Stat_Probability.pdf

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  • _______________________________________

  • 2

    2

    1) (quantitative data) 2) (qualitative data)

    1.

    2

    - (Ungrouped data) - (Grouped data)

    1.1 1.1.1 N 1 2 3 Nx , x , x ,..., x X

    N

    i1 2 3 N i 1

    xx x x ... xX

    N N=+ + + += =

    N

    ii 1

    x NX=

    =

  • 3

    1.1.2

    1 2 3 Nw , w , w ,..., w

    1 2 3 Nx , x , x ,..., x

    N

    i i1 1 2 2 3 3 N N i 1

    N1 2 3 N

    ii 1

    w xw x w x w x ... w xX

    w w w ... w w

    =

    =

    + + + += =+ + + +

    1 4 3 1 100 3 65, 70, 80 75 70 10 1.1.3 1f 1x 2f 2x 3f 3x # kf kx

    k

    i i1 1 2 2 3 3 k K i 1

    1 2 3 k

    f xf x f x f x ... f xX

    f f f ... f N=+ + + += =+ + + +

  • 4

    2

    5-9 8

    10-14 10 15-19 12 20-24 7 25-29 3

    ix if i if x 5-9 7 8

    10-14 12 10 15-19 17 12 20-24 22 7 25-29 27 3

    1.1.4 1 2 3 kx , x , x ,..., x 1,2,3,,k 1,2,3,,k 1 2 3N , N , N ,..., Nk

  • 5

    N

    i i1 1 2 2 3 3 k K i 1

    Total N1 2 3 k

    ii 1

    N XN X N X N X ... N XX

    N N N ... N N

    =

    =

    + + + += =+ + + +

    3 5 50, 65 70 40, 45 35 5

    1.2 (Median) 1.2.1

    1. 2. N

    N N 12+

    N 4 5 4, 2, 3, 5, 6

  • 6

    5 8 4, 2, 3, 5, 6, 4, 7, 5 1.2.2 N N

    2

    = Lm

    N - f2L+ I

    f

    = Um

    Nf -2U- I

    f

    L U N

    Lf Uf

    mf I

  • 7

    6 100

    (.) () 50 3

    50 52 5 53 55 15 56 58 42 59 61 25

    61 10

    (.) () 50 3

    50 52 5 53 55 15 56 58 42 59 61 25

    61 10

  • 8

    1.3 (Mode)

    1.3.1 1.3.2

    = 11 2

    dL+ Id d

    +

    L 1d

    2d

    I

    7 50-52 53-55 56-58 59-61 62-64

    5 18 42 27 8

  • 9

    1.4 (Geometric mean) N

    0 1 2 3 Nx , x , x ,..., x

    G.M. = N 1 2 3 Nx x x ...x

    ix ifk

    ii 1

    f N=

    = G.M. = 31 2 kff f fN 1 2 3 kx x x ...x 1.5 (Harmonic mean) N 1 2 3 Nx , x , x ,..., x H.M. =

    1 2 N

    11 1 1 1+ +...+N x x x

    N

    i=1 i

    N1x

    =

    ix if

    k

    ii 1

    f N=

    =

  • 10

    H.M. = 1 2 k

    1 2 k

    11 1 1 1f +f +...+fN x x x

    ki

    i=1 i

    Nfx

    =

    2.

    4 3 10 9 100 99

    rQ r(N+1)4

    rD r(N+1)10

    rP r(N+1)100

    , , rQ rD rP

    rQ rN4

    rD rN10

    rP rN100

    , , rQ rD rP

    r

    L

    rQ

    rN - f4Q =L+ I

    f

    r

    L

    rD

    rN - f10D =L+ I

    f

  • 11

    r

    L

    rP

    rN - f100P =L+ I

    f

    3. 2

    (1) (Absolute variation) 4

    1. =

    2. 3 1Q -QQ.D.=2

    3.

    n

    ii=1

    X -XM.D.=

    n

    k

    i ii=1

    k

    ii=1

    f X -XM.D.=

    f

    X N n 4.

    N

    2i

    i=1(x -)

    =N

    i

    N2

    2i=1x

    = -N

    N2

    ii=1

    (x -x)S=

    n-1

    i

    N2 2

    i=1x -nx

    S=n-1

  • 12

    k2

    i ii=1

    f (x -)=

    N

    i

    k2

    i2i=1

    f x= -

    N

    k2

    i ii=1

    f (x -x)S=

    n-1

    i

    k2 2

    ii=1

    f x -nxS=

    n-1

    (2) (Relative variation)

    1 4 1. = max min

    max min

    X -XX +X

    2. = 3 1

    3 1

    Q -QQ +Q

    3. = M.D.

    X M.D.

    4. = S

    X

  • 13

    1. 1 k k

    1n

    2n

    3n

    1 2 kn n ...n

    8 3 2 3 9 7 3 286 2. (Factorial) n 1 n n! n n n! n!1 2 3 n= " n 3 2 1= " 4! 4 3 2 1 24= = n = 0 0 1 0! = 1

  • 14

    3. (Permutation) 2 1. 2. 3.1 . n n = n! . n k 1 2 3 ... k

    1n 2n 3n

    kn

    = 1 2 3 k

    n!n !n !n !...n !

    . n r (r < n) = n!

    (n r)!

    n,r n!P (n r)!= 10 5 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 5 11 MATHEMATICS

  • 15

    12 3 6 3.2 . = (n-1)! 1 n (n-1)!

    . = ( )n 1 !2 7

    ( ) 7 1 ! 6!2 2 =

    4. (Combination) n r (r < n) n!

    (n r)!r!

    n,r n!C (n r)!r!= nr

    13 30 5

  • 16

    5. 1. (Random Experiment) 2. (Sample Space) S n(S) 1 S = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6} 3. (Event) E n(E) 1 2 2 S = {, , , } E 2 E = {, } n(E) = 2 4. (Probability) P(E) 1. n(E)P(E)

    n(S)=

    2. P(E) 1 P(E )= P(E ) E 3. n(E )P(E )

    n(S) =

  • 17

    4. P(A B) P(A) P(B) P(A B) = + 5. P(A B) P(A) P(A B) =

  • 18

    1. i X ix ix ii xz = i = 1, 2, , N N ii x Xz s

    = i = 1, 2, , n X S N 14 40 25 5 20 3 27 22 x

  • 19

    2.

    Histogram of x

    x

    Den

    sity

    -20 -10 0 10 20 30

    0.00

    0.01

    0.02

    0.03

    0.04

  • 20

    1.

    2.

    3.

    4. 1

    x z 0 1

  • 21

    1 1. 50

    () () 30 39 40 49 50 59 60 69 70 79 80 - 89

    4 5 13 17 6 5

    (O-NET 49) 1. 60 69 2. 50 9 3. 50 59 26% 4. 80 10%

    2. ()

    0 4 5 9

    10 14 15 19

    4 5 x 7

    11 5 14 (O-NET 51) 1. 46.67 % 2. 56.67 % 3. 63.33 % 4. 73.33 %

    3.

    0 | 3 7 5

  • 22

    1 | 6 4 3 2 | 0 2 1 2 3 | 0 1

    (O-NET 51) 1. < < 2. < < 3. < < 4. < <

    4. 31 35 25 (O-NET 50) 1. 2 : 3 2. 2 : 5 3. 3 : 2 4. 3 :5

    5. 4 2 2 4 45, 47.5 7 4 (O-NET 49) 1. 46 2. 47 3. 48 4. 49

    6. () ()

    29 31 32 34 35 37 38 40 41 - 43

    1 4 5 5 5

    (A-NET 51) 1. 37.35, 37.5 3 2. 37.5, 37.5 3 3. 37.35, 37.5 3.5 4. 37.5, 37.0 3

  • 23

    7. 8, a, 12, 17, 22, b, 26

    17 1 10 () (A-NET 51) 1. 0.35, 0.45 2. 0.35, 0.41 3. 0.42, 0.45 4. 0.42, 0.41

    8. 20 30 24.6 a b a b 0.125 0.16 4 (A-NET 51) 1. a = 22, b= -1.1 2. a = 22, b = -1 3. a = 21, b = -1.1 4. a = 21, b = -1

    9. 40 ( ) if10 14 15 19 20 24 25 29 30 34 35 39

    4 6 a 8 4 6

    ( ) 24.5 b c (A-NET 50)

    3

    i ii=1

    f (x -)=-125

    1. b = 5 c = 6.25 2. b = 6.25 c = 5 3. b = 4.5 c = 5 4. b = 5 c = 4.5

  • 24

    10. 50

    () 9 13 14 18 19 23 24 28 29 33

    8 22 37 47 50

    26 (A-NET 49) 1. 32% 2. 34% 3. 35% 4. 37%

    11. 50 () ()

    156-160 6 161-165 15 166-170 21 171-175 8

    a b 75% b (PAT 1 53) 1. a = 166.1 b = 168.73 2. a = 166.1 b = 169.43 3. a = 166.7 b = 168.73 4. a = 166.7 b = 169.43

    12. . 3 80

    75 25 70

    . 5 4 a b

    1 2 3 4 5x , x , x , x , x

    1 2 3 4x , x , x , x

  • 25

    b 5a 2=

    (PAT 1 53) 1. . .

    2. . . 3. . . 4. . .

    13. 60 30 . . 53 53 27 . 51-60 51-60 (PAT 1 54) 1. 3 2. 4 3. 5 4. 9

    14. 10 8 2

    1 3 2 (A-NET 51) 1. 3

    125 2. 6

    125 3. 12

    125 4. 16

    125

    15. 10 0, 1, 2,,9

    3 10 (A-NET 50) 1. 1

    12 2. 1

    15 3. 1

    20 4. 1

    30

  • 26

    16. 8 (A-NET 50) 1. 360 2. 720 3. 1080 4. 1440

    17. 20 -9, -8, -7,-6,,7, 8, 9, 10 2 (A-NET 49) 1. 7

    19 2. 9

    19 3. 10

    19 4. 13

    19

    18. 4 6 3

    (Ent 48) 1. 0.78 2. 0.80 3. 0.82 4. 0.84

    19. 100 50 40 33 5 10 5 10 12 20

    . 0.15 . 0.40

    (PAT 1 53) 1. . .

    2. . . 3. . . 4. . .

    20. 66.2

    39% 56 76.4

  • 27

    0 z (A-NET 51)

    z 0.40 0.51 0.85 1.23 0.1554 0.1950 0.3023 0.3907

    1. 8 2. 12 3. 20 4. 25

    21. 1.96 98.3 10 5

    . .

    (A-NET 50) 1. 2. 3. 4. 0 z

    z 1.53 1.96 2.12 2.35 0.4370 0.4750 0.4830 0.4906

    22. 1 10 0.2 13 8 (A-NET 50) 1. 9.19% 2. 22.55% 3. 40.81% 4. 69.19% 0 z

  • 28

    z 0.75 1 1.25 1.5

    0.2734 0.3413 0.3944 0.4332

    23. 30 45 5 29 1.7 (A-NET 49) 1. 36.5 2. 37 3. 37.4 4. 38

    24. 5000 53 4 47 63 0 z (A-NET 49)

    z 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.5 2.5 0.1554 0.1915 0.2580 0.4332 0.4938

    1. 4,378 2. 4,459 3. 4,572 4. 4,635

    25. z = 0 z = 1 0.3413 20,000 (Ent 48) 1. 3,413 2. 6,348 3. 6,826 4. 13,652

    26. 4 50.4% 14 2 a 16 b () [14,16] a b (Ent 47)

  • 29

    z 0.01 0.99 1.01 2.65 A 0.004 0.3389 0.3488 0.496

    1. a = 50.4, b = 33.78% 2. a =50.4, b = 34.29% 3. a = 99.6, b = 33.78% 4. a = 99.6, b = 34.29%

    27. . . a . . c c+ 5

    a

    . . 78.81 (Ent 46)

    Z 0.70 0.80 0.90 A 0.2580 0.2881 0.3159

    1. 5 2. 4 3. 3.5 4. 2 ******************************************************************

    2 1. 2 60

    40 30 50 64 66 (PAT 1 53)

    2. 6 2, 3, 6, 11, a, b 8 7 a b (PAT 1 53)

    3. 10

    (Ent 48)

  • 30

    4. 2 4 1 2 (Ent 46)

  • 31

    . .4-5-6. : . . . (2552). 2 4-6. : . . (2552). ADMISSIONS52

    . : . . (2553). . : () . . (2551). .4-5-6. :

    .