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PRAKIRAAN CH DAN HHMEI, JUNI, JULIDI PD BETUNG
Siska Chrisvenny Rajagukguk13.11.2522Klimatologi
Langkah-Langkah
Korelasi data
Korelasi tertinggi/ terendah
Forecast
2013 526.8 224.8 102.1 336.9
4 bln terakhir 3 bln terakhir (A+2B)/3
0.47 0.91 0.76 0.95
-0.49 0.17 -0.05 0.94
-0.55 0.24 -0.02 0.90
0.65 -0.89 -0.37 0.89
0.15 -0.13 -0.04 0.85
TAHUN JAN FEB MAR APR
1980 248.9 264 140.5 202.3
1981 519 174 239 234
1982 403 179 165 180
1983 245 161 238 232
1984 303 284 396 198
NEXT
s/d 2012
JAN FEB MAR APR
198026 19 17 10
198127 18 17 13
198225 18 16 16
198320 15 14 13
198424 17 21 22
2013 23 18 12 19
4 bln terakhir 3 Bln terakhir (A+2B)/3
0.42 -0.43 -0.14 0.97
0.57 -0.45 -0.11 0.94
0.77 0.38 0.51 0.90
0.68 -0.13 0.14 0.88
0.40 -0.20 0.00 0.87
NEXT
s/d 2012
0.95
0.94
0.90
0.89
0.85
0.20
0.11
0.08
0.05
0.02
-0.04
-0.09
-0.12
-0.21
-0.36
NEXT
( - ) TERTINGGI
(+) TERENDAH
(+) TERTINGGI
2013FORECAST HH MEI JUNI JULI
13.8 8 5.6
KORELASI CH
0.97
0.94
0.90
0.88
0.87
0.25
0.14
0.03
0.01
0.00
-0.10
-0.10
-0.11
-0.14
-0.16
NEXT
(+) TERENDAH
(+) TERTINGGI ( - ) TERTINGGI
KORELASI HH
KORELASI (+) TERTINGGI (HUJAN)
JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL
2012 0.95 430.7 258.1 133.3 277.4 199.1 89.1 7.3
2011 0.94 170.8 132 64 186.2 122.6 75.5 71.8
1982 0.90 403 179 165 180 103 70 109
1986 0.89 278 227 223 273 232 126 113
1997 0.85 327.5 186.1 189.1 316.7 275.5 16.6 2.5
JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL0
50100150200250300350400450500
KORELASI (+) TERTINGGI
20122011198219861997
Axis Title
NEXT
NEXT
JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL
2002 0.20 737.6 425.2 289 268.9 114.3 72.3 156.3
2007 0.11 140.6 831.4 83.6 266 180.3 70.4 0.7
1990 0.08 560.5 251.7 151.9 110.1 319.5 141.2 153
1983 0.05 245 161 238 232 261 113 0
2008 0.02 240.3 592.5 174.5 206.6 113.7 99.9 9.1
JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL0
100200300400500600700800900
KORELASI (+) TERENDAH
20022007199019832008
Axis Title
KORELASI (-) TERTINGGI
JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL
1996 -0.04 298.2 482.9 278.2 281.4 68.6 55.8 36
1999 -0.09 279.9 262 151.5 90.8 281.8 173.8 111.5
1987 -0.12 482 250 331 290 162 149 82
1988 -0.21 325 234 185 109 324 96 84
2004 -0.36 385.8 317 334.1 182.8 290.4 26.8 228.8
JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL0
100
200
300
400
500
600
KORELASI (-) TERTINGGI
19961999198719882004+Sheet1!$E$77:$K$77
Axis Title
NEXT
korelasi (+)
tertinggi (HH)Jan Feb Mar Apr Mei Jun Jul
2006 0.97 28 26 14 21 8 6 32000 0.94 23 18 15 21 22 13 62002 0.90 30 28 16 24 11 12 152012 0.88 28 18 15 17 20 3 11991 0.87 28 26 14 21 8 6 3
Jan Feb Mar Apr Mei Jun Jul0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Korelasi (+) Tertinggi
20062000200220121991
NEXT
korelasi (+)
terendah
Jan Feb Mar Apr Mei Jun Jul
1989 0.25 19 26 19 19 31 15 12
1983 0.14 20 15 14 13 17 7 0
1998 0.03 12 24 22 22 21 20 20
2008 0.01 16 27 20 18 13 9 1
1984 0.00 24 17 21 22 13 7 8
Jan Feb Mar Apr Mei Jun Jul0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Korelasi Positif Terendah
19891983199820081984
NEXT
korelasi (-) tertinggi
Jan Feb Mar Apr Mei Jun Jul
2004 -0.10 23 21 19 15 20 8 9
1993 -0.10 25 21 23 23 15 14 8
1981 -0.11 27 18 17 13 11 12 14
1980 -0.14 26 19 17 10 9 6 8
2011 -0.16 21 17 16 12 19 6 9
Jan Feb Mar Apr Mei Jun Jul0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Korelasi Negatif Tertinggi
20041993198119802011
NEXT
NEXT
FORECAST
2013
MAY JUN JUL
KORELASI (+) TERTINGGI 186.44 75.44 60.72
KORELASI (+) TERENDAH 1099.72 75.44 60.72
KORELASI (-) 1099.72 75.44 60.72
CH
NEXT
FORECAST
2013
MAY JUN JUL
KORELASI (+) TERTINGGI 13.8 8 5.6
KORELASI (+) TERENDAH 19 16 8
KORELASI (-) 15 9 9.6
HH
Terima Kasih ^_^