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Update on Porcine Epidemic Diarrhea Virus Studies - Dr. Dane Goede, University of Minnesota, Veterinary Medicine , from the 2013 Allen D. Leman Swine Conference, September 14-17, 2013, St. Paul, Minnesota, USA. More presentations at http://www.swinecast.com/2013-leman-swine-conference-material
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Update on Porcine Epidemic Diarrhea Virus Studies
Dane Goede, Bob Morrison
Outline
• Lateral Spread– Index cases & nearest neighbors– Cluster analyses
• Production Impact • Time-to-Stability• Swine Health Monitoring Project
LATERAL SPREAD STUDYNational Pork Board Project
Two ApproachesIncidence in Neighboring Herds• Index cases in negative
areas identified• Questionnaire
administered to record potential sources of risk to infect neighbors
• Neighbors identified, given similar questionnaires, and monitored for infection
Cluster Analysis• 268 premises
participating• PEDv spread fast in
Oklahoma panhandle• Aerosol? Transportation?
Pests?• Spatial analysis for
pattern of movement
Progress
• Both retrospective & prospective cohorts
• 22 case farms identified
• 19 of which verbally agreed to participate
• 14 of which have enrolled officially
Progress
• 5 fully-completed index case & neighbor questionnaire sets
Weeks after index case became infected
% N
egat
ive
PRODUCTION IMPACT STUDY
Methods
• Breeding herds undergoing exposure programs
• Baseline production parameters identified– Piglets weaned per week– 26 weeks of data prior to infection– Shewhart control chart
• Time-to-Baseline Production• Loss (piglets/1000 sows)
Production Impact
Weeks Post-Infection
% B
asel
ine
Pro
duct
ion
N = 18 herds
Avg TTBP = 5.9 wks95% CI = 4.2-7.6
Loss:1688 pigs/1000 sows95% CI = 1077-2299
3.9 wks production95% CI = 2.0-5.8
TIME-TO-STABILITY STUDY
Methods
• Breeding herds undergoing exposure programs
• Criteria for Stability– Free of clinical signs– 4 samples PCR negative at weekly intervals
• At least 30 litters from farrowing• 1 swab/swiffer per litter• Pools of 5 litters• Bias sample collection towards any diarrhea and/or
younger sow parity
Time-to-Stability Progress
• 4 sites enrolled and actively testing
• 1 site has reached stability at 18 wks post-infection
SWINE HEALTH MONITORING PROJECT & REPORT
Swine Health Monitoring Project
• What will be the next pathogen to cross the border into the US?
• Infrastructure• VDL release agreement
– Premises ID– Linked to VDL results– Linked to GPS coordinates in National
Repository
Swine Health Monitoring Report
Visual History of PED Prevalence
Most Recent: 9/13/2013
Thank You!
• Study participants & SHMP supporters
• Dane Goede ([email protected]) to receive report
Acknowledgments• Funding from
– National Pork Board– Swine Disease Eradication
Center– Leman China scholarship
fund
• Drs. Rossow, Rovira & Tousignant & U of M VDL
• ISU, KSU, SDSU VDLs & NAHLN
• USDA APHIS Centers of Epidemiology & Animal Health
• AASV• Bob Morrison• Peter Davies• Montse Torremorell• U of MN Graduate
Students
QUESTIONS?