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Overview of evidence‐based decision‐making Gillian Petrokofsky University of Oxford [email protected] 10/04/2013 UNFF Istanbul, 10 April, 2013 1

Overview of evidence‐based decision‐making

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Page 1: Overview of evidence‐based decision‐making

Overviewofevidence‐baseddecision‐making

GillianPetrokofsky

UniversityofOxford

[email protected]

10/04/2013 UNFFIstanbul,10April,2013 1

Page 2: Overview of evidence‐based decision‐making

EvidenceUseinPolicyMakingNationalgovernmentsUSAObama,B.H.(2009),InauguralAddress,WashingtonDC,20January,availableat:http://www.whitehouse.gov/the‐press‐office/president‐barack‐obamas‐inaugural‐address.CoalitionforEvidence‐BasedPolicyMaking(http://coalition4evidence.org/)AustraliaLeigh,A.(2009),'Whatevidenceshouldsocialpolicymakersuse?',AustralianTreasuryEconomicRoundup,1,pp.27‐43.CanadaTownsend,T.andKunimotoB.(2009),CollaborationandCulture.TheFutureofthePolicyResearchFunctionintheGovernmentofCanada,PolicyResearchInitiative,Ottawa,Canada,March.NewZealandMarsh,D.(2006)Evidence‐basedpolicy:framework,resultsandanalysisfromtheNewZealandbiotechnologysector.Int.J.ofBiotechnology,Vol.8,No.3/4,pp.206‐224SouthAfricaOfficeofthePresidency(2010),GuideToTheOutcomesApproach,Pretoria,OfficeofthePresidencyofSouthAfricaUKCabinetOffice(1999)ModernisingGovernmentWhitePaper,CM4310.London:TSO.

InternationalfocusOECDUNESCOWorldBankDfIDAusAIDCochraneCollaborationCampbellCollaborationCollaborationforEnvironmentalEvidenceEppiCentre

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Evidenceforpolicy“sciencedoesnotperseprovideanswerstopolicyissues,norisittheonlysourceofwhatcountsasauthoritativeevidence”(Sutherlandetal.,2012)

WeacknowledgethatitiscomplexScienceisnottheonlyformofevidence…….however

‘rarelydoesresearchsupplyan“answer”thatpolicyactorsemploytosolveapolicyproblem.Rather,researchprovidesabackgroundofdata,empiricalgeneralisations,andideasthataffectthewaythatpolicymakersthinkaboutaproblem……buttoacknowledgethisisnotthesameassayingthatresearchfindingshavelittleinfluenceonpolicy.’(Weiss,1982)

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‘Evidencebasedforestry’amodel

Bestscience

Society’sneeds&

preferences

Expertopinion

EBF

7/05/2013 Corvallis,Oregon2013 4

Bewareofexperts’bias!

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Goodinformationforpolicy

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Aframeworktoreducebias Systematicreview:areviewofaclearlyformulatedquestionthatusessystematicandexplicitmethodstoidentify,selectandcriticallyappraiserelevantresearch,andtocollectandanalysedatafromthestudiesthatareincludedwithinthereview.Statisticalmethods(meta‐analysis)mayormaynotbeusedtoanalyseandsummarisetheresultsoftheincludedstudies.

CollaborationforEnvironmentalEvidence(2013)GuidelinesforSystematicReviewandEvidenceSynthesisinEnvironmentalManagement.

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Goodinformationforpolicy

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Aframeworktoreducebias Systematicreview:areviewofaclearlyformulatedquestionthatusessystematicandexplicitmethodstoidentify,selectandcriticallyappraiserelevantresearch,andtocollectandanalysedatafromthestudiesthatareincludedwithinthereview.Statisticalmethods(meta‐analysis)mayormaynotbeusedtoanalyseandsummarisetheresultsoftheincludedstudies.

CollaborationforEnvironmentalEvidence(2013)GuidelinesforSystematicReviewandEvidenceSynthesisinEnvironmentalManagement.

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Goodinformationforpolicy

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Systematicreview:areviewofaclearlyformulatedquestionthatusessystematicandexplicitmethodstoidentify,selectandcriticallyappraiserelevantresearch,andtocollectandanalysedatafromthestudiesthatareincludedwithinthereview.Statisticalmethods(meta‐analysis)mayormaynotbeusedtoanalyseandsummarisetheresultsoftheincludedstudies.

CollaborationforEnvironmentalEvidence(2013)GuidelinesforSystematicReviewandEvidenceSynthesisinEnvironmentalManagement.

Aframeworktoreducebias

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Whataretheimportantquestions?

• Whodecides?– Howmuchcollaboration?

–Whatmethods?

–Whopays?

– Sowhat?

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CIFOR&Partners’EBFinitiative

• Whodecides?– Partnership– guidedbyaSteeringCommittee

• Whatmethods?– internet‐basedmoderatedapproach– standinginvitationtosuggestquestions– meetingswherekeystakeholdersgather

• Whopays?– initialseed‐funding– donor/national/International/Privatesectorfunding

• Sowhat?– SystematicReviewsofevidencetosupportquestions

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Firsttrancheofpriorityquestions

Topic CIFORleadauthor;keypartners

Impactsofbiofuelcropsonbiodiversity SiniSavilaasko;ETH

Gender,forests&foodsecurity EstherMwangi;SLU

Conceptsofsciencequality&researchevaluation

BrianBelcher;RoyalRoadsUniv

Biodiversitybenefitsof“alternativelivelihood”projects

TerrySunderland;IIED,ZoologicalSocietyofLondon

Propertyrightsandtheenvironment MariaOjanen;UMichigan

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SecondtrancheandbeyondOnlinecollaboration CollaborationatMeetings

UNFF–aninteractivesessiontoscopepolicyquestionsforsystematicreview

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Interactivesessiontoscopepolicyquestions

Aim:Identifykeypolicyquestionsofpolicy‐relevancewhichrequirestrongscienceevidencebase

Whattodo1. reviewflyer&brieflycompletethesecondpageindividually

(5minutes)2. getintosmallgroups&chooseaspokesperson&note‐taker3. discussyourindividualquestions4. selectonethatyoucanallagreeisahighpriorityandcanbe

addressedpractically5. asagroupcompleteaformforthisquestion6. bepreparedtopresentyourquestionbrieflytoall7. wewillcollectALLindividualandgroupsuggestionspleasetakegoodnotesofyourgroupdiscussions

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References

• Lomas,J.(2000)Connectingresearchandpolicy.Spring.• Seddon,A.etal.(inpress)Lookingforwardthroughthepast.Identificationof

50priorityresearchquestionsinpalaeoecology• Petrokofsky,G.,N.D.Brown,G.E.Hemery,etal.(2010).Aparticipatoryprocess

foridentifyingandprioritizingpolicy‐relevantresearchquestionsinnaturalresourcemanagement:acasestudyfromtheUKforestrysector.Forestry83,357‐367.

• Pretty,J.,etal.(2010)Thetop100questionsofimportancetothefutureofglobalagriculture.InternationalJournalofAgriculturalSustainability,8(4)219‐236

• SutherlandW.J,BellinganL,BellinghamJ.R,BlackstockJ.J,BloomfieldRM,etal.,2012.Acollaboratively‐derivedscience‐policyresearchagenda.PLoSONE7(3):e31824.doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0031824

• Weiss,C.H.(1982)Policyresearchinthecontextofdiffusedecision‐making,in:D.P.B.KALLEN,G.B.KOSSEetal.(1982)SocialScienceResearchandPublicPolicyMaking:areappraisal(Windsor,NFER‐Nelson).

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