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    Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives 6th Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2005 4.1

    Interest Rates

    Chapter 4

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    Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives 6th Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2005 4.2

    Types of Rates

    Treasury rates

    LIBOR rates

    Repo rates

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    Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives 6th Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2005 4.3

    Measuring Interest Rates

    The compounding frequency usedfor an interest rate is the unit of

    measurement The difference between quarterly

    and annual compounding isanalogous to the differencebetween miles and kilometers

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    Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives 6th Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2005 4.4

    Continuous Compounding(Page 79)

    In the limit as we compound more and morefrequently we obtain continuously compoundedinterest rates

    $100 grows to $100eRTwhen invested at acontinuously compounded rateRfor time T

    $100 received at time Tdiscounts to $100e-RTat

    time zero when the continuously compoundeddiscount rate isR

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    Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives 6th Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2005 4.5

    Conversion Formulas(Page 79)

    Define

    Rc : continuously compounded rate

    Rm: same rate with compounding m timesper year

    R mR

    m

    R m e

    c m

    mR mc

    ln

    /

    1

    1

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    Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives 6th Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2005 4.6

    Zero Rates

    A zero rate (or spot rate), for maturity Tisthe rate of interest earned on an

    investment that provides a payoff only attime T

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    Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives 6th Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2005 4.7

    Example (Table 4.2, page 81)

    Maturity(years)

    Zero Rate(% cont comp)

    0.5 5.0

    1.0 5.8

    1.5 6.4

    2.0 6.8

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    Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives 6th Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2005 4.8

    Bond Pricing

    To calculate the cash price of a bond wediscount each cash flow at the appropriate zerorate

    In our example, the theoretical price of a two-year bond providing a 6% coupon semiannuallyis

    3 3 3

    103 98 39

    0 05 0 5 0 058 1 0 0 064 1 5

    0 068 2 0

    e e e

    e

    . . . . . .

    . . .

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    Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives 6th Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2005 4.9

    Bond Yield

    The bond yield is the discount rate thatmakes the present value of the cash flows onthe bond equal to the market price of thebond

    Suppose that the market price of the bond inour example equals its theoretical price of98.39

    The bond yield (continuously compounded) is

    given by solving

    to gety=0.0676 or 6.76%.

    3 3 3 103 98390 5 1 0 15 2 0

    e e e ey y y y . . . . .

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    Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives 6th Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2005 4.10

    Par Yield

    The par yield for a certain maturity is thecoupon rate that causes the bond price toequal its face value.

    In our example we solve

    g)compoundins.a.(withgetto 876

    1002

    100

    222

    0.2068.0

    5.1064.00.1058.05.005.0

    .c=

    ec

    ec

    ec

    ec

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    Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives 6th

    Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2005 4.11

    Par Yield continued

    In general ifmis the number of couponpayments per year,Pis the present valueof $1 received at maturity andA is thepresent value of an annuity of $1 on eachcoupon date

    cP m

    A

    ( )100 100

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    Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives 6th

    Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2005 4.12

    Sample Data (Table 4.3, page 82)

    Bond Time to Annual Bond Cash

    Principal Maturity Coupon Price

    (dollars) (years) (dollars) (dollars)

    100 0.25 0 97.5

    100 0.50 0 94.9

    100 1.00 0 90.0

    100 1.50 8 96.0

    100 2.00 12 101.6

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    Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives 6th

    Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2005 4.13

    The Bootstrap Method

    An amount 2.5 can be earned on 97.5 during 3months.

    The 3-month rate is 4 times 2.5/97.5 or 10.256%

    with quarterly compounding This is 10.127% with continuous compounding

    Similarly the 6 month and 1 year rates are10.469% and 10.536% with continuous

    compounding

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    Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives 6th

    Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2005 4.14

    The Bootstrap Method continued

    To calculate the 1.5 year rate we solve

    to getR = 0.10681 or 10.681%

    Similarly the two-year rate is 10.808%

    9610444 5.10.110536.05.010469.0 Reee

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    Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives 6th

    Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2005 4.15

    Zero Curve Calculated from the

    Data (Figure 4.1, page 84)

    9

    10

    11

    12

    0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

    Zero

    Rate (%)

    Maturity (yrs)

    10.127

    10.469 10.53610.681 10.808

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    Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives 6th

    Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2005 4.16

    Forward Rates

    The forward rate is the future zero rateimplied by todays term structure of interest

    rates

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    Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives 6th

    Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2005 4.17

    Calculation of Forward RatesTable 4.5, page 85

    Zero Rate for Forward Rate

    an n -year Investment forn th Year

    Year (n ) (% per annum) (% per annum)

    1 3.0

    2 4.0 5.0

    3 4.6 5.8

    4 5.0 6.2

    5 5.3 6.5

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    Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives 6th

    Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2005 4.18

    Formula for Forward Rates

    Suppose that the zero rates for timeperiods T1and T2areR1 andR2 with bothrates continuously compounded.

    The forward rate for the period betweentimes T1 and T2 is

    R T R T

    T T

    2 2 1 1

    2 1

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    Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives 6th

    Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2005 4.19

    Instantaneous Forward Rate

    The instantaneous forward rate for amaturity Tis the forward rate that appliesfor a very short time period starting at T. Itis

    whereR is the T-year rate

    R TR

    T

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    Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives 6th

    Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2005 4.20

    Upward vs Downward Sloping

    Yield Curve

    For an upward sloping yield curve:

    Fwd Rate > Zero Rate > Par Yield

    For a downward sloping yield curve

    Par Yield > Zero Rate > Fwd Rate

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    Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives 6th

    Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2005 4.21

    Forward Rate Agreement

    A forward rate agreement (FRA) is anagreement that a certain rate will apply toa certain principal during a certain futuretime period

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    Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives 6th

    Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2005 4.22

    Forward Rate Agreement

    continued

    An FRA is equivalent to an agreementwhere interest at a predetermined rate,RKis exchanged for interest at the marketrate

    An FRA can be valued by assuming thatthe forward interest rate is certain to berealized

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    Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives 6th

    Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2005 4.23

    Valuation Formulas (equations 4.9 and 4.10page 88)

    Value of FRA where a fixed rateRKwill bereceived on a principalL between times T1 andT2 is

    Value of FRA where a fixed rate is paid is

    RFis the forward rate for the period andR2 is the

    zero rate for maturity T2 What compounding frequencies are used in

    these formulas forRK,RM, andR2?

    22))(( 12TR

    FKeTTRRL

    22))(( 12TR

    KFeTTRRL

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    Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives 6th

    Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2005 4.24

    Duration of a bond that provides cash flow c iat time ti is

    whereB is its price andy is its yield (continuouslycompounded)

    This leads to

    B

    ect

    iyt

    in

    i

    i

    1

    yDB

    B

    Duration (page 89)

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    Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives 6th

    Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2005 4.25

    Duration Continued

    When the yieldy is expressed withcompounding m times per year

    The expression

    is referred to as the modified duration

    my

    yBDB

    1

    D

    y m1

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    Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives 6th

    Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2005 4.26

    Convexity

    The convexity of a bond is defined as

    2

    1

    2

    2

    2

    )(2

    1

    thatso

    1

    yCyDB

    B

    B

    etc

    y

    B

    BC

    n

    i

    yt

    ii

    i

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    Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives 6th

    Edition, Copyright John C. Hull 2005 4.27

    Theories of the Term StructurePage 93

    Expectations Theory: forward rates equalexpected future zero rates

    Market Segmentation: short, medium andlong rates determined independently ofeach other

    Liquidity Preference Theory: forwardrates higher than expected future zerorates