Upload
willi1256
View
215
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
8/13/2019 jMarkovManual.pdf
1/41
8/13/2019 jMarkovManual.pdf
2/41
{X(t), t 0} S Q
qij = limt0
P{X(t) =j |X(0) =i} i, j S.
qii i qij i j
P(t)
pij(t) =P{X(t + s) =j |X(s) =i} i, j S.
P(t) =eQt t >0.
= [1, 2, . . . , ]
Q= 0
1= 1,
1
http://localhost/var/www/apps/conversion/tmp/scratch_1/copa.uniandes.edu.cohttp://localhost/var/www/apps/conversion/tmp/scratch_1/copa.uniandes.edu.co8/13/2019 jMarkovManual.pdf
3/41
Q Q=
eEQ(e)
Q(e)
e E
i0 U S
U
S=,U={i0} E U =
e E (i, e)
D:= (i, e) j D
j / S U U :=U {j}
Rij :=Rij+ (i,j,e)
r r(i) i S
r(i) i t
E
r(X(t)
= aP(t)r,
a
ai = P{X(0) =i} , i S
limt
1
t
t0
E
r(X(s)
ds= r.
8/13/2019 jMarkovManual.pdf
4/41
MarkovProcessSimpleMarkovProcessGeomProcess
Build Package
JMarkovElement
PropertiesElementEvent PropertiesEvent
State GeomState GeomRelState PropertiesState
Basics Package
SolverSteadyStateSolverGeometrixtSolverTransientSolverJamaSolver
JamaTransientSolver
MtjSolverMtjLogRedSolver
Solvers Package
8/13/2019 jMarkovManual.pdf
5/41
MarkovProcess SimpleMarkovProcess
GeomProcess
JMarkovElement
PropertiesStateGeomRelState
EventState
PropertiesEventGeomState
PropertiesElement
8/13/2019 jMarkovManual.pdf
6/41
Solver
SteadyStateSolverTransientSolver
JamaSolverJamaTransientSolver MtjSolver
GeometrixtSolver
MtjLogRedSolver
1 2 N N
X(t) = (X(t), Y(t), Z(t)) X(t) Y(t) Z(t) N 2 2 2 N 2 X, Y Z (0, 1, 2)
S={(0, 0, 0), (0, 1, 0), (1, 0, 0)} {(1, 1, k) :k = 0, 1, . . . , N 2}
8/13/2019 jMarkovManual.pdf
7/41
. . . (1 ) 2 1 1 2 1+ 2
1+ 2
8/13/2019 jMarkovManual.pdf
8/41
8/13/2019 jMarkovManual.pdf
9/41
8/13/2019 jMarkovManual.pdf
10/41
8/13/2019 jMarkovManual.pdf
11/41
8/13/2019 jMarkovManual.pdf
12/41
8/13/2019 jMarkovManual.pdf
13/41
K 1, 2, . . . , K N K N k k
k = k
I, k I
I
X(t) = (S(t), Q(t)) S(t) = (S1(t), . . . , S K(t)) Sk(t) = 1 k
8/13/2019 jMarkovManual.pdf
14/41
8/13/2019 jMarkovManual.pdf
15/41
8/13/2019 jMarkovManual.pdf
16/41
8/13/2019 jMarkovManual.pdf
17/41
8/13/2019 jMarkovManual.pdf
18/41
8/13/2019 jMarkovManual.pdf
19/41
8/13/2019 jMarkovManual.pdf
20/41
8/13/2019 jMarkovManual.pdf
21/41
8/13/2019 jMarkovManual.pdf
22/41
8/13/2019 jMarkovManual.pdf
23/41
8/13/2019 jMarkovManual.pdf
24/41
8/13/2019 jMarkovManual.pdf
25/41
8/13/2019 jMarkovManual.pdf
26/41
8/13/2019 jMarkovManual.pdf
27/41
8/13/2019 jMarkovManual.pdf
28/41
8/13/2019 jMarkovManual.pdf
29/41
8/13/2019 jMarkovManual.pdf
30/41
8/13/2019 jMarkovManual.pdf
31/41
8/13/2019 jMarkovManual.pdf
32/41
8/13/2019 jMarkovManual.pdf
33/41
8/13/2019 jMarkovManual.pdf
34/41
{X(t) : t 0} S = {(n, i) : n 0, 0 i m} n i m
(n, i) (n, i) n =n n =n 1 n =n + 1 n 1 n Q
Q=
B00 B01B10 A1 A0
A2 A1 A0
,
m0 = m m0 B00 m0 m0 B01 B10 (m0 m) (m m0)
Q = 0 1 = 1 Q
= [0, 1, . . .].
n+1= nR, n > 1,
R
m R
A0+ RA1+ R2A2= 0.
R
R0 Rk
Rk+1= (A0+ R2kA2)A
11 .
A1
R
0 1
0 1
B00 B01B10 A1+ RA2
=
0 0
01 + 1(I R)11= 1.
8/13/2019 jMarkovManual.pdf
35/41
ri i n 1
n=1
nr= 1(I R)1r,
r m ri nri i n
n=1
nnr= 1R(I R)2r.
B00 B01 B10 A0 A1 A2
A0 A1 A2
R
0 1
n
i
i
i
i
0 i n
M/G/1
x= (x1, x2) x1 0 0 x2 n
8/13/2019 jMarkovManual.pdf
36/41
x2 x1
0 i n E={a, c1, c2, . . . , cn} a ci i
a ci, 0 i n i
a
n
n
i
i i
ci
0, 0
n i
a
ci
i
8/13/2019 jMarkovManual.pdf
37/41
8/13/2019 jMarkovManual.pdf
38/41
http://math.nist.gov/javanumerics/jama/http://rs.cipr.uib.no/mtj/8/13/2019 jMarkovManual.pdf
39/41
8/13/2019 jMarkovManual.pdf
40/41
http://www.java.sun.com/8/13/2019 jMarkovManual.pdf
41/41