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Knight Frank 萊坊 SHANGHAI Retail market report Research retail 商铺 Q4 2012 二零一二年第四季 研究报告 上海商铺报告

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Page 1: SHANGHAI Retail market report - HKTDC › ... › 03 › 456495 › 1362140600897_shretail12q4.pdf · 2013-03-01 · SHANGHAI Retail market report retail 商铺 Q4 2012 二零一二年第四季

Knight Frank 萊坊

SHANGHAI Retail

market report

Research

retail

商铺

Q4 2012

二零一二年第四季

研究报告

上海商铺报告

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2

Q4 2012

shanghai retail Quarterly

In the fourth quarter, the

performance of Shanghai’s retail

market saw both positive and

negative factors. On the one hand,

consumers demonstrated strong

desire to spend during the holiday

season as all retail stores witnessed

year-on-year increases in sales

during the Golden Week holiday in

October. On the other hand, two more

traditional department stores, both

with long histories, shut down

because of strong competition from

online shopping platforms and

fast-fashion brands.

In 2012, the annual retail supply in

Shanghai reached 563,350 sq m,

down 14.5% compared to 2011. In the

fourth quarter, four new retail malls

with a total gross floor area (GFA) of

165,000 sq m opened.

Ground-floor rents in core retail areas

reached RMB54.7 per sq m per day,

an increase of 1.7% quarter on

quarter and 11.6% year on year. The

vacancy rate for shopping malls

remained at 8.4%, the same level as

the previous quarter.

In recent years, community shopping

malls have emerged in non-core

areas and have gained popularity

among consumers. In the fourth

quarter, several community shopping

malls exhibited increased rents.

The rise in online shopping and fast

fashion brands imposed pressure on

traditional department stores with

shrinking potential for growth. Many

department stores were considering

conducting adjustments or

repositioning to survive under the

fierce competition.

Outlook

We are optimistic about the Shanghai

retail real estate market in 2013 as a

number of mid to high-end shopping

malls are planned for opening in core

areas of the city and demand is set to

sustain. The most anticipated

projects include Kerry Properties’

Jing’an Kerry Centre Phase II (86,000

sq m) on Nanjing West Road, Sun

Hung Kai Properties’ International

apm (100,000 sq m), New World

Development’s K11 Art Mall on

Huaihai Middle Road (50,000 sq m).

In the Hongqiao CBD, LVMH Group’s

L'Avenue and Treasury China Trust’s

The HQ will provide retail GFAs of

49,000 sq m and 31,000 sq m

respectively. The expansion of luxury

brands has slowed but the focus

remained on core areas. Fast-fashion

groups such as Inditex will accelerate

the expansion of their major stores

as well as the groups' other brands,

such as Inditex Group's Massimo

Dutti, Bershka, Stradivarius and Pull

& Bear. Some fashion brands that

have yet to enter Shanghai are

currently seeking store locations, for

example British fast-fashion brand

Topshop will open its first China store

in Pudong Lujiazui in 2013.

As most new supply will be

concentrated in core retail areas such

as Huangpu and Jing’an districts in

2013, we expect prime retail rents will

continue their upward trend with a

year-on-year growth of about 10-12%

but the occupancy rate will drop

slightly. Supported by investors’

strong interest in commercial real

estate, retail prices are set to stay

firm. The retail market will also see

an increase in large-scale

transactions.

highlights

As most new supply will

be concentrated in core

retail areas in 2013, we

expect prime retail rents

will continue their upward

trend with a year-on-year

growth of about 10-12%

but the occupancy rate

will drop slightly.

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KnightFrank.com.cn

In the fourth quarter, Shanghai’s retail

market performed both positively and

negatively. Consumers demonstrated

strong propensity to spend in the

holiday season. During the eight-day

Golden Week holiday, Shanghai

received 7.92 million tourists, an

increase of 21% compared to the

previous year and the 5,000 retail

stores in Shanghai achieved total

retail sales of RMB6.43 billion, a

year-on-year increase of 9.2%. The

retail market saw four new retail malls’

opening in the quarter, adding a total

of 165,000 sq m of space to the

market. In the fourth quarter, the

average ground-floor rent in core retail

areas was RMB54.7 per sq m per day

with a quarter-on-quarter increase of

1.7%. Shopping malls’ vacancy rate

remained at 8.4%, same as the

previous quarter. However, traditional

department stores did not fair as well

Consumers demonstrated

their strong desire to spend

during this holiday season.

During eight-day Golden

Week holiday, Shanghai

received 7.92 million

tourists, an increase of 21%

compared to the previous

year.

in the fourth quarter. Under increasing

pressure from online retail rivals, two

more department stores, namely

Spring Department Store on Sichuan

North Road and Novel Department

Store on Huaihai Middle Road, were

forced to close. Traditional department

stores have reached a bottleneck

point in their growth. With the rapid

growth of online retailing and the

ambitious expansion of fast-fashion

brands, small and medium-sized

department stores have shrinking

growth potential. On 11 November

2012 (the “Singles Day” in China), one

of China’s e-commerce giants TMALL

(tmall.com) achieved a sales volume

of RMB19.1 billion, four times higher

than the annual retail sales of Nextage

Department Store, one of the best

performing department stores in

Shanghai.

Market overview

Shanghai Retail Sales of Consumer Goods, 2000-2012

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

% RMB billion

Source: Shanghai Statistics Bureau/Knight Frank

Retail Sales of Consumer Goods (LHS) Growth Rate (RHS)

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4

Q4 2012

shanghai retail Quarterly

In 2012, the annual retail

supply in Shanghai reached

563,350 sq m, down 14.5%

compared to 2011.

renovation. This retail mall was the

fourth new mall opened in the Sichuan

North Road retail area, following Cloud

Nine Hongkou Mall, Laox Life Plaza

and Citic Shenhong Plaza, with a retail

GFA of 27,900 sq m from basement

two to level three. On 28 December,

River Mall Phase One officially opened

in Pudong. Based on the former Expo

Axis, this shopping mall was jointly

redeveloped by Expo Shanghai Group

and Brilliance Group. Phase One is

positioned as a food & beverage mall,

with major tenants including Wang

Ding Teppanyaki & Japanese

Restaurant, BullFighter Steak House,

Sichuan Folk, Musk Cat Coffee, Xian Yu

Xian and Inlead KTV. The entire

development of 330,000 sq m is to

fully open in 2013.

Despite the overseas economic

malaise and China’s slowing economic

growth, retailers’ confidence in the

market remained and they continued

to open new stores in Shanghai. The

world’s first Yves Saint Laurent Paris

boutique of 300 sq m was launched in

Reel Department Store in the quarter.

Similarly, following the opening of its

first boutique in China at the

Peninsula hotel in Beijing in early

2012, Italian luxury fashion brand.

Roberto Cavalli opened its second

store in Mainland China in Plaza 66 on

Nanjing West Road. The boutique had

a store area of 140 sq m selling

women’s wear. In the same month,

Belgian bags and luggage brand

Hedgren opened its first flagship store

in China on Huaihai Road, one of the

major retail areas in Shanghai.

Specialised supermarkets had also

In 2012 the annual retail supply in

Shanghai reached 563,350 sq m,

down 14.5% compared to 2011. In the

fourth quarter, four new retail malls,

with a total GFA of 165,000 sq m,

opened. The four malls were

Takashimaya and Gloria Department

Store in Changning District, One Prime

in Hongkou District and The River Mall

Phase One in Pudong. New supply in

quarter four increased 41% compared

with the previous quarter. However,

these new malls were relatively small

with average mall size less than

100,000 sq m, thus the annual new

supply decreased by 44% compared

with the previous year. The first

Takashimaya Department Store in

Shanghai launched in the Changning

Gubei Area on 19 December. Located

in Gubei International Fortune Centre

Phase II, Takashimaya had a total

retail GFA of 62,000 sq m from

basement to level seven. Takashimaya

was one of the largest high-end

department stores in Japan with 180

years of history, targeting mid to

high-income consumers from

Shanghai and the Yangtze River Delta

Region. Gloria Department Store was

located in Multimedia Plaza in the

Zhangshan Park retail area and has a

retail GFA of 25,000 sq m from

basement to level four, targeting at

the mid-end market. One Prime, AM

alpha GmbH’s first project in China,

opened on 9 November.

One Prime, previously known as

Tianchen Rose Plaza, was located on

Sichuan North Road. Tianchen Rose

Plaza was acquired by AM alpha in

early 2010 and reopened as One

Prime, a mid-end shopping mall, after

Supply and Demand

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KnightFrank.com.cn

Prime retail rents continued to grow in

the fourth quarter of 2012. Ground-floor

retail rents in core areas achieved

RMB54.7 per sq m per day, a

quarter-on-quarter increase of 1.7% and

a year-on-year increase of 11.6%.

Boosted by the concentration of luxury

shopping malls, Nanjing West Road and

Xujiahui were the most expensive areas

in terms of rents. Currently, some retail

units in Plaza 66, Citic Square, Westgate

Mall on Nanjing West Road and Grand

Gateway 66 in Xujiahui recorded

ground-floor rents of near RMB80.0 per

sq m per day.

Recently, community

shopping malls emerged

as a new and popular retail

format in non-core retail

areas. In the fourth quarter,

driven by a reliable

consumer base and a

diverse trade mix, retail

rents in many community

shopping malls increased.

Shanghai retail rent in core areas (2006Q1 to 2012Q4)

Recently, community shopping malls

emerged as a new and popular retail

format in non-core retail areas. In the

fourth quarter, driven by a reliable

consumer base and a diverse trade

mix, retail rents in many community

shopping malls increased. The

ground-floor rent of Kerry Parkside

increased 20% quarter on quarter to

RMB18.0 per sq m per day, while such

rents for Life Hub@Daning in Zhabei

and Life Hub@Jinqiao in Pudong grew

11.0% and 4.0% to RMB26.0 per sq m

per day and RMB20.0 per sq m per day

respectively.

been expanding in Shanghai. In

December, French sporting goods

chain store Decathlon opened four

stores in Jiading, Caoyang, Dahua and

Dalian Road respectively. The number

of Decathlon stores in Shanghai

totaled 14,

the highest number among all

Mainland cities. The stores moved

closer to core areas but the space

requirement declined from 5,000-8,000

sq m to 3,000-5,000 sq m.

Source: Knight Frank Research

Rent

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

RMB/sqm

net/day

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6

Q4 2012

shanghai retail Quarterly

In 2012, due to the fast growth of

online shopping platforms and

fast-fashion brand expansion,

traditional department stores entered

a bottleneck period with shrinking

potential for growth. Shanghai

witnessed the closure of three

department stores during 2012. In

April, inappropriate positioning and

limited scale forced No 1 Department

Store on Huaihai Middle Road to shut

down after 19 years’ of operation and

to rent out the space to BMW 4S shop.

In August, Shanghai Spring

Department Store on Sichuan North

Road closed due to persistent weak

performance. Spring Department Store

had a history of 16 years with a retail

GFA of 8,000 sq m. Before the closure

of Spring Department Store, several

department stores on Sichuan North

Road already closed due to the same

reason. Er Bai Yong Xin is another

department store to close soon.

Situated in the Huaihai Middle Road

retail area as the first state-owned

department store on Huaihai Road, Er

Bai Yong Xin was jointly invested by

No 2 Department Store and Hong Kong

Novel Department Store Co Ltd. After

the closure of Er Bai Yong Xin, Uniqlo

will take over the space to open its

largest flagship store in China.

Even for market

outperformers such as

Nextage, Pacific and

Parkson, retail sales growth

in 2012 slowed down or

became negative, making

future development

difficult.

Most department stores that shut

down their businesses had common

problems, including a small scale

(GFA less than 10,000 sq m), unclear

positioning and limited product

variety. Currently, the retail GFA of

successful department stores is more

than 20,000 sq m. The recently

launched Takashimaya has a size of

over 60,000 sq m. The small scale led

to problems such as poor trade mix

and limited shopping options.

Compared to other retail formats like

shopping malls, department stores

are not competitive in terms of pricing,

services and facilities. Competition

from online retailers is another key

reason affecting the performance of

traditional department stores.

Statistics showed that on 11 November

2012 (the “Singles Day” of China), one

of the E-commerce giants TMALL

(tmall.com) achieved a sales volume

of RMB19.1 billion, four times higher

than the annual retail sale of Nextage

Department Store. Therefore, even for

market outperformers such as

Nextage, Pacific and Parkson, retail

sales growth in 2012 slowed down or

became negative, implying difficult

future development.

MARKET ACTIVITIES

investment

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KnightFrank.com.cn

The capital market remained active

and witnessed one significant retail

deal in the fourth quarter. In late

November 2012, Gaw Capital sold 353

Plaza in Shanghai for RMB2.4 billion

to a joint venture established by

Macquarie Group (MQG:ASX) and The

Abu Dhabi Investment Authority of the

United Arab Emirates. Located at the

eastern section of Nanjing Pedestrian

Street, 353 Plaza had a total area of

40,000 sq m and was

previously known as “East Ocean

Mall”. Gaw Capital acquired “East

Ocean Mall” from a Wenzhou

businessman at a price of RMB900

billion in 2006. Then Gaw Capital

invested RMB400 million in the mall’s

renovation. In 2008, the mall

reopened as “353 Plaza” and was

repositioned as a mid-end shopping

centre.

Selected retail leasing transactions, Q4 2012

District Building Floor Trade Area

(sq m)

Rent

(RMB/sq m/day)

Huangpu Lippo Plaza Level 1 Accessories 60 65.0

Jing’an Citic

Square Level 2 Apparel 130 50.0

Jing’an Mall 818 Basement 1 F&B 350 8.1

Changning The HQ Basement 1 Supermarket 400 15.0

Changning M-Town Level 1 F&B 178 10.0

Source: Knight Frank Research

Selected retail sales transactions, Q4 2012

District Building Floor Area (sq m) Total price

(RMB million)

Price

(RMB/sq m)

Yangpu The Wujiaofengda

Building Level 1 71 5.2 73,811

Putuo Union Tower Level 1 415 55.0 132,544

Putuo No.989 Xikang

Road Level 1 98 10.5 107,412

Changni

ng

Gubei International

Garden Level 1 328 27.0 82,432

Zhabei Chamtime

Corporate Avenue Level 1 61 6.6 108,194

Zhabei Suhe Creek Level 1 195 27.0 138,393

Source: Knight Frank Research / Shanghai Real Estate Trading Centre

INVESTMENT

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8

Q4 2012

shanghai retail Quarterly

第四季度,上海零售市场的表现喜忧参

半。一方面,消费者节日购买意愿强烈,

各零售企业在“十一”长假促销期间的

营业收入都录得同比增长;另一方面,

又有两间具较长历史的百货公司在电商

和快时尚品牌的冲击下宣告歇业,退出

零售市场。

二零一二年全年上海商场面积净增

563,350平方米,与二零一一年相比,新

增供应下降约百分之14.5。第四季度新开

四座商场,分别是壹丰广场、高岛屋、

光一百货和世博源购物中心一期,为市

场增加了约165,000平方米的商业零售

面积。

核心商圈首层店铺平均租金约为每天每

平方米人民币 54.7 元,环比增长百分之

1.7,同比增长百分之 11.6;购物中心空

置率为百分之 8.4,与上季度基本持平。

近年来,社区型购物中心作为新生业态

在非核心商圈纷纷出现,深受消费者欢

迎。第四季度,数家社区型购物中心录

得租金增长。

由于受到电商和快时尚品牌的双重冲击,

传统百货的发展遭遇瓶颈,发展空间正

在逐步缩小,很多尚在经营的百货公司

开始考虑调整和转型,以期在激烈的竞

争中继续生存。

未来展望

我们对于二零一三年的上海零售市场预

期仍然持乐观态度,需求稳定,核心商圈

将有多个中高档购物中心开业,值得期

待的项目包括位于南京西路商圈的静安

嘉里中心二期,由嘉里建设开发,商场

面积 86,000 平方米;位于淮海中路商圈

的 International apm 和 K11 Art Mall,分

别由新鸿基地产和新世界开发,商场面

积分别为 100,000平方米和50,000平方

米;位于虹桥商圈的尚嘉中心和虹桥城,

分别由法国路威酩轩集团和华瑞中国地

产信托开发,商场面积分别为 49,000

平方米和 31,000 平方米。零售商方面,

奢侈品牌的开店速度放缓,仍然希望在

核心区域寻找店面;快时尚服饰集团如

Inditex 将加速主品牌及其姐妹品牌的扩

张速度,例如 Inditex旗下的麦西姆杜特、

巴适卡、Stradivarius 和普安倍尔,那些

尚未进入中国的快时尚品牌也积极在市

内寻找合适店面,例如英国快时尚品牌

TOPSHOP在中国的首家分店将选址浦东

陆家嘴,并于二零一三年开业。

考虑到二零一三年的新供应量将集中在

核心商圈,我们预计平均零售租金将再

增长百分之 10-12,出租率略有下降,而

投资者对于商业物业的强烈兴趣将使零

售商铺的价格保持稳定。由于零售物业

将受到大型机构买家的关注,因此市场

上大体量的成交将会增多。

焦点 考虑到二零一三年的新供应量

将集中在核心商圈,我们预计

平均零售租金将再增长百分之

10-12,出租率略有下降。

二零一二年第四季度

上海商铺 季刊

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9

KnightFrank.com.cn

第四季度,上海零售市场喜忧参半,一方

面,中秋国庆市场消费市场繁荣活跃,购

买踊跃。今年国庆长假八天上海接待观光

游客约 792 万人次,比二零一一年“十一”

黄金周约增百分之 21;全市 5,000 多家网

点在八天节日内共实现营业收入人民币

64.30 亿元,同比增长百分之 9.2。供应

市场也表现活跃,第四季度有四座新商场

开业,分别是位于虹口区的壹丰广场,位

于长宁区的高岛屋和光一百货以及位于

浦东的世博源购物中心一期,共为市场新

增零售面积约 165,000 平方米。第四季度

核心商圈首层店铺平均租金约为每平方

米每天人民币 54.7 元,环比增长百分之

1.7;购物中心空置率为百分之 8.4,与上

个季度基本持平。

中秋国庆市场消费市场繁荣活

跃,购买踊跃。今年国庆长假

八天上海接待观光游客约792

万人次,比二零一一年“十一”

黄金周约增百分之21。

而在另一方面,传统百货面临来自电商的

挑战,第四季度又有两家百货店相继停止

营业,分别是四川北路上的春天百货和淮

海中路上的永新百货。目前,百货公司的

发展进入瓶颈期。在电子商务高速发展、

快时尚品牌快速开店的双重冲击之下,中

小型百货公司的市场空间正在逐渐缩小。

二零一二年“双十一”(“中国单身节”)

中国最大的购物网站之一天猫

(tmall.com)的总销售额为人民币191亿

元,与上海营业额最高的百货——第一八

佰伴相比,一天销售额几乎为其全年营业

额的4倍。

上海社会消费品零售总额,二零零零年至二零一二年

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

% 亿人民币

数据来源:上海统计局 / 莱坊研究部

社会消费品零售总额(左轴) 增长率(右轴)

市场概览

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10

二零一二年第四季度

上海商铺 季刊

二零一二年全年上海商场面积净增

563,350平方米,与二零一一年相比,新

增供应下降约百分之14.5。第四季度,上

海有四座商场共165,000平方米零售面积

新开业,新开业的商场包括位于长宁区的

高岛屋百货和光一百货,位于虹口区的壹

丰广场和位于浦东的世博源购物中心。第

四季度商场新供应虽然较上季度增加百

分之41,但由于四季度开业的商场体量普

遍都较小,单体面积均未超过10万平方

米,因此新增供应较二零一一年同期减少

百分之44。上海第一间高岛屋百货于十二

月十九日在长宁古北区域开业,高岛屋坐

落于上海古北国际财富中心二期,从地下

一层到地上七层,建筑面积62,000平方

米。高岛屋是日本最大的高端百货公司之

一,具有180多年历史,高岛屋上海店的

目标消费群体将锁定上海及长三角地区

的中高收入人群。光一百货是第四季度长

宁区全面开始营业的另一家日系百货,位

于中山公园商圈的多媒体广场,总建筑面

积约25,000平方米,包括地下一层至地上

四层,定位中档。在虹口区,作为德国AM

alpha在中国的首个投资项目,壹丰广场

于十一月九日正式开业。壹丰广场位于四

川北路,前身为“天宸玫瑰广场”,于二

零一零年年初被AM alpha集团整体收购,

经过改造升级,以中档购物中心的定位重

新亮相。该商场总营业面积27,900平方

米,从地下两层至地上三层,成为继凯德

龙之梦、乐购仕和中信泰富申虹广场之后

在四川北路商圈上新开的第四家商场。十

二月二十八日,世博源购物中心一期在浦

东正式开业,这一购物中心在原世博轴基

二零一二年全年,上海商场面

积净增563,350平方米,与二零

一一年相比,新增供应下降约

百分之14.5。

础上改建而成,由上海世博发展集团与百

联集团共同打造。一期主要定位为餐饮娱

乐,入住商户包括王鼎、斗牛士、巴国布

衣、麝香猫咖啡、鲜芋仙及银乐迪量贩

KTV。整体项目共33万平方米,将于二零

一三年全面开业。

尽管海外经济低迷,中国经济增长增速放

缓,但零售商对于上海零售市场仍然具备

信心,开店热情不减。全球首间圣朗

洛·巴黎(Saint Laurent Paris)专门店选

址上海开幕,店面位于南京西路芮欧百

货,面积约300平方米。十二月,意大利

奢侈时装品牌Roberto Cavalli继二零一二

年北京半岛酒店开设第一家店后,在上海

恒隆广场开设第二家分店,面积约140平

方米,专营女装;来自比利时的箱包品牌

海格林(Hedgren)亦在中国的首家旗舰

店选址上海主要商圈之一——淮海路开

业。此外,专业卖场也加快了在上海的开

拓步伐。十二月份,来自法国的体育用品

连锁集团迪卡侬在上海的四家商场——

嘉定商场、曹杨商场、大华商场以及大连

路商场同时开业。至此,迪卡侬在上海的

商场总数达到十四家,在中国所有的城市

中,上海数量排名第一。从新开的几家迪

卡侬门店来看,迪卡侬的选址比之前更加

靠近中心区域,需求面积有所减少,从

5,000-8,000 平 方 米 缩 减 到 现 在 的

3,000-5,000平方米。

供应与需求

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二零一二年第四季度,上海优质商铺租金

继续上涨。上海主要商圈商铺首层平均租

金录得每天每平方米人民币54.7元,环比

增长百分之1.7,同比增长百分之11.6。由

于拥有上海最贵的几家购物中心,南京西

路商圈和徐家汇商圈的租金稳居上海优

质商铺租金之首。目前,南京西路上的恒

隆广场、中信泰富广场、梅龙镇广场以及

徐家汇的港汇广场内的一些店铺,它们的

首层租金均已接近每天每平方米人民币

80元。

近年来,社区型购物中心作为

新生业态在非核心商圈纷纷出

现,深受消费者欢迎。第四季

度,凭借稳固的消费群体和丰

富的业态组合,数家社区型购

物中心录得租金增长。

上海主要商圈首层租金,二零零六年第一季度至二零一二年第四季度

近年来,社区型购物中心作为新生业态在

非核心商圈纷纷出现,深受消费者欢迎。

第四季度,凭借稳固的消费群体和丰富的

业态组合,数家社区型购物中心录得租金

增长。浦东嘉里城的首层租金环比增长百

分之20.0至每天每平方米人民币18.0元;

闸北区的大宁国际商业广场和浦东的金

桥国际商业广场首层租金环比分别上涨

百分11.0和百分之4.0至每天每平方米26

元和每天每平方米20元。

租金

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

人民币/平方米净

面积/天

数据来源:莱坊研究部

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二零一二年第四季度

上海商铺 季刊

二零一二年,由于受到电商和快时尚

品牌的双重冲击,传统百货的发展遭

遇瓶颈,生存空间正在逐步缩小,去

年上海共有三家百货宣告歇业。四月

份,受制于定位、体量等原因,第一

百货淮海店在经营了 19 年后将店面整

体出租,由宝马接手开设 4S 店。八月

份,由于长期商业低迷,位于四川北

路的上海春天百货宣告停业,春天百

货有着 16 年历史,经营面积约 8,000

平方米,其实在春天百货关闭之前,

四川北路上已经有多家百货商场由于

营业状况欠佳而退出市场。二百永新

是即将关闭的另一家百货公司,同样

位于淮海中路的主要商圈,曾经是淮

海路上的第一家国营百货——第二百

货,后与香港永新百货有限公司合资,

改建为二百永新。二百永新关闭后,

取而代之的是优衣库全球旗舰店,这

家新店将成为优衣库中国最大的旗舰

店。

甚至对于那些目前经营状况相

对较好的百货公司例如第一八

佰伴、太平洋百货或百盛来讲,

二零一二年的销售业绩也在电

商的冲击下出现放缓或是下滑

的趋势,未来发展的形势颇为

严峻。

纵观这些已关闭的百货店,普遍存在

着体量小(体量不足 1 万平方米)、定

位不明确、商品品种单一等问题。目

前市场上比较成功的几家百货公司体

量均在 20,000 平方米以上,最近新开

的高岛屋的建筑面积超过 60,000 平

方米。体量过小直接引致的问题是经

营业态单一,商品可选择范围小,而

百货店在商品价格以及服务设施上相

较于其他商业形态例如购物中心也并

无优势可言。电商的冲击无疑也是影

响传统百货业绩的重要原因之一,数

字表明,二零一二年购物网站天猫

(tmall.com) 在“双十一”(中国的单

身节)当天的销售额已相当于第一八

佰伴全年销售额的四倍。所以,甚至

对于那些目前经营状况相对较好的百

货公司例如第一八佰伴、太平洋百货

或百盛来讲,二零一二年的销售业绩

也在电商的冲击下出现放缓或是下滑

的趋势,未来发展的形势颇为严峻。

市场动向

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KnightFrank.com.cn

第四季度资本市场保持活跃,录得一

宗重要商铺整购交易。二零一二年十

一月下旬,基汇资本以人民币 24 亿元

将持有的上海 353 广场售予麦格理集

团(MQG:ASX)与阿联酋阿布扎比投

资局的合资公司。353 广场位于南京路

步行街东段,总面积为40,000平方米,

前身为“东海商都”。二零零六年,基

汇资本以人民币 9 亿元的价格从温州

商人手中接过“东海商都”,斥资人民

币 4 亿元巨资进行重新装修,将该商场

重新定位为中端购物中心,改名为“353

广场”,于二零零八年开业。

上海主要商铺租赁成交,二零一二年第四季度

区域 项目 楼层 业态 面积

(平方米)

租金

(人民币/平方米/天)

黄浦 力宝广场 一层 饰品 60 65.0

静安 中信泰富广场 二层 服饰 130 50.0

静安 818 广场 地下一层 餐饮 350 8.1

长宁 虹桥上海城 地下一层 超市 400 15.0

长宁 新淮海坊 一层 餐饮 178 10.0

数据来源:莱坊研究部

上海主要商铺买卖成交,二零一二年第四季度

区域 项目 楼层 面积

(平方米)

总价

(人民币百万元)

成交价格

(人民币/平方米)

杨浦 五角丰达商务广场 一层 71 5.2 73,811

普陀 汇融大厦 一层 415 55.0 132,544

普陀 西康锦城 一层 98 10.5 107,412

长宁 古北国际花园 一层 328 27.0 82,4322

闸北 长泰企业天地广场 一层 61 6.6 108,194

闸北 苏河湾华侨城中心 一层 195 27.0 138,393

数据来源:莱坊研究部/ 上海房地产交易中心

投资

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二零一二年第四季度

上海商铺 季刊

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Research contacts

Greater China

Thomas Lam

Director, Head of Research

+852 2846 4819

[email protected]

Shanghai

Regina Yang

Director, Head of Research and Consultancy

+86 21 6032 1728

[email protected]

Shanghai retail leasing contact

Iven Du

Director, Retail +86 21 6032 1757 [email protected] General enquiries

East & Central China

Graham Zink

Managing Director

+86 21 6032 1700

[email protected]

North China

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South China

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Executive Director

+852 2846 9593

[email protected]

Research

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研究部联络

大中华

林浩文

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上海

杨悦晨

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上海商铺租赁

杜斌

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