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7/30/2019 Ch04HullOFOD6thEd
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Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives 6th Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2005 4.1
Interest Rates
Chapter 4
7/30/2019 Ch04HullOFOD6thEd
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Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives 6th Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2005 4.2
Types of Rates
Treasury rates
LIBOR rates
Repo rates
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Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives 6th Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2005 4.3
Measuring Interest Rates
The compounding frequency usedfor an interest rate is the unit of
measurement The difference between quarterly
and annual compounding isanalogous to the differencebetween miles and kilometers
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Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives 6th Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2005 4.4
Continuous Compounding(Page 79)
In the limit as we compound more and morefrequently we obtain continuously compoundedinterest rates
$100 grows to $100eRTwhen invested at acontinuously compounded rateRfor time T
$100 received at time Tdiscounts to $100e-RTat
time zero when the continuously compoundeddiscount rate isR
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Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives 6th Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2005 4.5
Conversion Formulas(Page 79)
Define
Rc : continuously compounded rate
Rm: same rate with compounding m timesper year
R mR
m
R m e
c m
mR mc
ln
/
1
1
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Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives 6th Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2005 4.6
Zero Rates
A zero rate (or spot rate), for maturity Tisthe rate of interest earned on an
investment that provides a payoff only attime T
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Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives 6th Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2005 4.7
Example (Table 4.2, page 81)
Maturity(years)
Zero Rate(% cont comp)
0.5 5.0
1.0 5.8
1.5 6.4
2.0 6.8
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Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives 6th Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2005 4.8
Bond Pricing
To calculate the cash price of a bond wediscount each cash flow at the appropriate zerorate
In our example, the theoretical price of a two-year bond providing a 6% coupon semiannuallyis
3 3 3
103 98 39
0 05 0 5 0 058 1 0 0 064 1 5
0 068 2 0
e e e
e
. . . . . .
. . .
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Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives 6th Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2005 4.9
Bond Yield
The bond yield is the discount rate thatmakes the present value of the cash flows onthe bond equal to the market price of thebond
Suppose that the market price of the bond inour example equals its theoretical price of98.39
The bond yield (continuously compounded) is
given by solving
to gety=0.0676 or 6.76%.
3 3 3 103 98390 5 1 0 15 2 0
e e e ey y y y . . . . .
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Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives 6th Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2005 4.10
Par Yield
The par yield for a certain maturity is thecoupon rate that causes the bond price toequal its face value.
In our example we solve
g)compoundins.a.(withgetto 876
1002
100
222
0.2068.0
5.1064.00.1058.05.005.0
.c=
ec
ec
ec
ec
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Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives 6th
Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2005 4.11
Par Yield continued
In general ifmis the number of couponpayments per year,Pis the present valueof $1 received at maturity andA is thepresent value of an annuity of $1 on eachcoupon date
cP m
A
( )100 100
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Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives 6th
Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2005 4.12
Sample Data (Table 4.3, page 82)
Bond Time to Annual Bond Cash
Principal Maturity Coupon Price
(dollars) (years) (dollars) (dollars)
100 0.25 0 97.5
100 0.50 0 94.9
100 1.00 0 90.0
100 1.50 8 96.0
100 2.00 12 101.6
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Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives 6th
Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2005 4.13
The Bootstrap Method
An amount 2.5 can be earned on 97.5 during 3months.
The 3-month rate is 4 times 2.5/97.5 or 10.256%
with quarterly compounding This is 10.127% with continuous compounding
Similarly the 6 month and 1 year rates are10.469% and 10.536% with continuous
compounding
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Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives 6th
Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2005 4.14
The Bootstrap Method continued
To calculate the 1.5 year rate we solve
to getR = 0.10681 or 10.681%
Similarly the two-year rate is 10.808%
9610444 5.10.110536.05.010469.0 Reee
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Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives 6th
Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2005 4.15
Zero Curve Calculated from the
Data (Figure 4.1, page 84)
9
10
11
12
0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5
Zero
Rate (%)
Maturity (yrs)
10.127
10.469 10.53610.681 10.808
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Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives 6th
Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2005 4.16
Forward Rates
The forward rate is the future zero rateimplied by todays term structure of interest
rates
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Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives 6th
Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2005 4.17
Calculation of Forward RatesTable 4.5, page 85
Zero Rate for Forward Rate
an n -year Investment forn th Year
Year (n ) (% per annum) (% per annum)
1 3.0
2 4.0 5.0
3 4.6 5.8
4 5.0 6.2
5 5.3 6.5
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Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives 6th
Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2005 4.18
Formula for Forward Rates
Suppose that the zero rates for timeperiods T1and T2areR1 andR2 with bothrates continuously compounded.
The forward rate for the period betweentimes T1 and T2 is
R T R T
T T
2 2 1 1
2 1
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Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives 6th
Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2005 4.19
Instantaneous Forward Rate
The instantaneous forward rate for amaturity Tis the forward rate that appliesfor a very short time period starting at T. Itis
whereR is the T-year rate
R TR
T
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Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives 6th
Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2005 4.20
Upward vs Downward Sloping
Yield Curve
For an upward sloping yield curve:
Fwd Rate > Zero Rate > Par Yield
For a downward sloping yield curve
Par Yield > Zero Rate > Fwd Rate
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Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives 6th
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Forward Rate Agreement
A forward rate agreement (FRA) is anagreement that a certain rate will apply toa certain principal during a certain futuretime period
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Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives 6th
Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2005 4.22
Forward Rate Agreement
continued
An FRA is equivalent to an agreementwhere interest at a predetermined rate,RKis exchanged for interest at the marketrate
An FRA can be valued by assuming thatthe forward interest rate is certain to berealized
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Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives 6th
Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2005 4.23
Valuation Formulas (equations 4.9 and 4.10page 88)
Value of FRA where a fixed rateRKwill bereceived on a principalL between times T1 andT2 is
Value of FRA where a fixed rate is paid is
RFis the forward rate for the period andR2 is the
zero rate for maturity T2 What compounding frequencies are used in
these formulas forRK,RM, andR2?
22))(( 12TR
FKeTTRRL
22))(( 12TR
KFeTTRRL
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Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives 6th
Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2005 4.24
Duration of a bond that provides cash flow c iat time ti is
whereB is its price andy is its yield (continuouslycompounded)
This leads to
B
ect
iyt
in
i
i
1
yDB
B
Duration (page 89)
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Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives 6th
Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2005 4.25
Duration Continued
When the yieldy is expressed withcompounding m times per year
The expression
is referred to as the modified duration
my
yBDB
1
D
y m1
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Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives 6th
Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2005 4.26
Convexity
The convexity of a bond is defined as
2
1
2
2
2
)(2
1
thatso
1
yCyDB
B
B
etc
y
B
BC
n
i
yt
ii
i
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Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives 6th
Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2005 4.27
Theories of the Term StructurePage 93
Expectations Theory: forward rates equalexpected future zero rates
Market Segmentation: short, medium andlong rates determined independently ofeach other
Liquidity Preference Theory: forwardrates higher than expected future zerorates