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Usage-Based InsuranceA revolution is under way
A presentation to OII’s 2013 Insurance Education Day Advisory CouncilBy Katie DeGraaf
April 2013
© 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Towers Watson and Towers Watson client use only.towerswatson.com2
• What is UBI?• UBI Benefits• UBI Marketplace• The Product Roadmap• Data, data, data• Conclusion
© 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Towers Watson and Towers Watson client use only.towerswatson.com4
Usage-based insurance (UBI)
Insurance Premium
$1,200
$1,080
$1,000
$ 900
Insurance Premium
$1,200
$1,080
$1,000
$ 900
Vehicle Score
VIN: 12345…Miles driven: 6,234Event 1 per mile: .05Event 2 per mile: .01
Insurance Premium
$1,200
$1,080
$1,000
$ 900
Company Feedback
Customer Feedback
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Customer installation experience
© 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Towers Watson and Towers Watson client use only.towerswatson.com6
Telematics devicesComponents
GPS Satellite GPRS
GPS Chip SIM Card
Device
OBD Port Accelerometer
Vehicle ARM Chip RAM Chip
© 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Towers Watson and Towers Watson client use only.towerswatson.com8
Consumers
RegulatorCompany
More accuratepricing
Significantlyreduced
risk
Societally beneficial
Product differentiation
Better claims-
handling
UBI benefits all key stakeholders
Insurers Enhanced pricing Product differentiation and brand
awareness Reduced loss costs Improved consumer satisfaction
and retention
Regulators Saves lives “Fairly” discriminatory variables Consumer acceptance and
premium control Environmentally friendly
Consumers Control of premium Understandable rating based on the
how, when, where of driving Access to useful driving feedback Value-added services Green and progressive products
9© 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Towers Watson and Towers Watson client use only.towerswatson.com
Publicly available studies have confirmed the potential power of even the most basic information
Enhanced pricing accuracy
“We believed that driving behavior was the most predictive rating factor —but didn’t expect the difference to be this dramatic. Actual driving behavior predicts a driver’s risk more than twice as strongly as any other factor.”
— Glenn Renwick, CEO, Progressive
10© 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Towers Watson and Towers Watson client use only.towerswatson.com
Those who perceive their vehicle is operated better than average opt in: Safe drivers Low annual mileage vehicles Highly engaged parents Drivers who had unlucky accidents
Early adopters will win Latecomers will face adverse selection
Self-selection effect
$1,000 $1,000 $1,000 $1,000
$800
11© 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Towers Watson and Towers Watson client use only.towerswatson.com
Iron Mountain: 93% reduction in fleet crash rate Iceland postal service reduced crash rate by 56% Pepsi (Iceland) reduced fleet crash rates by over 80% GreenRoad: 54% improvement in fleet crash rate
Reduced frequency of claims
12© 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Towers Watson and Towers Watson client use only.towerswatson.com
0102030405060708090
100110120130
Vehi
cle
Scor
e
Vehicle Score Over TimeActively Monitored Passively Monitored
DriveCam: 50% average reduction in crash rates Insure The Box (U.K.): 35% – 40% reduction in crash rates by young
drivers
Reduced frequency of claims
13© 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Towers Watson and Towers Watson client use only.towerswatson.com
• Emergency response• Faster accident response has saved lives• Claim circumstances• Vehicle recovery
Improved claims-handling
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Control Safety Options Engagement
Improved customer experience
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Global development is under wayPace of development varies by region
U.S. and Canada
Significant UBI penetration and
established programs
EMEAUBI behind U.S., but significant
activity
AsiaLimited
activity, but emerging interest
17© 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Towers Watson and Towers Watson client use only.towerswatson.com
47 states have 4+ personal auto UBI programs implemented
Widespread presence of personal lines programs in U.S.
© 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Towers Watson and Towers Watson client use only.towerswatson.com18
Proliferation of UBI programs over the years
1997Progressive Autograph pilot
2004 – 2006 GMAC Low-mileage discount Progressive Tripsense pilot Milemeter
2008 – 2009 Progressive MyRate American Family Teen Safe Safeco Teensurance Travelers Intellidrive
2010 Safeco Rewind Esurance Mileage State Farm OnStar AAA, NCNU uDrive AAA, ACSC
2011 Progressive Snapshot State Farm Drive Safe and Save Allstate DriveWise Nationwide SmartRide Hartford TrueLane
2012 Esurance
DriveSense/Drive Less Save More
State Farm Ford Sync CSE Save Elephant DriveIQ 21st Century DriveIQ DTRIC Akamai Metro Mile
© 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Towers Watson and Towers Watson client use only.towerswatson.com19
Progressive has led the market
Source: Progressive website.
© 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Towers Watson and Towers Watson client use only.towerswatson.com20
Progressive Snapshot DiscountSM — 44 states and D.C.
“Nearly half a million drivers have participated countrywide to get personalized car insurance rates by sharing a picture of how they drive.”
— Richard Hutchinson, UBI general manager
21© 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Towers Watson and Towers Watson client use only.towerswatson.com
Three Drive Safe & Save programs 10% enrollment discount; up to 50% at renewal Packaged services for purchase
State Farm has taken a different approach
“Provide drivers with a wide range of new options that will make for a smarter vehicle and even smarter driver” — Mike Wey, State Farm
© 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Towers Watson and Towers Watson client use only.towerswatson.com23
Product differentiation
Progressive
Feature Focus Price Proposition
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The Customer — Determine the right customer value proposition for your company
Behavioral Change
Personaland Family
SecurityValue-Added
ServicesInsuranceDiscounts
© 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Towers Watson and Towers Watson client use only.towerswatson.com25
Business optimization
Knowledge creation and decision support
Analytics
Infrastructure
Telematics
Devices
Valu
e
Strategy — Imperative to determine the strategy first
© 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Towers Watson and Towers Watson client use only.towerswatson.com26
What are the challenges?
Define Goals and Design
ProductLegal and Regulatory
Technology Infrastructure
Collect and Analyze Data Use Results
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1,200 records of data
• Consider a typical commuter
UBI data is different
20-minute commute
500,000 records of data
Twice daily commute, 5 days a week
That’s just one vehicle!
© 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Towers Watson and Towers Watson client use only.towerswatson.com29
Example trip
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What is needed for proper score development?
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
160%
180%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Num
ber o
f devices
Loss Ratio
Score Decile
Expected Loss Ratio by Score Band
Number devices Expected Loss Ratio
Continuous analysis
Collect granulardata
© 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Towers Watson and Towers Watson client use only.towerswatson.com31
Example: Data collected every kilometer
Parking lot
Freeway
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Example: Data collected every minute
Parking lot
Freeway
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Example: Data collected every second
Parking lot
Freeway
© 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Towers Watson and Towers Watson client use only.towerswatson.com34
Granular data facilitates data cleansing
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Data fuels added servicesfor added-value and revenue-generating services
Emergency call
Use 3D-Accelerometer and OBD speed to detect significant impacts
Use cellular connection to post an SMS with details
Emergency call
Use 3D-Accelerometer and OBD speed to detect significant impacts
Use cellular connection to post an SMS with details
Breakdown service
Ability to trigger a “Where am I?” SMS message from the server, to assist a customer breakdown call
Breakdown service
Ability to trigger a “Where am I?” SMS message from the server, to assist a customer breakdown call
To pre-defined numbers for call center support
Limited phone capability
To pre-defined numbers for call center support
Limited phone capability
If linked to a PND screen in car
Satellite navigation
If linked to a PND screen in car
Satellite navigation
Distinguish business travel from personal use
Business trip log
Distinguish business travel from personal use
Business trip log
Theft service
Detect motion without ignition start-up Tracking and call for help (in extreme implementations,
disable the car)
Theft service
Detect motion without ignition start-up Tracking and call for help (in extreme implementations,
disable the car)
Activates Geo-fence and other driving thresholds via an SMS message
Remote safe mode activation
Activates Geo-fence and other driving thresholds via an SMS message
Remote safe mode activation
Geo-fence service
Detect location outside boundary zone Trigger notification (in extreme implementations, disable
the car) Notification of driving exceeding other thresholds (speed,
braking)
Geo-fence service
Detect location outside boundary zone Trigger notification (in extreme implementations, disable
the car) Notification of driving exceeding other thresholds (speed,
braking)
Real-time buzzer in car facility Reports and mapping in customer portal website
Driver feedback
Real-time buzzer in car facility Reports and mapping in customer portal website
Driver feedback
Maintenance and fault diagnosis via customer portal
Vehicle wellness
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>70% welcome telematics to reduce their premiums Foursquare, Facebook Places, iPhone, E-Z Pass, apps Sensitivity lies in the length of time the data is held Key is to provide high value in exchange for information
Privacy
38© 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Towers Watson and Towers Watson client use only.towerswatson.com
Don’t get left behind There’s something in it for everyone Focus on strategy and data, not devices
Takeaways
© 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Towers Watson and Towers Watson client use only.towerswatson.com39
Katie DeGraafChicago, IL
M: 708.714.4401