Upload
rosteplo
View
1.807
Download
13
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
2014
..
15 2015 .
2
511.4 518.1 523.4 526.7
2014201320122011
+3.3 (+0.6%)
670.7 654.5 668.2 640.3
2014201320122011
.
-27.9 (-4.2%)
**642.1
336.7
354.9 352.0358.2
2014201320122011
+6.2 (+1.7%)
70.6%71.1% 71.4%
72.4%
2014201320122011
+1.0%
-5.0% -5.6%
20142013
2007
, *,
*, .
,
* , **
*, %
( 2007 ), %
15 2014 . 321
3 .
OPEC, EIA, IEA, ( ) * c
,
, .
,
, *
2014
518.1 523.4525-526526.7
2012 2013 2020
323.5
2000 2014
2012 2013 2020
654.5 668.2 640.3
642.1*
730
2000
583.9
2014
2012 2013 2014 2020
354.9
2000
258.4352.0
358.2 380
20142012 2013 2020
1054.0
2000
862.81045.0
1046.4
1104
1047.4*
12.6%1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 2
18.1%
1. 2. 3. 4. 5.
2
6.5%
1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6.
66
4.7%
551. 2. 3. 4. 5.
4
% 53%
, %
, %
, %
, %
% 27%
% 70%
% 3.5%
5 2035
( , , )
( , , , ) (, )
, / , ,
: ,
100
200
300
400
500
600
201520102005 2020 2025 2030 2035
, $/. ( 2013 .)
, $/. . ( 2013 .)
0
30
60
90
120
201520102005 2020 2025 2030 2035
6
.
, :
() ( 1474 . 310 ).
13 () 292,5 .
, , , .
11 2014 . 790 - . 2020 , .
2014 20142015 . - 2014-2015 . .
7
, , , , ()
, , , ,
2014 :
8
-
- 2035
20
:
3 2014 . 1217-
()
9
, ,
,,
,,
-2
-2
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
.
--
- -
. .
. .
. .
-
-
--
--
-
-
--
!
!
!
! !
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!!
!
--
--
()
2014 .
, 2014 .
/ 2014 .
10
*,
*, .
*,
*, .
()*, %
,
511.4 518.1 523.4 526.7
2014201320122011
+3.3 (+0.6%)
726.6861.4 896.2
985.6
2014201320122011
+89.4 (+10.0%)
75.5 76.278.8
84.0
2014201320122011
+5.2%
+744.7 +742.7+635.0
+530.0
2014201320122011
242.1 239.7 235.0 221.3
2014201320122011
-13.7 (-5.8%)
877.0 894.2 914.1 994.4
18605.820293.0 21273.4 19825.3
2014201320122011
-1 448.1 (-6.8%)
+80.3 (+8.8%)+80.3 (+8.8%)
* ,
11
,
,
, .
, .
, .
, .
, .
,
45.0
45.3
40.4
40.9
44.7
45.3
+1.1%
( 3 )20152014
. 15
. 14
. 15
. 14
. 15
. 14
130.1
131.5
24.4
24.4
22.2
22.4
24.5
23.7
-1.0%
( 3 )20152014
. 15
. 14
. 15
. 14
. 15
. 14
71.2
70.4
1353
.3
1676
.0
1221
.8
1468
.4
+22.1%
( 2 )20152014
. 15
. 14
. 15
. 14
2575
.1
3144
.4
3156
.332
43.3
2924
.429
11.7
3153
.732
49.3
+4.6%
9239
.9
9663
.5
( 3 )20152014
. 15
. 14
. 15
. 14
. 15
. 14
60.6 76
.4
44.8
72.8
+41.6%
105.4
149.2
( 2 )20152014
. 15
. 14
. 15
. 14
5534
.754
72.7
5264
.851
16.6
6665
.166
98.4
+1.2%
1956
8.7
1980
2.4
( 3 )20152014
. 15
. 14
. 15
. 14
. 15
. 14
411.0
440.0
358.0
478.0
+19.4%
( 2 )20152014
. 15
. 14
. 15
. 14
769.0 918.0
7.0
6.9
6.3
6.2 7.0
6.4
-3.5%
( 3 )20152014
. 15
. 14
. 15
. 14
. 15
. 14
20.3
19.6
12
2014 . ( 26 2013 . 846).
1
2
3
7 2014 . 987 .
, ( , , , , ).
50
55
60
54.6
58.8
20142013
+4.2 (+7.7%)
12
15
18
15.116.1
20142013
+1.0 (+6.8%)
30
32
34
31.0
32.6
20142013
+1.6 (+5.2%)
13
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
.
--
- -
. .
. .
. .
-
-
--
--
-
-
--
!
!
!
! !
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!!
!
--
--
()
2014 .
, 2014 .
/ 2014 .
0
100
200
300
158 145
2035203020252020201520142013
14
*
* , ** 4
,
, %
**, .
,
, .
1 , %
256.5265.4
274.5
288.9
2014201320122011
+14.4 (+5.2%)
70.6%71.1% 71.4%
72.4%
2014201320122011
+1.0%
6
1513 13
2014201320122011
9
6
3
10
5
8
1. , %
28.6%
28.1%28.0%
27.1%
2014201320122011
-0.9%
155.5
199.6
253.7289.6
2014201320122011
+35.9 (+14.2%)
73.374.5
76.978.4
2014201320122011
+1.5 (+2.0%)
15
280 280800 600
1200
30025 20
250
15001800
2900
300
.
.
.
( 201
5 .)
.
, .
13
16
*
,
,
,
2% 25% 63% 74%26%
37%
17%
11%
41%
30%
15%11%
31%
8% 5% 4%2014201320122011
38.7 38.336.6 38.2-0.4 (-1.0%)
17% 25% 43% 58%
10%9%
10%
8%
10%16%
30%
16%
63%
50%
17% 17%
2014201320122011
72.0 77.369.470.6+5.3 (+7.4%)+5.3 (+7.4%)
2% 25% 69% 82%26%
37%
16%
10%
41%
30%
13%8%
31%
8% 2%02014201320122011
34.4 34.132.6 34.5-0.3 (-0.9%)
17% 29% 52% 76%
10%
22%
19%
13%
10%
29%
23%
8%
63%
20%
6% 4%2014201320122011
33.1 31.734.1 33.5-1.4 (-4.2%)
4.13.6
4.4 4.2
2014201320122011
-0.2 (-4.8%)
36.4 35.938.8
45.4
2014201320122011
+6.6 (+17.0%)+6.6 (+17.0%) 3
2
4
5
(%):
* ,
17
.
,
,
,
,
10 %
20132014 15 % 2017 .
1
818%
17.4
2014
14.5 2013
9.6
2012
11.5 2011
8.3 2010
, ,
.
18
2015
2035
1 2015 . 4 5
27
73,5 % 2015
19
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
.
!
!
!
!
--
--
--
--
----
--
--
--
--
--
-2-2
()
2014 .
/
20
* , **
*, .
, .
( )*, .
, .
, .
, %
670.7 654.5 668.2 640.3
2014201320122011
.
-27.9 (-4.2%)
**642.1
+10 (+2.5%)
362390 400
410
2014201320122011
-2.3 (-0.5%)
.
469.1 460.0 456.9 454.6
2014201320122011
63.1 63.264.4
65.3
2014201320122011
196.8 186.2203.3
181.2
2014201320122011
-22.1 (-10.9%)
29.033.7 33.9
28.8
2014201320122011
-5.1 (-15.0%)
21
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
.
!
!
!
!
--
--
--
--
----
--
--
--
--
--
-2-2
()
2014 .
/
0
100
200
300
400
2035203020252020201520142013
.
22
.
--
--
--
----
12
3
2 170 1 32 . 2 60 .
790 30 .
620 32 .
*
(2018-2020):
.
(2020-2025):
.
CNPC, 1 . 30 .
.
.
38 .
23
5 2014 .
1 2 3
19 2014 .
9 2014 . 785 ;
5 2014 . 770 9 2005 . 364 ;
14 2014 . 1277 , ;
9 2014 . 2001 , .
:
:
- :
24
-
-
!!!!!!!
!!!!!
!!
!!!!!!!
!!!!!!!
!!!!!!!
!!
!!!
!!!
!!
!!!!
!
!!
!!
!!!!!!!!!!
!!!!!!!!!!
!
!!
!!!!!!!
!!!!!!!!!!
!
!
!!!!
! !!
!!
!
!
- -
. .
8.5
170.2
250.4
22.4
458.8
672.1
. .
0.0 0.0
6.2
0.0 0.0
18.3
. .
12.5
28.2
58.2
32.9
75.3
155.4
21.0
198.4
314.8
55.3
534.1
845.8
. .
- 2014 .
.. :
19 2014 566 , .
24 2014 - - .
25
()*, %
75.5 76.278.8
84.0
2014201320122011
+5.2% 2014
2,615 .
- 5,6 .
(2- ) 5,6 .
(3- ) 4,9 .
2014
* ,
26
,
,
(, , ), , %
, .
,
, .
8.7 7.98.9
10.0
2014201320122011
,
+1.1 (+12.4%)
1.2 1.4 1.0 0.9
2014201320122011
-0.1 (-10.0%)
,
3.5 3.54.0 4.2
2014201320122011
+0.2 (+5.3%)
2030 ., . ,
, % 2030 ., .
1 1
4
2
2014201320122011
, %
28%
24%25%
27%
2014201320122011
+2%
+17 (+13.8%)
2030 ., .
97
123 123
140
2014201320122011
27
2015
5,1
(, , ) 28 %
, , 2035
,
,
28
-
.
: 1,5
: 3,0
: 5,0
: 2,4
: 4,5
: 1,5
: 3,8
- : 1,5
-
-
-
-
-
-
--
2014
2015
29
,
, .
,
,
,
,
336.7
354.9 352.0358.2
2014201320122011
+6.2 (+1.7%)
99.5116.9
80.458.0
2014201320122011
-22.4 (-27.9%)
198.3 187.6 177.6 170.6
2014201320122011
-7.0 (-3.9%)
(.)
38.837.1
37.6 35.6
159.5150.5
140.0 135.0
2014201320122011
,, ..
(.)
141.3 151.7167.5 168.9
2014201320122011
+1.4 (+0.8%)
+14.8 (+10.6%)
106.6
126.9140.0
154.8
2014201320122011
(.)
410411
409
412
2014201320122011
+3 (+0.7%)
30
2014 2015
2014
2015 2014
()
.
1,5 / .
2014
.
4,5 / , .
2015 2 , 2017 .
2014
3,0 / , , .
1,8 /.
( )
4,5 / .
:
;
.
- :
;
.
:
.
31
2030
, , / . , %
21 2014 . 1099
2030 ( )
;
;
-;
, ;
, ;
, , , ;
- ( .).
355 352 358 358
480
20302015201420132012
11 16,821 25
100
20302015201420132012
2028 2263 2370 2500
9000
20302015201420132012
32
2014
21 2014 . 1099 2030 ( ). . . 30 2013 . 267, .
. , , , .
, . .
, .
, 13 2005 . 428, 2 2015 . 314.
33
2015
.
.
, , .
1 23
4 :
;
;
;
.
34
-
.
, 7-9( ): 999
- ( )
, 1 2( - ): 408 416,6
, 3( ): 424,6
( - ): 413
( ): 298 3
-2 ( ): 1070
-2( ): 231
, 8( - ): 225
-1( )
: 230,6
-3( : 236
, 4( -2): 421,6
-16 : 421
6 693
7 597 .. () 4 970
C 2008 2014 / 105 () 21,7 ( 17,2 )
: 9,5 . , 3,1 .
13,3 , 33,2 .
2014
35
*
201.4 204.6 204.6210.5
220.3
245.8
259.0
156.1
133.6 133.8141.5
151.1 158.2
160.5
1035.1
821.3 849.7
924.21009.6
1031.3 1036.2
1061.0
1991 1995 2000 2005 2010 2013 2015 20202014
233.6233.6
148.9148.9
1035.31035.31040.4**1040.4**
239.4239.4240.3**240.3**
156.6156.6157.7**157.7**
,
,
, *
1991 . 1,29 , 2014 . 1,53
* ** c
36
283.7
348.1230.7
294.5
354.8
328.5 344.7315.2
253.2
452.1501.9 516.9
603.2
522.8 522.2 496.8
20142013201220112010200920082007
537
800733
811
958
851 867812
450875 715
798
3935
3575
1926
4970
1638
447 552
2104
795
2715
20932627
20142013201220112010200920082007
2088
1322 1267
2902
4730
6290
4019
7597
3425
660 1171
3024 3348
5099
4821
6693
( )
() ()
, . , ,
37
* ** .
1 2013 5 3 ;
2 2014 3 2 ;
3 .
,
,
, %
( 150 )
,
1 ;
2 , ;3 ;
4 ;
5 , 30 ;6 ;7 50% 2015 ., 100% 2017 .
2014
2012
*
. **
10281
5 681
.
5
135/195
360
Doing Business
DB Doing Buisness
.
.
, 90 , 20- -
179179
162 135
281
276
16745 43 42 40
DB2019DB2018DB2017DB2016DB2015DB2014DB2013
5 5
10 8
66
65 5 5
DB2019DB2018DB2017DB2016DB2015DB2014DB2013
3211852
345
1852 1852 938 850361 25
DB2019DB2018DB2017DB2016DB2015DB2014DB2013
38
01 2014 . () 42,9
28 , -
,
-
1 2014 . 11,9 . 2014 9,9 . 2014 2,0 .
1 2014 . 28,7 . 2014 19,5 . 2014 9,2 .
1 2014 . 2,3 . 2014 2,3 .
16 , - 01.07.2017 . ( 3,5 ):
. . . . . . . .
, - :
=+ *( )
4 , - 01.07.2029 . ( 15 ):
, :
=+ **( )
* 35 0 1 2017 .** 35 0 1 2029 .
:
. . . . . ( . . , )
.
39
22 2012 . 1567:
( 22.04.2013 511)
:
-
220 50 2022 . 31 2014 . 750 . 2015 .
2017 15 % 30 % 7 2014 . 506 . 30 2014 . 674 .
500 . . . .
, , , .
50 % 2017 ( ) , I 2015 .
7 2014 . 179 .
, 31 , . 17 2014 . 119 .
15 2014 . 186 . . I 2015 .
1
2
345
40
,
() 2 2014 . 1949;
2 2014 . 404- .1 ( , . 1 2015 . 1 2018 .);
( )
()
, (Price Cap): ,
1 2014 1 2020 1 2023
1 2
.
30 2014 . 29 2014 . regulation.gov.ru;
19 2014 . ;
30 2014 .
( 190-)
41
II
500 ( I II )
1 474 , 13 ( 602,5 )
79 , 999 3000
(6400 ) 2 600
3 2 1070
,
2018 11 FIFA
, ,
42
( , ), ()
, ( )
()
( , , , , , , ),
Doing Buisness
43
: , ,
: , ,
: 25
:
17 2014 . 116 , 17 2014 . 117 , ,
5,9 * 2,5 % * 2020 *
2014 : 5 ;
250 ;
- 1 , .
44
4 ,
30 % ,
50 %
60
PR
:
(, PR)
2014
45
70 999
50 64920 321
29
:
.
0
2
4
6
8 2014 . 2013 .
4.91.6
3.64.9
5.2
21
46
( ),
3- ,
2015 .
,
30 2014 . 93-
, ( 1 2014 .) 287 ( 300 )
. 2035 ( 6 )
20132018 .
, , 2014 .
2014 .
,
20132018
.
47
.. 32, 34 27 2013 . 3086
. 32 , 50 , , , .
: 1 2014 .
. 34 , , 23 2003 . 91, , .
: 31 2014 .
( ) , .
, , 23 2003 . 91, . , .
48
. 5 05 2013 . 1474
, , , , , 50 , , . : 1 2015 .
( ) .
, , 23 2003 . 91, , .
. .
49
- 2014
21
. , .
. , XI
. , 2014.
20 .
2
ENES 2014
2014
2014
15-19.06
22-24.10
24-29.08
29-30.09
12-14.10
02-05.12
,
,
:
:
20-22.11
50
2014
13.01.2014 .
29.05.2014 - 12 2007 .
29.05.2014 - 9 2010 .
13.10.2014 .
05.12.2014 .
21.02.2014 .
21.05.2014 .
05.08.2014 .
09.11.2014 .
15.0516.05.2014
. 47 , 20 9 , , 18 , , , , 35 . , , .
15.0619.06.2014
21- 300 , 20 , 11 , , .
17.06.2014 , . , , , . , .
2014 () . 2015 . , , , ( ). , . .
2014 70- , , 20142018 .
02.09.2014 - . , , , , , , .
16.09.2014 .
16.12.2014 () 16- , , .
2014 (IRENA).
2014 8- - , ( ) .
2014
15 2015 .