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2012.09.14.
(),
E-mail: [email protected]
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CONTENTS
1.
-
11 41,721MW
6 ( )
10 6%, (CAGR) 21%
2008(28,190MW, 42%), 2009(38,103MW, 35%)
08 CAGR : [, 6.9% ]
10 (6,810MW, 2011)
10 31% , 09
10 - 42% 11 44%
11 10,226MW
10 24.5%
10 -7% , 40.5%
11 21,005MW
10 -6.9% , 17GW
10 54% , OECD 45.2% (, )
OECD 11 52.1%
-
Year: Installed MW Increase % Cumulative MW Increase %
2006 15,016 74,306
2007 19,791 32% 94,005 27%
2008 28,190 42% 122,158 30%
2009 38,103 35% 160,084 31%
2010 39,404 3% 199,520 25%
2011 41,712 6% 241,029 21%
22.7% 26.5%Average growth - 5 years
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
0
9,000
18,000
27,000
36,000
45,000
1983 1990 1995 2000 2005 2011
Cu
mu
lati
ve M
W
MW
per
yea
r
Year
Installed Wind Power in the World- Annual and Cumulative -
Source: BTM Consult - A Part of Navigant - March 2012
World market growth rates, 2006~2011
Annual & cumulative global wind energy development 1983-2011
11 6,810MW , 2
GE Energy 10(43%) 11(30%)
11 1,267MW , 6
1
2
3
, 11 330MW ( - 2,105MW)
, 4, 5, 6
7
11 178MW 25.9%
-
3 1
5 , 11 17,631MW
62,412MW 2 30%
Top 15 7
Goldwind, Sinovel, United Power 20 11 90%
1
11 3 , 6
11 3,300MW , 16,266MW
FIT , Generation Based Incentive, Renewable Energy Certificate
(Suzulon( 37%), Enercon-India, Gamesa, Vestas)
2020 20%
11 (166MW)
FIT FIT
: JSW, Fuji Heavy Industry, Mitsubishi Heavy Industry - 11 68%
: REpower, Enercon, GE Energy
2,595MW
- Top 10
Country 2009 2010 2011 Share % Cum. Share %
P.R. China 25,853 44,781 62,412 25.9% 26%
USA 35,159 40,274 47,084 19.5% 45%
Germany 25,813 27,364 29,248 12.1% 58%
Spain 18,784 20,300 21,350 8.9% 66%
India 10,827 12,966 16,266 6.7% 73%
UK 4,340 5,862 7,155 3.0% 76%
France 4,775 5,961 6,836 2.8% 79%
Italy 4,845 5,793 6,733 2.8% 82%
Canada 3,321 4,011 5,278 2.2% 84%
Portugal 3,474 3,837 4,214 1.7% 86%
Total 137,191 171,149 206,576
Percent of World 85.7% 85.8% 85.7%
Source: BTM Consult - A Part of Navigant - March 2012
Accu. Accu. Accu. Accu. Growth rate 3 years
end end end end 2010-2011 average
Country 2008 2009 2010 2011 % %
P.R. China 12,121 25,853 44,781 62,412 39.4% 72.7%
USA 25,237 35,159 40,274 47,084 16.9% 23.1%
Germany 23,933 25,813 27,364 29,248 6.9% 6.9%
Spain 16,453 18,784 20,300 21,350 5.2% 9.1%
India 9,655 10,827 12,966 16,266 25.5% 19.0%
UK 3,263 4,340 5,862 7,155 22.1% 29.9%
France 3,671 4,775 5,961 6,836 14.7% 23.0%
Italy 3,731 4,845 5,793 6,733 16.2% 21.7%
Canada 2,371 3,321 4,011 5,278 31.6% 30.6%
Portugal 2,829 3,474 3,837 4,214 9.8% 14.2%
Total "Ten" 103,263 137,191 171,149 206,576 20.7% 26.0%
Source: BTM Consult - A Part of Navigant - March 2012
The 10 largest markets by the end of 2011 (cumulative MW)
Growth rates in the Top 10 markets
-
470MW (11)
10 2/3
, , , ,
- : Ormonde(150MW), Sheringham Shoal(39.6MW), Walney phase2(36MW), Greater Gabbard(104.4MW)
- : Avedore Holme(3.6MW)
- : BARD Offshore 1(30MW)
- : Windfloat(2MW)
- : Rudong Intertidal Demonstration Project Phase 1(99.3MW), Donghai Bridge Offshore Wind Phase 2(8.6MW)
4GW (3,987MW, 11)
,
3MW 8
12 3,899MW (, , , , )
- : Thorn Bank Phase II and III, : Anholt
- : BARD Offshore I, Borkum West II Phase I
- : Greater Gabbard, Sheringham Shoal, Gwynt y Mor, Lincs, London Array Phase 1, Teesside
- : Donghai Bridge Offshore Wind Phase 2, Longyuan Rudong Intertidal Project Phase 2
5 (, ) (, )
- Top 10
11 1 Vestas(DK) Goldwind(PRC) Sinovel(PRC) 2
Vestas Goldwind 11 9,002MW(22.3%)
Goldwind 10 4 11 2
GE Energy(US) 3 0.5%
Gamesa(ES) 4 10 8 11 4
Enercon(GE) 5 Suzulon Group 6
9.2%
11 10 1.3%, 09 4.8%
Dongfang Electric Top 10 12 , 11 Mingyang Top 10
United Power 2 8 , XEMC Sewind 13 14
Top 10 4
11 MW
5 5 140
Goldwind 09 1.5MW 3 11 123
- 79(1.5MW), 34(1.5MW), 11(1.5MW)
United Power SANY 1.5MW 6
- Top 10
Accu. Supplied Share Accu. Share
MW MW 2011 MW accu.
2010 2011 % 2011 %
VESTAS (DK) 45,547 5,213 12.9% 50,760 20.9%
GOLDWIND (PRC) 9,055 3,789 9.4% 12,844 5.3%
GE WIND (US) 26,871 3,542 8.8% 30,412 12.5%
GAMESA (S) 21,812 3,309 8.2% 25,120 10.3%
ENERCON (GE) 22,644 3,188 7.9% 25,832 10.6%
SUZLON GROUP (IND) 17,301 3,104 7.7% 20,405 8.4%
SINOVEL (PRC) 10,044 2,945 7.3% 12,989 5.3%
UNITED POWER (PRC) 2,435 2,859 7.1% 5,294 2.2%
SIEMENS (DK) 13,538 2,540 6.3% 16,078 6.6%
MINGYANG (PRC) 1,799 1,178 2.9% 2,976 1.2%
Others 34,882 8,693 21.5% 43,575 17.9%
Total 205,927 40,358 100% 246,284 101%
Source: BTM Consult - A Part of Navigant - March 2012
The Top-10 suppliers in 2011
VESTAS (DK) 12.9%
GOLDWIND (PRC) 9.4%
GE WIND (US) 8.8%
GAMESA (S) 8.2% ENERCON (GE) 7.9%
SUZLON GROUP (IND) 7.7%
SINOVEL (PRC) 7.3%
UNITED POWER (PRC) 7.1%
SIEMENS (DK) 6.3%
MINGYANG (PRC) 2.9%Others 21.5%
Top-10 Suppliers (Global) in 2011
Source: BTM Consult - A Part of Navigant - March 2012
% of the total market 40,358MW
VESTAS (DK)
GOLDWIND (PRC)GE WIND (US)
GAMESA (S)
ENERCON (GE)
SUZLON GROUP (IND)
SINOVEL (PRC)
UNITED POWER (PRC)
SIEMENS (DK)
MINGYANG (PRC)
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
0 5 10 15 20 25
Glo
bal M
ark
et S
hare
No. of markets (Total supply >50MW)
Top-Ten manufacturers market strength and positions in 2011
DomesticSupplier
GlobalSupplier
Source: BTM Consult - A Part of Navigant - March 2012
Global ,
"
2.
-
,
2009 , 40%
(6 MW )
,
3~3.6MW : 3(03~08)
- Siemens(3~3.6MW), Vestas(3MW), Sinovel(3MW), GE(3.6MW), WindWinD(3MW)
4(08~) 4~7MW
-
4 5
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
OffshoreGrid
UpWind
WindBarriers
WindSec
Wind Energy (The Facts)
TradeWind
Seanergy 2020
Twenties
TOPWind
Orecca
past projects ongoing projects (EU Funded)
tool
IEA Wind Task 26 Multi-national Case Study of the Financial Cost of Wind Energy; Work Package 1 Final Report Large-Scale Offshore Wind Power in the United States: Executive Summary
Estimation of Seismic Load Demand for a Wind Turbine in the Time Domain: Preprint On Hurricane Risk to Offshore Wind Turbines in US Waters. Paper No. 20811
Modal Dynamics of Large Wind Turbines with Different Support Structures
Offshore Code Comparison Collaboration (OC3) for IEA Wind Task 23 Offshore Wind Technology and Deployment Offshore Code Comparison Collaboration within IEA Wind Annex XXIII: Phase II Results Regarding Monopile Foundation Modeling Offshore Code Comparison Collaboration within IEA Wind Task 23: Phase IV Results Regarding Floating Wind Turbine Modeling; Preprint
Definition of the Floating System for Phase IV of OC3 Dynamics of Offshore Floating Wind Turbines Analysis of Three Concepts Model Development and Loads Analysis of a Wind Turbine on a Floating Offshore Tension Leg Platform New Modeling Tool Analyzes Floating Platform Concepts for Offshore Wind Turbines Quantitative Comparison of the Responses of Three Floating Platforms NREL Computer Models Integrate Wind Turbines with Floating Platforms
Topic_01 (8 ) : Modeling & Analysis Design Tools to Assess Offshore Wind Turbine Technologies : computational tool / floating offshore / fatigue
Topic_02 (7 ) : Innovative Offshore Wind Plant System Design Studies : cost-of-energy estimates
Topic_03 (4 ) : Innovative Offshore Wind Turbine Component Development : aerodynamic control / turbine blades
Topic_04 (1 ) : Offshore Wind Market and Economic Analysis
Topic_05 (3 ) : Environmental Risk Reduction : bird / sea turtle / marine mammal
Topic_06 (1 ) : Manufacturing and Supply Chain Development
Topic_07 (4 ) : Transmission Planning and Interconnection Studies : electric grid / wind development sites
Topic_08 (4 ) : Optimized Infrastructure and Operations