTr X Tr

(tahun) (mm) (mm) (tahun)

1 1957 12.00 59.40 119.50 14.44 1.01 -1.53

2 1958 6.00 72.70 104.60 90.25 2 0.37

3 1962 4.00 43.90 78.10 372.49 5 1.50

4 1963 3.00 47.00 72.70 262.44 10 2.25

5 1965 2.40 40.30 64.90 524.41 25 3.20

6 1966 2.00 36.40 59.40 718.24 50 3.90

7 1967 1.71 28.40 47.00 1211.04 100 4.60

8 1974 1.50 78.10 43.90 222.01 200 5.30

9 1975 1.33 104.60 40.30 1713.96 1000 6.91

10 1976 1.20 64.90 36.40 2.89

11 1977 1.09 119.50 28.40 3169.69

Jumlah data yang dipergunakan n 11

Jumlah nilai data SX 695.20

Nilai rata-rata X 63.20

Jumlah selisih dengan mean pangkat 2 8301.86

Standard deviasi 28.81

0.50

0.97

Xurut (X1 - X)2 YTr

(X1 - X)2

SX

Koefisien yn (reduced mean) Yn

Koefisien sn (reduced Sd) Sn

Page 31: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

ANALISA FREKUENSI CURAH HUJAN UJI KECOCOKAN SMIRNOV-KOLMOGOROVMetode Gumbell Untuk Metode Gumbell

Peluang m Weibull Tr (mm) (mm) (mm)

2.78 99.0% 1 0.08 12.00 2.44 119.50 121.03 1.53

59.24 50.0% 2 0.17 6.00 1.70 104.60 99.00 5.60

92.99 20.0% 3 0.25 4.00 1.25 78.10 85.42 7.32

115.33 10.0% 4 0.33 3.00 0.90 72.70 75.20 2.50

143.57 4.0% 5 0.42 2.40 0.62 64.90 66.73 1.83

164.51 2.0% 6 0.50 2.00 0.37 59.40 59.24 0.16

185.31 1.0% 7 0.58 1.71 0.13 47.00 52.28 5.28

206.02 0.5% 8 0.67 1.50 -0.09 43.90 45.52 1.62

254.01 0.1% 9 0.75 1.33 -0.33 40.30 38.60 1.70

10 0.83 1.20 -0.58 36.40 30.96 5.44

11 0.92 1.09 -0.91 28.40 21.22 7.18

Selisih Maksimum 7.32

Nilai Kritis 5% ditolak 39.60

Korelasi hasil uji kecocokan Diterima

XTr YTr

Xaktual Xprediksi

maks

o

Page 32: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

ANALISA FREKUENSI CURAH HUJANMetode Gumbell

No. TahunTr X Tr

(tahun) (mm) (mm) (tahun)

1 1957 12.00 70.30 149.80 7.19 1.01 -1.53

2 1958 6.00 72.70 105.70 25.82 2 0.37

3 1962 4.00 44.00 78.50 557.82 5 1.50

4 1963 3.00 47.00 72.70 425.11 10 2.25

5 1965 2.40 40.30 70.30 746.28 25 3.20

6 1966 2.00 38.50 67.40 847.87 50 3.90

7 1967 1.71 29.60 47.00 1445.38 100 4.60

8 1974 1.50 78.50 44.00 118.41 200 5.30

9 1975 1.33 105.70 40.30 1450.22 1000 6.91

10 1976 1.20 67.40 38.50 0.05

11 1977 1.09 149.80 29.60 6753.85

Jumlah data yang dipergunakan n 11

Jumlah nilai data SX 743.80

Nilai rata-rata X 67.62

Jumlah selisih dengan mean pangkat 2 12378.02

Standard deviasi 35.18

0.50

0.97

Xurut (X1 - X)2 YTr

(X1 - X)2

SX

Koefisien yn (reduced mean) Yn

Koefisien sn (reduced Sd) Sn

Page 33: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

ANALISA FREKUENSI CURAH HUJAN UJI KECOCOKAN SMIRNOV-KOLMOGOROVMetode Gumbell Untuk Metode Gumbell

Peluang m Weibull Tr (mm) (mm) (mm)

-6.15 99.0% 1 0.08 12.00 2.44 149.80 138.23 11.57

62.78 50.0% 2 0.17 6.00 1.70 105.70 111.34 5.64

103.99 20.0% 3 0.25 4.00 1.25 78.50 94.75 16.25

131.28 10.0% 4 0.33 3.00 0.90 72.70 82.28 9.58

165.75 4.0% 5 0.42 2.40 0.62 70.30 71.92 1.62

191.33 2.0% 6 0.50 2.00 0.37 67.40 62.78 4.62

216.72 1.0% 7 0.58 1.71 0.13 47.00 54.29 7.29

242.01 0.5% 8 0.67 1.50 -0.09 44.00 46.03 2.03

300.60 0.1% 9 0.75 1.33 -0.33 40.30 37.58 2.72

10 0.83 1.20 -0.58 38.50 28.25 10.25

11 0.92 1.09 -0.91 29.60 16.36 13.24

Selisih Maksimum 16.25

Nilai Kritis 5% ditolak 39.60

Korelasi hasil uji kecocokan Diterima

XTr YTr

Xaktual Xprediksi

maks

o

Page 34: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

ANALISA FREKUENSI CURAH HUJANMetode Gumbell

No. TahunTr X Tr

(tahun) (mm) (mm) (tahun)

1 1957 12.00 70.50 246.20 35.67 1.01 -1.53

2 1958 6.00 72.70 105.70 14.23 2 0.37

3 1962 4.00 44.00 78.30 1054.48 5 1.50

4 1963 3.00 47.00 72.70 868.64 10 2.25

5 1965 2.40 40.30 70.50 1308.47 25 3.20

6 1966 2.00 38.50 67.50 1441.93 50 3.90

7 1967 1.71 30.50 47.00 2113.49 100 4.60

8 1974 1.50 78.30 44.00 3.34 200 5.30

9 1975 1.33 105.70 40.30 854.23 1000 6.91

10 1976 1.20 67.50 38.50 80.51

11 1977 1.09 246.20 30.50 28807.35

Jumlah data yang dipergunakan n 11

Jumlah nilai data SX 841.20

Nilai rata-rata X 76.47

Jumlah selisih dengan mean pangkat 2 36582.34

Standard deviasi 60.48

0.50

0.97

Xurut (X1 - X)2 YTr

(X1 - X)2

SX

Koefisien yn (reduced mean) Yn

Koefisien sn (reduced Sd) Sn

Page 35: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

ANALISA FREKUENSI CURAH HUJAN UJI KECOCOKAN SMIRNOV-KOLMOGOROVMetode Gumbell Untuk Metode Gumbell

Peluang m Weibull Tr (mm) (mm) (mm)

-50.35 99.0% 1 0.08 12.00 2.44 246.20 197.87 48.33

68.15 50.0% 2 0.17 6.00 1.70 105.70 151.63 45.93

139.00 20.0% 3 0.25 4.00 1.25 78.30 123.12 44.82

185.91 10.0% 4 0.33 3.00 0.90 72.70 101.67 28.97

245.18 4.0% 5 0.42 2.40 0.62 70.50 83.88 13.38

289.15 2.0% 6 0.50 2.00 0.37 67.50 68.15 0.65

332.79 1.0% 7 0.58 1.71 0.13 47.00 53.56 6.56

376.28 0.5% 8 0.67 1.50 -0.09 44.00 39.36 4.64

477.01 0.1% 9 0.75 1.33 -0.33 40.30 24.83 15.47

10 0.83 1.20 -0.58 38.50 8.79 29.71

11 0.92 1.09 -0.91 30.50 -11.65 42.15

Selisih Maksimum 48.33

Nilai Kritis 5% ditolak 39.60

Korelasi hasil uji kecocokan Ditolak

XTr YTr

Xaktual Xprediksi

maks

o

Page 36: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

HUJAN RENCANA

Periode

Ulang

Tr

1.01 Tahun

2 Tahun

5 Tahun

10 Tahun

25 Tahun

Page 37: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

HUJAN RENCANA

Periode

Ulang

Tr

1.01 Tahun

2 Tahun

5 Tahun

10 Tahun

25 Tahun

Page 38: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

HUJAN RENCANA

Periode

Ulang

Tr

1.01 Tahun

2 Tahun

5 Tahun

10 Tahun

25 Tahun

Page 39: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

HUJAN RENCANA

Periode

Ulang

Tr

1.01 Tahun

2 Tahun

5 Tahun

10 Tahun

25 Tahun

Page 40: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

HUJAN RENCANA

Periode

Ulang

Tr

1.01 Tahun

2 Tahun

5 Tahun

10 Tahun

25 Tahun

Page 41: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

HUJAN RENCANA

Periode

Ulang

Tr

1.01 Tahun

2 Tahun

5 Tahun

10 Tahun

25 Tahun

Page 42: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

HUJAN RENCANA

Periode

Ulang

Tr

1.01 Tahun

2 Tahun

5 Tahun

10 Tahun

25 Tahun

Page 43: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

HUJAN RENCANA

Periode

Ulang

Tr

1.01 Tahun

2 Tahun

5 Tahun

10 Tahun

25 Tahun

Page 44: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

HUJAN RENCANA

Periode

Ulang

Tr

1.01 Tahun

2 Tahun

5 Tahun

10 Tahun

25 Tahun

Page 45: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

HUJAN RENCANA

Periode

Ulang

Tr

1.01 Tahun

2 Tahun

5 Tahun

10 Tahun

25 Tahun

Page 46: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

No. Tr (tahun) KTr Peluang

1 1.001 -3.05 0.9992 1.005 -2.58 0.9953 1.010 -2.33 0.9904 1.050 -1.64 0.9505 1.110 -1.28 0.9006 1.250 -0.84 0.8007 1.330 -0.67 0.7508 1.430 -0.52 0.7009 1.670 -0.25 0.60010 2.000 0.00 0.50011 2.500 0.25 0.40012 3.330 0.52 0.30013 4.000 0.67 0.25014 5.000 0.84 0.20015 10.000 1.28 0.10016 25.000 1.64 0.04017 50.000 2.05 0.02018 100.000 2.33 0.01019 200.000 2.58 0.00520 500.000 2.88 0.00221 1000.000 3.09 0.001

Harga KTr

Perhitungan Distribusi Normal

Page 47: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

Variasi RETURN PERIODE(YEAR)Coef. 1.01 2 5 10 20 25 50 100 200 500 1000

CV EXCEEDENCE PROBABILITY0.990 0.500 0.200 0.100 0.050 0.040 0.020 0.010 0.005 0.002 0.001

0.05 -2.640 -0.025 0.833 1.297 1.686 1.761 2.134 2.457 2.809 3.020 3.0900.10 -2.280 -0.050 0.822 1.308 1.725 1.806 2.213 2.549 2.922 3.145 3.2200.15 -2.040 -0.074 0.809 1.316 1.760 1.848 2.290 2.261 2.888 3.265 3.3900.20 -1.840 -0.097 0.793 1.320 1.791 1.887 2.364 2.772 3.210 3.472 3.5600.25 -1.670 -0.119 0.775 1.321 1.818 1.921 2.432 2.881 3.347 3.627 3.7200.30 -1.520 -0.141 0.765 1.318 1.841 1.951 2.502 2.987 3.483 3.781 3.8800.35 -1.390 -0.160 0.733 1.313 1.860 1.977 2.564 3.089 3.623 3.943 4.0500.40 -1.250 -0.179 0.710 1.304 1.875 1.999 2.621 3.187 3.311 3.985 4.2100.45 -1.130 -0.196 0.687 1.292 1.885 2.016 2.673 3.280 3.886 4.249 4.3700.50 -1.000 -0.211 0.663 1.278 1.891 2.029 2.720 3.367. 4.024 4.419 4.5500.55 -0.870 -0.225 0.638 1.261 1.893 2.038 2.761 3.449 4.155 4.579 4.7200.60 -0.750 -0.238 0.613 1.243 1.892 2.147 2.797 3.521 4.270 4.720 4.8700.65 -0.610 -0.219 0.588 1.223 1.887 2.043 2.828 3.393 4.308 4.857 5.0400.70 -0.480 -0.258 0.563 1.201 1.879 2.041 2.853 3.366 4.379 4.987 5.1900.75 -0.330 -0.267 0.539 1.178 1.868 2.035 2.874 3.712 4.622 5.168 5.3500.80 -0.160 -0.274 0.512 1.155 1.854 2.027 2.889 3.762 4.733 5.316 5.5100.85 0.040 -0.280 0.491 1.131 1.839 2.016 2.900 3.806 4.836 5.454 5.6600.90 0.280 -0.285 0.469 1.106 1.821 2.001 2.901 3.814 4.917 5.579 5.8000.95 0.640 -0.290 0.447 1.081 1.802 1.987 2.910 3.876 5.034 5.728 5.9601.00 -0.293 0.425 1.056 1.782 1.968 2.901 3.904 5.124 5.856 6.100

Harga KTr

Perhitungan Metode Log Normal 2 Parameter

Page 48: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

Sampel Yn Sn Sampel Yn Sn

10 0.4952 0.9496 56 0.5508 1.169611 0.4996 0.9676 57 0.5511 1.170812 0.5035 0.9833 58 0.5515 1.172113 0.5070 0.9971 59 0.5519 1.173414 0.5100 1.0095 60 0.5521 1.174715 0.5128 1.0206 61 0.5524 1.175916 0.5157 1.0316 62 0.5527 1.177017 0.5181 1.0411 63 0.5530 1.178218 0.5202 1.0493 64 0.5533 1.179319 0.5220 1.0565 65 0.5535 1.180320 0.5236 1.0628 66 0.5538 1.181421 0.5252 1.0696 67 0.5540 1.182422 0.5268 1.0754 68 0.5543 1.183423 0.5283 1.0811 69 0.5545 1.184424 0.5296 1.0864 70 0.5548 1.185425 0.5309 1.0915 71 0.5550 1.185426 0.5320 1.0861 72 0.5552 1.187327 0.5332 1.1004 73 0.5555 1.188128 0.5343 1.1047 74 0.5557 1.189029 0.5353 1.1086 75 0.5559 1.189830 0.5362 1.1124 76 0.5561 1.190631 0.5371 1.1159 77 0.5563 1.191532 0.5380 1.1193 78 0.5565 1.192333 0.5388 1.1226 79 0.5567 1.193034 0.5396 1.1255 80 0.5569 1.193835 0.5402 1.1287 81 0.5570 1.194536 0.5410 1.1313 82 0.5572 1.195337 0.5418 1.1339 83 0.5574 1.195938 0.5424 1.1363 84 0.5576 1.196739 0.5430 1.1388 85 0.5578 1.197340 0.5436 1.1413 86 0.5580 1.198741 0.5442 1.1436 87 0.5581 1.198742 0.5448 1.1458 88 0.5583 1.199443 0.5453 1.1480 89 0.5583 1.200144 0.5458 1.1499 90 0.5586 1.200745 0.5463 1.1519 91 0.5587 1.201346 0.5468 1.1538 92 0.5589 1.202047 0.5473 1.1557 93 0.5591 1.202648 0.5477 1.1574 94 0.5592 1.203249 0.5481 1.1590 95 0.5593 1.203850 0.5485 1.1607 96 0.5595 1.204451 0.5489 1.1623 97 0.5596 1.204952 0.5493 1.1638 98 0.5598 1.205553 0.5497 1.1658 99 0.5599 1.206054 0.5501 1.1667 100 0.5600 1.206555 0.5504 1.1681

Harga yn & S

n Perhitungan Metode Gumbel

Page 49: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

Skew RETURN PERIODE(YEAR)Coef. 1.01 2 5 10 25 50 100 200 500 1000

C' EXCEEDENCE PROBABILITYCs' 0.990 0.500 0.200 0.100 0.040 0.020 0.010 0.005 0.002 0.001

-3.0 -4.051 0.396 0.636 0.666 0.666 0.666 0.667 0.667 0.668 0.668-2.9 -4.013 0.390 0.651 0.681 0.683 0.689 0.690 0.690 0.694 0.695-2.8 -3.973 0.384 0.666 0.702 0.712 0.714 0.714 0.714 0.720 0.722-2.7 -3.832 0.376 0.681 0.747 0.738 0.740 0.740 0.741 0.747 0.748-2.6 -3.889 0.368 0.696 0.771 0.764 0.768 0.769 0.769 0.774 0.775-2.5 -3.845 0.360 0.711 0.795 0.793 0.798 0.799 0.800 0.802 0.802-2.4 -3.800 0.351 0.725 0.819 0.823 0.830 0.832 0.833 0.837 0.838-2.3 -3.753 0.341 0.739 0.844 0.855 0.864 0.867 1.869 0.873 0.874-2.2 -3.705 0.330 0.752 0.869 0.888 0.900 0.905 0.907 0.909 0.910-2.1 -3.656 0.319 0.765 0.895 0.923 0.939 0.946 0.949 0.954 0.955-2.0 -3.065 0.307 0.777 0.920 0.959 0.980 0.990 0.995 0.999 1.000-1.9 -3.553 0.294 0.788 0.945 0.996 1.023 1.038 1.044 1.060 1.065-1.8 -3.499 0.282 0.799 0.970 1.035 1.069 1.087 1.097 1.122 1.130-1.7 -3.444 0.268 0.808 0.884 1.075 1.116 1.140 1.155 1.193 1.205-1.6 -3.388 0.254 0.817 0.994 1.116 1.166 1.197 1.216 1.264 1.280-1.5 -3.330 0.240 0.825 1.018 1.157 1.217 1.256 1.282 1.350 1.373-1.4 -3.271 0.225 0.832 1.041 1.198 1.270 1.318 1.351 1.437 1.465-1.3 -3.211 0.210 0.838 1.064 1.240 1.324 1.383 1.424 1.515 1.545-1.2 -3.149 0.195 0.844 1.086 1.282 1.379 1.449 1.501 1.594 1.625-1.1 -3.087 0.180 0.848 1.107 1.324 1.435 1.518 1.581 1.680 1.713-1.0 -3.022 0.164 0.852 1.128 1.366 1.492 1.588 1.664 1.766 1.800-0.9 -2.957 0.148 0.854 1.147 1.407 1.549 1.660 1.749 1.870 1.910-0.8 -2.891 0.132 0.856 1.166 1.448 1.606 1.733 1.837 1.986 2.035-0.7 -2.824 0.116 0.857 1.183 1.488 1.663 1.806 1.926 2.094 2.150-0.6 -2.755 0.099 0.857 1.200 1.528 1.720 1.880 2.016 2.210 2.275-0.5 -2.686 0.083 0.856 1.216 1.567 1.770 1.955 2.108 2.327 2.400-0.4 -2.615 0.066 0.855 1.231 1.606 1.834 2.029 2.201 2.455 2.540-0.3 -2.544 0.500 0.853 1.245 1.643 1.890 2.104 2.294 2.580 2.675-0.2 -2.472 0.033 0.850 1.258 1.680 1.945 2.178 2.388 2.705 2.810-0.1 -2.400 0.017 0.846 1.270 1.716 2.000 2.252 2.482 3.583 3.9500.0 -2.326 0.000 0.842 1.282 1.751 2.054 2.326 2.576 2.962 3.0900.1 -2.252 -0.017 0.836 1.292 1.785 2.107 2.400 2.670 3.094 3.2350.2 -2.178 -0.033 0.830 1.301 1.818 2.159 2.472 2.763 3.226 3.3800.3 -2.104 -0.050 0.824 1.309 1.849 2.211 2.544 2.856 3.358 3.5250.4 -2.029 -0.066 0.816 1.317 1.880 2.261 2.615 2.949 3.490 3.6700.5 -1.955 -0.083 0.808 1.323 1.910 2.311 2.686 3.041 3.622 3.8150.6 -1.880 -0.099 0.800 1.328 1.939 2.359 2.755 3.132 3.753 3.9600.7 -1.806 -0.116 0.790 1.333 1.967 2.407 2.824 3.223 3.885 4.1050.8 -1.733 -0.132 0.780 1.336 1.998 2.453 2.891 3.312 4.016 4.2500.9 -1.660 -0.148 0.769 1.339 2.018 2.498 2.957 3.401 4.147 4.3951.0 -1.588 -0.164 0.758 1.340 2.043 2.542 3.022 3.489 4.277 4.5401.1 -1.518 -0.180 0.745 1.341 2.066 2.585 3.087 3.575 4.404 4.6801.2 -1.449 -0.195 0.732 1.340 2.087 2.626 3.149 3.661 4.530 4.8201.3 -1.383 -0.210 0.719 1.339 2.108 2.666 3.211 3.745 4.660 4.9651.4 -1.318 -0.225 0.705 1.337 2.128 2.706 3.271 3.828 4.790 5.1101.5 -1.256 -0.240 0.690 1.333 2.146 2.743 3.330 3.910 4.915 5.2501.6 -1.197 -0.254 0.675 1.329 2.163 2.780 3.388 3.990 5.040 5.3901.7 -1.140 -0.268 0.660 1.324 2.179 2.815 3.444 4.069 5.161 5.5251.8 -1.087 -0.282 0.643 1.318 2.193 2.828 3.499 4.147 5.282 5.6601.9 -1.037 -0.282 0.627 1.310 2.207 2.881 3.553 4.223 5.395 5.7852.0 -0.990 -0.307 0.609 1.302 2.219 2.912 3.605 4.298 5.507 5.9102.1 -0.946 -0.319 0.592 1.294 2.230 2.942 3.656 4.372 5.634 6.0552.2 -0.905 -0.330 0.574 1.284 2.240 2.970 3.705 4.444 5.761 6.2002.3 -0.867 -0.341 0.555 1.274 2.248 3.997 3.753 4.515 5.879 6.3332.4 -0.832 -0.351 0.537 1.262 2.256 3.023 3.800 4.584 5.996 6.4672.5 -0.799 -0.360 0.518 1.250 2.262 3.048 3.845 4.652 6.113 6.6002.6 -0.769 -0.368 0.799 1.238 2.267 3.017 3.899 4.718 6.227 6.7302.8 -0.714 -0.384 0.460 1.210 2.275 3.114 3.937 4.847 6.454 6.9902.8 -0.740 -0.376 0.479 1.224 2.272 3.093 3.932 4.783 6.341 6.8602.9 -0.690 -0.390 0.440 1.195 2.277 3.134 4.013 4.909 6.566 7.1203.0 -0.667 -0.396 0.420 1.180 2.278 3.152 4.051 4.970 6.680 7.250

Harga KTr

Perhitungan Metode Pearson III dan Log Pearson III

Page 50: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

Tabel IDF SNI untuk setiap periode ulang

No. t (menit)Intensity Duration Frequency (IDF) in mm/jam

T=1.01 T=2 T=5 T=10 T=25 T=50 T=100

1 5 0.1 19.5 31.0 38.7 48.4 55.6 62.7

2 10 0.1 17.6 28.0 34.9 43.6 50.1 56.5

3 20 0.1 14.7 23.4 29.2 36.4 41.9 47.2

4 30 0.1 12.6 20.1 25.0 31.3 35.9 40.6

5 40 0.1 11.0 17.6 21.9 27.4 31.5 35.5

6 50 0.1 9.8 15.7 19.5 24.4 28.0 31.6

7 60 0.0 8.8 14.1 17.6 22.0 25.2 28.5

8 70 0.0 8.0 12.8 16.0 20.0 23.0 25.9

9 80 0.0 7.4 11.8 14.7 18.3 21.1 23.8

10 90 0.0 6.8 10.9 13.5 16.9 19.5 21.9

11 100 0.0 6.3 10.1 12.6 15.7 18.1 20.4

12 110 0.0 5.9 9.4 11.8 14.7 16.9 19.0

13 120 0.0 5.5 8.8 11.0 13.8 15.8 17.9

14 130 0.0 5.2 8.3 10.4 13.0 14.9 16.8

15 140 0.0 4.9 7.9 9.8 12.3 14.1 15.9

16 150 0.0 4.7 7.4 9.3 11.6 13.3 15.0

17 160 0.0 4.4 7.1 8.8 11.0 12.7 14.3

18 170 0.0 4.2 6.7 8.4 10.5 12.1 13.6

19 180 0.0 4.0 6.4 8.0 10.0 11.5 13.0

20 190 0.0 3.9 6.2 7.7 9.6 11.0 12.4

21 200 0.0 3.7 5.9 7.4 9.2 10.6 11.9

22 210 0.0 3.6 5.7 7.1 8.8 10.1 11.4

23 220 0.0 3.4 5.4 6.8 8.5 9.8 11.0

24 230 0.0 3.3 5.2 6.5 8.2 9.4 10.6

25 240 0.0 3.2 5.1 6.3 7.9 9.1 10.2Sumber: Hasil Analisa

aPembil +010Penyeb1239258.5

Kurva Basis8859.9i1.01 4.9

i2 891.1i5 1420.9i10 1771.7i25 2214.9i50 2543.7

i100 2870.1i200 Err:509

i1000 Err:509

Page 51: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

tahun 5 10 15 20 45 60 120 1801957 8.4 21.4 33.2 37.2 53.7 34.9 55.4 59.41958 15.9 24.4 36.7 54 59.2 65.5 72.2 72.71962 8.8 17.6 22.4 30.3 33.2 37.2 40.8 43.91963 14.4 21.6 30.2 37.1 41.8 44.2 47 471965 8.3 12.5 21.4 31.8 40.1 40.2 40.3 40.31966 9.4 11.2 14.9 21 24.8 27.1 31.8 36.41967 7.6 10 10.4 11.8 18.4 22.2 27.4 28.41974 19.6 26.4 30.5 44 58.6 71 78.1 78.11975 23.7 36.4 43.8 72.3 80 93.4 103.2 104.61976 26.3 27 23.5 59.7 62.8 69 64.7 64.91977 23.6 30 39.5 43 47.7 69.9 99 119.5

Periode ulang 5 10 15 20 45 60 120 1802 169.27 123.2301 105.7581 113.47 59.76444 49.13459 28.21658 19.846895 269.91 181.6595 154.2718 174.1921 87.88762 75.55066 43.36623 31.00929

10 336.54 220.3448 186.392 214.3953 106.5076 93.04039 53.39661 38.3997725 420.73 269.2237 226.9761 265.1923 130.034 115.1387 66.07003 47.7376650 483.19 305.4849 257.0837 302.8764 147.4873 131.5325 75.47189 54.66505

100 545.18 341.4784 286.9689 340.2822 164.8116 147.8053 84.80434 61.54128

Page 52: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

360 72070.3 70.572.7 72.7

44 4447 47

40.3 40.338.5 38.529.6 30.578.5 78.3

105.7 105.767.4 67.5

149.8 246.2

360 72010.46318 5.6794717.33184 11.5835521.87949 15.4925627.62546 20.4316131.88814 24.0956836.11936 27.7327

Page 53: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

No t I I.t i^2 i^2. t1 5 169.274 846.370 28653.668 143268.3402 10 123.230 1232.301 15185.666 151856.6603 15 105.758 1586.371 11184.768 167771.5244 20 113.470 2269.400 12875.444 257508.8775 45 59.764 2689.400 3571.788 160730.4806 60 49.135 2948.075 2414.208 144852.4597 120 28.217 3385.990 796.176 95541.0608 180 19.847 3572.439 393.899 70901.7979 360 10.463 3766.744 109.478 39412.118

10 720 5.679 4089.218 32.256 23224.592684.837 26386.309 75217.351 1255067.907

Prof. Tablota = 3973.5334592543b = 19.4922580798

Dr. Ishiguroa = 242.0025415897b = -1.4208077126

ShermanLog a = 2.8456905689

a = 700.9556955626n = 0.695363155

Page 54: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

logt log i lgt.logi logt2 t^1/2 l.t^1/2 i^2.t^1/20.699 2.229 1.558 0.489 2.236 378.508 64071.5501.000 2.091 2.091 1.000 3.162 389.688 48021.2921.176 2.024 2.381 1.383 3.873 409.599 43318.4211.301 2.055 2.673 1.693 4.472 507.453 57580.7351.653 1.776 2.937 2.733 6.708 400.912 23960.2851.778 1.691 3.008 3.162 7.746 380.595 18700.3722.079 1.451 3.016 4.323 10.954 309.097 8721.6662.255 1.298 2.927 5.086 13.416 266.274 5284.7082.556 1.020 2.607 6.535 18.974 198.525 2077.2012.857 0.754 2.155 8.164 26.833 152.396 865.529

17.356 16.389 25.351 34.568 98.375 3393.048 272601.760

It Ishiguro Talbot Sherman5 296.84084 162.23631 228.9035781

10 138.96452 134.73141 141.360285615 98.68891 115.20073 106.63015520 79.310557 100.6155 87.2975883745 45.769701 61.612565 49.6715256460 38.26031 49.986421 40.66583604

120 25.384056 28.485692 25.11334355180 20.174275 19.918234 18.94336661360 13.787073 10.470658 11.69854895720 9.523157 5.3733267 7.224483927

Page 55: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

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Page 56: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

No t I I.t i^2 i^2. t1 5 269.912 1349.562 72852.664 364263.3182 10 181.659 1816.595 33000.158 330001.5793 15 154.272 2314.076 23799.774 356996.6164 20 174.192 3483.841 30342.875 606857.4935 45 87.888 3954.943 7724.234 347590.5126 60 75.551 4533.039 5707.902 342474.1027 120 43.366 5203.947 1880.630 225675.5748 180 31.009 5581.672 961.576 173083.6779 360 17.332 6239.462 300.393 108141.341

10 720 11.584 8340.156 134.179 96608.6091046.765 42817.293 176704.383 2951692.821

Prof. Tablota = 6667.7983715344b = 22.7947015801

Dr. Ishiguroa = 396.0224905258b = -1.2417429319

ShermanLog a = 2.9740988682

a = 942.1040444574n = 0.6549894161

Page 57: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

logt log i lgt.logi logt2 t^1/2 l.t^1/2 i^2.t^1/20.699 2.431 1.699 0.489 2.236 603.542 162903.5081.000 2.259 2.259 1.000 3.162 574.458 104355.6621.176 2.188 2.574 1.383 3.873 597.492 92176.1301.301 2.241 2.916 1.693 4.472 779.011 135697.4611.653 1.944 3.214 2.733 6.708 589.568 51815.7341.778 1.878 3.340 3.162 7.746 585.213 44213.2162.079 1.637 3.404 4.323 10.954 475.053 20601.2672.255 1.491 3.364 5.086 13.416 416.033 12900.8962.556 1.239 3.167 6.535 18.974 328.849 5699.5492.857 1.064 3.040 8.164 26.833 310.819 3600.390

17.356 18.373 28.976 34.568 98.375 5260.038 633963.813

It Ishiguro Talbot Sherman5 398.28273 239.89458 328.3075825

10 206.20429 203.31938 208.501628815 150.50791 176.42151 159.871680920 122.59267 155.80897 132.415245845 72.445864 98.352795 77.8506367560 60.886972 80.534119 64.48053303

120 40.773642 46.694998 40.95030661180 32.52841 32.879549 31.39924799360 22.333872 17.418732 19.94103913720 15.475025 8.976637 12.66415813

Page 58: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

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Page 59: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

No t I I.t i^2 i^2. t1 5 336.544 1682.718 113261.656 566308.2812 10 220.345 2203.448 48551.809 485518.0913 15 186.392 2795.881 34741.992 521129.8854 20 214.395 4287.907 45965.363 919307.2625 45 106.508 4792.842 11343.871 510474.1956 60 93.040 5582.424 8656.515 519390.8847 120 53.397 6407.594 2851.198 342143.7918 180 38.400 6911.959 1474.542 265417.6319 360 21.879 7876.616 478.712 172336.326

10 720 15.493 11154.646 240.020 172814.0761286.392 53696.034 267565.679 4474840.420

Prof. Tablota = 8434.9327040807b = 23.8288848814

Dr. Ishiguroa = 497.2112811024b = -1.1847356576

ShermanLog a = 3.0463416614

a = 1112.6066757263n = 0.6426519908

Page 60: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

logt log i lgt.logi logt2 t^1/2 l.t^1/2 i^2.t^1/20.699 2.527 1.766 0.489 2.236 752.535 253260.7621.000 2.343 2.343 1.000 3.162 696.791 153534.3011.176 2.270 2.670 1.383 3.873 721.893 134555.1581.301 2.331 3.033 1.693 4.472 958.805 205563.3531.653 2.027 3.352 2.733 6.708 714.475 76097.0001.778 1.969 3.501 3.162 7.746 720.688 67053.0752.079 1.728 3.592 4.323 10.954 584.931 31233.3122.255 1.584 3.573 5.086 13.416 515.187 19783.0622.556 1.340 3.426 6.535 18.974 415.134 9082.9222.857 1.190 3.401 8.164 26.833 415.709 6440.400

17.356 19.310 30.656 34.568 98.375 6496.148 956603.346

It Ishiguro Talbot Sherman5 472.93446 292.58616 395.5006455

10 251.42894 249.34114 253.331777615 184.95739 217.23345 195.219983820 151.24756 192.45146 162.26772445 90.017948 122.54932 96.3610110860 75.780182 100.62084 80.09570353

120 50.893118 58.64561 51.30405523180 40.649494 41.382421 39.53541448360 27.9506 21.975763 25.32379389720 19.385906 11.339883 16.2207617

Page 61: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

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Page 62: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

No t I I.t i^2 i^2. t1 5 420.733 2103.663 177015.919 885079.5972 10 269.224 2692.237 72481.413 724814.1313 15 226.976 3404.642 51518.152 772772.2744 20 265.192 5303.846 70326.953 1406539.0605 45 130.034 5851.531 16908.846 760898.0606 60 115.139 6908.323 13256.925 795415.5117 120 66.070 7928.404 4365.249 523829.8618 180 47.738 8592.780 2278.885 410199.2289 360 27.625 9945.164 763.166 274739.709

10 720 20.432 14710.763 417.451 300564.6321589.162 67441.352 409332.958 6854852.064

Prof. Tablota = 10659.20700991b = 24.6360740218

Dr. Ishiguroa = 624.6592089171b = -1.139835596

ShermanLog a = 3.1244562104

a = 1331.8527459184n = 0.632947346

Page 63: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

logt log i lgt.logi logt2 t^1/2 l.t^1/2 i^2.t^1/20.699 2.624 1.834 0.489 2.236 940.787 395819.6291.000 2.430 2.430 1.000 3.162 851.360 229206.3531.176 2.356 2.771 1.383 3.873 879.075 199528.9431.301 2.424 3.153 1.693 4.472 1185.976 314511.6951.653 2.114 3.495 2.733 6.708 872.295 113427.9861.778 2.061 3.665 3.162 7.746 891.861 102687.7012.079 1.820 3.784 4.323 10.954 723.761 47818.9052.255 1.679 3.786 5.086 13.416 640.468 30574.4452.556 1.441 3.684 6.535 18.974 524.156 14480.0542.857 1.310 3.744 8.164 26.833 548.238 11201.382

17.356 20.259 32.347 34.568 98.375 8057.976 1459257.094

It Ishiguro Talbot Sherman5 569.82372 359.67001 480.8891752

10 308.86383 307.74871 310.105068415 228.54937 268.92691 239.9122220 187.45585 238.80252 199.973628845 112.17994 153.07019 119.690515560 94.557495 125.94165 99.7654339

120 63.645815 73.696739 64.33450428180 50.882217 52.088602 49.77227177360 35.026643 27.712448 32.09603072720 24.312447 14.314653 20.69737127

Page 64: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

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Page 65: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

No t I I.t i^2 i^2. t1 5 483.189 2415.944 233471.358 1167356.7882 10 305.485 3054.849 93321.047 933210.4693 15 257.084 3856.255 66092.019 991380.2854 20 302.876 6057.527 91734.098 1834681.9685 45 147.487 6636.926 21752.489 978862.0156 60 131.533 7891.951 17300.805 1038048.2917 120 75.472 9056.627 5696.007 683520.8248 180 54.665 9839.709 2988.267 537888.1329 360 31.888 11479.732 1016.854 366067.347

10 720 24.096 17348.893 580.602 418033.4431813.774 77638.414 533953.546 8949049.562

Prof. Tablota = 12305.719265381b = 25.0410313965

Dr. Ishiguroa = 719.0362608362b = -1.1171547258

ShermanLog a = 3.1748974486

a = 1495.8823866487n = 0.6280227799

Page 66: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

logt log i lgt.logi logt2 t^1/2 l.t^1/2 i^2.t^1/20.699 2.684 1.876 0.489 2.236 1080.443 522057.8261.000 2.485 2.485 1.000 3.162 966.028 295107.0621.176 2.410 2.834 1.383 3.873 995.681 255973.2891.301 2.481 3.228 1.693 4.472 1354.504 410247.3601.653 2.169 3.585 2.733 6.708 989.375 145920.1341.778 2.119 3.768 3.162 7.746 1018.847 134011.4582.079 1.878 3.904 4.323 10.954 826.753 62396.6292.255 1.738 3.919 5.086 13.416 733.409 40091.8142.556 1.504 3.844 6.535 18.974 605.035 19293.4432.857 1.382 3.949 8.164 26.833 646.555 15579.187

17.356 20.849 33.393 34.568 98.375 9216.629 1900678.202

It Ishiguro Talbot Sherman5 642.6202 409.63039 544.4128449

10 351.58584 351.18028 352.269196415 260.91472 307.32773 273.077140620 214.31901 273.21131 227.940225745 128.60489 175.693 136.97532260 108.47136 144.70332 114.3346738

120 73.092873 84.843021 73.98169249180 58.461782 60.015886 57.35020049360 40.267455 31.959501 37.10917042720 27.961026 16.516834 24.01195667

Page 67: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

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Page 68: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

No t I I.t i^2 i^2. t1 5 545.184 2725.919 297225.281 1486126.4072 10 341.478 3414.784 116607.501 1166075.0053 15 286.969 4304.534 82351.177 1235267.6624 20 340.282 6805.644 115791.977 2315839.5375 45 164.812 7416.523 27162.868 1222329.0416 60 147.805 8868.317 21846.400 1310783.9967 120 84.804 10176.520 7191.776 863013.0778 180 61.541 11077.430 3787.329 681719.2379 360 36.119 13002.968 1304.608 469658.854

10 720 27.733 19967.543 769.103 553753.8722036.728 87760.183 674038.019 11304566.688

Prof. Tablota = 13938.156788441b = 25.3452545182

Dr. Ishiguroa = 812.6245623645b = -1.1000397284

ShermanLog a = 3.2199430033

a = 1659.3691179333n = 0.6242878608

Page 69: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

logt log i lgt.logi logt2 t^1/2 l.t^1/2 i^2.t^1/20.699 2.737 1.913 0.489 2.236 1219.068 664615.9341.000 2.533 2.533 1.000 3.162 1079.850 368745.2941.176 2.458 2.891 1.383 3.873 1111.426 318944.7391.301 2.532 3.294 1.693 4.472 1521.788 517837.4631.653 2.217 3.665 2.733 6.708 1105.590 182214.0551.778 2.170 3.858 3.162 7.746 1144.895 169221.4862.079 1.928 4.010 4.323 10.954 928.985 78781.9552.255 1.789 4.035 5.086 13.416 825.663 50812.3522.556 1.558 3.982 6.535 18.974 685.317 24753.1952.857 1.443 4.123 8.164 26.833 744.146 20637.188

17.356 21.365 34.304 34.568 98.375 10366.727 2396563.661

It Ishiguro Talbot Sherman5 715.32074 459.31916 607.5534824

10 394.04986 394.34309 394.144202215 293.05485 345.47203 306.00146620 240.98499 307.37851 255.697081245 144.90028 198.13926 154.121241860 122.27407 163.31496 128.784846

120 82.463024 95.896882 83.54787168180 65.979236 67.876693 64.86400427360 45.465008 36.170568 42.07986943720 31.579359 18.700269 27.29889145

Page 70: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

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Page 71: Curah Hujan, Ishiguro, Sherman, Talbot

% % (mm/24jam)1 34.76 34.76 160.54 55.80370423456789

101112131415161718192021222324

Durasi ((jam)

Prosentase curah hujan

berdasar data wedumen

Persentase perjam dari curah

hujan harian

Intensitas curah hujan

24 jam dalam

peridoe 5 tahun

Intensitas curah huajn