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Lepton Physics One of the four pillars: Tera-Z, Oku-W, Mega-H, John Ellis M = 246.0 ± 0.8 GeV, ε = 0.0000 +0.0015 -0.0010

Lepton Physics One of the four pillars: Tera-Z, Oku-W, Mega-H, Mega-t John Ellis M = 246.0 ± 0.8 GeV, ε = 0.0000 +0.0015 -0.0010

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Page 1: Lepton Physics One of the four pillars: Tera-Z, Oku-W, Mega-H, Mega-t John Ellis M = 246.0 ± 0.8 GeV, ε = 0.0000 +0.0015 -0.0010

Lepton Physics

One of the four pillars:

Tera-Z, Oku-W, Mega-H, Mega-t

John Ellis

M = 246.0 ± 0.8 GeV, ε = 0.0000+0.0015-0.0010

Page 2: Lepton Physics One of the four pillars: Tera-Z, Oku-W, Mega-H, Mega-t John Ellis M = 246.0 ± 0.8 GeV, ε = 0.0000 +0.0015 -0.0010

Projected e+e- Colliders:Luminosity vs Energy

TLEP physics study group: arXiv:1308.6176

Page 3: Lepton Physics One of the four pillars: Tera-Z, Oku-W, Mega-H, Mega-t John Ellis M = 246.0 ± 0.8 GeV, ε = 0.0000 +0.0015 -0.0010

Global Analysis of Higgs-like Models

• Rescale couplings: to bosons by a, to fermions by c

• Standard Model: a = c = 1JE & Tevong You, arXiv:1303.3879

b bbarτ τγ γW WZ ZGlobal

No evidence for

deviation from SM

Page 4: Lepton Physics One of the four pillars: Tera-Z, Oku-W, Mega-H, Mega-t John Ellis M = 246.0 ± 0.8 GeV, ε = 0.0000 +0.0015 -0.0010

It Walks and Quacks like a Higgs

• Do couplings scale ~ mass? With scale = v?

• Red line = SM, dashed line = best fitJE & Tevong You, arXiv:1303.3879

Global

fit

Page 5: Lepton Physics One of the four pillars: Tera-Z, Oku-W, Mega-H, Mega-t John Ellis M = 246.0 ± 0.8 GeV, ε = 0.0000 +0.0015 -0.0010

What Next: A Higgs Factory?

To study the ‘Higgs’ in detail:• The LHC

– Consider LHC upgrades in this perspective• A linear collider?

– ILC up to 500 GeV– CLIC up to 3 TeV

(Larger cross section at higher energies)

• A circular e+e- collider?• An ep collider?• A γγ collider? A muon collider?• Wait for results from LHC @ 13/14 TeV

Page 6: Lepton Physics One of the four pillars: Tera-Z, Oku-W, Mega-H, Mega-t John Ellis M = 246.0 ± 0.8 GeV, ε = 0.0000 +0.0015 -0.0010

Possible High-Luminosity LHC Measurements

Page 7: Lepton Physics One of the four pillars: Tera-Z, Oku-W, Mega-H, Mega-t John Ellis M = 246.0 ± 0.8 GeV, ε = 0.0000 +0.0015 -0.0010

Possible Future Higgs Measurements

Janot

Page 8: Lepton Physics One of the four pillars: Tera-Z, Oku-W, Mega-H, Mega-t John Ellis M = 246.0 ± 0.8 GeV, ε = 0.0000 +0.0015 -0.0010

H Coupling Measurements Now@TLEPM = 246.0 ± 0.8 GeV, ε = 0.0000+0.0015

-0.0010

JE & Tevong You

Page 9: Lepton Physics One of the four pillars: Tera-Z, Oku-W, Mega-H, Mega-t John Ellis M = 246.0 ± 0.8 GeV, ε = 0.0000 +0.0015 -0.0010

Indirect Sensitivity to 3h Coupling

• Loop corrections to σ(H+Z):

• 3h correction δh energy-dependent

• δZ energy-independent: can distinguish

McCullough

Page 10: Lepton Physics One of the four pillars: Tera-Z, Oku-W, Mega-H, Mega-t John Ellis M = 246.0 ± 0.8 GeV, ε = 0.0000 +0.0015 -0.0010

• Predictions of current best fits in simple SUSY models

• Current uncertainties in SM calculations [LHC Higgs WG]

• Comparisons with– LHC– HL-LHC– ILC– TLEP (= FCC-ee)(Able to distinguish from SM)

Impact of Higgs Measurements

K. De Vries

(MasterCode)

Page 11: Lepton Physics One of the four pillars: Tera-Z, Oku-W, Mega-H, Mega-t John Ellis M = 246.0 ± 0.8 GeV, ε = 0.0000 +0.0015 -0.0010

Possible FCC-ee Precision Measurements

Page 12: Lepton Physics One of the four pillars: Tera-Z, Oku-W, Mega-H, Mega-t John Ellis M = 246.0 ± 0.8 GeV, ε = 0.0000 +0.0015 -0.0010

TLEP Measurements of mt & MW

Page 13: Lepton Physics One of the four pillars: Tera-Z, Oku-W, Mega-H, Mega-t John Ellis M = 246.0 ± 0.8 GeV, ε = 0.0000 +0.0015 -0.0010

Theoretical Constraints on Higgs Mass

• Large Mh → large self-coupling → blow up at low-energy scale Λ due to renormalization

• Small: renormalization due to t quark drives quartic coupling < 0at some scale Λ→ vacuum unstable

• Vacuum could be stabilized by SupersymmetryDegrassi, Di Vita, Elias-Miro, Giudice, Isodori & Strumia, arXiv:1205.6497

Instability @

1010 – 1013 GeV

Page 14: Lepton Physics One of the four pillars: Tera-Z, Oku-W, Mega-H, Mega-t John Ellis M = 246.0 ± 0.8 GeV, ε = 0.0000 +0.0015 -0.0010

Vacuum Instability in the Standard Model

• Very sensitive to mt as well as MH

• Instability scale:

• Calculate with accuracy ± 0.1

Buttazzo, Degrassi, Giardino, Giudice, Sala, Salvio & Strumia, arXiv:1307.3536

FCC-ee accuracy

Page 15: Lepton Physics One of the four pillars: Tera-Z, Oku-W, Mega-H, Mega-t John Ellis M = 246.0 ± 0.8 GeV, ε = 0.0000 +0.0015 -0.0010

Sensitivity to Higher-Dimensional Operators

Possible new physics corrections to SM:

• LEP constraints• FCC-ee constraints• See Λ ~ 100 TeV?

JE, Sanz & You

Page 16: Lepton Physics One of the four pillars: Tera-Z, Oku-W, Mega-H, Mega-t John Ellis M = 246.0 ± 0.8 GeV, ε = 0.0000 +0.0015 -0.0010

What else is there?

Supersymmetry• Successful prediction for Higgs mass

– Should be < 130 GeV in simple models

• Successful predictions for couplings– Should be within few % of SM values

• Naturalness, GUTs, string, … (???)

Page 17: Lepton Physics One of the four pillars: Tera-Z, Oku-W, Mega-H, Mega-t John Ellis M = 246.0 ± 0.8 GeV, ε = 0.0000 +0.0015 -0.0010

Data

• Electroweak precision observables

• Flavour physics observables

• gμ - 2

• Higgs mass• Dark matter• LHC

MasterCode: O.Buchmueller, JE et al.

Page 18: Lepton Physics One of the four pillars: Tera-Z, Oku-W, Mega-H, Mega-t John Ellis M = 246.0 ± 0.8 GeV, ε = 0.0000 +0.0015 -0.0010

Search with ~ 20/fb @ 8 TeV

Page 19: Lepton Physics One of the four pillars: Tera-Z, Oku-W, Mega-H, Mega-t John Ellis M = 246.0 ± 0.8 GeV, ε = 0.0000 +0.0015 -0.0010

p-value of simple models ~ 5% (also SM)

2012 20/fb

Scan of CMSSM

Buchmueller, JE et al: arXiv:1312.5250

Page 20: Lepton Physics One of the four pillars: Tera-Z, Oku-W, Mega-H, Mega-t John Ellis M = 246.0 ± 0.8 GeV, ε = 0.0000 +0.0015 -0.0010

Confronted with likelihood analysis of CMSSM

LHC Reach for Supersymmetry

K. De Vries

(MasterCode)

Page 21: Lepton Physics One of the four pillars: Tera-Z, Oku-W, Mega-H, Mega-t John Ellis M = 246.0 ± 0.8 GeV, ε = 0.0000 +0.0015 -0.0010

Confronted with likelihood analysis of CMSSM

Direct Reach for Supersymmetry

Stau mass contours

500 GeV

(ILC1000)

1500 GeV

(CLIC)

TLEP, ILC500

have no impact

K. De Vries

(MasterCode)

Page 22: Lepton Physics One of the four pillars: Tera-Z, Oku-W, Mega-H, Mega-t John Ellis M = 246.0 ± 0.8 GeV, ε = 0.0000 +0.0015 -0.0010

ΓZ constraint on (m0, m1/2) plane in CMSSM:All points within one current σ of low-mass best-fit value

Impact of LEP Precision on Susy

K. De Vries

(MasterCode)

Page 23: Lepton Physics One of the four pillars: Tera-Z, Oku-W, Mega-H, Mega-t John Ellis M = 246.0 ± 0.8 GeV, ε = 0.0000 +0.0015 -0.0010

ΓZ constraint on (m0, m1/2) plane in CMSSM:Points within one, two, three TLEP σ of low-mass best-fit value

Impact of FCC-ee Precision on Susy

K. De Vries

(MasterCode)

ΓZ

Page 24: Lepton Physics One of the four pillars: Tera-Z, Oku-W, Mega-H, Mega-t John Ellis M = 246.0 ± 0.8 GeV, ε = 0.0000 +0.0015 -0.0010

MW constraint on (m0, m1/2) plane in CMSSM:All points within one current σ of low-mass best-fit value

Impact of FCC-ee Precision on Susy

K. De Vries

(MasterCode)

MW

Page 25: Lepton Physics One of the four pillars: Tera-Z, Oku-W, Mega-H, Mega-t John Ellis M = 246.0 ± 0.8 GeV, ε = 0.0000 +0.0015 -0.0010

Estimate of (m0, m1/2) in CMSSM on basis ofprecision measurements with low-mass best-fit central values

Impact of FCC-ee Precision on Susy

K. De Vries

(MasterCode)

Page 26: Lepton Physics One of the four pillars: Tera-Z, Oku-W, Mega-H, Mega-t John Ellis M = 246.0 ± 0.8 GeV, ε = 0.0000 +0.0015 -0.0010

One-dimensional likelihood functions in CMSSM ifprecision measurements with low-mass best-fit central values:

compare masses with LHC measurements,

Test SUSY at the loop level

Impact of FCC-ee Precision on Susy

K. De Vries

(MasterCode)

Page 27: Lepton Physics One of the four pillars: Tera-Z, Oku-W, Mega-H, Mega-t John Ellis M = 246.0 ± 0.8 GeV, ε = 0.0000 +0.0015 -0.0010

Assume no SUSY @ HL-LHC:current precision measurements with high-mass best-fit values

Impact of HL-LHC on Susy

K. De Vries

(MasterCode)

Page 28: Lepton Physics One of the four pillars: Tera-Z, Oku-W, Mega-H, Mega-t John Ellis M = 246.0 ± 0.8 GeV, ε = 0.0000 +0.0015 -0.0010

One-dimensional likelihood functions in CMSSM ifprecision measurements with high-mass best-fit central values:

Predict masses for FCC-pp measurements

Impact of FCC-ee Precision on Susy

K. De Vries

(MasterCode)

Page 29: Lepton Physics One of the four pillars: Tera-Z, Oku-W, Mega-H, Mega-t John Ellis M = 246.0 ± 0.8 GeV, ε = 0.0000 +0.0015 -0.0010

The Twin Frontiers of FCC-ee Physics

Precision Measurements • Springboard for

sensitivity to new physics

• Theoretical issues:– Higher-order QCD– Higher-order EW– Mixed QCD + EW

• Experimental issues– Gigi Rolandi

Rare Decays• Direct searches for new

physics• Many opportunities• Z: 1012

• b, c, τ: 1011

• W: 108

• H: 106

• t: 106

Page 30: Lepton Physics One of the four pillars: Tera-Z, Oku-W, Mega-H, Mega-t John Ellis M = 246.0 ± 0.8 GeV, ε = 0.0000 +0.0015 -0.0010

cf, LEP and LHC• “Those who don't know history are doomed

to repeat it…”–Edmund Burke

• “… and maybe also those who do.”• LEP: Precision Z studies, W+W-,

search for Higgs, anything else• LHC: search for Higgs, anything else• FCC-ee, -pp together: 50 years of physics

✔ ✔✖ ✖

✔ ?

Page 31: Lepton Physics One of the four pillars: Tera-Z, Oku-W, Mega-H, Mega-t John Ellis M = 246.0 ± 0.8 GeV, ε = 0.0000 +0.0015 -0.0010
Page 32: Lepton Physics One of the four pillars: Tera-Z, Oku-W, Mega-H, Mega-t John Ellis M = 246.0 ± 0.8 GeV, ε = 0.0000 +0.0015 -0.0010

O. Buchmueller, R. Cavanaugh, M. Citron, A. De Roeck, M.J. Dolan, J.E., H. Flacher, S. Heinemeyer, G. Isidori,

J. Marrouche, D. Martinez Santos, S. Nakach, K.A. Olive, S. Rogerson, F.J. Ronga, K.J. de Vries, G. Weiglein

Page 33: Lepton Physics One of the four pillars: Tera-Z, Oku-W, Mega-H, Mega-t John Ellis M = 246.0 ± 0.8 GeV, ε = 0.0000 +0.0015 -0.0010

July 4th 2012

The discovery of a new particle

Page 34: Lepton Physics One of the four pillars: Tera-Z, Oku-W, Mega-H, Mega-t John Ellis M = 246.0 ± 0.8 GeV, ε = 0.0000 +0.0015 -0.0010

Possible Future Higgs Measurements

• Need to reduce theoretical uncertainties to match• Essential for new physics interpretations

Page 35: Lepton Physics One of the four pillars: Tera-Z, Oku-W, Mega-H, Mega-t John Ellis M = 246.0 ± 0.8 GeV, ε = 0.0000 +0.0015 -0.0010

Impact of TLEP Precision on Susy

MW constraint on stop mass sin2θW constraint on stop mass

V. SanzTLEP physics study group: arXiv:1308.6176

Page 36: Lepton Physics One of the four pillars: Tera-Z, Oku-W, Mega-H, Mega-t John Ellis M = 246.0 ± 0.8 GeV, ε = 0.0000 +0.0015 -0.0010

Rl constraint on (m0, m1/2) plane in CMSSMPoints within one, two, three TLEP σ of low-mass best-fit value

Impact of FCC-ee Precision on Susy

K. De Vries

(MasterCode)

Rl